Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Senjuro posted:

Rudimentary or not, nothing is stopping them from concentrating all those thousands of rockets on the closet military base. It would be easier than the far off cities they successfully target. With such numbers they'd be guaranteed to hit something actually useful. They choose to fire at cities because terror is their primary tactic, not because that's all they can hit.

They've killed a few dozen people over the past twenty plus years and thousands upon thousands of rockets and you think they can aim them at military bases?

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Senjuro
Aug 19, 2006

Mean Baby posted:

The rockets can’t aim like that. What part of that don’t you understand?

Groovelord Neato posted:

They've killed a few dozen people over the past twenty plus years and thousands upon thousands of rockets and you think they can aim them at military bases?
They aim well enough to routinely reach cities as far as Tel-Aviv and sometimes even Jerusalem. Granted they can't guide it down to a particular street but a closer target is bound to be easier and with thousands of attempts there's bound to be some success. Also the closer they aim the harder the Iron Dome's job becomes. There's no reason not to try if military targets are their actual preference.

Willo567
Feb 5, 2015

Cheating helped me fail the test and stay on the show.
https://twitter.com/alihashem_tv/status/1718732303705284632
Is Hezbollah about to get fully involved in this?

Bel Shazar
Sep 14, 2012

Willo567 posted:

https://twitter.com/alihashem_tv/status/1718732303705284632
Is Hezbollah about to get fully involved in this?

It would be a bad idea to announce that you're about to escalate the fighting.

Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang

nesbit37 posted:

A lot of these recent posts are feeling way too much like oct. 7th denial which is too close to holocaust denial IMO. I get they're not saying it didn't happen at all but the event is really getting trivialized.

Even the worst act of terrorism is trivialised set against honest to god genocide. It is the apex atrocity. Trying to equate Oct. 7th with the Holocaust is patently manipulative and loving offensive, and in the present context morally outrageous, so please desist.

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
.

mannerup fucked around with this message at 18:49 on Nov 5, 2023

Marenghi
Oct 16, 2008

Don't trust the liberals,
they will betray you

Senjuro posted:

They aim well enough to routinely reach cities as far as Tel-Aviv and sometimes even Jerusalem. Granted they can't guide it down to a particular street but a closer target is bound to be easier and with thousands of attempts there's bound to be some success. Also the closer they aim the harder the Iron Dome's job becomes. There's no reason not to try if military targets are their actual preference.

That's nothing to do with aim. Given enough fuel they'll reach as far as the motor will fire.
They're essentially a firework. Can you aim a firework? Now add accumulated error for longer range and it's apparent why they can't target military bases.

Marenghi fucked around with this message at 00:14 on Oct 30, 2023

Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang

mannerup posted:

its gonna come up when you are discussing the largest single day massacre of Jews since the Holocaust, its not some abstract comparison that Hamas perpetrated a pogrom on a scale not seen since Nazi Germany

Oh yeah, but then the Holocaust comes up as a deflection any time Israel is doing something reprehensible. Meanwhile something that actually looks a lot more like the Holocaust is happening just over there and we can pull up a seat at the kibbutz tail gate party to watch. Or we can watch the stream on broadcast Israeli TV.

Israel is doing a genocide right now, this moment as I type this and as you read it, and that is why it is offensive to have someone come in here and imply that people are in any way doing Holocaust denial because they don't agree with the Israeli justification for doing an actual holocaust.

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

Senjuro posted:

They aim well enough to routinely reach cities as far as Tel-Aviv and sometimes even Jerusalem. Granted they can't guide it down to a particular street but a closer target is bound to be easier and with thousands of attempts there's bound to be some success. Also the closer they aim the harder the Iron Dome's job becomes. There's no reason not to try if military targets are their actual preference.

The claim was that Hamas was engaged in primarily a military operation. Firing rockets that cannot be aimed at anything other than large population centers is not a military operation, it is the deliberate targeting of civilians to induce terror.

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

MikeC posted:

The claim was that Hamas was engaged in primarily a military operation. Firing rockets that cannot be aimed at anything other than large population centers is not a military operation, it is the deliberate targeting of civilians to induce terror.

So what should Hamas do, exactly?

Senjuro
Aug 19, 2006

Marenghi posted:

That's nothing to do with aim. Given enough fuel they'll reach as far as the motor will fire.
They're essentially a firework. Can you aim a firework?
The rockets don't just drop in a perfectly even distribution around Gaza, do they?
They control the angle and direction it's launched at and by adjusting the amount of fuel they control how long it flies. Together those things control the general area it will land in, not with anything resembling 100% reliability but given a big enough target and plenty of attempts, it's doable.

