Which horse film is your favorite? This poll is closed. |
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Black Beauty | 2 | 1.06% | |
A Talking Pony!?! | 4 | 2.13% | |
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor | 117 | 62.23% | |
War Horse | 11 | 5.85% | |
Mr. Hands | 54 | 28.72% | |
Total: | 188 votes |
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EDIT: misread the article
Civilized Fishbot fucked around with this message at 17:36 on Feb 15, 2022 |
# ? Feb 15, 2022 17:33 |
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# ? May 23, 2024 18:31 |
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Pingui posted:I am unsure what you are asking. Is it why they started vaccinating 5-12's, why they didn't stop vaccinating 5-12's or if there is a repository of side-effects of vaccinating children 5-12? https://avisendanmark.dk/artikel/sundhedsstyrelsen-dropper-tredje-stik-til-unge-under-18 Sundhedsstyrelsen seems to be taking a position that they will not mandate boosters for 5-12 year olds, since they're not approved by the EU. I was wondering if there was any data showing vaccination of the under-12s carried any serious risks beyond a sore arm. Also that they expect to announce the end of the vaccination program by month's end.
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# ? Feb 15, 2022 20:56 |
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Does anyone have a link to the CDC guidance for quarantine that was in effect for much of 2020? I'm only able to find the current version, they've done a good job of scrubbing it from their website.
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# ? Feb 15, 2022 21:04 |
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Morrow posted:Does anyone have a link to the CDC guidance for quarantine that was in effect for much of 2020? I'm only able to find the current version, they've done a good job of scrubbing it from their website. This? https://web.archive.org/web/20200331045447/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/disposition-in-home-patients.html
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# ? Feb 15, 2022 21:24 |
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Oracle posted:This? Fantastic! Good thing to know their guidance was overly complicated back then, too.
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# ? Feb 15, 2022 22:07 |
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Rust Martialis posted:https://avisendanmark.dk/artikel/sundhedsstyrelsen-dropper-tredje-stik-til-unge-under-18 The Danish medical authorities are strictly following EMA (approving the 5-12 vaccinations the day after the EMA), their reasoning for the approval of Comirnaty (Pfizer) can be found here: https://www.sst.dk/-/media/Udgivels...C47CEEF7FEABAAA As they are strictly following the EMA and considering your question, you first have to consider this press release by the EMA stating: https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/comirnaty-covid-19-vaccine-ema-recommends-approval-children-aged-5-11 posted:The most common side effects in children aged 5 to 11 are similar to those in people aged 12 and above. They include pain at the injection site, tiredness, headache, redness and swelling at the site of injection, muscle pain and chills. These effects are usually mild or moderate and improve within a few days of vaccination. Which means you have to look in this document to find the answer on side effects: https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/documents/product-information/comirnaty-epar-product-information_en.pdf posted:If it really interests you, this might also be something worth reading: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/TGU-20211119-1925_final-for-publication.pdf posted:Interim public health considerations for COVID-19 vaccination of children aged 5-11 years
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# ? Feb 15, 2022 22:31 |
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Random question. Any chronic migraine with Aura sufferers gotten covid? I ask because my partner has not been outside for months and she somehow got now testing positive, sore throat etc. All the usual omicron symptoms. I've had no symptoms and every LFT the last few weeks has been negative. However the last week and a bit I've had proper full on migraine attacks with aura, sparkly vision, hallucinations, loss of balance, blindness nearly every day and on one occasion twice in a day! Not to mention bloody awful photosensitivity. The timeline would line up perfectly with me giving her covid if you swapped out the migraine for covid symptoms. I've honestly never had them this bad before, its surreal. I even got my doctor to up my beta blockers to 40mg of propranolol 3x a day to no effect. I did stumble across this paper which i can't quite decipher the discussion part of https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC8101002/#__ffn_sectitle quote:The cases presented in this report may suggest that coronavirus may affect the bioelectrical activity of the brain and perhaps – by increasing activity, especially in the occipital lobes – it may be responsible for CSD and successive appearance of aura. Any idea what a CSD is? Mebh fucked around with this message at 02:30 on Feb 16, 2022 |
# ? Feb 16, 2022 02:28 |
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Mebh posted:Any idea what a CSD is? quote:The visual aura is associated with cortical spreading depression (CSD) from the visual cortex to the primary somatosensory and motor cortex. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cortical_spreading_depression wave of neural/electrical hyperactivity followed by inhibition, involved in migraine aura (I know nothing about this stuff, just searched the article you linked) edit: skimming the article, it's only three case studies but somewhat positive news is it looks like the migraines with aura only occurred during infection. So hopefully they might subside in your case after the infection passes. The article is discussing active infection, not long post-COVID symptoms. Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 02:37 on Feb 16, 2022 |
# ? Feb 16, 2022 02:34 |
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I'm gonna go with 7 hours of blindness as my excuse for not doing that... Thanks!
