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Gervasius
Nov 2, 2010



Grimey Drawer

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

The Ukrainia isn't complete enough for a suicide run. Although after the war ends it's more likely than not she'll be completed with NATO assistance and possibly even NATO weaponry.

Don't tell me it couldn't be done because the Chinese turned the Kuznetsov's sister into a functional aircraft carrier.

I really, really doubt it. She is 40 years old, never went to sea, she is probably a mess and not something that fits Ukranian Navy doctrine. There is nothing a ship like that can do, that other platforms can't do but better.

I'd give her to Russia as white elephant peace offering, it would cost more to make her moderately useful than to build a modern DDG.

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Canned Sunshine
Nov 20, 2005

CAUTION: POST QUALITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION



Just donate an Arleigh Burke-class DDG to Ukraine. Probably more capable than half the Russian Navy at this point.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

The Ukrainia isn't complete enough for a suicide run. Although after the war ends it's more likely than not she'll be completed with NATO assistance and possibly even NATO weaponry.

Don't tell me it couldn't be done because the Chinese turned the Kuznetsov's sister into a functional aircraft carrier.

It’s probably more cost effective to build a couple of smaller, more modern destroyers with AA and ASW capability. Those smaller ships can still mount ASMs, just not 16 of the loving things.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Gervasius posted:

I really, really doubt it. She is 40 years old, never went to sea, she is probably a mess and not something that fits Ukranian Navy doctrine. There is nothing a ship like that can do, that other platforms can't do but better.

I'd give her to Russia as white elephant peace offering, it would cost more to make her moderately useful than to build a modern DDG.

A functional Slava-class ship can control the Black Sea if used wisely. Plus Ukraine having a better version of the ship they sunk is a powerful propaganda statement.

Of course this all depends on the condition of the ship itself. She might be hosed beyond repair, but neither you nor I know if this is true.

Gervasius
Nov 2, 2010



Grimey Drawer

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

A functional Slava-class ship can control the Black Sea if used wisely. Plus Ukraine having a better version of the ship they sunk is a powerful propaganda statement.

So can a smattering of coastal missile launchers plus a modern frigate or two, and probably cheaper, without putting all the eggs in one very explodey basket.

Regarding her condition, you could literally take tour of her before the war, she's old, rusted mess.

Gervasius fucked around with this message at 06:07 on Apr 19, 2022

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep
laughing my rear end off at that how the Ukraine war got Finland to decide it's time to join the "Group of Friends Protectively Assembled Against The Insane rear end in a top hat Next Door" club and russia's response to this is the equivalent to going to your ex's house armed and screaming at them from the street about how dare you get a restraining order, this provocation will not stand

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Kavros posted:

laughing my rear end off at that how the Ukraine war got Finland to decide it's time to join the "Group of Friends Protectively Assembled Against The Insane rear end in a top hat Next Door" club and russia's response to this is the equivalent to going to your ex's house armed and screaming at them from the street about how dare you get a restraining order, this provocation will not stand

Russia has in 2 months done more to legitimize and make NATO seem necessary than anything else in 50 years

Killer robot
Sep 6, 2010

I was having the most wonderful dream. I think you were in it!
Pillbug

Herstory Begins Now posted:

Russia has in 2 months done more to legitimize and make NATO seem necessary than anything else in 50 years

I mean, given Russia's performance, not really to legitimize massive spending on huge militaries and next-generation weapon systems (vs just improving readiness from where some of Europe is now). But it's been decades since there was such a clear purpose for "cross this border and get dogpiled." Plenty of reasonable people asked whether NATO had a reason to exist in the 1990s and 2000s, but it's out the window now.

Saint Celestine
Dec 17, 2008

Lay a fire within your soul and another between your hands, and let both be your weapons.
For one is faith and the other is victory and neither may ever be put out.

- Saint Sabbat, Lessons
Grimey Drawer
There is absolutely no way theyre going to finish the Ukrayina. Its a 40 year old rusted out hulk.

nimby
Nov 4, 2009

The pinnacle of cloud computing.



