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TulliusCicero posted:Interesting note is that the US Intelligence assessment and this blog have repeatedly said before that "Russia has made some mistakes but has the time and resources to change course and correct." Dictators will choose loyalty over competence every time. Eventually, you'll get yesmen who are completely loyal but can't do even the simplest or basic tasks given to them.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:22
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Ignore this I can’t read
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Mar 4, 2022 00:22
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with a rebel yell she QQd posted:I had to share this here. I'm giving my little boy a bath right now and this loving hurts my soul. gently caress Vlad the BigFailure.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:24
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Some extremely disturbing footage coming out of Chernihiv tonight. A missile strike some 6-8 hours ago appears to have killed at least 30 people. gore; dead or severely maimed civilianscode:
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Mar 4, 2022 00:24
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punishedkissinger posted:highly feasible since they use basically the same tanks as Russia. Yeah Ukranian forces would be at the very least familiar with Russian equipment and know how to repair it. TulliusCicero fucked around with this message at 00:31 on Mar 4, 2022 |
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Mar 4, 2022 00:25
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Looks like Russia is shipping in some folks to Kherson for a photo op. https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1499499585340854284?t=O2JvUmTFyKl5eco0RwmQgw&s=19 https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status/1499502859704016897?t=q2XrfJUiVUhl7JrfzwG6Tw&s=19 Seems extremely risky to assume it won't get disrupted somehow, but hey they brought their own human shields from home!
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Mar 4, 2022 00:25
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KitConstantine posted:I mean here are the numbers as per his most updated post: It's not official at all - it's relying on open sources which the Ukrainians have been extremely effective at suppressing any leaks from. CNN is quoting (that I can't source further) that "Russia has lost roughly 3% to 5% of its tanks, aircraft, artillery and other military assets inside Ukraine — compared to Ukrainian losses of roughly 10% of its capabilities, according to two US officials familiar with the latest intelligence. "
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Mar 4, 2022 00:25
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A genuinely believe Putin didn't think that the rest of the world would have the balls to drop the sanctions Hammer as hard as they did. He knew that Russia would get dinged but I don't think he realized that this would cost him what is going to cost him from economic perspective, and the economic impact over a longer term is going to have real world ramifications for his ability to stay in power.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:25
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Ciprian Maricon posted:Russia staged more than 1600 tanks for this invasion. 80, even double that number disabled or captured, is just not enough. Yes, I’m just saying that the OP said they’re sending in stuff to clear out the way for the advanced equipment, which doesn’t seem to be the case
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Mar 4, 2022 00:27
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I'm glad Ukraine is liberating Russian fagots. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Mar 4, 2022 00:27
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cr0y posted:A genuinely believe Putin didn't think that the rest of the world would have the balls to drop the sanctions Hammer as hard as they did. He knew that Russia would get dinged but I don't think he realized that this would cost him what is going to cost him from economic perspective, and the economic impact over a longer term is going to have real world ramifications for his ability to stay in power. Here's hoping we don't get a chance to read his thoughts on this in his memoirs.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:28
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Flappy Bert posted:It's not official at all - it's relying on open sources which the Ukrainians have been extremely effective at suppressing any leaks from. CNN is quoting (that I can't source further) that "Russia has lost roughly 3% to 5% of its tanks, aircraft, artillery and other military assets inside Ukraine — compared to Ukrainian losses of roughly 10% of its capabilities, according to two US officials familiar with the latest intelligence. " You're right, and I edited it to say reported losses nearly immediately But Ukraine has lost 10 percent of a much smaller starting total, and has captured replacements for some of that loss. Also whatever you may think Oryx does very careful vetting of his totals and I trust his numbers, at least for what's been captured on video.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:29
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Ikasuhito posted:https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1499519380773916674 Do they have the ammunition and spare parts to actually make good use of them is the question.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:29
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MikeC posted:Do they have the ammunition and spare parts to actually make good use of them is the question. Probably not all of them but amount of battlefield salvage is insane so I'd wager they can keep a few running
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Mar 4, 2022 00:30
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WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:I'm glad Ukraine is liberating Russian fagots. To comment on this, Fagot is a Soviet ATGM. It's the word for "bassoon" in many languages, including Russian. The post is still a pretty dumb joke and I'm not necessarily arguing about the probe.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:31
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MikeC posted:Do they have the ammunition and spare parts to actually make good use of them is the question. They have a factory that makes incredibly similar models I'm sure Ukraine could repair some number of captured damaged tanks and bring them back to the fight if they have the time.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:32
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Randarkman posted:FYI, Fagot is a Soviet ATGM. It's the word for "bassoon" in many languages, including Russian. The joke was still in poor taste. E: you clarified, no problem
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Mar 4, 2022 00:32
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Randarkman posted:FYI, Fagot is a Soviet ATGM. It's the word for "bassoon" in many languages, including Russian. If that was the intent, I do apologise for the probation. That said, if you happen to be a poster with history of questionable probations, you’ll be best served by using its NATO reporting name in this thread.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:34
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alas WAR CRIME GIGOLO, flew too close to the sun.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:35
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Ikasuhito posted:https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1499519380773916674 It's real nice of Russia to contribute along with the rest of Europe in donating military hardware to stop the Russians
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Mar 4, 2022 00:36
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tagesschau posted:That's Russian, not Ukrainian, though. How similar are Russian and Ukrainian? I see sources say they're mutually intelligible, but how easy is it for speakers to understand each other?
