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ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
I remarked a while back on the divergence between central and provincial interests re: debt/"stability" vs growth, so these developments are remarkable:

https://twitter.com/michaelxpettis/status/1473872669095432194
https://twitter.com/michaelxpettis/status/1474323680352256016
https://twitter.com/michaelxpettis/status/1474619933069910016

not leaving provincial governments with much options besides just accepting their fate as perpetually low-growth regions for the foreseeable future, I suppose (and then getting the blame for one's trouble)

ronya fucked around with this message at 19:57 on Dec 25, 2021

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Wheeljack
Jul 12, 2021

A big flaming stink posted:

the degree to which the CPC refuses to engage in critical analysis of Tiananmen square and instead straight up memory holes it is honestly really weird. the cpc has been entirely consistent with grappling with all the major actions the party has taken in the past (cultural revolution etc) and to fail to do so in this case is just weird as heck, frankly.

Perhaps it’s because the whole world was watching Tiananmen live for some time (until they pulled the feed)?
The Cultural Revolution, Great Leap Forward and many other megascale atrocities they’ve committed were covered up from the beginning.

And/or the delay in responding to the protesters with atrocity made the CCP look weak and indecisive in the eyes of the Chinese people and that must never happen, so it never happened.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

I think its more that historical revisionism by the CCP has usually been a tool of new generations of leadership to break with policies/leaders of the past, and there is no desire at all anywhere in the system to break with 'do not gently caress with the absolute right of the CCP to set policy and decide how the CCP leadership gets determined'.

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
The CCP did actually study the reasons why Tianemen happened and the result was the ‘the hundred years of humiliation’ propaganda campaign, basically they started taking kids on tours accross China to the sites of every crime committed against China by Europe and the Japanese to instill into the youth how China is under siege from western attempts to fracture it and stop the economic and technological progress by sowing discord and protest.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Al-Saqr posted:

The CCP did actually study the reasons why Tianemen happened and the result was the ‘the hundred years of humiliation’ propaganda campaign, basically they started taking kids on tours accross China to the sites of every crime committed against China by Europe and the Japanese to instill into the youth how China is under siege from western attempts to fracture it and stop the economic and technological progress by sowing discord and protest.

Oh yeah I dont mean to suggest that the CCP is disinterested in understanding the 'private truth' of what happened and why.

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

They should build a monument for the tank drivers.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Mantis42 posted:

They should build a monument for the tank drivers.

That's an abhorrent opinion. Why do you think so?

Daduzi
Nov 22, 2005

You can't hide from the Grim Reaper. Especially when he's got a gun.

How are u posted:

That's an abhorrent opinion. Why do you think so?

Have you ever had to clean student brains out of treads? It takes ages.

SMERSH Mouth
Jun 25, 2005

I had a Chinese professor who was a student in China at the time of Tiananmen Square. They had a lot to say about it, but the takeaway in her opinion seemed to be that it was started by racists who objected to international (esp. Black African) students getting enrolled and funded to go to university in Beijing on government scholarships; that there were a lot of salacious rumors about big dick black guys “stealing” or even forcing themselves on pure and innocent Han co-eds and that the protest at its beginning was more like a Southern White lynch mob than a pro-democracy protest, although they acknowledged that was what it became. I always wondered how much of that origin story was true. The professor claimed first-hand knowledge, but didn’t have any personal involvement with the protests.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

How are u posted:

That's an abhorrent opinion. Why do you think so?

it would be fun to blow up at least, like the Haymarket Memorial

BrigadierSensible
Feb 16, 2012

I've got a pocket full of cheese🧀, and a garden full of trees🌴.

Possibly stupid question re the "Tower of Shame" statue.

Do we know where it went? Has it been dismantled completely and melted down for scrap, or is it in a police warehouse somewhere in Hong Kong where they keep all the poo poo they confiscate?

I heard the artist is a Danish(?) bloke, will they just crate it up and send it back to him?

