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Thelonius Van Funk
Apr 7, 2007
Oh boy
Gudrun Schyman is also definitely not the "established left"

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Beeswax
Dec 29, 2005

Grimey Drawer
To a lot of people she is the defining leader of the Left Party in Sweden. She is one hundred percent part of the left-wing establishment in the general populace’s mind

Feliday Melody
May 8, 2021

Thelonius Van Funk posted:

Gudrun Schyman is also definitely not the "established left"

I didn't want to say "The Swedish left" so I went with that because Vänsterpartiet itself has also been fumbling the exact same ball. It felt appropriate anyway.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

the "work towards a ceasefire" tendency is not necessarily pacifistic, it can also stem from thinking that this particular war is not worth fighting to the extent it would have to be fought in order to achieve the desired outcome. the ceasefire position has as its strongest side that is knows roughly where it wants to go, i.e. towards a new security organisation in europe and an end to the present conflict. it has no obvious way of getting there (who benefits from a ceasefire? would any party believe the others agreed to one in good faith? can we even get them to the table?), but it's got a more-or-less identifiable goal which is intrinsically attractive; war is atrociously bloody, expensive and ugly and we would presumably all prefer for it to not be ongoing.

with danger of relitigating some very ugly arguments itt, the case for continued war effort in ukraine is also beset by a bunch of questions - notably, just how far are we willing to go to prevent an end of the war on russian terms? at the end of the day, open war against russia may be necessary to prevent this, and that would be unacceptable - and then we're back to discussing how we think the war will develop as time goes by, how much we're actually willing to sacrifice for ukrainian sovereignty over the donbas and crimea, how much of our own strength we're willing to expend in the face of a rising china and other possible geopolitical events, etc.

many of these are questions which are generally glossed over in favour of insisting that the present course of action is working, and that ukraine will "win" (rarely defined independently, so presumably it means what the ukrainians say that it means, i.e. the full restoration of the 2013 borders by military force) given a continuation of our relatively moderate commitment, and that russia will accept this without doing anything overly reckless like deploying weapons of mass destruction. i do not personally think that this is realistic in the immediate future.

so the pro-war-effort side has a direction and an obvious goal, but no clear answer to what happens should anything go seriously wrong with its plan - what is the fail-state for the ceasefire tendency is the standard operating procedure of the war-effort side. it also has the issue of its best-case scenario involving the deaths of a six-digit number of additional people.

the point being, neither side is so much ideologically inconsistent as it is more complicated than straightforward pacifism vs jingoism. a lot of the people arguing for a peace process in the present war would not be the ones arguing for it in other cases. they would probaby *support* some kind of peace process, but they would not be at the forefront of arguing for a peace process in e.g. west sahara independent of the substance of such a process. this is because they generally see the present war in terms of their own societies, meaning that factors like the risk of escalation and permanent strengthening of US military hegemony are important factors in them wanting this war in particular to not be a going concern. they do not see the overall cost of the war ending not entirely on ukrainian terms as necessarily prohibitive compared to other factors.

open war is the death of principle even if one can score an outright military victory, and it's very difficult to think clearly about it once one is caught up in it. it is always better to try to avoid one breaking out. almost no contemporary western ideology other than neoconservativism is really prepared to substantively address these issues, and the answers given by neoconservativism are deeply unpleasant.

e; this is why the argument over whether russia is a fascist state has such valence - implicitly, if russia is fascist it means that there is a necessary moral and geopolitical obligation to stop them here and now, because they will keep doing military aggression unchecked if they are not defeated immediately. it allows liberal and left-leaning types to rationalise costs which would otherwise be unacceptable in the name of the war effort.

V. Illych L. fucked around with this message at 12:56 on Jan 14, 2023

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!
Frankly, the question if Russia is fascist is utterly irrelevant. They have started a war of aggression, and have repeatedly both made statements advocating and committed acts tantamount to the crime of genocide.

Ukraine has asked for the means to defend themselves. It should be freely given until Russia gives up and withdraws.

