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The Oldest Man
Jul 28, 2003


holy poo poo lmao

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ughhhh
Oct 17, 2012

BitcoinRockefeller posted:

The best magical super tech is cutting to a new shot so the ship can teleport to a different altitude. Is it a mile up? In low earth orbit? Mountain top height? How about all those and everywhere in between as well.

I mean, the super cool special forces dudes land and deploy a bobcat front loader with arms and missiles at one point so...

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

Ardennes posted:

Napoleon wasn't wandering in with a company to clear out some Belgians. If you want to be anti-war, you have to sap every drop of glory from what you are doing and part of that is believing you are truly invincible.

Full Metal Jacket: What would happen if the the machine gunner got cut in half while he was giving his little psycho speech?

These are good posts. Countering basic assumptions of American invincibility is completely out of the question and why you basically can't make a big budget antiwar movie. Inevitably you have to make your action scenes bad rear end and it doesn't matter if you say in the narrative 'actually what they are doing is wrong' when them doing it needs to be slick and cool.

Which is why I also think basically all war movies are bad to some degree. The better ones just have good or interesting parts but as a whole they typically fall apart. Some of the most critically lauded (Thin Red Line, 1917, Hurt Locker, Empire of the Sun, etc) are usually the ones I dislike the most.

FMJ is a war movie I particularly dislike, because a Vietnam movie shot in England is already insane, but all the changes Kubrick made to the book significantly reduced the antiwar qualities of the narrative and made it overtly simplistic. It also meant we'll probably have to be subjected to R Lee Emery impressions until the end of time.

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...
I don't think WW3 is right around the corner, but earth shattering (for Americans) change may be.

While the US is far from undefeated in warfare since ww2 by any definition, the US has a near perfect record in establishing military bases, outposts, missile systems, and airfields in hundreds of countries across the globe.

Right now there's budget requests and generals giving speeches about establishing permanent military solutions in / near the South China sea.

I think its very possible this effort occurs, results in a limited war, and America is going to be shocked when it doesn't work, and the population is going to be even more surprised when the US doesn't escalate into some hellscape WW3, but is forced to accept the L.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Why would the war be limited?

skooma512
Feb 8, 2012

You couldn't grok my race car, but you dug the roadside blur.

Frosted Flake posted:

I was reading a book about war films, and the short answer is that films through the 1960's were made by people who had been there for an audience that had been there. Now that we're two generations removed, films are not representations of history but representations of cultural memory. So, in the 1950's there were a bunch of, what are now very boring and dry movies, about individual battles, because the writers, directors and often actors, had been there, or at least in the same war. In the 60's, there's a mix. But now?

We'd get something like Guy Richie's Robin Hood, where it's so contemporary that the setting is meaningless



Only it would be the Italian Theatre as Ukraine instead of the Crusades as the Iraq War.

:hmmyes: this tracks.

Now that you mention it, Rob Zacny in a review of COD WW2 said something similar. We’re so far removed from the experience of the war that it just becomes an aesthetic. And then you have characters acting like the military is a career and not something they’re doing temporarily because they have to and want to end ASAP, as in the game.

https://www.vice.com/en/article/pa37bn/watching-history-fade-away-in-call-of-duty-wwii

BillsPhoenix posted:

I don't think WW3 is right around the corner, but earth shattering (for Americans) change may be.

While the US is far from undefeated in warfare since ww2 by any definition, the US has a near perfect record in establishing military bases, outposts, missile systems, and airfields in hundreds of countries across the globe.

Right now there's budget requests and generals giving speeches about establishing permanent military solutions in / near the South China sea.

I think its very possible this effort occurs, results in a limited war, and America is going to be shocked when it doesn't work, and the population is going to be even more surprised when the US doesn't escalate into some hellscape WW3, but is forced to accept the L.

Frosted Flake posted:

Why would the war be limited?