Megillah Gorilla
Sep 22, 2003

If only all of life's problems could be solved by smoking a professor of ancient evil texts.



Bread Liar
"What statue?"

Smeef
Aug 15, 2003

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!



Pillbug
I can’t find the original stories from SCMP and HKFP, but as I recall authorities said it was put into storage somewhere. I assume it will be destroyed. The artist Jens Galschiot requested they return it to him, but I think the ownership was ambiguous enough that they can ignore him. (Again IIRC) HKU claims they tried to contact the group that ‘owned’ it, but conveniently that group was one of the Tiananmen remembrance groups that had just been disbanded.

Spoke Lee
Dec 31, 2004

chairizard lol

SMERSH Mouth posted:

I had a Chinese professor who was a student in China at the time of Tiananmen Square. They had a lot to say about it, but the takeaway in her opinion seemed to be that it was started by racists who objected to international (esp. Black African) students getting enrolled and funded to go to university in Beijing on government scholarships; that there were a lot of salacious rumors about big dick black guys “stealing” or even forcing themselves on pure and innocent Han co-eds and that the protest at its beginning was more like a Southern White lynch mob than a pro-democracy protest, although they acknowledged that was what it became. I always wondered how much of that origin story was true. The professor claimed first-hand knowledge, but didn’t have any personal involvement with the protests.

They are full of poo poo.

Epicurius
Apr 10, 2010
College Slice
It started as a tribute to former General Secretary Hu Yaobang, who had died of a heart attack. He had been a reformist who had been forced to resign after his policies of economic reform and political liberalization were blamed for student protests. The original thing they wanted was an exoneration of him, and that turned into a more general protest.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
A while back I quoted a review of Weber's How China Avoided Shock Therapy:

ronya posted:

apropos of nothing, a narrative I found fascinating:

quote:

China: Walking The Tight Rope

As Weber tells it, China walked a tight rope in the 1980s. Twice the package reformers came close to persuading reform-minded Zhao to introduce full-blown price reform. Twice they were defeated.

In 1986, it was, above all, opposition from within the ranks of the experts that stopped Zhao’s price liberalization push. It was on this occasion that consultations in Eastern Europe proved particularly important in undercutting the argument for radical action. On the basis of extensive enquiries in Hungary and Yugoslavia, the System Reform Institute that advised Zhao concluded that China was in no condition to attempt comprehensive and immediate liberalization.

The second great set piece came in 1988 when Zhao made his most fateful push for price reform. After a sustained campaign — including, among other stunts, a visit from Friedman — at a meeting held in August, the Politburo announced the imminent liberalization of all prices. The result was a wave of panic-buying and bank runs. Inflation accelerated ominously. Deng Xiaoping immediately slammed on the brakes. Chen Yun, the veteran inflation fighter of the 1950s, was summoned to the frontlines. Zhao was humiliated.

All further moves toward price liberalization were halted; in 1989, amid the repression of the protest movement, Beijing embarked on a fiscal and monetary consolidation. After surging to an annual rate of 28% in April 1989, by the middle of 1990 inflation was brought virtually to a halt. As a result, China suffered a major political shock and a fiscal and monetary contraction, but economic growth as a whole proceeded without dislocation.

This sets up a painfully ironic denouement. If it was the pragmatic advocates of a dual-price system who won the argument in 1988, why did they not come to occupy the limelight in the subsequent years of triumphant growth? Why is it that the radical package reformers like Wu Jinglian, who were defeated in 1988, are today celebrated as the godfathers of reform?

“If it was the pragmatic advocates of a dual-price system who won the argument in 1988, why did they not come to occupy the limelight in the subsequent years of triumphant growth?”

This is where Weber’s painstaking and deeply sourced reconstruction delivers the sting in its tail. In 1989, as the student protests in Beijing gathered force, the advocates of pragmatism remained true to Zhao and his ill-starred quest to broker a deal between the students and the regime. In the aftermath of Tiananmen Square, they suffered the consequences: driven into exile or silence. Like Zhao, who spent the rest of his life under house arrest, they have been written out of history.

By contrast, the package reformers proved radical in theory but pragmatic in political praxis. After Zhao abandoned them during the inflation crisis in 1988, the package reformers had few qualms in 1989 about denouncing both him and the student protestors. Their loyalty to the powers that be was rewarded. Once the dust had settled, it was the package reformers who, under Jiang Zemin and Zhu Rongji, came dramatically to the fore. Zhou Xiaochuan, one of the most brilliant exponents of package reform in the late 1980s, would serve as governor of the People’s Bank of China from 2002 to 2018.

(the rest of the essay is interesting also, but maybe more commonly put forth)

That is to say, the 'wrong' faction survived the post-Tiananmen political purges. Due to the quirks of the way the 1988 reaction played out - with the Zhao's vacillation, resulting political isolation, and subsequent purge - it is the liberal would-be shock therapists that avoided getting the blame for promoting protest and political weakness. Instead, those who most resisted shock therapy were stuck with the blame for destabilisation and thus destroyed. The subsequent rapid disintegration of the USSR ensured that this conventional wisdom would not be easily unwound - the shock therapists themselves were now too cautious to proceed with the shock therapy they had once advocated.

An interplay between ideological factions and personal loyalty is always inevitable, but here they intermeshed so that no clear ideological triumph could be proclaimed.

So, after the fact, there is no faction that can be just charged with the bill. Best to just forget about it all together whilst an uncomfortable coalition of old school neo-authoritarian Soviet-nostalgic conservatives and neo-liberal Westernised liberalisers steers the country. Prominently absent: the socialism-with-a-human-face types.

ronya fucked around with this message at 09:59 on Dec 25, 2021

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
Chinese city of Xian sees Covid cases rise as it enters third day of lockdown
Residents are banned from leaving the city and non-essential workers can only leave home to buy food


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/25/chinese-city-of-xian-sees-covid-case-rise-as-it-enters-third-day-of-lockdown

quote:

The Chinese city of Xian has reported an increase in daily Covid-19 infections and local companies have curtailed activity as the country’s latest hotspot entered its third day of lockdown.

Xian, home to 13 million people, detected 75 domestically transmitted cases with confirmed symptoms on Friday, its highest daily count of the year and reversing the previous day’s decline, official data showed on Saturday.

China as a whole reported 140 new confirmed coronavirus cases for Friday, an increase of 62% from 87 cases the day before, its health authority said on Saturday. Of the new infections, 87 were locally transmitted, compared with 55 a day earlier.

Most of the new local cases were in the north-western province of Shaanxi, where Xian is the main city.

Xian’s locally transmitted symptomatic cases, at 330 for the period between 9 December and 24 December, are few compared with outbreaks in many other countries, but the city has imposed heavy-handed measures in line with Beijing’s policy to contain local transmission as quickly as possible.

Residents are banned from leaving the city, home to the world-famous Terracotta Army archaeological find, without clearance from employers or local authorities and households can send only one person to shop for necessities every two days. Other family members may not leave home unless they have essential jobs or urgent matters approved by employers or communities.

“So far the turning point for the outbreak is yet to come, and stringent curbs are necessary,” Zhang Boli, who helped to shape China’s early Covid response and treatment, told state media.

Local officials have also faced punishment over the outbreak and domestic flights scheduled to depart the city on Friday were cancelled.

Xian Chenxi Aviation Technology, a supplier of aviation technology to the Chinese military, said late on Friday it had temporarily suspended production due to the outbreak, which it expects to hurt its 2021 operating income.

Western Securities said on Friday its Xian-based branches have stopped offering face-to-face services to clients.

An oncology hospital said on Saturday its outpatient department and emergency room had stopped receiving patients due to Covid, after several other hospitals made similar moves.