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

Lenin posted:

they generally see the present war in terms of their own societies

I will hand-pick this, out of context, to touch on something that your post seemed to ignore. Obviously we do not live in the 1950's anymore, but the Finnish rationale for a lot of our UN votes back then and a little further out from that were based on the dual rationale of "don't upset the two global superpowers [but more importantly the CCCP] and try to maintain the logic that smaller independent states should have a right to self-determination and existence without outside tampering or outright violence". I've yelled at people over at the Finnpol thread about this too, it just happens to be a happy coincidence that we can frame helping the Ukrainian war effort as a moral cause, but that is sort of beside the major foreign policy point for a small, as-of-yet non-aligned nation such as Finland, that we would like smaller or larger (in the case of Ukraine) nation states bordering Russia to remain independent and free of political meddling by the bargain-bin Goebbelses they have running the show over at Putin's Russia. It doesn't necessarily have to deal with Russia's political system per se either, just that we can observe their actions over the past 20 years, with all the assassinations and such, and the open warfare happening now and before, and declare "none of that for us please", and that seems like a sufficient rationale, for me. Obviously the calculus is different for Norway, who are under Uncle Sam's protection racket already, and have a miniscule land border with Russia to begin with (and as per the Swedish defense doctrine, a two-week Finnish padding on the way of a bigger land border).

Obviously the "end state" of the war is unknowable, and it doesn't seem readily apparent that Putin will be defenestrated if the war just goes on long enough. And, again, from bordering Russia, it doesn't seem like an appetizing idea of the Russian Federation just disintegrating into small nation-states waging tribalistic war against each other and outsiders, potentially with weapons of mass destruction, either. Which probably is the desired end state by NATO. But Putin's Russia didn't really leave "Western nations" with any good options, here, either. We're at a discontinuity in Fukuyama's end of history, again, and have to make do with what our idiot leaders can think up now that they've been awakened from their slumber of awaiting good posts at the Commission.

BlankSystemDaemon
Mar 13, 2009



If, on the other hand, you think of war as the failed state of diplomacy, then a ceasefire can also mean a chance to resume diplomacy.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!

BlankSystemDaemon posted:

If, on the other hand, you think of war as the failed state of diplomacy, then a ceasefire can also mean a chance to resume diplomacy.

If the Ukrainian government wants a ceasefire, they can seek one. In the mean time, we should ensure they have the means to defend themselves against a frankly genocidal war of aggression.

Failure to support the people of Ukraine is in my view simply passively acquiescing to genocide.

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

Rust Martialis posted:

If the Ukrainian government wants a ceasefire, they can seek one. In the mean time, we should ensure they have the means to defend themselves against a frankly genocidal war of aggression.

Failure to support the people of Ukraine is in my view simply passively acquiescing to genocide.

In lighter terms, perhaps, a ceasefire in this situation would still be an unfortunate signal from the (selfish) point of view of small states near or bordering Russia, since it would implicitly endorse land-grabs (and murder, rape, genocide, all sorts of really bad things that no one should want!) by Russia, and it is in the interest of small states to discourage these kinds of developments. That bigger states are willing, more or less willingly :haw:, to help out, well, helps, but all the same, it does not behoove small states' foreign policy in general to push towards a cease-fire on what would at this stage be Putin's terms.

BlankSystemDaemon
Mar 13, 2009



Rust Martialis posted:

If the Ukrainian government wants a ceasefire, they can seek one. In the mean time, we should ensure they have the means to defend themselves against a frankly genocidal war of aggression.

Failure to support the people of Ukraine is in my view simply passively acquiescing to genocide.
Oh yeah, absolutely - though for clarity's sake I guess I should add that I meant that it's Russia who failed at diplomacy way back in 2010 or whenever Putin started getting obsessed with recapturing the past.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

Rust Martialis posted:

Frankly, the question if Russia is fascist is utterly irrelevant. They have started a war of aggression, and have repeatedly both made statements advocating and committed acts tantamount to the crime of genocide.

Ukraine has asked for the means to defend themselves. It should be freely given until Russia gives up and withdraws.

it is irrelevant *to you*

it is clearly not irrelevant to the people making the argument

e. also, it's difficult to the point of impossibility to form a viable political line on this basis - we should be agitating openly and vocally for arms to the PLO at the very least, and to states also subject to US-led aggression whenever that comes. this is clearly a non-starter, and so the line cannot be upheld in a principled way.

V. Illych L. fucked around with this message at 18:09 on Jan 14, 2023

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!

V. Illych L. posted:

it is irrelevant *to you*

it is clearly not irrelevant to the people making the argument

I am not answerable for other people's stupid arguments.

quote:

e. also, it's difficult to the point of impossibility to form a viable political line on this basis - we should be agitating openly and vocally for arms to the PLO at the very least, and to states also subject to US-led aggression whenever that comes. this is clearly a non-starter, and so the line cannot be upheld in a principled way.

Utter nonsense. We ('the West') should indeed provide the support the Palestinians have asked for. They have asked for political recognition and support, and we should indeed do so, but the active military support Ukraine is asking for is not what the PA is asking for.

We should also oppose US (or Russian or Chinese or other nation) aggression globally. Not being American my ability to oppose American actions is somewhat limited, but I have donated, protested and voted in line with my beliefs.

