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i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

Staluigi posted:

And then getting weird aggressive about that it got shot down ... in the airspace it was accidentally in that they admit it shouldn't be in
If anyone needs the official response:

https://twitter.com/oliviasiongcna/status/1622028137516384256

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ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
"civilian", eh

it is rather funny how China's renewed war on the distinction between party, state, and civil society at home is starting to bite it in various strange ways abroad

tristeham
Jul 31, 2022
https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/s...number%3D1pti18

a bit of well-needed common sense

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007


Yes common sense from the guy peddling TCM.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

ronya posted:

"civilian", eh

it is rather funny how China's renewed war on the distinction between party, state, and civil society at home is starting to bite it in various strange ways abroad

the official statement on it is basically foreign policy shitposting, for lack of a better way to describe it

Josef bugman
Nov 17, 2011

Pictured: Poster prepares to celebrate Holy Communion (probablY)

This avatar made possible by a gift from the Religionthread Posters Relief Fund
What is TCM?

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Josef bugman posted:

What is TCM?

Traditional Chinese Medicine, basically Homeopathy but with some cultural merit. It's been a significant issue for a while in that older generations will often resort to it first, then head to the hospital when their condition has worsened.

I can't vouch for Arnaud Bertrand's takes beyond that he's some expat in China, but the WaPo link is somewhat noteworthy:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/03/how-spy-balloons-work/

(3 paragraphs from different parts of the article)

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 09:14 on Feb 5, 2023

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.
TCM makes homeopathy seem benevolent. It's not just nonsense, it's nonsense actively invented and promoted by the government and government-linked industry throughout the medical system, as well as exported around the world, with an infuriating streak of encouraging harvesting/killing rare or endangered animals running through it.

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 09:31 on Feb 5, 2023

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
on unmanned weather balloons, over half a century ago:

http://www.c-and-e-museum.org/Pinetreeline/giebelstadt/gieb-other/other/ogieb-1.html

quote:

The low success rate of project GENETRIX balloons was not the only problem encountered; far more serious was the storm of protest and unfavorable publicity that the balloon overflights provoked. Although the Air Force had issued a cover story that the balloons were being used for weather research connected with the International Geophysical Year, Eastern European nations protested strongly to the United States and to international aviation authorities, claiming that the balloons endangered civilian aircraft. The Soviet Union sent strongly worded protest notes to the United States and the nations from which the balloons had been launched. The Soviets also collected numerous polyethylene gasbags, camera payloads, and transmitters from GENETRIX balloons and put them on display in Moscow for the world press.

All of this publicity and protest led President Eisenhower to conclude that "the balloons give more legitimate grounds for irritation than could be matched by the good obtained from them", and he ordered the project halted. On 7 February 1956 Secretary of State Dulles informed the Soviet Union that no more "weather research" balloons would be released, but he did not offer an apology for the overflights.

...

Since late summer of 1955, to help provide cover for WS-119L, a CIA front-organization, the National Committee for a Free Europe, which ran Radio Free Europe, had been launching hundreds of small balloons carrying propaganda leaflets into the skies over eastern Europe, much to the consternation of the Soviets. Then, on January 9, 1956, at State Department request, the Air Force began a well-publicized series of "White Cloud" weather balloon flights to further blur the balloon story. The White Cloud vehicles were virtually identical to the Genetrix reconnaissance devices with the exception of their gondolas, which contained only scientific equipment. A press release was then issued explaining that similar balloons would soon be launched carrying cameras "to photograph clouds." After a final conference with Secretary of State John Foster Dulles and assurances from Donald Quarles that the potential benefits of the reconnaissance project were worth the risks, Eisenhower reluctantly gave his go-ahead. On January 10, the first wave or launch of Genetrix -- one from West Germany and eight from Turkey -- soared into the stratospheric windstreams to begin their missions. The next day, nine more were launched from Germany. On the 12th, the base in Scotland got one airborne, adding to seven from the German sites. Ten WS-119Ls were launched from the various bases on each of the succeeding four days. On the 17th, the rate was increased to twenty per day. Within two weeks of the outset of the project, over two hundred Genetrix were sent into the the skies over the USSR. By January 13, three balloons, the survivors of the first day's wave, exited Soviet airspace. The gondolas were successfully cut down by radio command and grabbed from the air by C-119s. In the ensuing days, about one Genetrix appeared in the recovery zones for every four launched. Eisenhower and Dulles stood ready for the anticipated Soviet protests. Days dragged into weeks. The Soviets were in a difficult position. While they were obviously enraged by the overflights, they were reluctant to call attention to their vulnerability to such tactics. By the end of January, in the absence of complaints, the Air Force decided to raise the launch rate goal to thirty per day, then forty. On February 3, a Genetrix launched from Gardermoen overflew Oslo. For the next two hours, as the gleaming ovoid drifted overhead, people in the Norwegian capital and its suburbs sent in a bevy of UFO reports.

