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(Thread IKs: fatherboxx)
 
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HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

What are the chances all of this is an elaborate plan to make the Ukrainians blink? No sources seem to agree about anything that's happening and so far, it looks like nothing but videos and social media chatter.

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fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

jaete posted:

Were the military vehicles etc in Moscow confirmed by someone reliable? Only saw what looked like random rumours so far

Yeah, there are photos and videos

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

What are the chances all of this is an elaborate plan to make the Ukrainians blink?

0% chance. Prigozhin has been formally charged, its been reported on state media, Russians in a variety of sectors are loving terrified, in many places special forces have been called up.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

"Shitposted so hard the government put tanks on the street" is a pretty awesome epitaph though.

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

jaete posted:

Were the military vehicles etc in Moscow confirmed by someone reliable? Only saw what looked like random rumours so far

There are dozens of independent reports with videos and photos. Pretty much as confirmed as it gets.

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1672358168507080707

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1672368194470785035

https://twitter.com/AricToler/status/1672343803158577152

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672358419582386178

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1672361171721043971

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



How much pull does this guy actually have with the Russian military to get anything off the ground?

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather

HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

What are the chances all of this is an elaborate plan to make the Ukrainians blink? No sources seem to agree about anything that's happening and so far, it looks like nothing but videos and social media chatter.

What would that blinking possibly be? Do you think that within the next hour Ukraine makes a reckless attack on the Wagner headquarters because they assume that they left the coop to occupy Moscow?
If this is a psy-op it's a weird one at best.

cant cook creole bream fucked around with this message at 23:23 on Jun 23, 2023

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

FlamingLiberal posted:

How much pull does this guy actually have with the Russian military to get anything off the ground?

Before this happened, people speculated he must have had friends in high places, maybe support from the FSB or something.

Now? Seems more and more like he's got nothing with every passing minute.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






I don't really get still being on the fence about this. It's happening folks.

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1672369175749173248

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



spankmeister posted:

I don't really get still being on the fence about this. It's happening folks.
This account is a pretty good source, right? I haven't been keeping up lately with this conflict too closely though.

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1672368861763567616?s=20

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

FlamingLiberal posted:

This account is a pretty good source, right? I haven't been keeping up lately with this conflict too closely though.

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1672368861763567616?s=20

Also got the same thing from CNN:

https://twitter.com/MarquardtA/status/1672367472949751811

Willo567
Feb 5, 2015

Cheating helped me fail the test and stay on the show.
Have we seen actual fighting occur yet between Wagner and the Russian army?

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



Willo567 posted:

Have we seen actual fighting occur yet between Wagner and the Russian army?

No, just unconfirmed rumors

cochise
Sep 11, 2011


Willo567 posted:

Have we seen actual fighting occur yet between Wagner and the Russian army?

Rumors of fighting in Rostov and the M4 highway being blocked but nothing solid yet.

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



State TV has started their broadcast, apparently began by calling Prigozhin's video a fake

Edit: https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1672372486858764289

MegaZeroX fucked around with this message at 23:35 on Jun 23, 2023

Flavahbeast
Jul 21, 2001


HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

What are the chances all of this is an elaborate plan to make the Ukrainians blink? No sources seem to agree about anything that's happening and so far, it looks like nothing but videos and social media chatter.

It just seems so damaging to morale, I can't see what a fake Wagner-MoD war could achieve that would be worth the cost or risk

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

FlamingLiberal posted:

This account is a pretty good source, right? I haven't been keeping up lately with this conflict too closely though.

There is enough traffic on all forms of media for you to assume something significant with Wagner and/or its leader is going down. I was in semi-disbelief most of the afternoon. It's so weird that you can't make it up at this point.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

FlamingLiberal posted:

This account is a pretty good source, right? I haven't been keeping up lately with this conflict too closely though.

https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1672368861763567616?s=20

No, one of the worst ones. It literally invented nuke movement stuff.

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



Broadcast is apparently finished.

Boris Galerkin
Dec 17, 2011

I don't understand why I can't harass people online. Seriously, somebody please explain why I shouldn't be allowed to stalk others on social media!
Is this stuff happening in "real time" or are all these tweets just catching up? As of this post it's 6:37pm in New York and 1:37am in Moscow. Seems late to be happening in real time but what do I know I've never planned or attempted a coup before.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

MegaZeroX posted:

State TV has started their broadcast, apparently began by calling Prigozhin's video a fake

Edit: https://twitter.com/revishvilig/status/1672372486858764289

So, it's definitely on.

Boris Galerkin posted:

Is this stuff happening in "real time" or are all these tweets just catching up? As of this post it's 6:37pm in New York and 1:37am in Moscow. Seems late to be happening in real time but what do I know I've never planned or attempted a coup before.

