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Dik Hz
Feb 22, 2004

Fun with Science

PurpleXVI posted:

Waste people's money and exploit people with gambling addictions while doing damage to the environment.
:capitalism:

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SpelledBackwards
Jan 7, 2001

I found this image on the Internet, perhaps you've heard of it? It's been around for a while I hear.

B33rChiller posted:

A+ Av post combo

While everyone else was late to the forums party, I played a 20-year buy and hold strategy with my avatar :smugbert:

BonerGhost
Mar 9, 2007

Mans posted:

People just want to gamble but are afraid of casinos it seems.

The bitch of it is that casinos are regulated and have to let you win sometimes by law.

Too bad we don't teach probability in primary school. Of course, none of the predatory industries relying on ignorant people would appreciate that.

Dik Hz
Feb 22, 2004

Fun with Science

BonerGhost posted:

The bitch of it is that casinos are regulated and have to let you win sometimes by law.

Too bad we don't teach probability in primary school. Of course, none of the predatory industries relying on ignorant people would appreciate that.
The number of people with STEM PhDs that don’t understand basic probability is too high for me to have any faith in it being taught in primary school.

drk
Jan 16, 2005

Mans posted:

People just want to gamble but are afraid of casinos it seems.

I think many people are smart enough to realize casino gambling is a money loser, but stupid enough to think that crypto is a sure thing.

DarkHorse
Dec 13, 2006

Vroom vroom, BEEP BEEP!
Nap Ghost
Related:

The junk collector
Aug 10, 2005
Hey do you want that motherboard?
Look at all these rubes chasing NFTs when they should be getting in on the floor of the new hottness that is DAOs.

D34THROW
Jan 29, 2012

RETAIL RETAIL LISTEN TO ME BITCH ABOUT RETAIL
:rant:
So what happens if you save someone else's NFT and then change metadata or one pixel so that the hashes no longer match? :allears:

NFTs have to be one of the stupidest loving things to come out of blockchain technology or the internet as a whole, ever.

Residency Evil
Jul 28, 2003

4/5 godo... Schumi

D34THROW posted:

So what happens if you save someone else's NFT and then change metadata or one pixel so that the hashes no longer match? :allears:

NFTs have to be one of the stupidest loving things to come out of blockchain technology or the internet as a whole, ever.

I don’t think you understand NFTs. It’s actually way way way dumber than that.

Blue Moonlight
Apr 28, 2005
Bitter and Sarcastic

D34THROW posted:

So what happens if you save someone else's NFT and then change metadata or one pixel so that the hashes no longer match? :allears:

See, you’d think that would matter. But it doesn’t, because you don’t quote-unquote own the image hash, you own the right to have your name associated with a URL.

And no, you don’t control what image is hosted at that URL either for said purchase. There’s nothing stopping one of these hosts from replacing your ugly primate drawing with, say, an image of GOATSE.

Pham Nuwen
Oct 30, 2010



notwithoutmyanus posted:

Yes, indirectly but yeah. I control a hedge fund under said butt exchange, and I legitimately need to spin up my own exchange and call it butt.exchange or rear end.exchange. I think that'd be fun.

Separately/in addition I also run a private biz with algobots as well. I have teams of developers but even I'm not going to engage the nft flippers for that service. I'm just basically doing other things while bots make money.

One thing to remember about the bitcoin ponzi is it has global reach (Sans china in very few instances only - plenty still using crypto in China daily so the ban did nothing), so there seems to be a very large supply of people willing to gamble away their money so far, I don't think we've hit peak in any way yet. I'd suspect May or June before bigger folks than myself decide to pull the plug on this cycle. I thought it would be December but narrative is now "extended cycle".

Guys, I know crypto is really dumb, yep, we're all agreed on that. But I'm making money from it right now, so I'm invested even though everyone else in the space is a dummy, lol. I'm not saying you should invest, though--unless you're really aware that crypto is stupid, the way I am. Only invest in crypto if you're self-aware like me, because then you'll make money like me and my clients. I think there's only 5 or 6 months left to make money in crypto, so if you're in on the joke like me, you can make money for a little while. PMs are open if you have questions, I guess :shobon:

BonerGhost posted:

Too bad we don't teach probability in primary school. Of course, none of the predatory industries relying on ignorant people would appreciate that.