Argas
Jan 13, 2008
SRW Fanatic




Maybe should've given them access to guidance systems

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Senjuro posted:

They aim well enough to routinely reach cities as far as Tel-Aviv and sometimes even Jerusalem. Granted they can't guide it down to a particular street but a closer target is bound to be easier and with thousands of attempts there's bound to be some success. Also the closer they aim the harder the Iron Dome's job becomes. There's no reason not to try if military targets are their actual preference.

The IDF HQ is in the middle of Tel Aviv so your wish was granted.

mannerup posted:

its gonna come up when you are discussing the largest single day massacre of Jews since the Holocaust, its not some abstract comparison that Hamas perpetrated a pogrom on a scale not seen since Nazi Germany

That line is Holocaust minimization and it's extremely gross seeing it posted multiple times in this thread. It wasn't a pogrom. They were killed because they're citizens of the country jailing and brutalizing them not due to their race. It's an awful thing on its own without this nonsense propagandistic comparison.

Groovelord Neato fucked around with this message at 00:39 on Oct 30, 2023

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
I imagine it's easier to "aim" in the general direction of a city, than to try to specifically hit a military base (which is generally smaller than a city).

Senjuro
Aug 19, 2006

Groovelord Neato posted:

The IDF HQ is in the middle of Tel Aviv so your wish was granted.
There's also plenty of IDF bases that are both closer and in the middle of nowhere. Far more likely to hit those if they actually tried.

Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011

Mean Baby posted:

So what should Hamas do, exactly?

Not kill a lot of civilians. They should not kill a lot of civilians. Everyone should not kill a lot of civilians.

i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY
https://apnews.com/article/russia-dagestan-tel-aviv-flight-airport-makhachkala-fa06b16131ed41c0c789981cdcaac84f

Lots of antisemitic activity increasing—not related to Israel.

EDIT: to be clear, not related to the Israeli civilians and passengers** taking the flight (what kind of people do you think are escaping Israel right now?)

i fly airplanes fucked around with this message at 02:14 on Oct 30, 2023

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Groovelord Neato posted:

The IDF HQ is in the middle of Tel Aviv so your wish was granted.

https://x.com/elivalley/status/1716121672304955739?s=20

The central hospital in Tel Aviv sits more or less than a half-kilometer from the IDF's version of the Pentagon, regardless if you go from the center of the main hospital building or the specialist buildings at the end. If Hezbollah or Syria used their ballistic missiles, the hospital is well within their circle error probability (where 50% of missiles will fall within).

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

Civilized Fishbot posted:

Not kill a lot of civilians. They should not kill a lot of civilians. Everyone should not kill a lot of civilians.

I knew you would answer in the negative. Answer in the positive. What should Hamas do?

MikeC
Jul 19, 2004
BITCH ASS NARC

Mean Baby posted:

So what should Hamas do, exactly?

I don't care what they do or don't do, nor am I suggesting a certain course of action. I have no dog in this fight. Your post that Hamas is engaged in primarily a military operation (your words) cannot be regarded as rooted in reality and is not viewed as such by any serious observer. Unless you can rigorously source You should retract your claim and acknowledge that Hamas deliberately and willfully targets civilians to cause terror as its primary effect, not a secondary one.

I don't care if you think it is justified or not. You can debate that with other people. I am just pointing out what is generally accepted as facts.

Willo567
Feb 5, 2015

Cheating helped me fail the test and stay on the show.

Bel Shazar posted:

It would be a bad idea to announce that you're about to escalate the fighting.

How would it be? Israel may think twice about escalating

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

MikeC posted:

I don't care what they do or don't do, nor am I suggesting a certain course of action. I have no dog in this fight. Your post that Hamas is engaged in primarily a military operation (your words) cannot be regarded as rooted in reality and is not viewed as such by any serious observer. Unless you can rigorously source You should retract your claim and acknowledge that Hamas deliberately and willfully targets civilians to cause terror as its primary effect, not a secondary one.

I don't care if you think it is justified or not. You can debate that with other people. I am just pointing out what is generally accepted as facts.

Hamas primarily won a military victory. They basically destroyed Israel’s Gaza Division. They had a clear military plan. They stated unequivocally the leadership did not want to harm civilians.

Hamas was not the only actor killing civilians. We know the IDF also killed civilians and other groups and individuals escaped the concentration camp and committed atrocities.