I think the idea is you want your coups to happen in the middle of the night to minimize casualties and interference. The Turkey coup in 2016 started at 11:00pm, with the jets being scrambled and buzzing Ankara while attack helicopters began bombing police stations. By midnight, the military had started seizing key intersections and buildings.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 23:45 on Jun 23, 2023

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



Boris Galerkin posted:

Is this stuff happening in "real time" or are all these tweets just catching up? As of this post it's 6:37pm in New York and 1:37am in Moscow. Seems late to be happening in real time but what do I know I've never planned or attempted a coup before.

There is about a 2-3 minute delay from telegram posts to being reported on in English. Yes, this is all happening late at night/early morning.

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

So what happens now, besides Wagner/Prigozhin getting quashed?

BrideOfUglycat
Oct 30, 2000

Nenonen posted:

Looks like Prigozhin forgot to place a briefcase bomb under the Kremlin meeting room table with Putin and Shoigu before starting his putsch.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

Grouchio posted:

So what happens now, besides Wagner/Prigozhin getting quashed?

There is absolutely no way to know, IF Wagner is actually attempting something then we're in totally uncharted waters.

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/status/1672375023888216069

mutata
Mar 1, 2003

Hi, everyone, I'm here for the Potential Coup Viewing? Is it assigned seats or do we just sit anywhere?

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Chalks posted:

No, what will happen is Prigozhin will be arrested or assassinated and that'll be it.

Either a few hours ago a bunch of Wagner forces sprung into action and started executing some sort of plan against the Russian MoD, or nothing happened and nothing will. IMO it's been too long without seeing any evidence of action.

Agreed. Wagner can't actually do anything by themselves unless there's sudden mass defections by the army.

The Ukrainian camp must be all :kstare: though that it's finally happening

Der Kyhe
Jun 25, 2008

Moon Slayer posted:

There is absolutely no way to know, IF Wagner is actually attempting something then we're in totally uncharted waters.

Based on the evidence what we can say is that Prigozhin overstepped the line one time too many, and now there is something going on between MoD and Wagner that is causing some level of mutinies if not an actual coup attempt in the front, Rostov and Moscow.

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather

mutata posted:

Hi, everyone, I'm here for the Potential Coup Viewing? Is it assigned seats or do we just sit anywhere?

Sorry, we're booked 3 months in advance. Didn't you get the memo we sent out?

cochise
Sep 11, 2011


mutata posted:

Hi, everyone, I'm here for the Potential Coup Viewing? Is it assigned seats or do we just sit anywhere?

Standing room only now. But there's plenty of popcorn.

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

mutata posted:

Hi, everyone, I'm here for the Potential Coup Viewing? Is it assigned seats or do we just sit anywhere?

I am on my second bottle of wine but please behave and check your sources when you post tweets

Hillariously tomorrow (or rather today) in St Petersburg is "Scarlet Sails", an annual big celebration of high school graduates with fireworks and ships.

RBA-Wintrow
Nov 4, 2009


Clapping Larry

mutata posted:

Hi, everyone, I'm here for the Potential Coup Viewing? Is it assigned seats or do we just sit anywhere?

Front row is a splash Special Operation Zone!

Thom12255
Feb 23, 2013
WHERE THE FUCK IS MY MONEY
I fully support the Wagner Special Military Operation.

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:

What are the chances all of this is an elaborate plan to make the Ukrainians blink? No sources seem to agree about anything that's happening and so far, it looks like nothing but videos and social media chatter.

To pretend to be incompetent to lure your enemy into complacency goes against everything Putin is and believes in.

There is nothing more important to him than appearing to be in control. Pretending to be losing or have lost control is anathema to him

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


FlamingLiberal posted:

How much pull does this guy actually have with the Russian military to get anything off the ground?

Wagner and MOD hate each other. That’s why these events have ended up occurring.

Cocoa Ninja
Mar 3, 2007

fatherboxx posted:

Hillariously tomorrow (or rather today) in St Petersburg is "Scarlet Sails", an annual big celebration of high school graduates with fireworks and ships.

Sounds like the third act to a movie. I also like the title "Scarlet Sails." Can we get Daniel Day Lewis to come out of retirement to play Putin?

MegaZeroX
Dec 11, 2013

"I'm Jack Frost, ho! Nice to meet ya, hee ho!"



https://twitter.com/JimLaPorta/status/1672377846524772353

quote:

A senior American intelligence official tells me for both Ukraine and U.S. intelligence, it’s a “watch and see if they destroy themselves sort of situation.” They said it was going to be a long night of watching how this develops. Said Wagner is preparing* to mobilize—it’s believed they want to head towards Moscow.

MegaZeroX fucked around with this message at 23:59 on Jun 23, 2023

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Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Even in the middle of a coup, Russia can't help but bomb.
https://twitter.com/IrynaVoichuk/status/1672375967203971076?s=20

Edit:

Wagner Telegram channel is showing video of an army convoy full of military police heading toward MoD. Since it's Wagner, not sure if they're implying it's them or just the regular army.
https://twitter.com/faineg/status/1672376524127850501?s=20

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 00:01 on Jun 24, 2023

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