...

Finally, on February 4, the inevitable happened. Andrei Gromyko, the Soviet deputy Foreign Minister, formally issued a "decisive protest" over the "gross violation of Soviet air space" by "aerial spheres" to the US ambassador in Moscow:

The apparatus suspended from the aerial spheres includes automatic photographic cameras for aerial photography, radio transmitters, radio receivers and other things.... Investigation shows these spheres and their suspended apparatus are manufactured in the United States.

The Air Force responded by pushing its crews to launch as many Genetrix as physically possible. But Eisenhower had had enough. Foster Dulles asked Quarles to halt the operation on the morning of February 6. A few WS-119Ls continued to straggle into recovery areas over the next few days, and while their camera packages were being secured, the State Department piously stuck to the weather balloon cover story:

The US Government is happy to supply information complementary to what is already public knowledge. Under US auspices, a meteorological survey is being carried out by the launching of balloons which are in effect miniature 'satellites' and which remain aloft for several days at a very considerable height...

Brazenly, the statement actually requested that the Soviets return balloon payloads that had fallen within their territory. The US Army and Air Force revealed that Soviet weather balloons had been recovered in Japan and Alaska in recent weeks and offered to exchange them for the US devices. Instead, on the evening of the 9th, in a show of righteous idignation, the Soviets placed the remains of about fifty shredded balloons and gondolas on display outside Molotov's residence in Moscow. They bitterly attacked the US administration for treading perilously close to war by conducting peacetime aerial espionage. Not only could the pirate devices take photographs of the territory of the USSR, but they could carry biological warfare agents, the Soviets angrily charged, in a reference to Project "Flying Cloud".

Four hundred forty eight Genetrix had been launched during the month-long project. Of that number (a fraction of the planned 2,500), thirty four gondolas were recovered with usable film aboard. These yielded about 13,000 frames showing random areas of the Soviet and Chinese hinterland -- a million square miles of snowy forests, icy lakes, farms, factories and mountains. Reportedly, Genetrix discovered only one target of significance -- a nuclear materials production complex. The results of the secretive but remarkably conspicuous reconnaissance balloon effort, which had provoked so much tragedy, confusion and rumor at home and abroad, seemed barely worth the effort.

Herstory Begins Now posted:

the official statement on it is basically foreign policy shitposting, for lack of a better way to describe it

disavowed as civilian when it's convenient, the Party at all four corners when it's not

that said, I would guess it's a primarily meteorological balloon - once the foreign ministry chose to back down and apologise, it would make no sense to hedge - but there's probably at least some dual-use imaging tech in there, for the same reason the US once made the same mistake - just because the target chooses not to publicly protest at your first couple of flights does not mean it would continue to graciously remain silent as the volume of flights increases and the public inevitably notices, but in the absence of such protests, military stakeholders would insist on their support being rewarded

Clarste
Apr 15, 2013

Just how many mistakes have you suffered on the way here?

An uncountable number, to be sure.

Discendo Vox posted:

TCM makes homeopathy seem benevolent. It's not just nonsense, it's nonsense actively invented and promoted by the government and government-linked industry throughout the medical system, as well as exported around the world, with an infuriating streak of encouraging harvesting/killing rare or endangered animals running through it.

Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new.

