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Which horse film is your favorite?
This poll is closed.
Black Beauty 2 1.06%
A Talking Pony!?! 4 2.13%
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor 117 62.23%
War Horse 11 5.85%
Mr. Hands 54 28.72%
Total: 188 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011
EDIT: misread the article

Civilized Fishbot fucked around with this message at 17:36 on Feb 15, 2022

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Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Pingui posted:

I am unsure what you are asking. Is it why they started vaccinating 5-12's, why they didn't stop vaccinating 5-12's or if there is a repository of side-effects of vaccinating children 5-12?

https://avisendanmark.dk/artikel/sundhedsstyrelsen-dropper-tredje-stik-til-unge-under-18

Sundhedsstyrelsen seems to be taking a position that they will not mandate boosters for 5-12 year olds, since they're not approved by the EU. I was wondering if there was any data showing vaccination of the under-12s carried any serious risks beyond a sore arm.

Also that they expect to announce the end of the vaccination program by month's end.

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
Does anyone have a link to the CDC guidance for quarantine that was in effect for much of 2020? I'm only able to find the current version, they've done a good job of scrubbing it from their website.

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Morrow posted:

Does anyone have a link to the CDC guidance for quarantine that was in effect for much of 2020? I'm only able to find the current version, they've done a good job of scrubbing it from their website.

This?

https://web.archive.org/web/20200331045447/https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/disposition-in-home-patients.html

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010

Fantastic! Good thing to know their guidance was overly complicated back then, too.

Pingui
Jun 4, 2006

WTF?

Rust Martialis posted:

https://avisendanmark.dk/artikel/sundhedsstyrelsen-dropper-tredje-stik-til-unge-under-18

Sundhedsstyrelsen seems to be taking a position that they will not mandate boosters for 5-12 year olds, since they're not approved by the EU. I was wondering if there was any data showing vaccination of the under-12s carried any serious risks beyond a sore arm.

Also that they expect to announce the end of the vaccination program by month's end.

The Danish medical authorities are strictly following EMA (approving the 5-12 vaccinations the day after the EMA), their reasoning for the approval of Comirnaty (Pfizer) can be found here:
https://www.sst.dk/-/media/Udgivels...C47CEEF7FEABAAA

As they are strictly following the EMA and considering your question, you first have to consider this press release by the EMA stating:

https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/comirnaty-covid-19-vaccine-ema-recommends-approval-children-aged-5-11 posted:

The most common side effects in children aged 5 to 11 are similar to those in people aged 12 and above. They include pain at the injection site, tiredness, headache, redness and swelling at the site of injection, muscle pain and chills. These effects are usually mild or moderate and improve within a few days of vaccination.

The CHMP therefore concluded that the benefits of Comirnaty in children aged 5 to 11 outweigh the risks, particularly in those with conditions that increase the risk of severe COVID-19.

Which means you have to look in this document to find the answer on side effects:
They are further specified in the document.

If it really interests you, this might also be something worth reading:

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/documents/TGU-20211119-1925_final-for-publication.pdf posted:

Interim public health considerations for COVID-19 vaccination of children aged 5-11 years

Mebh
May 10, 2010


Random question. Any chronic migraine with Aura sufferers gotten covid? I ask because my partner has not been outside for months and she somehow got now testing positive, sore throat etc. All the usual omicron symptoms. I've had no symptoms and every LFT the last few weeks has been negative.

However the last week and a bit I've had proper full on migraine attacks with aura, sparkly vision, hallucinations, loss of balance, blindness nearly every day and on one occasion twice in a day! Not to mention bloody awful photosensitivity. The timeline would line up perfectly with me giving her covid if you swapped out the migraine for covid symptoms.

I've honestly never had them this bad before, its surreal. I even got my doctor to up my beta blockers to 40mg of propranolol 3x a day to no effect.

