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(Thread IKs: fart simpson)
 
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fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

if there’s anything i know about china, it’s at that they’ll let one of their provinces totally eat poo poo and the vultures will descend to strip everything of value out of there

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stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
Yes the Flint province.

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010


splurging on infrastructure like i'm stuffing my face at The Cheesecake Factory

Cpt_Obvious
Jun 18, 2007

What if too many trains!?

Ringo Roadagain
Mar 27, 2010

that cool bridge is probably worth the debt

Slim Jim Pickens
Jan 16, 2012
Shipping stuff a little further isn't why the Northeast is poorer. If that were true then Sichuan would be poor and like, Colorado or Moscow would be. The Northeast is just poorer because its main industries were based on old infrastructure and basic industrial products, which got passed over during the '90s and '00s in terms of investment. Even then, the cities are developing well, it's just the extremely rural countryside that isn't.

It's rural economy is productive but it kinda sucks to live there because it gets really cold so people tend to leave and never come back. Those areas are thinly populated to begin with so the main problem is then most of the poor villages are populated by a handful of old people.

The bridge that was linked is completely irrelevant. It's not too low for river traffic, and more importantly, that river doesn't go anywhere, it only winds through part of the Korean autonomous prefecture.

Oglethorpe
Aug 8, 2005

Cpt_Obvious posted:

What if too many trains!?

dont get me started :fap:

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*


fart simpson posted:

if there’s anything i know about china, it’s at that they’ll let one of their provinces totally eat poo poo and the vultures will descend to strip everything of value out of there

lol they literally already have stepped in

quote:

Last month, China Cinda Asset Management, a state-owned institution that specializes in bad loans and distressed debt, said it would step in and help Guizhou sort out its finances. That followed a public admission by the local government’s official think tank that Guizhou couldn’t manage its debt on its own, and needed assistance from the central government. An article written by the think tank was taken off the internet shortly after it was published.

but they didn't step in for companies and the real estate market :qq:

quote:

Chinese authorities largely stood aside over the past two years as the country’s largest property developers slid into financial distress, causing losses for investors and many businesses and depressing the land sales that were a big source of revenue for many local governments. There was also no government rescue earlier on for debt-laden HNA Group, a large airlines-to-hotels conglomerate that went into bankruptcy. Some state-owned Chinese companies that weren’t deemed to be systemic risks have also failed.

also from the article:

quote:

The stakes could be higher this time, as local government debt defaults could have more negative consequences affecting China’s banking system. Over the years, smaller local banks and local branches of big banks have lent heavily to these local governments. “It’s absolutely a problem. It is channeling the problems in the real economy to the financial sector and eventually could pose a threat to financial stability,” said Tianlei Huang, a research fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

projection based on places like SVB and Credit Suisse eating poo poo probably

quote:

Guizhou’s debt buildup began more than a decade ago. In 2012, China’s State Council published an ambitious master plan to boost development in Guizhou, which was described as “the underdeveloped province with the most severe poverty.” Its GDP per capita that year was just 19,710 yuan, equivalent to $2,801 at current exchange rates.

...

From 2011 to 2022, Guizhou’s economy grew at an average rate of 9.5% annually. Its GDP per capita was equivalent to about $7,436 last year, still well below the national average of $12,180,

lol.

article here: https://www.wsj.com/articles/one-of-chinas-poorest-provinces-faces-imminent-debt-problem-5ca1becf

Maximo Roboto
Feb 4, 2012

Can’t believe Xi let down Henry George

https://twitter.com/bryankav123/status/1661157134707609600
https://twitter.com/bryankav123/status/1661160423306194946
https://twitter.com/bryankav123/status/1661207750494527489

KomradeX
Oct 29, 2011


I get the feeling that even if it's true, China is going to cover the debt of its constitute parts where as Washinton loves telling cities they're on their own

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.

crepeface posted:

lol they literally already have stepped in

but they didn't step in for companies and the real estate market :qq:

also from the article:

projection based on places like SVB and Credit Suisse eating poo poo probably

lol.

article here: https://www.wsj.com/articles/one-of-chinas-poorest-provinces-faces-imminent-debt-problem-5ca1becf

China is the only place in the world where a region can double its gdp in a decade and be able to frame it as a bad thing.

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019

KomradeX posted:

I get the feeling that even if it's true, China is going to cover the debt of its constitute parts where as Washinton loves telling cities they're on their own

oh no these made up numbers on a spreadsheet have been wasted on this useless bridge

Telluric Whistler
Sep 14, 2008


Kindest Forums User posted:

China is the only place in the world where a region can double its gdp in a decade and be able to frame it as a bad thing.

Ahhhhhh but you see they didn't fix it within the decade so this is a failure. This is why it's important to not help or try to fix things or promise anything besides vague "We will improve our roads and bridges" stuff.