The “generally accepted facts” are more complex than Hamas killing 1400 civilians. Outside of the insane corporate press who are literally embedded with the IDF, who claimed that there were mass rapes and decapitated babies, the story is more complicated.

In the history of the conflict, October 7th is probably the most effective military action in a single day. Israel has killed at least 7000 people and only 13 were Hamas, for comparison. Hamas is a far more ethical actor than Israel.

Szarrukin
Sep 29, 2021

i fly airplanes posted:

This is whataboutism, and I'm not sure why many posters here have a problem with addressing the slaughter of the music festival youth without mentioning IDF bombings.

Yes, October 7th massacre was horrible, people responsible should be punished, there was no justification for this slaughter. There, can we now go back to LITERAL loving GENOCIDE that is currently taking place?

Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang

If it's not related to Israel why is it in this thread?

I mean, it is obviously a direct response to Israel committing genocide on a Muslim population, what with the mob responding to rumours of a flight from Tel-Aviv. And also a good example in general of how Israel's actions endanger Jewish people around the world by its deliberate conflation of Israel and all Jewish people.

Senjuro
Aug 19, 2006

Mean Baby posted:

They stated unequivocally the leadership did not want to harm civilians.
Oh well if they said so then it must be true. No way would an organization with a long history of targeting civilians lie about something like that.

DeadlyMuffin
Jul 3, 2007

Mean Baby posted:

So what should Hamas do, exactly?

They should start by asking "what actions will provide the highest likelihood of achieving our goals?" and then doing those things.

If their goal is to inflict as much pain as possible on Israel and Israelis, consequences to the Palestine people be damned, then they are taking the right actions towards their goal.

If their goals are a peaceful one or two state solution as soon as possible, then the actions they've taken are a huge step backwards, regardless of how righteous the Palestinian cause is.

There's no question in my mind that their anger is justified, that Israel has committed horrible atrocities against them, and that any weighing of the scales of atrocities would show that Israel has committed, and continues to commit far more atrocities against the Palestinian people than the other way around.

But they are supposed to be the leaders of their people. Leaders should be trying to chart the path that is best for their people, not simply trying to level the scales of atrocities, or simply striking out in (absolutely justified) anger.

I obviously don't have a simple solution to solve everything, which is what you're asking for. I've been watching this 20 year old Frontline piece on why Oslo failed and it's been painful to see how much closer the region was to a real peace. It's also painful to see the same people loving things up back then that are loving things up now, Netanyahu especially. https://youtu.be/jt3PpqaLfxo?si=kEYz8YOzYTTGVwZu

DeadlyMuffin fucked around with this message at 01:09 on Oct 30, 2023

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Willo567 posted:

Is Hezbollah about to get fully involved in this?
Everybody is saying "Nasrallah this" and "Hezbollah that" but nobody is saying "worship this" and "Jericho that."

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

DeadlyMuffin posted:

They should start by asking "what actions will provide the highest likelihood of achieving our goals?" and then doing those things.

There's an argument to be had that the targeting of civilians by an irregular group has a political benefit in conveying to the civilians that they cannot live within a bubble detached from the oppressed. It's an argument that's come up a mind-numbing amount of times within this very thread, in fact.

There is also the fact that military lives are typically "budgeted in" among civilians; if a soldier dies, so what. They're a soldier, dying is their job. Write a country song about how brave and cool they were.

Usually it's to convince those civilians that it's more worthwhile to pressure their politicians towards peace & justice than risk getting cafe bombed. The calculus is a bit more warped here, in that it generally makes Israel act much more odiously in a way that alienates the rest of the world (see: live death counter, tiktoks mocking Gazans, callous "tell Hamas to surrender" posts under pictures of dead children, lawn chairs & popcorn, aggressively unfunny BBC parodies, etc) rather than pursue peace. To their credit, the families of the hostages are pressuring Israel to accept a deal with Hamas.

There is, of course, the opportunity for this to backfire insofar as if the attack is severe enough it can cause the international public to greenlight the oppressors' actions. And that seemed to be the case with regards to a ground invasion early on, in response to Oct 7...."Luckily" Israel instead opted to slaughter a shitload of civilians, turn off all utilities, level half of Gaza, and start talking like a JRPG adaptation of Hitler. Burned through their goodwill in record time.

You can come to your own argument as to whether it's an effective tactic, or if it's too amoral, of course.

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

DeadlyMuffin posted:

If their goals are a peaceful one or two state solution as soon as possible, then the actions they've taken are a huge step backwards, regardless of how righteous the Palestinian cause.

