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Staluigi posted:And then getting weird aggressive about that it got shot down ... in the airspace it was accidentally in that they admit it shouldn't be in https://twitter.com/oliviasiongcna/status/1622028137516384256
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 07:55 |
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# ? Jun 6, 2024 15:48 |
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"civilian", eh it is rather funny how China's renewed war on the distinction between party, state, and civil society at home is starting to bite it in various strange ways abroad
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 08:21 |
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https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/s...number%3D1pti18 a bit of well-needed common sense
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 08:40 |
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tristeham posted:https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/s...number%3D1pti18 Yes common sense from the guy peddling TCM.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 08:48 |
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ronya posted:"civilian", eh the official statement on it is basically foreign policy shitposting, for lack of a better way to describe it
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 08:58 |
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What is TCM?
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:01 |
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Josef bugman posted:What is TCM? Traditional Chinese Medicine, basically Homeopathy but with some cultural merit. It's been a significant issue for a while in that older generations will often resort to it first, then head to the hospital when their condition has worsened. I can't vouch for Arnaud Bertrand's takes beyond that he's some expat in China, but the WaPo link is somewhat noteworthy: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/03/how-spy-balloons-work/ (3 paragraphs from different parts of the article) Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 09:14 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:08 |
TCM makes homeopathy seem benevolent. It's not just nonsense, it's nonsense actively invented and promoted by the government and government-linked industry throughout the medical system, as well as exported around the world, with an infuriating streak of encouraging harvesting/killing rare or endangered animals running through it.
Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 09:31 on Feb 5, 2023 |
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:26 |
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on unmanned weather balloons, over half a century ago: http://www.c-and-e-museum.org/Pinetreeline/giebelstadt/gieb-other/other/ogieb-1.html quote:The low success rate of project GENETRIX balloons was not the only problem encountered; far more serious was the storm of protest and unfavorable publicity that the balloon overflights provoked. Although the Air Force had issued a cover story that the balloons were being used for weather research connected with the International Geophysical Year, Eastern European nations protested strongly to the United States and to international aviation authorities, claiming that the balloons endangered civilian aircraft. The Soviet Union sent strongly worded protest notes to the United States and the nations from which the balloons had been launched. The Soviets also collected numerous polyethylene gasbags, camera payloads, and transmitters from GENETRIX balloons and put them on display in Moscow for the world press. Herstory Begins Now posted:the official statement on it is basically foreign policy shitposting, for lack of a better way to describe it disavowed as civilian when it's convenient, the Party at all four corners when it's not that said, I would guess it's a primarily meteorological balloon - once the foreign ministry chose to back down and apologise, it would make no sense to hedge - but there's probably at least some dual-use imaging tech in there, for the same reason the US once made the same mistake - just because the target chooses not to publicly protest at your first couple of flights does not mean it would continue to graciously remain silent as the volume of flights increases and the public inevitably notices, but in the absence of such protests, military stakeholders would insist on their support being rewarded
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:35 |
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Discendo Vox posted:TCM makes homeopathy seem benevolent. It's not just nonsense, it's nonsense actively invented and promoted by the government and government-linked industry throughout the medical system, as well as exported around the world, with an infuriating streak of encouraging harvesting/killing rare or endangered animals running through it. Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:44 |
Clarste posted:Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new. Other people in the thread can speak to the history in more detail, but my understanding is domestically there was an active scrubbing and rewriting of the actual historical traditional practices to facilitate that nationalist promotion (and to align associated industry with government). Edit: this article that was shared with me on the topic earlier in the thread covers some of it: https://slate.com/technology/2013/10/traditional-chinese-medicine-origins-mao-invented-it-but-didnt-believe-in-it.html Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 09:52 on Feb 5, 2023 |
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 09:48 |
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MarcusSA posted:Yes common sense from the guy peddling TCM. how is that relevant to the matter at hand?
