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Inoykern is getting 15 loving inches of snow? 
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Mar 15, 2023 01:17
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| # ? May 28, 2024 06:15 |
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FlapYoJacks posted:Inoykern is getting 15 loving inches of snow? Like in the future? No, definitely not.
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Mar 15, 2023 02:53
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https://twitter.com/NWSWPC/status/1635758509030780929
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Mar 15, 2023 04:43
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https://twitter.com/thenunez1/status/1635788408327897089 the hills and ridges will be blanketed in white
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Mar 15, 2023 04:49
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lol I always suspected I lived in the ball sac of Cali
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Mar 15, 2023 05:19
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Bilirubin posted:lol I always suspected I lived in the ball sac of Cali rain (piss) is stored in California's balls
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Mar 15, 2023 05:31
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am I looking at it from the side? from underneath?
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Mar 16, 2023 17:53
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biceps crimes posted:am I looking at it from the side? from underneath? head on! apply directly to the foreskin
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Mar 16, 2023 19:35
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https://twitter.com/fredcantu/status/1636550821625167873
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Mar 17, 2023 03:48
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I don't think I've ever seen as intense of lightning as in that storm. It was continuous.
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Mar 17, 2023 04:10
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https://www.ppic.org/blog/an-epic-snowpack-may-test-water-management-in-the-san-joaquin-valley/ Tulare Lake making a comeback
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Mar 17, 2023 07:39
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A Bakers Cousin posted:I would keep one of those ice balls in my freezer forever Sublimation called. It’s coming for your balls.
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Mar 17, 2023 08:26
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Oh just in fun general weather news! Record ocean warmth returns as La Nina fades posted:Global ocean temperatures have rebounded to record-challenging high levels this week as our planet shakes off the cooling influence of La Niña.
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Mar 17, 2023 08:36
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hell yes. love rebounds, they're a universally-recognized symbol of Good
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Mar 17, 2023 08:42
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Shifty Pony posted:I don't think I've ever seen as intense of lightning as in that storm. It was continuous. Not as big but I saw something similar in northern florida and people were pulling over to watch it. They also got out of their cars, which I would not have recommended
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Mar 17, 2023 09:17
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dr_rat posted:Oh just in fun general weather news! phew, i was worried for a second
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Mar 17, 2023 10:02
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A Bakers Cousin posted:you would think the media would report on a storm affecting a state with like 14%(?) of america? You'd also think that media would cover when Pakistan or Bangladesh gets flooded and millions lose their homes. And California is a much smaller and remote corner of earth.
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Mar 17, 2023 10:26
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dr_rat posted:Oh just in fun general weather news! Oh dear. Looking forward to Portugese Men of War and schools of barracuda off the north end of Vancouver Island, like the El Nino in the late 1950s.
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Mar 17, 2023 15:51
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The news yesterday afternoon was talking about how sargassum seaweed is going to ruin your spring break this year. One of the anchors called it "sarcasm" seaweed a few times
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Mar 17, 2023 15:59
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i say swears online posted:hell yes. love rebounds, they're a universally-recognized symbol of Good number always goes up every number
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Mar 17, 2023 16:04
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Iron Crowned posted:The news yesterday afternoon was talking about how sargassum seaweed is going to ruin your spring break this year. One of the anchors called it "sarcasm" seaweed a few times https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=95C7IWzRxMo
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Mar 17, 2023 16:07
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Receding floodwaters, population booms of fish caused by the flooding and heatwaves are all deoxygenating waterways in eastern Australia and that’s causing some unfathomable horrors: https://twitter.com/STomevska/status/1636637855194963974
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Mar 17, 2023 23:23
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Vladimir Poutine posted:Receding floodwaters, population booms of fish caused by the flooding and heatwaves are all deoxygenating waterways in eastern Australia and that’s causing some unfathomable horrors: what the gently caress
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Mar 17, 2023 23:26
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plow it over and grow corn
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Mar 17, 2023 23:28
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Graeme McCrabb
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Mar 17, 2023 23:59
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Real hurthling! posted:plow it over and grow corn It's wheat out here m8
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Mar 18, 2023 00:07
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Water season over. Fire season begin.
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Mar 18, 2023 00:40
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Failson posted:Water season over. What about mudslide season?