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 02:35 |
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Denmark - 16 February 2022 Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day pre:Actual Reported New Total Date Cases Cases Reinf. Hosp. Hosp. ICU Vent Dead ============================================================================================== Feb 16 --- 42,948 2,407 459 1,498 31 (+0) 14 (+1) 24 Feb 15 20,472 42,978 2,200 464 1,523 31 (+6) 13 (+2) 30 Feb 14 44,943 29,474 1,461 333 1,465 25 (+0) 11 (+3) 41 Feb 13 35,589 38,323 2,039 314 1,356 25 (-5) 8 (-1) 30 Feb 12 32,624 44,350 2,259 427 1,316 30 (-2) 9 (+0) 37 Feb 11 38,889 48,170 2,968 421 1,379 32 (-1) 9 (+1) 24 Feb 10 45,111 53,747 3,205 415 1,354 33 (-1) 12 (+1) 29 Feb 09 50,253 55,120 3,262 451 1,332 34 (-5) 11 (-4) 21 Feb 08 55,575 49,798 2,759 419 1,315 39 (+8) 15 (+3) 18 Feb 07 57,350 34,849 1,836 314 1,294 31 (-3) 12 (+0) 28 Feb 06 42,234 36,512 1,841 307 1,203 34 (+3) 12 (+0) 18 Feb 05 33,604 39,190 2,061 370 1,138 31 (-2) 12 (-1) 35 Feb 04 37,192 40.179 2,241 376 1,156 33 (+6) 13 (+1) 17 Feb 03 39,792 44,225 2,513 365 1,116 27 (+1) 12 (-4) 21 Feb 02 40,476 55,001 2,992 343 1,092 26 (-2) 16 (+2) 20 Feb 01 46,118 45,366 2,515 337 1,070 28 (-4) 14 (-1) 15 Jan 31 56,397 29,084 1,478 255 1,028 32 (+1) 15 (+0) 17 Jan 30 34,881 36,196 2,055 231 948 31 (-4) 15 (-4) 21 Jan 29 29,907 41,083 2,332 271 922 35 (+2) 19 (+0) 17 Jan 28 38,122 53,655 3,263 305 967 33 (-4) 19 (-3) 26 Jan 27 39,067 51,033 3,119 318 955 37 (-3) 22 (-3) 18 Jan 26 41,695 46,747 3,028 298 938 40 (-4) 25 (-3) 14 Jan 25 48,640 43,734 2,856 318 918 44 (+1) 28 (-1) 14 Jan 24 53,663 40,348 2,501 242 894 43 (+1) 29 (+2) 13 Jan 23 38,017 42,018 2,755 215 813 42 (-3) 27 (-1) 12 Jan 22 34,713 36,120 2,285 220 781 45 (+1) 28 (-1) 25 Jan 21 37,409 46,831 3,160 244 813 44 (-5) 29 (+1) 21 Jan 20 37,420 40,626 2,639 232 825 49 (-1) 28 (-2) 15 Jan 19 37,595 38,759 2,285 248 821 50 (+1) 30 (+1) 16 Jan 18 40,303 33,493 2,002 264 810 49 (-3) 29 (-8) 14 Jan 17 41,486 28,780 1,815 203 802 52 (-7) 37 (-4) 11 Jan 16 28,179 26,169 1,614 159 734 59 (+0) 41 (+1) 16 Jan 15 25,188 25,034 1,644 202 711 59 (-1) 40 (+4) 16 Jan 14 25,883 23,614 1,519 215 757 60 (-4) 36 (-2) 15 Jan 13 23,776 25,751 1,822 194 755 64 (-9) 38 (-8) 20 Jan 12 22,575 24,343 1,614 215 751 73 (+0) 46 (+0) 25 Jan 11 22,656 22,936 1,459 181 754 73 (-1) 46 (-1) 14 Jan 10 23,244 14,414 941 156 777 74 (-3) 47 (-3) 9 Jan 09 16,330 19,248 1,327 126 723 77 (-1) 50 (-2) 14 Jan 08 13,573 12,588 984 161 730 78 (+0) 52 (-1) 28 Jan 07 14,434 18,261 1,482 186 755 78 (-4) 53 (+4) 10 Jan 06 15,417 25,995 2,027 161 756 82 (+2) 47 (-2) 11 Jan 05 17,577 28,283 2,083 204 784 80 (+3) 49 (+2) 15 Jan 04 