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(Thread IKs: weg, Toxic Mental)
 
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steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
Russia could be picky as well, the reason they aren't is because their institutions are dysfunctional and their populace disengaged, not because they've run out of people.

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the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

Dandywalken posted:

200k vs 120k casualties doesnt sound as one-sided as people are acting it is.

Nobody said it's been one-sided the entire war. It was 1:1 for a good while because Russia got the jump on Ukraine

Borscht
Jun 4, 2011
This war isn't astounding because Ukraine is spanking Russia, it astounding because they can even hold their ground at all.

Captain Fargle
Feb 16, 2011

Yeah, it's important to remember that Ukranian casualties are going to be severely frontloaded to the first months of the war. When Kyiv was under siege, the lines to protect Kherson collapsed and all the NATO equipment hadn't arrived yet.

Borscht posted:

This war isn't astounding because Ukraine is spanking Russia, it astounding because they can even hold their ground at all.

Very much this. There's major realignment of geoplotical power going on right now and it has taken everyone by surprise.

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

Captain Fargle posted:

Yeah, it's important to remember that Ukranian casualties are going to be severely frontloaded to the first months of the war. When Kyiv was under siege, the lines to protect Kherson collapsed and all the NATO equipment hadn't arrived yet.


I think its the other way around.

In the first months of the war, the Russians got stuck in the mud, had miles-long traffic jams, entire battalions getting trapped and destroyed to the last man.

Now, the Ukrainians are being massively outshot in artillery without the opportunity to outmaneuver the Russians like they've had before, and Western artillery production hasnt increased enough to close the gap.

Tai
Mar 8, 2006

OctaMurk posted:

I think its the other way around.

In the first months of the war, the Russians got stuck in the mud, had miles-long traffic jams, entire battalions getting trapped and destroyed to the last man.

Now, the Ukrainians are being massively outshot in artillery without the opportunity to outmaneuver the Russians like they've had before, and Western artillery production hasnt increased enough to close the gap.

lmao

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

OctaMurk posted:

I think its the other way around.

In the first months of the war, the Russians got stuck in the mud, had miles-long traffic jams, entire battalions getting trapped and destroyed to the last man.

Now, the Ukrainians are being massively outshot in artillery without the opportunity to outmaneuver the Russians like they've had before, and Western artillery production hasnt increased enough to close the gap.
OTOH Russia's had the artillery advantage almost the whole time, but they seemed to be forced to tone it down recently. And they're throwing more men at fortified positions than before.

It's hard to say, I've seen figures around 100-120k thrown around but Ukraine never released anything officially

As much as any single loss of life is a tragedy, on strategic sense it's just what it is. I don't think the North Vietnamese were going to stop fighting because of their poor k:d ratios.

Borscht
Jun 4, 2011
It's the same for the people screaming about how Ukraine is sending conscripts with little or no training and limited equipment to the front 'just like Russia." it's horrible and inconceivable but it must be necessary to protect themselves from an existential threat. since Kherson, the afu have been barely holding back the tide of invasion. The Russians send untrained men to their deaths because they're (questionably competent) imperialists who truly do not care about the lives of their fighting men. They could simply leave and not needlessly end the lives of some random guy they pulled off the street in Saratov.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

OctaMurk posted:

Now, the Ukrainians are being massively outshot in artillery without the opportunity to outmaneuver the Russians like they've had before, and Western artillery production hasnt increased enough to close the gap.

Not to the degree Russia would've been able to at the beginning of the war. And its unlikely Russian production is going to outpace US/EU production.

Most of Russia's artillery is concentrated, they don't have the same coverage they did previously and are even not doing fire missions as often.

Drone_Fragger
May 9, 2007


The only thing russia is ahead on any more is "major powers who's president has poo poo his pants".

Their military is a joke, absolutely hollowed out to a paper tiger state by corruption.

If this was against nato we'd quite literally be looking at losses on russias side equivilent to gulf war one owing to the difference in materiel quality, becsuse thats the level of equipment they're using now. Quite literally 60:1 numbers on tank losses, for instance.

Bernard McFacknutah
Nov 13, 2009
Both sides likely took very heavy losses in the first weeks.

In the opening hours, Ukrainian barracks were being hit with cruise missiles, border posts hit with artillery, and regular Ukrainian units were being cut off and reduced. At the same time you had Russian riot police doing thunder runs in to major cities, Russians driving single file in to ambushes, the Gostomel debacle.

Then in the next few days you had Ukrainian National Guard and all manner of militia taking horrendous losses trying to stop mechanized Russian troops with little more than AK-47's and RPG 7's when many of them hadn't seen service since their mandatory conscription in the 90's. Meanwhile the Russians were abandoning equipment because of breakdowns, soldiers surrendering because they were lost, being ambushed and annihilated in city and town streets.