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Mar 18, 2023 02:28
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we are probably going to get quite a few bridges and roads getting washed away this spring as all this snow melts
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Mar 18, 2023 02:29
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Failson posted:Water season over. 
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Mar 18, 2023 02:42
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Mar 18, 2023 02:44
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is this scale like relative humidity, where 100 is on fire/raining?
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Mar 18, 2023 03:07
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euxinic events are weather
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Mar 18, 2023 03:41
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All of California could be under six feet of water, and the fire danger would still be moderate.
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Mar 18, 2023 05:54
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Skippy McPants posted:All of California could be under six feet of water, and the fire danger would still be moderate. tbh, i thought all those signs were permanently bolted to extreme
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Mar 18, 2023 06:23
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yeah dont you know how many teslas are in California?
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Mar 18, 2023 06:25
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jetz0r posted:is this scale like relative humidity, where 100 is on fire/raining? Nah, you can be on fire at any point!
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Mar 18, 2023 09:13
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I would like to expand on the El Nino situation as it is my primary area of weather study, and what's happening right now needs some context. Effort post time... Here is the up to date figures:  This is a ridiculously strong opening season for ENSO. And crucially, the southern hemisphere seems to be playing ball, which has been a big problem lately. This looks very much like the beginnings of a classic, very strong to super strong EP based ENSO, the rough types of which are shown here:  A cross section of what's occurring in the Pacific Ocean. To understand this, imagine you parted the sea at the equator, bible style, and were looking at the ocean straight on from the side, seeing the warmer layers of the thermocline on the top and the coldest layers nearing the bottom. These are a variation on kelvin waves; due to slackening or reversing trades in the pacific ocean, warm water is accumulated into a ball and eventually moves slowly eastward. These are envelopes of warmer water and they essentially do battle with the cooler water in the central and eastern pacific as they travel east. These enveloper travel beneath the surface of the water and erupt further east depending on how much their envelope deviates from normal, how fast they travel, and the overall conditions in the rest of the basin which can either help or harm its journey. When a kelvin wave hits the eastern NINO 1+2 region (galapagos-centric; slams into the coast) with good momentum, it's like a pawn becoming a king when it reaches the end of the board. The regions, for reference:  Don't get me wrong, any warm water reaching the east pacific is good (with a small handful of exceptions) but these strong, momentum-laden kelvin waves are the backbone for a consistent and long lasting EP based El Nino, which is by far the best El Nino for California precipitation and more broadly, a hyper developed and southerly focused jet stream. (though it is worth noting that weaker positive ENSO phases can actually have a negative effect on rainfall for CA / American SW). Kelvin wave progression in 2023 can be seen below in a time lapse that helps elucidate how these kelvin waves actually function:  The 7 day average:  Here is the current thermocline, which maps the water temp at given depths. You can see very clearly that there is a lot more warm water downwelling from the west pacific and poised to move eastward:  Typically, the stronger an El Nino is, the earlier and more strongly it begins, as water starts its oscillatory loop eastwards in Q1 or Q2. That's not always true, but it's a good general way to describe it. Basically, if this ENSO positive event continues like this we could see an event similar in magnitude to 1997-1998. The fact that we had consecutive years of La Nina bolsters the odds of this occurring. The 97 El Nino is legendary; it was an extremely strong, no holds barred event that had jaw-dropping amounts of warm water, and its resulting alterations of air circulation produced incredible and often devastating effects worldwide. The general state of the world's weather patterns are significantly more unpredictable than they were in 97, which makes intensity and overall effects even more difficult to predict, but usually when an El Nino is super strong, it tends to bring the entire world circulatory system with it. Here is an extremely general layout of how such an oscillation would traditionally affect the USA, for example:  I would like to expand on the El Nino situation as it is my primary area of weather study, and what's happening right now needs some context. Here is the up to date figures: This is a ridiculously strong opening season for ENSO. And crucially, the southern hemisphere seems to be playing ball, which has been a big problem lately. This looks very much like the beginnings of a classic, very strong to super strong EP based ENSO, the rough types of which are shown here: A cross section of what's occurring in the Pacific Ocean. To understand this, imagine you parted