Yeah it would be kinda hilarious to get a no-poo poo WW3, crash out in 6 months of combat, and then sue for peace and shrug. No cataclysm, no apocalypse, no occuption, just another empire in decline.

As for limited. China for example could probably just win by having closer supply lines and the morale boost of fighting in and near your homeland, doesn't have use nukes and trigger MAD. The US will probably want to use WMD if/when they start losing, but MAD may just result in them taking the L and walking away. Who knows.

skooma512 has issued a correction as of 01:24 on Dec 19, 2023

Pulcinella
Feb 15, 2019

Frosted Flake posted:

Why would the war be limited?

No American is going to want to fight unless there is a draft. It's too much hard work, you don't get any treats/Xbox/internet, and the pay sucks. I am being a bit flippant, but Bush did have to resort to Stop-Loss just a few years after the start of the GWOT. If you couldn't get Americans, including some of the most racist chuds, to enlist just a few years after 9/11, ain't nobody going to want to sign up for the meat grinder to protect TSMC's profits.

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...
Ukraine war is limited. Proof of concept, not actually related.

Full scale war would jeopardize Taiwan chips short term. Israel has proven fortress Taiwan has limits.

Americans will start making GBS threads themselves over the trade loss of stuff. Afghanistan/Iraq/Ukraine etc hasn't jeopardized citizens treats. War with China immediately does.

US/NATO ammo supplies are not enough for full scale war with China and Russia maybe.

Taking a loss can be used for political opportunism in the US. 9/11 saw the patriotic act, kicking off a proper cold war with China is ripe with opportunities.

US will be motivated to take a small loss and try to prevent a complete collapse by losing a large war.

And something you/others have brought up - post neoliberal societies (think that was the term) aren't willing to die for their countries at the same level of other cultures, though I think that limits draft potentials more than anything for the US, short term the manpower is there. - pulicenelli above me phrased this better.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

Much like driving NATO to Russia's border, literally containing China is not up to us or rather US to limit - the other side gets a say too.

skooma512 posted:

Now that you mention it, Rob Zacny in a review of COD WW2 said something similar. We’re so far removed from the experience of the war that it just becomes an aesthetic. And then you have characters acting like the military is a career and not something they’re doing temporarily because they have to and want to end ASAP, as in the game.

https://www.vice.com/en/article/pa37bn/watching-history-fade-away-in-call-of-duty-wwii

Excellent review, and you have it exactly.

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...

Frosted Flake posted:

Much like driving NATO to Russia's border, literally containing China is not up to us or rather US to limit - the other side gets a say too.

Excellent review, and you have it exactly.

Yes, and historically there's been minimal willingness to go to war with US over installing forward permanent military installations.

I think Chinas gearing up to do more than draw a line in the sand over the South China Sea.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

What thread gave you the red text?

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

cock hero flux posted:

The US navy tried to do it and the resulting system was extremely expensive and didn't work very well. Because torpedoes are fast the response system needs to be automated, because by the time a human had assessed the threat it would already be too late. Because torpedoes are small and underwater, detecting them requires very sensitive equipment, which is prone to false positives from other random poo poo in the ocean. The combination of these factors meant that the system was constantly reacting to things other than incoming torpedoes to the point where they had to scrap it entirely because it kept firing at random ocean junk and its own escort ships.

They should have used a very expensive pelican breeding program and had them scoop up torpedoes for food.

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

BillsPhoenix posted:

While the US is far from undefeated in warfare since ww2 by any definition, the US has a near perfect record in establishing military bases, outposts, missile systems, and airfields in hundreds of countries across the globe.

This feels kinda like a rich kid who loses money in the stock market every year but keeps getting money from their dad so they claim they are a hot shot trader. Dollar hegemony means the US can dump money on a problem like getting a base built somewhere, but it's harder to determine how much military power it has gained from it. It's similar how the CIA can blow billions on causing mayhem somewhere, but it doesn't mean it was able to achieve any kind of long-term strategic win just because it managed to get a bunch of locals killed.