I did stumble across this paper which i can't quite decipher the discussion part of https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/articles/PMC8101002/#__ffn_sectitle


quote:

The cases presented in this report may suggest that coronavirus may affect the bioelectrical activity of the brain and perhaps – by increasing activity, especially in the occipital lobes – it may be responsible for CSD and successive appearance of aura.


Any idea what a CSD is?

Mebh fucked around with this message at 02:30 on Feb 16, 2022

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!

Mebh posted:

Any idea what a CSD is?

quote:

The visual aura is associated with cortical spreading depression (CSD) from the visual cortex to the primary somatosensory and motor cortex.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cortical_spreading_depression

wave of neural/electrical hyperactivity followed by inhibition, involved in migraine aura

(I know nothing about this stuff, just searched the article you linked)

edit: skimming the article, it's only three case studies but somewhat positive news is it looks like the migraines with aura only occurred during infection. So hopefully they might subside in your case after the infection passes. The article is discussing active infection, not long post-COVID symptoms.

Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 02:37 on Feb 16, 2022

Mebh
May 10, 2010


I'm gonna go with 7 hours of blindness as my excuse for not doing that... Thanks!

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 16 February 2022

Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day
pre:
	Actual	Reported	New	Total
Date	Cases	Cases	Reinf.	Hosp.	Hosp.	ICU		Vent		Dead
==============================================================================================
Feb 16	   ---	42,948	2,407	  459	1,498	31 (+0)		14 (+1)		24
Feb 15	20,472	42,978	2,200	  464	1,523	31 (+6)		13 (+2)		30
Feb 14	44,943	29,474	1,461	  333	1,465	25 (+0)		11 (+3)		41
Feb 13	35,589	38,323	2,039	  314	1,356	25 (-5)		 8 (-1)		30
Feb 12	32,624	44,350	2,259	  427	1,316	30 (-2)		 9 (+0)		37
Feb 11	38,889	48,170	2,968	  421	1,379	32 (-1)		 9 (+1)		24
Feb 10	45,111	53,747	3,205	  415	1,354	33 (-1)		12 (+1)		29
Feb 09	50,253	55,120	3,262	  451	1,332	34 (-5)		11 (-4)		21
Feb 08	55,575	49,798	2,759	  419	1,315	39 (+8)		15 (+3)		18
Feb 07	57,350	34,849	1,836	  314	1,294	31 (-3)		12 (+0)		28
Feb 06	42,234	36,512	1,841	  307	1,203	34 (+3)		12 (+0)		18
Feb 05	33,604	39,190	2,061	  370	1,138	31 (-2)		12 (-1)		35
Feb 04	37,192	40.179	2,241	  376	1,156	33 (+6)		13 (+1)		17
Feb 03	39,792	44,225	2,513	  365	1,116	27 (+1)		12 (-4)		21
Feb 02	40,476	55,001	2,992	  343	1,092	26 (-2)		16 (+2)		20
Feb 01	46,118	45,366	2,515	  337	1,070	28 (-4)		14 (-1)		15
Jan 31	56,397	29,084	1,478	  255	1,028	32 (+1)		15 (+0)		17
Jan 30	34,881	36,196	2,055	  231	  948	31 (-4)		15 (-4)		21
