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Any-who I’m just checking in for old time sake since I’ve completely ignored campaigns since sanders got shellacked. My hot take is that T-Mac losing is entirely due to the two spending bills not getting fuckin done before the election.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:05
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:The Democratic AG and Lt. Gov are doing about .6% to 1.5% better than T-Mac, so there is a (very very very small) chance of a hilarious outcome where Youngkin becomes Governor and the Lt. Gov + AG are Democrats. Can you please source this stuff?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:07
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Barreft posted:Can you please source this stuff? https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/11/02/us/elections/results-virginia.html
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Nov 3, 2021 01:07
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SpaceCadetBob posted:Any-who I’m just checking in for old time sake since I’ve completely ignored campaigns since sanders got shellacked. Didn't he campaign to the right of the Infrastructure bill? Brilliant plan on that one  Is he the last of the remaining Third Way Clintonites, or are there more liches from that cursed political cabal wandering about?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:08
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https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1455687528196055052?s=21
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Nov 3, 2021 01:08
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If Princess Blanding gets every single vote that's left to count she can still win. I believe!!
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Nov 3, 2021 01:10
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Some rural counties in SW Virginia had 83% (!!!) turnout and were going 86-14 Youngkin. https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1455688727594995720
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Nov 3, 2021 01:13
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Lol you think at this point the Dems would stop running Clintonites with no charisma but they learn nothing
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Nov 3, 2021 01:15
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455687823445708800?s=20 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455688205227941894?s=20 My Condolen- https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455690008430514182?s=20 huh?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:16
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Josh Lyman posted:I live in Northern Virginia, a few subway stops from the White House, and based on Youngkin's ads, you wouldn't know he's a Trump-backed Republican. His ads have been pretty slick, while none of Terry's really stood out. Youngkin did a pretty good job of painting himself as just an unattached moderate.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:16
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The mail-in vote for Loudon brought McAuliffe from 52.9 to 55.5 in that county, continuing the theme of him doing 1-2 points worse than he needs to do.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:17
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Pollsters are looking pretty good tonight. Good for them; they needed a W. Also means that McAuliffe pissed away an incredibly winnable race.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:18
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Kirios posted:We're probably in the, what, top 1% of informed people politically in the country? This.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:19
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Derpies posted:Lol you think at this point the Dems would stop running Clintonites with no charisma but they learn nothing That would require having a viable canidate below 50 No way the Liche Lords, who continue to grasp to power until they are dust, who are in charge of the party would allow that
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Nov 3, 2021 01:20
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Willa Rogers posted:lmao, mcauliffe just sent out an email to supporters saying "win or lose, we ran a strong campaign." did you, terry did you really
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Nov 3, 2021 01:20
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Derpies posted:Lol you think at this point the Dems would stop running Clintonites with no charisma but they learn nothing Look, that might require them to make changes to their campaign strategy documents beyond hitting find/replace-all twice for candidate names.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:21
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Don't run to the Right of your own party's messaging and iniatives fuckface
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Nov 3, 2021 01:22
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There's no real threat for them to take the house though, right?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:22
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Red posted:His ads have been pretty slick, while none of Terry's really stood out. Youngkin did a pretty good job of painting himself as just an unattached moderate.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:22
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Julian Castro on MSNBC making the impressively intuitive argument that "the centrist candidate losing reflects poorly on centrists, not progressives."
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Nov 3, 2021 01:22
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McAuliffe basically knew everyone in the party already. Everyone was his buddy and/or arguably still owed where they were to him. He basically waltzed right back in on fundraising advantages and name recognition and didn't get truly tested. The two other primary candidates basically became invisible.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:22
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Josh Lyman posted:I remember the very first ad I saw, it gave me severe cognitive dissonance because it felt like "Wait, is he the moderate Dem candidate?" The one with the old men stumbling in a horde past Youngkin?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:23
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Mellow Seas posted:Julian Castro on MSNBC making the impressively intuitive argument that "the centrist candidate losing reflects poorly on centrists, not progressives." 
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Nov 3, 2021 01:24
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Jack-in-the-Bach posted:There's no real threat for them to take the house though, right? I dunno, if the R's took the statehouse and the new governor took a flamethrower to everything progressives have done in Virginia in recent years and also empowered him to dictate right-wing education in public schools like he wants, that would probably REALLY teach those Democrats their lesson and embarrass the liberals. Probably for the best if it happens.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:24
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1455692529790328835?s=20
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Nov 3, 2021 01:25
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Welp
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Nov 3, 2021 01:26
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Live by the white suburban vote; die by the white suburban vote.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:26
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Mellow Seas posted:Julian Castro on MSNBC making the impressively intuitive argument that "the centrist candidate losing reflects poorly on centrists, not progressives."
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Nov 3, 2021 01:26
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Jack-in-the-Bach posted:There's no real threat for them to take the house though, right? If Youngkin wins, the GOP has almost certainly taken the House of Delegates. Goodbye moderately progressive legislation. Hello STOP THE STEAL.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:26
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Ugh, really don't want that rear end in a top hat to be governor but gently caress, getting moms angry about CRT being taught in schools was indeed a winning strategy.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:27
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There seems to be a pattern starting from 2012 of Third Way democrats running terrible campaigns, being extremely arrogant, and losing hilariously and to devestating effect Gosh I don't know what the common thread could possibly be  Real puzzler
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Nov 3, 2021 01:27
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Foy would have won
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Nov 3, 2021 01:27
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 The Virginia Model
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Nov 3, 2021 01:27
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Not a great showing so far. How are the House races going? That's unfortunately. I hope it's because of McAuliffe running a poor campaign and not because voters got cold feet about progressive policy.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:27
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TulliusCicero posted:There seems to be a pattern starting from 2012 of Third Way democrats running terrible campaigns, being extremely arrogant, and losing hilariously and to devestating effect need a Fourth Way, obv
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Nov 3, 2021 01:28
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TheScott2K posted:Foy would have won Yes. And this makes me livid.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:29
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I guess a silver lining is that Democrats have a perfect case study, should they choose to consult it, in the 100% wrong way to respond to Republican dog whistles about education.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:30
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Speaking of the House races the district I'm in had the Republican candidate (James Edmunds) running completely unopposed, how many districts was that the case in?
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Nov 3, 2021 01:30
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TulliusCicero posted:There seems to be a pattern starting from 2012 of Third Way democrats running terrible campaigns, being extremely arrogant, and losing hilariously and to devestating effect It's cause progressives exist 
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Nov 3, 2021 01:30
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TheScott2K posted:Foy would have won Indeed she would have. Would have been very happy to have voted for her.
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Nov 3, 2021 01:31
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