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Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Grape posted:

*looks sidelong at Chechnya*

Chechnya's part of Russia, but obviously has an extremely different political and religious culture from the rest of Russia, let alone Ukraine. There's absolutely no reason to think Ukraine would turn into Chechnya, or that wiping out LGBT is a Russian war aim there. That doesn't excuse the anti-LGBT policies in Chechnya, or anti-LGBT policies short of rounding people up for camps anywhere. I'm just saying why I don't think it's reasonable to expect anti-LGBT pogroms in Ukraine.

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Majorian
Jul 1, 2009

Relevant Tangent posted:

bolding mine
Why would you think this was false? Putin's Russia (and it is Putin's Russia, clearly, whatever the oligarchs think) hates LGBT people with a passion because he's a deeply patriarchal authoritarian.

Yes, I'm aware and I agree. The way LGBTQ+ people are treated in Russia is monstrous. I was skeptical of the intelligence that the ambassador cited in her letter, given its vagueness and the way that vague intelligence leaks have been deployed in the press throughout this crisis. But it would seem that there is at least some truth to the claims about a list. I've read Putin's speech now, and his remarks on the subject strike me as possibly aimed at intimidating Ukrainian legislators into supporting things like the constitutional changes that he has demanded. "You'd better vote how we want you to vote, if you want peace and don't want to end up on the list." But I have no doubt that life for LGBTQ+ people in whatever regions Russia occupies would become much harder, and that is abhorrent to me. I am sorry if what I said came off as denying that harsh reality; that isn't at all what I intended.

BRAKE FOR MOOSE
Jun 6, 2001

BoldFace posted:

https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1495930277469769729

What is the strategic advantage of having Zelensky retreat from the capital?

They're trying to reframe Russia openly entering and occupying Donbas and doing no more as a clear win -- note that such an action is no longer an "invasion" because they've always been there, even though it was universally considered an invasion by the US press on Friday -- so it is necessary to present Kyiv as in grave danger.

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.

Sinteres posted:

Almost every country hated gay people until very recently, but most didn't start rounding them up and exterminating them like Nazi Germany, and Russia isn't going to either.

Struggling to see what this post means, since that poster is clearly talking about the substantial current differences between being gay in Russia as opposed to most of the NATO countries.

This seems pretty dismissive for no good reason.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

BoldFace posted:

If this was Chess, then, yes, that would be important. But what kind of a signal does it send to the Ukrainian military if their commander already starts to retreat to the west?

I'd rather lose at chess than die, myself.

Of course it doesn't look good for your leadership to be fleeing, but drat, what does look good for Ukraine right now? Russian forces are formally moving into Ukraine. If I were there I'd be getting the gently caress out too.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Jaxyon posted:

Struggling to see what this post means, since that poster is clearly talking about the substantial current differences between being gay in Russia as opposed to most of the NATO countries.

This seems pretty dismissive for no good reason.

I'm not dismissive of the idea that Russia is bad toward LGBT people or that LGBT people would be better off living in a number of other places. I just don't think Russia has a kill list for LGBT people in Ukraine, which is what Relevant Tangent was asking Majorian about.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

https://twitter.com/vmsalama/status/1495936549430693889

E:
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1495934411992403969

Moon Slayer fucked around with this message at 02:49 on Feb 22, 2022

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Sinteres posted:

I'm not dismissive of the idea that Russia is bad toward LGBT people or that LGBT people would be better off living in a number of other places. I just don't think Russia has a kill list for LGBT people in Ukraine, which is what Relevant Tangent was asking Majorian about.

Why don't you think that?

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Relevant Tangent posted:

Why don't you think that?

I feel like I've answered that. We may just have to agree to disagree.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Incoming sanctions - UK, Canada, EU (limited to recognition)
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/21/uk-impose-sanctions-russia-attack-ukraine-sovereignty
https://twitter.com/JustinTrudeau/status/1495901816990621696
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/...-february-2022/

Calls for sanctions - France, Poland, Latvia
https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2022/02/21/decision-russie-de-reconnaitre-les-regions-separatistes-est-ukraine
https://twitter.com/MorawieckiM/status/1495853639692345351
https://twitter.com/edgarsrinkevics/status/1495845350128640000

Austria says that NS2 is in the core package
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eu-sanctions-package-russia-includes-nord-stream-2-austria-says-2022-02-21/

Grape posted:

*looks sidelong at Chechnya*

Yeah, I'm with this one.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 02:56 on Feb 22, 2022

BoldFace
Feb 28, 2011
Russia will be chairing the UN Security Council urgent meeting which will take place soon.

