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https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1713943652387418401
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Oct 16, 2023 18:21
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DiscountDildos posted:Wouldn't be surprised if this source isn't reputable but lol and lmao if true lol if this is true
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Oct 16, 2023 18:21
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Starsfan posted:nah, that's the same mistake that the Ukrainian OSINT crowd makes when they infer that Russia using shells from the 70's or w/e means that they about to run out of shells (they were saying this back in April of 2022 lol). There's no reason not to use up the oldest stuff you have sitting around rather than the newer inventory. Particularly since the US only retained this specific model of bomb for as long as they did for high altitude area bombing. Having said that, I thought Israel had the Gucci hookup for free inventory refresh from the US. I'm surprised they held onto older munitions at all instead of asking for 1:1 replacement with say Mk 83 1000lb bombs.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:21
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Love it when Israel leans hard into the "Yikes! Sir, this is a Wendy's. Do 👏 Better 👏" style of posting on social media
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Oct 16, 2023 18:23
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Starsfan posted:nah, that's the same mistake that the Ukrainian OSINT crowd makes when they infer that Russia using shells from the 70's or w/e means that they about to run out of shells (they were saying this back in April of 2022 lol). There's no reason not to use up the oldest stuff you have sitting around rather than the newer inventory. Yeah most of OSINT is making poo poo up based on publicly available evidence that may or may not actually be accurate It was, shall we say, eye opening when those discord leaks happened earlier in the year which apparently confirmed that the US IC is getting intel from OSINT accounts on social media
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Oct 16, 2023 18:25
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Frosted Flake posted:Particularly since the US only retained this specific model of bomb for as long as they did for high altitude area bombing. “Waste not want not”
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Oct 16, 2023 18:25
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CHUD KILLER 5000 posted:Love it when Israel leans hard into the "Yikes! Sir, this is a Wendy's. Do 👏 Better 👏" style of posting on social media It's pretty astounding since that style of posting is only for the international audiences in the West. Domestically, it's been mask-off fascism for years.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:25
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smoobles posted:why are the lesbians attacking israel? No no, they're not attacking Israel
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Oct 16, 2023 18:26
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VoicesCanBe posted:It was, shall we say, eye opening when those discord leaks happened earlier in the year which apparently confirmed that the US IC is getting intel from OSINT accounts on social media I mean, they're paying Brown Moses, right? Might as well use what you bought even if it's a poo poo product
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Oct 16, 2023 18:27
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moths posted:I got the impression that aircraft are like racecars, in that overworking them and their crews is going to make for problems. it's only a matter of time before they get to the round black bombs with the cartoon fuse like from Bibi's UN presentation
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Oct 16, 2023 18:27
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DiscountDildos posted:Wouldn't be surprised if this source isn't reputable but lol and lmao if true like ditching your little brother once your cooler friends arrive to hang out
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Oct 16, 2023 18:27
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Israel probably has a lot more then they are willing to admit as a basic tenet of the zionist state is inherent distrust of anyone around them (for example their nuclear program). Also, assuming they didn't give most of their surplus to Ukraine and have it hidden somewhere.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:27
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Death By The Blues posted:lol Blinken had to flee to a bunker/safe room because of a current rocket attack on Tel Aviv he is also apparently meeting with the Israeli war cabinet right now The US public is completely unaware of how sophisticated and capable the ME resistance movements have gotten and how decrepit the western war machine is. The idea that Gaza is still actively defending itself and fighting back, and that Hezbollah is ready to commit to a new front that could deplete and degrade the IDF's ability to fight on the ground is completely alien to the zeitgeist. It's going to be a real shock to the system whenever that aura of military invincibility - already broken within israel - is broken for the US public.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:28
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The Oldest Man posted:The US public is completely unaware of how sophisticated and capable the ME resistance movements have gotten and how decrepit the western war machine is. The idea that Gaza is still actively defending itself and fighting back, and that Hezbollah is ready to commit to a new front that could deplete and degrade the IDF's ability to fight on the ground is completely alien to the zeitgeist. I mean, people were flipping out pretty hard over that Afghanistan withdrawal already. The only way they could even halfway spin that as a win was by showcasing all the money they stole on the way out
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Oct 16, 2023 18:30
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this is also probably why they will overreact with an insane amount of force moreso then Afghanistan and Iraq to "regain" that big boy tough image. America desperately wanting a win thinking it will just run over the Hezbollah/Shiite Miltias not realizing they have spent the last decade plus in multiple wars/battlefronts.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:32
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Death By The Blues posted:lol Blinken had to flee to a bunker/safe room because of a current rocket attack on Tel Aviv he is also apparently meeting with the Israeli war cabinet right now blinken dressed as Indy looking down on the war room: “Nazis… I love these guys…”
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Oct 16, 2023 18:34
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Death By The Blues posted:lol Blinken had to flee to a bunker/safe room because of a current rocket attack on Tel Aviv he is also apparently meeting with the Israeli war cabinet right now you know they just had the sirens blare regardless of anythign for the photo op
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Oct 16, 2023 18:34
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Wraith of J.O.I. posted:when you’ve lost the WEXNER foundation…….. lmao
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Oct 16, 2023 18:34
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Noise Complaint posted:what if we made a whole country out of cops Tired: Big Israel Wired: Big Cop City
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Oct 16, 2023 18:39
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time for Dhuhr prayer
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Oct 16, 2023 18:39
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The Oldest Man posted:The US public is completely unaware of how sophisticated and capable the ME resistance movements have gotten and how decrepit the western war machine is. The idea that Gaza is still actively defending itself and fighting back, and that Hezbollah is ready to commit to a new front that could deplete and degrade the IDF's ability to fight on the ground is completely alien to the zeitgeist. yeah we have absolutely no idea what the capabilities of hamas and other actors are and they have had years to prepare defenses, whereas all israel can do is turn up the “bomb from sky” dial to 11
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Oct 16, 2023 18:39
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https://twitter.com/Lowkey0nline/status/1713968039580881215?s=20 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JVNgN_qSDp4
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Oct 16, 2023 18:41
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Death By The Blues posted:this is also probably why they will overreact with an insane amount of force moreso then Afghanistan and Iraq to "regain" that big boy tough image. America desperately wanting a win thinking it will just run over the Hezbollah/Shiite Miltias not realizing they have spent the last decade plus in multiple wars/battlefronts. I think (in this context) it depends a lot on how hard in the paint the US elite class goes to prop up Israel. If they just buzz around in the med and declare they did everything they could while Hezbollah feeds ATGMs to Israeli tanks on the ground, that's one thing. If they go full blood thirst and start doing air strikes and expose US assets to SAMs (or worse, they decide that it's time to Punish Iran and commit to an air campaign in the Persian Gulf), there's a big opportunity for imperial decline corncobbing and subsequent over-reaction show of force poo poo to occur.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:41
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Wraith of J.O.I. posted:when you’ve lost the WEXNER foundation…….. trying to understand the brain of a person who wants to sexually abuse children, but also thinks his people deserve a piece of land because God said so
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Oct 16, 2023 18:41
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Hammerstein posted:Something like this??
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Oct 16, 2023 18:42
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does anybody have that video of the reporter in front of the Palestinian hospital, it’s like ten minutes long and from a Chinese journalist tia, dta dti
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Oct 16, 2023 18:42
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Jel Shaker posted:yeah we have absolutely no idea what the capabilities of hamas and other actors are and they have had years to prepare defenses, whereas all israel can do is turn up the “bomb from sky” dial to 11 We actually saw a pretty decent indication of Hamas' capabilities a week ago, turns out we underestimated them quite a bit.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:43
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dti
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Oct 16, 2023 18:43
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Judgy Fucker posted:I mean, they're paying Brown Moses, right? Might as well use what you bought even if it's a poo poo product It's a bit more insidious, because it's a tool to steer policy. See, if you covertly pay people to produce information, then present that same information to policymakers, you essentially get the policy outcomes you want. You're not supposed to lie when presenting information in a policy brief, obviously. All of the information you produce in house has to be verifiable, and has some level of falsifiability. I might be flubbing this, since a lot of this jargon is the pretence of scientific method and impartiality, but people bring up Popper a lot. Essentially, if I base a briefing note on intelligence produced by, say, brigade intelligence, someone is supposed to be able to check their work, and mine. I can't selectively feed the information I want to get the "most reasonable choice of 3 presented" outcome I want. However, OSINT is supposed to be open source and has a lot of media buy-in. Politicians, and let's be honest, government mangers at the executive level, have a more immediate connection to what they see in the media than the work being produced in their own departments. Many of them aren't able to check work produced in-house even if they had the time, and they certainly can't take the time to compare "reputable" outside reports to the work being produced under them, they rely on those same notes and summaries to make that judgement. Okay, so you covertly pay someone to produce propaganda. That means, you know the figures are all bullshit and suit whatever agenda. Because the connection is covert, you can then turn around and present the same figures to a policymaker as impartial, objective information produced from out of house, which half of them think makes it more trustworthy. There's a particularly dangerous kind of (in my experience mostly Conservative) politician who is suspicious of being manipulated by the government, but has trust in everything coming from private sector. Now, remember that in this case public sector is paying private sector to produce information that suits them. Doesn't matter. They get one note produced by their own department and they're intensely skeptical of being manipulated. They get another based on OSINT and they trust it. So, for the small price of paying Bellingcat or Oryx, you can get policymakers to sign off on poo poo they would never do if they saw (or trusted) the figures coming from army intelligence or whatever. e: You could say that over the long term this becomes dangerous as cooking your own books leads to delusional decision making, but I don't think anyone thought that far ahead.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:44
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they should make these fuckers repeat their walk-back every 5 minutes like they were doing with the obvious propaganda 2 days ago
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Oct 16, 2023 18:44
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WoodrowSkillson posted:trying to understand the brain of a person who wants to sexually abuse children, but also thinks his people deserve a piece of land because God said so youll go insane trying to understand fascism brain because its inconsistent by design
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Oct 16, 2023 18:44
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Are they taking the long way around or does this have the potential to become the funniest thing ever?
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Oct 16, 2023 18:46
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posting on good page
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Oct 16, 2023 18:46
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WoodrowSkillson posted:you know they just had the sirens blare regardless of anythign for the photo op Yeah I assume whenever a western diplomat visits they do some kayfabe to put everyone in bomb shelters for an hour or two so that whichever ghoul comes away with a reinforced belief that Israel is constantly threatened. Seems like the easiest PR move in the world. MeatwadIsGod has issued a correction as of 18:49 on Oct 16, 2023 |
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Oct 16, 2023 18:46
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fanfic insert posted:Are they taking the long way around or does this have the potential to become the funniest thing ever? anyone know any drunk captains transiting through the suez atm
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Oct 16, 2023 18:46
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Rumours of Israel is striking Damascus again and bombing Lebanon https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1713974050484084924 https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1713974490617487644
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Oct 16, 2023 18:46
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If it was any other country in the middle east acting this wildly belligerent to their neighbors we would have already started bombing runs on their capital
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Oct 16, 2023 18:48
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Al-Saqr posted:Iran and CuckBullah should do something
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Oct 16, 2023 18:48
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MeatwadIsGod posted:Yeah I assume whenever a western diplomat visits they do some kayfabe to put everyone in bomb shelters for an hour or two so that whichever goul comes away with a reinforced belief that Israel is constantly threatened. Seems like the easiest PR move in the world. Ukraine did it and Biden used the clip of the sirens going off in a campaign ad.
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Oct 16, 2023 18:48
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Well now they are shelling southern Lebanon so maybe they are doing something https://twitter.com/MayadeenEnglish/status/1713975403620999553
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Oct 16, 2023 18:50
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