the sea at the equator, bible style, and were looking at the ocean straight on from the side, seeing the warmer layers of the thermocline on the top and the coldest layers nearing the bottom. These are a variation on kelvin waves; due to slackening or reversing trades in the pacific ocean, warm water is accumulated into a ball and eventually moves slowly eastward. These are envelopes of warmer water and they essentially do battle with the cooler water in the central and eastern pacific as they travel east. These enveloper travel beneath the surface of the water and erupt further east depending on how much their envelope deviates from normal, how fast they travel, and the overall conditions in the rest of the basin which can either help or harm its journey. When a kelvin wave hits the eastern NINO 1+2 region (galapagos-centric; slams into the coast) with good momentum, it's like a pawn becoming a king when it reaches the end of the board. The regions, for reference: Don't get me wrong, any warm water reaching the east pacific is good (with a small handful of exceptions) but these strong, momentum-laden kelvin waves are the backbone for a consistent and long lasting EP based El Nino, which is by far the best El Nino for California precipitation and more broadly, a hyper developed and southerly focused jet stream. (though it is worth noting that weaker positive ENSO phases can actually have a negative effect on rainfall for CA / American SW). Kelvin wave progression in 2023 can be seen below in a time lapse that helps elucidate how these kelvin waves actually function: The 7 day average: Here is the current thermocline, which maps the water temp at given depths. You can see very clearly that there is a lot more warm water downwelling from the west pacific and poised to move eastward: Typically, the stronger an El Nino is, the earlier and more strongly it begins, as water starts its oscillatory loop eastwards in Q1 or Q2. That's not always true, but it's a good general way to describe it. Basically, if this ENSO positive event continues like this we could see an event in the ballpark of the 97-98 super El Nino. The fact that we had consecutive years of La Nina also bolsters the odds of this occurring. The 97 El Nino is legendary; an extremely strong, no holds barred event that had jaw-dropping amounts of warm water, and its resulting alterations of air circulation produced incredible and often devastating effects worldwide. The general state of the world's weather patterns are significantly more unpredictable than they were in 97, which makes intensity and overall effects even more difficult to predict, but usually when an El Nino is super strong, it tends to bring the entire world circulatory system with it. It's pretty irresponsible to make any firm predictions of this event; forecasts more than 5-10 days in advance are already dubious, so obviously making a call for something that is happening next winter is just a wild guess. But the elements are all here for an incredibly strong event, and it bears paying close attention. The 97-98 El Nino arguably switched global circulation into a "La Nina preffered" configuration that we've been in every since (this is a contested point but I believe it to be true). That's how powerful ENSO positive can be; it can make sweeping, extremely long lasting changes to the global circulation. Therefore it is also possible that a strong +ENSO system could flip it the other way, resulting in, for example, a systemic preference for +ENSO outcomes, which would be amazing for the state. When +ENSO is at its best, there is no other force on earth that can stand up to it; the circulations bend to its will. However, in less strong events, other large-scale circular oscillations can change its output (which is another topic we can get into I guess). I don't think I need to state that such a strong ENSO event would be huge for the drought-riddled american SW and especially California. That being said, you can't really root for it either because an event like this causes all manner of negative outcome for the rest of the world- and can easily be bad for California too in terms of flooding. It's important to note though that +ENSO is not the cause of the worst floods in California history. Those floods were generated by a super-charged version of what is happening this winter, actually: sequential atmospheric rivers. e: happy to go into anything people want to know about El Nino. I was a surfer in Santa Cruz CA for about 20 years before ultimately moving to the Seattle area about 5 months ago. During that time I was fortunate enough to live one block from first peak Pleasure Point and also, later on, two blocks from the Santa Cruz Harbor, which is one of the best waves in the world when it's on. El Nino is the best thing that can happen to you as a surfer in California for a shitload of reasons- it basically upgrades huge swaths of California into an entirely new surfing coastline with amazing waves everywhere you look. It also significantly decreases the rainfall in the PNW among many other things. I'm tempted to go crash in CA this next winter and get back into surfing for a while... we'll see. Anyways, good times, let me know if you have any Qs. ENSO is extremely close to my heart as a surfer and casual meteorologist! Taima has issued a correction as of 13:17 on Mar 19, 2023 |
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Mar 18, 2023 15:55
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western ks is in a pretty serious drought so wetter than normal would be good for them rip florida though
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Mar 18, 2023 16:17
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Koirhor posted:what the gently caress
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Mar 18, 2023 16:22
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