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(Thread IKs: weg, Toxic Mental)
 
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Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

Ukraine advancing on Moscow is so far fetched we might as well be speculating about the Lunar front of the Russo-Ukrainian war.

I also don't think Ukrainian strikes on Moscow are a good idea because they have only a handful (if any) of weapons capable of reaching out that long, and these would probably be better spent on other targets.

Strikes on Moscow would make the Russians absolutely lose their loving minds but I don't think that would have any real life effect. They can't escalate any further without dropping nukes, and they probably aren't dumb enough to do that.

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My Spirit Otter
Jun 15, 2006


CANADA DOESN'T GET PENS LIKE THIS

SKILCRAFT KREW Reppin' Quality Blind Made American Products. Bitch.

How is that remotely a strawman? In both scenarios, one country started a conflict in another country and wouldnt have stopped unless thoroughly trounced.

Crab Dad
Dec 28, 2002

behold i have tempered and refined thee, but not as silver; as CRAB


DandyLion posted:

Bunch of cowards. I demand Ukraine air drop just planeloads of boots on moscow.

Holy poo poo I hope they do this.

ItohRespectArmy
Sep 11, 2019

Cutest In The World, Six Time DDT Ironheavymetalweight champion, Two Time International Princess champion, winner of two tournaments, a Princess Tag Team champion, And a pretty good singer too!
"When I was an idol, I felt nothing every day but now that I'm a pro wrestler I'm in pain constantly!"

i think ukraine should go all the way to Beijing while we're at it

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




Geisladisk posted:

Ukraine advancing on Moscow is so far fetched we might as well be speculating about the Lunar front of the Russo-Ukrainian war.

I also don't think Ukrainian strikes on Moscow are a good idea because they have only a handful (if any) of weapons capable of reaching out that long, and these would probably be better spent on other targets.

Strikes on Moscow would make the Russians absolutely lose their loving minds but I don't think that would have any real life effect. They can't escalate any further without dropping nukes, and they probably aren't dumb enough to do that.

A land invasion of Moscow is absolutely fever dream clancy chat. Precision strikes into it? I'm not so sure because citizens of Moscow are one of the very few groups that Russian leadership even has a slight care for it. Repeated military target strikes in Moscow will make any narrative about victory or things going as planned / it's difficult but we're getting there significantly harder to pull off. Basically it's a psy-op to the people who actually can make a difference in changing the minds of the political elite.

But I think you're right in that it might not make a real difference.

Nelson Mandingo fucked around with this message at 15:44 on Mar 28, 2023

KazigluBey
Oct 30, 2011

boner

The Vietnamese did not have to do a single thing to the main-land US in order to win. Russia is losing men and material daily while support for Ukraine is steady. Why would Ukraine jeopardize that with a land-invasion of Russia? Like, it's one thing to argue that if Russia starts really going crazy with ammo/fuel dumps riiiiight close to the border which are contributing to logistics that they can be seen as legitimate targets and quite another to start fantasizing about Ukraine somehow managing to threaten/control a territory even a third the size of Russia's.

This entire line of argument feels very fever-dream Clancy-chat-esque.

RoboBoogie
Sep 18, 2008



Russia is just going to get them to run through a city armed only with lumber and cinderblocks only to get mowed down.

Power Khan
Aug 20, 2011

by Fritz the Horse
Moscow should be drone-bombed with pink dildos

Tai
Mar 8, 2006
You can also be sure as poo poo that some psycho russians in the Duma want Ukraine to do something and hope that the drone crashes into a block of flats or something. The more that Ukraine doesn't do poo poo outside of its borders/nearby airfields, the more the russian government look like chumps that China isn't going to do poo poo for.

Tai
Mar 8, 2006

Power Khan posted:

Moscow should be drone-bombed with pink dildos

I'd be on board with this. Maybe some gay porn pictures too! Nothing beats gay porn to show how you aren't a real man right?

SlurredSpeech609
Oct 29, 2012

KazigluBey posted:

Why would Ukraine jeopardize that with a land-invasion of Russia?
This entire line of argument feels very fever-dream Clancy-chat-esque.