Jan 29	29,907	41,083	2,332	  271	  922	35 (+2)		19 (+0)		17
Jan 28	38,122	53,655	3,263	  305	  967	33 (-4)		19 (-3)		26
Jan 27	39,067	51,033	3,119	  318	  955	37 (-3)		22 (-3)		18
Jan 26	41,695	46,747	3,028	  298	  938	40 (-4)		25 (-3)		14
Jan 25	48,640	43,734	2,856	  318	  918	44 (+1)		28 (-1)		14
Jan 24	53,663	40,348	2,501	  242	  894	43 (+1)		29 (+2)		13
Jan 23	38,017	42,018	2,755	  215	  813	42 (-3)		27 (-1)		12
Jan 22	34,713	36,120	2,285	  220	  781	45 (+1)		28 (-1)		25
Jan 21	37,409	46,831	3,160	  244	  813	44 (-5)		29 (+1)		21
Jan 20	37,420	40,626	2,639	  232	  825	49 (-1)		28 (-2)		15
Jan 19	37,595	38,759	2,285	  248	  821	50 (+1)		30 (+1)		16
Jan 18	40,303	33,493	2,002	  264	  810	49 (-3)		29 (-8)		14
Jan 17	41,486	28,780	1,815	  203	  802	52 (-7)		37 (-4)		11
Jan 16	28,179	26,169	1,614	  159	  734	59 (+0)		41 (+1)		16 
Jan 15	25,188	25,034	1,644	  202	  711	59 (-1)		40 (+4)		16
Jan 14	25,883	23,614	1,519	  215	  757	60 (-4)		36 (-2)		15
Jan 13	23,776	25,751	1,822	  194	  755	64 (-9)		38 (-8)		20
Jan 12	22,575	24,343	1,614	  215	  751	73 (+0)		46 (+0)		25
Jan 11	22,656	22,936	1,459	  181	  754	73 (-1)		46 (-1)		14
Jan 10	23,244	14,414	  941	  156	  777	74 (-3)		47 (-3)		 9 
Jan 09	16,330	19,248	1,327	  126	  723	77 (-1) 	50 (-2) 	14 
Jan 08	13,573	12,588	  984	  161	  730	78 (+0) 	52 (-1) 	28 
Jan 07	14,434	18,261	1,482	  186	  755	78 (-4) 	53 (+4) 	10  
Jan 06	15,417	25,995	2,027	  161	  756	82 (+2) 	47 (-2) 	11  
Jan 05	17,577	28,283	2,083	  204	  784	80 (+3) 	49 (+2) 	15
Jan 04	23,698	23,372	1,701	  229	  792	77 (+4) 	47 (+1) 	15
Jan 03*	25,617	 8,801	  532	  169	  770	73 (-3) 	46 (-4) 	 5
Jan 02  19,906 	 7,550	  404	  163	  709	76 (+3) 	50 (+1) 	15
Jan 01   8,631	20,885	1,049	  139	  647	73 (+0) 	49 (+0) 	 5
Dec 31   9,728	17,605	1,090	  177	  641	73 (-2) 	49 (-1) 	11
Dec 30  19,927	21,403	1,123	  178	  665	75 (-2) 	50 (-2) 	 9
Dec 29  17,245	23,228	1,205	  173	  675	77 (+6) 	52 (+2) 	16
Dec 28  21,955	13,000	  670	  177	  666	71 (+1) 	50 (+4) 	14
Dec 27  22,616	16,164	  639	  115	  608	70 (-1) 	46 (-2) 	 7
Dec 26  10,965	14,844	  644	  123	  579	71 (-2) 	43 (+1) 	13
Dec 25   7,853	10,027	  463	   86	  522	73 (-1) 	44 (+5) 	10
Dec 24   7,054	11,229	  527	  134	  509	74 (+2) 	39 (+1) 	14
Dec 23  12,605	12,487	  613	  158	  541	72 (+6) 	38 (+1)		15
Dec 22  11,591	13,386	  531	  126	  524	66 (-1) 	37 (+2)		14 
Dec 21  13,011	13,558	  501	  121	  526	67 (+1) 	35 (+2)		17
Dec 20  13,288	10,082	  ---	   85	  581	66 (+3) 	33 (-2)		 8
Dec 19  10,231 	 8,212
Dec 18  10,049 	 8,594
Dec 17  10.614	11,194
Dec 16  10,171 	 9,999
Dec 15  10,775 	 8,773	  ---	   96	  508	66 (+0)		43 (-3)		 9
Dec 13  10,294 	 7,799	  ---	   61	  480	64 (-1)		42 (+0)		 9
Dec 12   6,986 	 5,989	  ---	   82	  468	65 (+5)		42 (+6)	 	 9
Dec 08   6,560 	 6,629	  ---	   72	  461	66 (-1)		38 (-1)		 7
Dec 01   4,464 	 5,120	  ---	   88	  439	35 (+1)		35 (+1)		14



Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks)
pre:
Date      		Bed Availability
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31 January  	313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available
24 January  	322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available
17 January  	328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available
10 January  	331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available
03 January  	331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available
27 December	316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 
20 December 	317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December 	319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
06 December 	310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November	318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
Sourcea:
https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Why are the 15th and 16th the exact same number of reported cases?

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather

Oracle posted:

Why are the 15th and 16th the exact same number of reported cases?

Because 70 is the same as 40?

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

cant cook creole bream posted:

Because 70 is the same as 40?

drat I guess it is time to get my eyes checked.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Mebh posted:

I'm gonna go with 7 hours of blindness as my excuse for not doing that... Thanks!

Aura migraine buddy, :( :respek: :jebstare: get better man

Oracle posted:

drat I guess it is time to get my eyes checked.

It's not healthy to stare into a projector like that!

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
I kinda ran out of comments today. Just getting to that stage of 'beatings will continue until morale improves'.

Either everyone gets BA.2 (I guess there'll be some asymptotic decay unless you can get it again after a few months), or The Next Strain escapes and arrives via Kastrup Airport.

We're getting 40,000 cases a day, 2.3 million infections of which like, 75% are BA.1 or .2, and 2000 re-infections a day, assume all delta or prior.

So there's 3.5 million uninfected Danes left, which is 87 days at this rate.

Going to plot case numbers on a log scale and see if there's an hint of a exponential decay yet.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
https://twitter.com/BadLegalTakes/status/1494114172421885953?s=20&t=iHJKXUHLf-2RW4m2fGhRFw

Man, this stuff is getting so tiring.

TL;DR: Somebody made a fake court decree from a fake court charging vaccine makers with murder.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

Do we have any understanding of why (in many places, not everywhere) Omicron receded as quickly as it spiked?

More importantly, is there any reason to believe - even putting aside new variants for the moment - we won't just have another Omicron spike as high as the one we went through in, say, another month? And another month after that?

I ask because the Victorian state govt is rolling back some of the last remaining restrictions:

https://twitter.com/theage/status/1494112138314792960

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
1) seemed to infect a significant amount of the vulnerable population 2) protective measures 3) relatively high rates of vaccination meant that there weren't a lot of people to spread to in light of 1 and 2.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

1) would affect deaths not cases; 2) was largely unimplemented in the US or largely already in place in places like Australia; 3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection.

The only thing that I can think of is what you might call a grassroots lockdown - people just choosing not to go to the restaurant, not to visit friends, drive instead of catch public transport etc. (I know that mobility and spending data suggests this was at least partly the case in Australia at the peak of the wave.) Which worries me because it suggests that as people emerge again we're just going to do it all over again in March.

Tarezax
Sep 12, 2009

MORT cancels dance: interrupted by MORT
I think also in each wave you're going to see the infections generally spread via those engaged in the riskiest behaviors first and hit the people around them, and once those social circles are exhausted the effective rate of transmission drops way down, alongside the grassroots lockdown effect.

Epicurius
Apr 10, 2010
College Slice

freebooter posted:

3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection.

It's my understanding that while vaccines are less effective against omnicron than they have been against earlier variants, they still reduce risk of infection, and also transmissibility among people who are infected.

It's also possible that between vaccination and omnicron, there are a lot of infected people who are subclinical...either asymptomatic or their symptoms aren't severe enough that they bother to go to a doctor or get tested. So it's possible more people are infected and it's just not reflected in the numbers.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

freebooter posted:

1) would affect deaths not cases; 2) was largely unimplemented in the US or largely already in place in places like Australia; 3) the entire problem of Omicron was that vaccination was no longer particularly strong against infection.

The only thing that I can think of is what you might call a grassroots lockdown - people just choosing not to go to the restaurant, not to visit friends, drive instead of catch public transport etc. (I know that mobility and spending data suggests this was at least partly the case in Australia at the peak of the wave.) Which worries me because it suggests that as people emerge again we're just going to do it all over again in March.

idk about australia and can't speak to it, but some liberal parts of the us absolutely instituted/reinstituted/continued stricter measures). Similarly, yeah, when cases go up, people stay in a lot more and take fewer risks on a fairly broad level. To be clearer, by 1) I meant susceptible more than vulnerable.

anyways 40% of americans have been boosted, something like 75% have been vaccinated and a significant amount of those have had covid, many recently, so there is a substantial amount of immune protection floating around. 2 shot vaccines weren't providing complete protection, but they, at this point, appear to have provided significant protection against more extreme outcomes with omicron, though obviously the 3rd shot appears to provide by far the strongest protection. with how contagious it is, it appears to have spread quite readily through most populations that were particularly unprotected against covid.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
Really loving good article, especially for showing to friends/acquaintances who don't get why this is a big deal for the immunocompromised

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/covid-pandemic-immunocompromised-risk-vaccines/622094/

e: money quote


quote:

And perhaps worst of all, immunocompromised people began to be outright dismissed by their friends, relatives, and colleagues because of the misleading narrative that Omicron is mild. The variant bypassed some of the defenses that even immunocompetent people had built up, rendered several antibody treatments ineffective, and swamped the health-care system that immunocompromised people rely on. And yet one of Wallace’s patients was told by their sister that no one is dying anymore. In fact, people are still dying, and immunocompromised people disproportionately so. Ignoring that sends an implicit message: Your lives don’t matter.

A big flaming stink fucked around with this message at 21:08 on Feb 17, 2022

generic one
Oct 2, 2004

I wish I was a little bit taller
I wish I was a baller
I wish I had a wookie in a hat with a bat
And a six four Impala


Nap Ghost
WA becomes the next state that’ll drop indoor masking mandates (in most settings):

https://twitter.com/bymikebaker/status/1494433110674456594?s=21

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

A big flaming stink posted:

Really loving good article, especially for showing to friends/acquaintances who don't get why this is a big deal for the immunocompromised

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/covid-pandemic-immunocompromised-risk-vaccines/622094/

e: money quote

The author was tweeting about this yesterday and used the word "limbo" to describe what it's like for immunocompromised people right now, which I think is bang on the money. My partner's immunocompromised but (thankfully) on the lower end of the vulnerability scale, and obviously we're still being super careful, but... it's only a matter of time. We're all inevitably going to get it. And not knowing how it will play out, despite her having had four shots, is very unpleasant.

It's also a bizarre feeling to see everybody else rushing back out to the bars and restaurants while we're still basically doing nothing. I don't begrudge them for it, but there was a sense of solidarity when Melbourne was still doing the lockdowns and pursuing COVID-zero, and it's jarring to be reminded that for most people COVID was only ever about the lockdowns (again, not to downplay how hard they were). And that's in a place with a government that genuinely did try, for a very long time. If we lived in the US or the UK I would have lost total faith in humanity halfway through 2020.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

freebooter posted:

Do we have any understanding of why (in many places, not everywhere) Omicron receded as quickly as it spiked?

More importantly, is there any reason to believe - even putting aside new variants for the moment - we won't just have another Omicron spike as high as the one we went through in, say, another month? And another month after that?

