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Got my first GA runoff fundraising email.
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Nov 9, 2022 20:52
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Soylent Pudding posted:Got my first GA runoff fundraising email. Took them long enough
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Nov 9, 2022 20:54
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The first seriously solid analysis I've seen in the Boebert race and what is still out there: https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1590439200033497089?t=xlDoWPtco53LXBY5ZNXFbw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 21:38
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facialimpediment posted:The first seriously solid analysis I've seen in the Boebert race and what is still out there: At least we are establishing upper limits of insanity.
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Nov 9, 2022 21:42
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ASAPI posted:At least we are establishing upper limits of insanity. MTG won and Walker is in a dead heat runoff... I want you to be right but I cant agree yet.
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Nov 9, 2022 21:50
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we. like. toparty we like we like to party we like toparty https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/1590321101984628736?t=IHOJNUisU3DiDyowCa-64A&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 21:52
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That Works posted:MTG won and Walker is in a dead heat runoff... I want you to be right but I cant agree yet. I didn't say where that line was, just that there seems to be a line.
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Nov 9, 2022 21:52
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facialimpediment posted:we. like. toparty Do the Venga Boys know their song is being used in THIS FASHION
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Nov 9, 2022 21:57
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CRUSTY MINGE posted:I hope Warnock wins it but we'll see what kind of voter fatigue they hit. Walker doesn't have Kemp on the ballot to drive voters in a runoff. Warnock doesn't have a libertarian spoiler to drive voters away from Walker. But honestly, who the gently caress knows what people who vote libertarian will do in a runoff. If Walker shows up in a Rush T-Shirt and black jeans you'll know what's up.
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Nov 9, 2022 21:58
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CRUSTY MINGE posted:In Colorado, it's that a DINO took Bortbort's seat. Oh great, they made another Manchin. If anything, they're more dangerous than bortbort 
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Nov 9, 2022 22:46
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How did Michigan do? I think we got Prop 3 passed, Whitmer back, and some other good blue things.
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Nov 9, 2022 22:47
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https://twitter.com/elljayvalentine/status/1590457009505439744?s=20&t=oA1oxH_mroRtmCyBBifZfg
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Nov 9, 2022 23:03
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quote:Trump’s disappointment was palpable inside the gilded ballroom at his Mar-a-Lago estate, where he gathered with dozens of aides, allies and donors to watch returns on Tuesday evening. When he returned to the party halfway through the night following a private dinner, his mood had visibly shifted. https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/09/politics/gop-midterms-trump-2024/index.html Some his invitees skipped the bash and he probably had to watch them on TV instead of attending his loving gala inject directly into my veins. 
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Nov 9, 2022 23:32
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Leave posted:How did Michigan do? I think we got Prop 3 passed, Whitmer back, and some other good blue things. Clean sweep far above any reasonable expectation, other than CJ Zahra being reelected due to incumbency: https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1590346153211891715?t=Io8zqu5pmLT4ai-1R8rYjA&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 23:43
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Is there a source that tracks the count of the total popular House vote for all the seats? I realize it doesn't decide anything, just curious how much gerrymandering skewed things in aggregate.
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Nov 9, 2022 23:50
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Basticle posted:Literally everyone and everything I voted for or against went the other way except maybe the local library tax Levy which I haven't seen results for yet the levy passed, so I was 1 for 19 
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Nov 9, 2022 23:55
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:Is there a source that tracks the count of the total popular House vote for all the seats? I realize it doesn't decide anything, just curious how much gerrymandering skewed things in aggregate. Yep - Cook Political Report: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590472652233539584?t=wScdZ7UPvFRqhk1UBexzVQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 23:57
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facialimpediment posted:Yep - Cook Political Report: My snap judgment here is that they ran up the totals in Deepest Red America and under-performed everywhere else. They pulled a Hillary.
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Nov 10, 2022 00:02
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can't win close races when you're dividedVincent Van Goatse posted:My snap judgment here is that they ran up the totals in Deepest Red America and under-performed everywhere else. They pulled a Hillary. pretty much, the margin should close a bit as later ballots are counted.
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Nov 10, 2022 00:08
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Kesper North posted:Oh great, they made another Manchin. If anything, they're more dangerous than bortbort It’s the House. There’s hundreds of these people and none of them have blocking power like Senators.
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Nov 10, 2022 00:49
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ASAPI posted:Election adjacent. Running away from a failed state is heavily context dependant. Somalia, for instance, has limited ability to inflict evil on the world at large. A fascist United States, however, would be a global catastrophe. I shudder to think what a truly expansionist USA would attempt if the nation became completely divorced from any morality at all. Leaving the US would grant you only temporary safety, when the best thing you could do for humanity would be to stay here and fight against fascism. Besides, I swore an oath to defend the constitution from all enemies foreign and domestic. The expiration date was attached to my contract of service, not my oath of enlistment. Unless you were talking about leaving a state. Sure, fine, go hog wild. Enjoy the change of scenery.