And I am frankly disgusted by the way some people play politics with genocide. I've cut off contact with a couple people who went from pro-Palestinian 25 years ago to being outright Israeli apologists over the intervening years.

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 01:27 on Jan 15, 2023

Beeswax
Dec 29, 2005

Grimey Drawer
Always a good time when the galaxy brain posters mistake this for one of the dozens of Ukraine threads

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

Sadly right now the usual reporting of "racist did a racism" coincides with Ulf doing something stupid with regards to NATO. And hence, :shrug:

Sweden should have finished their dr. Strangelove project, then they could at least somewhat justify their projected arrogance!

Jack Trades
Nov 30, 2010

Rappaport posted:

Sweden should have finished their dr. Strangelove project, then they could at least somewhat justify their projected arrogance!

https://www.statista.com/chart/15942/our-people-are-not-perfect-but-our-culture-is-superior-to-others/

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

Politeness is part of the parcel, surely.

thotsky
Jun 7, 2005

hot to trot
Libertarian/liberal friend of mine who is active with Amnesty International arguing that this is the perfect time to invade Russia at a party last night. :)

I find it a bit strange that some people get invested the way they do. Like, all of these imperialist countries have been invading other countries and blowing away civilians for our entire lifetime and people will genuinely claim that this is a a war between democracy and tyranny. At least pacifism is a bit of a consistent stance.

Jack Trades
Nov 30, 2010

Capital yearns for the blood of the Poors. Nationality is irrelevant.

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

thotsky posted:

Libertarian/liberal friend of mine who is active with Amnesty International arguing that this is the perfect time to invade Russia at a party last night. :)

Well, nuclear holocaust could conceivably buy some time for the climate, so who's to say if your friend is an omnicidal moron or not.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

SplitSoul posted:

Well, nuclear holocaust could conceivably buy some time for the climate, so who's to say if your friend is an omnicidal moron or not.
Global dimming caused by industry is the only thing holding it in check at present. Nuclear holocaust would accelerate global warming in the short to medium term.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

Rust Martialis posted:

I am not answerable for other people's stupid arguments.

Utter nonsense. We ('the West') should indeed provide the support the Palestinians have asked for. They have asked for political recognition and support, and we should indeed do so, but the active military support Ukraine is asking for is not what the PA is asking for.

We should also oppose US (or Russian or Chinese or other nation) aggression globally. Not being American my ability to oppose American actions is somewhat limited, but I have donated, protested and voted in line with my beliefs.

And I am frankly disgusted by the way some people play politics with genocide. I've cut off contact with a couple people who went from pro-Palestinian 25 years ago to being outright Israeli apologists over the intervening years.

so what's your position on a NATO no-fly zone over eastern ukraine?

Beeswax posted:

Always a good time when the galaxy brain posters mistake this for one of the dozens of Ukraine threads

this is, unfortunately, a major live issue in scandinavian national politics and intimately connected to the major realignment of at least two major scandinavian political parties (the swedish social democrats going pro-NATO and the norwegian Socialist Left ditching their anti-NATO stance). it is very difficult to imagine how the issue is not pertinent to the thread. i'm personally happy to let it drop - i'm in a strong minority on a very emotional issue, which is never a good time on the internet - but when people characterise the positions held by scandinavian political talkers and thinkers (gudrun schyman and V in this case) about what scandinavian parties and countries should do, it's very difficult for me to see how a response is out of the bounds of this thread

V. Illych L. fucked around with this message at 16:47 on Jan 15, 2023

Beeswax
Dec 29, 2005

Grimey Drawer
Edit: nm

Beeswax fucked around with this message at 16:48 on Jan 15, 2023

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

Beeswax posted:

Why would you ask that question ITT

see my edit. this is very much a live and very important issue to a lot of the scandinavian left, and the outbreak of war has directly precipitated substantial shifts in long-held and very important positions in important scandinavian political parties.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Beeswax posted:

Always a good time when the galaxy brain posters mistake this for one of the dozens of Ukraine threads

It’s well within the purpose of this thread to discuss the war’s effects on Scandinavia specifically, and it’s a bit difficult to do that without covering the requisite context, i.e., talking about the war in the broader sense as well.

Beeswax
Dec 29, 2005

Grimey Drawer

V. Illych L. posted:

see my edit. this is very much a live and very important issue to a lot of the scandinavian left, and the outbreak of war has directly precipitated substantial shifts in long-held and very important positions in important scandinavian political parties.

Yeah I went ahead and edited out my gripe after your edit. All good

Feliday Melody
May 8, 2021

I always wondered what the internal politics of Finland looked like at the idea of joining NATO on their own.

