Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Rand Brittain
Mar 25, 2013

"Go on until you're stopped."

World Famous W posted:

only poll i care about is who the american public thinks is the best physical lover in mainline final fantasy

I honestly want it to be Thancred, because he's actually had sex with more than one person, on purpose, and the narrative tends to poo poo on him for this fact because JRPGs fundamentally do not respect horny people.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



The Dems are committing political malpractice if they don’t at least run on national abortion rights next year

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



Rand Brittain posted:

I honestly want it to be Thancred, because he's actually had sex with more than one person, on purpose, and the narrative tends to poo poo on him for this fact because JRPGs fundamentally do not respect horny people.

Thancred always seems incredibly romantic and soft with his lovers from what I can see.

Lmao the House is absolutely going to throw out some batshit this week

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Nelson Mandingo posted:

Roem is apparently predicted to win. So Virginia is locked up for dems. I can see why Youngkin is against abortion, when his presidential aspirations were terminated before viable.

Tonight was a victory march. I can only hope that republicans double down on abortion next year.

Where are you seeing that it's locked up? 10 races are called for Democrats, 8 races are called for Republicans, and 21 are needed for a majority. Roem was favored to win. These are the five races that are likely going to determine the outcome, and none of them has been officially called yet:



Edit: To be clear, I hope you're right, but I think your call is very premature.

Anno
May 10, 2017

I'm going to drown! For no reason at all!

Not the biggest deal tonight but I really hate the pattern of how votes come in now. Right out the gate it's usually huge blue waves as early votes get tallied, then it's nothing but lovely red counties coming in 3-5k at a clip to probably swing it back the other way, then a restless night of sleep to see how votes from counties where people actually live shake out. It sucks.

Zore
Sep 21, 2010
willfully illiterate, aggressively miserable sourpuss whose sole raison d’etre is to put other people down for liking the wrong things

B B posted:

Where are you seeing that it's locked up? 10 races are called for Democrats, 8 races are called for Republicans, and 21 are needed for a majority. Roem was favored to win. These are the five races that are likely going to determine the outcome, and none of them has been officially called yet:



Edit: To be clear, I hope you're right, but I think your call is very premature.

They're basing it on the Crystal Ball people on Twitter who are calling 16, 24 and 31 for the Dems based on the fact that that what's remaining is mostly early vote which leans overwhelmingly D.

Ages
Feb 20, 2005

Its just half the puffin juice and the puffin lives and doesnt mind. I promise!
Fun Shoe
Here's Wasserman's latest tweets on the state of Virginia's senate races

https://x.com/Redistrict/status/1722067671947083900?s=20

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




Ben Tribbett, so you're right it's nothing official. And could definitely turn out wrong. But tonight has generally pretty much gone dems way as it is, so far.

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Zore posted:

They're basing it on the Crystal Ball people on Twitter who are calling 16, 24 and 31 for the Dems based on the fact that that what's remaining is mostly early vote which leans overwhelmingly D.

Fair enough. Also just saw this:

https://twitter.com/samshirazim/status/1722065992229048659

Good news overall. Hope the trend holds.

E:

Nelson Mandingo posted:

Ben Tribbett, so you're right it's nothing official. And could definitely turn out wrong. But tonight has generally pretty much gone dems way as it is, so far.

Thanks for clarifying!

Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011

i am a moron posted:

R value = 0 on this apparently so who cares. I’m so tired of this election stuff being four years long.

What's "R value" in this context?

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.
Please don't give me false hope, guys.

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"

Civilized Fishbot posted:

What's "R value" in this context?

There was an article the last few pages that found there is no correlation between polls 300 days from an election and the actual election results. r value of 0. And we’re even farther out than that analysis looked, not that it really matters to begin with because you can still ignore this stuff in two months.

Pobrecito
Jun 16, 2020

hasta que la muerte nos separe

zoux posted:

Close races are bad for business. Emerson had the KY gov race at Cameron +1 last week.

https://twitter.com/umichvoter/status/1722059530928804070

This is the woman who got revenge porned by the state GOP. Her polling in the immediate aftermath of that oppo drop was abysmal, though I haven't seen recent numbers

e: also I'm not calling it a commonwealth as long as there's a Goochland county there, fake state

Is it revenge porn if you're uhhh having sex on camera on a publicly available cam model website?

