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Which horse film is your favorite?
This poll is closed.
Black Beauty 2 1.06%
A Talking Pony!?! 4 2.13%
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor 117 62.23%
War Horse 11 5.85%
Mr. Hands 54 28.72%
Total: 188 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Post
  • Reply
Pingui
Jun 4, 2006

WTF?

Potato Salad posted:

Is the idea that the virus will go away if people stop looking for it? Why do this?

It would be a good SCP concept.

Well part of it was that ~18% of their healthcare workers were with COVID out at the same time, so they desperately needed to change the isolation protocol (if you click the link you will see the changes to the isolation protocol directly beneath).

But also that the ZA tourist industry got waylaid again and they needed other countries to stop banning flights.

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James Garfield
May 5, 2012
Am I a manipulative abuser in real life, or do I just roleplay one on the Internet for fun? You decide!

Potato Salad posted:

Is the idea that the virus will go away if people stop looking for it? Why do this?

It would be a good SCP concept.

Contact tracing isn't very useful if most cases aren't being identified.

edit: also the original post about South Africa being at its highest death rates appears to be wrong, the peak was in late December.

James Garfield fucked around with this message at 02:28 on Feb 10, 2022

UCS Hellmaker
Mar 29, 2008
Toilet Rascal

mobby_6kl posted:

Does it really take people 2 months to die? Or is it more likely there are undetected cases?

Yes, we had one guy that stuck out for 3 months, covid may not be explicitly what killed someone at that point, but the overall cause of death is covid complications due to lungs becoming swiss cheese and not being able to come off a vent.

Got more then a few of them still tbh

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 10 February 2022

I don't know what the gently caress. Three weeks of "Monday high slow decline over the week now replaced by cases exploded on the 6th and goit worse. I assume it's removing restrictions on 1 February, 5 days later cases exploded.

Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day
pre:
	Actual	Reported	New	Total
Date	Cases	Cases	Reinf.	Hosp.	Hosp.	ICU		Vent		Dead
==============================================================================================
Feb 10	   ---	53,747	3,205	  415	1,354	33 (-1)		12 (+1)		29
Feb 09	22,472	55,120	3,262	  451	1,332	34 (-5)		11 (-4)		21
Feb 08	55,412	49,798	2,759	  419	1,315	39 (+8)		15 (+3)		18
Feb 07	57,345	34,849	1,836	  314	1,294	31 (-3)		12 (+0)		28
Feb 06	42,234	36,512	1,841	  307	1,203	34 (+3)		12 (+0)		18
Feb 05	33,604	39,190	2,061	  370	1,138	31 (-2)		12 (-1)		35
Feb 04	37,192	40.179	2,241	  376	1,156	33 (+6)		13 (+1)		17
Feb 03	39,792	44,225	2,513	  365	1,116	27 (+1)		12 (-4)		21
Feb 02	40,476	55,001	2,992	  343	1,092	26 (-2)		16 (+2)		20
Feb 01	46,118	45,366	2,515	  337	1,070	28 (-4)		14 (-1)		15
Jan 31	56,397	29,084	1,478	  255	1,028	32 (+1)		15 (+0)		17
Jan 30	34,881	36,196	2,055	  231	  948	31 (-4)		15 (-4)		21
Jan 29	29,907	41,083	2,332	  271	  922	35 (+2)		19 (+0)		17
Jan 28	38,122	53,655	3,263	  305	  967	33 (-4)		19 (-3)		26
Jan 27	39,067	51,033	3,119	  318	  955	37 (-3)		22 (-3)		18
Jan 26	41,695	46,747	3,028	  298	  938	40 (-4)		25 (-3)		14
Jan 25	48,640	43,734	2,856	  318	  918	44 (+1)		28 (-1)		14
Jan 24	53,663	40,348	2,501	  242	  894	43 (+1)		29 (+2)		13
Jan 23	38,017	42,018	2,755	  215	  813	42 (-3)		27 (-1)		12
Jan 22	34,713	36,120	2,285	  220	  781	45 (+1)		28 (-1)		25
Jan 21	37,409	46,831	3,160	  244	  813	44 (-5)		29 (+1)		21
Jan 20	37,420	40,626	2,639	  232	  825	49 (-1)		28 (-2)		15
Jan 19	37,595	38,759	2,285	  248	  821	50 (+1)		30 (+1)		16
Jan 18	40,303	33,493	2,002	  264	  810	49 (-3)		29 (-8)		14
Jan 17	41,486	28,780	1,815	  203	  802	52 (-7)		37 (-4)		11
Jan 16	28,179	26,169	1,614	  159	  734	59 (+0)		41 (+1)		16 
Jan 15	25,188	25,034	1,644	  202	  711	59 (-1)		40 (+4)		16
Jan 14	25,883	23,614	1,519	  215	  757	60 (-4)		36 (-2)		15
Jan 13	23,776	25,751	1,822	  194	  755	64 (-9)		38 (-8)		20
Jan 12	22,575	24,343	1,614	  215	  751	73 (+0)		46 (+0)		25
Jan 11	22,656	22,936	1,459	  181	  754	73 (-1)		46 (-1)		14
Jan 10	23,244	14,414	  941	  156	  777	74 (-3)		47 (-3)		 9 
Jan 09	16,330	19,248	1,327	  126	  723	77 (-1) 	50 (-2) 	14 
Jan 08	13,573	12,588	  984	  161	  730	78 (+0) 	52 (-1) 	28 
Jan 07	14,434	18,261	1,482	  186	  755	78 (-4) 	53 (+4) 	10  
Jan 06	15,417	25,995	2,027	  161	  756	82 (+2) 	47 (-2) 	11  
Jan 05	17,577	28,283	2,083	  204	  784	80 (+3) 	49 (+2) 	15
Jan 04	23,698	23,372	1,701	  229	  792	77 (+4) 	47 (+1) 	15
Jan 03*	25,617	 8,801	  532	  169	  770	73 (-3) 	46 (-4) 	 5
Jan 02  19,906 	 7,550	  404	  163	  709	76 (+3) 	50 (+1) 	15
Jan 01   8,631	20,885	1,049	  139	  647	73 (+0) 	49 (+0) 	 5
Dec 31   9,728	17,605	1,090	  177	  641	73 (-2) 	49 (-1) 	11
Dec 30  19,927	21,403	1,123	  178	  665	75 (-2) 	50 (-2) 	 9
Dec 29  17,245	23,228	1,205	  173	  675	77 (+6) 	52 (+2) 	16
Dec 28  21,955	13,000	  670	  177	  666	71 (+1) 	50 (+4) 	14
Dec 27  22,616	16,164	  639	  115	  608	70 (-1) 	46 (-2) 	 7
Dec 26  10,965	14,844	  644	  123	  579	71 (-2) 	43 (+1) 	13
Dec 25   7,853	10,027	  463	   86	  522	73 (-1) 	44 (+5) 	10
Dec 24   7,054	11,229	  527	  134	  509	74 (+2) 	39 (+1) 	14
Dec 23  12,605	12,487	  613	  158	  541	72 (+6) 	38 (+1)		15
Dec 22  11,591	13,386	  531	  126	  524	66 (-1) 	37 (+2)		14 
Dec 21  13,011	13,558	  501	  121	  526	67 (+1) 	35 (+2)		17
Dec 20  13,288	10,082	  ---	   85	  581	66 (+3) 	33 (-2)		 8
Dec 19  10,231 	 8,212
Dec 18  10,049 	 8,594
Dec 17  10.614	11,194
Dec 16  10,171 	 9,999
Dec 15  10,775 	 8,773	  ---	   96	  508	66 (+0)		43 (-3)		 9
Dec 13  10,294 	 7,799	  ---	   61	  480	64 (-1)		42 (+0)		 9
Dec 12   6,986 	 5,989	  ---	   82	  468	65 (+5)		42 (+6)	 	 9
Dec 08   6,560 	 6,629	  ---	   72	  461	66 (-1)		38 (-1)		 7
Dec 01   4,464 	 5,120	  ---	   88	  439	35 (+1)		35 (+1)		14



Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks)
pre:
Date      		Bed Availability
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31 January  	313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available
24 January  	322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available
17 January  	328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available
10 January  	331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available
03 January  	331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available
27 December	316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 
20 December 	317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December 	319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
06 December 	310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November	318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
Sourcea:
https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Rust Martialis posted:

Denmark - 10 February 2022

I don't know what the gently caress. Three weeks of "Monday high slow decline over the week now replaced by cases exploded on the 6th and goit worse. I assume it's removing restrictions on 1 February, 5 days later cases exploded.


Probably most people deciding to get tested on Monday morning after a weekend of whatever the Danish Denny's equivalent is. But yeah, I'm watching you with dismay as all the big blue state governors here are deciding to rescind a lot of mandates and we're nowhere near as vaccinated as you all.

StratGoatCom
Aug 6, 2019

Our security is guaranteed by being able to melt the eyeballs of any other forum's denizens at 15 minutes notice


:same: in canada.

BOHICA, here comes wave 2 of 2022, pretty drat likely.

John_A_Tallon
Nov 22, 2000

Oh my! Check out that mitre!

Oracle posted:

Probably most people deciding to get tested on Monday morning after a weekend of whatever the Danish Denny's equivalent is. But yeah, I'm watching you with dismay as all the big blue state governors here are deciding to rescind a lot of mandates and we're nowhere near as vaccinated as you all.

It's so breathtakingly stupid. I blame all the assholes screaming about how "mild" Omicron is.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
Oh boy it's time to repost the NPI cycle chart!

https://twitter.com/CherylRofer/status/1490894042040877056?t=weXM6tWtn7k7MuN-IJwSPQ&s=19

ExcessBLarg!
Sep 1, 2001
What's driving the blue state mandate repeal push anyways? Is there some centralized force here?

Why blue states? I assume it's because red states don't have mandates in place to begin with.

Our city's mask mandate policy is that it won't be removed until we're in CDC yellow for three weeks. City officials just reiterated that. However, since enforcement doesn't exist I'd say it's no more than 50% masking out there, but of those it probably is 25% "serious masking" (N95s).

Edit: Referring to the states with mandates as "blue states" is annoying because it's still casually politicizing NPIs. Just say "states with mandates currently in effect" or something like that.

ExcessBLarg! fucked around with this message at 17:49 on Feb 11, 2022

PostNouveau
Sep 3, 2011

VY till I die
Grimey Drawer

ExcessBLarg! posted:

What's driving the blue state mandate repeal push anyways? Is there some centralized force here?

It's called Capitalism, and once you contract it, it's often fatal.

ExcessBLarg!
Sep 1, 2001
Sure but Capitalism doesn't really enact change on the order of days.

enki42
Jun 11, 2001
#ATMLIVESMATTER

Put this Nazi-lover on ignore immediately!
Not sure how similar polling is in the states, but the second that dropping all restrictions got to > 50% approval here in Canada every premier is rushing to drop mandates as fast as they possibly can.

to paraphrase a dril tweet:

quote:

turning a big dial taht says "COVID deaths" on it and constantly looking back at the audience for approval like a contestant on the price is right

Involuntary Sparkle
Aug 12, 2004

Chemo-kitties can have “accidents” too!

ExcessBLarg! posted:

What's driving the blue state mandate repeal push anyways? Is there some centralized force here?

Why blue states? I assume it's because red states don't have mandates in place to begin with.


In Washington it's the republicans and republican lites screeching and screaming about it.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 11 February 2022

More cases, more deaths, net drop in ICU and vents again. I really suspect the last longer-term Delta patients are dying in ICU and we're approaching a Omicron steady-state. I wonder if we can see how many have died IN ICU vs IN HOSPITAL....

Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day
pre:
	Actual	Reported	New	Total
Date	Cases	Cases	Reinf.	Hosp.	Hosp.	ICU		Vent		Dead
==============================================================================================
Feb 11	   ---	48,170	2,968	  421	1,379	32 (-1)		 9 (+1)		24
Feb 10	20,110	53,747	3,205	  415	1,354	33 (-1)		12 (+1)		29
Feb 09	50,214	55,120	3,262	  451	1,332	34 (-5)		11 (-4)		21
Feb 08	55,568	49,798	2,759	  419	1,315	39 (+8)		15 (+3)		18
Feb 07	57,348	34,849	1,836	  314	1,294	31 (-3)		12 (+0)		28
Feb 06	42,234	36,512	1,841	  307	1,203	34 (+3)		12 (+0)		18
Feb 05	33,604	39,190	2,061	  370	1,138	31 (-2)		12 (-1)		35
Feb 04	37,192	40.179	2,241	  376	1,156	33 (+6)		13 (+1)		17
Feb 03	39,792	44,225	2,513	  365	1,116	27 (+1)		12 (-4)		21
Feb 02	40,476	55,001	2,992	  343	1,092	26 (-2)		16 (+2)		20
Feb 01	46,118	45,366	2,515	  337	1,070	28 (-4)		14 (-1)		15
Jan 31	56,397	29,084	1,478	  255	1,028	32 (+1)		15 (+0)		17
Jan 30	34,881	36,196	2,055	  231	  948	31 (-4)		15 (-4)		21
Jan 29	29,907	41,083	2,332	  271	  922	35 (+2)		19 (+0)		17
Jan 28	38,122	53,655	3,263	  305	  967	33 (-4)		19 (-3)		26
Jan 27	39,067	51,033	3,119	  318	  955	37 (-3)		22 (-3)		18
Jan 26	41,695	46,747	3,028	  298	  938	40 (-4)		25 (-3)		14
Jan 25	48,640	43,734	2,856	  318	  918	44 (+1)		28 (-1)		14
Jan 24	53,663	40,348	2,501	  242	  894	43 (+1)		29 (+2)		13
Jan 23	38,017	42,018	2,755	  215	  813	42 (-3)		27 (-1)		12
Jan 22	34,713	36,120	2,285	  220	  781	45 (+1)		28 (-1)		25
Jan 21	37,409	46,831	3,160	  244	  813	44 (-5)		29 (+1)		21
Jan 20	37,420	40,626	2,639	  232	  825	49 (-1)		28 (-2)		15
Jan 19	37,595	38,759	2,285	  248	  821	50 (+1)		30 (+1)		16
Jan 18	40,303	33,493	2,002	  264	  810	49 (-3)		29 (-8)		14
Jan 17	41,486	28,780	1,815	  203	  802	52 (-7)		37 (-4)		11
Jan 16	28,179	26,169	1,614	  159	  734	59 (+0)		41 (+1)		16 
Jan 15	25,188	25,034	1,644	  202	  711	59 (-1)		40 (+4)		16
Jan 14	25,883	23,614	1,519	  215	  757	60 (-4)		36 (-2)		15
Jan 13	23,776	25,751	1,822	  194	  755	64 (-9)		38 (-8)		20
Jan 12	22,575	24,343	1,614	  215	  751	73 (+0)		46 (+0)		25
Jan 11	22,656	22,936	1,459	  181	  754	73 (-1)		46 (-1)		14
Jan 10	23,244	14,414	  941	  156	  777	74 (-3)		47 (-3)		 9 
Jan 09	16,330	19,248	1,327	  126	  723	77 (-1) 	50 (-2) 	14 
Jan 08	13,573	12,588	  984	  161	  730	78 (+0) 	52 (-1) 	28 
Jan 07	14,434	18,261	1,482	  186	  755	78 (-4) 	53 (+4) 	10  
Jan 06	15,417	25,995	2,027	  161	  756	82 (+2) 	47 (-2) 	11  
Jan 05	17,577	28,283	2,083	  204	  784	80 (+3) 	49 (+2) 	15
Jan 04	23,698	23,372	1,701	  229	  792	77 (+4) 	47 (+1) 	15
Jan 03*	25,617	 8,801	  532	  169	  770	73 (-3) 	46 (-4) 	 5
Jan 02  19,906 	 7,550	  404	  163	  709	76 (+3) 	50 (+1) 	15
Jan 01   8,631	20,885	1,049	  139	  647	73 (+0) 	49 (+0) 	 5
Dec 31   9,728	17,605	1,090	  177	  641	73 (-2) 	49 (-1) 	11
Dec 30  19,927	21,403	1,123	  178	  665	75 (-2) 	50 (-2) 	 9
Dec 29  17,245	23,228	1,205	  173	  675	77 (+6) 	52 (+2) 	16
Dec 28  21,955	13,000	  670	  177	  666	71 (+1) 	50 (+4) 	14
Dec 27  22,616	16,164	  639	  115	  608	70 (-1) 	46 (-2) 	 7
Dec 26  10,965	14,844	  644	  123	  579	71 (-2) 	43 (+1) 	13
Dec 25   7,853	10,027	  463	   86	  522	73 (-1) 	44 (+5) 	10
Dec 24   7,054	11,229	  527	  134	  509	74 (+2) 	39 (+1) 	14
Dec 23  12,605	12,487	  613	  158	  541	72 (+6) 	38 (+1)		15
Dec 22  11,591	13,386	  531	  126	  524	66 (-1) 	37 (+2)		14 
Dec 21  13,011	13,558	  501	  121	  526	67 (+1) 	35 (+2)		17
Dec 20  13,288	10,082	  ---	   85	  581	66 (+3) 	33 (-2)		 8
Dec 19  10,231 	 8,212
Dec 18  10,049 	 8,594
Dec 17  10.614	11,194
Dec 16  10,171 	 9,999
Dec 15  10,775 	 8,773	  ---	   96	  508	66 (+0)		43 (-3)		 9
Dec 13  10,294 	 7,799	  ---	   61	  480	64 (-1)		42 (+0)		 9
Dec 12   6,986 	 5,989	  ---	   82	  468	65 (+5)		42 (+6)	 	 9
Dec 08   6,560 	 6,629	  ---	   72	  461	66 (-1)		38 (-1)		 7
Dec 01   4,464 	 5,120	  ---	   88	  439	35 (+1)		35 (+1)		14



Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks)
pre:
Date      		Bed Availability
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31 January  	313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available
24 January  	322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available
17 January  	328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available
10 January  	331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available
03 January  	331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available
27 December	316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 
20 December 	317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December 	319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
06 December 	310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November	318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
Sourcea:
https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

PostNouveau posted:

It's called Capitalism, and once you contract it, it's often fatal.

What does capitalism have to do with masks? lol. Capital is anti-shutdown/movement restrictions. Masks are just another thing you can sell.

It's a reflection of public preference. Yes, maybe a majority of people would prefer to keep the mandates - but that isn't going to get Lamont or Hochul or Wolf or any other Democrats votes. The blue state govs are removing the mask mandates because (almost) nobody is going to vote for you for keeping a mask mandate, but a hell of a lot of people will vote against you because of one.

For somebody who supports mask mandates and also, for whatever reason, doesn't care if Democrats win elections, this is probably doubly frustrating.

sweek0
May 22, 2006

Let me fall out the window
With confetti in my hair
Deal out jacks or better
On a blanket by the stairs
I'll tell you all my secrets
But I lie about my past

ExcessBLarg! posted:

What's driving the blue state mandate repeal push anyways? Is there some centralized force here?

Why blue states? I assume it's because red states don't have mandates in place to begin with.

Our city's mask mandate policy is that it won't be removed until we're in CDC yellow for three weeks. City officials just reiterated that. However, since enforcement doesn't exist I'd say it's no more than 50% masking out there, but of those it probably is 25% "serious masking" (N95s).