American economic and cultural dominance was immense in the post ww2 20th century, but its military record was very poor. I wonder if America blowing its load on the economic war vs Russia will end up being more crucial to American decline than losing any number of frontier wars. It seems like it has moved up the timetable on economic and political multipolarity outside of Europe. If America is this bad at military affairs with unlimited money imagine without petrodollar/reserve currency strength.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

FuzzySlippers posted:

This feels kinda like a rich kid who loses money in the stock market every year but keeps getting money from their dad so they claim they are a hot shot trader. Dollar hegemony means the US can dump money on a problem like getting a base built somewhere, but it's harder to determine how much military power it has gained from it. It's similar how the CIA can blow billions on causing mayhem somewhere, but it doesn't mean it was able to achieve any kind of long-term strategic win just because it managed to get a bunch of locals killed.

American economic and cultural dominance was immense in the post ww2 20th century, but its military record was very poor. I wonder if America blowing its load on the economic war vs Russia will end up being more crucial to American decline than losing any number of frontier wars. It seems like it has moved up the timetable on economic and political multipolarity outside of Europe. If America is this bad at military affairs with unlimited money imagine without petrodollar/reserve currency strength.

In this example much like the rich kid everything is funded by debt.

Enormous amounts of never to be repaid debt.

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...
Ukraine debate. It's an interesting thread with lots of merit and debate, but sometimes it gets weird.

Ukraine thread here was much more open to the idea that Russia and moreover Putin has bad motives, Ukraine isn't a monolith culturally and some people want to join Russia, some like Westernized Ukraine, the religious groups and more.

Debate thread... is warming to the idea the US cares more about its own interests than Ukrainian freedom, so I'll take that as encouraging. Israel has really disillusioned a lot of people I know.

Which goes back to limited war - the disillusionment is creating war blowback, it's gonna be real hard to motivate Americans to die for the South China Sea. Ironic that our own maps label it as literally China with that name lol.

Frosted Flake
Sep 13, 2011

Semper Shitpost Ubique

BillsPhoenix posted:

Ukraine debate. It's an interesting thread with lots of merit and debate, but sometimes it gets weird.

Ukraine thread here was much more open to the idea that Russia and moreover Putin has bad motives, Ukraine isn't a monolith culturally and some people want to join Russia, some like Westernized Ukraine, the religious groups and more.

Debate thread... is warming to the idea the US cares more about its own interests than Ukrainian freedom, so I'll take that as encouraging. Israel has really disillusioned a lot of people I know.

To paraphrase Felix Biederman, the trap here is thinking that they'll remember any of this next time America is definitely defending freedom and acting as a global force for good. Those posters, specifically, did the same thing midway through the Iraq War.

The difference between C-SPAM and the other forums is that because there's an underlying belief system at work here, people didn't need to be surprise of the experience of how it turned out to learn those lessons, and that consistency carries forward into, for example, the Taiwan straits.

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Frosted Flake posted:

To paraphrase Felix Biederman, the trap here is thinking that they'll remember any of this next time America is definitely defending freedom and acting as a global force for good. Those posters, specifically, did the same thing midway through the Iraq War.

The difference between C-SPAM and the other forums is that because there's an underlying belief system at work here, people didn't need to be surprise of the experience of how it turned out to learn those lessons, and that consistency carries forward into, for example, the Taiwan straits.

To our cynical eyes we must consider such people actually blessed. After all they get to continually experience the world anew with a sense of awe and wonder.

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

The idea of China ever being 'contained' because the US makes some vague alliances with a bunch of random places in Asia while the US navy is literally falling apart doesn't make a lot of sense. Or without the assistance of Russia. Especially after giving up on TPP 2.0 I think China containment is basically only for domestic political consumption. It's just a question of when our non-Japanese allies realize they need to make peace with China.