Not judging or anything, but like that seems to be a wild stretch of the usage of that term.

Byzantine
Sep 1, 2007

Oh thank god, Beshear won.

Crunch Buttsteak
Feb 26, 2007

You think reality is a circle of salt around my brain keeping witches out?

Pobrecito posted:

Is it revenge porn if you're uhhh having sex on camera on a publicly available cam model website?

Not judging or anything, but like that seems to be a wild stretch of the usage of that term.

It's revenge porn in the colloquial sense and not the legal sense. It was definitely used by the GOP as "you can't vote for this slut".

World Famous W posted:

only poll i care about is who the american public thinks is the best physical lover in mainline final fantasy

Listen, I know that the Something Awful forums are a different place than they were 15 years ago, but I still don't think we're ready for the full discussion as to why Freya is at least in the top 3

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.

Pobrecito posted:

Is it revenge porn if you're uhhh having sex on camera on a publicly available cam model website?

Not judging or anything, but like that seems to be a wild stretch of the usage of that term.

Well, I don't think if it's totally kosher to cap images from that without authorization and start distributing those images without the creator's permission.

Eric Cantonese
Dec 21, 2004

You should hear my accent.
Is Steiner Jewish?

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"
I choose to believe Issue 1 broke so hard for the yes’s because of DeWine and his wife’s terrible commercial. Good job Ohio I sincerely hope this signals a change that’s going to happen here.

Ages
Feb 20, 2005

Its just half the puffin juice and the puffin lives and doesnt mind. I promise!
Fun Shoe
local VA forecaster that Wasserman recommended earlier in the night calling SD-31 for the dems

https://x.com/ChazNuttycombe/status/1722069776841769039?s=20

Staluigi
Jun 22, 2021

Byzantine posted:

Oh thank god, Beshear won.

i am definitely not getting any hints of "clearly bad omen" with the election results so far, and this is a big part of that so far

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




Eric Cantonese posted:

Please don't give me false hope, guys.

Like, dems have won pretty much everything tonight? The only thing that is not 100% official so far is issue #2 in Ohio (legal weed) and Virginia. I'd bet on Virginia over Ohio at this point.

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound
https://x.com/HeerJeet/status/1722072413251174518?s=20

B B
Dec 1, 2005

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722072374718169538

:hellyeah:

Abortion rights live in Virginia.

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"
Men aged 18-44 voted 69/31 in favor of issue 1, women 18-44 voted 77/23 in favor of issue 1. Older men 47/53 and older women 53/47. What a stark generational divide. Keep moving to Florida you shitbirds

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



i am a moron posted:

Men aged 18-44 voted 69/31 in favor of issue 1, women 18-44 voted 77/23 in favor of issue 1. Older men 47/53 and older women 53/47. What a stark generational divide. Keep moving to Florida you shitbirds

Yes, please go to Florida shitbirds.

HisMajestyBOB
Oct 21, 2010


College Slice

I love to do drugs and watch porn with transpeople while performing abortions.

Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005





Nelson Mandingo
Mar 27, 2005




NYT apparently called Ohio Issue #2. That's a clean sweep ladies and gentlemen.

...I'm more than a little suspicious of these Trump way up polls.

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



Nelson Mandingo posted:

NYT apparently called Ohio Issue #2. That's a clean sweep ladies and gentlemen.

...I'm more than a little suspicious of these Trump way up polls.

Gotta sell the horse race!

Farchanter
Jun 15, 2008
I'm going to spend the night F5ing the Pennsylvania Supreme Court race, since that's both my local election and another big bellwether.

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Pobrecito posted:

Is it revenge porn if you're uhhh having sex on camera on a publicly available cam model website?

Not judging or anything, but like that seems to be a wild stretch of the usage of that term.

