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Raerlynn
Oct 28, 2007

Sorry I'm late, I'm afraid I got lost on the path of life.

M_Gargantua posted:

If you accept that we can't fight Russia because they have nuclear weapons than you are both a coward and a fool. If you don't stop them then the whole international order falls apart. This has already been a nightmare for nuclear disarmament efforts.

There is a middle ground between "Acquiesce to Russia at all costs" and "Let's go invade a nuclear armed party and que sera sera with regards to casualties because it's the moral thing to do."

Proxy war through Ukraine seems to be remarkably effective. We don't need to invade Russia as they seem quite content to A. perish in Ukraine, and B. invade themselves.

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EasilyConfused
Nov 21, 2009


one strong toad
This is a really stupid argument.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Raerlynn posted:

There is a middle ground between "Acquiesce to Russia at all costs" and "Let's go invade a nuclear armed party and que sera sera with regards to casualties because it's the moral thing to do."

Proxy war through Ukraine seems to be remarkably effective. We don't need to invade Russia as they seem quite content to A. perish in Ukraine, and B. invade themselves.

If you don't consider a planet made of glass to be a satisfactory end state, you probably aren't in the right subforum

M_Gargantua
Oct 16, 2006

STOMP'N ON INTO THE POWERLINES

Exciting Lemon
When did anybody ever suggest counter-invading russia

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

M_Gargantua posted:

When did anybody ever suggest counter-invading russia

I think Prigozhin did that last week.

Problematic Soup
Feb 18, 2007

Fivemarks posted:

I'm not saying we wouldn't get our hair mussed. But I do say no more than ten to twenty million killed, tops. Uh, depending on the breaks.

Scarodactyl
Oct 22, 2015


Fivemarks posted:

Right or wrong isn't determined by popularity.
OK you had me for a bit there but that's an amazing punchline.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



bulletsponge13 posted:

Am I the only one who doubts Russian nuke capabilities?
It is not impossible that Russia has many fewer functional nuclear weapons than they claim, and it would not shock me if we have sufficient ABM bullshit to take out one or two. But two dozen is enough to do most of the killing listed there; the main consolation would be that that level of nuclear strike would probably "only" destroy America and the modern global order rather than meaning a large chunk of humanity is dead right away/in a couple of years.

e: drat that'll teach me to leave the window open

Nessus fucked around with this message at 20:21 on Jul 3, 2023

Grip it and rip it
Apr 28, 2020

EasilyConfused posted:

This is a really stupid argument.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






I hope there's some good news soon, all the Ukraine threads are derailing.

Fivemarks
Feb 21, 2015
My position is that we probably shouldn't go balls to the wall "FIAT CAELUM, RUAT ET JUSTICIA" and start Global Thermonuclear War when there are better options available. Right now, things in Ukraine are going fine- we could give the Ukrainians more materiel support, but things are fine. But if Putin decides to pull out the Nuke Card and demand all foreign aid to Ukraine stop or he nukes a European capital, I'd be in favor of calling that bluff.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Fivemarks posted:

My position is that we probably shouldn't go balls to the wall "FIAT CAELUM, RUAT ET JUSTICIA" and start Global Thermonuclear War when there are better options available. Right now, things in Ukraine are going fine- we could give the Ukrainians more materiel support, but things are fine. But if Putin decides to pull out the Nuke Card and demand all foreign aid to Ukraine stop or he nukes a European capital, I'd be in favor of calling that bluff.

There is an ongoing genocide. Children are continuing to be abducted. Things are NOT fine.

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

Back to Ukraine stuff, The Economist released a special report about how technology and tactics are changing in response to the lessons learned in the war.

Really good read.

https://www.economist.com/special-report/2023/07/03/like-the-first-world-war-but-with-high-technology

I don't have enough gift articles left to link them all, but if you can get a cheap trial offer and then cancel it, I recommend it.

