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Kallikaa
Jun 13, 2001
Dunno where the idea that the US have lots of shadow facilities for producing every military thing including russian style 152mm ammunition like it's WW2 comes from.

The US gets most, if not all, large projectile parts from Scranton Army Ammunition Plant, operated by General Dynamics
https://www.gd-ots.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Scranton-Brochure-2021-04.pdf

"The facility’s multiple long stroke, 400 to 2,500 ton
presses and 155mm production processes are unique
to ammunition manufacturing"

2005 Base Realignment and Closure Commission said this about the plant

"Specially manufactured long-stroke and nosing forge presses make SCAAP the only active
manufacturing facility capable of producing certain ammunition parts. Manufacturing
expertise made SCAAP the only producer of the SADARM (Search And Destroy
ARMament) shell body, a high tech munitions that deploys two laser-guided sub munitions.
SCAAP production capacity is approximately ten times that of any commercial facility, and
is approximately 80% of the total existing North American capacity."

https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc21729/m2/1/high_res_d/BRAC-2005_09490.pdf Note that in 2005 it had 366 employees today it has 265.

In the 20220331 TAL Hearing: "Updates on Modernization of Conventional Ammunition Production” General Dynamics talks about SCAAP and the need for modernization starting at 1h 16 mins.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM


The production of explosives:
According to the 20220331 TAL Hearing: "Updates on Modernization of Conventional Ammunition Production” it will take the US 8 years to double the production of RDX and IMX explosives.
(from identified need 2016/17 to fully operational 2025) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM at 50 mins in.

BAE on that 1h 20 min https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM

The Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces hearing is interesting, especially the talk with the government-owned, contractor-operated operators about the need of a skilled and experienced workforce and the time it would take training new hires to up production, at least a year mentioned.

Full TAL Hearing: Contractor pat starts at 1h 11min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM

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A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

shame on an IGA posted:

ok wow yeah one of the yugoslavian casing factories gave a tour and it's primitive as gently caress

https://youtu.be/akAQ5s4-Tp0

e: maybe not that bad there's some part handling automation later on but manual feed into the hot press is a shocker

the way you'd do this for high volume is put a fuckoff huge induction heater just before the press tooling so you could heat, forge, and shear off in one step, advance the bar, repeat. No handling and everything goes in and comes out oriented the same way for the convenience of your robots

Dumb artillery shells haven't changed much since WWI. (oops added an extra I) Bullets in general haven't.

Granted, you can spend hundreds of thousands on GPS, guided, semi-guided, racing stripe, and Congressional district pork, but the basic artillery shell is a very simple beast.

Kallikaa posted:

Dunno where the idea that the US have lots of shadow facilities for producing every military thing including russian style 152mm ammunition like it's WW2 comes from.

The US gets most, if not all, large projectile parts from Scranton Army Ammunition Plant, operated by General Dynamics
https://www.gd-ots.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/Scranton-Brochure-2021-04.pdf

"The facility’s multiple long stroke, 400 to 2,500 ton
presses and 155mm production processes are unique
to ammunition manufacturing"

2005 Base Realignment and Closure Commission said this about the plant

"Specially manufactured long-stroke and nosing forge presses make SCAAP the only active
manufacturing facility capable of producing certain ammunition parts. Manufacturing
expertise made SCAAP the only producer of the SADARM (Search And Destroy
ARMament) shell body, a high tech munitions that deploys two laser-guided sub munitions.
SCAAP production capacity is approximately ten times that of any commercial facility, and
is approximately 80% of the total existing North American capacity."

https://digital.library.unt.edu/ark:/67531/metadc21729/m2/1/high_res_d/BRAC-2005_09490.pdf Note that in 2005 it had 366 employees today it has 265.

In the 20220331 TAL Hearing: "Updates on Modernization of Conventional Ammunition Production” General Dynamics talks about SCAAP and the need for modernization starting at 1h 16 mins.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM


The production of explosives:
According to the 20220331 TAL Hearing: "Updates on Modernization of Conventional Ammunition Production” it will take the US 8 years to double the production of RDX and IMX explosives.
(from identified need 2016/17 to fully operational 2025) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM at 50 mins in.

BAE on that 1h 20 min https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM

The Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces hearing is interesting, especially the talk with the government-owned, contractor-operated operators about the need of a skilled and experienced workforce and the time it would take training new hires to up production, at least a year mentioned.