Telsa Cola
Aug 19, 2011

No... this is all wrong... this whole operation has just gone completely sidewaysface

mobby_6kl posted:

OTOH Russia's had the artillery advantage almost the whole time, but they seemed to be forced to tone it down recently. And they're throwing more men at fortified positions than before.

It's hard to say, I've seen figures around 100-120k thrown around but Ukraine never released anything officially

As much as any single loss of life is a tragedy, on strategic sense it's just what it is. I don't think the North Vietnamese were going to stop fighting because of their poor k:d ratios.

100-120k is what was recently thrown out by the UK intelligence agencies and if we are going to trust their numbers and whatnot for other stuff there's no reason to not trust that one.*

Ukraine hasn't released any real, significant info on the matter.

*arguably it's more trustworthy then their figures on Russian casualties because they are working with Ukraine so in theory they can cut through some of the bullshit.

the holy poopacy
May 16, 2009

hey! check this out
Fun Shoe

OctaMurk posted:

I think its the other way around.

In the first months of the war, the Russians got stuck in the mud, had miles-long traffic jams, entire battalions getting trapped and destroyed to the last man.

Now, the Ukrainians are being massively outshot in artillery without the opportunity to outmaneuver the Russians like they've had before, and Western artillery production hasnt increased enough to close the gap.

Not really, no. Russia hasn't been able to reestablish complete artillery dominance since HIMARS was deployed; they have a clear edge, but what you describe was still a fairly early phase of the invasion, between the retreat from Kyiv and the Kharkiv offensive.

Last fall there were estimates that both sides were probably somewhere around 100k casualties pretty close to each other. If that was reasonably accurate then
120k vs. 200k now would mean that it's literally been 5:1 since then.

Of course, all these estimates might as well be written on toilet paper; who knows if we'll ever have a clear and accurate picture of casualties on each side.

Borscht
Jun 4, 2011

Drone_Fragger posted:

The only thing russia is ahead on any more is "major powers who's president has poo poo his pants".



Tired: Putin poop jokes
Wired: drone golden showers

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

quote:

Wagner Group launches Pornhub ad campaign to attract new recruits

Wagner Group launches Pornhub ad campaign to attract new recruits

Several media outlets have reported that the Wagner Group, a Russian private military company financed by Yevgeny Prigozhin, launched an advertising campaign on Pornhub, a popular pornography website.


Details: A video shared by Pornhub users in Kemerovo and Volgograd oblasts shows a woman saying "We are the most f***ing amazing private army in the world. We are hiring fighters from all parts of Russia. Don’t wh*ck off, apply for a job with the Wagner Group."
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/03/15/7393541/

Drone_Fragger
May 9, 2007


Borscht posted:

Tired: Putin poop jokes
Wired: drone golden showers

New conspiracy theory: the drone only got pee'd on by the russian jets because they knew Trump was in the Drones pilot cabin back in the states.

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.

I can't tell if this is a stroke( :grin: ) of genius or laughably desperate and terrible.
And/or if pornhub is suddenly going to get cut off from Russia, or a reasonable facsimile thereof.

Borscht
Jun 4, 2011

Drone_Fragger posted:

New conspiracy theory: the drone only got pee'd on by the russian jets because they knew Trump was in the Drones pilot cabin back in the states.

I will piss on a Russian Hind for revenge. Where's my Rip-its?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Borscht posted:

Where's my Rip-its?

Ahhh, memories...

Drone_Fragger
May 9, 2007


Borscht posted:

I will piss on a Russian Hind for revenge. Where's my Rip-its?

Brb, trying to get contracted by raytheon to build a surface to air pissile.

zone
Dec 6, 2016


So amazing only 7,000 of their core members are now left alive and Russian MoD actively pinches their new recruits for their own battalions. Nice bravado they still got going on here.

Random Stranger
Nov 27, 2009



Borscht posted:

It's the same for the people screaming about how Ukraine is sending conscripts with little or no training and limited equipment to the front 'just like Russia." it's horrible and inconceivable but it must be necessary to protect themselves from an existential threat. since Kherson, the afu have been barely holding back the tide of invasion. The Russians send untrained men to their deaths because they're (questionably competent) imperialists who truly do not care about the lives of their fighting men. They could simply leave and not needlessly end the lives of some random guy they pulled off the street in Saratov.

It's the scenario I think most sober headed people were predicting in the run up to the war: Ukraine is defending themselves against an existential threat and has an absurd advantage in terms of material and support. While Russia can just keep throwing bodies into the country until every Ukrainian drowns, choking on Russian blood. Russia might have gotten their teeth kicked in harder than everyone expected on that first month, but they can keep shoveling Russian corpses into the fire for a long time.

zone
Dec 6, 2016

https://twitter.com/CalibreObscura/status/1636010025444335617
"Ukraine are the ones losing materiel to smuggling" turned out to be projection again after all. :dumbrim:

HonorableTB
Dec 22, 2006

mobby_6kl posted:

OTOH Russia's had the artillery advantage almost the whole time, but they seemed to be forced to tone it down recently. And they're throwing more men at fortified positions than before.

It's hard to say, I've seen figures around 100-120k thrown around but Ukraine never released anything officially

As much as any single loss of life is a tragedy, on strategic sense it's just what it is. I don't think the North Vietnamese were going to stop fighting because of their poor k:d ratios.

Paraguay lost half its population - not half its troops or soldiers, half its entire POPULATION - before it stopped fighting the Paraguayan War against Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. If you want to fight hard enough casualties only matter when you literally run out of men (Paraguay is thought to have lost up to 90% of its military-age men and up to 70% of its total male population)

All You Can Eat
Aug 27, 2004

Abundance is the dullest desire.

mobby_6kl posted:

Wh*ck off, apply for a job with the Wanker Group

FTFY

Tunicate
May 15, 2012

The problem with assessing paraguay numbers is that there are only few censuses of the population before and after the war, and none of them are reliable or particularly consistent with each other. Scholars vary from 7% to 70% deathrate largely depending on which ones they pick to believe

Pekinduck
May 10, 2008

EorayMel posted:

I can't tell if this is a stroke( :grin: ) of genius or laughably desperate and terrible.
And/or if pornhub is suddenly going to get cut off from Russia, or a reasonable facsimile thereof.

Pornhub is based out of Quebec. Ersatz Russian pornhub replacement incoming. :classiclol: :hf: :whitewater:

zone
Dec 6, 2016

Pekinduck posted:

Pornhub is based out of Quebec. Ersatz Russian pornhub replacement incoming. :classiclol: :hf: :whitewater:

Sexy and that's it, inspired by their knockoff Mickey D's replacement

HonorableTB
Dec 22, 2006

Tunicate posted:

The problem with assessing paraguay numbers is that there are only few censuses of the population before and after the war, and none of them are reliable or particularly consistent with each other. Scholars vary from 7% to 70% deathrate largely depending on which ones they pick to believe

Either way if you're talking double digit percentages of your population dead these are Bad Times for you, even if the real figures aren't as high as some sources say, that's an absolutely ballistic amount of dead people

Karate Bastard
Jul 31, 2007

Soiled Meat

Borscht posted:

I will piss on a Russian Hind for revenge. Where's my Rip-its?

You wouldn't believe the mental pictures I'm getting out of this post

Karate Bastard
Jul 31, 2007

Soiled Meat
*superman theme; riding a pillar of piss toward the eastern horizon*

Toxic Mental
Jun 1, 2019

mobby_6kl posted:

Don’t wh*ck off

You lost me

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.

Karate Bastard posted:

*superman theme; riding a pillar of piss toward the eastern horizon*

This but its superman 64

Power Khan
Aug 20, 2011

by Fritz the Horse

zone posted:

https://twitter.com/CalibreObscura/status/1636010025444335617
"Ukraine are the ones losing materiel to smuggling" turned out to be projection again after all. :dumbrim:

Speaking of which, if russian propaganda is trying really hard to sell to me that UA is so desperate for manpower that they're ripping random people from the streets...

Drone_Fragger
May 9, 2007


Since the dawn of the DC comic era, many have asked the same question. In this 732 page treatise once and for all this thorny issue will be put to bed and the question finally answered: Could superman cut a russian jet in half like a water jet cutter with his piss stream?

Power Khan
Aug 20, 2011

by Fritz the Horse
https://twitter.com/Seveerity/status/1636036787742076928

Burns
May 10, 2008

zone posted:

e: A new recruitment drive for another 400,000 mobiks has been issued in Russia. Where did the last 300,000 go? :thunkin:

They're just out of frame, having a great time.

Pekinduck
May 10, 2008

zone posted:

Sexy and that's it, inspired by their knockoff Mickey D's replacement

Alright I have our most attractive troll farm employees, a newer iPhone and a list of popular categories. We go live in a week.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
Just noticed that the post office has a sweatshirt with the raccoon that the russians stole from the zoo:

It's around $20 here: https://postmark.ukrposhta.ua/index.php?route=product/product&path=120&product_id=1531

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StrangersInTheNight
Dec 31, 2007
ABSOLUTE FUCKING GUDGEON
The war video game room and war merch on the same page is definitely some dystopian poo poo

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