Are you sure about that? Israel was already committed to ethnic cleansing and there was clearly no alternative within Israel. The alternative for Gaza was what, exactly?

It seems to me that Israel is in a state of panic and a significant portion of the Arab world was forced to recommit to the Palestinian cause whereas before they were looking to normalize relations with Israel to the detriment of Palestinians. You also have China and Russia coming out in strong support of Palestine.

i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

Lovely Joe Stalin posted:

If it's not related to Israel why is it in this thread?

I mean, it is obviously a direct response to Israel committing genocide on a Muslim population, what with the mob responding to rumours of a flight from Tel-Aviv. And also a good example in general of how Israel's actions endanger Jewish people around the world by its deliberate conflation of Israel and all Jewish people.

You are again blaming the victim. People are targeting Jews, and in this case, likely Israelis, as it's a flight from Israel.

People angered at Israel's government or not, there is no excuse to target innocent civilians, this distinction should be obvious. And the Russian Muslims (note they are not Palestinians) in this case are not clean from responsibility. There is as much rhetoric and incitement coming from Arab and Palestinian media as there is Jewish and Israeli media to fuel these actions.

I meant not related to Israel in that it didn't take place in Israel.

Szarrukin posted:

Yes, October 7th massacre was horrible, people responsible should be punished, there was no justification for this slaughter. There, can we now go back to LITERAL loving GENOCIDE that is currently taking place?

Nobody is ignoring "literal loving genocide" in the thread here. There's nonstop coverage of Palestine.

i fly airplanes fucked around with this message at 01:16 on Oct 30, 2023

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

Neurolimal posted:

There's an argument to be had that the targeting of civilians by an irregular group has a political benefit in conveying to the civilians that they cannot live within a bubble detached from the oppressed. It's an argument that's come up a mind-numbing amount of times within this very thread, in fact.

There is also the fact that military lives are typically "budgeted in" among civilians; if a soldier dies, so what. They're a soldier, dying is their job. Write a country song about how brave and cool they were.

Usually it's to convince those civilians that it's more worthwhile to pressure their politicians towards peace & justice than risk getting cafe bombed. The calculus is a bit more warped here, in that it generally makes Israel act much more odiously in a way that alienates the rest of the world (see: live death counter, tiktoks mocking Gazans, callous "tell Hamas to surrender" posts under pictures of dead children, lawn chairs & popcorn, aggressively unfunny BBC parodies, etc) rather than pursue peace. To their credit, the families of the hostages are pressuring Israel to accept a deal with Hamas.

There is, of course, the opportunity for this to backfire insofar as if the attack is severe enough it can cause the international public to greenlight the oppressors' actions. And that seemed to be the case with regards to a ground invasion early on, in response to Oct 7...."Luckily" Israel instead opted to slaughter a shitload of civilians, turn off all utilities, level half of Gaza, and start talking like a JRPG adaptation of Hitler. Burned through their goodwill in record time.

You can come to your own argument as to whether it's an effective tactic, or if it's too amoral, of course.
Yeah it definitely seems like the attack created a lot of pressure towards peace and justice within Israel. Excellent point that is in no way unhinged and utterly detached from reality

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

Bel Shazar posted:

It would be a bad idea to announce that you're about to escalate the fighting.

It'll likely be the usual show of support and request to stop the bombing, with a veiled threat of doing more if things stay hot.

The thing with groups like Hezbollah is that you can't be -too- peaceful when this sort of thing happens, because half of your cred comes from being the defender of poor muslims against military oppression. But you also can't be gung-ho and open up at any provocation because Lebanon is already a barely-existing shitshow, and they supply a small thread of hospitals and aid services that make a huge difference across southern Lebanin that could easily be overwhelmed in a real war and gently caress things majorly for their local support base.

So it's a paradox in which you attract people with the banner of being the bold warrior but keep your place in society by having to offer a minimum of governance. Not a needle most hotheads can thread, but here we are.

Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011

Mean Baby posted:

I knew you would answer in the negative. Answer in the positive. What should Hamas do?

Why, are they waiting for my orders?

If I had whatever power Hamas has right now I'd try to save as many people as I could from the bombing by sheltering them, giving them medical care and aid, etc. I'd try a hostage negotiation to get a ceasefire, aid, release of Palestinian prisoners, whatever I could get there.

Hamas killing all those civilians on Oct 7 was evil, it's evil that the Israeli right installed them into power, and now they're doing evil in the name of getting them out of power. It's all evil because it's the mass infliction of suffering which predictably only entrenches more suffering.

