(Thread IKs:
fatherboxx)
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Despite the best efforts to placate and/or scare relatives of the mobilised Russian soldiers, discontent may still be slowly growing. https://istories.media/news/2023/11/28/vernite-muzha-ya-zabalas-rodstvenniki-rossiiskikh-mobilizovannikh-zapustili-avtomobilnii-fleshmob/ Stickers say things like 'GiVe back my huZband, I'm f*cking tired' (note the use of the pro-war Z and V symbols). The photos don't look photoshopped, although I wouldn't be entirely surprised if it's at least in part Ukrainian psyops. The tg channel behind it is not particularly popular with only 22k subscribers but if even half of the audience are actual relatives of soldiers, it's not an insignificant number. quote:According to the Telegram channel, the idea of the organised action appeared after photos of cars with similar stickers in Russian regions began to be published in social networks. The appeal in question was really hammering the fact that a lot of convicts, even actual devil worshippers and cannibals, were already home, while regular mobilised soldiers were still on the front lines with no rotation planned. In Ukraine, there are also occasional protests by relatives of AFU soldiers, but they are very sporadic and mostly either about conditions in specific units or reminders about those who are still MIA or were captured rather than a unified action against mobilisation. The peak I think was actually last year, and now it's maybe once a month relatives having a meeting with their local MR. Paladinus fucked around with this message at 20:15 on Nov 28, 2023 |
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Nov 28, 2023 17:19
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alex314 posted:I've watched a couple interviews he's done and he is very non-confrontantional with his guests. In a sense it's worse than Joe Rogan. Joe's brain is probably fried from all the weird stuff he's tried, so he might just go along with whatever tale the guest spins as long as it's enjoyable. Who knows, it might be werereptiles from Sirius. Yes, exactly. I'm assuming the fact that Lex rarely pushes back is one of the reasons he gets some of the guests that he does. He's either incredibly naive, cowardly, or his schtick is 100% true, and he's willing to talk to anyone from any side of things and give them a platform. The worst part is that some of these conversations could actually be very interesting if he questioned some of the things people were saying to him.
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Nov 28, 2023 17:40
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And now for something completely different but related: Here is a fun little experiement. I build a Custom GPT to be my Global Insights Analyst ( https://chat.openai.com/g/g-qCsYIoWDT-global-insights-analyst ) that can for example provide future scenarios for world events. I tried it out on the Russian invasion of Ukraine to give a best guess for when a ceasefire might happen. Based on its analyze the period of 2026-2028 is the most likely period for a ceasefire, with 2027 being most likely year for it to happen. 4 more years of war. You can see the analysis below. This was not a very sophisticated sets of prompts and therefore it is somewhat rudimentary - It could interesting to explore this some more with you guys. Try it out - Its quite fun to jerk around with for different conflicts, scenarios, wargaming and such. It only requires a subscriptionPlus in OpenAI. ==== "Analyze the current geopolitical situation in Ukraine GPT The geopolitical situation in Ukraine, as of late 2023, remains a focal point of international relations, reflecting complex historical, regional, and global dynamics. The ongoing conflict, which began in 2014 with Russia's annexation of Crimea and escalated significantly with Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, continues to have far-reaching implications. Historical Context Post-Soviet Dynamics: Ukraine's path since the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 has been marked by efforts to establish a distinct national identity and orientation. This journey has been punctuated by internal divisions, particularly between the western regions, which generally favor closer ties with Europe, and the eastern regions, where Russian influence is more pronounced. Euromaidan and Crimea: The Euromaidan protests of 2013-2014, triggered by a pivot away from European integration towards closer ties with Russia, resulted in a change in Ukrainian leadership. This shift was followed by Russia's annexation of Crimea and the outbreak of conflict in Eastern Ukraine, with the self-proclamation of the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics. Current Conflict Dynamics Military Aspect: The conflict has evolved from a localized, albeit intense, struggle in Eastern Ukraine into a full-scale war following Russia's invasion in 2022. The war has seen significant urban battles, such as in Mariupol, and the extensive use of artillery and aerial bombardment. Humanitarian Impact: The war has caused immense human suffering, including civilian casualties, massive displacement, and widespread destruction of infrastructure. The United Nations and various NGOs continue to report severe humanitarian crises in the conflict zones. International Ramifications NATO and EU Response: The invasion has led to a significant shift in NATO and European Union policies, with increased defense spending, the provision of military aid to Ukraine, and heightened sanctions against Russia. Global Political Realignments: The conflict has prompted a reevaluation of alliances and partnerships worldwide, with countries like Finland and Sweden seeking NATO membership and others reassessing their foreign policy priorities. Economic and Energy Impacts: Sanctions against Russia and the war itself have