We ran the numbers on a bunch of casino games in one of my high school math classes, eventually figuring out which game will lose all your money the slowest... but yeah I look at how we spent a year in loving geometry vs. a few days on the most basic probability/statistics poo poo, and I think it should've been the other way around. I'm not one to whine about teaching "useless" subjects (read: not necessary to be a Doordash driver)... but I never used geometry stuff again after I took trig, while I use statistics all the loving time.

ultrafilter
Aug 23, 2007

It's okay if you have any questions.


The American high school math curriculum is designed to produce engineers who can build rockets to beat the Soviets to the moon and it's past due for a refresh, but any reforms worth passing are going to require us to retire a generation of math teachers and recruit people who have the option of pursuing a less awful career.

D34THROW
Jan 29, 2012

RETAIL RETAIL LISTEN TO ME BITCH ABOUT RETAIL
:rant:

Pham Nuwen posted:

We ran the numbers on a bunch of casino games in one of my high school math classes, eventually figuring out which game will lose all your money the slowest...

I'm hoping it's properly-played blackjack, because I adore blackjack and will, before I die, play in a casino :shobon: I'm not talking full-on card counting, but maybe a general awareness of face cards versus number cards remaining in the shoe, hit/stand/double versus various dealer upcards, etc.

lament.cfg
Dec 28, 2006

we have such posts
to show you




It’s single-0 roulette

FMguru
Sep 10, 2003

peed on;
sexually
IIRC, the casino games where you lost money the slowest were in order:

- Blackjack playing basic strategy (lose about 1% - i.e., gamble $100 and get back $99)
- Certain craps bets were 50/50 breakeven odds
- Video poker/blackjack machines with progressive jackpots when the jackpot got high enough could be positive money
- Blackjack with card counting is positive money (but you have to be very careful not to get caught)

bob dobbs is dead
Oct 8, 2017

I love peeps
Nap Ghost
poker, if youre cool w stealing money from old peeps

Mantle
May 15, 2004

FMguru posted:

IIRC, the casino games where you lost money the slowest were in order:

- Blackjack playing basic strategy (lose about 1% - i.e., gamble $100 and get back $99)
- Certain craps bets were 50/50 breakeven odds
- Video poker/blackjack machines with progressive jackpots when the jackpot got high enough could be positive money
- Blackjack with card counting is positive money (but you have to be very careful not to get caught)

If blackjack is -0.01 EV, then isn't that lower than a crap bet at +0.00 EV?

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog

Mantle posted:

If blackjack is -0.01 EV, then isn't that lower than a crap bet at +0.00 EV?

The crap bets that have no house edge (the numbers) require you to have placed a bet on the pass line, which DOES have a house advantage

FMguru
Sep 10, 2003

peed on;
sexually

Mantle posted:

If blackjack is -0.01 EV, then isn't that lower than a crap bet at +0.00 EV?
The order is lowest to highest EV

Nephzinho
Jan 25, 2008





FMguru posted:

IIRC, the casino games where you lost money the slowest were in order:

- Blackjack playing basic strategy (lose about 1% - i.e., gamble $100 and get back $99)
- Certain craps bets were 50/50 breakeven odds
- Video poker/blackjack machines with progressive jackpots when the jackpot got high enough could be positive money
- Blackjack with card counting is positive money (but you have to be very careful not to get caught)

I vaguely recall just betting the pass line on craps was the slowest way to lose your money in a casino while you drank as much as you could.

Magnetic North
Dec 15, 2008

Beware the Forest's Mushrooms
This all sounds complicated. Just play Baccarat and don't bet on ties. You can't get a positive expected value but you also don't have to remember or understand poo poo.

Cerekk
Sep 24, 2004

Oh my god, JC!

Nephzinho posted:

I vaguely recall just betting the pass line on craps was the slowest way to lose your money in a casino while you drank as much as you could.

If you play pass and don't pass at the same time, you will never win any money but will only lose money when a 12 is rolled on the come-out roll (on a 12 your pass line bet will lose and your don't pass bet will push). At typical table speeds this means you'll lose a bet about once every two hours.

