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Pretty sure they would ask for a balloon payment to put you back under minimum LTV numbers, not ask you to pay it off entirely. Hopefully the bubble will pop and we'll see in the next while.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 00:42 |
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# ? Jun 1, 2024 22:50 |
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Fuzzy Mammal posted:Pretty sure they would ask for a balloon payment to put you back under minimum LTV numbers, not ask you to pay it off entirely. Hopefully the bubble will pop and we'll see in the next while. I would think hone owners would be in the driver seat if it happened on large scale. Banks would be happy to have someone willing to pay the mortgage while being underwater. Better then masses giving back the keys like in the 80s.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 02:05 |
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qhat posted:I would honestly love to see a bank foreclose on an underwater mortgage from a credit worthy borrower just because the LTV has increased. That would be an unbelievably stupid decision on the bank's part. You are certainly never going to get 'margin' called on a mortgage that is being paid. You may have trouble renewing your mortgage with someone once your term is up, but that is a VERY different thing. Housing in indisputably the safer 'investment' and the only real question is whether it is in fact the safest possible investment you can make.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 02:52 |
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Truman Peyote posted:am I misunderstanding floor space ratio? a 4 floor apartment with a few feet setback seems like it should be easy to reach 2.50, plenty of buildings like that in mount pleasant with underground parking. or does parking apply in some way I'm misunderstanding? You'd be surprised. FSR exclusions in Vancouver depend on the zoning district, rather than building it into the definition, so it'll be specific from site-to-site (and therefore impossible to assess without a big deep dive into their CD-1 zoning bylaw regime which sucks). A four storey building likely wouldn't be able to fully capture 2.5 FSR after required road dedications (including lanes), setbacks, lot coverage, and height. We also have to understand that developers are primarily concerned with *efficient* space, so things like lobbies or hallways can take away from saleable FSR. Can't sell a hallway, after all. There's also another hard artificial limit - the actual size of the site. While a tower can have dwelling units all around an elevator core on a relatively small site, a typical low slab apartment can only "double load" a corridor (only "two" dwelling units on each side of any given point in a hallway). This is usually not a problem elsewhere in the world, where land is not the premium expense and you can build courtyard style bungalows or apartments - but here in Vancouver, we're very much limited in terms of "usable" lands to actually build the building. A developer can't sink all of their money into making individual land owners rich, so they have to deal with constrained lot sizes vs. a generous FSR with other physical dimension limitations. ... If you actually want to fix the problem at a municipal level (build supply!!!! lol!!!!), you have to "prezone" and "downzone" the redevelopment potential of land in certain circumstances. You need to find a way to lower the cost of that land and its redevelopment potential, which is just completely unacceptable to the landowning public. Now that municipalities in BC can actually zone residential tenure (ownership vs. rental), none of them are using this tool to its full potential. if a City truly wanted to make a difference, it would pre-zone SFH lands to either allow (1) an SFD on fee-simple land, or (2) enable multi-unit residential (strata-titled) under a deliberately lower FSR than usual, and (3) enable multi-unit residential (rental - and especially non-market rental) at a deliberately higher FSR to "push down" the relative cost of land. Really glad that we turned housing into a investment commodity, good job us. Hubbert fucked around with this message at 04:26 on Nov 11, 2021 |
# ? Nov 11, 2021 03:11 |
not only is housing a financial instrument. we convinced everyone that a lovely negative income illiquid investment is good
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 03:32 |
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half cocaine posted:not only is housing a financial instrument. we convinced everyone that a lovely negative income illiquid investment is good don't forget the complete loving lack of federal support making sure that we have no other choice but to participate in this lovely rear end house of cards lmfao https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jE3KPWwiRz8
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 03:34 |
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Some Vancouver condos and Calgary houses are technically liquid investments.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 03:58 |
quote:In the March 1996 federal budget, the government and here i am reading the Canadian Debt Thread telling me it's all because supply is too low have i been lied to?????????????