I'm not going to get too hung up on the definition of revenge porn, but this is the kind of ad the Republicans were running:



It was very obvious slut-shaming of a woman who *gasp* had sex with her husband.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



There 7 types of love according to the Greek philosophers everybody, plenty of room for everybody's favorites in the other 6 even with Steiner being the obvious king of Eros. Beatrix is a very lucky lady.

i am a moron
Nov 12, 2020

"I think if there’s one thing we can all agree on it’s that Penn State and Michigan both suck and are garbage and it’s hilarious Michigan fans are freaking out thinking this is their natty window when they can’t even beat a B12 team in the playoffs lmao"
In hyper local news the dude running for the local school board ranting about Marxism and litter boxes got embarrassed and we retained all of our qualified, service-oriented professionals. Kind of annoying the moms for liberty jerks who lost last time didn’t run and we still get these kinds of people on the ballot. Feels like just a matter of time before having to vote for 3 candidates at a time nets someone a W because of their spot on the ballot or something equally goofy.

Edit: dang a school board nearby that has been electing weird conservatives to the BOE for a while just elected competent people. I hope the people voting like this right now are motivated again in a year. Could be huge for state level politics.

i am a moron fucked around with this message at 03:27 on Nov 8, 2023

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


I'm wondering why the kept the "with husband" in there instead of implying something more scandalous

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



brugroffil posted:

I'm wondering why the kept the "with husband" in there instead of implying something more scandalous

Unfortunately the GOP at all levels seems incapable of running personal attack ads like this without making the target sound way cooler than they actually are

Crunch Buttsteak
Feb 26, 2007

You think reality is a circle of salt around my brain keeping witches out?

i am a moron posted:

In hyper local news the dude running for the local school board ranting about Marxism and litter boxes got embarrassed and we retained all of our qualified, service-oriented professionals. Kind of annoying the moms for liberty jerks who lost last time didn’t run and we still get these kinds of people on the ballot. Feels like just a matter of time before having to vote for 3 candidates at a time nets someone a W because of their spot on the ballot or something equally goofy.

Edit: dang a school board nearby that has been electing weird conservatives to the BOE for a while just elected competent people. I hope the people voting like this right now are motivated again in a year. Could be huge for state level politics.

I'm curious to see how long this manufactured evangelical "bum-rush the school board with right-wing grievances to take it over" strategy is gonna last. Like yes there are a few "successes" here and there but even in the high-profile cases where MAGA types take over school boards and start banning books and pride flags, it seems like virtually everyone in the school district goes "wow this sucks complete rear end" if you put a microphone in front of them.

Blue Footed Booby
Oct 4, 2006

got those happy feet

Crunch Buttsteak posted:

....

Listen, I know that the Something Awful forums are a different place than they were 15 years ago, but I still don't think we're ready for the full discussion as to why Freya is at least in the top 3

:haibrow:

Virginia also has a ton of local races for poo poo like school board. This is one of the states where Republicans are leaning hard into fighting against woke in schools, with the northern counties straight-up ignoring guidelines from governor Youngkin, who wants them to systematically misgender trans kids, etc.

This one is theoretically a non partisan election, but the top three (there are three seats open) are all Dem endorsed.

Agents are GO!
Dec 29, 2004

Professor Beetus posted:

Bodyholes posted:

The funny thing is without gerrymandering Republicans would almost never have the House. It's the one branch of government that actually represents the national electorate... except for all the gerrymandered red and swing states.
Yeah, and if not for the electoral college, they'd probably never hold the executive again.

And if it wasn't for my horse, I wouldn't have spent that year in college.

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Crunch Buttsteak posted:

I'm curious to see how long this manufactured evangelical "bum-rush the school board with right-wing grievances to take it over" strategy is gonna last. Like yes there are a few "successes" here and there but even in the high-profile cases where MAGA types take over school boards and start banning books and pride flags, it seems like virtually everyone in the school district goes "wow this sucks complete rear end" if you put a microphone in front of them.

One quick note about this related to Virginia elections. There was a very big controversy in Hanover County earlier this year about an unelected school board banning a bunch of books:

https://richmond.com/news/local/edu...7c8e1b95ca.html

Hanover is a *heavily* Republican county, but it pissed off enough of their residents that a ballot proposition for direct election of school board members is currently winning by a decent margin:

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

small butter
Oct 8, 2011

I keep saying this: the Democrats' overperformance in special elections will translate to the general. Midterms were a disaster for the GOP when the party in power almost always gets crushed. They keep losing special elections in loving 2023, an off off year. This is when the GOP is supposed to be making gains. They couldn't do it in 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023, and they will do it with Trump on trial in 2024? Bullshit! People won't vote for Biden after voting for every other Democratic centrist? Bullshit!

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply