|
Crows Turn Off posted:Yes. He will be the Republican nominee. They don't care about his crimes. The question was if there are that any polls that actually mattered where he is doing well. The Republican Party could run Jesus Christ with a bullet proof, step by step plan for everything that ails America and conservatives will still vote for their favorite rapist without a single policy. What I want to know is if there are any reliable national polls that show him favoring in the presidential election over Biden.
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 06:11
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 7, 2024 19:00 |
|
|
The Flying Milton posted:The question was if there are that any polls that actually mattered where he is doing well. The Republican Party could run Jesus Christ with a bullet proof, step by step plan for everything that ails America and conservatives will still vote for their favorite rapist without a single policy. This surprisingly came up in my timeline right after reading this post. Thanks, AI who is watching everything I view. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/polling-roundup-trump-has-no-realistic-path-to-win-a-general-election Obviously, be wary of the source but the opinion piece has actual data receipts.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 06:22
|
|
|
Nelson Mandingo posted:This surprisingly came up in my timeline right after reading this post. Thanks, AI who is watching everything I view. Thanks. While it’s important to never let your guard down with this guy, it is reassuring to be reminded that he is just lying//bending the truth when he claims he is ahead in polls and is being targeted because of it. It’s nice to know the majority of the country isn’t that stupid.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 06:27
|
|
|
Hieronymous Alloy posted:Statistically speaking, people with mental illness are more likely to be crime victims than perpetrators. Like, far and away. As far as I understand it, by default its going to show mental illness was a contributing factor in most crimes simply because "neurotypical" is a unicorn. Almost everyone has some kind of neurodivergent element, most just aren't diagnosed officially. Also people don't steal baby formula to feed babies, they sell that stuff to China because they'll pay top dollar for that stuff.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 07:05
|
|
|
BigBallChunkyTime posted:This one. I hadn't heard about it either until I saw this Maddow piece. I'm not sure what penalties a civil suit could get for that, but it would definitely be a bad precedent for him to be found guilty there. https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-key-cases-civil-criminal-investigations-lawsuits-updates-2022-7
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 07:14
|
|
|
Pleasant Friend posted:As far as I understand it, by default its going to show mental illness was a contributing factor in most crimes simply because "neurotypical" is a unicorn. Almost everyone has some kind of neurodivergent element, most just aren't diagnosed officially. Also people don't steal baby formula to feed babies, they sell that stuff to China because they'll pay top dollar for that stuff. A) Neurodivergence is not the same thing as mental illness. B) What.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 09:49
|
|
|
Pleasant Friend posted:Also people don't steal baby formula to feed babies, they sell that stuff to China because they'll pay top dollar for that stuff.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 11:07
|
|
|
The Flying Milton posted:Thanks. While it’s important to never let your guard down with this guy, it is reassuring to be reminded that he is just lying//bending the truth when he claims he is ahead in polls and is being targeted because of it. Also, polls can be a general indicator but it's also dumb as gently caress to push a horserace narrative (not speaking to you, just generally here) considering at the end of the day: 1. Trump has never won a popular vote. 2. He's loving poison to something like 90% or more of people he's very loudly endorsed. 3. His money has been drying up like CRAZY, which is a huuuge indicator of success (or failure). 4. There have been 3 election cycles now, not to mention countless specials, that have been de facto referendums on Trump and his ilk. They're not getting obliterated (I'd say a good 75% of that is probably gerrymandering), but they're definitely not winning. Not remotely. Trump's politics are losers, nationally speaking. It's indisputable by now. 5. If people are going to look to polls, what about the one that has something like two thirds of the country saying they either definitely or probably won't vote for him. 6. The first 4 points were true even before the indictment deluge. Contrary to what some will have you believe, said indictments will not help him with the general electorate.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 11:41
|
|
|
Trump is kind of like Hillary Clinton: a significant amount of his own party will never vote for him.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 11:51
|
|
|
MonkeyOnFire posted:"DON'T SERVE THEM TWO RIGGERS!" I realize I missed this by a bunch of pages, but any time someone references Party Down, I gotta comment.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 11:59
|
|
|
Jesus III posted:Trump is kind of like Hillary Clinton: a significant amount of his own party will never vote for him. Also I think at this point he MAY have eclipsed Hillary as the most hated figure in American politics.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 12:03
|
|
|
BigBallChunkyTime posted:This one. I hadn't heard about it either until I saw this Maddow piece. Was this thing set up like a multi level marketing company? Because that would be very on point for Donald.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 12:03
|
|
|
BiggerBoat posted:Was this thing set up like a multi level marketing company? Because that would be very on point for Donald. The company that sold the phones was, yes. Trump is being sued because he said he was a sponsor just because he loved the phones and denied ever receiving payments. Of course, he had received millions of dollars to push the phones, both directly and through various scam trump entities.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 12:23
|
|
|
SamuraiFoochs posted:Also I think at this point he MAY have eclipsed Hillary as the most hated figure in American politics. Oh, yeah, like 10% of Democrats hated Hillary, isn't it like 25% for Trump?