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:17 |
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half cocaine posted:and here i am reading the Canadian Debt Thread telling me it's all because supply is too low Number must go up.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:26 |
quote:For the primary part of the housing system, the fed- this is some good poo poo Hubbert. Thanks
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:26 |
quote:In the end, the debate over whether and how to ad- no you see it's supply and
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:29 |
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half cocaine posted:no you see it's supply and yes i thought it was time to blow up the nuclear hot YIMBY takes and actually talk about housing policy more generally you have the right to buy housing in canada, nothing more
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:29 |
Hubbert posted:yes i thought it was time to blow up the nuclear hot YIMBY takes and actually talk about housing policy more generally hulchanski is nimby
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:47 |
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half cocaine posted:
the city is the landlord here, and this land contains hundreds of co-op units sticky situation for a city councillor to not listen to the public here
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 04:57 |
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anyways supply really is a problem and we should really be pre-zoning everything IMMEDIATELY
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 06:40 |
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half cocaine posted:
ok lets actually look at the article together quote:Thousands of residents in False Creek South living in multi-family buildings on land owned by the City of Vancouver have been facing uncertainty for years over the question of whether their long-term leases will be renewed. Hubbert fucked around with this message at 16:52 on Nov 11, 2021 |
# ? Nov 11, 2021 16:47 |
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Is it really gambling when it's become enormously apparent that literally every level of government and every political party has no interest in doing anything but the status quo of ensuring that SFH values go up? The government is back stopping your investment.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 19:59 |
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Only not if you assume that despite their best efforts, government actually has the ability to prevent a wholesale meltdown of that asset class, and it’s not at all clear that would be possible.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:04 |
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I think covid showed that Western governments will absolutely use the levers they have control of the continue the financialization of the entire economy, specifically real estate and the stock market
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:24 |
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Hulchanski probably is a nimby, just like how Hardwick is and probably thinks she's a ~progressive~ . Folks don't think there's left-nimbys? These people are like the urbanist versions 70s era "save the whales" style environmentalists in that their ideas have not been updated in decades and now are irrelevant and unhelpful to the modern issues we're facing. This crowd would suggest months upon months of design charette leading to economically unviable low rise townhouse development. It's not actually going to address our severe housing shortage but they don't actually care to because in their mind design > people. Peeps in South False Creek benefited from 1970s era Federal funding creating the below market housing they currently benefit from, and, just like lucky home owning boomers, they're trying to pull the ladder up behind them. No change! No new people! Go away. Same mindset. All the people on the left that spend their time criticizing the economic systems that have created this mess are curiously not lifting a finger to do anything about it. Is Hardwick out there trying to create new SFC's in other Vancouver neighbourhoods? lol no of course not. Is so called socialist Jean Swanson suggesting we tax the rich, raze shaughnessy and build public rental housing for the working class? lol nope. Always easy to snipe at the sidelines at blame the feds for lack of funding, but we just had a federal election and nothing changed. What now? Pragmatic politicians would move on and try to find some way to move forward and build housing for working people, but all these left nimbys are old and comfortably housed so neither they nor anyone they know are actually negatively impacted by the status quo of doing nothing. So they continue on with only fruitless critique being their contribution.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:26 |
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sleep with the vicious posted:I think covid showed that Western governments will absolutely use the levers they have control of the continue the financialization of the entire economy, specifically real estate and the stock market They can't lower rates much further and the spectre of inflation is rearing its head. They can only chant transitory so much.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:38 |
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Femtosecond posted:Always easy to snipe at the sidelines at blame the feds for lack of funding, but we just had a federal election and nothing changed. What now? Pragmatic politicians would move on and try to find some way to move forward and build housing for working people, but all these left nimbys are old and comfortably housed so neither they nor anyone they know are actually negatively impacted by the status quo of doing nothing. So they continue on with only fruitless critique being their contribution. if you don't like it, run for Council and make it happen
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:49 |
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Purgatory Glory posted:They can't lower rates much further and the spectre of inflation is rearing its head. They can only chant transitory so much. If there's some sort of financial pullback just watch them.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 20:59 |
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Femtosecond posted:Is it really gambling when it's become enormously apparent that literally every level of government and every political party has no interest in doing anything but the status quo of ensuring that SFH values go up? If you have confidence that the government will be able to provide you with the inflation-adjusted value of your home, at some arbitrary future point in your life, no matter what, then no, it wouldn't be gambling. Such confidence would be horribly misplaced, however; the U.S. government failed to do the same thing with a relatively smaller bubble, and the Canadian government, which doesn't issue the world's reserve currency, has even less actual power to accomplish that feat. It's ridiculous that some people believe that housing can continue to grow faster than the broader economy literally forever, even though this leads to absurd conclusions like housing costs eventually being more than 100% of wages. The same idiocy was on display when the Japanese imperial palace grounds were believed to be worth more than the entire state of California. It is not different this time. At least not in ways that mean the bubble won't pop.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 22:30 |
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we can all come together and blame every single level of government and point fingers at anyone we think is responsible too and nothing would change still
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 22:53 |
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tagesschau posted:If you have confidence that the government will be able to provide you with the inflation-adjusted value of your home, at some arbitrary future point in your life, no matter what, then no, it wouldn't be gambling. Such confidence would be horribly misplaced, however; the U.S. government failed to do the same thing with a relatively smaller bubble, and the Canadian government, which doesn't issue the world's reserve currency, has even less actual power to accomplish that feat. It doesn’t have to grow forever, just until the people posting here are in the ground.