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Nov 10, 2022 01:02
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Milo and POTUS posted:Do the Venga Boys know their song is being used in THIS FASHION Never thought I'd hear the Venga Boys at a funeral
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Nov 10, 2022 01:06
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Local NBC affiliate thinks Boebert lost: https://twitter.com/KyleClark/status/1590495954905731072 Buuuut nobody truly knows anything as usual, as the AP remaining vote count could be hosed up: https://twitter.com/dcwoodruff/status/1590490780346351616 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590503460730187776?t=OzL147tJPFaVP5gwmVM9ew&s=19 facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:52 on Nov 10, 2022 |
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Nov 10, 2022 01:21
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NV-SEN is likely to take forever: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590503251387961344 Ralston estimates that Democrats would probably be safe at a 100K remaining amount in Clark, but it's 84K. So, probably going to end up a squeaker of some type, woo! Edit: and if it's real real close, it could go all the way through NEXT Saturday. Mail-ins count if they're postmarked Tuesday, which means they can be counted until Saturday, then provisionals (5K in Clark) get counted and more curing goes on. Wheeee! facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:57 on Nov 10, 2022 |
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Nov 10, 2022 01:41
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CNN has Frisch leading BoBo by 73 votes right now.
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Nov 10, 2022 02:09
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facialimpediment posted:Clean sweep far above any reasonable expectation, other than CJ Zahra being reelected due to incumbency: Thank you! It all seemed like good stuff, but I'm high and wanted to be sure I didn't miss any hidden traps.
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Nov 10, 2022 02:13
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CBJSprague24 posted:CNN has Frisch leading BoBo by 73 votes right now. Been that way a few hours now. Probably won't end tonight. And there will be a recount.
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Nov 10, 2022 02:34
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https://twitter.com/ArmyStrang/status/1590494649042743297?s=20&t=P2z9Tf_VuK7QVmYz3Fulcw lol
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Nov 10, 2022 02:51
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"Its not blood its victory wine"
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Nov 10, 2022 03:11
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Nick Soapdish posted:https://twitter.com/ArmyStrang/status/1590494649042743297?s=20&t=P2z9Tf_VuK7QVmYz3Fulcw "I'm not mad your mad" (Deliberate misspell because that's how in my mind's eye that he writes it in Sharpie.)
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Nov 10, 2022 03:38
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facialimpediment posted:Yep - Cook Political Report: How? Is this a bunch of gerrymanders that were crafted to be R+3 falling just on the other side?
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Nov 10, 2022 04:56
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They're also still counting a lot of the votes out west which will likely narrow the percentages in the end: LA County alone is only at ~50% counted and standalone that's the 11th largest state in the country.
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Nov 10, 2022 11:24
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News on Nevada: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590586002933829632?t=n43LNAUwi_JBfsacuF3akA&s=19 https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590596892966023171?t=3s3qRjnsDPLdw5K9v0VdBA&s=19 Things looked dicey for NV-SEN, but now all that's left is mail vote and she's currently clearing it at a 65-35 rate, which will probably net her around 30k to wipe out the 16k deficit. Probably not enough for NV-GOV, and the Democratic House gerrymander held up fine on the house races.
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Nov 10, 2022 12:45
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https://twitter.com/PopulismUpdates/status/1590563696547631104 I'm ready to cancel Millennials.
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Nov 10, 2022 13:41
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LongDarkNight posted:https://twitter.com/PopulismUpdates/status/1590563696547631104 Seems like victim blaming tbh. Maybe they should be focused more on how a mentally compromised person lacking any reasonable education can force a runoff with their chosen candidate instead of blaming millennials?
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Nov 10, 2022 13:46
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That Works posted:Seems like victim blaming tbh. Easier to simply blame an entire generation than to address the institutional issues of our country.
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Nov 10, 2022 13:59
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Smartest person I generally know of on national elections has basically determined: lol https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590693791576358912?t=ABGAkut8veBsAk87acXGRw&s=19
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Nov 10, 2022 14:17
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Ok I'm just gonna come right out and ask it: is it possible that the GOP's decision to kill off a large portion of their voter base by promoting vaccine skepticism has contributed to a bunch of these competitive races going blue?
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Nov 10, 2022 14:37
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psydude posted:Ok I'm just gonna come right out and ask it: is it possible that the GOP's decision to kill off a large portion of their voter base by promoting vaccine skepticism has contributed to a bunch of these competitive races going blue? I think most of us are assuming that, yes. It's how Biden will win in '24, excess deaths from the unvaccinated.
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Nov 10, 2022 14:40
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psydude posted:Ok I'm just gonna come right out and ask it: is it possible that the GOP's decision to kill off a large portion of their voter base by promoting vaccine skepticism has contributed to a bunch of these competitive races going blue? It’s bound to be a factor but determining the extent will require real analysis over weeks and months. After all, Florida killed a lot of their base but the GOP is stronger than ever there.
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Nov 10, 2022 14:45
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