The Oldest Man
Jul 28, 2003

FuzzySlippers posted:

The idea of China ever being 'contained' because the US makes some vague alliances with a bunch of random places in Asia while the US navy is literally falling apart doesn't make a lot of sense. Or without the assistance of Russia. Especially after giving up on TPP 2.0 I think China containment is basically only for domestic political consumption. It's just a question of when our non-Japanese allies realize they need to make peace with China.

China's literally sailing their giant coast guard cutters up to other people's fishing boats in contested waters and blasting them with high pressure water cannons, that doesnt really feel very contained lol

Like that happened this week

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

The Oldest Man posted:

China's literally sailing their giant coast guard cutters up to other people's fishing boats in contested waters and blasting them with high pressure water cannons, that doesnt really feel very contained lol

Like that happened this week

Water cannons are the ultimate weapon against the USN ships that dissolve in water.

Ignorant Hick
Mar 26, 2010

ughhhh posted:

The movie The Creator had a US military land carrier. Which didn't make any sense as to how it ended up in south east Asia when they were at war with everyone in Asia. The US also made a trillion dollar space station warship in orbit.

Crazy movie where:
1. The US got rid of AI and all the productive forces that come along with a new group of labor
2. Got into a war with all of Asia because Asia wouldn't stop using AI.
3. Still manages to conduct a forever war half way across the globe with impunity and magical super tech.

A US that has had functional AI since the 50s is probably in better economic shape than real life.

And they are still using AI, as suicide bombers. Think it's a safe bet they have robot slaves keeping things running in secret.

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

The destroyer tender lostech came back up in the Palestine thread I wonder if it's a casualty of being something boring to fund. I've heard how the air force and army tends to fund sexy projects with cool CGI promo videos like expensive jets or fancy weapon systems, but boring logistical stuff makes for a tougher pitch. If the navy has a similar problem then I can see how resupply ships (for a class of ships that already aren't as sexy as carriers) wouldn't get any funding.

edit:

Frosted Flake posted:

We'd get something like Guy Richie's Robin Hood, where it's so contemporary that the setting is meaningless

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gZQqp-tO8J4

Only it would be the Italian Theatre as Ukraine instead of the Crusades as the Iraq War.

I got around to watching this clip and holy gently caress. I often complain that screenwriters on historical movies rarely have the imagination to try to imagine how people in other eras and places might possibly think differently than them (all of space and time can be poured into the mold of contemporary American politics), but this is on another level

FuzzySlippers has issued a correction as of 03:35 on Dec 19, 2023

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost

ughhhh posted:

The movie The Creator had a US military land carrier. Which didn't make any sense as to how it ended up in south east Asia when they were at war with everyone in Asia. The US also made a trillion dollar space station warship in orbit.

Crazy movie where:
1. The US got rid of AI and all the productive forces that come along with a new group of labor
2. Got into a war with all of Asia because Asia wouldn't stop using AI.
3. Still manages to conduct a forever war half way across the globe with impunity and magical super tech.

Notably, the "New Asia" nation explicitly cut out the PRC and India and any mention thereof. Probably part credulity of how could the US be at war with much of Southeast Asia and China, and probably in even larger part avoiding potential marketing issues in China.

Movie tone was all over the place in a bad way.

mlmp08 has issued a correction as of 03:36 on Dec 19, 2023

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...

FuzzySlippers posted:

The idea of China ever being 'contained' because the US makes some vague alliances with a bunch of random places in Asia while the US navy is literally falling apart doesn't make a lot of sense. Or without the assistance of Russia. Especially after giving up on TPP 2.0 I think China containment is basically only for domestic political consumption. It's just a question of when our non-Japanese allies realize they need to make peace with China.

I'm failing at getting the first, most important point across badly.

The US is going to try and establish permanent military near/ in the south China Sea. This is am attempt to prevent China from taking mear total control of these waters, the US already clearly doesn't control it, nor do they have China contained.