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# ? Nov 11, 2021 23:21 |
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tagesschau posted:It's ridiculous that some people believe that housing can continue to grow faster than the broader economy literally forever, even though this leads to absurd conclusions like housing costs eventually being more than 100% of wages. The same idiocy was on display when the Japanese imperial palace grounds were believed to be worth more than the entire state of California. i don't think anyone believes the emphasized. they just believe housing can continue to grow faster than the broader economy long enough for them to profit off of it and cash out
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 07:58 |
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Yeah even if the ultimate effect is a massive disaster, so many people have already made a massive amount of money off it, including most of the top people in government.
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 16:10 |
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mila kunis posted:Yeah even if the ultimate effect is a massive disaster, so many people have already made a massive amount of money off it, including most of the top people in government. Whats 24 flips between friends?
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 16:46 |
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mila kunis posted:Yeah even if the ultimate effect is a massive disaster, so many people have already made a massive amount of money off it, including most of the top people in government. Housing being an economy-wide pump and dump scam is exactly what the 2020s needs.
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 17:36 |
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MickeyFinn posted:It doesn’t have to grow forever, just until the people posting here are in the ground. the talent deficit posted:i don't think anyone believes the emphasized. they just believe housing can continue to grow faster than the broader economy long enough for them to profit off of it and cash out I did say "at some arbitrary future point in your life." A lot of people seem to think the government will ensure that they will be able to extract the value they think their home should have, at a time that is convenient for them. The government will not ensure any such thing, if only because it cannot.
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 21:17 |
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Hubbert posted:if you don't like it, run for Council and make it happen I don't need to because there's already OneCity's Christine Boyle who is there actually moving the ball forward on the goal of making more housing for renters in Vancouver. I'll be supporting them in the next election. Hopefully after the 2022 there will be a few more like minded people elected to council from the OneCity slate. Faux progressives like the Greens and Swanson that complain but do nothing need to get out the way and let rental housing actually get built.
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# ? Nov 12, 2021 23:41 |
NIMBY socialist big government crippling small mom and pop private equity from making an honest dollar, causing collapse in housing supply Spain takes on private equity landlords as cost of housing soars https://on.ft.com/2YHK0Lo
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# ? Nov 14, 2021 18:34 |
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Currently in Vancouver for the first time in a couple of years and man, every time there's more and more condo buildings that I assume are essentially empty. Vancouver: So Beautiful You Could Almost Forget The Housing Crisis™
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# ? Nov 17, 2021 00:04 |
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Albino Squirrel posted:Currently in Vancouver for the first time in a couple of years and man, every time there's more and more condo buildings that I assume are essentially empty. This is why I think it's so important to define "supply". Is there really not enough housing in Vancouver or is there actually just not enough housing for sale?
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# ? Nov 17, 2021 03:06 |
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there's a lot of 500sqft "one bedroom" apartments where the bedroom has a translucent sliding wall instead of a window, if that's what you mean by "supply"
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# ? Nov 17, 2021 04:46 |
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Yep, there's plenty of supply of housing that might be acceptable for a single student. A family with even just one child? No, that ain't around.
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# ? Nov 17, 2021 14:35 |
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Albino Squirrel posted:Currently in Vancouver for the first time in a couple of years and man, every time there's more and more condo buildings that I assume are essentially empty. They looked into this with BC Hydro data to try to estimate low electricity using homes as empty and found that empty homes are not widespread. quote:In 2014, the vacancy rate for the City of Vancouver was 4.8, almost exactly what it was 12 years earlier, when the rate was 4.9 percent in 2002. That’s below the national average of seven percent. Since then the province has levied a speculation tax which was effectively a tax on not renting your second home, and Vancouver has brought in an empty home tax. The province has noted that thousands upon thousands of new rental has appeared on the market due to these taxes, so presumably the amount of empty homes has plunged even further. Vacancy is extremely low ~2.6% last I looked. I bet the current numbers of empty homes are at an all time low.
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# ? Nov 18, 2021 18:01 |
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Femtosecond posted:They looked into this with BC Hydro data to try to estimate low electricity using homes as empty and found that empty homes are not widespread. I could be mistaken, but if you look at historical vacancy rates (like +5-10 years ago) they were ~1%. E. v you are correct, I am Crow Buddy fucked around with this message at 05:50 on Nov 19, 2021 |
# ? Nov 18, 2021 21:59 |
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# ? Jun 1, 2024 22:50 |
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Crow Buddy posted:I could be mistaken, but if you look at historical vacancy rates (like +5-10 years ago) they were ~1%. I think you're talking about rental vacancy rate, ie dwellings that are intended to be rented but aren't. Femtosecond is talking about the "non-occupancy rate", ie all dwellings that are unoccupied, including holiday homes and such. Edit; and IIRC there was a slight increase in rental vacancies and a drop in non-occupancy around when the empty homes tax came in.
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# ? Nov 18, 2021 23:53 |