Edit: Referring to the states with mandates as "blue states" is annoying because it's still casually politicizing NPIs. Just say "states with mandates currently in effect" or something like that.

The Daily just did a pretty good podcast episode about this.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/10/podcasts/the-daily/new-york-mask-mandates.html

ILoveCovidandDeath
Feb 11, 2022

by Pragmatica
Admin edit: nope.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Thank you for this.

Covid fatigue and schools leading to large-scale resentment explains a lot about what's going on politically right now. I hope you don't mind me cross-posting this to the US CE thread.

My own reaction to this is basically people are sick enough of restrictions that they've talked themselves into believing that it's going to be okay to just open up. This is as good as it gets because ultimately we are just not rational and selfless enough to put up with more than what we have already put up with. We're going to keep having people than necessary die because and it's utterly depressing.

Eric Cantonese fucked around with this message at 20:09 on Feb 11, 2022

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Hey FDA thanks for the week or so of false hope that my kids will ever loving be eligible for vaccines.

https://twitter.com/megtirrell/status/1492207749614252033

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

brugroffil posted:

Hey FDA thanks for the week or so of false hope that my kids will ever loving be eligible for vaccines.

https://twitter.com/megtirrell/status/1492207749614252033

To be fair, it would a shitshow if the data showed that even three doses at that dosage level didn't do anything. Trust in the FDA with respect to the pandemic is already too low as it is.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

brugroffil posted:

Hey FDA thanks for the week or so of false hope that my kids will ever loving be eligible for vaccines.

https://twitter.com/megtirrell/status/1492207749614252033

Why exactly are you blaming the FDA for exercising caution about surprise findings in pediatric trials for vaccines intended for use during a global pandemic and previously approved under EUAs?

Foxfire_
Nov 8, 2010

'additional findings' from the clinical trial also sounds more like adverse events. Taking the time to actually look into whether they are plausibly vaccine associated before rolling it out to millions of kids is the correct decision.

Fighting Trousers
May 17, 2011

Does this excite you, girl?

Mellow Seas posted:

What does capitalism have to do with masks? lol. Capital is anti-shutdown/movement restrictions. Masks are just another thing you can sell.

It's a reflection of public preference. Yes, maybe a majority of people would prefer to keep the mandates - but that isn't going to get Lamont or Hochul or Wolf or any other Democrats votes. The blue state govs are removing the mask mandates because (almost) nobody is going to vote for you for keeping a mask mandate, but a hell of a lot of people will vote against you because of one.

For somebody who supports mask mandates and also, for whatever reason, doesn't care if Democrats win elections, this is probably doubly frustrating.

Masks are a visible sign that things are Not Normal, so they're the symbol people can focus their hate on.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Discendo Vox posted:

Why exactly are you blaming the FDA for exercising caution about surprise findings in pediatric trials for vaccines intended for use during a global pandemic and previously approved under EUAs?

Has there been any new data made public on a three dose regimen?

sweek0
May 22, 2006

Let me fall out the window
With confetti in my hair
Deal out jacks or better
On a blanket by the stairs
I'll tell you all my secrets
But I lie about my past

Eric Cantonese posted:

Thank you for this.

Covid fatigue and schools leading to large-scale resentment explains a lot about what's going on politically right now. I hope you don't mind me cross-posting this to the US CE thread.

My own reaction to this is basically people are sick enough of restrictions that they've talked themselves into believing that it's going to be okay to just open up. This is as good as it gets because ultimately we are just not rational and selfless enough to put up with more than what we have already put up with. We're going to keep having people than necessary die because and it's utterly depressing.

Of course, go ahead. I think it's a combination of what you've just outlined as well as the fact that many people feel like they've done the right thing, they got vaccinated and did restrict their own activities for so long, their own COVID risk as a vaccinated person is very small and the vaccinated resent the unvaccinated anyway.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

Eric Cantonese posted:

Has there been any new data made public on a three dose regimen?