23,698 23,372 1,701 229 792 77 (+4) 47 (+1) 15 Jan 03* 25,617 8,801 532 169 770 73 (-3) 46 (-4) 5 Jan 02 19,906 7,550 404 163 709 76 (+3) 50 (+1) 15 Jan 01 8,631 20,885 1,049 139 647 73 (+0) 49 (+0) 5 Dec 31 9,728 17,605 1,090 177 641 73 (-2) 49 (-1) 11 Dec 30 19,927 21,403 1,123 178 665 75 (-2) 50 (-2) 9 Dec 29 17,245 23,228 1,205 173 675 77 (+6) 52 (+2) 16 Dec 28 21,955 13,000 670 177 666 71 (+1) 50 (+4) 14 Dec 27 22,616 16,164 639 115 608 70 (-1) 46 (-2) 7 Dec 26 10,965 14,844 644 123 579 71 (-2) 43 (+1) 13 Dec 25 7,853 10,027 463 86 522 73 (-1) 44 (+5) 10 Dec 24 7,054 11,229 527 134 509 74 (+2) 39 (+1) 14 Dec 23 12,605 12,487 613 158 541 72 (+6) 38 (+1) 15 Dec 22 11,591 13,386 531 126 524 66 (-1) 37 (+2) 14 Dec 21 13,011 13,558 501 121 526 67 (+1) 35 (+2) 17 Dec 20 13,288 10,082 --- 85 581 66 (+3) 33 (-2) 8 Dec 19 10,231 8,212 Dec 18 10,049 8,594 Dec 17 10.614 11,194 Dec 16 10,171 9,999 Dec 15 10,775 8,773 --- 96 508 66 (+0) 43 (-3) 9 Dec 13 10,294 7,799 --- 61 480 64 (-1) 42 (+0) 9 Dec 12 6,986 5,989 --- 82 468 65 (+5) 42 (+6) 9 Dec 08 6,560 6,629 --- 72 461 66 (-1) 38 (-1) 7 Dec 01 4,464 5,120 --- 88 439 35 (+1) 35 (+1) 14 Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks) pre:Date Bed Availability ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 January 313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available 24 January 322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available 17 January 328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available 10 January 331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available 03 January 331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available 27 December 316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 20 December 317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available 13 December 319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available 06 December 310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here 29 November 318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/ https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26 https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 19:15 |
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Why are the 15th and 16th the exact same number of reported cases?
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 21:15 |
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Oracle posted:Why are the 15th and 16th the exact same number of reported cases? Because 70 is the same as 40?
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 21:24 |
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cant cook creole bream posted:Because 70 is the same as 40? drat I guess it is time to get my eyes checked.