I ask because the Victorian state govt is rolling back some of the last remaining restrictions:

https://twitter.com/theage/status/1494112138314792960

Same reason as Arizona in June 2020 and many places thereafter (India with Delta). The susceptible population gets it and gets a 4 week immunity or so, a bunch of people get scared and avoid it, and it recedes until the next wave

Barry Foster
Dec 24, 2007

What is going wrong with that one (face is longer than it should be)

freebooter posted:

The author was tweeting about this yesterday and used the word "limbo" to describe what it's like for immunocompromised people right now, which I think is bang on the money. My partner's immunocompromised but (thankfully) on the lower end of the vulnerability scale, and obviously we're still being super careful, but... it's only a matter of time. We're all inevitably going to get it. And not knowing how it will play out, despite her having had four shots, is very unpleasant.

It's also a bizarre feeling to see everybody else rushing back out to the bars and restaurants while we're still basically doing nothing. I don't begrudge them for it, but there was a sense of solidarity when Melbourne was still doing the lockdowns and pursuing COVID-zero, and it's jarring to be reminded that for most people COVID was only ever about the lockdowns (again, not to downplay how hard they were). And that's in a place with a government that genuinely did try, for a very long time. If we lived in the US or the UK I would have lost total faith in humanity halfway through 2020.

I'm in the UK and I'm flat out nostalgic for that exact same sense of solidarity that was in the air in those first few months of the pandemic, where everyone was scared enough to actually Give A poo poo about themselves and each other, and the grifters, libertarians and outright psychos (but I repeat myself) hadn't found their angle yet and started deranging the population. I've never experienced that feeling of shared purpose before and I expect I never will again.

It was early 2021 or so that I lost what little faith in humanity I still had

Craptacular!
Jul 9, 2001

Fuck the DH
I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel.

There was one goon who would come around in this thread early on, raving about how the pandemic would change dating forever and giving tips on survival sex in a world where pillars of society are extinct concepts. There's a few bugout bunker people like that in the world, but most people would rather party when the bombs that kill us all drop than shelter and preparing to live in a Mad Max world that remains.

Craptacular! fucked around with this message at 07:54 on Feb 18, 2022

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
I think that once children are being vaccinated you'll see nearly all domestic american support for continued (to say nothing of new) restrictive pandemic measures dry up. Obviously some handful of people will continue to advocate for restrictions and it's going to gently caress over immunocompromised people, but at that point the two main groups get what they want: vaccines for those who want vaccines and the end of restrictions for those who just want everything open and to not have to take vaccines

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
until the next turbocharged variant comes along, of course.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

Herstory Begins Now posted:

I think that once children are being vaccinated you'll see nearly all domestic american support for continued (to say nothing of new) restrictive pandemic measures dry up.

There's no restrictions left here in DK and we're seeing almost 1% of the population getting BA.2 a day.

The elderly, heavily comorbid, and immuno-compromised are not even an afterthought as far as I can tell, and Danes seem to be fine letting the young go unvaccinated until it's formally approved.

Life is back to the new normal.

Ed: until the next turbocharged variant indeed

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather
Thinking up secenarios for a new variant is a futile endeavour. They will come regardless of wether there is a strong lockdown right now.

Mendrian
Jan 6, 2013

generic one posted:

WA becomes the next state that’ll drop indoor masking mandates (in most settings):

https://twitter.com/bymikebaker/status/1494433110674456594?s=21

I already did an effort post in the Seattle thread but I am beyond pissed that my reward for dodging COVID in full time retail for two years is just loving nothing but grist for number. I am not even a little surprised but I am pissed.

Rochallor
Apr 23, 2010

ふっっっっっっっっっっっっck

Barry Foster posted:

I'm in the UK and I'm flat out nostalgic for that exact same sense of solidarity that was in the air in those first few months of the pandemic, where everyone was scared enough to actually Give A poo poo about themselves and each other, and the grifters, libertarians and outright psychos (but I repeat myself) hadn't found their angle yet and started deranging the population. I've never experienced that feeling of shared purpose before and I expect I never will again.

It was early 2021 or so that I lost what little faith in humanity I still had

Craptacular! posted:

I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel.

A large part of it I think is, outside the first few months of the pandemic, the part of their lives people have been expected and encouraged to sacrifice is their free time, and not the 8-16 hours a day they spend working. If you're working at Starbucks wrangling angry customers who aren't masked up all day, are you going to head right home afterwards and maybe hold a game of Werewolf or something on Zoom? No, you're gonna go out to the bar and get hosed up because your life sucks and you're in danger already. If the Almighty Number hadn't come a ringing, I think people would have cashed those stimulus and unemployment checks and been willing to stay at home a little longer then they did.

lllllllllllllllllll
Feb 28, 2010

Now the scene's lighting is perfect!
I'm an idiot and I want to know how one Covid variant is seemingly being "replaced" by another. Was not the first (two?) Covid variant more severe than the actual one? How have they disappeared? I understand that the actual one (Omicron) are easier to transmit but these are not mutually exclusive, right? Or maybe they have not disappeared at all. If so, why are safety measures being abolished in Europe now? Sorry if this is stupid. Thanks!

Pingui
Jun 4, 2006

WTF?
My completely layman's answer to your question(-s).

lllllllllllllllllll posted:

I'm an idiot and I want to know how one Covid variant is seemingly being "replaced" by another. Was not the first (two?) Covid variant more severe than the actual one?

Severity doesn't necessarily track with infectiousness. Omicron 1 is about as severe as Alpha, but less severe than Delta.

lllllllllllllllllll posted:

How have they disappeared?

The process is usually explained as a more infectious variant infecting the potentials of the less infectious variant. E.g. you get infected with Omicron and can't get infected with Delta, and because Omicron is more infectious it essentially closes the avenues for Delta spread. However, when it happens we will usually see the old variant rummaging around reff 1 prior to takeover and considering the time scale I think a more likely reason is that people change behavior (by government decree or otherwise) when a new variant turns up, decreasing the reff below 1 on the old variant.

lllllllllllllllllll posted:

I understand that the actual one (Omicron) are easier to transmit but these are not mutually exclusive, right? Or maybe they have not disappeared at all.

They are mutually exclusive to an extent, but see above. From genetic sequencing we can see that they do disappear, but as we saw with Omicron building on Wildtype rather than Delta, there might still be reservoirs. They just aren't where we get genetic sequencing from, so e.g. Africa is mostly a data blank.

lllllllllllllllllll posted:

If so, why are safety measures being abolished in Europe now? Sorry if this is stupid. Thanks!

Omicron isn't mild and won't be the last variant, so they really shouldn't be abolishing safety measures. But :capitalism:

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






Ok I'm no expert but here's how I think this all works:

If a variant has a fitness advantage over another one then it tends to outcompete the other ones. That fitness advantage can be anything that makes it more fit in a population. For example it looks like Omicron has an ability to evade immunity somewhat, meaning that in a population with high seroprevalence (either due to vaccination or infection) it can infect more people than say Delta, and it'll take over.

In naive populations (no vaccines or infections) omicron might not have enough advantage over Delta and it wouldn't gain as much ground.

This could also explain to some degree why omicron is "mild". If you already have immunity you can more easily get infected by omicron, but because of your immunitythe disease won't nearly be as bad. Omicron is mild in most people, if they have previous immunity.

Another fitness advantage could be that virus particles stay viable for longer, more particles produced, better evasion of the innate immune system, making people less sick so they don't quarantine, etc. It doesn't have to be all spike binding all the time. But most science being done now is based on spike changes and antibody neutralization assays, because those are relatively quick to do.

I'm not sure the jury is out on why Delta took over but it seems to be that the infection kinetics are such that it just reproduces a whole lot more than previous variants, making viral loads peak earlier and higher than with previous variants and as such makes it spread more. (But afaik this has only been described by PCR Ct values, not PFU assays)

It's likely that Omicron has been cooking up for a while now and only now had the potential to become dominant over Delta since so many people have been vaccinated or previously infected already.