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:01 |
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Clarste posted:Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new. Chinese TCM incorporates Uyghur traditional medicine, which is indeed descended from Greek humoral medicine. There is a paper shown in this tweet that announces the presumed date of its authors: https://twitter.com/shahitbiz/status/1267744814851915777?s=46&t= quote:The culture and medicine of Uyghurs have incorporated the traditions and knowledge of the peoples which inhabited in the Western Region over a period of two and a half millennia. It includes the traditions of the nomadic Empire of Hunnus and two Turk Khaganates, influences from the oasis culture of Sogdiana (Zhetysu), Persia, Northern India and the Caliphate. Through contact with these traditions, the Uyghurs adopted the Indo-European heritage of Greek and Mediterranean culture and medicine, and incorporated them in significant ways. According to this article by RFA, Uyghur traditional medicine is being used to positive effect in the fight against COVID, and may be outdoing TCM, which has apparently appropriated some elements of Uyghur traditional medicine: https://www.rfa.org/english/news/uyghur/traditional-medicine-01112023120823.html quote:Traditional Uyghur medicine used to treat COVID patients, with positive results mawarannahr fucked around with this message at 10:07 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:05 |
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tristeham posted:how is that relevant to the matter at hand? Because his thread is heavily biased.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:12 |
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Clarste posted:Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new. it is nearly twenty years to date from when the 2003 Regulations of the People’s Republic of China on Traditional Chinese Medicine set up its modern form in the mainland, which essentially mimics modern pharma regulation - regulation and licensing of the standard pharmacopoeia, qualification of professionals rather than apprenticeships, regulated institutes of clinical research that publish in evidence-based journals and run controlled trials this decision to salvage TCM (from the sketchy irregularly-prepared herbal supplements quagmire it was increasingly sliding into) was part of the Hu Jintao admin's Scientific Outlook on Development today LHQW is sold in all the trappings of evidence-based medicine - capsules in blister packs, rather than mysterious bottled whatever - but whether or not it has any pharmacological benefits seems more debatable ronya fucked around with this message at 12:54 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:12 |
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ronya posted:on unmanned weather balloons, over half a century ago: honestly who knows currently. Early reactions to the situation were basically just people projecting onto the situation whatever their respective world view wrt US-China relations would suggest and everyone with a relevant security or national or otherwise interest on each side has been making their own respective type of hay out of it. I do think that if the intention of the stunt was entirely benign (note here I'm including intention beyond strictly the payload of the balloon) there would've been good faith contact notifying 'hey one of our balloons is loose over your territory, just a heads up.' China feigning surprise that the balloon was dealt with is just shitposting though because they understand full well that it was an unregistered craft in controlled airspace with no prior notification/mission plan, no apparent control or telemetry transmissions that pertinent authorities could monitor (eg faa norad navcanada) and cagey official statements claiming it is benign that contradict the reality that neither side was behaving as if it is entirely benign. To be clear, neither side treated it like it was that urgent of a threat, either, which I do think is significant to note, though on the other hand, whatever it was, the US clearly wanted it enough to shoot it down and recover it, which is very unusual. Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 10:26 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:13 |
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Herstory Begins Now posted:
Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 10:17 |
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Josef bugman posted:What is TCM? I assume Traditional Chinese Medicine, given the context E: f, b like a protester in Tibet Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 13:53 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 13:47 |
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MarcusSA posted:Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself. It's also not really out of character for the Chinese government to just try to ignore and pretend away an issue either. Or for someone to lose control of the balloon and decide to stay quiet instead of notify higher authorities.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 13:57 |
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The theory I've heard floated is that the Chinese weren't trying to snoop on the continental USA, just do typical electronic eavesdropping in the Pacific (maybe Alaskan early warning radar sites) but lost control of the thing and it drifted over the lower 48. Still, who the gently caress knows?