Civilized Fishbot fucked around with this message at 01:24 on Oct 30, 2023

Mean Baby
May 28, 2005

Civilized Fishbot posted:

Why, are they waiting for my orders?

If I had whatever power Hamas has right now I'd try to save as many people as I could from the bombing by sheltering them, giving them medical care and aid, etc. I'd try a hostage negotiation to get a ceasefire, aid, release of Palestinian prisoners, whatever I could get there.

Hamas killing all those civilians on Oct 7 was evil, it's evil that the Israeli right installed them into power, and now they're doing evil in the name of getting them out of power.

So no military response whatsoever? What is the proper response to being in a concentration camp? Should they ask nicely to be let out?

Algund Eenboom
May 4, 2014

i fly airplanes posted:

You are again blaming the victim. People are targeting Jews, and in this case, likely Israelis, as it's a flight from Israel.

People angered at Israel's government or not, there is no excuse to target innocent civilians, this distinction should be obvious. And the Russian Muslims (note they are not Palestinians) in this case are not clean from responsibility. There is as much rhetoric and incitement coming from Arab and Palestinian media as there is Jewish and Israeli media to fuel these actions.

I meant not related to Israel in that it didn't take place in Israel.

Nobody is ignoring "literal loving genocide" in the thread here. There's nonstop coverage of Palestine.

Why have you placed the word genocide in quotes?

i fly airplanes
Sep 6, 2010


I STOLE A PIE FROM ESTELLE GETTY

Algund Eenboom posted:

Why have you placed the word genocide in quotes?

Quoting the original goon poster

mannerup
Jan 11, 2004

♬ I Know You're Dying Trying To Figure Me Out♬

♬My Name's On The Tip Of Your Tongue Keep Running Your Mouth♬

♬You Want The Recipe But Can't Handle My Sound My Sound My Sound♬

♬No Matter What You Do Im Gonna Get It Without Ya♬

♬ I Know You Ain't Used To A Female Alpha♬
.

mannerup fucked around with this message at 18:49 on Nov 5, 2023

DeadlyMuffin
Jul 3, 2007

Mean Baby posted:

Are you sure about that? Israel was already committed to ethnic cleansing and there was clearly no alternative within Israel. The alternative for Gaza was what, exactly?

You're asking me to predict the future. I can't say for sure that this has been a gigantic step back for peace between Israel and Palestine but it sure looks like one where I'm sitting now.

Divestment and sanctions worked against apartheid South Africa. If you are asking me, personally, as a non expert what I think, that is the model I would try and follow. That kind of thing requires the sympathy of the international community to be on your side. The Hamas attack was counterproductive if that's the goal, in my opinion.

Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011

Mean Baby posted:

So no military response whatsoever? What is the proper response to being in a concentration camp? Should they ask nicely to be let out?

How should I know what a military response would look like, or accomplish? If they go to war they should not kill a lot of civilians.

I don't know what you're looking for here, a complete five-year operations scheme for Hamas, written by a dude in America? All I can really say is that they shouldn't kill a lot of civilians.

I really just think it's hosed up to kill a lot of civilians. It's a war crime, it's hosed up when Israel does it, it's hosed up when my country does it, it's not suddenly cool when Hamas does it.

If that's dumb, you should just explain how, instead of asking me to answer questions that obviously neither of us can answer in a useful way.

Civilized Fishbot fucked around with this message at 01:38 on Oct 30, 2023

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Irony Be My Shield posted:

Yeah it definitely seems like the attack created a lot of pressure towards peace and justice within Israel.

With all due respect, I don't think anyone outside Israel has any belief that Israel is going to be pressured towards peace in any way that doesn't involve a defeat. The last person to suggest peace-not even a peace between equals, considering how West Bank got chopped up by Oslo-was murdered. I don't think any serious Palestinian group is thinking about how they can win Israeli hearts and minds. That's why I mentioned the warped calculus; instead of nudging Israel towards peace, it nudges them towards globally abhorrent reactions that make the public (if not the governments) turn away from them.

It would have been very bloody for Israel, but after October 7th, they had the goodwill to go into Gaza and execute pretty much anyone who's worked for Hamas (under the assumption that the IDF are actually a competent ground force that could do this). They opted instead to turn both Israel & US cooperation radioactive in the Middle East. It's the kind of strategy that only works if you know that your opponent is insane and prone to disproportionate reactions specifically aimed at civilians. Lucky for Hamas.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply