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(Thread IKs: fatherboxx)
 
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khwarezm
Oct 26, 2010

Deal with it.

OddObserver posted:

Medvedev is probably not important enough to attend.

What does he even do these days.

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adebisi lives
Nov 11, 2009

khwarezm posted:

What does he even do these days.

Troll on twitter

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

PittTheElder posted:

What's the main small arm being used by each side? AK-74s? Are the Russians fielding meaningful numbers of AK-12s yet?

Surprisingly enough there was a video that talked a lot about this very subject that came out this morning.

https://youtu.be/LUHbXXu_PYE

With the Russians the regulars have 74s. Evidently conscripts have 47s or SKSes that they found in whatever cosmoline barrel filled warehouse in Siberia. The AK-12s that were fielded were with specialist units that got wiped out in the early days of the war. They were a high profile trophy that you saw VIPs have in the first few weeks. I doubt you have seen anyone with one in well over a year now though.

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC
Didn't see this posted with all the Wagner speculation going on but Vice has a new short on the war. Nothing really to analyze but it puts pictures to words. The short has three vignettes.

1. A Bakhmut piece including footage of a trauma team at work. NWS since it is real damage to human bodies

2. A short interview with a Ukranian IED construction team.

3. A few minutes with a rear area bodies recovery team that is going through old battle sites and areas with mass graves identifying previous KIA both Ukrainian and Russian

:nms:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVh-Cejyxs8:nms:

Tomn
Aug 23, 2007

And the angel said unto him
"Stop hitting yourself. Stop hitting yourself."
But lo he could not. For the angel was hitting him with his own hands

WarpedLichen posted:

I mean the people in Russia/Ukraine can at least be physically accounted for, but there has to be elements in Africa that sees their counterparts getting liquidated and thinking of going full independent warlord right?

I think part of the equation there is that Wagner ISN'T actually independent in Africa and is an arm of Russian foreign policy. Turning warlord means abandoning the support and protection of Russia, which means that among other things if someone decided to ask the UN if they could slap these unruly mercenaries around Russia isn't going to use its veto. It also means that anyone dealing with them in Africa is going to be aware that instead of quietly working with the shadow face of Russia, they're actually working with a relatively small band of mercenaries that Russia actively does not like. That changes the negotiation dynamic somewhat and likely makes life more uncomfortable for anyone trying to strike it out themselves. Getting resupply, arms and equipment is also suddenly a lot more difficult, and whatever administrative framework they had in Russia supporting them is likely getting dismantled.

It's not IMPOSSIBLE that someone is thinking that striking out on their own is better, but it'd mean working with much fewer resources in a world that is much more hostile. Even if it is arguably a better course than waiting for liquidation it'd take a certain kind of person to go "What the hell, let's do it anyways."

Huggybear
Jun 17, 2005

I got the jimjams

MikeC posted:

Didn't see this posted with all the Wagner speculation going on but Vice has a new short on the war. Nothing really to analyze but it puts pictures to words. The short has three vignettes.

1. A Bakhmut piece including footage of a trauma team at work. NWS since it is real damage to human bodies

2. A short interview with a Ukranian IED construction team.

3. A few minutes with a rear area bodies recovery team that is going through old battle sites and areas with mass graves identifying previous KIA both Ukrainian and Russian

:nms:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVh-Cejyxs8:nms:

The second section, the IED lab footage is from 6:50 to 9:50 and it's very interesting with no NMS material if you want to skip the tough parts. The first section blurs the worst injury, but the third section is definitely hard to watch. It's all to emphasize the human cost, it seems, not gore for shock value.

ummel
Jun 17, 2002

<3 Lowtax

Fun Shoe

Brain65 posted:

Also to quote some TV station, did anybody see this column?

I think this was it

RockWhisperer
Oct 26, 2018
Max Seddon FT Morning Piece


quote:


Under a similar plan, the defence ministry could continue running Wagner under the same brand while appropriating it for its own ends, the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Lee said. How much of the original Wagner remained would depend on how many senior commanders were kept on, he added.

“Those guys have more combat experience than almost anyone in the Russian military. They fought in most of the key battles and they know how to do assaults better than basically anyone in the Russian military,” Lee said. “If those guys leave, it won’t be the same.”

Wagner personnel may be too invaluable to purge immediately?

Max Seddon's Latest Piece


quote:

Josep Borrell, the EU’s chief diplomat, described Prigozhin as “the monster acting against his creator” and said the weekend’s chaos proved that Putin’s “military power is cracking”.

But Ben Wallace, UK defence secretary, played down the impact on Putin’s authority, maintaining that “we shouldn’t necessarily over-credit the destabilisation, that somehow this is a massive derailment of the Kremlin”.