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009
https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/1495849421711544328

...okay, I'm a BIT more in favor of sanctions now than I was this morning.:laugh: (kidding, kidding)

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Majorian posted:

https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/1495849421711544328

...okay, I'm a BIT more in favor of sanctions now than I was this morning.:laugh: (kidding, kidding)

Cry me a Jordan River.

If the Israelis didn't shrug off Ukraine's desire for an Iron Dome of their own, we wouldn't be in this situation.

BoldFace
Feb 28, 2011
Looking forward to the next 48 hours of international debate on the precise definition of the word 'invasion'.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




BoldFace posted:

Looking forward to the next 48 hours of international debate on the precise definition of the word 'invasion'.

Our thread can dispatch advisors to the contested argument.

Minenfeld!
Aug 21, 2012



Majorian posted:

https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/1495849421711544328

...okay, I'm a BIT more in favor of sanctions now than I was this morning.:laugh: (kidding, kidding)

Well now this wasn't something I was expecting. Russia troops over the border into Donbas? Sure. But this?

BoldFace
Feb 28, 2011
https://twitter.com/IMatviyishyn/status/1495922668482277381

Terminal autist
May 17, 2018

by vyelkin

Minenfeld! posted:

Well now this wasn't something I was expecting. Russia troops over the border into Donbas? Sure. But this?

Some one in the Israeli government must have gotten the reports on Russias plan to genocide a bunch of people in the occupied territories and got excited.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

FWIW that seems like a pretty good speech to me.

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Sinteres posted:

I feel like I've answered that. We may just have to agree to disagree.

You didn't answer it, you said "They don't have a list of LGBT people." and there was no reason to say that other than your own opinion as far as I can tell.

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


BoldFace posted:

Looking forward to the next 48 hours of international debate on the precise definition of the word 'invasion'.

Hey now, have hope. There's a chance things escalate past ambiguity (or "ambiguity") in less than 48 hours!

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Relevant Tangent posted:

You didn't answer it, you said "They don't have a list of LGBT people." and there was no reason to say that other than your own opinion as far as I can tell.

Sorry you don't feel that I've adequately addressed the question, but I definitely wrote more than that. I don't believe we're going to agree on this, so let's just hope nothing like that (imo implausibly) extreme scenario comes to pass.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




https://twitter.com/kylieatwood/status/1495940172831244288

question mark

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day
https://media.un.org/en/webtv

UN Security Council open meeting if anyone cares.

BoldFace
Feb 28, 2011
edit: see post above

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Sinteres posted:

Sorry you don't feel that I've adequately addressed the question, but I definitely wrote more than that. I don't believe we're going to agree on this, so let's just hope nothing like that (imo implausibly) extreme scenario comes to pass.

I read all your posts itt to be extremely generous to you and while you've written a lot of things (many of them risible) you didn't address lgbt stuff at all until you said that list doesn't exist and I'm genuinely curious why you think that list doesn't exist. If it's that the idea of targeting lgbt people in specific is a bridge too far that'd be one thing, but the idea that russia doesn't have a list of targets seems far-fetched.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Looks like American definition of an invasion is fully met, and they'll go to pound town as soon as Biden gives Scholz a shake over the telephone.

coelomate
Oct 21, 2020


Conspiratiorist posted:

https://media.un.org/en/webtv

UN Security Council open meeting if anyone cares.

Real weird seeing Russia run this meeting about Russia's shocking aggression

Lots of strong language coming from the speakers I've seen so far, which is encouraging.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Relevant Tangent posted:

I read all your posts itt to be extremely generous to you and while you've written a lot of things (many of them risible) you didn't address lgbt stuff at all until you said that list doesn't exist and I'm genuinely curious why you think that list doesn't exist. If it's that the idea of targeting lgbt people in specific is a bridge too far that'd be one thing, but the idea that russia doesn't have a list of targets seems far-fetched.

I'm sure there are people they'd arrest in areas, if any, that come under their occupation over the coming days and weeks, but yeah I don't think they have a list of people to persecute specifically for being LGBT, which isn't to say that nobody would face discrimination, just that the most extreme version of that idea possible doesn't seem likely to me. I didn't address LGBT people before because nobody seemed to think that was a serious possibility until now. If I were gay I'd probably like to gtfo if possible before Russia came into my town, but tbf I'd feel the same way not being gay too, though I'll acknowledge that being gay could reasonably increase the urgency.

cinci zoo sniper posted:

Looks like American definition of an invasion is fully met, and they'll go to pound town as soon as Biden gives Scholz a shake over the telephone.

Washington probably shouldn't say the complete opposite an hour earlier if they're going to pretend to be making big stands on principle. To me this is still premature and gives Russia no incentive to stop where they are.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




coelomate posted:

Real weird seeing Russia run this meeting about Russia's shocking aggression

Lots of strong language coming from the speakers I've seen so far, which is encouraging.

Journalists were circulating some rumours that US forced Russia to have this meeting, whatever that means in the context of relevant protocols.

Paracausal
Sep 5, 2011

Oh yeah, baby. Frame your suffering as a masterpiece. Only one problem - no one's watching. It's boring, buddy, boring as death.
Can't watch the UNSC but looking forward to the results being a big fat nothing. NATO is going to hold back with purely economic responses and Ukraine is going to be chewed up and be a bleeding geopolitical welt for a decade plus.


I'm from Kharkiv Oblast and I say kill'em all!

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Paracausal posted:

Can't watch the UNSC but looking forward to the results being a big fat nothing. NATO is going to hold back with purely economic responses and Ukraine is going to be chewed up and be a bleeding geopolitical welt for a decade plus.


I'm from Kharkiv Oblast and I say kill'em all!

You realize doing something more than an economic response could doom the entire world, yeah?

Jaxyon
Mar 7, 2016
I’m just saying I would like to see a man beat a woman in a cage. Just to be sure.

coelomate posted:

Lots of strong language coming from the speakers I've seen so far, which is encouraging.

That's kinda the UNSC's thing

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Sinteres posted:

Washington probably shouldn't say the complete opposite an hour earlier if they're going to pretend to be making big stands on principle.

It could be EU-US diplomacy topic, wherein slapping the proxies with sanctions is inconsequential to the relationship with Germany and friends, but (speculating) nuking Russian gas sector is. Or that there's some part of sanctions which is some market access denial thing that only works if implemented by US, EU, possibly other parties.

Tree Bucket
Apr 1, 2016

R.I.P.idura leucophrys
Putting the BLAST in Donetsk Oblast

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

coelomate posted:

Real weird seeing Russia run this meeting about Russia's shocking aggression

Lots of strong language coming from the speakers I've seen so far, which is encouraging.

Doesn't mean anything. Russia has the power to veto any action they could make that'd be of consequence.

Consequently, proposals and language used are also made under that understanding.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
russia very proactively goes after lgbtq activists so idk why anyone would think that they wouldn't continue that in seized territory

Relevant Tangent
Nov 18, 2016

Tangentially Relevant

Herstory Begins Now posted:

russia very proactively goes after lgbtq activists so idk why anyone would think that they wouldn't continue that in seized territory

ah but saying they have a list is clearly a step too far

Bashez
Jul 19, 2004

:10bux:

cinci zoo sniper posted:

Our thread can dispatch advisors to the contested argument.

Didn't we already punt on the issue when a move from advisors to troops was the explicit trigger and we said we'd decide later?

It's actually really interesting to see such a low stakes issue get waffled on to avoid upsetting some people while a major crisis unfolds with the same dynamic in the west trying to not step on anyone's toes until necessary.

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Paracausal
Sep 5, 2011

Oh yeah, baby. Frame your suffering as a masterpiece. Only one problem - no one's watching. It's boring, buddy, boring as death.

Sinteres posted:

You realize doing something more than an economic response could doom the entire world, yeah?

Yes? Doesn't mean you can't be happy about the reality that Russia is about to enact a brutal a bloody occupation? I just hope Ukraine makes Putin bleed.

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