I dont think that they would. We were talking about these little drones that Ukraine is sending, not ground troops or tank formations or anything. https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love...agenumber%3D112

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




My Spirit Otter posted:

How is that remotely a strawman? In both scenarios, one country started a conflict in another country and wouldnt have stopped unless thoroughly trounced.

These are not the same wars, and there are not the same war or political objectives or considerations. Ukraine is fighting a defensive war. This is not a total war. No, once Russia is booted out of Ukraine they simply won't be able to invade again. (This was their last chance to conquer Ukraine because demographics and moving away from oil are going to gently caress them)

Ukraine is explicitly turning into the Israel of Europe after all this (IE: It's economy and objective is being a security state for the region)

Not to mention the allied forces had competing objectives of carving up germany and the west wanted to contain russian expansion as they became their political main competitor at the end of WW2.

Nelson Mandingo fucked around with this message at 15:41 on Mar 28, 2023

Suspect A
Jan 1, 2015

Nap Ghost
Dropping propaganda fliers from drones or something would have the same effect.

lifetime supply of Pocky
Aug 19, 2003

fart

freelop
Apr 28, 2013

Where we're going, we won't need fries to see



Hitting the Kherson bridge with those drones seems like a better use, wouldn't even matter if it causes any physical damage as it would piss off the Russian higher ups.

Get 2 drones, one loaded with blue paint and one with yellow then see how far you can get down the bridge spreading the paint

Bronze Fonz
Feb 14, 2019




Ukraine:
*releases 4k video of grenade hitting the helmet of a dude while he's taking a poo poo, Ramstein plays in the background*

Russia:
*prints lovely memes, stuffed in a rocket, crashes into a barn*

My Spirit Otter
Jun 15, 2006


CANADA DOESN'T GET PENS LIKE THIS

SKILCRAFT KREW Reppin' Quality Blind Made American Products. Bitch.

KazigluBey posted:

The Vietnamese did not have to do a single thing to the main-land US in order to win. Russia is losing men and material daily while support for Ukraine is steady. Why would Ukraine jeopardize that with a land-invasion of Russia? Like, it's one thing to argue that if Russia starts really going crazy with ammo/fuel dumps riiiiight close to the border which are contributing to logistics that they can be seen as legitimate targets and quite another to start fantasizing about Ukraine somehow managing to threaten/control a territory even a third the size of Russia's.

This entire line of argument feels very fever-dream Clancy-chat-esque.

Vietnam and the us arent fuckin neighbours and it takes a lot more resources to ship people and equipment across the pacific loving ocean than next door. You think if the us/vietnam war was america/canada that the us would have cut their losses?

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




KazigluBey posted:

The Vietnamese did not have to do a single thing to the main-land US in order to win.

I want to reiterate that yeah, a land invasion of Moscow is absolutely fever-dream Clancychat and honestly I think should be banned outright because it's so far fetched. Russia would be in a state of absolute internal collapse at that point. But I don't think Vietnam is a perfect parallel. Media propaganda and culture of the US vs Russia is way different. Tactical strikes into Moscow disrupts Russian narratives very hard. They can't keep putting out press releases of "unfortunate smoking accidents" forever as an example.

kdrudy
Sep 19, 2009

freelop posted:

Hitting the Kherson bridge with those drones seems like a better use, wouldn't even matter if it causes any physical damage as it would piss off the Russian higher ups.

Get 2 drones, one loaded with blue paint and one with yellow then see how far you can get down the bridge spreading the paint

Real life City Connection

Tai
Mar 8, 2006
EA just dropped an announcement

Battlefield 6: Ukraine

Roblo
Dec 10, 2007

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

My Spirit Otter posted:

So allied troops on ground in germany during ww2 were wrong, gotcha

Dude what the hell are you talking about.

As soon as Ukraine pushes beyond their own borders the supplies of western aid dry up immediately. That doesn't help Ukraine.

KakerMix
Apr 8, 2004

8.2 M.P.G.
:byetankie:

Tiny Timbs posted:

Oh there is absolutely zero moral hazard to Ukraine striking back against Russian leadership. The idea that there would be seems crazy to me. As a practical issue, I just don't see Ukraine as being capable of actually pulling off any serious damage.