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 14:29 |
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Yeah we just flat out do not know enough to do much more than speculate. Speaking of making hay: "Later on Sunday, Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Tan Kefei added, without elaborating, that the Chinese military reserved the right to use “necessary means” in response to similar incidents in the future." https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/05/china-us-balloon-reaction-diplomacy/
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 14:42 |
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MarcusSA posted:Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself. There's a few things to unpack there. First, China knows roughly where the wind was taking this thing when they launched it. It would have been pretty obvious it was going to pass over the US from the outset based on intended altitude/launch site and even for a big harmless weather balloon it's not a normal or OK thing to let them blow over other countries - at least without prior consent. So yes, it's strange that China would not have phoned this ahead to Canada and the US, especially if there had been some sort of planned recovery prior to it reaching US or Canadian airspace that failed for whatever reason. Second, if this were just a random rogue weather balloon there really should be no problem with anybody whose sensitive airspace it blew into popping it. Weather balloons are not insanely expensive or sensitive pieces of technology and that would be a great opportunity for China to prove it was just a harmless weather balloon by allowing examination of the payload. They are not manned, they are not protected by international law to float where they please, and generally there's really not much at stake financially or politically if a weather balloon goes down. The country whose floating garbage accidentally starts crossing borders to disrupt airspace and potentially drop debris on somebody when it eventually comes down is normally not going to be considered the victim and a simple "OK, shoot down our big dumb balloon, sorry about that accidental airspace violation." would have defused this entire thing. Warbadger fucked around with this message at 15:05 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 14:44 |
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tristeham posted:https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/s...number%3D1pti18 tristeham posted:how is that relevant to the matter at hand? I'm going to ignore that this random Twitter account was also linked in the CSPAM tankie thread who mistook a certain parody account; But this guy is a CCP propagandist, you realize? It's not common sense, it's CCP talking points. Here's a selection of everything else he shares outside of the TCM bullshit: https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1621528859203219456 https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1620985365694918657 https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1620615024774619138 He's basically another Andy Boreham, Alan Macleod, etc... a white male face to put on their agenda. His entire feed is retweeting the most vile talking heads. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 14:45 |
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I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 17:13 |
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Family Values posted:I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier. Maybe you should try it
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 17:47 |
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When the first line of your job description reads "don't make trouble for the center" and then you make trouble for the center: https://twitter.com/polijunkie_aus/status/1622050691161395200 Family Values posted:I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier. https://twitter.com/RickJoe_PLA/status/1621629693983358977 https://www.china-arms.com/2019/09/j-10c-shot-balloon-with-pl-10/ quote:Recently, the authoritative Chinese media CCTV broadcasted a documentary called “The Place We Stand”. In the sixth episode of the documentary “Wu Hui: Yunling Red Eagle Flying”, the PLA Air Force’s J-10 fighter only took 30 seconds to launch an air-to-air missile and successfully shot down an espionage balloons which crossed the border. This is the first reported real battle of J-10C fighter since its service. (back in this incident Beijing declined to identify whose balloon it was) ronya fucked around with this message at 17:59 on Feb 5, 2023 |
# ? Feb 5, 2023 17:56 |
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Now the pentagon is saying a previous balloon crashed off Hawaii in October lol You just can’t make this stuff up.
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# ? Feb 5, 2023 22:14 |
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MarcusSA posted:Now the pentagon is saying a previous balloon crashed off Hawaii in October lol Like I said, this stuff happens all the time, just doesn't get talked about because pretty much EVERY nation that is trying to be in the game is doing this stuff
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 00:20 |
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I don't really understand china's response to the balloon being downed, if they had already stated it was an out of control craft that hadn't been intended to drift into US airspace. What was the objection to popping it essentially as soon as it wouldn't land on anyone?
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 01:31 |
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Kavros posted:I don't really understand china's response to the balloon being downed, if they had already stated it was an out of control craft that hadn't been intended to drift into US airspace. What was the objection to popping it essentially as soon as it wouldn't land on anyone? I mean, it's pretty rude to make a big deal out of & send one of your fighters to down a weather balloon from another country, even if it's just meteorological data. For reference, hundreds of these things are launched across the world, typically twice a day, and by their nature cant offer much in the way of sensitive information because of their unguided nature (seeing as these things have shown up in Hawaii & Costa Rica, they are presumably no different). As Ronya shared above: quote:Four hundred forty eight Genetrix had been launched during the month-long project. Of that number (a fraction of the planned 2,500), thirty four gondolas were recovered with usable film aboard. These yielded about 13,000 frames showing random areas of the Soviet and Chinese hinterland -- a million square miles of snowy forests, icy lakes, farms, factories and mountains. Reportedly, Genetrix discovered only one target of significance -- a nuclear materials production complex. The results of the secretive but remarkably conspicuous reconnaissance balloon effort, which had provoked so much tragedy, confusion and rumor at home and abroad, seemed barely worth the effort. It's not a very effective tactic, and extremely conspicuous, especially as satellite technology has only improved since the 50's. If you did want something to be curious about, US weather balloons typically last for a couple hours before deflating, rather than being sturdy enough for an ocean tour. Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 02:52 on Feb 6, 2023 |
# ? Feb 6, 2023 02:43 |
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Do most weather balloons carry a payload the size of a couple school busses?
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:05 |
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Ynglaur posted:Do most weather balloons carry a payload the size of a couple school busses? Absolutely not Most real weather balloons are only in the air for 90 (ish min) and carry a payload of about 2 shoe boxes.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:17 |
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It's probably even ruder to end up being responsible for something that big becoming an airspace hazard in a country you offered no notification or warning to, even assuming that country can safely accept you at your word (once you finally admit it's yours) that it's definitely just for meteorological data and is only there by accident. It's not a convincing explanation for why china's government is expressing outrage at the US popping it once it was somewhere where they could be sure it wasn't going to potentially cause injury or property destruction.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:25 |
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Yeah I mean if the US had let it keep going it could have potentially keep going across the Atlantic and quite possibly dropped on a country that didn't even have the capability of bringing it down before it reached them. It's a pretty large hazard to just let fly over if it really was "out of their control". Two school busses dropping from 60k ft wouldn't be a pretty picture on the ground.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:33 |
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It's a truly bizarre incident that I think everyone kind of wishes hadn't happened, going by the PRC firing its weather balloon chief and the US having kept hush about it in the past.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:42 |
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I read in the WSJ that they are bringing up the Animal Balloon Chief to take his place. The fact that this has happened before seems incredibly dangerous.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 04:56 |
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https://twitter.com/leolordjones/status/1622496325546680320 https://twitter.com/leolordjones/status/1622499989480931329 https://twitter.com/selinawangtv/status/1622506561225777152 https://twitter.com/niubi/status/1622567376175697921 I'm not sure the present MFA messaging is tenable - it's effectively saying that China has the right to sent balloons anyone's way without reservations, and then shooting them down is a hostile act - it's not a recipe for making friends ronya fucked around with this message at 14:52 on Feb 6, 2023 |
# ? Feb 6, 2023 14:01 |
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ronya posted:https://twitter.com/leolordjones/status/1622496325546680320 On a side note, that the MFA is holding press conferences maskless is wild considering it was just three months ago they were still doing covid zero. It has been very erratic. Neurolimal posted:I mean, it's pretty rude to make a big deal out of & send one of your fighters to down a weather balloon from another country, even if it's just meteorological data. It's "rude" that America shot down something violating its airspace? China is the victim, here? quote:China has called the balloon a "civilian unmanned airship" and said it was primarily conducting weather research before it was blown off course. https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/02/06/china-urges-calm-after-us-shoots-down-suspected-spy-balloon.html So the obvious question is: what was the intended flight path? As a reminder of what US airspace looks like: Which is administered by Oakland: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oakland_Air_Route_Traffic_Control_Center So where was this balloon supposed to go? It took a path through the Aleutians/Alaska straight into NORAD space: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_Defense_Identification_Zone_(North_America) For reference: i fly airplanes fucked around with this message at 15:11 on Feb 6, 2023 |
# ? Feb 6, 2023 14:50 |
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i fly airplanes posted:It's "rude" that America shot down something violating its airspace? China is the victim, here? I get that you don't like China, but you don't think making a national security case out of a Canadian weather balloon before engaging it with an F-22 wouldn't be seen as rude? Realistically there is no victim; at worst a couple miles of flyover territory has been recorded and an expendable super-unsecret spy balloon has been downed, at best China's meteorological division has recorded that the USA experiences strangely explosive weather around its coast. Anything more than that from either side is going to be posturing.
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 15:07 |
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# ? Jun 6, 2024 15:48 |
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Neurolimal posted:I get that you don't like China, but you don't think making a national security case out of a Canadian weather balloon before engaging it with an F-22 wouldn't be seen as rude? Where did I say that I don't "like" China? Firstly, it is not confirmed that it is a weather balloon: even the Chinese MFA calls it an "unmanned airship". Previous posters in this thread have already told you weather balloons do not have a payload of two school busses. Secondly, why are you using a comparison of a Canadian weather balloon when Canada shares the same air space as the US, is a US ally, and doesn't violate US airspace with aircraft in this manner? Lastly, calling this all "posturing" defeats the optics and messaging surrounding the whole thing. If there are "no victims" and this is all harmless fun and games, why are the MFA lying about the intended purpose of these aircraft? Why are they even claiming its their's? And why even be outraged when it's shot down?
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# ? Feb 6, 2023 15:16 |