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bees everywhere posted:That's what I would think, so hopefully Putin isn't completely insane. I know it can be beneficial for world leaders to seem irrational and unpredictable at times and that certainly helps when they're hoping we won't call their bluff, but then at some point you have to wonder if it's all a show or if they really have lost their minds. [It's probably a mix of both] You don't get to accede every time on the other side, it reinforces the behavior and let's them keep asking for more. Roughly, its a game, you choose one of three decisions, escalate, ignore, accommodate, then the other person does the same in response. Escalating enough times leads to mutual destruction at some random # of escalations. Accommodate means you give up to the other party. Ignore nothing happens. You might try to escalate once or twice but you know youre going to lose. Accommodate you lose and the other party has no reason to stop taking. The only good path is ignore.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:11
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Plastic_Gargoyle posted:Kyiv is the symbolic birthplace of the Russian nation, and of Slavic Christianity. I don't think he's willing to destroy it given his stated reasons for this war. Yeah I'm not saying either makes sense or seems likely, just that he could physically deliver a nuke to Kyiv just fine in the next three days, whereas I'm not sure how much HE he can get there in that time
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Feb 27, 2022 18:12
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Supremely pro click Twitter account to follow I follow the other two channels they run and they’re reporting on weapons on the battlefield and being sold is fantastic. https://twitter.com/uaweapons?s=21
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Feb 27, 2022 18:15
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It sounds like Russia got a bloody nose, but is this site accurate? This map makes it look like Russia is a day or two away from cutting off a large pocket in eastern Ukraine and threatening Kyiv from that direction. https://liveuamap.com/ 
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Feb 27, 2022 18:20
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:I don't really follow Japanese politics either but there's got to be quite a difference between trying to remove Article 9 and explicitly saying "yeah, let's let the US base nukes in Japan." It could upend the NPR discussion, for one thing. Japanese attitudes about nukes are definitely something the admin is considering in some of these discussions and the pro-nuke faction in the NPR will grab this with both hands.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:24
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Abe was famously right wing even by standards of the LDP and is the least surprising prominent japanese figure to float this balloon. I'll pay attention when someone still active starts making the same noises or CDP's views on the matter shift.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:30
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The occupiers are «confiscating» a safe from the bank, where the employees refused to recognize the Russian ruble. The violence of the Russian occupation forces is affecting every part of our lives and has to be stopped. This video was taken in Kherson Oblast. Here is a link to the video as I can’t embed Telegram. https://t.me/verkhovnaradaofukraine/156
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Feb 27, 2022 18:32
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:It sounds like Russia got a bloody nose, but is this site accurate? This map makes it look like Russia is a day or two away from cutting off a large pocket in eastern Ukraine and threatening Kyiv from that direction.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:32
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https://twitter.com/GregAFish/status/1497970809519837190 https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1497975096035717126
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Feb 27, 2022 18:34
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drat. If the asset acquisition people in the Intel community has anything they wanted to grab, they're gonna have s field day when this is over
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Feb 27, 2022 18:40
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https://twitter.com/HKaaman/status/1497982746123247623?s=20&t=fEQfZJtRRdZlpdlb5tpvSw https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1497980539483172872
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Feb 27, 2022 18:46
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No Z markings and the Osa-AKM is pretty old. Are we sure that poo poo is Russian?
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Feb 27, 2022 18:48
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So how hard are DIA (Or whoever would handle opfor tech analysis) and all the stuff being abandoned by Russia… and with the gracious permission of our allies going to be shipped to United States? Like I mean seriously this must be a Goldmine just in terms of actual battle data or US top of the line and NATO top of the line antitank weapons against Russian tanks.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:48
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Looks like the AN-225 got got:drunkill posted:An225 is probably dead as the Russians sieged the Antonov Airfield to the North of Kyiv looking to establish an airhead for their invasion. slidebite posted:Thanks for that. It's probably relatively easy to rebuild but there are some industries having to adjust their schedules to reflect surface shipping now.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:51
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https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1497888319920824322
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Feb 27, 2022 18:53
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yeah you're in a bad spot if even oil and gas companies are abandoning you
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Feb 27, 2022 18:53
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Back in the day the orthodox church's hierarchy was infiltrated by the KGB. I assume little has changed but the initials.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:55
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Taking the wrong lesson from the "GOD WILLS IT" part of Kingdom of Heaven.
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Feb 27, 2022 18:57
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Didn't some other Slavic Orthodox church come out and say Russia invasion is bad? WHO GETS THE +2 PIETY BUFF?!
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Feb 27, 2022 19:01
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:It sounds like Russia got a bloody nose, but is this site accurate? This map makes it look like Russia is a day or two away from cutting off a large pocket in eastern Ukraine and threatening Kyiv from that direction. I'm uncertain, I don't want to speak to any possible outcomes. I would like it to be true that Russia's logistical issues will severely hamper their efforts and Ukraine will eventually come out on top.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:02
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nurmie posted:I mean, yeah, basically that too. I'm neither of those things, you are more than welcome here, friend. 