Killer robot posted:

I mean, given Russia's performance, not really to legitimize massive spending on huge militaries and next-generation weapon systems (vs just improving readiness from where some of Europe is now).

Europe desperately needs to invest in some honeypot military airfields they can draw Russian attention to during a potential invasion.

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

Orthanc6 posted:

And we should also remember it took over a month for Ukraine to force Russia out of the north. No one really knows how long any part of this next phase will take. But as opposed to the start of the war Ukraine is now far better equipped, wholeheartedly focused and driven in their purpose, partially mobilized, and very aware of Russia's movements and intentions. So I'd say we have decent reasons to believe Ukraine could reverse this offense even quicker than the previous.

There will be losses and possibly severe ones, including more horrific warcrime-ing by Russia in any civilian area they take. But Russia has not had nearly enough time to fix any of their primary issues, and they could make things even worse for themselves by overextending to obtain some form of May 9th objective. I think the tide has fully turned against Russia, so long as the West keeps ramping up the flow of heavy weapons.

To my mind it would behoove Ukraine to not oppose these advances directly in force. That's playing to your enemy's strength. If you have to give ground do it, but try and make them pay in the meantime, hit advancing forces with artillery, have hidden antitank and antipersonnel stations, try to divide their forces, try to hit their supply lines, etc.

And I think this is exactly what they will try to do. But I agree with some posters that they will have a harder time this go around. The Russians are no longer operating under quite as many delusions as before, they've lost tons of men, there will be no more lightning advances to big cities it will be much more cautious and with more combined arms I believe. Even if the officers push for fast advances the troops are going to drag their feet. At this point most of them must know that this is a meat grinder and careless advancing is likely to get you killed.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

gently caress that dude be legends. Suicide it into Sevastopol harbor preferably with a a gang of ASMs on it to smoke the Nazi naval forces based there.

Okay now we have descended to the force awakens level military strategy, let's dial it back a bit


I mean, 'if they attack.' That's not exactly threatening, sounds more like 'please please don't invade us'. Which is probably fair enough because that seems like a bad idea on all sides.


most men settle for buying a convertible during their mid life crisis. no half measures for this guy though, mad respect


Thank you, thank you I worked quite hard on this piece. I call it, 'Ode to Slacks'

NTRabbit
Aug 15, 2012

i wear this armour to protect myself from the histrionics of hysterical women

bitches




Gervasius posted:

So can a smattering of coastal missile launchers plus a modern frigate or two, and probably cheaper, without putting all the eggs in one very explodey basket.

Regarding her condition, you could literally take tour of her before the war, she's old, rusted mess.

Yeah they'd be much better off getting the US and France to tack a couple more FREMM frigates onto the current order queue, and then grabbing a bunch of capable new small corvette designs from Germany or the nordic countries. Much more modern and capable, more suited to an inland sea, lower crew requirements.

Qtotonibudinibudet
Nov 7, 2011



Omich poluyobok, skazhi ty narkoman? ya prosto tozhe gde to tam zhivu, mogli by vmeste uyobyvat' narkotiki
who doesnt love a good lenin monument

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Play posted:


Thank you, thank you I worked quite hard on this piece. I call it, 'Ode to Slacks'

i call it 'avec culottes'

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

At night, Bavovnyatko quietly comes to the occupiers’ bases, depots, airfields, oil refineries and other places full of flammable items and starts playing with fire there

:goku:

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

NTRabbit posted:

Yeah they'd be much better off getting the US and France to tack a couple more FREMM frigates onto the current order queue, and then grabbing a bunch of capable new small corvette designs from Germany or the nordic countries. Much more modern and capable, more suited to an inland sea, lower crew requirements.
Isn't the US getting rid of a bunch of relatively modern ships now? Reduce, reuse, recycle etc.

CMYK BLYAT! posted:

who doesnt love a good lenin monument



Maybe we should put him back there since Ukraine was his "mistake" apparently

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

FizFashizzle posted:

Chris coons becomes the first dem senator to openly suggest toying with world war 3

https://twitter.com/cbseveningnews/status/1515820374583386116?s=21&t=HTUMSWuAUasQ5FnPMut1yA

Yeah this will go absolutely nowhere. And not just because of Biden but basically the entire coalition of countries who are against Russia.