Full TAL Hearing: Contractor pat starts at 1h 11min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j91iw2K0nFM

wait, people think i was talking about 152mm? No, I was talking about spinning up more 155mm production. They need more of our poo poo, not more of Russia's poo poo. This is not going to be a short conflict, so there's no point in saddling them with sub standard 40+ year old gear that is only going to rise in cost as it becomes more scarce.

A.o.D. fucked around with this message at 01:04 on Jun 25, 2022

Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkra...utm_name=iossmf

Sorry for using Reddit I just can’t find a way to embed the video. It’s the first footage of an M142 in use

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur

Marshal Prolapse posted:

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkra...utm_name=iossmf

Sorry for using Reddit I just can’t find a way to embed the video. It’s the first footage of an M142 in use

View in reddit app to continue.

No thanks.


It'll turn up off reddit in quick order, though.

Gaius Marius
Oct 9, 2012

https://v.redd.it/lzd7mwea1j791

Wow they make it difficult intentionally to find just the video source, just another reason to hate reddit.

Gaius Marius fucked around with this message at 01:12 on Jun 25, 2022

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006
I swear I saw that video on OSINT twitter last night.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1540400176040402947 Yup there it is.

Kallikaa
Jun 13, 2001

A.o.D. posted:

wait, people think i was talking about 152mm? No, I was talking about spinning up more 155mm production. They need more of our poo poo, not more of Russia's poo poo. This is not going to be a short conflict, so there's no point in saddling them with sub standard 40+ year old gear that is only going to rise in cost as it becomes more scarce.

Well there's only one plant with 265 employees that make the projectile bodies so spinning up won't go quickly without funding as if the nation is back at the height of the cold war and it'll still take years.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Kallikaa posted:

Well there's only one plant with 265 employees that make the projectile bodies so spinning up won't go quickly without funding as if the nation is back at the height of the cold war and it'll still take years.

It won't take years. I guarantee you there's plenty of idle time on the existing machines. They're probably not working 3 shifts, either. There's production slack to be picked up without installing more machine tools.
Again, I'm talking about the dumb shells. The smart munitions have the problem of dealing with the chip shortage for their supply chain, and you may be right that spinning up full time production of those may have a very long lead time.

Kallikaa
Jun 13, 2001

A.o.D. posted:

It won't take years. I guarantee you there's plenty of idle time on the existing machines. They're probably not working 3 shifts, either. There's production slack to be picked up without installing more machine tools.
Again, I'm talking about the dumb shells. The smart munitions have the problem of dealing with the chip shortage for their supply chain, and you may be right that spinning up full time production of those may have a very long lead time.

Been trying to find some figures about ammo production looking at the yearly Justification Book Procurement of Ammunition, Army budget submissions. The highest planned production of M795 HE Load Assembly Pack was 37 489 monthly in June 2015 (in the FY 2014 book, mainly due to a large Marine Corps request it seems). The FY 2023 one has planned production of 24 000 monthly in 2025. All load assembly pack done by AMERICAN ORDNANCE LLC (IAAP) - MIDDLETOWN, IA.

The FY 23 book also states that prior deliveries of M795 HE was 637 165 before FY2021 if I read it correctly.


Perhaps they can triple the most they ever done to 120 000 rounds a month but there's also the need to fill them with stuff that goes boom, currently IMX-101. As the Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces Hearing said the IMX production increase won't be ready until 2025, from 3 000 000 pounds to 8 000 000 pounds. Maybe there's spare capacity of TNT.

I hope you are right though.


Justification Book of Procurement of Ammunition, Army, found under Base Budget then Procurement of Ammunition Army
https://www.asafm.army.mil/Budget-Materials/FY-2021/#fy-2023

Fearless
Sep 3, 2003

DRINK MORE MOXIE


A.o.D. posted:

sub standard 40+ year old gear that is only going to rise in cost as it becomes more scarce.

But it's all Canada's got!!

:canada:

Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
Honestly I’m just shocked that there’s anything of value produced in Scranton.

Armacham
Mar 3, 2007

Then brothers in war, to the skirmish must we hence! Shall we hence?

Marshal Prolapse posted:

Honestly I’m just shocked that there’s anything of value produced in Scranton.

You are forgetting our valuable paper industry

Madurai
Jun 26, 2012

I get this feeling that now that the Russians have committed to super boring creeping bombardments, the invasion will fall completely out of the news cycle.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Madurai posted:

I get this feeling that now that the Russians have committed to super boring creeping bombardments, the invasion will fall completely out of the news cycle.

Hurricane season is starting early, fire season is coming, derecho-strength storms are becoming way more common, food shortages that can't be easily explained away as "temporary supply chain issues" are imminent, crop failures are already happening, everything is getting more expensive and unaffordable during the biggest period of wealth inequality since probably the Roman Empire, and the Republicans have shown their hand that the "Great Othering" is coming.