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Feb 27, 2022 19:03
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Midjack posted:Looks like the AN-225 got got: oh this will be an excellent time to blow up the south carolina congressional delegation's phones reminding them that Mriya was a very frequent visitor to Charleston and this will have serious consequences for Boeing's 787 production
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Feb 27, 2022 19:07
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Was he the same guy who clumsily photoshopped his wrist to remove a $30k watch? (checks Wikipedia) yup
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Feb 27, 2022 19:07
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Hyrax Attack! posted:Was he the same guy who clumsily photoshopped his wrist to remove a $30k watch? (checks Wikipedia) yup  Also, Danish goons in various discords are reporting that it was just announced that the Danish government is also sending a shipment of weapons to Ukraine. To my knowledge, the list of countries known to have either already, or are currently in the process of, shipping weapons to Ukraine: USA UK Poland France Netherlands Germany Greece Finland Sweden Denmark With Turkey being a question mark.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:17
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US Berder Patrol fucked around with this message at 17:36 on Mar 7, 2022 |
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Feb 27, 2022 19:18
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Cythereal posted:
Denmark is sending 2700 AT-4s and shipping 300 decommissioned Stingers to the US for refurbishing so they can be sent to Ukraine.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:19
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Add Canada to the list too, we've been sending them both lethal and non-lethal aid.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:21
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Belgium will be sending a couple thousand machine guns and 3800 tons of fuel as well Edit: actually that amount has been increased to 5000 machine guns and 200 AT weapons
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Feb 27, 2022 19:25
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-Anders posted:Denmark is sending 2700 AT-4s and shipping 300 decommissioned Stingers to the US for refurbishing so they can be sent to Ukraine. Seems like these'll arrive too late to matter
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Feb 27, 2022 19:26
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Xakura posted:Seems like these'll arrive too late to matter Maybe we'll treat them like cores from an auto store and just send out 300 Stingers now.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:27
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Does Ukraine even have enough people to use all these guns being sent to them? We're gonna see babushkas pushing carts in the streets and pulling AT4s out of them at columns.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:29
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https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1497861181184303106 Updating this list if folks seem to find it interesting: To my knowledge, the list of countries known to have either already, or are currently in the process of, shipping weapons to Ukraine: USA UK Poland France Netherlands Germany Greece Finland Sweden Denmark Canada Belgium With Turkey being a question mark.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:30
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Marshal Prolapse posted:The occupiers are «confiscating» a safe from the bank, where the employees refused to recognize the Russian ruble. The violence of the Russian occupation forces is affecting every part of our lives and has to be stopped. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqSiLL8U3vo
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Feb 27, 2022 19:48
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https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1498006281403174914 Hopefully Kiev can hold again.
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Feb 27, 2022 19:49
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:It sounds like Russia got a bloody nose, but is this site accurate? This map makes it look like Russia is a day or two away from cutting off a large pocket in eastern Ukraine and threatening Kyiv from that direction. Wikipedia of all places has one of the more accurate and up to date maps, with the caveat that much of the 'Russian Occupied' territory outside of the Donbas is very loosely held at the moment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#/media/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg
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Feb 27, 2022 19:53
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Terrifying Effigies posted:Wikipedia of all places has one of the more accurate and up to date maps, with the caveat that much of the 'Russian Occupied' territory outside of the Donbas is very loosely held at the moment: That map is telling the same story? Large pieces of eastern Ukraine look to be at imminent risk of being encircled by Russian troops, and Kyiv may be exposed on another on another front if that happens. I am as happy as anyone else to see images of destroyed Russian equipment, but if these maps are accurate Ukraine is in a terrible spot just a few days into the invasion.
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Feb 27, 2022 20:03
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For anyone doubting the volume of Russian losses https://twitter.com/AVindman/status/1498007949104533508?t=K_NLsiaavmnMR1_dxHg4zw&s=19
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Feb 27, 2022 20:05
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:That map is telling the same story? Large pieces of eastern Ukraine look to be at imminent risk of being encircled by Russian troops, and Kyiv may be exposed on another on another front if that happens.
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Feb 27, 2022 20:09
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Naked Bear posted:It can also mean that the Russians are overextending themselves. Pushing deep along just a few, narrow axes also means that they will be exposing themselves over wide, thin areas. From the first couple days' fighting, it didn't appear that they had been very successful in exploiting those breakouts or in tying down Ukrainian units to allow follow-on elements to keep streaming through. Opinion: this looks more like a move of desperation than anything. I agree. We have no plans idea the level of control Russia has in those sectors, and they all seem to be pushing along a single azimuth directly towards Kiev. Seems like they're going to try and swamp the city, but I question how long they can supply their assault over distance and under attack from partisans.
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Feb 27, 2022 20:15
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Pine Cone Jones posted:https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1498006281403174914 I'm feeling nauseous. Wife is talking to her friend in Kyiv over WhatsApp. She's currently sheltering in a subway station and telling my wife that Russians are firing at civilians trying to flee the city. This could get super ugly real fast.
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Feb 27, 2022 20:21
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