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My mother told me about how she's been using the same two kf94s that I gave her to try for months and months.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:05
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seeking: counterfeit cdc card dealer with local market cards
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Dec 26, 2021 05:06
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The measured case rate in my NYC neighborhood was 3% as measured the week ending Dec 18. Assume the actual case rate was very roughly ~5%, accounting for people who couldn't/wouldn't get tested + asymptomatic cases. It being the week leading into the Christmas holiday assume relatively few people changed their behavior to avoid infection, so a 2-ish doubling time is likely still about right. It's 1 week later, so roughly 3 additional doubling times since then. All together this implies roughly ~40% of my neighborhood is currently infected, aware of it or not. In 2-3 more days presumably the large majority will be infected, though have to think at that level the virus will have burned through the easy targets and will take longer to get at people taking precautions. Over the next 2-ish weeks these infected people will start testing positive and make it clear that yes in fact basically everyone's infected. All this seems correct to me and in line with what we know about the Omicron variant, but it also seems too outlandish to believe. Is all this sound, or am I missing something?
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Dec 26, 2021 05:06
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lets go jack box
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Dec 26, 2021 05:07
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HiroProtagonist posted:lets go jack box wearing found masks
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Dec 26, 2021 05:08
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Nocturtle posted:The measured case rate in my NYC neighborhood was 3% as measured the week ending Dec 18. Assume the actual case rate was very roughly ~5%, accounting for people who couldn't/wouldn't get tested + asymptomatic cases. It being the week leading into the Christmas holiday assume relatively few people changed their behavior to avoid infection, so a 2-ish doubling time is likely still about right. It's 1 week later, so roughly 3 additional doubling times since then. sounds mildly possible
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Dec 26, 2021 05:08
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Animal-Mother posted:it's kind of amazing that almost everybody in the world is still on "well, it won't happen to me" mode. and that this is round two of the holidays with covid and we're repeating every single mistake, again. McCracAttack posted:A friend gave me this 3D printed 2020 dumpster fire ornament last year and it just keeps getting funnier and funnier. DR FRASIER KRANG posted:i refuse to get covid and so I just won't get it 
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Dec 26, 2021 05:14
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Shiroc posted:My mother told me about how she's been using the same two kf94s that I gave her to try for months and months. ...mail her new ones
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Dec 26, 2021 05:15
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Shiroc posted:My mother told me about how she's been using the same two kf94s that I gave her to try for months and months. lol on the upside at least she's using them
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Dec 26, 2021 05:18
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Man, I’m both really anxious and really curious about what late January will bring. I was back in the office for a month in early November and was only sent home Monday this week when cases got bad. My coworkers are all convinced this is a temporary thing and we’ll be back in a few weeks lol. But from reading this thread I expect a few weeks from now to be an absolute bloodbath.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:19
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Helith posted:Looks delicious and you’re good people Steve Yun
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Dec 26, 2021 05:20
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McNugget Buddy posted:NY libs are realizing that no help is coming
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Dec 26, 2021 05:20
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Ccs posted:Man, I’m both really anxious and really curious about what late January will bring. I was back in the office for a month in early November and was only sent home Monday this week when cases got bad. My coworkers are all convinced this is a temporary thing and we’ll be back in a few weeks lol. But from reading this thread I expect a few weeks from now to be an absolute bloodbath. naw absolute mildbath
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Dec 26, 2021 05:20
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I have something nice to say about the 3M Secure Click HF-802SD for once: it works better under a keffiyeh than does the 6502 that I otherwise prefer. The ping pong paddle filters work well here, sweeping back around the sides and being somewhat flexible. Their greater surface area helps, too.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:24
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Goobish posted:Can you just be so mad it causes a fever? Sore throat from yelling uncontrollable? Hopefully that's it. as a person who has had some dumbass anger issues, I’ve absolutely yelled enough to give myself a sore throat.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:26
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Ccs posted:Man, I’m both really anxious and really curious about what late January will bring. I was back in the office for a month in early November and was only sent home Monday this week when cases got bad. My coworkers are all convinced this is a temporary thing and we’ll be back in a few weeks lol. But from reading this thread I expect a few weeks from now to be an absolute bloodbath. Quit my job a couple months ago in the covidmines because I knew poo poo would get bad and my money to stay home is gonna run out pretty soon. I have almost no capability of getting a job that doesn't require me to interface with way too many loving people every day. Stressed way the gently caress out.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:26
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McNugget Buddy posted:NY libs are realizing that no help is coming This is only because she is a republican. I'm sure these people were having a blast with their entire extended family with 0 masks indoors all day and grandpa always had that cough don't worry about it.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:27
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I have the 6500 with the quick release lever and I can go from around my neck to on my face and pressure checked in under 5 seconds. I went to the park today and it’s fun, like army basic training all over again. I’m thinking about trying out the Sunstrom mask that has one single strap that loops around both your neck and the head, it looks like it would be easier to don and doff very quickly, and having 2 exhale valves seems like it would be pretty comfortable. industrial supply has a box that includes the mask and a set of filters for $90 or so.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:29
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Nocturtle posted:The measured case rate in my NYC neighborhood was 3% as measured the week ending Dec 18. Assume the actual case rate was very roughly ~5%, accounting for people who couldn't/wouldn't get tested + asymptomatic cases. It being the week leading into the Christmas holiday assume relatively few people changed their behavior to avoid infection, so a 2-ish doubling time is likely still about right. It's 1 week later, so roughly 3 additional doubling times since then. that might be right, or not. i think you're missing the part where eventually omicron hits its internal kill limit. if you think of the population as a space and each point in that space as an individual person's probability of infection as a function of the totality of their biology and behavior, we can imagine omicron taking a leisurely stroll around the space and quickly finding the low hanging dense probabilities, but then gradually slows down as it exhausts the reservoir of open bidener superspreaders, going into the lower and lower probability max titers territory, until its forward reff reaches <1 and it gradually "burns out" mathematically. since inferentially we don't and cannot know from the fog of war where we are on the curve, especially in light of testing capacity limits, my advice is to stop doing math, but if you for some reason feel compelled to do math, do logistic math i guess.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:30
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Platystemon posted:I have something nice to say about the 3M Secure Click HF-802SD for once: it works better under a keffiyeh than does the 6502 that I otherwise prefer. there are some hotties on that google image search
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Dec 26, 2021 05:30
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 slap another 400 onto NSW’s tallya hospital in Sydney told 400 people they were negative when they were actually positive oopsie what’s the r0 of this thing again?