This I think kicks off a limited war. That's the important change in this scenario vs recent past history. Not anything about containment.

Danann
Aug 4, 2013

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/04/politics/military-food-insecurity/index.html

quote:

A quarter of US service members have been food insecure, new report finds
Haley Britzky
6–7 minutes

Washington CNN —

Just over a quarter of US service members have experienced food insecurity in recent years, according to a new report from the RAND Corporation.

The report, released this week, said that 25.8% of Army, Air Force, Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard personnel were food insecure. More than half of that percentage – 15.4% – were active duty troops.

“We were surprised at the estimate. … I mean that’s a lot of people,” Dr. Beth Asch, a senior economist at RAND and the lead author of the report, told CNN.

RAND’s research was requested by the Defense Department, the report says, after the DOD was mandated by Congress in the 2020 National Defense Authorization Act to report on food insecurity among service members.

The report from RAND looked at data from 2016 and 2018 reports from the Pentagon over the active duty force to come to their estimate, which Asch said was virtually the same as the Defense Department’s 2020 estimate. While they were unable to include the 2020 report in their own study, Asch said the estimate of around 25% of service members is the most current assessment available.

Financial insecurity is not a new concern for service members. The issue was addressed in 2021 by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, who directed the temporary increase of basic housing allowance in some high-cost areas and said the military would provide relief “to alleviate economic insecurity.”

“Our men and women in uniform and their families have enough to worry about,” Austin said at the time. “Basic necessities like food and housing shouldn’t be among them.”

While putting together their report, RAND held conversations with military commanders, on-base officials who worked on financial planning, and community providers. In those conversations, the report says that nearly everyone they spoke with agreed that food insecurity was a problem among active duty troops, but there were “wide disagreements” on the prevalence of the issue.

One person at a military installation told RAND that food insecurity “has always been something that’s come up.” Another person said that the issue of food insecurity is “bigger than we can even get our arms around.”

“As compared to the general population, certainly the poverty experience is very different,” a military installation representative told RAND. “Service members aren’t living in poverty in the same way. But … it’s also the dirty little secret: that there are service members with families and children making the salary of an E-4 who need help getting food on the table.”

But it’s been difficult for outside organizations and the DOD to understand where the insecurity is stemming from. Asch said the causes are not clear and that was one of the things they left the survey not quite having a handle on, primarily because it was not a part of what they were asked to research by the Defense Department. But understanding the why will be crucial to being able to stop it, she said.

“What we did look at suggests there’s a myriad of underlying causes,” she said. “And I guess the question is, to what extent those causes are specific to being military. What I mean by that is we know that military personnel move around a lot, they’re asked to change locations every few years, and that can have a financial impact on the spouse and their spouse employment. … Is there something about that, about military service, that’s driving that? We just don’t know. We suspect there could be those factors, but there could be other factors.”

Indeed, those who spoke with RAND for the report pointed to a number of possible causes.

The report identified multiple barriers to service members receiving assistance including the stigma surrounding asking for help, with troops believing that if they seek out assistance their careers will be negatively impacted. The report also said that the military’s culture of “self-sufficiency and pride has kept members from seeking help for food or financial insecurity,” and that troops are afraid of being viewed negatively by their leadership for doing so.

Spousal employment issues, especially when combined with challenges from Covid-19 and permanent change of station (PCS) moves, was another significant issue that respondents said contributed to food insecurity and financial challenges.

Still, multiple people who spoke with RAND pointed to an inability from some service members to make and stick to a budget, and a lack of awareness of financial management.

“I think if you look at the cars that are on base, you know there are people who are overextending themselves,” an installation representative said in the report. “Some of it is the materialistic component of our society and keeping up with the Joneses. The same thing that happens outside the gates of the base happens here, too.”