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 21:32 |
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Mebh posted:I'm gonna go with 7 hours of blindness as my excuse for not doing that... Thanks! Aura migraine buddy, get better man Oracle posted:drat I guess it is time to get my eyes checked. It's not healthy to stare into a projector like that!
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 21:34 |
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I kinda ran out of comments today. Just getting to that stage of 'beatings will continue until morale improves'. Either everyone gets BA.2 (I guess there'll be some asymptotic decay unless you can get it again after a few months), or The Next Strain escapes and arrives via Kastrup Airport. We're getting 40,000 cases a day, 2.3 million infections of which like, 75% are BA.1 or .2, and 2000 re-infections a day, assume all delta or prior. So there's 3.5 million uninfected Danes left, which is 87 days at this rate. Going to plot case numbers on a log scale and see if there's an hint of a exponential decay yet.
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# ? Feb 16, 2022 22:25 |
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https://twitter.com/BadLegalTakes/status/1494114172421885953?s=20&t=iHJKXUHLf-2RW4m2fGhRFw Man, this stuff is getting so tiring. TL;DR: Somebody made a fake court decree from a fake court charging vaccine makers with murder.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 02:10 |
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Do we have any understanding of why (in many places, not everywhere) Omicron receded as quickly as it spiked? More importantly, is there any reason to believe - even putting aside new variants for the moment - we won't just have another Omicron spike as high as the one we went through in, say, another month? And another month after that? I ask because the Victorian state govt is rolling back some of the last remaining restrictions: https://twitter.com/theage/status/1494112138314792960
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 02:13 |
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1) seemed to infect a significant amount of the vulnerable population 2) protective measures 3) relatively high rates of vaccination meant that there weren't a lot of people to spread to in light of 1 and 2.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 02:32 |
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1) would affect deaths not cases; 2) was largely unimplemented in the US or largely already in place in places like Australia; 3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection. The only thing that I can think of is what you might call a grassroots lockdown - people just choosing not to go to the restaurant, not to visit friends, drive instead of catch public transport etc. (I know that mobility and spending data suggests this was at least partly the case in Australia at the peak of the wave.) Which worries me because it suggests that as people emerge again we're just going to do it all over again in March.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 02:45 |
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I think also in each wave you're going to see the infections generally spread via those engaged in the riskiest behaviors first and hit the people around them, and once those social circles are exhausted the effective rate of transmission drops way down, alongside the grassroots lockdown effect.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 02:51 |
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freebooter posted:3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection. It's my understanding that while vaccines are less effective against omnicron than they have been against earlier variants, they still reduce risk of infection, and also transmissibility among people who are infected. It's also possible that between vaccination and omnicron, there are a lot of infected people who are subclinical...either asymptomatic or their symptoms aren't severe enough that they bother to go to a doctor or get tested. So it's possible more people are infected and it's just not reflected in the numbers.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 06:04 |
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freebooter posted:1) would affect deaths not cases; 2) was largely unimplemented in the US or largely already in place in places like Australia; 3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection. idk about australia and can't speak to it, but some liberal parts of the us absolutely instituted/reinstituted/continued stricter measures). Similarly, yeah, when cases go up, people stay in a lot more and take fewer risks on a fairly broad level. To be clearer, by 1) I meant susceptible more than vulnerable. anyways 40% of americans have been boosted, something like 75% have been vaccinated and a significant amount of those have had covid, many recently, so there is a substantial amount of immune protection floating around. 2 shot vaccines weren't providing complete protection, but they, at this point, appear to have provided significant protection against more extreme outcomes with omicron, though obviously the 3rd shot appears to provide by far the strongest protection. with how contagious it is, it appears to have spread quite readily through most populations that were particularly unprotected against covid.
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 08:27 |
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Really loving good article, especially for showing to friends/acquaintances who don't get why this is a big deal for the immunocompromised https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/covid-pandemic-immunocompromised-risk-vaccines/622094/ e: money quote quote:And perhaps worst of all, immunocompromised people began to be outright dismissed by their friends, relatives, and colleagues because of the misleading narrative that Omicron is mild. The variant bypassed some of the defenses that even immunocompetent people had built up, rendered several antibody treatments ineffective, and swamped the health-care system that immunocompromised people rely on. And yet one of Wallace’s patients was told by their sister that no one is dying anymore. In fact, people are still dying, and immunocompromised people disproportionately so. Ignoring that sends an implicit message: Your lives don’t matter. A big flaming stink fucked around with this message at 21:08 on Feb 17, 2022 |
# ? Feb 17, 2022 20:55 |
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WA becomes the next state that’ll drop indoor masking mandates (in most settings): https://twitter.com/bymikebaker/status/1494433110674456594?s=21
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# ? Feb 17, 2022 23:30 |
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A big flaming stink posted:Really loving good article, especially for showing to friends/acquaintances who don't get why this is a big deal for the immunocompromised The author was tweeting about this yesterday and used the word "limbo" to describe what it's like for immunocompromised people right now, which I think is bang on the money. My partner's immunocompromised but (thankfully) on the lower end of the vulnerability scale, and obviously we're still being super careful, but... it's only a matter of time. We're all inevitably going to get it. And not knowing how it will play out, despite her having had four shots, is very unpleasant. It's also a bizarre feeling to see everybody else rushing back out to the bars and restaurants while we're still basically doing nothing. I don't begrudge them for it, but there was a sense of solidarity when Melbourne was still doing the lockdowns and pursuing COVID-zero, and it's jarring to be reminded that for most people COVID was only ever about the lockdowns (again, not to downplay how hard they were). And that's in a place with a government that genuinely did try, for a very long time. If we lived in the US or the UK I would have lost total faith in humanity halfway through 2020.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 00:50 |
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freebooter posted:Do we have any understanding of why (in many places, not everywhere) Omicron receded as quickly as it spiked? Same reason as Arizona in June 2020 and many places thereafter (India with Delta). The susceptible population gets it and gets a 4 week immunity or so, a bunch of people get scared and avoid it, and it recedes until the next wave
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 03:04 |
freebooter posted:The author was tweeting about this yesterday and used the word "limbo" to describe what it's like for immunocompromised people right now, which I think is bang on the money. My partner's immunocompromised but (thankfully) on the lower end of the vulnerability scale, and obviously we're still being super careful, but... it's only a matter of time. We're all inevitably going to get it. And not knowing how it will play out, despite her having had four shots, is very unpleasant. I'm in the UK and I'm flat out nostalgic for that exact same sense of solidarity that was in the air in those first few months of the pandemic, where everyone was scared enough to actually Give A poo poo about themselves and each other, and the grifters, libertarians and outright psychos (but I repeat myself) hadn't found their angle yet and started deranging the population. I've never experienced that feeling of shared purpose before and I expect I never will again. It was early 2021 or so that I lost what little faith in humanity I still had
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 07:18 |
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I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel. There was one goon who would come around in this thread early on, raving about how the pandemic would change dating forever and giving tips on survival sex in a world where pillars of society are extinct concepts. There's a few bugout bunker people like that in the world, but most people would rather party when the bombs that kill us all drop than shelter and preparing to live in a Mad Max world that remains. Craptacular! fucked around with this message at 07:54 on Feb 18, 2022 |
# ? Feb 18, 2022 07:51 |
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I think that once children are being vaccinated you'll see nearly all domestic american support for continued (to say nothing of new) restrictive pandemic measures dry up. Obviously some handful of people will continue to advocate for restrictions and it's going to gently caress over immunocompromised people, but at that point the two main groups get what they want: vaccines for those who want vaccines and the end of restrictions for those who just want everything open and to not have to take vaccines
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 08:35 |
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until the next turbocharged variant comes along, of course.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 09:16 |
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Herstory Begins Now posted:I think that once children are being vaccinated you'll see nearly all domestic american support for continued (to say nothing of new) restrictive pandemic measures dry up. There's no restrictions left here in DK and we're seeing almost 1% of the population getting BA.2 a day. The elderly, heavily comorbid, and immuno-compromised are not even an afterthought as far as I can tell, and Danes seem to be fine letting the young go unvaccinated until it's formally approved. Life is back to the new normal. Ed: until the next turbocharged variant indeed
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 09:20 |
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Thinking up secenarios for a new variant is a futile endeavour. They will come regardless of wether there is a strong lockdown right now.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 09:54 |
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generic one posted:WA becomes the next state that’ll drop indoor masking mandates (in most settings): I already did an effort post in the Seattle thread but I am beyond pissed that my reward for dodging COVID in full time retail for two years is just loving nothing but grist for number. I am not even a little surprised but I am pissed.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 10:44 |
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Barry Foster posted:I'm in the UK and I'm flat out nostalgic for that exact same sense of solidarity that was in the air in those first few months of the pandemic, where everyone was scared enough to actually Give A poo poo about themselves and each other, and the grifters, libertarians and outright psychos (but I repeat myself) hadn't found their angle yet and started deranging the population. I've never experienced that feeling of shared purpose before and I expect I never will again. Craptacular! posted:I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel. A large part of it I think is, outside the first few months of the pandemic, the part of their lives people have been expected and encouraged to sacrifice is their free time, and not the 8-16 hours a day they spend working. If you're working at Starbucks wrangling angry customers who aren't masked up all day, are you going to head right home afterwards and maybe hold a game of Werewolf or something on Zoom? No, you're gonna go out to the bar and get hosed up because your life sucks and you're in danger already. If the Almighty Number hadn't come a ringing, I think people would have cashed those stimulus and unemployment checks and been willing to stay at home a little longer then they did.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 10:55 |
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I'm an idiot and I want to know how one Covid variant is seemingly being "replaced" by another. Was not the first (two?) Covid variant more severe than the actual one? How have they disappeared? I understand that the actual one (Omicron) are easier to transmit but these are not mutually exclusive, right? Or maybe they have not disappeared at all. If so, why are safety measures being abolished in Europe now? Sorry if this is stupid. Thanks!
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 11:14 |
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My completely layman's answer to your question(-s).lllllllllllllllllll posted:I'm an idiot and I want to know how one Covid variant is seemingly being "replaced" by another. Was not the first (two?) Covid variant more severe than the actual one? Severity doesn't necessarily track with infectiousness. Omicron 1 is about as severe as Alpha, but less severe than Delta. lllllllllllllllllll posted:How have they disappeared? The process is usually explained as a more infectious variant infecting the potentials of the less infectious variant. E.g. you get infected with Omicron and can't get infected with Delta, and because Omicron is more infectious it essentially closes the avenues for Delta spread. However, when it happens we will usually see the old variant rummaging around reff 1 prior to takeover and considering the time scale I think a more likely reason is that people change behavior (by government decree or otherwise) when a new variant turns up, decreasing the reff below 1 on the old variant. lllllllllllllllllll posted:I understand that the actual one (Omicron) are easier to transmit but these are not mutually exclusive, right? Or maybe they have not disappeared at all. They are mutually exclusive to an extent, but see above. From genetic sequencing we can see that they do disappear, but as we saw with Omicron building on Wildtype rather than Delta, there might still be reservoirs. They just aren't where we get genetic sequencing from, so e.g. Africa is mostly a data blank. lllllllllllllllllll posted:If so, why are safety measures being abolished in Europe now? Sorry if this is stupid. Thanks! Omicron isn't mild and won't be the last variant, so they really shouldn't be abolishing safety measures. But
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 11:45 |
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Ok I'm no expert but here's how I think this all works: If a variant has a fitness advantage over another one then it tends to outcompete the other ones. That fitness advantage can be anything that makes it more fit in a population. For example it looks like Omicron has an ability to evade immunity somewhat, meaning that in a population with high seroprevalence (either due to vaccination or infection) it can infect more people than say Delta, and it'll take over. In naive populations (no vaccines or infections) omicron might not have enough advantage over Delta and it wouldn't gain as much ground. This could also explain to some degree why omicron is "mild". If you already have immunity you can more easily get infected by omicron, but because of your immunitythe disease won't nearly be as bad. Omicron is mild in most people, if they have previous immunity. Another fitness advantage could be that virus particles stay viable for longer, more particles produced, better evasion of the innate immune system, making people less sick so they don't quarantine, etc. It doesn't have to be all spike binding all the time. But most science being done now is based on spike changes and antibody neutralization assays, because those are relatively quick to do. I'm not sure the jury is out on why Delta took over but it seems to be that the infection kinetics are such that it just reproduces a whole lot more than previous variants, making viral loads peak earlier and higher than with previous variants and as such makes it spread more. (But afaik this has only been described by PCR Ct values, not PFU assays) It's likely that Omicron has been cooking up for a while now and only now had the potential to become dominant over Delta since so many people have been vaccinated or previously infected already. That being said, there's no real reason why multiple variants couldn't circulate at the same time, and in fact they do.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 13:10 |
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Rochallor posted:A large part of it I think is, outside the first few months of the pandemic, the part of their lives people have been expected and encouraged to sacrifice is their free time, and not the 8-16 hours a day they spend working. If you're working at Starbucks wrangling angry customers who aren't masked up all day, are you going to head right home afterwards and maybe hold a game of Werewolf or something on Zoom? No, you're gonna go out to the bar and get hosed up because your life sucks and you're in danger already. If the Almighty Number hadn't come a ringing, I think people would have cashed those stimulus and unemployment checks and been willing to stay at home a little longer then they did. I don't even mind my computer-toucher job, but at some point of this you just kind of have to wonder if that kind of life makes any sense. Unfortunately that's what most of the western countries settlened on, and I'm sure I mentioned before that I would've liked the stronger measures to actually stop the spread instead of this half-assed stuff we ended up with. It's kind of the worst of both worlds, still pretty severe restrictions from time to time but we still get most of the deaths that would come from yoloing it like Sweden.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 13:10 |
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My employer returned everyone to a hybrid schedule this week and here are my thoughts. - I wear an Envo mask every day. Previously I preferred the Aura masks but now I feel like the Envo is less itchy if I have to wear a mask for eight straight hours. Also recently the Envo seems better at preventing glasses-fogging than the Auras. I gained 10 pounds over the past month and my face is definitely rounder now, so maybe the Envo seals better with my chubbier face. The one downside is that the Envo muffles my voice much more than the aura, even without the face plate. - I'm one of five employees wearing masks. I'm the only one with an elastomeric. - My cubicle neighbor has been coughing more and more over the past two days, which she says is due to tree pollen. It's frustrating because she is allowed to work remotely but she has decided to come into the office even though she's coughing a bunch. Yesterday I also began hearing coughing from the other side of the floor. Our official policy is that people with symptoms need to stay out of the office until they have a negative test. If we suspect someone is not following the policy, we are supposed to talk to a manager or HR. I feel like this policy places me in a lovely position where either I ignore people coughing at my own risk or I alienate myself for tattling on other people who may have already gotten a negative test anyway. I sent a vague e-mail to HR where I pretended I didn't know who was coughing and I said I felt unsafe. They told me to talk to my manager. I guess in a few days I'll take a PCR test and see what happens. - Hybrid schedules do keep the office less populated. Today I think it will just be myself and one other person working our corner of the office. It also looks like managers are much more open to people coming and going with more flexibility. The place becomes a ghost town after about 3pm.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 13:22 |
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# ? May 23, 2024 18:31 |
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Craptacular! posted:I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel. Which is why we should've taken it seriously to begin with, locked down hard and been over and done with it 2 years ago like China did. It's not the people pushing for precautions that are prolonging this.
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# ? Feb 18, 2022 13:57 |