disrupted global energy markets, particularly in Europe, which was heavily reliant on Russian gas. This has led to a broader discussion about energy security and the transition to renewable sources. Future Scenarios Prolonged Conflict: The possibility of a prolonged stalemate exists, with neither side able to achieve decisive victory. This scenario would likely involve continued military, economic, and diplomatic pressures. Negotiated Settlement: Though challenging given the current stances of both parties, a negotiated settlement may eventually emerge, possibly mediated by international actors. The terms of such a settlement would be critical and potentially very contentious. Escalation or Spillover: There is a risk of the conflict escalating further or spilling over into neighboring regions, which would have significant implications for regional and global stability. Conclusion In summary, the situation in Ukraine is a vivid example of how historical grievances, national ambitions, and international politics can converge to create a complex and volatile conflict. The ongoing war not only affects the immediate region but also has profound implications for international security architecture, energy politics, and the global order. User What are the scenarios for the full scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia? GPT The full-scale invasion of Ukraine by Russia, initiated in February 2022, presents a range of potential future scenarios. These scenarios are contingent upon a variety of factors including military developments, international responses, internal dynamics within Russia and Ukraine, and broader geopolitical shifts. It is essential to consider these scenarios within the framework of international relations theory, particularly realism's emphasis on power dynamics, liberal perspectives on international cooperation and institutions, and constructivist views on the role of national identity and narratives. Continued Stalemate Description: This scenario envisages a protracted conflict with neither side able to secure a decisive military victory. It may involve periodic escalations and de-escalations, with shifting frontlines but no significant change in control. Implications: Prolonged human suffering and economic strain for Ukraine; sustained military and economic costs for Russia; ongoing regional instability; and continued involvement and support from Western nations and international organizations. Escalation Potential Forms: Escalation could take various forms, including wider use of conventional military forces, targeting of new regions in Ukraine, or the introduction of more advanced weaponry. Implications: Increased risk of direct confrontation between Russia and NATO, particularly if NATO territories are threatened; heightened humanitarian crisis; and further destabilization of the global order. Negotiated Settlement Pathways: A settlement could arise from mutual exhaustion, effective diplomacy, or significant shifts in the military balance. The terms would likely revolve around territorial control, security guarantees, and political status. Implications: Potential stabilization in the region; significant political and diplomatic negotiations over the future of Ukraine; potential for long-term peacekeeping and reconstruction efforts. Decisive Military Outcome Russian Victory: A scenario where Russian forces achieve their strategic objectives, potentially leading to significant territorial gains or a change in Ukrainian governance. Ukrainian Victory: Ukraine successfully repels Russian forces and retains its sovereignty, possibly regaining control over contested areas like Donbas and Crimea. Implications: A decisive outcome in either direction would have profound implications for the regional balance of power, the future of NATO and EU policies, and the international norms regarding state sovereignty and territorial integrity. Spillover into Wider Conflict Nature: The conflict could extend beyond Ukraine's borders, either through deliberate actions or accidental escalations, involving neighboring countries or broader regional powers. Implications: A widened conflict risks a broader European or even global confrontation, challenging the existing international security architecture and potentially leading to a major international crisis. Conclusion The future of the conflict in Ukraine remains highly uncertain and subject to numerous variables. Each scenario presents distinct challenges and implications for international stability, security, and the rule of law. The international community's response, particularly from key actors like the United States, European Union, and NATO, as well as Russia's strategic calculations and Ukraine's resilience and strategic choices, will be critical in shaping the trajectory of this conflict. 3 / 3 User What year should we expect a ceasefire happening in Ukraine? GPT Predicting the exact timing of a ceasefire in the conflict in Ukraine involves considerable uncertainty due to the complex and dynamic nature of the situation. Ceasefires in international conflicts are typically the result of a confluence of military, political, and diplomatic factors, and the situation in Ukraine is influenced by a myriad of internal and external variables. Key factors to consider include: Military Dynamics: The situation on the battlefield significantly influences the willingness of parties to negotiate. If one side gains a decisive advantage, it may push for more favorable terms, delaying a ceasefire. Conversely, a military stalemate or attrition could incentivize parties to seek a ceasefire. Domestic Pressures: Domestic political situations in Russia and Ukraine, including public opinion and internal political dynamics, will influence each government's approach to a ceasefire. International Diplomacy: The role of international actors, including the United States, European Union, NATO, and potentially others like China or Turkey, in facilitating or pressuring for a ceasefire is crucial. Economic Factors: The economic impact of the conflict, including sanctions on Russia and the cost of the war for Ukraine, might push parties towards negotiation. Unforeseen Events: As with any conflict, unforeseen developments, such as changes in leadership, political upheavals, or significant military incidents, could rapidly alter the trajectory towards a ceasefire. Given these variables, it is challenging to predict a specific year for a ceasefire with certainty. Historical precedents suggest that high-intensity conflicts can continue for several years, especially when they involve deep-seated political issues and significant external support, as is the case with Ukraine. In essence, while a ceasefire could occur in the short term if certain conditions align, the complex nature of the Ukraine conflict suggests that a longer duration might be more likely, potentially extending over several years. The evolving nature of international relations and the conflict itself necessitates continuous monitoring and analysis to update any predictions regarding a ceasefire. 4 / 4 User Please provide a thorough and well thought out analysis of the paths to a ceasefire including a best guess of a specific year. GPT Predicting the specific year for a ceasefire in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine requires a careful analysis of various factors and potential pathways that could lead to such an outcome. These pathways hinge on a combination of military, political, diplomatic, and economic factors, both within the warring nations and in the international arena. Pathways to a Ceasefire 1. Military Stalemate or Exhaustion Description: Both sides may reach a point where continued fighting yields diminishing returns or becomes unsustainable due to military losses, logistical challenges, or troop fatigue. Implications for Ceasefire: A stalemate often prompts belligerents to consider diplomatic solutions, including ceasefires, as a more viable option than ongoing conflict. 2. Domestic Political Changes Description: Shifts in political leadership or public opinion within Russia or Ukraine could alter the course of the conflict. Implications for Ceasefire: New leadership or mounting public pressure against the war could lead to a reevaluation of war goals and openness to negotiation. 3. Escalation and International Intervention Description: An escalation in fighting or atrocities could trigger increased international involvement, either through direct intervention or heightened diplomatic pressure. Implications for Ceasefire: International intervention, especially from major powers or organizations like the UN, NATO, or the EU, could push warring parties towards a ceasefire, especially if accompanied by strong economic sanctions or security guarantees. 4. Economic Pressures Description: The economic toll of the war on Russia, Ukraine, and even globally (especially in energy and food markets) may reach a critical point. Implications for Ceasefire: Economic strain can incentivize governments to seek ceasefire agreements to alleviate financial burdens and stabilize economies. 5. Successful Diplomatic Negotiations Description: Diplomatic efforts, potentially involving third-party mediators, could yield a framework for peace. Implications for Ceasefire: Effective diplomacy could address key issues like territorial disputes, security concerns, and political recognition, paving the way for a ceasefire. Predicting the Timing Given these pathways, we can consider potential timelines: Short-Term Scenario (2024-2025): This would require a rapid convergence of factors such as a military stalemate, significant diplomatic breakthroughs, and strong international pressure. This scenario seems optimistic given the current trajectory of the conflict. Medium-Term Scenario (2026-2028): A more plausible timeframe, allowing for gradual shifts in military dynamics, political climates, and economic pressures. This period could see the accumulation of war fatigue, domestic political changes, and the maturation of diplomatic efforts. Long-Term Scenario (Beyond 2028): If the conflict becomes protracted, with parties adapting to sustained warfare, a ceasefire might be delayed. This scenario would likely involve entrenched positions and the normalization of the conflict in international relations, requiring a significant shift to break the impasse. Conclusion Considering these factors and scenarios, a tentative prediction would be the medium-term scenario, possibly between 2026 and 2028. This timeframe allows for the evolution of military and political dynamics, the impact of economic pressures, and the development of effective diplomatic channels. However, it is crucial to underscore the high degree of uncertainty in such predictions, as unforeseen events or shifts in the conflict's dynamics could significantly alter this timeline. User Could you please do more research on this including using the web? GPT The current geopolitical landscape of the Ukraine conflict, as analyzed through various expert perspectives and recent developments, suggests a complex and uncertain path to a ceasefire. Here's a synthesis of the key insights from multiple sources: Expert Predictions and Analysis Protracted Conflict: Analysts generally agree that the conflict is likely to be prolonged. Predictions range from it lasting "long months" to several years, or even becoming "interminable." The war's high costs, both in terms of lives and economics, are significant factors in this assessment. This aligns with historical patterns of interstate conflicts, where wars of this length and complexity often become protracted. Stalemate Scenario: The conflict is increasingly being viewed as a war of attrition, with neither side able to claim an outright victory. Ukraine, while