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Which horse film is your favorite?
This poll is closed.
Black Beauty 2 1.06%
A Talking Pony!?! 4 2.13%
Mr. Hands 2x Apple Flavor 117 62.23%
War Horse 11 5.85%
Mr. Hands 54 28.72%
Total: 188 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

freebooter posted:

The notion that the American CDC staff based in Beijing (which, according to a quick google, were cut by Trump from 47 down to 17) would have made a pivotal difference when weighed up against, uh, the entire Chinese state health apparatus.

That's one of several activities; there was, for example, a CDC monitoring center in Wuhan, iirc at the institute that had conspiracies about being the source of the virus, as well as a USAID-based monitoring initiative. There was a whole infrastructure put in place after SARS that got gutted during the Trump admin.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 00:07 on Feb 22, 2022

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Gio
Jun 20, 2005


Charles 2 of Spain posted:

Definitely not a fan of giving the cops mask enforcement power, but I reckon a lot of people are going to start doing it regardless.

Cops are notoriously anti-mask, anti-vax, and did nothing to enforce masking yet, miraculously somehow, many places in the US convinced people to wear masks.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

Discendo Vox posted:

That's one of several activities; there was, for example, a CDC monitoring center in Wuhan, iirc institute that had conspiracies about being the source of the virus, as well as a USAID-based monitoring initiative. There was a whole infrastructure put in place after SARS that got gutted during the Trump admin.

OK, but why would you assume that infrastructure was superior to whatever infrastructure the Chinese government itself has in place, in its own country, presumably much more extensive and sophisticated? (We aren't talking about the Congo here.) On top of that, why would you assume that whatever an American observation post might have noticed would have any influence or bearing on domestic Chinese policy? This is peak America-centric thinking.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

We don't need to have that dialogue because it's obvious, trivial, and has already been had a thousand times.

freebooter posted:

OK, but why would you assume that infrastructure was superior to whatever infrastructure the Chinese government itself has in place, in its own country, presumably much more extensive and sophisticated? (We aren't talking about the Congo here.) On top of that, why would you assume that whatever an American observation post might have noticed would have any influence or bearing on domestic Chinese policy? This is peak America-centric thinking.

Because the programs were an integral part of the mutually agreed upon and coordinated disease monitoring in the area. They weren't operating out of some shack next to China's research center; they cofunded the center and the US supplied a large portion of the staff and research funding. More broadly, you should not assume that China's disease monitoring systems pre-covid 19 were in fact all that extensive and sophisticated; the CDC developed a lot of the vocabulary and methodologies of disease response and tracking, and like with FDA inspection and classification infra, other countries, including China, imitate it or rely on its policies as a cheaper alternative to developing their own (the EU's often an exception, to mixed results). If that sounds disturbing given known issues with CDC or FDA, then, yes, it is. For large portions of international law and regulation and policy and infra, there's less "there" there than we'd like to think.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

Discendo Vox posted:

They weren't operating out of some shack next to China's research center; they cofunded the center and the US supplied a large portion of the staff and research funding.

In other words China also cofounded it and provided most of the staff and research funding.

Even if you want to assume that some plucky American scientists :911: could have rung earlier alarm bells than their Chinese counterparts - and I don't see how they could have done so before people were already presenting with pneumonia in Wuhan hospitals in December 2019 - it's another huge leap to assume this would have made a significant difference in the CCP's response, especially to the point of preventing the virus from escaping the country and thus preventing the pandemic.

bltzn
Oct 26, 2020

For the record I do not have a foot fetish.

Steen71 posted:

And if I had suggested this to people here pre-Covid, I'm pretty sure you would all have considered it equally ridiculous.

I probably would have, but then, you know, a pandemic happened.

mastershakeman
Oct 28, 2008

by vyelkin

Discendo Vox posted:

That's one of several activities; there was, for example, a CDC monitoring center in Wuhan, iirc at the institute that had conspiracies about being the source of the virus, as well as a USAID-based monitoring initiative. There was a whole infrastructure put in place after SARS that got gutted during the Trump admin.

With better data and information about how severe covid actually was from better early warning, about all that would have changed is no expanded unemployment benefits of $600/week

Smeef
Aug 15, 2003

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!



Pillbug

the holy poopacy posted:

What you describe was largely a part of life in many Southeast Asian population centers long before 2020. What seems outlandish and unreasonable to you is normal and pedestrian to many people.

This point is not true. I've lived in the majority of the countries in Southeast Asia and worked significantly in every country in South, Southeast, and East Asia, with the exception of North Korea, Brunei, Bhutan, and Timor-Leste. Before 2020, people wearing surgical masks was not an everyday thing. Yes, I'd occasionally see individuals doing it. It was rare enough that I noticed, common enough that I wasn't wondering "wtf is this person doing." Only exceptions I can think of were years when swidden or wildfires made the air unbreathable, and in my experience wearing a mask made no difference in those cases. I still got awful respiratory infections.

That said, I'm all for people wearing masks when it's the responsible thing to do (e.g., I have a light cold but have to go in public). I personally have learned to recognize that I like wearing a mask on public transportation, too, since another behavior in the region that is unfortunately common is uncovered sneezing and coughing.

the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

Smeef posted:

This point is not true. I've lived in the majority of the countries in Southeast Asia and worked significantly in every country in South, Southeast, and East Asia, with the exception of North Korea, Brunei, Bhutan, and Timor-Leste. Before 2020, people wearing surgical masks was not an everyday thing. Yes, I'd occasionally see individuals doing it. It was rare enough that I noticed, common enough that I wasn't wondering "wtf is this person doing." Only exceptions I can think of were years when swidden or wildfires made the air unbreathable, and in my experience wearing a mask made no difference in those cases. I still got awful respiratory infections.

That said, I'm all for people wearing masks when it's the responsible thing to do (e.g., I have a light cold but have to go in public). I personally have learned to recognize that I like wearing a mask on public transportation, too, since another behavior in the region that is unfortunately common is uncovered sneezing and coughing.

Fair enough, I had been led to believe it was much more widespread (although still largely a minority.)

The point remains though that it's a negligible imposition that many people already do put up with for work.

Smeef
Aug 15, 2003

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!



Pillbug

the holy poopacy posted:

Fair enough, I had been led to believe it was much more widespread (although still largely a minority.)

The point remains though that it's a negligible imposition that many people already do put up with for work.

Yeah, I don't disagree. There are so many simple things people could do to reduce unnecessary misery.


freebooter posted:

In other words China also cofounded it and provided most of the staff and research funding.

Even if you want to assume that some plucky American scientists :911: could have rung earlier alarm bells than their Chinese counterparts - and I don't see how they could have done so before people were already presenting with pneumonia in Wuhan hospitals in December 2019 - it's another huge leap to assume this would have made a significant difference in the CCP's response, especially to the point of preventing the virus from escaping the country and thus preventing the pandemic.

Playing devil's advocate here, because I don't think the CDC China thing alone would have had a dramatic effect, though it is representative of how institutions had been degraded prior to the pandemic —

More funding and capacity at the margins can make a big difference in many endeavors, especially small ones. A handful of staff can be the difference in having or not having an entire research project or organizational function. Virology in particular seems like it was a tiny niche community, before Covid popularized it and turned every member of the twitterati into an expert. Seemingly everyone of any stature in virology personally knows everyone else.

In the particular case of China, having more global staff (not necessarily Americans) there might have mitigated some of that early information suppression and communication failure. China possibly would have been less willing to censor non-Chinese, and Americans tend to listen more to non-Chinese sources. I recall that early in the pandemic, when it was unclear which sources were reputable, when people were scoffing at images of Chinese 'security theatre', American and European virologists were vouching for the expertise of their Chinese peers. Maybe if there'd been more international voices on the ground there saying 'this poo poo is no joke', responses would have been more decisive. That's a big maybe, though, because I imagine the response just would have been 'shut up you virus nerds.'

Steen71
Apr 10, 2017

Fun Shoe

droll posted:

Are you trolling? Yes helmets should be mandatory because it prevents head injuries and long term disabilities. I can't stop other riders and drivers from unsafe behavior hurting me. I wear a helmet.

You wear a helmet for walking around and driving your car? I find that very hard to believe.


Mellow Seas posted:

I was talking to a friend recently who remembered that after her child was born (~2014), her mother-in-law wore a mask voluntarily when she came to visit because she had a cold. Now, to said M-I-L, masks are Satanic, and when my friend reminds her she wore one once, just to be a decent person, she has no memory of it.

And I would absolutely be in favour of asking people to wear masks if they had symptoms or were feeling under the weather; I would do it myself. That's not the same as a three-month mask mandate for everyone every year. Especially people who work lovely jobs for a lovely pay.


Gio posted:

Seems as though [Covid]'s an important detail.

But this is what we're talking about now. Not Covid, but regular flus like we were used to have. Because apparently we should have a "zero deaths from infectious diseases" policy.


Raiad posted:

I would certainly hope that helmet wearing would be mandatory if it was possible to spread head injuries by infection.

It was a silly reply to a silly non sequitur.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010

dude why do you keep speaking of wearing a mask like it's this horrible imposition

It's loving easy as poo poo, literally no more difficult than hand washing

James Garfield
May 5, 2012
Am I a manipulative abuser in real life, or do I just roleplay one on the Internet for fun? You decide!
Masks aren't that bad compared to other things but wearing a mask is worse than not wearing one. If it were really negligible we would all be wearing masks at home. There are also things that are hard or impossible to do with a mask on.
That doesn't mean you shouldn't wear a mask, but I don't really see the point of talking about how wearing a mask is nothing.

(also masks aren't the only thing you can do that prevents covid for little inconvenience to you and that a bunch of people still refuse to do because something something freedom, there exists a much better example of that)

Steen71
Apr 10, 2017

Fun Shoe

A big flaming stink posted:

dude why do you keep speaking of wearing a mask like it's this horrible imposition

It's loving easy as poo poo, literally no more difficult than hand washing

I don't know which kind of mask you're using, but FFp2 masks (I think they're called KN95s elsewhere?) definitely aren't easy to breathe through - as they shouldn't be. Also I JUST said I'd still use it if I were having symptoms.

Do you work retail?

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 21 February 2022

About deaths: I mentioned before that about half the total cases to date by 31 January were in January 2022. And about 1/4 the total cases were in December 2021.

If it takes about a month to do the "exposed, symptomatic, hospital, ICU, dead" then I would expect death rates in February to be double that of January.

The old Mk I eyeball on the "Dødsfald pr. dag" chart says average death rates were about 12 or so per day mean in January, with an increase towards the latter part of the month. February we're in the 26-27 range?

I was worried BA.2 would be driving a higher CFR, but it doesn't seem obvious on first inspection.





Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day
pre:
	Actual	Reported	New	Total
Date	Cases	Cases	Reinf.	Hosp.	Hosp.	ICU		Vent		Dead
==============================================================================================
Feb 21	   ---	28,883	1,477	  397	1,717	44 (+4)		17 (-1)		29
Feb 20	20,227	25,690	1,381	  241	1,587	40 (+3)		18 (+0)		34
Feb 19	24,906	33,304	1,837	  399	1,546	37 (+4)		18 (-1)		28
Feb 18	26,730	38,086	1,615	  459	1,615	33 (+2)		19 (+5)		43
Feb 17	34,060	40,600	2,158	  480	1,604	31 (+0)		14 (+0)		44
Feb 16	36,055	42,948	2,407	  459	1,498	31 (+0)		14 (+1)		24
Feb 15	42,006	42,978	2,200	  464	1,523	31 (+6)		13 (+2)		30
Feb 14	45,208	29,474	1,461	  333	1,465	25 (+0)		11 (+3)		41
Feb 13	35,589	38,323	2,039	  314	1,356	25 (-5)		 8 (-1)		30
Feb 12	32,624	44,350	2,259	  427	1,316	30 (-2)		 9 (+0)		37
Feb 11	38,889	48,170	2,968	  421	1,379	32 (-1)		 9 (+1)		24
Feb 10	45,111	53,747	3,205	  415	1,354	33 (-1)		12 (+1)		29
Feb 09	50,253	55,120	3,262	  451	1,332	34 (-5)		11 (-4)		21
Feb 08	55,575	49,798	2,759	  419	1,315	39 (+8)		15 (+3)		18
Feb 07	57,350	34,849	1,836	  314	1,294	31 (-3)		12 (+0)		28
Feb 06	42,234	36,512	1,841	  307	1,203	34 (+3)		12 (+0)		18
Feb 05	33,604	39,190	2,061	  370	1,138	31 (-2)		12 (-1)		35
Feb 04	37,192	40.179	2,241	  376	1,156	33 (+6)		13 (+1)		17
Feb 03	39,792	44,225	2,513	  365	1,116	27 (+1)		12 (-4)		21
Feb 02	40,476	55,001	2,992	  343	1,092	26 (-2)		16 (+2)		20
Feb 01	46,118	45,366	2,515	  337	1,070	28 (-4)		14 (-1)		15
Jan 31	56,397	29,084	1,478	  255	1,028	32 (+1)		15 (+0)		17
Jan 30	34,881	36,196	2,055	  231	  948	31 (-4)		15 (-4)		21
Jan 29	29,907	41,083	2,332	  271	  922	35 (+2)		19 (+0)		17
Jan 28	38,122	53,655	3,263	  305	  967	33 (-4)		19 (-3)		26
Jan 27	39,067	51,033	3,119	  318	  955	37 (-3)		22 (-3)		18
Jan 26	41,695	46,747	3,028	  298	  938	40 (-4)		25 (-3)		14
Jan 25	48,640	43,734	2,856	  318	  918	44 (+1)		28 (-1)		14
Jan 24	53,663	40,348	2,501	  242	  894	43 (+1)		29 (+2)		13
Jan 23	38,017	42,018	2,755	  215	  813	42 (-3)		27 (-1)		12
Jan 22	34,713	36,120	2,285	  220	  781	45 (+1)		28 (-1)		25
Jan 21	37,409	46,831	3,160	  244	  813	44 (-5)		29 (+1)		21
Jan 20	37,420	40,626	2,639	  232	  825	49 (-1)		28 (-2)		15
Jan 19	37,595	38,759	2,285	  248	  821	50 (+1)		30 (+1)		16
Jan 18	40,303	33,493	2,002	  264	  810	49 (-3)		29 (-8)		14
Jan 17	41,486	28,780	1,815	  203	  802	52 (-7)		37 (-4)		11
Jan 16	28,179	26,169	1,614	  159	  734	59 (+0)		41 (+1)		16 
Jan 15	25,188	25,034	1,644	  202	  711	59 (-1)		40 (+4)		16
Jan 14	25,883	23,614	1,519	  215	  757	60 (-4)		36 (-2)		15
Jan 13	23,776	25,751	1,822	  194	  755	64 (-9)		38 (-8)		20
Jan 12	22,575	24,343	1,614	  215	  751	73 (+0)		46 (+0)		25
Jan 11	22,656	22,936	1,459	  181	  754	73 (-1)		46 (-1)		14
Jan 10	23,244	14,414	  941	  156	  777	74 (-3)		47 (-3)		 9 
Jan 09	16,330	19,248	1,327	  126	  723	77 (-1) 	50 (-2) 	14 
Jan 08	13,573	12,588	  984	  161	  730	78 (+0) 	52 (-1) 	28 
Jan 07	14,434	18,261	1,482	  186	  755	78 (-4) 	53 (+4) 	10  
Jan 06	15,417	25,995	2,027	  161	  756	82 (+2) 	47 (-2) 	11  
Jan 05	17,577	28,283	2,083	  204	  784	80 (+3) 	49 (+2) 	15
Jan 04	23,698	23,372	1,701	  229	  792	77 (+4) 	47 (+1) 	15
Jan 03*	25,617	 8,801	  532	  169	  770	73 (-3) 	46 (-4) 	 5
Jan 02  19,906 	 7,550	  404	  163	  709	76 (+3) 	50 (+1) 	15
Jan 01   8,631	20,885	1,049	  139	  647	73 (+0) 	49 (+0) 	 5
Dec 31   9,728	17,605	1,090	  177	  641	73 (-2) 	49 (-1) 	11
Dec 30  19,927	21,403	1,123	  178	  665	75 (-2) 	50 (-2) 	 9
Dec 29  17,245	23,228	1,205	  173	  675	77 (+6) 	52 (+2) 	16
Dec 28  21,955	13,000	  670	  177	  666	71 (+1) 	50 (+4) 	14
Dec 27  22,616	16,164	  639	  115	  608	70 (-1) 	46 (-2) 	 7
Dec 26  10,965	14,844	  644	  123	  579	71 (-2) 	43 (+1) 	13
Dec 25   7,853	10,027	  463	   86	  522	73 (-1) 	44 (+5) 	10
Dec 24   7,054	11,229	  527	  134	  509	74 (+2) 	39 (+1) 	14
Dec 23  12,605	12,487	  613	  158	  541	72 (+6) 	38 (+1)		15
Dec 22  11,591	13,386	  531	  126	  524	66 (-1) 	37 (+2)		14 
Dec 21  13,011	13,558	  501	  121	  526	67 (+1) 	35 (+2)		17
Dec 20  13,288	10,082	  ---	   85	  581	66 (+3) 	33 (-2)		 8
Dec 19  10,231 	 8,212
Dec 18  10,049 	 8,594
Dec 17  10.614	11,194
Dec 16  10,171 	 9,999
Dec 15  10,775 	 8,773	  ---	   96	  508	66 (+0)		43 (-3)		 9
Dec 13  10,294 	 7,799	  ---	   61	  480	64 (-1)		42 (+0)		 9
Dec 12   6,986 	 5,989	  ---	   82	  468	65 (+5)		42 (+6)	 	 9
Dec 08   6,560 	 6,629	  ---	   72	  461	66 (-1)		38 (-1)		 7
Dec 01   4,464 	 5,120	  ---	   88	  439	35 (+1)		35 (+1)		14



Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks)
pre:
Date      		Bed Availability
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31 January  	313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available
24 January  	322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available
17 January  	328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available
10 January  	331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available
03 January  	331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available
27 December	316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 
20 December 	317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December 	319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
06 December 	310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November	318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
Sourcea:
https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 08:27 on Feb 22, 2022

droll
Jan 9, 2020

by Azathoth

Steen71 posted:

You wear a helmet for walking around and driving your car? I find that very hard to believe.

What is this strawman / joke poo poo? This is d&d. Engage or go away.

Fritz the Horse
Dec 26, 2019

... of course!

droll posted:

What is this strawman / joke poo poo? This is d&d. Engage or go away.

if you believe someone is not engaging in good faith, please report it.

droll
Jan 9, 2020

by Azathoth

Fritz the Horse posted:

if you believe someone is not engaging in good faith, please report it.

I did...

HazCat
May 4, 2009

Steen71 posted:

I don't know which kind of mask you're using, but FFp2 masks (I think they're called KN95s elsewhere?) definitely aren't easy to breathe through - as they shouldn't be. Also I JUST said I'd still use it if I were having symptoms.

Do you work retail?

I work in retail. I wear a P100 respirator at work. I wear it for 8 hour shifts, five days a week, and have done since November last year when Australia opened retail to the public. I take it off twice each day when I'm on break outdoors. It's honestly not a big deal.

If you find N95/P2s hard to breath through, I recommend getting some with valves. Masks don't need to be hard to breath through to be effective.