The statement from the FDA above talks about it- the data itself isn't public to my knowledge.

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Discendo Vox posted:

Why exactly are you blaming the FDA for exercising caution about surprise findings in pediatric trials for vaccines intended for use during a global pandemic and previously approved under EUAs?

Because they just publicly asked Pfizer to submit two dose data and talked up approval by the end of the month.

e: they've also been sitting on the covaxin pediatric vaccine submittal for months

brugroffil fucked around with this message at 20:38 on Feb 11, 2022

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

brugroffil posted:

Because they just publicly asked Pfizer to submit two dose data and talked up approval by the end of the month.

e: they've also been sitting on the covaxin pediatric vaccine submittal for months

Can you identify a place where the FDA "talked up approval" by the end of the month?

Why do you think the FDA is just "sitting on" a vaccine submission?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Discendo Vox posted:

Can you identify a place where the FDA "talked up approval" by the end of the month?

Why do you think the FDA is just "sitting on" a vaccine submission?

There was an announcement about hopefully having it approved by the end of Feb. I was in this thread and I was super excited.

Mr Luxury Yacht
Apr 16, 2012


My experience with the FDA is more on the medical device side but often when they're "sitting on things" it's because there's key issues with the submission that manufacturers need to resolve and instead of the FDA outright rejecting them and telling them to submit again they're giving the manufacturer an opportunity to resolve them.

Something similar could be going on with the two dose under five data. Pfizer suddenly being "Wait we have additional data!" could be "Wait I know you said in that last communication you had serious problems with our trial results and what we submitted doesn't seem up to par or doesn't show sufficient efficacy but this additional data might help!"

It's also possible the initial Pfizer trial data, given when it started, didn't have enough data on protection against Omicron specifically and Pfizer is not scrambling to get that data included.

Mr Luxury Yacht fucked around with this message at 20:52 on Feb 11, 2022

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Discendo Vox posted:

Can you identify a place where the FDA "talked up approval" by the end of the month?

Why do you think the FDA is just "sitting on" a vaccine submission?

1. Do your own homework.

2. It was submitted for EUA in November. They have yet to schedule a review board meeting or really even acknowledge its existence. When FDA or CDC officials talk about potential pediatric vaccines, this one goes unmentioned. Compare and contrast with the timelines on EUA submission to review for the other vaccines.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.
Here's a pretty fundamental rule of thumb: vaccine approvals are so loving sensitive that there are almost never leaks out of FDA about them, and the agency isn't going to "pre-announce" an approval. Media coverage of expected approval outcomes is almost always going to be from the manufacturer.

CommieGIR posted:

There was an announcement about hopefully having it approved by the end of Feb. I was in this thread and I was super excited.

That'd be this, and that would be Pfizer, quoted as "multiple people familiar with the discussions". Pfizer tried to rush the approval and went to the press with it to put pressure on FDA.

brugroffil posted:

1. Do your own homework.

2. It was submitted for EUA in November. They have yet to schedule a review board meeting or really even acknowledge its existence. When FDA or CDC officials talk about potential pediatric vaccines, this one goes unmentioned. Compare and contrast with the timelines on EUA submission to review for the other vaccines.

You're the person making the claim. I should not have to dig up and demonstrate your own failure to cite sources for your ill-founded rage.

The Covaxin submission has been discussed before.

Discendo Vox posted:

By the way, in the same 5 minutes, I found out the application was "put on hold" (this often means FDA is giving the company the opportunity to withdraw and try a different approach) because of deficiencies in their master file. It appears their clinical evidence was based on a single arm trial entirely conducted in India. I also found out they had previously applied for an adult EUA for the same product and were rejected earlier in 2021.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 20:53 on Feb 11, 2022

Alctel
Jan 16, 2004

I love snails


brugroffil posted:

1. Do your own homework.

2. It was submitted for EUA in November. They have yet to schedule a review board meeting or really even acknowledge its existence. When FDA or CDC officials talk about potential pediatric vaccines, this one goes unmentioned. Compare and contrast with the timelines on EUA submission to review for the other vaccines.