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Dec 26, 2021 05:31
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Platystemon posted:I have something nice to say about the 3M Secure Click HF-802SD for once: it works better under a keffiyeh than does the 6502 that I otherwise prefer. How do you find the positive pressure checks with the 6502? I got one recently and cannot get the positive pressure check to work at all, something I find totally trivial to do with the 7502. edit: Zodium posted:since inferentially we don't and cannot know from the fog of war where we are on the curve, especially in light of testing capacity limits, my advice is to stop doing math, but if you for some reason feel compelled to do math, do logistic math i guess. Nocturtle fucked around with this message at 05:42 on Dec 26, 2021 |
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Dec 26, 2021 05:32
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https://twitter.com/MarkMcGowanMP/status/1474961699266433024?s=20 maybe perth managed to keep it under control?
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Dec 26, 2021 05:35
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External Organs posted:At this point I'll be happy just to outlive the Simpsons
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Dec 26, 2021 05:35
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Helith posted:
lol jesus christ
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Dec 26, 2021 05:37
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Helith posted:
So that means they've infected at least several thousand by now, I take it? 
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Dec 26, 2021 05:40
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crepeface posted:https://twitter.com/MarkMcGowanMP/status/1474961699266433024?s=20 Isn't the Perth outbreak delta from that French backpacker?
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Dec 26, 2021 05:43
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ram dass in hell posted:600+1400=2000, dumbass I think you'll find that when you take into account the 600, the first 1200, and the 300 Bush gave us all back in 2001 that means each of us owes Joe Biden $100.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:44
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Taitale posted:Isn't the Perth outbreak delta from that French backpacker? yeah
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Dec 26, 2021 05:44
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center for disease continuation
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Dec 26, 2021 05:45
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center for disease catching
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Dec 26, 2021 05:49
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Nocturtle posted:How do you find the positive pressure checks with the 6502? I got one recently and cannot get the positive pressure check to work at all, something I find totally trivial to do with the 7502. Air will always leak between the the harness assembly and the the body of the respirator. This area is past the exhalation valve and isn’t designed to be airtight. It’s fine you keep exhaling and can’t maintain pressure, so long as nothing is getting out between your face and the silicone.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:49
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when it comes to people's safety, money wins out every time https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cpNUqNe0U5g
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Dec 26, 2021 05:50
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So what would it take to actually end industrial civilization in the West? We've already proven we'll let something spread as long as it doesn't immediately seem serious. I'm thinking take the infectious of omicron and combine it with the fatality rate of MERS. Now here's the hard part. You would have to have a 3 to 4 week delay minimum between getting infected and having serious symptoms. Long enough for everyone to say it's mild while it seeds throughout the world. Is such a thing possible? Who knows! Let's keep rolling the dice.
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Dec 26, 2021 05:50
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center for dying coronaishly
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Dec 26, 2021 05:50
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Ccs posted:Man, I’m both really anxious and really curious about what late January will bring. I was back in the office for a month in early November and was only sent home Monday this week when cases got bad. My coworkers are all convinced this is a temporary thing and we’ll be back in a few weeks lol. But from reading this thread I expect a few weeks from now to be an absolute bloodbath. I hate making predictions but the doubling time is 2-3 days even with vaccines, how can it be anything but a bloodbath in a few weeks
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Dec 26, 2021 05:51
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WorldsStongestNerd posted:So what would it take to actually end industrial civilization in the West? We've already proven we'll let something spread as long as it doesn't immediately seem serious. I'm thinking take the infectious of omicron and combine it with the fatality rate of MERS. Now here's the hard part. You would have to have a 3 to 4 week delay minimum between getting infected and having serious symptoms. Long enough for everyone to say it's mild while it seeds throughout the world. an omicron level contagious disease that causes blindness might be a simple reason. the west is not set up at all for accessibility
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Dec 26, 2021 05:52
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Covid Denial Central
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Dec 26, 2021 05:52
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External Organs posted:At this point I'll be happy just to outlive the Simpsons inshallah
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Dec 26, 2021 05:53
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386-SX 25Mhz VGA posted:feels a bit like January/February 2020 when it became super obvious from this thread the huge magnitude of what was coming, then watching it actually happen This makes me nervous, out of Ontario:  50% of current hospitalisations are fully vaccinated. https://covid-19.ontario.ca/data
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