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(Thread IKs: Nenonen)
What should the presidential powers be in 2020?
This poll is closed.
UNLIMITED!!!! URKKI 2.0!!!!!! 3 23.08%
Sauli should be allowed to telecast to our homes whenever he pleases, but that should be the limit. 2 15.38%
He should be limited to writing mildly worded letters to HBL and other provincial newspapers. 2 15.38%
None. More power to Sanna & Katri & Maria & Li & Anna-Maja & Jenni! 2 15.38%
Unlimited, but every decision must be subject to a plebiscite. 0 0%
None, but the president's life must be video streamed 24 /7 for the duration of their term, with no censorship. 4 30.77%
Total: 13 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Keisari
May 24, 2011

Terminal autist posted:

Hopefully we open a new adventure in the middle east soon and you will be

Naww now we don't need to kiss American asses as much anymore to keep the NATO door open, can just sit and circle-fellatio with the other Nordics.

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Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
Now that we are in, we can become bad boys at the back of the class like Turkey!

DarkCrawler
Apr 6, 2009

by vyelkin

Elukka posted:

Before the war I'd have laughed at the idea that Finland could defeat a Russian invasion but now it seems laughable that they'd just trivially annex us.

I mean I think the trees alone could hold them off for a month or so

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Elukka posted:

Before the war I'd have laughed at the idea that Finland could defeat a Russian invasion but now it seems laughable that they'd just trivially annex us.

*draws a graph of NATO propaganda opinions over time*

wel call this, the Elukka function

Catpain Slack
Apr 1, 2014

BAAAAAAH
Sulla nyt ei oo mitään sanottavaa muitten propagandan nielemisestä, toveri Lollontee

Hajotus Maximus
Feb 19, 2011

lollontee posted:

*draws a graph of NATO propaganda opinions over time*

wel call this, the Elukka function

Can someone translate this to English, please.

Triple A
Jul 14, 2010

Your sword, sahib.

Hajotus Maximus posted:

Can someone translate this to English, please.

ruplamiehellä ei ollut pelkää teetä samovarissa

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Catpain Slack posted:

Sulla nyt ei oo mitään sanottavaa muitten propagandan nielemisestä, toveri Lollontee

:barf:

Hajotus Maximus
Feb 19, 2011

Triple A posted:

ruplamiehellä ei ollut pelkää teetä samovarissa

I'm only half joking. Or is it that there's nothing to be understood?

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Hajotus Maximus posted:

I'm only half joking. Or is it that there's nothing to be understood?

a mathematical function written on a cartesian plane, with different opinions over time plotten on it, what do you not get?

DarkCrawler
Apr 6, 2009

by vyelkin

lollontee posted:

*draws a graph of NATO propaganda opinions over time*

wel call this, the Elukka function

Comrade I think if you had spent the last year directly embedded in the Russian Army as a literal Russian soldier you would have a worse, not better view of their military capabilities

Hajotus Maximus
Feb 19, 2011

lollontee posted:

a mathematical function written on a cartesian plane, with different opinions over time plotten on it, what do you not get?

The NATO propaganda opinions part. Also tying it to what Elukka posted. Makes no sense.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Hajotus Maximus posted:

The NATO propaganda opinions part. Also tying it to what Elukka posted. Makes no sense.

Elukalla ollu huonoja mielipiteitä aikasemmista NATO sodista

Hajotus Maximus
Feb 19, 2011

lollontee posted:

Elukalla ollu huonoja mielipiteitä aikasemmista NATO sodista

Well , that does actually explain the post, thanks.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
hip heijaa ku ollaan NATOssa ja sitte voidaanki alottaa oikeen kunnon vittuilu tonne idän suuntaan. saadaan viä Hjallis ulkoministeriks niin tulee hilpeetä

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
Stop being asses.

No. 1 Callie Fan
Feb 17, 2011

This inkling is your FRIEND
She fights for LOVE
Ahem. Anyway, let's have some post-election discussions.

https://twitter.com/EAaltola/status/1643281352400281606

So, did Greens ultimately alienate their base instead of being victims of tactical voting?

DanTheFryingPan
Jan 28, 2006

No. 1 Callie Fan posted:

So, did Greens ultimately alienate their base instead of being victims of tactical voting?

Yes.

No. 1 Callie Fan
Feb 17, 2011

This inkling is your FRIEND
She fights for LOVE

Why is that, I've been out the loop so to speak so.

Herman Merman
Jul 6, 2008
According to twitter it's because they're angry exterme-woke transfeminist identity politicians who destroy kaupunkiluonto (=Malmin lentokenttä), love cannabis and hate cars

Herman Merman
Jul 6, 2008
Also they're too far left and also too far right, hope this clarifies things!

Hiekkakauppias
Mar 26, 2008

OJ's humble beginnings in acting helped prepare him for the media spotlight in Calgary
Elisa Aaltola was also close to kokoomuksen puisto-osasto In her views on economics, hence being salty about party being too leftist.

Fated To Be Fat
May 23, 2009

A branch without a tree.