Jel Shaker
Apr 19, 2003

Centrist Committee posted:

oh no these made up numbers on a spreadsheet have been wasted on this useless bridge

also the bridge is made of poor quality and won’t last for infinity years

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
It seems like the central government subsidizing the debt of a poor province is more or less how the system is suppose to work.

Also, there is already a port on Posyet that is transporting Chinese goods, it is just that obviously Vladivostok is simply larger and has more room for expansion.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 09:31 on May 24, 2023

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!
Sun Yat-sen ftw

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Exploration is ill-advised.

Ardennes posted:

It seems like the central government subsidizing the debt of a poor province is more or less how the system is suppose to work.

Also, there is already a port on Posyet that is transporting Chinese goods, it is just that obviously Vladivostok is simply larger and has more room for expansion.

But no you're supposed to leave poor places to rot while giving lots of money to rich people that's how the economy works

bedpan
Apr 23, 2008

Ghost Leviathan posted:

But no you're supposed to leave poor places to rot while giving lots of money to rich people that's how the economy works

my competitive advantage is in being rich. your competitive advantage is in being poor. it would be an economic injustice to make you rich and so deprive you of your advantage

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

Orange Devil posted:

Sun Yat-sen ftw

Sun Yat-sen posted:

If we use existing foreign capital to build up a future communist society in China, half the work will bring double the results

Sun Yat-sen posted:

It is my idea to make capitalism create socialism in China

well hot drat, would you look at that

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I have been thinking about US and China's approaches to long term infrastructure alot. Like a good example is China building a HSR in landlocked peripheral country Laos, or CA spending 100 billions on a partially finished HSR.

I think I can describe the main difference being the US approach is about solidifying the regional economic ladders and profit from people or region that wants to overcome these ladders; whereas China is looking at most cost effective way to gain improvement on a large scale, which usually lead to priority policy to favor different regions at different decades (be that coastal region or the poorest inland region) depends on current state of technology or commerce.

China building trains and highways in Guizhou is obviously not a "face project" or "grand political project" but rather long term human solutions to Guizhou's permanent low income situation, caused by its geographical location as well as very hilly terrain. If you just do a cost analysis on the surface level, it's not going to be profitable on the spreadsheet, but the Chinese leadership also is counting on "political value" and "social value" gain from such long term investment.

stephenthinkpad has issued a correction as of 13:24 on May 24, 2023

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Slim Jim Pickens posted:

Shipping stuff a little further isn't why the Northeast is poorer. If that were true then Sichuan would be poor and like, Colorado or Moscow would be. The Northeast is just poorer because its main industries were based on old infrastructure and basic industrial products, which got passed over during the '90s and '00s in terms of investment. Even then, the cities are developing well, it's just the extremely rural countryside that isn't.

It's rural economy is productive but it kinda sucks to live there because it gets really cold so people tend to leave and never come back. Those areas are thinly populated to begin with so the main problem is then most of the poor villages are populated by a handful of old people.

The bridge that was linked is completely irrelevant. It's not too low for river traffic, and more importantly, that river doesn't go anywhere, it only winds through part of the Korean autonomous prefecture.

i missed this before, thnx for the additional info

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

stephenthinkpad posted:

I have been thinking about US and China's approaches to long term infrastructure alot. Like a good example is China building a HSR in landlocked peripheral country Laos, or CA spending 100 billions on a partially finished HSR.

I think I can describe the main difference being the US approach is about solidifying the regional economic ladders and profit from people or region that wants to overcome these ladders; whereas China is looking at most cost effective way to gain improvement on a large scale, which usually lead to priority policy to favor different regions at different decades (be that coastal region or the poorest inland region) depends on current state of technology or commerce.

China building trains and highways in Guizhou is obviously not a "face project" or "grand political project" but rather long term human solutions to Guizhou's permanent low income situation, caused by its geographical location as well as very hilly terrain. If you just do a cost analysis on the surface level, it's not going to be profitable on the spreadsheet, but the Chinese leadership also is counting on "political value" and "social value" gain from such long term investment.

It makes sense that if moneyed interests have captured the state they would direct state investments to flow to projects that primarily benefit themselves and solidify their hold on economic power.

mila kunis
Jun 10, 2011
https://twitter.com/SeanMcCarthyCom/status/1660703927149404172

fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

idk, ive used the high speed rail system quite a bit and for whatever else you can say about it, it’s there and it was built really fast and it works

atelier morgan
Mar 11, 2003

super-scientific, ultra-gay

Lipstick Apathy
almost like that dude is just a cia brain in a jar and not worth your time to read

Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold

atelier morgan posted:

almost like that dude is just a cia brain in a jar and not worth your time to read



lol keeping this in a backpocket

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020

atelier morgan posted:

almost like that dude is just a cia brain in a jar and not worth your time to read



Too late when you declare the "Steppe people" Orks.