Also re: we don't wear masks at home - I don't wear pants at home because I find pants uncomfortable, but I wear pants in public because that's just a thing that we've agreed is necessary in this society.

freebooter
Jul 7, 2009

HazCat posted:

I work in retail. I wear a P100 respirator at work. I wear it for 8 hour shifts, five days a week, and have done since November last year when Australia opened retail to the public. I take it off twice each day when I'm on break outdoors. It's honestly not a big deal.

How many of your coworkers agree?

(I personally do think we should continue with indoor masks for both staff and customers outside of eating/drinking scenarios, but can we please not pretend they're totally chill and not an imposition at all. They suck! They just suck less than the alternative!)

StrugglingHoneybun
Jan 2, 2005

Aint no thing like me, 'cept me.

freebooter posted:

How many of your coworkers agree?

(I personally do think we should continue with indoor masks for both staff and customers outside of eating/drinking scenarios, but can we please not pretend they're totally chill and not an imposition at all. They suck! They just suck less than the alternative!)

They don't suck. They're comfy to breathe through and easy to wear.

Summit
Mar 6, 2004

David wanted you to have this.

StrugglingHoneybun posted:

They don't suck. They're comfy to breathe through and easy to wear.

Develop enough empathy to sense when your opinion might not be widely shared.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Denmark - 22 February 2022