For this coalition, the policies they've chosen have been working beautifully towards their interests and preferred outcomes. Beyond all expectations, really. They are effectively opposing Russia without too much risk of things spiraling out of control in terms of WMDs or nuclear powers fighting total war. Despite Putin's threats, it's become clear that Russia is unlikely to radically escalate just because the west is supporting Ukraine with arms and materiel. This state of affairs is essentially the status quo for the war by this point.

Meanwhile this support is popular enough at home, which may not continue to be true if there was direct intervention and US/European citizens start dying in combat and even more billions are spent.

There is absolutely no way they will mess with this formula, especially given the results that Ukraine has been able to achieve. The options are basically risk everything, or continue with the relatively safe strategy that has proved quite effective already. Easiest choice ever for any politician.

I know everyone in the thread probably already understands this, but it is funny to periodically see things like this from clueless Congresspeople on both sides. These takes really seem divorced from reality.

d64
Jan 15, 2003

Play posted:

I know everyone in the thread probably already understands this, but it is funny to periodically see things like this from clueless Congresspeople on both sides. These takes really seem divorced from reality.
This is what politicians do. They call for and argue for stuff they know isn't gonna happen, to get attention and votes from the block of voters wanting that thing to happen. They know what they are doing.

Not exactly the same situation but during the Obama years, republicans spoke absolutely endlessly about how they are going to cancel obamacare in its entirety as soon as possible. Then, when they actually should have had the votes to do it, it wasn't so simple anymore. As long as it wasn't a practical possibility, it was safe to talk about.

Hamelekim
Feb 25, 2006

And another thing... if global warming is real. How come it's so damn cold?
Ramrod XTreme
I'm seeing a lot of geopolitical sorts arguing that Ukraine will fall eventually, within the year, then move on other countries bordering it, including NATO countries.

FYI, he doesn't do any confronting.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ

- Russia will take Ukraine within a year, though sheer number of bodies thrown into the meat grinder.
- Russia will invade NATO countries after Ukraine. Russia doesn't fear that NATO will use nukes.
- Demographics in Russia mean Putin could be the last real leader of Russia.
- They don't have the births to have a large enough military in the future to take the countries around them, so they have to move now to ensure security.
- NATO is scared of any conflict with Russia because they would absolutely crush the Russians on the battlefield which would lead to Russia using nukes.

These seem like really hot takes given where we are at right now, and how many resources the West will put into Ukraine moving forward. NATO and Europe should be feeding Ukraine as many military resources as possible if even half of it is true. Most of these experts didn't even think that Russia would try to take all of Ukraine before this war started.

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS
I don't buy any of the arguments about demographic trends leading to this conflict.

FishBulbia
Dec 22, 2021

Russia has been perpetually 10 years away from being forever irrelevant since about 1700

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Nabiullina says that Russian economy will hit a brick wall by late Q2/early Q3, due to current sanctions.

https://rg.ru/2022/04/18/nabiullina-ekonomika-rossii-vstupaet-v-neprostoj-period-strukturnyh-izmenenij.html

Qtotonibudinibudet
Nov 7, 2011



Omich poluyobok, skazhi ty narkoman? ya prosto tozhe gde to tam zhivu, mogli by vmeste uyobyvat' narkotiki

Hamelekim posted:

I'm seeing a lot of geopolitical sorts arguing that Ukraine will fall eventually, within the year, then move on other countries bordering it, including NATO countries.

FYI, he doesn't do any confronting.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ

- Russia will take Ukraine within a year, though sheer number of bodies thrown into the meat grinder.
- Russia will invade NATO countries after Ukraine. Russia doesn't fear that NATO will use nukes.
- Demographics in Russia mean Putin could be the last real leader of Russia.
- They don't have the births to have a large enough military in the future to take the countries around them, so they have to move now to ensure security.
- NATO is scared of any conflict with Russia because they would absolutely crush the Russians on the battlefield which would lead to Russia using nukes.