Ultimately, it’s unlikely that there will “be one silver bullet” to fix the issue, Asch said. She pointed even to the way that the surveys are conducted, saying there should be consideration for if the way families are surveyed about food insecurity is the best way to go about it. She also said that more data is needed to really understand more about the problem.

But either way, she said, it’s clear there is a problem.

“I think that the estimate is high, and that is worthy of attention,” Asch said. “But I also think that one needs to recognize that before launching into a full-out assault on the problem, it needs to have a clear understanding of why this problem is happening.”

holy poo poo the troops and their families can't afford food no wonder why recruitment has plummeted along with the bases full of mold and sewage.

Pulcinella
Feb 15, 2019
Just imagine if China said "We must contain America in the Gulf of Mexico" and convinced Mexico and the Bahamas to let them build permanent military outposts and naval yards.


I guess it's not that hard to imagine. Cuban Missile Crisis 2.

FuzzySlippers
Feb 6, 2009

BillsPhoenix posted:

I'm failing at getting the first, most important point across badly.

The US is going to try and establish permanent military near/ in the south China Sea. This is am attempt to prevent China from taking mear total control of these waters, the US already clearly doesn't control it, nor do they have China contained.

This I think kicks off a limited war. That's the important change in this scenario vs recent past history. Not anything about containment.

I think you are overestimating contemporary American ability. America can say they want to build bases there and maybe sign some treaties with an eye towards doing so, but that's a far distance from actually building and operating them and then using them to threaten China. This is not the America that finally succeeded at technowar in Kuwait, invaded Iraq, or even orchestrated the destruction of Libya. The empire is weaker and more schizophrenic than ever. Just having any consistency in policy is extremely difficult much less combining policy with action.

Far from the US being unable to defend Taiwan I'm not sure they can even mount a credible defense of it. I presume this in part explains the jittery nature of US diplomacy around Taiwan where it wants to be muscular but only to a point.

It's also possible no one is seriously considering war with China and the Pivot To Asia is just because the blob got bored with trying to war game a solution to imperial projects that are unwinnable for political reasons. While wargaming with other major powers always ends with "and then nukes come out never mind game over" you can still have some fun with Clancy-ish Fulda Gap scenarios before that point.

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

Danann posted:

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/04/politics/military-food-insecurity/index.html

quote:

Still, multiple people who spoke with RAND pointed to an inability from some service members to make and stick to a budget, and a lack of awareness of financial management.

“I think if you look at the cars that are on base, you know there are people who are overextending themselves,” an installation representative said in the report. “Some of it is the materialistic component of our society and keeping up with the Joneses. The same thing that happens outside the gates of the base happens here, too.”

Ultimately, it’s unlikely that there will “be one silver bullet” to fix the issue, Asch said. She pointed even to the way that the surveys are conducted, saying there should be consideration for if the way families are surveyed about food insecurity is the best way to go about it. She also said that more data is needed to really understand more about the problem.

welfare queens but with the military

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

FuzzySlippers posted:

I think you are overestimating contemporary American ability. America can say they want to build bases there and maybe sign some treaties with an eye towards doing so, but that's a far distance from actually building and operating them and then using them to threaten China. This is not the America that finally succeeded at technowar in Kuwait, invaded Iraq, or even orchestrated the destruction of Libya. The empire is weaker and more schizophrenic than ever. Just having any consistency in policy is extremely difficult much less combining policy with action.

Far from the US being unable to defend Taiwan I'm not sure they can even mount a credible defense of it. I presume this in part explains the jittery nature of US diplomacy around Taiwan where it wants to be muscular but only to a point.

It's also possible no one is seriously considering war with China and the Pivot To Asia is just because the blob got bored with trying to war game a solution to imperial projects that are unwinnable for political reasons. While wargaming with other major powers always ends with "and then nukes come out never mind game over" you can still have some fun with Clancy-ish Fulda Gap scenarios before that point.

Unable to pick a fight with China the USA will look around and decide that Mexico looks a bit easier.

stumblebum
May 8, 2022
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!