showing strong defense capabilities, is unlikely to cede its eastern territories currently occupied by Russia, nor is Russia expected to withdraw to pre-war borders. This situation is described as the "ultimate definition of a stalemate". Economic and Military Strains: Russia faces significant economic challenges, particularly due to Western sanctions and the loss of European energy markets. This economic strain, combined with reports of Russia running low on ammunition and equipment, suggests increasing difficulties for Russia to sustain its military campaign. However, Ukraine's reliance on external support is also a crucial factor. Nuclear Threats: The nuclear dimension remains a critical concern. Russian President Putin's reliance on nuclear threats for coercion and as a means to deter NATO intervention continues to be a major factor. The threat of nuclear weapon use, particularly if Russia faces defeat on the battlefield, adds a dangerous element to the conflict's trajectory. International Support and Resilience: The role of international support, especially from NATO and the U.S., is significant in sustaining Ukraine's war effort. The continuous flow of aid and military support from the West is pivotal. At the same time, Ukrainian resilience, both military and civilian, is a key factor in the conflict's dynamics. Potential Russian Military Challenges: Reports of low morale, faulty equipment, and logistical issues in the Russian military, alongside the potential for internal strife and mutiny, could significantly impact Russia's military capabilities in 2023. Current Peace Negotiation Prospects: As of mid-2023, the UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres noted the absence of immediate prospects for a comprehensive ceasefire or peace negotiations, citing the conviction of both sides in their ability to win the conflict. Conclusion and Forecast Given these factors, predicting a specific year for a ceasefire remains highly challenging. The complex interplay of military stalemate, economic and military strains, the nuclear threat, international support dynamics, and the resilience of Ukrainian forces suggests a conflict that is likely to extend into the medium term, potentially beyond 2023. The scenario most consistent with current analyses and expert opinions points towards a prolonged conflict, potentially lasting several more years. A ceasefire in the short term, such as in 2023, appears unlikely given the current dynamics. A more realistic timeframe might be in the medium term, possibly between 2024 and 2026, assuming significant shifts occur in the factors mentioned above. However, this forecast is subject to change based on evolving circumstances on the ground and in the international arena. Which year from 2026 to 2028 would be the most likely year for a ceasefire to happen? GPT Determining the most likely year for a ceasefire in the Ukraine conflict between 2026 and 2028 requires a nuanced understanding of the conflict's dynamics and an acknowledgment of the inherent uncertainties. Based on current analyses and expert opinions, we can attempt to assess the likelihood for each of these years, keeping in mind that this assessment is speculative and subject to change based on future developments. Assessment for Each Year 2026 Prospects: This year might be the earliest in the medium-term scenario for a potential ceasefire. By this time, the accumulated effects of economic sanctions on Russia, military attrition, and possibly evolving public opinion in both Russia and Ukraine could shift the calculus towards negotiations. Challenges: It may still be too soon for significant changes in military stalemate or political will, especially if both sides retain hope of achieving more favorable outcomes through continued conflict. 2027 Prospects: By 2027, the prolonged nature of the conflict would likely have exacerbated economic, social, and military strains on both sides. The increased cost of sustaining the conflict, both in terms of resources and human lives, could push parties towards a ceasefire. Challenges: If there are ongoing fluctuations in the conflict's dynamics or if external support (especially for Ukraine) remains robust, it might prolong the willingness to continue fighting. 2028 Prospects: By 2028, the likelihood of conflict fatigue affecting both the military and civilian populations significantly increases. The long duration might lead to a stronger push from the international community for a resolution, and internal pressures within Russia and Ukraine could favor a ceasefire. Challenges: The risk here is that the conflict becomes a 'frozen conflict', where a lack of resolution leads to a prolonged impasse without active fighting but also without a formal ceasefire. Conclusion Given these considerations, 2027 might present a slightly higher likelihood for a ceasefire. By this year, the cumulative effects of the conflict could create conditions more conducive to serious negotiations. The economic and military strains, potential shifts in public opinion, and international diplomatic pressures might reach a point where both sides find a ceasefire more advantageous than the continuation of hostilities. However, it is crucial to emphasize that this prediction is highly speculative and contingent upon many variables, including future military developments, international diplomacy, domestic political changes, and economic factors. The situation is fluid and can change rapidly, necessitating continual reassessment of predictions. " (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Nov 28, 2023 21:12
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I ain't reading all that.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:17
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I asked my own GPT and it said your GPT is stupid and got everything wrong. Not going to read it now, sorry.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:28