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 12:27
|
|
|
FizFashizzle posted:The company that sold the phones was, yes. It's not surprising that this is getting so little attention - it seems to be a common theme among celebrities to pitch an investment they partially (or don't) understand, or just fail to perform any due diligence. How many people are getting sued over the 2022 Super Bowl crypto commercials? It's pretty well established that DJT had largely stopped managing his businesses by the time ACN came around, he probably thought "Hey, millions to pitch a business? Why not?" If a celebrity pitches a product/service, that's fine. Any time anyone pitches an investment, ever - be skeptical. If it's such a great investment, why is it even being pitched, why aren't investors falling all over themselves to get involved?
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 12:52
|
|
|
I am not a lawyer, but there are laws that protect people from pushing bad investment advice that don’t apply to other things, like pushing crappy video phones. Though Trump and everyone else pushing those crypto things might be safe since they are not portraying themselves as actual financial advisors.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 13:07
|
|
|
Slowpoke! posted:I am not a lawyer, but there are laws that protect people from pushing bad investment advice that don’t apply to other things, like pushing crappy video phones. Though Trump and everyone else pushing those crypto things might be safe since they are not portraying themselves as actual financial advisors. If you're talking about fiduciary duty, that's correct. In this case, the lawsuit is about fraud and misrepresenting his relationship to the company.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 13:28
|
|
|
SamuraiFoochs posted:Also, polls can be a general indicator but it's also dumb as gently caress to push a horserace narrative (not speaking to you, just generally here) considering at the end of the day: there's also a big fundraising issue where major republican donors are heavily disfavoring pro-trump candidates/candidates who haven't disavowed 1/6
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 14:32
|
|
|
Here's a first hand look at all the Antifa BLM people from 1/6 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oI-BoEca2bE
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 14:32
|
|
|
When I see Matt Damon in an ad, I'm aware it's an ad and can assume he was paid for the ad. If Damon says in an interview "I love crypto, it's great! No one is paying me to say this" that's where you're getting in trouble. The issue is the misrepresenting your stake in the business, which is the problem Trump is running into.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 14:40
|
|
|
Murgos posted:Trumps legal defense fund page got hacked. This is still up. How have they not taken this entire page down yet?
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:03
|
|
|
The Flying Milton posted:The question was if there are that any polls that actually mattered where he is doing well. The Republican Party could run Jesus Christ with a bullet proof, step by step plan for everything that ails America and conservatives will still vote for their favorite rapist without a single policy. Trump has never led Biden in any (not fraudulent) poll anywhere since before the 2020 election. Current GOP strategy is to have friendly media craft nonsense polls to flood the “average of polls” sites so I feel clarity is needed. Anyways, polls are totally broken which is why pundits expected a “RED WAVE” in 2022.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:09
|
|
|
The Bible posted:This is still up. I assume they lost access to the webhost entirely and are needing to request a reset.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:19
|
|
|
The Bible posted:This is still up. This a parody site, it was never Trump’s to begin with. Someone else just snagged the domain related to his defense fund. It was up for a week with a generic link to Trumps site and not an actual donate button. Nothing has been “hacked”
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:35
|
|
|
SamuraiFoochs posted:4. There have been 3 election cycles now, not to mention countless specials, that have been de facto referendums on Trump and his ilk. They're not getting obliterated (I'd say a good 75% of that is probably gerrymandering), but they're definitely not winning. Not remotely. Trump's politics are losers, nationally speaking. It's indisputable by now. The current R house majority can be directly linked to 4 illegally gerrymandered state maps. At least one of which had been already found to be gerrymandered 9 months before the election but the court put their finger on the scale and ruled that was too close to the election to fix it. When voting maps change sometimes just days before an election and it can be handled just fine. If republicans had failed to take the house in 2022 I have to feel that Biden would be in a much stronger position nationally today and Trump would be in a much worse position with the intellectual side of the Republican Party being rightly identified with that failure. As it is now Trump gets a little credit for the tail wagging the dog situation in congress right now where people like Boebert, Gaetz and MTG can coerce the narrative that just wouldn’t be there otherwise. A D majority house would almost certainly have censured the “freedom caucus” for some of their more egregious behavior.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:38
|
|
Nieuw Amsterdam posted:Trump has never led Biden in any (not fraudulent) poll anywhere since before the 2020 election. Polls did not predict a red wave in 2020, though, even including the "nonsense polls", so blaming them for the opinions of the pundits hardly seems fair. In fact, the 2022 polls were historically accurate and showed a very close race. The idea that polling has become less accurate in general isn't supported by evidence.
|
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:43
|
|
|
The bottom link for that page highlighted for Donald J trump was a nice touch 
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 15:50
|
|
|
I've been messing around with this on Amazon and wondering if I should order one for 12 bux I dunno. Maybe "Make Red Hats Acceptable Again"?
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 16:20
|
|
|
SimonChris posted:Polls did not predict a red wave in 2020, though, even including the "nonsense polls", so blaming them for the opinions of the pundits hardly seems fair. In fact, the 2022 polls were historically accurate and showed a very close race. The idea that polling has become less accurate in general isn't supported by evidence. Perhaps it is more accurate to say that people have decided not to listen to polls that tell them anything different from what they believe in their gut.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 16:26
|
|
|
Clarste posted:Perhaps it is more accurate to say that people have decided not to listen to polls that tell them anything different from what they believe in their gut. Nate Silver’s account found.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 17:24
|
|
|
BiggerBoat posted:I've been messing around with this on Amazon and wondering if I should order one for 12 bux Unless it's got a very obvious sports logo on it, a red hat is just gonna get you side-eye from every non-white person in the country
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 18:06
|
|
|
I dunno, a friend of mine has one of these and it gets him smiles and high-fives.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 18:37
|
|
|
Nelson Mandingo posted:This surprisingly came up in my timeline right after reading this post. Thanks, AI who is watching everything I view. Those are general national poll numbers. I want to see electoral college by state numbers. He could lose the national popular vote by like ten percent and still pull an EC win, theoretically. Kith posted:I dunno, a friend of mine has one of these and it gets him smiles and high-fives. Yeah but all the people who don't look that closely . . .ugh
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 18:43
|
|
|
Telegnostic posted:The hand of God will appear before Trump and inscribe this indictment: The writing really is on the wall with this most recent indictment.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 18:45
|
|
|
Kith posted:I dunno, a friend of mine has one of these and it gets him smiles and high-fives. I just think it's kinda lame to give a bunch of non-white people some low-level stress just for a dumb joke. Seems like the opposite of allyship.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 18:48
|
|
|
Failed Imagineer posted:I just think it's kinda lame to give a bunch of non-white people some low-level stress just for a dumb joke. Seems like the opposite of allyship. Seriously though, I'm with you. I'd rather not give people even a momentary impression that I'm a trumper.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 19:00
|
|
|
BiggerBoat posted:I've been messing around with this on Amazon and wondering if I should order one for 12 bux Nice try, Powrie, but you'll not fool us!
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 19:00
|
|
|
BiggerBoat posted:I've been messing around with this on Amazon and wondering if I should order one for 12 bux Fighting a losing battle. The red hat is a dunce cap for at least a generation.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 19:06
|
|
|
Nieuw Amsterdam posted:Yeah they work for the Feds not Donald Trump personally it’s not the loving Varangian Guard. Along those lines, on January 6th Pence refused to be taken to safety by the Secret Service because he believed they'd hold him incognito until it was too late to be involved in counting the votes. Pence is not a gung-ho anti-law-enforcement guy.
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 19:20
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 7, 2024 19:00 |
|
|
Arsenic Lupin posted:they'd hold him incognito Like they’d use a fake name and a disguise for him?
|
|
#
?
Aug 19, 2023 19:23
|
|