I assume it's just to let Russia know that they can't hide at all, and poke more holes in the narrative that Russia can defend itself. If I were in Moscow, and I was consuming the propaganda and thinking "yeah, that WOULD ruin the potato" and Ukraine drones were flying in and around Moscow I'd have to deal with that reality. The current government of Russia is literally Steven Seagal on the world stage, but its entirely different to get its own populace to not be able to ignore reality.

Nobody wants to invade Moscow, nobody wants Moscow. All anyone wants Russia to do is go home and shut the gently caress up and stop embarrassing themselves. But no, the same boring rear end uninspired clone of the same dictator garbage that we've all seen has to happen yet again, because insecure confused old men like Putin can't deal with the fact that they ain't happy. It's just all so goddamned boring and trite and typical and the same drat thing, over and over and over again :negative:

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Nelson Mandingo posted:

I want to reiterate that yeah, a land invasion of Moscow is absolutely fever-dream Clancychat and honestly I think should be banned outright because it's so far fetched. Russia would be in a state of absolute internal collapse at that point. But I don't think Vietnam is a perfect parallel. Media propaganda and culture of the US vs Russia is way different. Tactical strikes into Moscow disrupts Russian narratives very hard. They can't keep putting out press releases of "unfortunate smoking accidents" forever as an example.

Yeah, this. Ukraine isn't going to go march into Russia. Its crazy to even fantasize about it. Best scenario, they kick Russia out of mainland Ukraine and create a DMZ around the borders which Russia regularly violates.

Crab Dad
Dec 28, 2002

behold i have tempered and refined thee, but not as silver; as CRAB


CommieGIR posted:

Yeah, this. Ukraine isn't going to go march into Russia. Its crazy to even fantasize about it. Best scenario, they kick Russia out of mainland Ukraine and create a DMZ around the borders which Russia regularly violates.

Creep the anti-lada traps forward a yard every month.

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
Instead of the pointless clancychat, let's celebrate Finland joining us! With sound.

https://i.imgur.com/uJry7gl.mp4

armpit_enjoyer
Jan 25, 2023

my god. it's full of posts

My Spirit Otter posted:

Vietnam and the us arent fuckin neighbours

Well whose fault do you think that is :colbert:

Karate Bastard
Jul 31, 2007

Soiled Meat
NATO CANNOT FATHOM what they just got themselves into.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat
Hm? Turkey hasn't ratified it yet, has it?

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

steinrokkan posted:

Hm? Turkey hasn't ratified it yet, has it?

Could they resist after seeing that though??

Jasper Tin Neck
Nov 14, 2008


"Scientifically proven, rich and creamy."

As fun as it is to Clancychat about killer drones descending on Putin's butt, this drone was probably spying on Russian training efforts at nearby military bases (red polygons). The pin marks the reported crash site.



There's lots to snoop on:
  • 147th Guards Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment
  • 2nd Guards Motor Rifle Division
  • Kubinka air base
  • The training grounds where they organise the tank biathlons
  • an artillery range.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

The second front of the Ukraine-Russia hyperspace war has opened.

TEMPLE GRANDIN OS
Dec 10, 2003

...blyat

My Spirit Otter posted:

How is that remotely a strawman? In both scenarios, one country started a conflict in another country and wouldnt have stopped unless thoroughly trounced.

it's a scarecrow you dumb bastard!

Just Another Lurker
May 1, 2009

Karma Comedian posted:

...
And a map:


The armchair general in me (heavy emphasis on armchair)wants to strike towards the partisan zone and onwards to the sea.

shadow puppet of a
Jan 10, 2007

NO TENGO SCORPIO


I would support a precision drone operation against Moscow involving a drone, a glass cutter and 50 centilitres of indelible hot pink and neon green dye actioned against the tomb of Lenin where the only casualty is the dignity of a corpse.

Burns
May 10, 2008

I just want that Wagner cocksucker Prigozin to eat a drone or shell. gently caress that guy.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

shadow puppet of a posted:

I would support a precision drone operation against Moscow involving a drone, a glass cutter and 50 centilitres of indelible hot pink and neon green dye actioned against the tomb of Lenin where the only casualty is the dignity of a corpse.

We all know the real drone strike for Moscow: More flying penis copters.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7vEFpTETuNs

HonorableTB
Dec 22, 2006
Ukraine is never going to invade Russia lmao get real people.