Are there any debates about that?

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

so, in the interest of being in good faith instead of just having a snarky one-liner, the reason why the position on a no-fly zone is pertinent is because a part of my stated response to charges of unprincipled behaviour on the part of schyman and parts of the swedish left is that it's hard to formulate a principled line which is workable at all outside of the politically unacceptable (i.e., neoconservativism or similarly highly militaristic ideologies). a valid response to this point is a counter-example - i.e., if one can demonstrate that a principled line is perfectly workable, then my point is refuted. the case presented is that of epistemic centering - i.e., once we decide that a particular agent meets certain criteria (i interpret this as a legitimate national representative being subject to undue aggression in this case), our obligation is simply to fulfil any requests by that agent.

this is a facially straightforward principle, and it's relatively popular in some cases, especially in some strains of contemporary anti-racism. here, it is extended to geopolitics. imo there are a number of objections which may be presented to this: restricting oneself to simple factual historical requests by qualified agents is not reasonable in evaluating the consqeuences of adopting such a line; had saddam hussein had hopes of substantial military support in 2003, he presumably would've called for such support. even disregarding such quibbles, however, one imo obvious case where this becomes problematic is in responding to the ukrainian calls for a no-fly zone over eastern ukraine. this would see uniformed personnell using highly valuable materiel in direct military conflict with russia, and has been quitely but firmly shut down by most actual proponents of arming ukraine. at the very least, it means that such an epistemic centering-based approach is not the actual line of those proponents. so, by the proposition i mean to say 1) the proposed principled line is at the very least highly radical and seen as controversial in meaningful ways, and 2) this indicates that the line is at least not obviously workable, i.e., it needs more justification.

i'll accept that i was probably a little excessively concise and confrontational, and that i could've made things easier by simply putting all this in the previous post, but :effort:

e; editing

V. Illych L. fucked around with this message at 18:40 on Jan 15, 2023

SplitSoul
Dec 31, 2000

cinci zoo sniper posted:

It’s well within the purpose of this thread to discuss the war’s effects on Scandinavia specifically, and it’s a bit difficult to do that without covering the requisite context, i.e., talking about the war in the broader sense as well.

That's good to know. :)

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




SplitSoul posted:

That's good to know. :)

It’s an obvious thing, but since there are reports coming in for this conversation, as is the tradition with a few of the regional threads in D&D, it has to apparently be stated explicitly.

The Monarch
Jul 8, 2006

Edit: ah nevermind.

Megamissen
Jul 19, 2022

any post can be a kannapost
if you want it to be

turkish student was denied internship at swedish univeristy with the reason given by a professor being "Vi skulle gärna ta emot dig. Dock, då Turkiet inte tillåter att Sverige gå med i NATO så måste jag avböja. Sorry!"


Rust Martialis posted:

Utter nonsense. We ('the West') should indeed provide the support the Palestinians have asked for. They have asked for political recognition and support, and we should indeed do so, but the active military support Ukraine is asking for is not what the PA is asking for.

what they are asking for right now is tempered by what they can reasonably expect to get, im sure they would like to get bunch of man portable anti tank and anti air systems but since they have no chance of getting them and it would only get israel very mad at them they dont ask for it

Megamissen fucked around with this message at 22:12 on Jan 15, 2023

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Megamissen posted:

what they are asking for right now is tempered by what they can reasonably expect to get, im sure they would like to get bunch of man portable anti tank and anti air systems but since they have no chance of getting them and it would only get israel very mad at them they dont ask for it
Yeah, if they asked for any sort of weaponry, even entirely defensive systems, it'd be characterized as them preparing a second Holocaust.

Fruits of the sea
Dec 1, 2010

Scandinavia is in kind of a weird position because apart from energy politics, Russia could decide to become real dicks over access to the Baltic sea

lilljonas
May 6, 2007

We got crabs? We got crabs!

Fruits of the sea posted:

Scandinavia is in kind of a weird position because apart from energy politics, Russia could decide to become real dicks over access to the Baltic sea

How so? Denmark or Sweden could try, maybe even Finland, but Russia is not in the place to block anyone in the Baltic Sea. They’re literally attached to it at a far end pocket.

Fruits of the sea
Dec 1, 2010

Not like some sort of WW3 scenario, just passive aggressive brinkmanship like China carries out around its neighbours. Military ships buzzing each other or inconveniently situated in shipping lanes and the like. I'm surprised more of this hasn't happened to be honest.