Some casinos won't let you play both sides and also it would be boring as hell standing there doing nothing while everybody else is making bets all over the table. But if standing around a smoke-filled table drinking well liquor for hours is your idea of a good time, you can indeed do it while losing only $5-10/hour or so, assuming your casino gives free drinks and you tip the bare minimum required to continue to get service.

lifg
Dec 4, 2000
<this tag left blank>
Muldoon
Why are you all going to casinos with the intention to not lose money? Isn’t that the point?

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog
Casinos are objectively awful places and there's an ongoing pandemic so it's really no surprise people are YOLO-ing crypto and stock options

Nephzinho
Jan 25, 2008





lifg posted:

Why are you all going to casinos with the intention to not lose money? Isn’t that the point?

Every few years one of my brothers would decide they were going to do something big like a birthday or a bachelor party at a casino and I would be forced to go, where my goal was to drink heavily and lose as little money as possible while entertaining myself watching a brother's dumbass friend go to the atm over and over again.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

https://youtu.be/awcx-gTQDLM

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.

The only thing worse than a casino are playing slot machines in a gas station or fast food place. Illinois legalized slot machines for the whole state and all sorts of places started putting in 1-2 slot machines in a corner. Always depressing seeing someone sit in a gas station for an hour losing money.

Silly Newbie
Jul 25, 2007
How do I?

lifg posted:

Why are you all going to casinos with the intention to not lose money? Isn’t that the point?

You go to casinos with the intention of spending money for entertainment. If you actually win and take home more money than you started with, count that the same as finding $100 on the sidewalk after a movie.

Switchback
Jul 23, 2001

Bird in a Blender posted:

The only thing worse than a casino are playing slot machines in a gas station or fast food place. Illinois legalized slot machines for the whole state and all sorts of places started putting in 1-2 slot machines in a corner. Always depressing seeing someone sit in a gas station for an hour losing money.

Back in rural North Carolina we had a corner store with video poker machines and there would be people there at 6am betting for tokens or whatever the reward was. You couldn’t gamble for cash but I think people would make deals with the shop owner to exchange for cigarettes and poo poo. In those days you could smoke inside too, weird now remembering going into a gas station where the clerk would be smoking.


NFTs are so, so stupid. I have a friend high on NFT farts and he describes it as a financial product, rather than the purchase of a good. He doesn’t care if someone steals the picture of his stupid ape or whatever, he views it as “now I’m invested in the weed industry” as if was a share in an ETF. He also views it as a ticket to admission to a social club that also has events or physical locations. Like his NFT purchase is the membership card that gets him into any stoner ape club in the world.

I don’t know if any “clubs” or “events” actually exist, nor is it at all clear how an NFT signifies “investment” in any industry. But I found it interesting how little he cared about the idea of “owning” the actual image, like that wasn’t the point at all. For him it’s a shitcoin with a cute avatar. He genuinely thinks he will trade NFTs for a year and make so much money he won’t have to work ever again. It’s tough seeing a friend fall for a get rich quick grift.

DarkHorse
Dec 13, 2006

Vroom vroom, BEEP BEEP!
Nap Ghost

Bird in a Blender posted:

The only thing worse than a casino are playing slot machines in a gas station or fast food place. Illinois legalized slot machines for the whole state and all sorts of places started putting in 1-2 slot machines in a corner. Always depressing seeing someone sit in a gas station for an hour losing money.

Seeing obviously down and out people with a stack of scratch offs is basically the same thing :smith:

withak
Jan 15, 2003


Fun Shoe

Bird in a Blender posted:

The only thing worse than a casino are playing slot machines in a gas station or fast food place. Illinois legalized slot machines for the whole state and all sorts of places started putting in 1-2 slot machines in a corner. Always depressing seeing someone sit in a gas station for an hour losing money.

I have a Facebook Friend From Back Home who regularly posts pictures of his big winning receipts from the gas station slot machines. Everyone else is like "wow how are you always so lucky" while I'm in awe at how much money must have to be feeding into that machine to come up with so many decent-sized payouts.