Been said but it's probably because the manufacturer didn't provide all the data needed and instead of outright rejecting it, they've asked for more info. edit: oh post above me found it

They aren't just 'sitting on' covid vaccine approvals for the sake of it, there are all these protocols in place for a reason

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.
The key overarching question here is, what motivation would the FDA have to just...not approve vaccines? Why do you think they would do that? Virtually every source of political and industrial pressure here is deregulatory, to the point that the EUA process has already blown a great big hole in the normal approvals model.

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


Sorry it was the CDC that just this week updated their plans to begin shipping pediatric shots by February 21st.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/c...oms-11644507746


It was the FDA who pressed Pfizer to submit two dose data for review

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/01/us/politics/pfizer-vaccine-kids.html



quote:

In a highly unusual move, federal regulators pressed the companies to submit the request even though two doses failed to produce the hoped-for immune response among children 2 to 4 years old in a clinical trial. Only children between 6 months and 2 years old demonstrated an immune response comparable to that of older teenagers and young adults, the standard for a successful trial.

Thanks to both the CDC and the FDA for the false hope.

Mr Luxury Yacht
Apr 16, 2012


Yeah the FDA often has response guidelines (ex: after submission of a 510(k) application the submitter will receive a notification of an Acceptance Review within 15 days. If it is selected for substantive review that review should occur within 60 calendar days, etc...). They generally don't "sit on things".

The one exception to this I've seen was during 2020 when poo poo was haywire due to COVID but that seemed more everything not COVID related getting pushed down the queue due to the laser focus on COVID.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

brugroffil posted:

Sorry it was the CDC that just this week updated their plans to begin shipping pediatric shots by February 21st.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/c...oms-11644507746


It was the FDA who pressed Pfizer to submit two dose data for review

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/01/us/politics/pfizer-vaccine-kids.html

Thanks to both the CDC and the FDA for the false hope.

Still misrepresenting things in order to blame regulators, great. CDC prepping for the possibility of an approval is not the same as "talking up approval". The very article you're citing is actually citing the new york times article that I had already addressed, which is citing to Pfizer. And the root claim is actually that FDA would get the two-dose data and use it as part of the three dose data to evaluate the three dose data faster. You are blaming the agency for trying to get the vaccine approved faster.

NoDamage
Dec 2, 2000
Updated CDC and UKHSA data shows 3-dose vaccine efficacy against hospitalization starting to fall at the 4 month mark.





Not terribly surprising given the same trend occurred with the previous dose, but it does raise a serious question of what we are going to do in a few months when the booster wears off and the whole world has decided to open back up...

NoDamage fucked around with this message at 22:20 on Feb 11, 2022

Solkanar512
Dec 28, 2006

by the sex ghost

brugroffil posted:

Sorry it was the CDC that just this week updated their plans to begin shipping pediatric shots by February 21st.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/c...oms-11644507746


It was the FDA who pressed Pfizer to submit two dose data for review

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/01/us/politics/pfizer-vaccine-kids.html

Thanks to both the CDC and the FDA for the false hope.

Your posts here constantly poo poo on regulatory agencies who are literally doing everything in their power to get vaccines approved. If the data isn't there to support approval, what in the hell do you want them to do?

Taking into account all the debunking of your previous arguments, if you were head of the FDA, what specifically would you be doing differently?

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ExcessBLarg!
Sep 1, 2001

Eric Cantonese posted:

Has there been any new data made public on a three dose regimen?
I don't know how much data they have on three doses yet. Last I was aware they were amending the trial procedures to include a third dose at least two months after the second, but Pfizer hadn't released updated procedures as of January. Researchers were expecting to start administering third doses in late February.

Source: My kids are enrolled in the Pfizer trial.

ExcessBLarg! fucked around with this message at 02:00 on Feb 12, 2022

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