Yeah, I've a feeling things are about to get spicy.

BIG HEADLINE fucked around with this message at 08:41 on Jun 25, 2022

cult_hero
Jul 10, 2001

Armacham posted:

You are forgetting our valuable paper industry

Y'all got beets though right?

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Kallikaa posted:

Been trying to find some figures about ammo production looking at the yearly Justification Book Procurement of Ammunition, Army budget submissions. The highest planned production of M795 HE Load Assembly Pack was 37 489 monthly in June 2015 (in the FY 2014 book, mainly due to a large Marine Corps request it seems). The FY 2023 one has planned production of 24 000 monthly in 2025. All load assembly pack done by AMERICAN ORDNANCE LLC (IAAP) - MIDDLETOWN, IA.

The FY 23 book also states that prior deliveries of M795 HE was 637 165 before FY2021 if I read it correctly.


Perhaps they can triple the most they ever done to 120 000 rounds a month but there's also the need to fill them with stuff that goes boom, currently IMX-101. As the Subcommittee on Tactical Air and Land Forces Hearing said the IMX production increase won't be ready until 2025, from 3 000 000 pounds to 8 000 000 pounds. Maybe there's spare capacity of TNT.

I hope you are right though.


Justification Book of Procurement of Ammunition, Army, found under Base Budget then Procurement of Ammunition Army
https://www.asafm.army.mil/Budget-Materials/FY-2021/#fy-2023

Those numbers are based off of expected procurement numbers pre-invasion, i.e. "it'll take us this long if you only give us this much money". Until very, VERY recently, new shell production hasn't been a priority for anyone. It's not a big ticket item so it doesn't bring home the pork to the constituents, or put fat bonuses in executive pockets, or make shareholders take notice. The Army isn't only using enough for training, so they weren't feeling the pinch and screaming for more. If production gets reprioritized and funded, those numbers will change. It's potentially a big if, but we'll see.

Anyhow, my larger point is that of all the things that you might want to increase the production of, dumb artillery shells are some of the very easiest to increase.

The guns that shoot them? Not so much.

Soylent Pudding
Jun 22, 2007

We've got people!


CRUSTY MINGE posted:

View in reddit app to continue.

No thanks.


It'll turn up off reddit in quick order, though.

For future reference the app filter can usually be bypassed by switching from www.reddit.com to old.reddit.com

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur

Soylent Pudding posted:

For future reference the app filter can usually be bypassed by switching from https://www.reddit.com to old.reddit.com

Thank you. I've never been much a fan of reddit so I'm not aware of the usual tricks.

ZombieApostate
Mar 13, 2011
Sorry, I didn't read your post.

I'm too busy replying to what I wish you said

:allears:
You can also get something like Old Reddit Redirect to have it always load the old version.

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...

CRUSTY MINGE posted:

Thank you. I've never been much a fan of reddit so I'm not aware of the usual tricks.

if it's phone you can always say no

CRUSTY MINGE
Mar 30, 2011

Peggy Hill
Foot Connoisseur

Alan Smithee posted:

if it's phone you can always say no

Browser (duckduckgo) doesn't let me past the popup, hitting back takes me to a blank page. Not a big deal though.

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Alan Smithee posted:

if it's phone you can always say no

No, they force you to use the app for certain subs.

Raged
Jul 21, 2003

A revolution of beats

Marshal Prolapse posted:

https://www.reddit.com/r/RussiaUkra...utm_name=iossmf

Sorry for using Reddit I just can’t find a way to embed the video. It’s the first footage of an M142 in use

Someone or lots of someones just had a realllll bad day

orange juche
Mar 14, 2012



I guess the US is giving out HIMARS and the UK is shipping a bunch of M270s?

orange juche fucked around with this message at 15:11 on Jun 25, 2022

Alan Smithee
Jan 4, 2005


A man becomes preeminent, he's expected to have enthusiasms.

Enthusiasms, enthusiasms...

Tiny Timbs posted:

No, they force you to use the app for certain subs.

ah right, the NSFW stuff

Jimmy Smuts
Aug 8, 2000

What a goddamn pointless war. Kinda reminds me of Iraq, but without the dictator.

Jimmy Smuts fucked around with this message at 15:52 on Jun 25, 2022

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Alan Smithee posted:

ah right, the NSFW stuff

Anything they mark as “unverified” or “content warning” which includes a lot more than just the NSFW subs. It’s insanely annoying to navigate to a Reddit link in the browser these days and that’s by design.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Jimmy Smuts posted:

What a goddamn pointless war. Kinda reminds me of Iraq, but without the dictator.