Feliday Melody
May 8, 2021

Turkish nationalists are getting super belligerent against Swedes in general on social media, and it's really weird to see. I'm pretty sure that they had no opinion on Sweden a year ago. And now they're lecturing on Sweden-Finish cultural relationships and attacking Försvarsmaktens inclusivity ads.

Feliday Melody fucked around with this message at 13:28 on Jan 16, 2023

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Feliday Melody posted:

Turkish nationalists are getting super belligerent against Swedes in general on social media, and it's really weird to see. I'm pretty sure that they had no opinion on Sweden a year ago. And now they're lecturing on Sweden-Finish cultural relationships and attacking Försvarsmaktens inclusivity ads.
This whole affair is proof that Denmark is a diplomatic superpower compared to Sweden. You needed Turkey to start poo poo before you could piss off a few Turks, while Denmark can effortlessly trigger a reaction from the entire Muslim world.

Jon Pod Van Damm
Apr 6, 2009
Probation
Can't post for 12 hours!

Fruits of the sea posted:

Scandinavia is in kind of a weird position because apart from energy politics, Russia could decide to become real dicks over access to the Baltic sea
From a long term perspective the Nord Stream pipelines are still vulnerable to more Scandinavian mischievousness.

In terms of passive brinkmanship NATO and its partner client states have been doing military training exercises in the Baltic Sea commanded by the United States of America on an annual basis for the last 60 years.

quote:

The mission of the first BALTOPS was to 'show-the-flag' to maintain the U.S. right to sail in international waters even those in the Soviet Union's backyard.

To paraphrase Bernie Sanders "The Soviet Union doesn't exist, the Warsaw Pact is over, who are you worried about?".

Feliday Melody posted:

Turkish nationalists are getting super belligerent against Swedes in general on social media, and it's really weird to see. I'm pretty sure that they had no opinion on Sweden a year ago. And now they're lecturing on Sweden-Finish cultural relationships and attacking Försvarsmaktens inclusivity ads.
Swedish authorities allows people to burn Qurans in public and these public acts have been sanctioned and protected by the Swedish police. Sweden treats people from Türkiye as second class citizens in many cases. Sweden allows people to vote for an extremist far right party associated with Neo-nazis which backs the coalition government. Sweden is still a monarchy and hasn't abolished its laws regarding its nobility. The corrupt and undemocratic practice of Fideicommissum by the Swedish nobility still hasn't been abolished in Sweden.

The NATO strategy document from 1949 states the following:

quote:

Of particular significance is the requirement that the objectives of the North Atlantic Treaty be accomplished in accordance with the purposes and principles of the Charter of the United Nations.

quote:

The parties to the Atlantic Treaty have declared:

“They are determined to safeguard the freedom, common heritage, and civilization of their peoples, founded on the principles of democracy, individual liberty, and the rule of law.

I'm surprised more people from other nations haven't taken a more dim view of the behavior by people in Sweden until now. Shakespeare says that "something is rotten in the state of Denmark" but Sweden isn't far behind.

Why should Türkiye allow such a crude country that has a government associated with vile, undemocratic Neo-nazis and that hasn't abolished its undemocratic Monarchy to join NATO?

thotsky
Jun 7, 2005

hot to trot

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

From a long term perspective the Nord Stream pipelines are still vulnerable to more Scandinavian mischievousness.

You believe the sabotage was a Scandinavian op?

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Zudgemud
Mar 1, 2009
Grimey Drawer

Jon Pod Van Damm posted:

From a long term perspective the Nord Stream pipelines are still vulnerable to more Scandinavian mischievousness.

In terms of passive brinkmanship NATO and its partner client states have been doing military training exercises in the Baltic Sea commanded by the United States of America on an annual basis for the last 60 years.

To paraphrase Bernie Sanders "The Soviet Union doesn't exist, the Warsaw Pact is over, who are you worried about?".

Swedish authorities allows people to burn Qurans in public and these public acts have been sanctioned and protected by the Swedish police. Sweden treats people from Türkiye as second class citizens in many cases. Sweden allows people to vote for an extremist far right party associated with Neo-nazis which backs the coalition government. Sweden is still a monarchy and hasn't abolished its laws regarding its nobility. The corrupt and undemocratic practice of Fideicommissum by the Swedish nobility still hasn't been abolished in Sweden.

The NATO strategy document from 1949 states the following:



I'm surprised more people from other nations haven't taken a more dim view of the behavior by people in Sweden until now. Shakespeare says that "something is rotten in the state of Denmark" but Sweden isn't far behind.

Why should Türkiye allow such a crude country that has a government associated with vile, undemocratic Neo-nazis and that hasn't abolished its undemocratic Monarchy to join NATO?

Is this one of those rare medium effort trolls?.

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