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I'm sure everybody wants to read whatever word salad your copy/paste machine is willing to provide, keep on trying
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Nov 28, 2023 21:40
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I hate to be the bearer of bad news but a predictive text algorithm does not have any special insight into geopolitical events. I'm glad you're enjoying your hobby though.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:43
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Title: The Elusive Path to Peace: Analyzing the Future Scenarios for a Ceasefire in Ukraine Abstract: The conflict in Ukraine, which escalated dramatically with Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, has emerged as a critical juncture in contemporary international relations. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the potential paths to a ceasefire, evaluating the interplay of diverse factors and speculatively assessing the likelihood of a resolution within a medium-term timeframe. Introduction: The geopolitical landscape in Ukraine is marked by a complex web of historical tensions, regional power dynamics, and global strategic interests. The conflict transcends a mere regional dispute, profoundly impacting international security, economic stability, and the overarching global political order. This analysis explores the multifaceted nature of the conflict, identifying potential routes to a ceasefire and offering a speculative forecast on when such a resolution might be achieved. Historical Context and Current Dynamics: The roots of the conflict trace back to the post-Soviet geopolitical realignments, notably intensified by Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the subsequent full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. This escalation has resulted in severe military confrontations, extensive civilian casualties, and widespread infrastructural destruction. The international response has been significant, with NATO and the EU providing increased defense support to Ukraine and imposing stringent sanctions against Russia, consequently reshaping global alliances and energy politics. Pathways to a Ceasefire: The potential paths to a ceasefire in Ukraine are diverse and complex: 1. Military Stalemate and Exhaustion: Prolonged combat could lead to a military deadlock, compelling both parties to reconsider their strategies and possibly pivot towards diplomatic resolutions. 2. Domestic Political Shifts: Changes in the political landscape within Russia and Ukraine could significantly influence the trajectory of the conflict, potentially opening doors for negotiation. 3. Economic Pressures: The economic burden of the conflict, exacerbated by international sanctions and the overall cost of war, could serve as a catalyst for peace talks. 4. Diplomatic Interventions: The role of international actors and mediators in facilitating negotiations could be pivotal in paving the way towards a ceasefire. Analyzing the Current State of the Conflict: As of late 2023, the conflict continues to be marked by intense military engagements, significant humanitarian challenges, and an ever-evolving international response. The situation on the ground remains fluid, with shifting frontlines and varying degrees of intensity in combat. The humanitarian aspect of the conflict cannot be overstated, with millions of lives disrupted and widespread destruction raising urgent concerns for international aid and support.Predicting the Timing of a Ceasefire: Given the complexity of the conflict and the range of influencing factors, predicting a precise timeframe for a ceasefire is challenging. However, a speculative assessment can be made for the medium term, considering the years 2026 to 2028: • 2026 Prospects: This year marks the earliest within the medium-term range for a possible ceasefire. By this point, the prolonged nature of the conflict could lead to significant shifts in military and political strategies, potentially making negotiations more appealing. • 2027 as a Pivot Point: By 2027, the cumulative effects of prolonged conflict, including economic strains, military attrition, and possible shifts in domestic and international political dynamics, could make a ceasefire more plausible. • 2028 and Beyond: The risk of the conflict becoming a 'frozen conflict' increases by 2028, where an absence of active fighting does not equate to a formal resolution. However, extended conflict fatigue might also encourage both parties to seek a ceasefire. International Responses and Future Implications: The international community's response, particularly from key actors like the United States, European Union, and NATO, as well as Russia's strategic calculations and Ukraine's resilience and strategic choices, will be critical in shaping the trajectory of this conflict. The role of external support, especially military and humanitarian aid, remains a significant factor in the resilience and capabilities of the Ukrainian forces. Conclusion: The path to a ceasefire in the Ukraine conflict is fraught with uncertainties and complexities. While this analysis leans towards 2027 as a marginally more probable year for a ceasefire, it is crucial to approach this forecast with an understanding of the fluidity and unpredictable nature of the situation. The conflict in Ukraine serves as a stark reminder of the intricacies inherent in international conflicts and underscores the need for a vigilant and informed global response.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:46
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That's a lot of words to say, "Who knows?" It's vaguely amusing, but doesn't really add to the conversation.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:50