No. 1 Callie Fan posted:

Ahem. Anyway, let's have some post-election discussions.

https://twitter.com/EAaltola/status/1643281352400281606

So, did Greens ultimately alienate their base instead of being victims of tactical voting?

In a way. Greens voters are mostly the least politically literate section of the middle class. When you tell them that leftist politics is literally the only way to get any progress on combating climate chance their eyes will glaze over and they think about their taxes. You can also get wildly different and mutually exclusive views from them at conversations. You could say that Greens voters operate purely on vibes.

Qtamo
Oct 7, 2012
I think the pre-election interview Ohisalo had with Long Play is kinda telling. The interviewer keeps trying to get Ohisalo to tell the difference between the Greens and vassarit, and pretty much the only thing she keeps repeating is that there would be no one else carrying the torch of environmentalism and combating climate change if they weren't around - which I think is completely false. Tbh I do think that in the current political landscape, where the environment and climate change are at least somewhat important and agreed upon issues to everyone other than PS (I mean, kepu is ok with anything as long as the countryside gets paid), the Greens would do better electionwise if they returned towards the "kokoomuksen puisto-osasto" days. Then again, this is subject to change depending on how especially LA prioritizes issues under a different leadership.

I guess one could say that the Greens have been too successful, that their original "core" has become accepted widely enough and deeply enough that it's not an issue that differentiates them from other parties that much anymore. And when there's not much difference elsewhere either, most people lack a reason to vote for them.

Asteroid Alert
Oct 24, 2012

BINGO!

TheWeedNumber posted:

Just got a few questions for ya if you don’t mind entertaining us for just a second sir or ma’am: which way to Helsinki from here and why do y’all need ABM? Like whose gonna nuke Finland b, they gonna nuke New York before they nuke y’all fam, on god no cap b. Peace god.

Sir, you need to be on your best behavior now.

(Voi vittu tätäkö tää NATO sit onkin, pilvessä heiluvia SEMPER FI DO OR DIE US MARINES HOORAH ukkeleita?)

Forktoss
Feb 13, 2012

I'm OK, you're so-so
At this point Greens can only grow by either eating votes from SDP/Vas or eating votes from Kokoomus, and I would prefer them to eat votes from Kokoomus.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa
That's also why I cast my vote for Sini Musta Liike. We already have a welfare state and equal rights, there's no purpose in voting for social democracy anymore.

Qtamo
Oct 7, 2012

Nenonen posted:

That's also why I cast my vote for Sini Musta Liike. We already have a welfare state and equal rights, there's no purpose in voting for social democracy anymore.

Good for you.

I doubt too many people cast their vote for a welfare state as such, but rather for different viewpoints on how that's best kept up, to what extent, and what the best path forward is. When almost every party agrees on broad strokes of environmental policy (there's a reason why even PS agrees on carbon neutrality but with a different target year), even if you're voting from an environmental point of view, you might vote for some other party if all the greens can come up with is "we're more environmentalist" - without that statement having a basis in reality. Then again, I might be biased, having voted for greens back in the day before being turned away by how lovely their actual environmental goals and policies were. And having worked in the field, where the greens being poo poo was even more apparent. I just don't see what the intersection of issues is that'd lead to anyone voting for the current greens rather than other parties. Maybe it exists, but in that case the party is really bad at actually advertising it.


Forktoss posted:

At this point Greens can only grow by either eating votes from SDP/Vas or eating votes from Kokoomus, and I would prefer them to eat votes from Kokoomus.

This.

SpiritOfLenin
Apr 29, 2013

be happy :3


Qtamo posted:

I just don't see what the intersection of issues is that'd lead to anyone voting for the current greens rather than other parties. Maybe it exists, but in that case the party is really bad at actually advertising it.

its just vibes and "i don't wanna vote for a party that are explicit socialists (or i think are explicit socialists) but i care about the environment"

Jasper Tin Neck
Nov 14, 2008


"Scientifically proven, rich and creamy."

Over the long run, this election was less a "total disaster" and more a regression to the mean for the Greens. The core constituency appears to make up about 8% of voters, or roughly the same as Vas (RKP included for scale to demonstrate that poll turnout isn't particularly impactful on the polls.)



Now unlike Vas, which seems to be utterly and completely unable to appeal to anyone beyond their allotted 8%, the Greens occasionally poll and get votes at significantly higher rates than their core constituency. Where does that come from? Mostly from PS and SDP, it seems.



Greens to SDP is logical, but what makes a person shift from Greens to PS is curious. However, if Riikka Purra of all people has done just that, there certainly must be a set of voters whose preferences align in a way that shifting between the two makes sense.

Polls sourced from here:
https://yle.fi/a/3-10509309

Rappaport
Oct 2, 2013

Forktoss posted:

At this point Greens can only grow by either eating votes from SDP/Vas or eating votes from Kokoomus, and I would prefer them to eat votes from Kokoomus.

"The park section of Cock" seems like a vestige from the 90's. It is dumb, but American "identity politics" have permeated our popular culture, and the greens are seen, and they paint themselves, as the anti-thesis to the reactionary perseet. What segment of Finnish society would identify with green politics, aimed at stealing votes from Cock?