Here's a good discussion of China's aims towards Siberia

https://news.yahoo.com/xi-jinping-plan-annex-russian-190000385.html

yahoo posted:

The long-debated agreement on “Power of Siberia 2” (POS2) – a massive pipeline project to pump gas from Western Siberia to China via Mongolia – has become emblematic of the one-sided and slightly abusive relationship between China and Russia since the start of the Ukraine war. It is not good news for Moscow.

Ahead of Xi Jinping’s recent visit to Russia, Putin boldly announced that the pipeline deal was ready to be signed off, prematurely labelling it “the deal of the century”. But Xi, unmoved by such excessive zeal, declined to sign anything. No mention whatsoever of POS2 appears in the official statements Xi made during the meetings. In the final joint communiqué, all a disappointed Putin could comment was that more work still had to be done “on study and approval”.

It is in this context that we should read Xi’s parting words to Putin – oracular and ominous – that referred to “changes coming, such as haven’t been seen for a century”, which “we can push forward together”. China watchers have been poring over these words for every last nuance, but it’s pretty clear that Xi was framing himself as leader, with Putin nominally by his side, of a revisionist assault on the liberal world order.

Beijing’s vision for the People’s Republic of China’s centenary in 2049 is the global triumph of a “fully developed, rich and powerful China”. This will not include sharing power with a chaotic Russian kleptocracy. The harder Xi focuses his efforts on realising the “China Dream”, the more implacably will his political and economic coercion be directed at Putin and Russia, and the weaker and more dependent both will become.

Xi’s revisionist goals entail wiping out the shame of historical territorial losses. He has imposed Communist authority on Hong Kong, seeks to do so in Taiwan, and undoubtedly has the same ambition for the 600,000 square kilometres – three times the area of Great Britain – which Tsarist Russia wrested from Opium War-weakened Manchu control in 1858-60 under the Treaties of Aigun and Peking. This area includes parts of Siberia, from which Putin’s much-vaunted pipeline deal would extract resources to sell to China.

Since the Chinese Communist Party regime derives much of what it parades as “legitimacy” from these revanchist campaigns, paying Putin for Siberian resources feels like buying family silver back from a robber. Beijing regards its loss of Mongolian lands in the same way, given the crucial Soviet role in breaking Mongolia away from the remnants of Chinese authority in the early 20th century.

Already, cross-border economic activity in Siberia by uncounted Chinese communities, including in Khabarovsk and Vladivostok, tacitly revive historical Chinese claims to this resource-rich and highly strategic region. For decades, Chinese gangsters have been smuggling precious Siberian resources back to China through a porous frontier – often in collusion with Russian criminals. It’s a clear breach of Russian sovereignty.

Putin’s disastrous assault on Ukraine may have drawn his gaze far away from Russia’s 4,200km border with China, along with many thousands of soldiers who should guard it, but the Chinese remain focused. Xi Jinping’s zero-sum ambition for the “great rejuvenation of China” is imposing itself step by step on Russian soil.

A well-known Russian Sinologist spoke about the relations between the two countries after the meeting with Xi and Putin:

Alexander Lukin posted:

Психологически надо готовиться к тому, что Россия по сравнению с Китаем будет страной менее влиятельной, а со временем — и менее развитой.


My translation, apologies for errors:

Lukin posted:

Psychologically, we need to prepare for the fact that Russia, compared to China, will be a less influential country, and over time, less developed. And get used to living with it in such a way that, while maintaining cooperation, you do not fall into excessive dependence

https://v1.ru/text/world/2023/03/25/72162320/

HonorableTB fucked around with this message at 16:50 on Mar 28, 2023

EorayMel
May 30, 2015

WE GET IT. YOU LOVE GUN JESUS. Toujours des fusils Bullpup Français.
Power Of Siberia 2 sure is an interesting acronym

shadow puppet of a
Jan 10, 2007

NO TENGO SCORPIO


I wonder how low Russian stockpiles of “aerofollosov” are now considering its key role in maintaining internal humiliation levels balanced against the need to put flying dick out there on the battlefield as an easily identifiable rallying point.

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Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




mobby_6kl posted:

Instead of the pointless clancychat, let's celebrate Finland joining us! With sound.

https://i.imgur.com/uJry7gl.mp4

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