Its inverse Iraq, because Putin is the dictator.

Marshal Prolapse
Jun 23, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Soylent Pudding posted:

For future reference the app filter can usually be bypassed by switching from https://www.reddit.com to old.reddit.com

Thank you so much! Reddit can be such a pain in the rear end to try and share stuff.

I wish there was a way to ensure a Twitter link copy’s would not generate those referral codes that make previews impossible.

BIG HEADLINE
Jun 13, 2006

"Stand back, Ottawan ruffian, or face my lumens!"

Jimmy Smuts posted:

What a goddamn pointless war. Kinda reminds me of Iraq, but without the dictator.

Hey, it's got several points. Ukraine is trying to war of attrition the Russians into :shrug: and :smith:, and by giving them tons of weapons, we've created a reason to buy those weapons again! JERBS! :shepface:

For Putin, he's just murdering people because he wants to try going Full Stalin before he dies.

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost
https://twitter.com/lucasfoxnews/status/1540721588676337666?s=21&t=zjwSW4SFo2pwQTJu0QrX2w

It seems like a tough sell to convince India to do otherwise. This is part of what independence/non-alignment looks like.

BaconAndBullets
Feb 25, 2011

mlmp08 posted:

https://twitter.com/lucasfoxnews/status/1540721588676337666?s=21&t=zjwSW4SFo2pwQTJu0QrX2w

It seems like a tough sell to convince India to do otherwise. This is part of what independence/non-alignment looks like.

For India, there's very few downsides of buying Russian oil. Russia, dealing with sanctions, is willing to sell their oil at below market rate. What is the rest of the world going to do? India is a big enough economy and committing a "minor enough" sanctions violation that they won't eat sanctions themselves.

Also, India is seen as a toss up in a China/US slugfest. Don't want to upset the guy who will potentially fight for or against you.

Crab Dad
Dec 28, 2002

behold i have tempered and refined thee, but not as silver; as CRAB


BaconAndBullets posted:

For India, there's very few downsides of buying Russian oil. Russia, dealing with sanctions, is willing to sell their oil at below market rate. What is the rest of the world going to do? India is a big enough economy and committing a "minor enough" sanctions violation that they won't eat sanctions themselves.

Also, India is seen as a toss up in a China/US slugfest. Don't want to upset the guy who will potentially fight for or against you.

Lol China is enemy number one with India due to water and water alone.
Buying fuel from Russia seems shortsighted because who you gonna buy your weapons from?

CoffeeQaddaffi
Mar 20, 2009

Crab Dad posted:

Lol China is enemy number one with India due to water and water alone.
Buying fuel from Russia seems shortsighted because who you gonna buy your weapons from?

They can buy their weapons from Russia too, they might even get into yet another boon-doggle like the last 5 joint weapons programs that India has done with Russia.

Suicide Watch
Sep 8, 2009

Crab Dad posted:

Lol China is enemy number one with India due to water and water alone.
Buying fuel from Russia seems shortsighted because who you gonna buy your weapons from?

They’ll buy from France after French defense companies bribe more Indian officials. Just business as usual.
China’s military modernization (and industrialization) appears to be going a ton better than India’s. Money is on China if there’s a war, but China can’t do multiple fronts (Taiwan, internal suppression, and India)

Crab Dad
Dec 28, 2002

behold i have tempered and refined thee, but not as silver; as CRAB


CoffeeQaddaffi posted:

They can buy their weapons from Russia too, they might even get into yet another boon-doggle like the last 5 joint weapons programs that India has done with Russia.

If anyone is that dumb to do that again after the last 30+ years of work together then they deserve everything coming their way.

highme
May 25, 2001


I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!


This hit my TL this AM.

https://twitter.com/pdocumentarians/status/1540730741335531522?s=21&t=cZsJQ7FWonv30Qwsxc0YUA

Basticle
Sep 12, 2011



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=689UG16Al1U

Godholio
Aug 28, 2002

Does a bear split in the woods near Zheleznogorsk?

Crab Dad posted:

If anyone is that dumb to do that again after the last 30+ years of work together then they deserve everything coming their way.

They won't have to, the US has the memory of a goldfish.

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Nuclear Tourist
Apr 7, 2005


Would love to know what tune/dj outfit that is.

e; :thunk:

https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status/1540811205316644867

Nuclear Tourist fucked around with this message at 23:16 on Jun 25, 2022

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