Gaius Marius
Oct 9, 2012

psydude posted:

Back to Ukraine stuff, The Economist released a special report about how technology and tactics are changing in response to the lessons learned in the war.

Really good read.

https://www.economist.com/special-report/2023/07/03/like-the-first-world-war-but-with-high-technology

I don't have enough gift articles left to link them all, but if you can get a cheap trial offer and then cancel it, I recommend it.

Can't you use Archive.org to get a snapshot and share it that way.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






Gaius Marius posted:

Can't you use Archive.org to get a snapshot and share it that way.

12ft.io works for a lot of papers
archive.is works for all the ones that don't

PurpleXVI
Oct 30, 2011

Spewing insults, pissing off all your neighbors, betraying your allies, backing out of treaties and accords, and generally screwing over the global environment?
ALL PART OF MY BRILLIANT STRATEGY!
Someone already "archived" it, so its right there if someone slaps it the URL. Would actually linking it count as :filez:?

pmchem
Jan 22, 2010


has prigo been confirmed dead or is he just disappeared?

Deptfordx
Dec 23, 2013

spankmeister posted:

12ft.io works for a lot of papers
archive.is works for all the ones that don't

Useful. Thx.

Scarodactyl
Oct 22, 2015


pmchem posted:

has prigo been confirmed dead or is he just disappeared?
He just put out an audio message today, so ?????

NJersey
Dec 1, 2008

Dolash posted:

Probably because if the right thing knowingly leads to the destruction of the entire world, it's inherently not the right thing? Try explaining to the vast majority of people around the world just trying to get by that because of events very far from them that they have no power over and barely any knowledge of, they all need to die.

Boy are you in for a big surprise when you read your first history book…

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Fivemarks posted:

Let the world die in a pyre of nuclear hellfire, if that is what it takes to do the right thing. If modern civilization requires that we sit back and let genocides and war crimes happen because "We can't stop them because the perpetrator might throw a nuclear temper tantrum," then modern civilization deserves to die.

Settle down, Woke Edward Teller.

A Bad King
Jul 17, 2009


Suppose the oil man,
He comes to town.
And you don't lay money down.

Yet Mr. King,
He killed the thread
The other day.
Well I wonder.
Who's gonna go to Hell?
Could we please not be flippant about killing 50 million or more people because the murder-state offends our moral compass? I don't think you should let a bully dictate anything, but when a hostage taker threatens to kill his hostages you have to be strategic in your response else you're just going to get everyone killed. If it takes 2 hours or 20, the end goal is liberation of the hostages and either neutralization or capture of the hostage taker, and we the depend on specialists in the field to do that. I haven't seen our specialists making many mistakes so far in this war, and yeah it really sucks that it takes a few dozen months to wring more from the MIC for the Ukrainians, but jfc could we not advocate for taking on the bet that Russia's entire arsenal, the one that was up until the 2020s pretty consistently inspected for authenticity by our teams, was sold for dacha improvements?

Children are being abducted? Yeah this is a drat genocide, I agree. We don't test the potential ending of the world because children are being taken hostage by a marauding vatnik murder state. We give every bullet and every shield and every tank we can give to the Ukrainian state so they can grab their children themselves and work very hard to restrict Russia's ability to lash out by calling them out for false flag planning and providing UKR excellent C4 guidance. Which is what we've been doing? Right?

Russia's leadership deserves its eventual fate of international trial and/or grave. Russians themselves are not enemies of the civilized world. A solid third are caught in a lovely system that nails them down and threatens to destroy everything they care about if they don't turn their eyes at the criminality of their leadership, literally loving prisoners in their homes who wish to be a part of that civilized world; another third, fed a constant diet of propaganda that if you or your elder grandparents were exposed to would needle down your psyche into rationalizing irrational positions. The last third are just trying to survive in loving towns that make S.T.A.L.K.E.R.'s setting a loving docu-reel, and have no real guilt in this.