Xian, which started a round of mass testing on Saturday, has announced no infections caused by the Omicron variant. Nationwide, China has reported a handful of Omicron infections among international travellers and in southern China.

Could it be the beginning of the end of "zero-Covid" China? Time will tell.

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

How are u posted:

Chinese city of Xian sees Covid cases rise as it enters third day of lockdown
Residents are banned from leaving the city and non-essential workers can only leave home to buy food


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/25/chinese-city-of-xian-sees-covid-case-rise-as-it-enters-third-day-of-lockdown

Could it be the beginning of the end of "zero-Covid" China? Time will tell.
75 cases lol.

We've had weddings in this state with more cases.

China is crushing the COVID game.

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

How are u posted:

Chinese city of Xian sees Covid cases rise as it enters third day of lockdown
Residents are banned from leaving the city and non-essential workers can only leave home to buy food


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/25/chinese-city-of-xian-sees-covid-case-rise-as-it-enters-third-day-of-lockdown

Could it be the beginning of the end of "zero-Covid" China? Time will tell.

I am amazed how they have been so adamant on Covid zero policies when almost everyone else has abandoned them since it isn't feasible. If every single country introduced the same harsh measures of welding people in their homes for 6 weeks...maybe we can wipe out Covid. But as it stands, with Omicrom, even a handful of travellers entering the country will bring in cases.

studio mujahideen
May 3, 2005

Every other government giving up and letting people die isnt proof that its the right move, jesus.


Its hard to read that article and not get bummed that our government has neither the will or the way to protect people from COVID that strongly.

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep

How are u posted:

That's an abhorrent opinion. Why do you think so?

Mantis42 posted:

Also I was specifically referring to the liberals within China who made up the Tiananmen protests and comparing them to the Polish libs who started the Soviet Union down the road to dissolution. They may not have intended for reactionary elements to make up the post collapse governments but that was the natural end result.

Mantis42 posted:

It's a shame that a bunch of liberals weren't able to accomplish what they did for the Soviet Union and completely collapse China's standard of living and allow the IMF and CIA choose their leaders for them. What a tragedy /s

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Well, at least he's consistent about being happy pro-democracy student protesters were crushed beneath tank treads. :shrug:

Plastic_Gargoyle
Aug 3, 2007

Varinn posted:

Every other government giving up and letting people die isnt proof that its the right move, jesus.


Its hard to read that article and not get bummed that our government has neither the will or the way to protect people from COVID that strongly.

You're assuming that they haven't been lying their asses off about their numbers.

studio mujahideen
May 3, 2005

Even if theyre slightly worse than what they say, there's absolutely no way they're even remotely close to ours, or itd be affecting enough people we'd have some knowledge of it. They're absolutely crushing it compared to almost every other nation.

If the government was capable of that level of information control, we wouldnt know as much as we do about Xinjiang, yknow?

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
I can absolutely see some level of misreporting, though not as a deliberate central policy but just individual provinces trying to look better. But, for the huge NPIs that China uses to crack down on Covid, you can't be denying all covid cases.

It may be that a reported outbreak of 75 is maybe 100 or so in actuality, for example. But it's not Florida or Russia where excess deaths are skyrocketing as covid cases are obfuscated.

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

Varinn posted:

Every other government giving up and letting people die isnt proof that its the right move, jesus.


Its hard to read that article and not get bummed that our government has neither the will or the way to protect people from COVID that strongly.

bolded and italicized - my emphasis

I am actually glad our governments here in the west do not strip whatever civil liberties we have in order to combat a disease that isn't some extinction-level event. We had a shot back in early 2020 to kill Covid in the crib, but we failed and even countries with high levels of PHI compliance like South Korea and Singapore failed to stop it in its tracks due to international travel - a necessity in our global economy. But if you think what China is doing is cool and that level of authoritarianism is ok then by all means continue to do so. If you want to debate COVID policies and think the entire world should emulate China, then I invite you to take it to the COVID thread? In the mean time, China will continue to fail with its policy especially given Omicrom.