These seem like really hot takes given where we are at right now, and how many resources the West will put into Ukraine moving forward. NATO and Europe should be feeding Ukraine as many military resources as possible if even half of it is true. Most of these experts didn't even think that Russia would try to take all of Ukraine before this war started.

these would be hot takes if russia's invasion had gone exactly according to putin's fantasies and this whole affair was another "walk in and declare yourself in charge unopposed" affair like crimea. people love hot takes. alarmist hot takes drive views, especially when there's an actual war on to fuel the flames

this is some guy doing a book tour

FishBulbia
Dec 22, 2021

Russia again has given Ukrainian forces in Azovstal 30 minutes to surrender

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

I don't see how Russia can 'take' whole of Ukraine simply by using human wave attack where considerable portion of an army will be inexperienced/demoralized/surrender/lacking equipment when so far it managed to take only Kherson and that was basically because UA forces withdrew. This is not WWI.
That video is also 2 weeks old, back then Russians already withdrew from around Kyiv and northern Ukraine, so it seems they themselves gave up on their goal of taking whole Ukraine.

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 09:55 on Apr 19, 2022

gay picnic defence
Oct 5, 2009


I'M CONCERNED ABOUT A NUMBER OF THINGS
They'd also need to somehow learn how to manage a supply chain more than 100km long. Something they've struggled with so far.

FishBulbia posted:

Russia again has given Ukrainian forces in Azovstal 30 minutes to surrender

I assume they're not doing this out of any kind of humanitarian gesture and are worried about sending a bunch of soldiers into that place.

NO FUCK YOU DAD
Oct 23, 2008

Hamelekim posted:

I'm seeing a lot of geopolitical sorts arguing that Ukraine will fall eventually, within the year, then move on other countries bordering it, including NATO countries.

FYI, he doesn't do any confronting.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ

- Russia will take Ukraine within a year, though sheer number of bodies thrown into the meat grinder.
- Russia will invade NATO countries after Ukraine. Russia doesn't fear that NATO will use nukes.
- Demographics in Russia mean Putin could be the last real leader of Russia.
- They don't have the births to have a large enough military in the future to take the countries around them, so they have to move now to ensure security.
- NATO is scared of any conflict with Russia because they would absolutely crush the Russians on the battlefield which would lead to Russia using nukes.

These seem like really hot takes given where we are at right now, and how many resources the West will put into Ukraine moving forward. NATO and Europe should be feeding Ukraine as many military resources as possible if even half of it is true. Most of these experts didn't even think that Russia would try to take all of Ukraine before this war started.

"NATO won't fight Russia because they'd win too hard" is certainly a take. NATO would never fight a war inside Russia's borders unless Russia had already gone nuclear, and if Russia was willing to go nuclear in a war of aggression they'd have done so in the one they're already fighting and losing.

NTRabbit
Aug 15, 2012

i wear this armour to protect myself from the histrionics of hysterical women

bitches




Dwesa posted:

I don't see how Russia can 'take' whole of Ukraine simply by using human wave attack where considerable portion of an army will be inexperienced/demoralized/surrender/lacking equipment

There is still a not insubstantial number of people who believe that is how they defeated the Wehrmacht

Charlz Guybon
Nov 16, 2010
https://mobile.twitter.com/ChuckPfarrer/status/1515387635606319106

Tuna-Fish
Sep 13, 2017

Zhanism posted:

Its like they are seeing their own paranoia in their face and thinking that its real. Just to be clear, I'm going to say that none of these countries threatened to attack Belarus or did I miss something major?

Nah. This BS has an audience of one, and he is sitting in Moscow. Putin pushes Luka to attack Ukraine, Luka can't really say no but is also smart enough to not actually do it, so he needs an excuse. That excuse is, right now, that he needs his army on his western border to deter an attack by NATO. The idiotic part is that the Belarusian Army couldn't really do anything against even the armies of the Baltic States if they rolled in, let alone that of Poland or the rest of NATO. Yes, I'm aware of how tiny the armies of the Baltic states are, the army of Belarus is just that bad.

But in no way is Belarus attacking anything. They just put their army on the border and rattle sabers.

mobby_6kl posted:

Isn't the US getting rid of a bunch of relatively modern ships now? Reduce, reuse, recycle etc.