...

However the UK defence minister added that Prigozhin’s ability to advance on Saturday with “only about 2,500 people”, had exposed how “threadbare” and “stretched” Russia’s reserves were.

There's still some room for interpretation of the Kremlin's vulnerability.

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1673433750544293893?cxt=HHwWioC9hajInbkuAAAA

:lol:

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1673427988879228929?cxt=HHwWgoC-pfj4mrkuAAAA


My fave, Ukrainian historian Tim Snyder's take

quote:

1.  Putin is not popular.  All the opinion polling we have takes place in an environment where his power is seen as more or less inevitable and where answering the question the wrong way seems risky.  But when Putin’s power was lifted, as when the city of Rostov-on-Don was seized by Wagner, no one seemed to mind.  Reacting to Prigozhin's mutiny, some Russians were euphoric, and most seemed apathetic...

3.  Prigozhin told the truth about the war.  This has to be treated as a kind of self-serving accident: Prigozhin is a flamboyant and skilled liar and propagandist.  But his pose in the days before his march on Moscow made the truth helpful to him...

So long as Putin is in power, this is what he will do.  He will threaten and hope that those threats will change the behaviour of his enemies.  When that fails, he will change the story.  His regime rests on propaganda, and in the end the spectacle generated by the military is there to serve the propaganda.  Even when that spectacle is as humiliating as can be possibly be imagined, as it was on Saturday when Russian rebels marched on Moscow and Putin fled, his response will be to try to change the subject...

You can think of the Russian state as a protection racket.  No one is really safe, but everyone has to accept "protection" in the knowledge that this is less risky than rebellion.  A protection racket is always vulnerable to another protection racket.  In marching from Rostov-on-Don to Moscow, Prigozhin was breaking one protection racket and proposing another.  On this logic, we can imagine Prigozhin's proposal to Putin as follows: I am deploying the greater force, and I am now demanding protection money from you.  If you want to continue your own protection racket, pay me off before I reach Moscow.)...

7.  The division in Russia was real, and will likely endure.  Some Russians celebrated when Wagner shot down Russian helicopters, and others were astonished that they could do so.  Some Russians wanted action, others could not imagine change.  Most Russians probably do not care much, but those who do are not of the same opinion...

9.  This was a preview of how the war in Ukraine ends. 

Solid read, highly recommend

Kraftwerk
Aug 13, 2011
i do not have 10,000 bircoins, please stop asking

madeintaipei posted:

Lots of 74s on both sides. Cheaper than water and just as common.

I've seen pictures of AK-12s more towards the beginning of the war, but I gather they were issued in blocs to units that got beat up pretty badly. Plenty of PKMs and RPKs, Dragunovs, etc.

The Ukrainians have received a lot of Canadian C7s and C8s from Canada herself and the Baltics. They also produce ARs themselves. I don't know if production is ongoing or not. The domestic 5.56 bullpup rifles are in use with border guards and internal troops as their issued weapon. FN FNCs have been issued out to foreign volunteers. The MG3, various flavors of FN Minimis, and M2 .50 (mostly vehicle mounted) are all used on the front line. Sniper rifles/DMRs are all over the place. I can't point at any specific system there, but they've been getting small batches of poo poo from everyone.

Should add I have seen a number of CZ Bren 2 rifles in the field as well. They’re really nice.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

RockWhisperer posted:


Solid read, highly recommend

yeah wrt the points snyder makes: it was pretty striking that the collective popular response to the wagner column was basically just to hang out and watch the spectacle. people especially weren't getting together making molotov cocktails and organizing resistance

Staluigi
Jun 22, 2021

Herstory Begins Now posted:

yeah wrt the points snyder makes: it was pretty striking that the collective popular response to the wagner column was basically just to hang out and watch the spectacle. people especially weren't getting together making molotov cocktails and organizing resistance

putin spent how many years being ground zero for the advancement of truth-fragmenting, organization-inhibiting, effort-destroying firehose propaganda, then turns into a table breaking shocked pikachu face when revolution about zero hours on his doorstop and the collective response of the populace was at best apathetic disengagement. like does he watch video of what happened and realize what's going on, or is he .. oh no, Increasingly Isolated about that stuff

Ra Ra Rasputin
Apr 2, 2011
No matter the end result of this, it's hard to see it as anything but a positive for Ukraine when their enemy is fighting themselves and blowing up their own stuff, I also doubt going forward the air support is going to be very receptive of helping any Wagner groups out in a timely manner.

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Kraftwerk posted:

Should add I have seen a number of CZ Bren 2 rifles in the field as well. They’re really nice.