That being said, there's no real reason why multiple variants couldn't circulate at the same time, and in fact they do.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Rochallor posted:

A large part of it I think is, outside the first few months of the pandemic, the part of their lives people have been expected and encouraged to sacrifice is their free time, and not the 8-16 hours a day they spend working. If you're working at Starbucks wrangling angry customers who aren't masked up all day, are you going to head right home afterwards and maybe hold a game of Werewolf or something on Zoom? No, you're gonna go out to the bar and get hosed up because your life sucks and you're in danger already. If the Almighty Number hadn't come a ringing, I think people would have cashed those stimulus and unemployment checks and been willing to stay at home a little longer then they did.

I don't even mind my computer-toucher job, but at some point of this



you just kind of have to wonder if that kind of life makes any sense. Unfortunately that's what most of the western countries settlened on, and I'm sure I mentioned before that I would've liked the stronger measures to actually stop the spread instead of this half-assed stuff we ended up with. It's kind of the worst of both worlds, still pretty severe restrictions from time to time but we still get most of the deaths that would come from yoloing it like Sweden.

legsarerequired
Dec 31, 2007
College Slice
My employer returned everyone to a hybrid schedule this week and here are my thoughts.

- I wear an Envo mask every day. Previously I preferred the Aura masks but now I feel like the Envo is less itchy if I have to wear a mask for eight straight hours. Also recently the Envo seems better at preventing glasses-fogging than the Auras. I gained 10 pounds over the past month and my face is definitely rounder now, so maybe the Envo seals better with my chubbier face. The one downside is that the Envo muffles my voice much more than the aura, even without the face plate.

- I'm one of five employees wearing masks. I'm the only one with an elastomeric.

- My cubicle neighbor has been coughing more and more over the past two days, which she says is due to tree pollen. It's frustrating because she is allowed to work remotely but she has decided to come into the office even though she's coughing a bunch.
Yesterday I also began hearing coughing from the other side of the floor.
Our official policy is that people with symptoms need to stay out of the office until they have a negative test. If we suspect someone is not following the policy, we are supposed to talk to a manager or HR.
I feel like this policy places me in a lovely position where either I ignore people coughing at my own risk or I alienate myself for tattling on other people who may have already gotten a negative test anyway.
I sent a vague e-mail to HR where I pretended I didn't know who was coughing and I said I felt unsafe. They told me to talk to my manager.
I guess in a few days I'll take a PCR test and see what happens.

- Hybrid schedules do keep the office less populated. Today I think it will just be myself and one other person working our corner of the office. It also looks like managers are much more open to people coming and going with more flexibility. The place becomes a ghost town after about 3pm.

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Buffer
May 6, 2007
I sometimes turn down sex and blowjobs from my girlfriend because I'm too busy posting in D&D. PS: She used my credit card to pay for this.

Craptacular! posted:

I think it's simply just a matter of time. People only live a certain number of decades, and a number of life milestones are reasonably only achievable within a certain window, so asking the public to accept a mentality equivalent to Airborne AIDS for five years isn't going to happen. A certain number of people will want to do things young people do while they're still defined as young, others will do something because they need to survive, others just feel themselves getting older and that they're being asked to spend too much of their lives inactive and isolated as a public service. And the longer it goes on the more it feels like if your selfish indulgence actually did get someone else sick that they were going to get sick eventually anyhow because there is no light at the end of the tunnel.

There was one goon who would come around in this thread early on, raving about how the pandemic would change dating forever and giving tips on survival sex in a world where pillars of society are extinct concepts. There's a few bugout bunker people like that in the world, but most people would rather party when the bombs that kill us all drop than shelter and preparing to live in a Mad Max world that remains.

Which is why we should've taken it seriously to begin with, locked down hard and been over and done with it 2 years ago like China did.

It's not the people pushing for precautions that are prolonging this.

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