Discendo Vox
Mar 21, 2013

This does not make sense when, again, aggregate indicia also indicate improvements. The belief that things are worse is false. It remains false.

Clarste posted:

Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new.

Other people in the thread can speak to the history in more detail, but my understanding is domestically there was an active scrubbing and rewriting of the actual historical traditional practices to facilitate that nationalist promotion (and to align associated industry with government).

Edit: this article that was shared with me on the topic earlier in the thread covers some of it:
https://slate.com/technology/2013/10/traditional-chinese-medicine-origins-mao-invented-it-but-didnt-believe-in-it.html

Discendo Vox fucked around with this message at 09:52 on Feb 5, 2023

tristeham
Jul 31, 2022

MarcusSA posted:

Yes common sense from the guy peddling TCM.

how is that relevant to the matter at hand?

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

Clarste posted:

Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new.

Chinese TCM incorporates Uyghur traditional medicine, which is indeed descended from Greek humoral medicine. There is a paper shown in this tweet that announces the presumed date of its authors:
https://twitter.com/shahitbiz/status/1267744814851915777?s=46&t=

quote:

The culture and medicine of Uyghurs have incorporated the traditions and knowledge of the peoples which inhabited in the Western Region over a period of two and a half millennia. It includes the traditions of the nomadic Empire of Hunnus and two Turk Khaganates, influences from the oasis culture of Sogdiana (Zhetysu), Persia, Northern India and the Caliphate. Through contact with these traditions, the Uyghurs adopted the Indo-European heritage of Greek and Mediterranean culture and medicine, and incorporated them in significant ways.

According to our definition at the beginning, Uyghur medicine can be treated as the classical medicine because it is based on a set of systematic philosophical doctrines originating from Greek medicine and classical Greek philosophy.

The modern Uyghurs are Muslims and do not claim the Shamanism, Manichaeism, Nestorianism and Buddhism that are actually a part of their history. The Uyghurs perceive themselves as a unified ethnic group that has existed since the times of the tribe led by the Yaghlakar (old Turk, Jay-lacar) clan in the 8th century founded the Uyghur Khanate.

The fall of Khanate in the 9th century laid the foundation for the peoples of the Tarim basin to call themselves with the same name of Uyghurs. Most of what is known about their history before this time is actually based on folk tales and legends. However, as we have tried to show in our historical survey, the Uyghurs legitimately date their history from the 4th century BE and the legendary doctor Ghazibay, the founder of the Uyghur medicine, making them the successors of Greek culture. Thus, the relics of the ancient tradition remain only in one applied discipline - medicine, with which all Uyghurs are more or less familiar.

Our second conclusion is that the medical knowledge of Uyghurs represents nothing less than an opportunity to bring back to Europe the practical knowledge of the medicine of the Greeks, Romans, Byzantians and the Europeans themselves which disappeared in Europe in 19th century after the epoch of Enlightenment. This medicinal tradition, as a form of holistic, humoral medicine, may enable us to consolidate many as-yet unrecognized currents of scientific data into new modern medicine.

According to this article by RFA, Uyghur traditional medicine is being used to positive effect in the fight against COVID, and may be outdoing TCM, which has apparently appropriated some elements of Uyghur traditional medicine:
https://www.rfa.org/english/news/uyghur/traditional-medicine-01112023120823.html

quote:

Traditional Uyghur medicine used to treat COVID patients, with positive results

Xinjiang is home to more than 60 pharmaceutical companies, which generated revenue of 8.8 billion yuan, or about U.S.$1.3 million, in 2021, a 10.5% increase from the same period the previous year, according to a report by Tengritagh News Network in January 2022.

Many of the companies’ products are based on traditional Uyghur medicine, which has been incorporated into traditional Chinese medicine, though China doesn’t acknowledge it, Uyghur sources say.

After the coronavirus broke out in the central Chinese city of Wuhan in late 2019, many drug companies in Xinjiang operated at full capacity to produce traditional Uyghur pills and syrups to treat COVID patients, China Daily reported in February 2020.

The government’s strategy to deploy traditional medicine, which incorporates Uyghur medicine, shows that Uyghur treatments are an invaluable medical asset, said Uyghur medical professional Mutellip Emchi.

“The recent attention the Chinese government has given to investing in and developing traditional medicine is due to being unable to find a cure,” he said, referring to the coronavirus.

“China and the international community realized and acknowledged the effectiveness of Uyghur traditional medicine against the COVID virus,” he said.
. . .
However, the government’s instructions to incorporate the use of traditional Uyghur medicine has raised concern among traditional Uyghur medicine experts.

Mutellip Emchi, chair of the Uyghur Medicine Professionals Association, who has been living in Turkey since 2016, said the Chinese have plundered Uyghur medical resources and industrialized them for their own interests.

Flu pills and powders

For example, the Chinese manufacture flu-curing pills and powders based on traditional Uyghur recipes, though they have not made any progress in the field, Emchi said.

“With the spread of the coronavirus, pharmaceutical companies that manufacture flu pills in Urumqi, Kashgar and Hotan could not make enough of them,” he said. “We knew it by reading news on social media.”

These medicines have been used to treat lung infections, respiratory diseases, asthma, and lung and heart diseases, he added.

“Because the coronavirus attacks patients’ lungs, the hospitals use these Uyghur medicines to treat COVID patients,” Emchi said. “When there was a shortage of medicine in the hospitals, our Uyghur medicine effectively treated COVID patients of all ethnic origins.”

Uyghur medical professionals in Turkey, who have formed formed a volunteer group and developed a unique recipe for treating COVID patients using ingredients sourced locally, say they have seen positive results in patients treated with traditional Uyghur recipes, he said.
There's more to it than recent invention, but yes according this article, "an active scrubbing and rewriting of the actual historical traditional practices to facilitate that nationalist promotion (and to align associated industry with government)" is right on the mark.

mawarannahr fucked around with this message at 10:07 on Feb 5, 2023

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

tristeham posted:

how is that relevant to the matter at hand?

Because his thread is heavily biased.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Clarste posted:

Wait, it was invented by the government? I thought it was, you know, traditional practices used before modern medicine, the equivalent of continuing to use the Four Humors theory of medicine. Which they decided to promote out of some horrible sense of nationalism. Like, it's all pseudoscience and people are dying from it, but I didn't think any of it was new.

it is nearly twenty years to date from when the 2003 Regulations of the People’s Republic of China on Traditional Chinese Medicine set up its modern form in the mainland, which essentially mimics modern pharma regulation - regulation and licensing of the standard pharmacopoeia, qualification of professionals rather than apprenticeships, regulated institutes of clinical research that publish in evidence-based journals and run controlled trials

this decision to salvage TCM (from the sketchy irregularly-prepared herbal supplements quagmire it was increasingly sliding into) was part of the Hu Jintao admin's Scientific Outlook on Development

today LHQW is sold in all the trappings of evidence-based medicine - capsules in blister packs, rather than mysterious bottled whatever - but whether or not it has any pharmacological benefits seems more debatable

ronya fucked around with this message at 12:54 on Feb 5, 2023

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

ronya posted:

on unmanned weather balloons, over half a century ago:

http://www.c-and-e-museum.org/Pinetreeline/giebelstadt/gieb-other/other/ogieb-1.html



disavowed as civilian when it's convenient, the Party at all four corners when it's not

that said, I would guess it's a primarily meteorological balloon - once the foreign ministry chose to back down and apologise, it would make no sense to hedge - but there's probably at least some dual-use imaging tech in there, for the same reason the US once made the same mistake - just because the target chooses not to publicly protest at your first couple of flights does not mean it would continue to graciously remain silent as the volume of flights increases and the public inevitably notices, but in the absence of such protests, military stakeholders would insist on their support being rewarded

honestly who knows currently. Early reactions to the situation were basically just people projecting onto the situation whatever their respective world view wrt US-China relations would suggest and everyone with a relevant security or national or otherwise interest on each side has been making their own respective type of hay out of it.

I do think that if the intention of the stunt was entirely benign (note here I'm including intention beyond strictly the payload of the balloon) there would've been good faith contact notifying 'hey one of our balloons is loose over your territory, just a heads up.' China feigning surprise that the balloon was dealt with is just shitposting though because they understand full well that it was an unregistered craft in controlled airspace with no prior notification/mission plan, no apparent control or telemetry transmissions that pertinent authorities could monitor (eg faa norad navcanada) and cagey official statements claiming it is benign that contradict the reality that neither side was behaving as if it is entirely benign. To be clear, neither side treated it like it was that urgent of a threat, either, which I do think is significant to note, though on the other hand, whatever it was, the US clearly wanted it enough to shoot it down and recover it, which is very unusual.

Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 10:26 on Feb 5, 2023

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Herstory Begins Now posted:


I do think that if the intention of the stunt was entirely benign (note here I'm including intention beyond strictly the payload of the balloon) there would've been good faith contact notifying 'hey one of our balloons is loose over your territory, just a heads up.

Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself.

Rust Martialis
May 8, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

(and can't post for 3 days!)

Josef bugman posted:

What is TCM?

I assume Traditional Chinese Medicine, given the context

E: f, b like a protester in Tibet

Rust Martialis fucked around with this message at 13:53 on Feb 5, 2023

Phigs
Jan 23, 2019

MarcusSA posted:

Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself.

It's also not really out of character for the Chinese government to just try to ignore and pretend away an issue either. Or for someone to lose control of the balloon and decide to stay quiet instead of notify higher authorities.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose
The theory I've heard floated is that the Chinese weren't trying to snoop on the continental USA, just do typical electronic eavesdropping in the Pacific (maybe Alaskan early warning radar sites) but lost control of the thing and it drifted over the lower 48. Still, who the gently caress knows?

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
Yeah we just flat out do not know enough to do much more than speculate. Speaking of making hay:

"Later on Sunday, Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Tan Kefei added, without elaborating, that the Chinese military reserved the right to use “necessary means” in response to similar incidents in the future."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/02/05/china-us-balloon-reaction-diplomacy/

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

MarcusSA posted:

Yeah the fact this didn’t happen is pretty suspicious in itself.

There's a few things to unpack there.

First, China knows roughly where the wind was taking this thing when they launched it. It would have been pretty obvious it was going to pass over the US from the outset based on intended altitude/launch site and even for a big harmless weather balloon it's not a normal or OK thing to let them blow over other countries - at least without prior consent. So yes, it's strange that China would not have phoned this ahead to Canada and the US, especially if there had been some sort of planned recovery prior to it reaching US or Canadian airspace that failed for whatever reason.

Second, if this were just a random rogue weather balloon there really should be no problem with anybody whose sensitive airspace it blew into popping it. Weather balloons are not insanely expensive or sensitive pieces of technology and that would be a great opportunity for China to prove it was just a harmless weather balloon by allowing examination of the payload. They are not manned, they are not protected by international law to float where they please, and generally there's really not much at stake financially or politically if a weather balloon goes down. The country whose floating garbage accidentally starts crossing borders to disrupt airspace and potentially drop debris on somebody when it eventually comes down is normally not going to be considered the victim and a simple "OK, shoot down our big dumb balloon, sorry about that accidental airspace violation." would have defused this entire thing.

Warbadger fucked around with this message at 15:05 on Feb 5, 2023

i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

tristeham posted:

how is that relevant to the matter at hand?

I'm going to ignore that this random Twitter account was also linked in the CSPAM tankie thread who mistook a certain parody account;

But this guy is a CCP propagandist, you realize? It's not common sense, it's CCP talking points. Here's a selection of everything else he shares outside of the TCM bullshit:

https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1621528859203219456

https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1620985365694918657

https://twitter.com/rnaudbertrand/status/1620615024774619138

He's basically another Andy Boreham, Alan Macleod, etc... a white male face to put on their agenda. His entire feed is retweeting the most vile talking heads.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Family Values
Jun 26, 2007


I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier.

Regarde Aduck
Oct 19, 2012

c l o u d k i t t e n
Grimey Drawer

Family Values posted:

I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier.

Maybe you should try it :)

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
When the first line of your job description reads "don't make trouble for the center" and then you make trouble for the center:

https://twitter.com/polijunkie_aus/status/1622050691161395200

Family Values posted:

I'm trying to imagine how the balloon thing would've played out in the opposite scenario of a US balloon wandering into Chinese airspace, and I think it definitely would've gotten a lot uglier.

https://twitter.com/RickJoe_PLA/status/1621629693983358977

https://www.china-arms.com/2019/09/j-10c-shot-balloon-with-pl-10/

quote:

Recently, the authoritative Chinese media CCTV broadcasted a documentary called “The Place We Stand”. In the sixth episode of the documentary “Wu Hui: Yunling Red Eagle Flying”, the PLA Air Force’s J-10 fighter only took 30 seconds to launch an air-to-air missile and successfully shot down an espionage balloons which crossed the border. This is the first reported real battle of J-10C fighter since its service.

In the video, a certain unit of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force received an order for unexplained air riots, so Wu Hui was dispatched to drive a J-10C fighter aircraft for emergency clearance. After a tense climb, Wu Hui found the target about 30 kilometers far away and confirmed that the target was a powered unmanned reconnaissance balloon, which caused a serious threat to China’s air defense. Under the command of the superior, Wu Hui launched a PL-10 air-to-air missile and successfully shot down the balloon.

(back in this incident Beijing declined to identify whose balloon it was)

ronya fucked around with this message at 17:59 on Feb 5, 2023

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Now the pentagon is saying a previous balloon crashed off Hawaii in October lol

You just can’t make this stuff up.

AtomikKrab
Jul 17, 2010

Keep on GOP rolling rolling rolling rolling.

MarcusSA posted:

Now the pentagon is saying a previous balloon crashed off Hawaii in October lol

You just can’t make this stuff up.

Like I said, this stuff happens all the time, just doesn't get talked about because pretty much EVERY nation that is trying to be in the game is doing this stuff

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep
I don't really understand china's response to the balloon being downed, if they had already stated it was an out of control craft that hadn't been intended to drift into US airspace. What was the objection to popping it essentially as soon as it wouldn't land on anyone?

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Kavros posted:

I don't really understand china's response to the balloon being downed, if they had already stated it was an out of control craft that hadn't been intended to drift into US airspace. What was the objection to popping it essentially as soon as it wouldn't land on anyone?

I mean, it's pretty rude to make a big deal out of & send one of your fighters to down a weather balloon from another country, even if it's just meteorological data.

For reference, hundreds of these things are launched across the world, typically twice a day, and by their nature cant offer much in the way of sensitive information because of their unguided nature (seeing as these things have shown up in Hawaii & Costa Rica, they are presumably no different). As Ronya shared above:

quote:

Four hundred forty eight Genetrix had been launched during the month-long project. Of that number (a fraction of the planned 2,500), thirty four gondolas were recovered with usable film aboard. These yielded about 13,000 frames showing random areas of the Soviet and Chinese hinterland -- a million square miles of snowy forests, icy lakes, farms, factories and mountains. Reportedly, Genetrix discovered only one target of significance -- a nuclear materials production complex. The results of the secretive but remarkably conspicuous reconnaissance balloon effort, which had provoked so much tragedy, confusion and rumor at home and abroad, seemed barely worth the effort.

It's not a very effective tactic, and extremely conspicuous, especially as satellite technology has only improved since the 50's.

If you did want something to be curious about, US weather balloons typically last for a couple hours before deflating, rather than being sturdy enough for an ocean tour.

Neurolimal fucked around with this message at 02:52 on Feb 6, 2023

Ynglaur
Oct 9, 2013

The Malta Conference, anyone?
Do most weather balloons carry a payload the size of a couple school busses?

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Ynglaur posted:

Do most weather balloons carry a payload the size of a couple school busses?

Absolutely not

Most real weather balloons are only in the air for 90 (ish min) and carry a payload of about 2 shoe boxes.

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep
It's probably even ruder to end up being responsible for something that big becoming an airspace hazard in a country you offered no notification or warning to, even assuming that country can safely accept you at your word (once you finally admit it's yours) that it's definitely just for meteorological data and is only there by accident. It's not a convincing explanation for why china's government is expressing outrage at the US popping it once it was somewhere where they could be sure it wasn't going to potentially cause injury or property destruction.

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

Yeah I mean if the US had let it keep going it could have potentially keep going across the Atlantic and quite possibly dropped on a country that didn't even have the capability of bringing it down before it reached them.

It's a pretty large hazard to just let fly over if it really was "out of their control". Two school busses dropping from 60k ft wouldn't be a pretty picture on the ground.

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010
It's a truly bizarre incident that I think everyone kind of wishes hadn't happened, going by the PRC firing its weather balloon chief and the US having kept hush about it in the past.

MarcusSA
Sep 23, 2007

I read in the WSJ that they are bringing up the Animal Balloon Chief to take his place.

The fact that this has happened before seems incredibly dangerous.

ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.
https://twitter.com/leolordjones/status/1622496325546680320

https://twitter.com/leolordjones/status/1622499989480931329

https://twitter.com/selinawangtv/status/1622506561225777152

https://twitter.com/niubi/status/1622567376175697921

I'm not sure the present MFA messaging is tenable - it's effectively saying that China has the right to sent balloons anyone's way without reservations, and then shooting them down is a hostile act - it's not a recipe for making friends

ronya fucked around with this message at 14:52 on Feb 6, 2023

i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

On a side note, that the MFA is holding press conferences maskless is wild considering it was just three months ago they were still doing covid zero. It has been very erratic.

Neurolimal posted:

I mean, it's pretty rude to make a big deal out of & send one of your fighters to down a weather balloon from another country, even if it's just meteorological data.

It's "rude" that America shot down something violating its airspace? China is the victim, here?


quote:

China has called the balloon a "civilian unmanned airship" and said it was primarily conducting weather research before it was blown off course.

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao emphasized the accidental nature of the balloon's flight path

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2023/02/06/china-urges-calm-after-us-shoots-down-suspected-spy-balloon.html

So the obvious question is: what was the intended flight path?

As a reminder of what US airspace looks like:

Which is administered by Oakland: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oakland_Air_Route_Traffic_Control_Center

So where was this balloon supposed to go? It took a path through the Aleutians/Alaska straight into NORAD space: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_Defense_Identification_Zone_(North_America)

For reference:

i fly airplanes fucked around with this message at 15:11 on Feb 6, 2023

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

i fly airplanes posted:

It's "rude" that America shot down something violating its airspace? China is the victim, here?

I get that you don't like China, but you don't think making a national security case out of a Canadian weather balloon before engaging it with an F-22 wouldn't be seen as rude?

Realistically there is no victim; at worst a couple miles of flyover territory has been recorded and an expendable super-unsecret spy balloon has been downed, at best China's meteorological division has recorded that the USA experiences strangely explosive weather around its coast. Anything more than that from either side is going to be posturing.

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i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

Neurolimal posted:

I get that you don't like China, but you don't think making a national security case out of a Canadian weather balloon before engaging it with an F-22 wouldn't be seen as rude?

Realistically there is no victim; at worst a couple miles of flyover territory has been recorded and an expendable super-unsecret spy balloon has been downed, at best China's meteorological division has recorded that the USA experiences strangely explosive weather around its coast. Anything more than that from either side is going to be posturing.

Where did I say that I don't "like" China?

Firstly, it is not confirmed that it is a weather balloon: even the Chinese MFA calls it an "unmanned airship". Previous posters in this thread have already told you weather balloons do not have a payload of two school busses.

Secondly, why are you using a comparison of a Canadian weather balloon when Canada shares the same air space as the US, is a US ally, and doesn't violate US airspace with aircraft in this manner?

Lastly, calling this all "posturing" defeats the optics and messaging surrounding the whole thing. If there are "no victims" and this is all harmless fun and games, why are the MFA lying about the intended purpose of these aircraft? Why are they even claiming its their's? And why even be outraged when it's shot down?

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