On the topic of the AK-12, what I've read indicates they've got poor ergonomics and reliability issues. Which is probably why you don't see the war trophy captures in use anymore.

Djarum
Apr 1, 2004

by vyelkin

Kraftwerk posted:

Should add I have seen a number of CZ Bren 2 rifles in the field as well. They’re really nice.

From those that I have talked to with hands on with stuff the Bren 2 and HS Produkt VHS-2 are the best rifles in the world right now. Not too surprising that the Croatians and Czech are making world class weapons though. I hear the FB MSBS Grot isn’t too bad at all either.

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Warbadger posted:

On the topic of the AK-12, what I've read indicates they've got poor ergonomics and reliability issues. Which is probably why you don't see the war trophy captures in use anymore.

The thing to remember is that there's two AK-12s: The original 2012 version that was issued to elite units, units that were decimated in early fighting in the war. These tend to be the trophy prize guns. The "Object 2012" version had better ergonomics than previous Kalashnikov models, with a reverse-angled receiver to allow for a better grip on the gun, adjustable stocks, and attachment rails. However, the Obj. 2012 was probably too expensive, too difficult to manufacture reliably, etc. so a few years back, Izhmash/Kalashnikov made the AK-400 version, which is more like an upgrade to previous Kalashnikov pattern guns, with the Obj. 2012 furniture and a AR-style adjustable "buffer tube" stock added to AK receivers.

Warbadger
Jun 17, 2006

Young Freud posted:

The thing to remember is that there's two AK-12s: The original 2012 version that was issued to elite units, units that were decimated in early fighting in the war. These tend to be the trophy prize guns. The "Object 2012" version had better ergonomics than previous Kalashnikov models, with a reverse-angled receiver to allow for a better grip on the gun, adjustable stocks, and attachment rails. However, the Obj. 2012 was probably too expensive, too difficult to manufacture reliably, etc. so a few years back, Izhmash/Kalashnikov made the AK-400 version, which is more like an upgrade to previous Kalashnikov pattern guns, with the Obj. 2012 furniture and a AR-style adjustable "buffer tube" stock added to AK receivers.


The 2012 model had reliability issues come up in testing they were supposed to fix in the 2012-2014 iterations but apparently never did. It also uses nonstandard threading on the barrel which is a big problem when you don't make many suppressors for it so you end up needing suppressor adapters and dealing with the issues those bring. The stock on the 2012 model also got some criticism IIRC.

Between the reliability issues, unimpressive ergonomics, and the lack of parts I can definitely see them as being an unattractive option to hold onto as other options became available (except as a trophy).

Edit: I didn't even know it was part of the Ratnik program - I'm kinda surprised it wasn't much worse given the rampant grift and quality issues with everything else Ratnik related.

Warbadger fucked around with this message at 04:50 on Jun 27, 2023

Cable Guy
Jul 18, 2005

I don't expect any trouble, but we'll be handing these out later...




Slippery Tilde

madeintaipei posted:

We can't stop here, this is Blyat country!
ftfy.... I mean it was right there!!

Would probably make a good thread title...

Qtotonibudinibudet
Nov 7, 2011



Omich poluyobok, skazhi ty narkoman? ya prosto tozhe gde to tam zhivu, mogli by vmeste uyobyvat' narkotiki

khwarezm posted:

What does he even do these days.

get drunk and shitpost

honestly someone should buy him an account

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Qtotonibudinibudet posted:

get drunk and shitpost

honestly someone should buy him an account

Jeff should donate it to him. He'd be so rich from the red texts, as long as mods resisted the urge to permaban him.

Arglebargle III
Feb 21, 2006

Djarum posted:

VHS-2 are the best rifles in the world right now.

Cassette futurism is very in right now. So retro.

Budzilla
Oct 14, 2007

We can all learn from our past mistakes.

Warbadger posted:

.Between the reliability issues, unimpressive ergonomics, and the lack of parts I can definitely see them as being an unattractive option to hold onto as other options became available (except as a trophy)..
There is a YouTuber called Oxide look him up. He does a good video on the AK12 and the biggest problem he had with the gun was the selector switch. He doesn't explain how he got hold of the rifle though.

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/1673641506396160003?t=K87ML5q4ipNW1F0JjvLKTQ&s=19

"Our riot cops did nothing so please give us tanks"

Jasper Tin Neck
Nov 14, 2008


"Scientifically proven, rich and creamy."

Budzilla posted:

There is a YouTuber called Oxide look him up. He does a good video on the AK12 and the biggest problem he had with the gun was the selector switch. He doesn't explain how he got hold of the rifle though.