We keep slow-walking into our response, and it's because we don't know what will take an irrational actor like Putin to make the most irrational choice of ending the world. This war isn't going to end tomorrow, it's a war of attrition and the Ukrainians are willing to fight it for us, they're dying for their families and their children and we can support that. This is a multi-year war for Ukraine, we have to accept that. We're on the precept of sending them 4th gen fighters to regain control of their airspace, an unthinkable proposition just 14 months ago. I don't think we should actively be promoting the idea that "if nukes fly, lol well we did it for democracy and the children with now-very-dead parents."

Anyways, UKR/RUS news:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/03/...&smid=url-share

The Russian embassy in DC and the US embassy in Moscow are getting into spitting matches with their host countries and it's kinda cute.

A Bad King
Jul 17, 2009


Suppose the oil man,
He comes to town.
And you don't lay money down.

Yet Mr. King,
He killed the thread
The other day.
Well I wonder.
Who's gonna go to Hell?
e: double post.

spankmeister
Jun 15, 2008






A Bad King posted:

Anyways, UKR/RUS news:
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/03/...&smid=url-share

The Russian embassy in DC and the US embassy in Moscow are getting into spitting matches with their host countries and it's kinda cute.

Some things happening at the NL embassy in Moscow as well:

https://twitter.com/GillesBP/status/1675551415572353024



"From 2014 to 2022 in the Donbass 11000 people died. Where were the Netherlands for 8 years while innocent children died"

And also:

https://twitter.com/Kysia/status/1675589130347003904?s=20



"The Netherlands is a country of lies"

(both translations mine)

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

spankmeister posted:

Some things happening at the NL embassy in Moscow as well:

https://twitter.com/GillesBP/status/1675551415572353024



"From 2014 to 2022 in the Donbass 11000 people died. Where were the Netherlands for 8 years while innocent children died"

And also:

https://twitter.com/Kysia/status/1675589130347003904?s=20



"The Netherlands is a country of lies"

(both translations mine)


Are they saying MH17 didn't happen? LoL, okay.
Of course, that message is really for Muscovites, not the Dutch people.

Wasabi the J
Jan 23, 2008

MOM WAS RIGHT

A.o.D. posted:

Are they saying MH17 didn't happen? LoL, okay.
Of course, that message is really for Muscovites, not the Dutch people.

Russia blames Ukraine for MH17, too, I thought

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Wasabi the J posted:

Russia blames Ukraine for MH17, too, I thought

They blame NATO, the gays, Satan, and your mother's apple pie for anything inconvenient or embarrassing for them.

Rev. Bleech_
Oct 19, 2004

~OKAY, WE'LL DRINK TO OUR LEGS!~

shame on an IGA posted:

love how the threat modellers for the 2000 warhead scenario had already run out of obvious targets and just went "uhhhh... mark all the big power plants and IDK just dump the other 1200 on the silo fields"

I love that Camp Lejeune is completely ignored in favor of dropping 3 along the Cape Fear River for some reason. Also, what the gently caress is there in Maine that deserves several warheads.

Pine Cone Jones
Dec 6, 2009

You throw me the acorn, I throw you the whip!

Rev. Bleech_ posted:

I love that Camp Lejeune is completely ignored in favor of dropping 3 along the Cape Fear River for some reason. Also, what the gently caress is there in Maine that deserves several warheads.

Portsmouth Naval Shipyard and Bath Iron Works, along with (at the time) Loring Air Force Base near Bangor and NAS Brunwick.

Pine Cone Jones fucked around with this message at 00:43 on Jul 4, 2023

Saul Kain
Dec 5, 2018

Lately it occurs to me,

what a long, strange trip it's been.


Rev. Bleech_ posted:

I love that Camp Lejeune is completely ignored in favor of dropping 3 along the Cape Fear River for some reason. Also, what the gently caress is there in Maine that deserves several warheads.

That’s Wilmington. Given that Russia is pulling out museum pieces to go to the front, it would not surprise me that they thought the USS North Carolina might be a threat.

Humbug Scoolbus
Apr 25, 2008

The scarlet letter was her passport into regions where other women dared not tread. Shame, Despair, Solitude! These had been her teachers, stern and wild ones, and they had made her strong, but taught her much amiss.
Clapping Larry

Rev. Bleech_ posted:

I love that Camp Lejeune is completely ignored in favor of dropping 3 along the Cape Fear River for some reason. Also, what the gently caress is there in Maine that deserves several warheads.

Portsmouth Naval Shipyard. It's a major Sub repair yard

Icon Of Sin
Dec 26, 2008



Saul Kain posted:

That’s Wilmington. Given that Russia is pulling out museum pieces to go to the front, it would not surprise me that they thought the USS North Carolina might be a threat.

Sunny Point is a major logistics hub there. ~40% of every bullet, bomb, and shell that went to Iraq or Afghanistan went through there iirc.

If the place went up in flames (nuclear or otherwise), the whole town of carolina beach would probably get wiped. Having lived in Wilmington for a while, it’d probably be an improvement.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Rev. Bleech_ posted:

I love that Camp Lejeune is completely ignored in favor of dropping 3 along the Cape Fear River for some reason. Also, what the gently caress is there in Maine that deserves several warheads.

Wasn't there an SAC base there too?

kill me now
Sep 14, 2003

Why's Hank crying?

'CUZ HE JUST GOT DUNKED ON!

Saul Kain posted:

That’s Wilmington. Given that Russia is pulling out museum pieces to go to the front, it would not surprise me that they thought the USS North Carolina might be a threat.

Everyone is aware that that nuke target map isn't some official Russian target list, or even an official US strike estimate right?

It was put together by some guy on the internet based on best guesses. I wouldn't take it very seriously or assume its terribly accurate.


Then again who knows, its 2023 and maybe the Russian Strategic Rocket Forces saw it and retargeted all their ICBMs based on it.

Godholio
Aug 28, 2002

Does a bear split in the woods near Zheleznogorsk?

Cimber posted:

That map is pretty drat old. For example, they have the Burlington VT area targeted in a limited engagement to take out Plattsburgh Air Force Base. Which closed in 1995 and is now a civilian facility.

A civilian facility with a runway that's still capable of supporting heavy military aircraft, and hosts Sikorsky and Pratt & Whitney facilities.

Saul Kain
Dec 5, 2018

Lately it occurs to me,

what a long, strange trip it's been.


kill me now posted:

Everyone is aware that that nuke target map isn't some official Russian target list, or even an official US strike estimate right?

It was put together by some guy on the internet based on best guesses. I wouldn't take it very seriously or assume its terribly accurate.


Then again who knows, its 2023 and maybe the Russian Strategic Rocket Forces saw it and retargeted all their ICBMs based on it.

Yes, I am aware. That was, in fact, a joke. Forgive me this sin.

Icon Of Sin
Dec 26, 2008



I wasn’t joking when I said it would take more than the cleansing power of nuclear flame to cure the land of the taint left by Fayetteville and Jacksonville :colbert:

Kazinsal
Dec 13, 2011
Last time I checked, I'm riiiight in that sweet spot between two warheads from an SS-18 (CEP included) where my windows will break and I'll get a nice tan if I put some SPF 200 on, based on useful strategic targets for a full-on nuclear attack on the west that includes hitting Vancouver, BC.

Of course, with my luck and Russia's technological track record, a warhead will go ten miles off course and land on my head.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Don’t see Willo567s balls on that there map.

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mikerock
Oct 29, 2005

Nessus posted:

Don’t see Willo567s balls on that there map.

I was at the beach all day, and I came back scrolling through 100 posts of Nuke chat with a target map and no one mentioning Willo's balls.

Hell yeah, I think as I crack my posting knuckles.

Then this post.

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