Keisari
May 24, 2011

Rappaport posted:

"The park section of Cock" seems like a vestige from the 90's. It is dumb, but American "identity politics" have permeated our popular culture, and the greens are seen, and they paint themselves, as the anti-thesis to the reactionary perseet. What segment of Finnish society would identify with green politics, aimed at stealing votes from Cock?

Children of Cock-parents. Aren't quite as right as Cock, horrified about the environment, not racist or homophobic and lives in a city. Doesn't want to vote for Vas or SDP.

I know several.

Herman Merman
Jul 6, 2008

Fated To Be Fat posted:

In a way. Greens voters are mostly the least politically literate section of the middle class.
Well, they have the most educated voters so it makes sense they know the least, you only learn these things in elämäm koulu

bad_fmr
Nov 28, 2007

Rappaport posted:

"The park section of Cock" seems like a vestige from the 90's. It is dumb, but American "identity politics" have permeated our popular culture, and the greens are seen, and they paint themselves, as the anti-thesis to the reactionary perseet. What segment of Finnish society would identify with green politics, aimed at stealing votes from Cock?

Educated high income people who do not want to vote for leftist income transfers but still wish to vote for a "moral" party, instead of the lawful evil Cock. I know several examples. Sort of like modern day indulgences, vote the greens and you get your eartly sins forgiven.

His Divine Shadow
Aug 7, 2000

I'm not a fascist. I'm a priest. Fascists dress up in black and tell people what to do.

Keisari posted:

Children of Cock-parents. Aren't quite as right as Cock, horrified about the environment, not racist or homophobic and lives in a city. Doesn't want to vote for Vas or SDP.

I know several.

Usually have a profile photo of themselves holding a DSLR.

Forktoss
Feb 13, 2012

I'm OK, you're so-so
I know loads of educated city folk who wouldn't touch Vas with a pitkä tikku, will almost always choose Kok over SDP if forced to pick, but see themselves as Greens. They want environmental and educational issues to be taken seriously but are just so completely entrenched in a sivistysporvari identity or whatever that even SDP feels foreign to them. Mostly well-ish meaning liberal centre-right type people who go where the most alluring pöhinä prändäys takes them.

Jasper Tin Neck posted:

Greens occasionally poll and get votes at significantly higher rates than their core constituency. Where does that come from? Mostly from PS and SDP, it seems.



Greens to SDP is logical, but what makes a person shift from Greens to PS is curious.

I don't know how much there is direct shift from PS to Vihr and back between 2015-2019. Kesk/PS/Kok are in government, so it just might be that Kesk and pre-split PS leak to SDP and Kok leaks to Vihr, and some voters vacillate between SDP and Vihr. In the lead-up to 2019, Kesk and Siniset haemorrhage voters to post-split PS opposition, and maybe Kok voters who were Vihr-curious during Sipilä start to hesitate come election day and go back to Kokoomus. On the grand scale less people vote Vihr when more people vote for PS and vice versa, but it's probably not the same people going back and forth.

Jasper Tin Neck
Nov 14, 2008


"Scientifically proven, rich and creamy."

Forktoss posted:

Kok leaks to Vihr, and some voters vacillate between SDP and Vihr.

As much as lefties like the idea of Greens as class enemies, the data doesn't show meaningful shifts from Kok to Green. Quite the opposite in fact.



Rather, both seem to be tied to the (mis)fortunes of SDP.




Swings between Kok and SDP used to be much stronger in the past.


Vacillating between SDP and Kok makes no sense if you can only move between left and right, but a lot of voters just don't seem to care about conventional political divisions.

Fish of hemp
Apr 1, 2011

A friendly little mouse!

Jasper Tin Neck posted:


Vacillating between SDP and Kok makes no sense if you can only move between left and right, but a lot of voters just don't seem to care about conventional political divisions.

"Do I get more money from strong unions or from tax cuts?" And/or does the voter have school aged children and is in most need of hyvinvointivaltio.

Forktoss
Feb 13, 2012

I'm OK, you're so-so

Interesting, thanks. I hadn't realised Kok and Vihr käyräs are pretty identical 2015-2019 and then turn into mirror images in 2019-2023. Based on this you could say that vihr and kepu suffered similar fates - kepu got a big win in 2015 with right-leaning messaging and then scared away every remaining left-leaning voter by forming an actual right-wing government, vihr got a big win in 2019 with left-leaning messaging and then scared away every remaining right-leaning voter by going to an actual leftist government.

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Elukka
Feb 18, 2011

For All Mankind

lollontee posted:

Elukalla ollu huonoja mielipiteitä aikasemmista NATO sodista
Hetkinen, mistä? En muista puolustelleeni yhtäkään NATO-maiden aloittamaa sotaa. Ne sodat on se suurin syy miksi vastustin Suomen NATO-jäsenyyttä ennen kuin Putin näytti kuinka pitkälle on valmis menemään.

Sekään nyt ei taida olla vaan NATO-propagandaa että Venäjän asevoimat ei ole ihan sillä tasolla kuin luultiin.

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