Isn't Oxide the guy whose fan Discord spun off Thug Shaker central, the Discord where the NG airman dropped state secrets for clout?

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

This is great, place as many tanks and guns around Moscow as you can find!

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Jasper Tin Neck posted:

Isn't Oxide the guy whose fan Discord spun off Thug Shaker central, the Discord where the NG airman dropped state secrets for clout?

yes

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

Nenonen posted:

This is great, place as many tanks and guns around Moscow as you can find!

https://twitter.com/Mike_Eckel/status/1673646449886740482?t=HzADnnbHZwGvy3O0n10LhA&s=19

Scratch Monkey
Oct 25, 2010

👰Proč bychom se netěšili🥰když nám Pán Bůh🙌🏻zdraví dá💪?
Putin seems determined to imitate hitler so thoroughly that he made his own Ernst Rohm

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006


The threat the Rosgvardia was made for was the citizen protest and uprising, not an actual military coup. The heaviest equipment we've seen are BTRs and those are perfect for gunning down protestors with impunity not fighting tanks or trained anti-tank infantry.

Young Freud fucked around with this message at 12:38 on Jun 27, 2023

notwithoutmyanus
Mar 17, 2009
I found a real interesting read in https://www.emptywheel.net/2023/06/25/done-cookin-putins-chef-moves-to-belarus/ covering a completely different angle as to what may have happened with Wagner.

Don't think I've heard anyone talk about what happened in the Oblast they turned around at and some more about Lukashenko as well.

Zhanism
Apr 1, 2005
Death by Zhanism. So Judged.

These will be useful for when we march on the Kremlin. And we are closer.

Where are these tanks coming from and who will train them?

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
Russia has a lot of tanks. They’ll probably get T-55s or something.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

Zhanism posted:

These will be useful for when we march on the Kremlin. And we are closer.

Where are these tanks coming from and who will train them?

The obvious choice would be Wagner?

Skippy McPants
Mar 19, 2009

So the rank-and-file Wagner soldiers can sign on with the MoD or gently caress off and go home, right?

That feels like a lose-lose. You either get a bunch of surly mutineers spread all throughout your army, or you lose thousands to administrative attrition.

RockWhisperer
Oct 26, 2018

Skippy McPants posted:

So the rank-and-file Wagner soldiers can sign on with the MoD or gently caress off and go home, right?

That feels like a lose-lose. You either get a bunch of surly mutineers spread all throughout your army, or you lose thousands to administrative attrition.

By account of Rob Lee, their collective combat experience and assault unit capabilities are exceptional versus the rest of the military (still a polished turd to me), so their loss might be too much to bare. I also theorize there might be a manpower shortage component too, but that is just conjecture.

fatherboxx
Mar 25, 2013

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1673670232466923521?t=Nv9PVW6EL4vne0eq-27kGQ&s=19

Putin openly says that Wagner was directly financed by the state and around 86 bln roubles (1-1,2 bln USD) was paid to them from Russian budget in 2022-2023.

So much for Private in PMC.

Judging by the tone, probably means that Wagner is going to be defunded or dismantled (good).

fatherboxx fucked around with this message at 13:42 on Jun 27, 2023

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009

fatherboxx posted:

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1673670232466923521?t=Nv9PVW6EL4vne0eq-27kGQ&s=19

Putin openly says that Wagner was directly financed by the state and around 86 bln roubles (1-1,2 bln USD) was paid to them from Russian budget in 2022-2023.

So much for Private in PMC.

It only needed to convince the Merkels of the world.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018
That's pretty cheap, the US should just pay Wagner 1.3bn to turn on Putin

LifeSunDeath
Jan 4, 2007

still gay rights and smoke weed every day

Failed Imagineer posted:

That's pretty cheap, the US should just pay Wagner 1.3bn to turn on Putin

mmkay
Oct 21, 2010

fatherboxx posted:

https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1673670232466923521?t=Nv9PVW6EL4vne0eq-27kGQ&s=19

Putin openly says that Wagner was directly financed by the state and around 86 bln roubles (1-1,2 bln USD) was paid to them from Russian budget in 2022-2023.

So much for Private in PMC.

Judging by the tone, probably means that Wagner is going to be defunded or dismantled (good).

Does he say financed or paid for during that period (I know that the idea of Wagner being independent from Russia is laughable, but being paid for the 'services' wouldn't make them not-private).

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Szmitten
Apr 26, 2008

Failed Imagineer posted:

That's pretty cheap, the US should just pay Wagner 1.3bn to turn on Putin

This is what I don't understand about mercs. Why wouldn't everyone just outbid their opponents?

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