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This is filler, that's trying to look like analysis. Note the lack of details about.. anything. Probably because it's desperately trying not to make anything up, as AI generators are wont to do.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:51
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Nitrox posted:I'm sure everybody wants to read whatever word salad your copy/paste machine is willing to provide, keep on trying Heh, it was worth a shot. But it does have potential coupled with the right approaches, proper data integrations and maybe some kind of multi agent framework with a delphi based approach. In any case, it is a fun experiment to explore. But I guess this was the wrong thread and crowd, so lets move on.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:51
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Clearly, the solution to every violent conflict is to spam enough output of automated bullshit generators so that both sides come together to bomb OpenAI headquarters.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:52
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Chat AI is not going to provide any useful insight that wasn't already written about by someone else. At best it'll probably mangle it.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:53
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GrevMoror posted:Heh, it was worth a shot. But it does have potential coupled with the right approaches, proper data integrations and maybe some kind of multi agent framework with a delphi based approach. In any case, it is a fun experiment to explore. No it wasn’t and it doesn’t. It’s junk for any serious purposes and the sooner people stop using it, the better. No one gives a poo poo what your robot does.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:54
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GrevMoror posted:Heh, it was worth a shot. But it does have potential coupled with the right approaches, proper data integrations and maybe some kind of multi agent framework with a delphi based approach. In any case, it is a fun experiment to explore. But I guess this was the wrong thread and crowd, so lets move on. It does not, in fact, have any potential. E: My GPT also confirms that it has no potential whatsoever.
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Nov 28, 2023 21:59
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Bizarre to me that psilocybin is more accessible than it has been in generations but nerds are going online to make robots hallucinate about boring poo poo.
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Nov 28, 2023 22:02
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I just checked with my own LLM, it took about 1000 words to tell me that Khomeini will invade Ukraine via Russia, and will also bring Gorbachev along. I figured that was kind of weird but the robot says so.
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Nov 28, 2023 22:04
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I'm somehow reminded of the goon who made a covid virus simulator game then tried to use it to argue the public health response.
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Nov 28, 2023 22:04
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GrevMoror posted:Heh, it was worth a shot. But it does have potential coupled with the right approaches, proper data integrations and maybe some kind of multi agent framework with a delphi based approach. In any case, it is a fun experiment to explore. But I guess this was the wrong thread and crowd, so lets move on. what is there to indicate it's actually predicting something based on novel analysis versus just rewording a couple of think tank pieces that wound up in its corpus? it basically looks like that, albeit lacking a focused argument and the sourcing and authorship context that'd normally inform how others interpret a position paper like you could show it to joe rogan and he'd be like "wow, this thing can use coherent sentences and seems to know more about the conflict than a random fucker off the street. wow. amazing," i guess, but who cares whether joe rogan thinks something sounds well-informed
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Nov 28, 2023 22:10
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mutata posted:Bizarre to me that psilocybin is more accessible than it has been in generations but nerds are going online to make robots hallucinate about boring poo poo. War in Ukraine: Nerds going online to make robots hallucinate boring poo poo
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Nov 28, 2023 22:14
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GrevMoror posted:Heh, it was worth a shot. But it does have potential coupled with the right approaches, proper data integrations and maybe some kind of multi agent framework with a delphi based approach. In any case, it is a fun experiment to explore. But I guess this was the wrong thread and crowd, so lets move on. Knew it was bad when i saw that the typing hand had six fingers. 
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Nov 28, 2023 22:22
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I'm willing to give this a go.quote:What is a funny sarcastic forum thread title that references Ukraine and AI? quote:"AI's Secret Plan to Solve Ukraine Crisis: Teach Politicians How to Share Toys!" quote:"AI Learns Ukrainian: Now Fluent in Political Intrigue and Borscht Recipes" One more time? quote:"AI Learns Geography: Claims Ukraine is the New Silicon Valley, Offers Coding Lessons in Russian Roulette!" 
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Nov 28, 2023 22:22
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Nenonen posted:I'm willing to give this a go. Tried it too quote:"AI Learns Diplomacy from Ukrainian Chickens: How to Avoid a Coop D'etat!" Peak comedy.
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Nov 28, 2023 22:27
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geonetix posted:Tried it too Peak Comedy, the highest of mountains
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Nov 28, 2023 22:31
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I refuse to let robots take my job as a shitposter
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Nov 28, 2023 23:18
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The secret move is to add "in the style of a Warhammer 40K Ork" to your prompt.
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Nov 28, 2023 23:34
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Nenonen posted:
Ok honestly I like this one 
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Nov 28, 2023 23:56
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Qtotonibudinibudet posted:what is there to indicate it's actually predicting something based on novel analysis versus just rewording a couple of think tank pieces that wound up in its corpus? it basically looks like that, albeit lacking a focused argument and the sourcing and authorship context that'd normally inform how others interpret a position paper Laughing at replacing the Turing test with the Rogan test
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Nov 29, 2023 00:17
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OK I humor exception'd a few reports, but lets move on from robot hilarity.whydirt posted:I refuse to let robots take my job as a shitposter Yet another example of robots taking jobs away from hard working Americans.
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Nov 29, 2023 00:19
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I fed 10,000,000 hours of war podcasts into chat gpt and asked it if a ceasefire was immanent
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Nov 29, 2023 01:17
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quote:"AI Learns Geography: Claims Ukraine is the New Silicon Valley, Offers Coding Lessons in Russian Roulette!" I'll admit that this one at least earned a sensible chuckle
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Nov 29, 2023 01:42
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Volmarias posted:I'll admit that this one at least earned a sensible chuckle 
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Nov 29, 2023 01:50
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Okay "Russian Roulette" would be a genuinely good thread title.
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Nov 29, 2023 02:52
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i hadn't seen it posted, but the pbs/frontline documentary on the experience of the ukrainian ap's team during the first 3 weeks of the siege of mauripol is up on youtube. the talk when it was making the festival circuits was that it's a powerful, but hard to watch film i haven't watched myself yet, but the film comes with a viewer discretion advisement, so i'm going to use the  taghttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gvAyykRvPBo edit: i've sat down to watch, and about 15 minutes in there is a dead child on an operating table, and while not graphic, it is not shy about showing the reality of what that looks like. even outside of that scene the general fear of every civilian on camera is distressingly palpable definitely , but also sobering reminder of the sheer hell one man has chosen to unleash solely for his own contemptible vanity
GhostofJohnMuir fucked around with this message at 05:22 on Nov 29, 2023 |
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Nov 29, 2023 03:49
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It's a really hard watch, but I strongly recommend it
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Nov 29, 2023 04:32
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Is it true that whoever was in charge of the military in Mariupol basically sold out the city and that's why it fell so fast? I remember hearing something to that effect.
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Nov 29, 2023 05:38
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Charliegrs posted:Is it true that whoever was in charge of the military in Mariupol basically sold out the city and that's why it fell so fast? I remember hearing something to that effect. Mariupol didn't fall fast? Wth are you talking about. Or did you mean Kherson which is a completely different city in a completely different part of the country?
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Nov 29, 2023 05:44
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i remember more specific accusations of that nature around the capture of kherson, which given how that axis of advance was checked at mykolaiv, the next major town down the highway, the idea might have some validity. don't ever remember seeing those initial suspicions confirmed
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Nov 29, 2023 05:46
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I don’t remember exactly what region it was, but supposedly several army commanders sent their solders out on exercises in the days leading up to the invasion. They refused to recall them even when the soldiers were asking if they should return and set up defensive positions in preparation for an invasion. I believe those commanders also disappeared after the invasion started.
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Nov 29, 2023 05:51
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GhostofJohnMuir posted:i hadn't seen it posted, but the pbs/frontline documentary on the experience of the ukrainian ap's team during the first 3 weeks of the siege of mauripol is up on youtube. the talk when it was making the festival circuits was that it's a powerful, but hard to watch film i went to see one of the irl screenings after watching Barbie earlier. the Barbenheimer crowd aint got poo poo (anti)shoutouts to the guy who used the screening Q&A to ask Chernov "was there anything so gruesome that you felt you could not include it"  anyway ignoring that dude it's a good portrait of the psychological response of the populace and their handling of the situation. serious injuries are blurred fwiw; it's well able to communicate its point through the reactions of the healthcare workers without being visually explicit
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Nov 29, 2023 06:18
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