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Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:If A.J. Brown and George Kittle can't muster 10 points between them I will quit fantasy and walk into the sea This is going to happen at this rate too
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 02:14 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 13:38 |
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Looks like Mostert wont be getting many points tonight lol
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 02:15 |
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https://x.com/mikegarafolo/status/1716264392617030087?s=46&t=OK6AvWM-NBtlIQDYnQH66w Welp
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 02:26 |
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ESPN quit loving with me I do not have a 35% chance of winning beer league this week down 20 with just Goedert and injured McCaffrey left to go.
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 02:28 |
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Quiet Feet posted:ESPN quit loving with me I do not have a 35% chance of winning beer league this week down 20 with just Goedert and injured McCaffrey left to go. The percentages are the hugest troll ever and very obviously just based on "how close is each remaining player to their initial projection". Last week when I needed one FG from Aubrey to take the lead, my opponent showed 99% to win for a good while. Aubrey made the FG and I won with my "1% chance", get owned I've also lost many a week where I was > 90% to win going into the final game. Because it turns out it's loving impossible to consistently and reliably project fantasy points But also depending on your scoring system Goedert may have gotten you 95% of the way there
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 04:26 |
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One big thing I’ve noticed is that the projections seem to be based largely on the players performance against that team in the past without regard to things like OL, overall team performance, team health, opponent health, etc. I won’t claim to know how the sausage is made, but I will claim that they probably need to take more than player variables and statistics into account (or make it account for a larger share)
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 04:39 |
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Case in point: waddle consistently has better projections than Flowers, even though Flowers has had 7 weeks of games to show that he 1) regularly overperforms projections 2) regularly has more targets than waddle 3) regularly scores more than waddle
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 04:44 |
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FAT32 SHAMER posted:Case in point: waddle consistently has better projections than Flowers, even though Flowers has had 7 weeks of games to show that he 1) regularly overperforms projections 2) regularly has more targets than waddle 3) regularly scores more than waddle Yeah point projections are poo poo and you should give them about as much weight as your draft grade
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# ? Oct 23, 2023 04:59 |
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If Mattison outscores Addison, I win! 5 seconds into MNF: hmm well nevertheless
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 02:02 |
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Well poo poo. Thankfully it doesn't matter for this week's matchup but getting cute and benching Addison in case CMC didn't play really bit me in the rear end.
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 02:36 |
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I needed 4 points from Jake Moody tonight to win and was terrified I wasn't going to get it, I think watching when a kicker is your last player is the least enjoyable way to watch the final game
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 03:39 |
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Yeah I think I’m dropping Moody for Myers lol He’s only good for PATs
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 03:46 |
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Dango Bango posted:Well poo poo. Thankfully it doesn't matter for this week's matchup but getting cute and benching Addison in case CMC didn't play really bit me in the rear end. I take this back - had I started Addison I'd be within striking distance with CMC and Kirk still playing
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 03:50 |
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Fentry posted:I needed 4 points from Jake Moody tonight to win and was terrified I wasn't going to get it, I think watching when a kicker is your last player is the least enjoyable way to watch the final game I had Osborn +70 pts or so against his McCaffrey, Kittle, Hockenson, and Cousins. I won by one point, and my blood pressure is destroying my body
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# ? Oct 24, 2023 04:16 |
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Would be cool if any of these end zone opportunities for Kincaid worked out
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# ? Oct 27, 2023 02:02 |
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HOLY poo poo RACHAAD WHITE HAD A RUN FOR MORE THAN 4 YAR- oh Holding
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# ? Oct 27, 2023 02:06 |
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Had to start Godwin cause I had no choice, glad he's finally having a good game.
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# ? Oct 27, 2023 02:18 |
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It took until Week 8, but the Mike Evans 1.2 point piece of poo poo game has finally arrived.
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# ? Oct 27, 2023 03:37 |
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coronaball posted:It took until Week 8, but the Mike Evans 1.2 point piece of poo poo game has finally arrived. Congrats, week salvaged.
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# ? Oct 27, 2023 04:07 |
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Little worried the Titans aren't gonna give Henry a full workload so he doesn't get hurt before trading him but what are you gonna do (I know they told him they aren't but they can't just say "we're waiting for a day 1 draft pick" out loud)
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 17:55 |
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Pats just suddenly not playing like poo poo is gonna make fantasy weird.
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 18:26 |
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Maybe time to think K. Bourne is a legit flex play/WR3?
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 18:27 |
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I am very tired of Chris Olave not scoring positive points, Carr sucks so much rear end E: TD to Kamara cool cool
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 18:28 |
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Glad the Dallas D is on my bench. Anyone have the Falcons game on? How is Bijan looking? I see he's only got two carries so far through the first, is he at least getting snaps?
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 18:45 |
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My bench of guys I'd never start is going off
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:11 |
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Lamb is feasting
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:14 |
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After playing 6 different TEs this year I finally have my first TD and score over 5 points from a TE, god bless you Taysom Hill even if you aren't really a TE
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:14 |
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WampaLord posted:Lamb is feasting I was worried because my opponent has him. But he's starting Aiyuk over him. Still half a game to play, but Tony P and Bijan might still sink me if they can't find the end zone or start catching passes.
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:16 |
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Feels like everyone I'm playing against is starting random borderline waiver wire guys that are all getting TDs. And my teams starters are getting TDs vultured by random nobodies. Good week for 4th string wrs and backup TEs I guess! E: it is incredible how predictable it is that whenever I'm projected as like a 60% favorite to win, my teams always poo poo the bed. It never fails. Quiet Feet fucked around with this message at 19:32 on Oct 29, 2023 |
# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:17 |
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Lol Cowboys are up like 30 and Pollard has 17 yards 🙃
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 19:38 |
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Bellmaker posted:Lol Cowboys are up like 30 and Pollard has 17 yards 🙃 He was such a stud the first couple of games too
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 20:07 |
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I feel like I outsmarted myself benching Hopkins.
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 20:25 |
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Pain of Mind posted:I feel like I outsmarted myself benching Hopkins.
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 20:35 |
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Yeah its definitely in stop checking scores time now. Man, gently caress me.
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 20:40 |
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Dammit that Swift fake Tush Push hurts
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# ? Oct 29, 2023 21:10 |
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Varg posted:He's always been on my bench behind Tyreek, Pittman, Kirk & Meyers.. now I'm gonna be swayed to start him and he'll go back to doing nothing Yeah I guess if he has a second good week I could change my mind but it's gonna take more than one random rear end blowup game to convince me Will Levis can play in the NFL. Bagent looked competent in his first game and then uh yeah. Eaten alive by the Chargers D lol
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# ? Oct 30, 2023 17:47 |
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lovely low scoring slog is really not what I need here.
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# ? Oct 31, 2023 01:43 |
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Yeah I need LaPorta and Sun God to get me 15 points and this ain’t off to a good start
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# ? Oct 31, 2023 01:44 |
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It is absolutely incredible how useless the Raiders have rendered Davante. Josh McDaniels should be thrown into a volcano.
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# ? Oct 31, 2023 02:16 |
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# ? Jun 3, 2024 13:38 |
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I sat Jacobs expecting the Lions to eat him alive Gfdi
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# ? Oct 31, 2023 02:21 |