Kindest Forums User
Mar 25, 2008

Let me tell you about my opinion about Bernie Sanders and why Donald Trump is his true successor.

You cannot vote Hillary Clinton because she is worse than Trump.
The soviet union never got a chance to compete with the united States in respect to the material benefits of living in an advanced and prosperous capitalist society. Which meant that constructing an anticommunist ideological framework was relatively easy and wasn't full of glaring contradictions.

China is a different story. It's current trajectory is outpacing the western world on almost every level, from technology, consumer goods, infrastructure, jobs, environment, academia, diplomacy, etc. In some areas they already exceed, in others they still can't compete with the imperial nations.

So how do you foster anticommunist ideology when the contradictions will be enormous? When at a certain point it is clear the communist society prevails and is a leader in providing an advanced, safe, and prosperous society.

Either people wise up and recognize the contradictions. Or, more likely, that the architects of our ideology will have to abandon any legitimacy they may have and target our fears. We'll see a lot more of things like tucker Carlson recent point claiming " China has murdered 10,000 Americans by shipping fentanyl on our streets". The media will stop complaining about the ills of China and instead blame the ills of America on China (more so then they already have)

In other words, as China becomes more successfull, America and the west will become more insane. The future is grim

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018

atelier morgan posted:

almost like that dude is just a cia brain in a jar and not worth your time to read



:pwn:

Mantis42
Jul 26, 2010

atelier morgan posted:

almost like that dude is just a cia brain in a jar and not worth your time to read



wonder if he would take that deal if the west was also reduced to the place it occupied for most of world history

this allusion meant
Apr 9, 2006
the steppe lords seem p well appeased based on the recent summit with central asia. have the westerners managed yet to discover a client state relationship where they don’t betray their partner and leave them to their doom?

Isentropy
Dec 12, 2010


I cant get over the Thai "pro democracy" guy who's still insisting that they get a hyperloop, a thing even the Muskrat said is not real, in 2023

Canadians talking about corruption in Chinese projects like SNC Lavalin isn't serving an indefinite ban for being too corrupt for the WB

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
While on the subject of Thai election, why do Thai people keep voting for billionaires and even worse, children of billionaires who didn't even do anything to make those dirty money, they just born into it.

As pessimistic as I am to Taiwanese politic, at least they didn't suck up to the richest guy (maybe to the detriment of the blue camp but what do I know.)

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
https://twitter.com/goldencaskcap/status/1661271644839583745?t=xb-vIN3_JSlEQYcD4rtmxw&s=19

Very normal

Spergin Morlock
Aug 8, 2009

stephenthinkpad posted:

I have been thinking about US and China's approaches to long term infrastructure alot. Like a good example is China building a HSR in landlocked peripheral country Laos, or CA spending 100 billions on a partially finished HSR.

I think I can describe the main difference being the US approach is about solidifying the regional economic ladders and profit from people or region that wants to overcome these ladders; whereas China is looking at most cost effective way to gain improvement on a large scale, which usually lead to priority policy to favor different regions at different decades (be that coastal region or the poorest inland region) depends on current state of technology or commerce.

China building trains and highways in Guizhou is obviously not a "face project" or "grand political project" but rather long term human solutions to Guizhou's permanent low income situation, caused by its geographical location as well as very hilly terrain. If you just do a cost analysis on the surface level, it's not going to be profitable on the spreadsheet, but the Chinese leadership also is counting on "political value" and "social value" gain from such long term investment.

so weird, as an american, to hear about countries basing their decisions on what is the "most cost effective way to gain improvement on a large scale"

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018


Why does James think this is an own? I think shutting down a corrupt government agency will continuing to build more railroads says a lot.

AnimeIsTrash
Jun 30, 2018



Lol

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

fart simpson posted:

idk, ive used the high speed rail system quite a bit and for whatever else you can say about it, it’s there and it was built really fast and it works

I hear that poo poo being there and working is what succesful societies are built on. Don't teach this poo poo in MBAs though.

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019

Kindest Forums User posted:

In other words, as China becomes more successfull, America and the west will become more insane. The future is grim

I don’t think so. the present is already grim. but there’s a light rising in the east. propaganda is ultimately downstream of material conditions. eventually even the lead-addled western bourgeoisie will switch sides and submit to the cpc

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Slavvy
Dec 11, 2012

Centrist Committee posted:

I don’t think so. the present is already grim. but there’s a light rising in the east. propaganda is ultimately downstream of material conditions. eventually even the lead-addled western bourgeoisie will switch sides and submit to the cpc

Historical precedent indicates the western bourgeoisie would prefer a war of annihilation first

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