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Mar 4, 2022 00:36
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William Bear posted:How similar are Russian and Ukrainian? I see sources say they're mutually intelligible, but how easy is it for speakers to understand each other? Very easy. Not exactly similar. Unless you're me and you only learn Ukrainian and Ruthenian.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:37
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cinci zoo sniper posted:If that was the intent, I do apologise for the probation. You have nothing to apologize for, right call
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Mar 4, 2022 00:37
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Dapper_Swindler posted:https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1499377671855292423 I'm not an expert on Central American war history, but this seems somewhat comparable to how "death squads" operated. They're extremely effective at crushing light resistance and terrorizing civilians, but far less effective against regulars. In any case, it seems like they're not comparable to what we'd normally think of as special forces.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:38
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Speaking of equipment posting! Ukraine reports they shot down 3 more planes today, and are still reviewing helicopter losses. https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1499514891060891654?t=3f5oOaqsYs9Lp0B2KqHOnA&s=19 Big fancy tank https://twitter.com/kemal_115/status/1499525373113077761?t=HA9CQib_skezwCeBWrJjaA&s=19 Lots and lots of fancy guns https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1499522380800184324?t=Tb6YKNoWbloyWpwHpacQvA&s=19 (Lot of news coming out of Hostomel today) Apparently the AK-12 is particularly fancy https://twitter.com/CalibreObscura/status/1499509023397322752?t=Z0b7DOPY61pR7MKGJAuKKA&s=19 More small arms photos lately.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:38
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Leave the busted rear end tanks on the roads to block them up, make the Russians try to off road with the rest on some mud.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:39
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William Bear posted:How similar are Russian and Ukrainian? I see sources say they're mutually intelligible, but how easy is it for speakers to understand each other? They’re only situationally mutually intelligible. Someone posting in Ukrainian here would be almost indecipherable to a Russian reader. On the flip side, almost every Ukrainian speaks Russian, meaning that the effective language barrier is relatively limited.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:40
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TulliusCicero posted:Interesting note is that the US Intelligence assessment and this blog have repeatedly said before that "Russia has made some mistakes but has the time and resources to change course and correct." Found a story from last year with interviews with Russian soldiers and officers about how poo poo the Russian army is. All anecdotal evidence is course but I'm very inclined to believe it after all we've seen in this war thus far. quote:
https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-military-officers-morale-problem/31612793.html
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Mar 4, 2022 00:40
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cr0y posted:A genuinely believe Putin didn't think that the rest of the world would have the balls to drop the sanctions Hammer as hard as they did. He knew that Russia would get dinged but I don't think he realized that this would cost him what is going to cost him from economic perspective, and the economic impact over a longer term is going to have real world ramifications for his ability to stay in power. yeah. i think he viewed it as putting down a bunch of protesters and poo poo. he hosed that up bad.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:41
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cinci zoo sniper posted:If that was the intent, I do apologise for the probation. That said, if you happen to be a poster with history of questionable probations, you’ll be best served by using its NATO reporting name in this thread. It is the NATO reporting name for the MiG-15 however I'd be more than a little surprised if those were in any nation's current inventory. Shooting Blanks fucked around with this message at 00:43 on Mar 4, 2022 |
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Mar 4, 2022 00:41
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fYUT36YGOh8 according to twitter, this is a live stream of the big nuclear power plant. there is something on fire on the right and I've seen two of the lose light parachute flare things go off the last 15 minutes or so.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:41
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cinci zoo sniper posted:They’re only situationally mutually intelligible. Someone posting in Ukrainian here would be almost indecipherable to a Russian reader. On the flip side, almost every Ukrainian speaks Russian, meaning that the effective language barrier is relatively limited. My host dad in Cherniniv replied to my voice message in Russian and I had to say "Uh... I don't understand Russian!" Ukraine is full of delightful moments like that where you can just speak to each other unintelligibly yet understand anyway.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:42
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MikeC posted:Do they have the ammunition and spare parts to actually make good use of them is the question. The Ukrainians haven't just been taking equipment - Ukrainians have been raiding the support vehicles too. The government is asking civilians in the countryside that feel able - so hunters, trackers, veterans - to raid the Russian supply lines when they can. They are destroying a lot of stuff but a lot gets captured too. Entire vehicles full of ammo, and they've been successful enough that the Russians have tried to disguise ammo trucks as medical or food transport vehicles. I don't think they're counted anywhere though.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:42
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Tuna-Fish posted:If I was Putin, what I'd ask from Kazakstan is not their army (which is small, and probably needed where it is), but to be my backdoor and help evading sanctions. Being visibly pro-ukraine would be a necessity for that. You're not Putin, because you didn't hinge the most Special military operation in history on the success of drunk homophobic parachute cops against a well trained army
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Mar 4, 2022 00:43
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Shooting Blanks posted:It is the NATO reporting name for the MiG-15 however I'd be more than a little surprised if those were in any nation's current inventory. How dare you impugn the reputation of the Peoples Air Force of Glorious Best Korea.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:44
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MOSCOW, March 3. /TASS/. None of the mercenaries the West is sending to Ukraine to fight for the nationalist regime will enjoy the right of combatants under international humanitarian law, Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said. https://tass.com/politics/1416131?utm_source=google.com&utm_medium=organic&utm_campaign=google.com&utm_referrer=google.com
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Mar 4, 2022 00:45
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Dr. Arbitrary posted:I'm not an expert on Central American war history, but this seems somewhat comparable to how "death squads" operated. I think that guy exaggerates a bit by essentially calling them glorified riot cops. They are certainly prestige troops and alot of stuff about them (which goes for special forces in general really) is more for propaganda than military value, but he's sort of drawing alot of conclusions from his correct point that airdrops in hostile territory is only really done against the kind of rebels and mutinies and such who don't have the weapons to contest their landing and don't have the weaponry to successfully stand up to them in a fight either, but he also mentions that most of the time in war they are just used as regular infantry (and in the vacuum where the operational planning isn't founded on insane assumptions and the logistical system works, they probably perform fine in that role). Being much more lightly armed they can be transported and supplied much more easily and there's certainly cases where that can prove very useful, however also because of their essentially light infantry nature they will not be able to stand up against regular formations with artillery and armor in a straight fight either, better training and fitness will really only get you so far. Randarkman fucked around with this message at 00:48 on Mar 4, 2022 |
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Mar 4, 2022 00:45
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the popes toes posted:MOSCOW, March 3. /TASS/. None of the mercenaries the West is sending to Ukraine to fight for the nationalist regime will enjoy the right of combatants under international humanitarian law, Russian Defense Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov said. since when have the russian cared about that poo poo. i mean these guys are apparently shooting their own wounded.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:47
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Randarkman posted:I think that guy exaggerates a bit by essentially calling them glorified riot cops. They are certainly prestige troops and alot of stuff about them (which goes for special forces in general really) is more for propaganda than military value, but he's sort of drawing alot of conclusions from his correct point that airdrops in hostile territory is only really done against the kind of rebels and mutinies and such who don't have the weapons to contest their landing and don't have the weaponry to successfully stand up to them in a fight either, but he also mentions that most of the time in war they are just used as regular infantry. Being much more lightly armed they can be transported and supplied much more easily and there's certainly cases where that can prove very useful, however also because of their essentially light infantry nature they will not be able to stand up against regular formations with artillery and armor in a straight fight either, better training and fitness will really only get you so far. my point is they arnt super duper spec ops dudes. they are used to shooting protesters or somebody dad who is armed with a double barrel or a hunting rifle.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:48
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Mnoba posted:**snip** Not that Russia needs this website to find that stream, but I can't help but feel that broadcasting the existence of a live feed clearly showing the exact location of Ukrainian soldiers defending a nuclear power plant is a tad irresponsible.
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Mar 4, 2022 00:49
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