JUST MAKING CHILI
Feb 14, 2008
Betting the pass line is probably the lowest house advantage in a casino, 1.4140 house edge.

If the come out roll sets a point on 4-6, 8-10 you can lay odds and further decrease the house’s edge - the higher odds the table offers the lower the edge (but higher the stakes). You could take a buy bet that’s basically the same thing but you have to watch out for the juice, lower percentage means better odds. If lay bets didn’t have any juice they’d be neutral EV with no house edge.

GoGoGadgetChris
Mar 18, 2010

i powder a
granite monument
in a soundless flash

showering the grass
with molten drops of
its gold inlay

sending smoking
chips of stone
skipping into the fog
Craps is for 35 year old boomers

Democratic Pirate
Feb 17, 2010

Gambling chat almost led me to report a former client contact contact for fraud risk. The conversation started out talking about how fun blackjack can be and ended with them reviewing all the casino options within a day’s drive and how often they go, their foolproof strategies for winning slots, and their substantial rolling scratch off balance at the convenience store on the first floor of the office building. I may have been a narc if they had had any access to accounting or finance privileges.

PurpleXVI
Oct 30, 2011

Spewing insults, pissing off all your neighbors, betraying your allies, backing out of treaties and accords, and generally screwing over the global environment?
ALL PART OF MY BRILLIANT STRATEGY!

Democratic Pirate posted:

Gambling chat almost led me to report a former client contact contact for fraud risk. The conversation started out talking about how fun blackjack can be and ended with them reviewing all the casino options within a day’s drive and how often they go, their foolproof strategies for winning slots, and their substantial rolling scratch off balance at the convenience store on the first floor of the office building. I may have been a narc if they had had any access to accounting or finance privileges.

Someone at my former job made off with 75k because of gambling debts, only got caught because he kept doing it even after they became aware money was slipping away somehow and put safeguards in place. If he'd just cut it at that point he'd have gotten away with it scot free.

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

PurpleXVI posted:

Someone at my former job made off with 75k because of gambling debts, only got caught because he kept doing it even after they became aware money was slipping away somehow and put safeguards in place. If he'd just cut it at that point he'd have gotten away with it scot free.

They don't call it an addiction for nothing :/

MisterOblivious
Mar 17, 2010

by sebmojo

Nephzinho posted:

I vaguely recall just betting the pass line on craps was the slowest way to lose your money in a casino while you drank as much as you could.

And they won't "rate" your play. So you don't get poo poo like buffet coupons. People look forward to those "comps," that nowhere cover their losses, but with "free" drinks no other comps are "earned" on pass line+odds players.

Don't Pass has a 0.01% better house edge, but it's likely to piss off everybody around you.

Baccarat, the "James Bond" game, has the lowest house edge of any casino game. Good luck finding a low stakes table, lol. The high stakes tables the casinos open have all sorts of supertitions involved like ripping up cards the players don't like and tracking cards and bets on paper. That sort of behavior is tolerated with the amount of money they throw down per hand.

The SituAsian
Oct 29, 2006

I'm a mess in distress
But we're still the best dressed
I would think Pai Gow (poker or tiles) would be a slow money loser because even though the house edge is like a percent and a half higher than "properly played" blackjack most of the time you push with the dealer and the game is way slower just in terms of hands per hour.

D34THROW
Jan 29, 2012

RETAIL RETAIL LISTEN TO ME BITCH ABOUT RETAIL
:rant:

bob dobbs is dead posted:

poker, if youre cool w stealing money from old peeps

My brother lives in Vegas and plays "professional poker" when he's not working a casino cage 😂

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TraderStav
May 19, 2006

It feels like I was standing my entire life and I just sat down
On the other hand, there's so many promotions and incentives right now (that are not free drinks/rooms/comps) in the online sportsbetting/casino space that you can make a lot of money if you restrict yourself to only playing when there is an EV advantage. The vast majority of people will not, so that's the trap.

Gigantic disclaimer/warning: you must be able to be extremely disciplined and regimented in your approach. Never chasing losses and adhering strictly to the promotion or strategy when the EV is >$0. Never play anything with a below <$0 EV or 100% RTP.

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