Benagain
Oct 10, 2007

Can you see that I am serious?
Fun Shoe

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

You're assuming that they haven't been lying their asses off about their numbers.

Remember all those stories the media was pushing back in Feb-April of 2020 about how China was underreporting the number of deaths and how you could totally tell because of excess crematorium demand etc?

Notice how you don't see any of those stories right now even though everyone would obviously love to push that narrative?

I would absolutely buy that the numbers might be massaged a little at the local level by some dumbass but if covid was anywhere near as out of control as it is in the united states there is legitimately no way that even the most brutal dictatorship on earth could cover it up.

Like, the US healthcare system is about to collapse for the third time, imagine how many dead people there would be if we had 3 times the population and even less rural infrastructure. There's just no way they could mask that.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

Benagain posted:

Notice how you don't see any of those stories right now even though everyone would obviously love to push that narrative?

Who is "everyone" and why is it "obvious" ?

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
Indecisive superhero choosing between "force everyone to test & lockdown, send them food" and "protect freedoms, murder 3.5 million citizens".

shades of blue
Sep 27, 2012

MikeC posted:

muh liberties

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

Neurolimal posted:

Indecisive superhero choosing between "force everyone to test & lockdown, send them food" and "protect freedoms, murder 3.5 million citizens".



lol, goons raging that they can't obtain the privilege of living under a repressive and authoritarian government just because they are all in on Covid zero.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

MikeC posted:

lol, goons raging that they can't obtain the privilege of living under a repressive and authoritarian government

My guy are you remotely familiar with how the United States treats the oppressed.

We have a relentlessly authoritarian government, it would be one hell of a welcome change to see that authoritarianism bent towards an end that preserves our lives.

studio mujahideen
May 3, 2005

If your opposition to China causes you to support policies that murder millions through negligence, you need to step back and re-examine your priorities. Saying "this kind of infrastructure and government support is enviable" is analogous to "I support everything China does" is just as jingoistic and short-sighted as supporting China simply because you hate the US.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth
As vaccinated individuals, our lives are preserved.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

How are u posted:

As vaccinated individuals, our lives are preserved.

Yeah who cares about the 800k

studio mujahideen
May 3, 2005

How are u posted:

As vaccinated individuals, our lives are preserved.

Abandoning people to die is always abhorrent. But this sort of cold, callous take isn't suited for the China thread, unless we're discussing how it IS enviable that China made testing and quarantine protocols actually viable to people, as a person who for months was unable to get easily tested because almost every testing site in my city was drive-thru.

BrigadierSensible
Feb 16, 2012

I've got a pocket full of cheese🧀, and a garden full of trees🌴.

Why does this always have to be said?

Just because you oppose China and the CCP, does not mean you must necessarily 100% support the US.

Nor indeed the nebulous concept of "the west".

China's oppression can be bad independent of how bad the US's oppression is as well as how bad Portugal's oppression is etc. and so forth.

This also applies to the different countries' COVID response.

How are u
May 19, 2005

by Azathoth

BrigadierSensible posted:

Why does this always have to be said?

Just because you oppose China and the CCP, does not mean you must necessarily 100% support the US.

Nor indeed the nebulous concept of "the west".

China's oppression can be bad independent of how bad the US's oppression is as well as how bad Portugal's oppression is etc. and so forth.

This also applies to the different countries' COVID response.

:emptyquote:

Plastic_Gargoyle
Aug 3, 2007

A big flaming stink posted:

My guy are you remotely familiar with how the United States treats the oppressed.

We have a relentlessly authoritarian government, it would be one hell of a welcome change to see that authoritarianism bent towards an end that preserves our lives.

Do you actually live in the US or China.

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fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

Do you actually live in the US or China.

i am from the us and i live in china and i agree with that guy

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