The big problem is that those ships are really, really bad. Totally loving counterproductive to keep floating level bad.

FishBulbia
Dec 22, 2021

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1516338500567801857?s=20&t=dTvmIFcrcRGGGVBTBxaOug

well now im scared

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Tuna-Fish posted:

.

The big problem is that those ships are really, really bad. Totally loving counterproductive to keep floating level bad.

What ships are those?

OgNar
Oct 26, 2002

They tapdance not, neither do they fart

WAR CRIME GIGOLO posted:

Lol they want to just annex a quarter of Europe


Wanna know what happens next

https://i.imgur.com/a27QPDv.mp4

UCS Hellmaker
Mar 29, 2008
Toilet Rascal

No goddamn way (as in awestruck not disbelief), and talk about a proper response to what amounts to trying to take the national grid offline.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Hamelekim posted:

I'm seeing a lot of geopolitical sorts arguing that Ukraine will fall eventually, within the year, then move on other countries bordering it, including NATO countries.

FYI, he doesn't do any confronting.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ

- Russia will take Ukraine within a year, though sheer number of bodies thrown into the meat grinder.
- Russia will invade NATO countries after Ukraine. Russia doesn't fear that NATO will use nukes.
- Demographics in Russia mean Putin could be the last real leader of Russia.
- They don't have the births to have a large enough military in the future to take the countries around them, so they have to move now to ensure security.
- NATO is scared of any conflict with Russia because they would absolutely crush the Russians on the battlefield which would lead to Russia using nukes.

These seem like really hot takes given where we are at right now, and how many resources the West will put into Ukraine moving forward. NATO and Europe should be feeding Ukraine as many military resources as possible if even half of it is true. Most of these experts didn't even think that Russia would try to take all of Ukraine before this war started.

Those are beyond spicy takes, yes.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
From under what rock have all these cohorts of dime store experts crawled all out of the sudden?

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

Hamelekim posted:

I'm seeing a lot of geopolitical sorts arguing that Ukraine will fall eventually, within the year, then move on other countries bordering it, including NATO countries.

FYI, he doesn't do any confronting.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdP01go8wdQ

- Russia will take Ukraine within a year, though sheer number of bodies thrown into the meat grinder.
- Russia will invade NATO countries after Ukraine. Russia doesn't fear that NATO will use nukes.
- Demographics in Russia mean Putin could be the last real leader of Russia.
- They don't have the births to have a large enough military in the future to take the countries around them, so they have to move now to ensure security.
- NATO is scared of any conflict with Russia because they would absolutely crush the Russians on the battlefield which would lead to Russia using nukes.

These seem like really hot takes given where we are at right now, and how many resources the West will put into Ukraine moving forward. NATO and Europe should be feeding Ukraine as many military resources as possible if even half of it is true. Most of these experts didn't even think that Russia would try to take all of Ukraine before this war started.

This is ridiculous because without mobilization Russia can't overwhelm Ukraine "with sheer number of bodies" and mobilization would lead to real internal problems (if that guy wants to talk about bigger picture and demographics). Attacking NATO while essentially doing a suicide bomber approach is even more buckwild scenario with no basis in reality.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

:eyepop: helicopter strikes against hackers in enemy territory is some real cyberpunk poo poo


Tuna-Fish posted:

The big problem is that those ships are really, really bad. Totally loving counterproductive to keep floating level bad.

Okay give them to russia then, as compensation for Moskva :v:

NTRabbit
Aug 15, 2012

i wear this armour to protect myself from the histrionics of hysterical women

bitches




steinrokkan posted:

What ships are those?

The Littoral Combat Vessels that are being retired at half their service life because they're poo poo and falling apart, the US having tried to reinvent the wheel by designing 'light inshore combat vessels' on their own, rather than just asking any of the countries with fjords who mastered the concept some time ago.

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fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

mobby_6kl posted:

:eyepop: helicopter strikes against hackers in enemy territory is some real cyberpunk poo poo

Wasnt a helicopter crash in war with Finland a flashback in Neuromancer

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