Table 1. Actual and Reported Denmark COVID Cases reported per day
pre:
	Actual	Reported	New	Total
Date	Cases	Cases	Reinf.	Hosp.	Hosp.	ICU		Vent		Dead
==============================================================================================
Feb 22	   ---	30,480	1,707	  473	1,759	34(-10)		12 (-5)		34
Feb 21	20,894	28,883	1,477	  397	1,717	44 (+4)		17 (-1)		29
Feb 20	29,673	25,690	1,381	  241	1,587	40 (+3)		18 (+0)		34
Feb 19	24,927	33,304	1,837	  399	1,546	37 (+4)		18 (-1)		28
Feb 18	26,741	38,086	1,615	  459	1,615	33 (+2)		19 (+5)		43
Feb 17	34,062	40,600	2,158	  480	1,604	31 (+0)		14 (+0)		44
Feb 16	36,055	42,948	2,407	  459	1,498	31 (+0)		14 (+1)		24
Feb 15	42,006	42,978	2,200	  464	1,523	31 (+6)		13 (+2)		30
Feb 14	45,208	29,474	1,461	  333	1,465	25 (+0)		11 (+3)		41
Feb 13	35,589	38,323	2,039	  314	1,356	25 (-5)		 8 (-1)		30
Feb 12	32,624	44,350	2,259	  427	1,316	30 (-2)		 9 (+0)		37
Feb 11	38,889	48,170	2,968	  421	1,379	32 (-1)		 9 (+1)		24
Feb 10	45,111	53,747	3,205	  415	1,354	33 (-1)		12 (+1)		29
Feb 09	50,253	55,120	3,262	  451	1,332	34 (-5)		11 (-4)		21
Feb 08	55,575	49,798	2,759	  419	1,315	39 (+8)		15 (+3)		18
Feb 07	57,350	34,849	1,836	  314	1,294	31 (-3)		12 (+0)		28
Feb 06	42,234	36,512	1,841	  307	1,203	34 (+3)		12 (+0)		18
Feb 05	33,604	39,190	2,061	  370	1,138	31 (-2)		12 (-1)		35
Feb 04	37,192	40.179	2,241	  376	1,156	33 (+6)		13 (+1)		17
Feb 03	39,792	44,225	2,513	  365	1,116	27 (+1)		12 (-4)		21
Feb 02	40,476	55,001	2,992	  343	1,092	26 (-2)		16 (+2)		20
Feb 01	46,118	45,366	2,515	  337	1,070	28 (-4)		14 (-1)		15
Jan 31	56,397	29,084	1,478	  255	1,028	32 (+1)		15 (+0)		17
Jan 30	34,881	36,196	2,055	  231	  948	31 (-4)		15 (-4)		21
Jan 29	29,907	41,083	2,332	  271	  922	35 (+2)		19 (+0)		17
Jan 28	38,122	53,655	3,263	  305	  967	33 (-4)		19 (-3)		26
Jan 27	39,067	51,033	3,119	  318	  955	37 (-3)		22 (-3)		18
Jan 26	41,695	46,747	3,028	  298	  938	40 (-4)		25 (-3)		14
Jan 25	48,640	43,734	2,856	  318	  918	44 (+1)		28 (-1)		14
Jan 24	53,663	40,348	2,501	  242	  894	43 (+1)		29 (+2)		13
Jan 23	38,017	42,018	2,755	  215	  813	42 (-3)		27 (-1)		12
Jan 22	34,713	36,120	2,285	  220	  781	45 (+1)		28 (-1)		25
Jan 21	37,409	46,831	3,160	  244	  813	44 (-5)		29 (+1)		21
Jan 20	37,420	40,626	2,639	  232	  825	49 (-1)		28 (-2)		15
Jan 19	37,595	38,759	2,285	  248	  821	50 (+1)		30 (+1)		16
Jan 18	40,303	33,493	2,002	  264	  810	49 (-3)		29 (-8)		14
Jan 17	41,486	28,780	1,815	  203	  802	52 (-7)		37 (-4)		11
Jan 16	28,179	26,169	1,614	  159	  734	59 (+0)		41 (+1)		16 
Jan 15	25,188	25,034	1,644	  202	  711	59 (-1)		40 (+4)		16
Jan 14	25,883	23,614	1,519	  215	  757	60 (-4)		36 (-2)		15
Jan 13	23,776	25,751	1,822	  194	  755	64 (-9)		38 (-8)		20
Jan 12	22,575	24,343	1,614	  215	  751	73 (+0)		46 (+0)		25
Jan 11	22,656	22,936	1,459	  181	  754	73 (-1)		46 (-1)		14
Jan 10	23,244	14,414	  941	  156	  777	74 (-3)		47 (-3)		 9 
Jan 09	16,330	19,248	1,327	  126	  723	77 (-1) 	50 (-2) 	14 
Jan 08	13,573	12,588	  984	  161	  730	78 (+0) 	52 (-1) 	28 
Jan 07	14,434	18,261	1,482	  186	  755	78 (-4) 	53 (+4) 	10  
Jan 06	15,417	25,995	2,027	  161	  756	82 (+2) 	47 (-2) 	11  
Jan 05	17,577	28,283	2,083	  204	  784	80 (+3) 	49 (+2) 	15
Jan 04	23,698	23,372	1,701	  229	  792	77 (+4) 	47 (+1) 	15
Jan 03*	25,617	 8,801	  532	  169	  770	73 (-3) 	46 (-4) 	 5
Jan 02  19,906 	 7,550	  404	  163	  709	76 (+3) 	50 (+1) 	15
Jan 01   8,631	20,885	1,049	  139	  647	73 (+0) 	49 (+0) 	 5
Dec 31   9,728	17,605	1,090	  177	  641	73 (-2) 	49 (-1) 	11
Dec 30  19,927	21,403	1,123	  178	  665	75 (-2) 	50 (-2) 	 9
Dec 29  17,245	23,228	1,205	  173	  675	77 (+6) 	52 (+2) 	16
Dec 28  21,955	13,000	  670	  177	  666	71 (+1) 	50 (+4) 	14
Dec 27  22,616	16,164	  639	  115	  608	70 (-1) 	46 (-2) 	 7
Dec 26  10,965	14,844	  644	  123	  579	71 (-2) 	43 (+1) 	13
Dec 25   7,853	10,027	  463	   86	  522	73 (-1) 	44 (+5) 	10
Dec 24   7,054	11,229	  527	  134	  509	74 (+2) 	39 (+1) 	14
Dec 23  12,605	12,487	  613	  158	  541	72 (+6) 	38 (+1)		15
Dec 22  11,591	13,386	  531	  126	  524	66 (-1) 	37 (+2)		14 
Dec 21  13,011	13,558	  501	  121	  526	67 (+1) 	35 (+2)		17
Dec 20  13,288	10,082	  ---	   85	  581	66 (+3) 	33 (-2)		 8
Dec 19  10,231 	 8,212
Dec 18  10,049 	 8,594
Dec 17  10.614	11,194
Dec 16  10,171 	 9,999
Dec 15  10,775 	 8,773	  ---	   96	  508	66 (+0)		43 (-3)		 9
Dec 13  10,294 	 7,799	  ---	   61	  480	64 (-1)		42 (+0)		 9
Dec 12   6,986 	 5,989	  ---	   82	  468	65 (+5)		42 (+6)	 	 9
Dec 08   6,560 	 6,629	  ---	   72	  461	66 (-1)		38 (-1)		 7
Dec 01   4,464 	 5,120	  ---	   88	  439	35 (+1)		35 (+1)		14



Table 2: ICU Bed Usage, Weekly (reported every 2 weeks)
pre:
Date      		Bed Availability
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31 January  	313 ICU beds, 27 COVID, 75 available
24 January  	322 ICU beds, 38 COVID, 72 available
17 January  	328 ICU beds, 54 COVID, 66 available
10 January  	331 ICU beds, 72 COVID, 29 available
03 January  	331 ICU beds, 76 COVID, 32 available
27 December	316 ICU beds, 71 COVID, 62 available 
20 December 	317 ICU beds, 60 COVID, 59 available
13 December 	319 ICU beds, 64 COVID, 39 available
06 December 	310 ICU beds, 67 COVID, 10 available <-- squeaky bum time here
29 November	318 ICU beds, 61 COVID, 25 available
Sourcea:
https://www.rkkp.dk/kvalitetsdatabaser/databaser/dansk-intensiv-database/resultater/
https://covid19.ssi.dk/overvagningsdata/download-fil-med-overvaagningdata
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/242ec2acc014456295189631586f1d26
https://covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter/delta-pcr

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there
Looking at the drop in ICU and vent cases, my eyes slide right over to dødsfald. :(

Pingui, how are we on total bed spaces, I mean clearly at some point +50 hospitalized total a day hits a limit....

Pingui
Jun 4, 2006

WTF?

Rust Martialis posted:

Looking at the drop in ICU and vent cases, my eyes slide right over to dødsfald. :(

Pingui, how are we on total bed spaces, I mean clearly at some point +50 hospitalized total a day hits a limit....

I don't know of a source for that and I don't think the answer would really make sense, as I suspect the large backlog of surgeries entails healthcare in Denmark running more or less at capacity. More people hospitalized because of COVID therefore doesn't change utilization linearly, but it decreases the utilization for other needed surgery. You need to cap out, before you run out - (at which point you buy more beds and increase patients per nurse...) but naturally it would be disastrous before hitting that point.

So beds aren't limited per se, care is.

CSM
Jan 29, 2014

56th Motorized Infantry 'Mariupol' Brigade
Seh' die Welt in Trummern liegen

Rust Martialis posted:

Looking at the drop in ICU and vent cases, my eyes slide right over to dødsfald. :(

Pingui, how are we on total bed spaces, I mean clearly at some point +50 hospitalized total a day hits a limit....
Depends, are the hospital figures people who were hospitalized for Covid-19 or people who happened to test positive?

Pingui
Jun 4, 2006

WTF?

CSM posted:

Depends, are the hospital figures people who were hospitalized for Covid-19 or people who happened to test positive?

The numbers are obfuscated, so feel free to disagree with my eyeballing:



Week 51:
70% of ~800 = 560
4% of ~800 = 32

Week 4:
52% of ~1900 = 988
5% of ~1900 = 95

Source (latest report, so no breakdown for newest numbers): https://files.ssi.dk/covid19/tendensrapport/rapport/ugentlige-tendenser-covid19-andre-luftvejs-uge7-2022-5l9s

Pingui fucked around with this message at 16:16 on Feb 22, 2022

dwarf74
Sep 2, 2012



Buglord
Here's the OSF system, which includes one of our two major hospitals. December 15 vs Now. I'm not saying it's anywhere near over but... These are not the same.


Mellow Seas
Oct 9, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
I find masks pretty uncomfortable when I have to wear them for hours. :shrug:

Masks are also undeniably an impediment to human communication. Historically speaking, we like to look at the entire face of the people we are speaking to - it gives important contextual information for their words, it gives social cues, it helps us understand them through passive lip reading (especially people with hearing issues).

It's not realistic to just expect people to wear a mask all the time. Whether it's better to wear a mask or not depends on context (and right now, of course, in the vast majority of the world, the context says "put your drat mask on".)

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Mellow Seas posted:

I find masks pretty uncomfortable when I have to wear them for hours. :shrug:

Masks are also undeniably an impediment to human communication. Historically speaking, we like to look at the entire face of the people we are speaking to - it gives important contextual information for their words, it gives social cues, it helps us understand them through passive lip reading (especially people with hearing issues).

It's not realistic to just expect people to wear a mask all the time. Whether it's better to wear a mask or not depends on context (and right now, of course, in the vast majority of the world, the context says "put your drat mask on".)

Yeah I sense a bit of overcompensation. I have no significant issue wearing a KN-95 all day, which I do for work, but I’d much rather not wear one no matter how comfortable it is for both physical and social reasons.

A big flaming stink
Apr 26, 2010
Guess it's different for non cis people, the concealment is honestly a plus in my book

John_A_Tallon
Nov 22, 2000

Oh my! Check out that mitre!

HazCat posted:

I work in retail. I wear a P100 respirator at work. I wear it for 8 hour shifts, five days a week, and have done since November last year when Australia opened retail to the public. I take it off twice each day when I'm on break outdoors. It's honestly not a big deal.

If you find N95/P2s hard to breath through, I recommend getting some with valves. Masks don't need to be hard to breath through to be effective.

Also re: we don't wear masks at home - I don't wear pants at home because I find pants uncomfortable, but I wear pants in public because that's just a thing that we've agreed is necessary in this society.

You could wear a kilt

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus
I don't think it's that weird for people to see how shittily a bunch of nations dealt with a major pandemic and think "hmm, perhaps not only we should do better at dealing with this pandemic, but infectious disease in general???" I don't think a three month mask mandate every year is required, a government push to guarantee sick time and propaganda to shift culture away from encouraging people to come to work sick would probably make a dent in yearly flu numbers (much like even the US's half hearted covid measures did). The biggest hurdle I have seen in my personal experience is in service/retail sectors, which already has labor slashed to the bone and makes calling out something you will absolutely be resented and retaliated against for. (Ask me about being an FMLA eligible employee at a lovely retail company).

E: Not to say there's a snowball's chance of hell of this happening, this is absolutely a should rather than an is/will be.

Professor Beetus fucked around with this message at 18:15 on Feb 22, 2022

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

freebooter posted:

(I personally do think we should continue with indoor masks for both staff and customers outside of eating/drinking scenarios, but can we please not pretend they're totally chill and not an imposition at all. They suck! They just suck less than the alternative!)

There was an essay I read about the illogic of masking rules, and one of them was pretending that eating indoors while maskless is a safe activity.

The virus doesn't stop circulating bc people are shoving food into their mouths, and rather requiring masks while you're walking to your table or to the restroom but relinquishing them once you've sat down with 8 other people is a bizarre twist of logic.

The point being: If we're intent on eradicating opportunities for the virus to flourish that means to stop pretending that the virus takes a break while you're chowing down or getting loaded, which means stop going out to eat indoors, which afaik has not been forbidden in any u.s. city or state over the last year.

(That's setting aside one of my big hairballs about masking rules in restaurants, which is the optic of a masked servant class attending to maskless customers.)

Oracle
Oct 9, 2004

Willa Rogers posted:

There was an essay I read about the illogic of masking rules, and one of them was pretending that eating indoors while maskless is a safe activity.

The virus doesn't stop circulating bc people are shoving food into their mouths, and rather requiring masks while you're walking to your table or to the restroom but relinquishing them once you've sat down with 8 other people is a bizarre twist of logic.

The point being: If we're intent on eradicating opportunities for the virus to flourish that means to stop pretending that the virus takes a break while you're chowing down or getting loaded, which means stop going out to eat indoors, which afaik has not been forbidden in any u.s. city or state over the last year.

(That's setting aside one of my big hairballs about masking rules in restaurants, which is the optic of a masked servant class attending to maskless customers.)

Have to maintain that legal fiction of 'see we're keeping people safe' vs 'see you can still go out to eat oh god please tip your waitstaff we're dying'

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

Willa Rogers posted:

There was an essay I read about the illogic of masking rules, and one of them was pretending that eating indoors while maskless is a safe activity.

The virus doesn't stop circulating bc people are shoving food into their mouths, and rather requiring masks while you're walking to your table or to the restroom but relinquishing them once you've sat down with 8 other people is a bizarre twist of logic.

The point being: If we're intent on eradicating opportunities for the virus to flourish that means to stop pretending that the virus takes a break while you're chowing down or getting loaded, which means stop going out to eat indoors, which afaik has not been forbidden in any u.s. city or state over the last year.

(That's setting aside one of my big hairballs about masking rules in restaurants, which is the optic of a masked servant class attending to maskless customers.)

This has been one of the biggest sources of "am I crazy or is it everyone else" over the past couple years: the bizarro kayfabe of safe indoor dining during Covid.

Steen71
Apr 10, 2017

Fun Shoe

droll posted:

What is this strawman / joke poo poo? This is d&d. Engage or go away.

I wrote:

Steen71 posted:

Hey, why stop there? More than a thousand Danes die from head-injuries every year. Let's make helmet-wearing mandatory.

You replied:

droll posted:

Are you trolling? Yes helmets should be mandatory because it prevents head injuries and long term disabilities. I can't stop other riders and drivers from unsafe behavior hurting me. I wear a helmet.

Apparently you thought I was talking about cycling. I'm sorry I wasn't being more clear about this, but I wasn't talking about cycling. Out of the more than one thousand Danes who die every year from head-injuries, about 1% are cyclists. If people were absolutely serious about preventing head-injuries, then obviously EVERYone - not just cyclists - should be wearing helmets. I am not trolling, I am making a point about how people are perfectly willing to live with the risk of serious injury or death as long as they believe the risk is sufficiently small.

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

Steen71 posted:

I wrote:

You replied:

Apparently you thought I was talking about cycling. I'm sorry I wasn't being more clear about this, but I wasn't talking about cycling. Out of the more than one thousand Danes who die every year from head-injuries, about 1% are cyclists. If people were absolutely serious about preventing head-injuries, then obviously EVERYone - not just cyclists - should be wearing helmets. I am not trolling, I am making a point about how people are perfectly willing to live with the risk of serious injury or death as long as they believe the risk is sufficiently small.

If helmet wearing were mandatory at all times, Bob Saget would still be with us.

Steen71
Apr 10, 2017

Fun Shoe

HazCat posted:

If you find N95/P2s hard to breath through, I recommend getting some with valves. Masks don't need to be hard to breath through to be effective.

Frankly I assumed that the valves make the mask much less protective - both ways.

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Magic Hate Ball
May 6, 2007

ha ha ha!
you've already paid for this
I think for a lot of people there's just no concept of what covid being airborne actually means. The dumbest version of this is the gym mask requirement, where you don't have to wear a mask while exercising, but you do have to wear a mask while walking from one piece of equipment to the other, as if the air inside of a room doesn't move around. Some people I've spoken to seem startled by the idea that if you can smell the food someone else is eating, you can get covid from them.

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