DancingShade posted:

Unable to pick a fight with China the USA will look around and decide that MexicoCanada looks a bit easier.

zetamind2000
Nov 6, 2007

I'm an alien.

DancingShade posted:

Unable to pick a fight with China the USA will look around and decide that the USA looks a bit easier.

FrancisFukyomama
Feb 4, 2019

The Oldest Man posted:

holy poo poo lmao

I saw a trailer of that in theaters and assumed it was some urban fantasy reimagining since it had dudes in black bloc hurling molotovs

stephenthinkpad
Jan 2, 2020
I don't think WW3 is likely to erupt from the Taiwan conflict, which is 95% a sino-us conflict a 5% a cross-strait conflict. The Taiwanese won't play a decisive role in this conflict they are just pawns. How much they want to be pawns of the US is up to DPP and the next president Lai.

But I think this upcoming conflict is more likely to stay at the scale of a client war not escalating to WW3.

China has heavy home field advantage in the shallow water near her land based airports, while the US has advantage on the other side of Malacca strait, namely the Indian Ocean and beyond. I don't think either side is stupid enough to sail the main force to the home turf of the opponent. So the hot war likely will switch to full fledged financial war and economic sanctions very soon.

The US want financial war because they still think the US dollar and Swift are their greatest weapons. OTOH China has prepared this day with a lot of BRI projects to build up alternative trade routes and alternative shippings. So I think China is willing to go on long term counter sanctions and counter financial wars. It's going to bring a lot of pain to China but OTOH China is capable of bringing alot of pain to the US economy too. It's not going to be like WW2.

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


Danann posted:

https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/04/politics/military-food-insecurity/index.html

holy poo poo the troops and their families can't afford food no wonder why recruitment has plummeted along with the bases full of mold and sewage.

a quarter of the imperial armed forces have dealt with hunger and that comes from RAND

holy loving lmao poo poo

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

dead gay comedy forums posted:

a quarter of the imperial armed forces have dealt with hunger and that comes from RAND

holy loving lmao poo poo

I admit to not keeping my eye on that aspect myself. That's quite dire.

The Oldest Man
Jul 28, 2003

dead gay comedy forums posted:

a quarter of the imperial armed forces have dealt with hunger and that comes from RAND

holy loving lmao poo poo

Bonus Army 2: This Time, It's MacArthursonal

Complications
Jun 19, 2014

so that's the foundation for a military coup at the next serious crisis

taking all bets, taking all bets - will it be a war the US loses so hard it shakes the empire, famine from biosphere collapse, economic collapse from unchecked inflation, the unchecked pandemic pushing the workforce below the minimum needed to keep a critical mass of people in food, or all of the above?

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


if anything this is a monumental testament of the ideological force of the American state in the minds of its troops

having those numbers in periods of great strife would be... expected? But when in a situation of peace and having the biggest pile of money around? It's incredible that there was no protest at all. As a general pool, one mfer in four of that might have to deal with AnsarAllah; rent got him good, had groceries on the credit card, likely is in debt. Is this guy really willing to eat a Yemeni rocket to his face? If so woah

DancingShade
Jul 26, 2007

by Fluffdaddy

Complications posted:

so that's the foundation for a military coup at the next serious crisis

taking all bets, taking all bets - will it be a war the US loses so hard it shakes the empire, famine from biosphere collapse, economic collapse from unchecked inflation, the unchecked pandemic pushing the workforce below the minimum needed to keep a critical mass of people in food, or all of the above?

Nothing dramatic. Just banks close one after another. Food becomes steadily more expensive or unavailable at all. Things start to break down but not repaired. Then one day the power just goes out.

No Michael Bay movie scenes.

It's only a geographical problem.

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fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

dead gay comedy forums posted:

a quarter of the imperial armed forces have dealt with hunger and that comes from RAND

holy loving lmao poo poo

lol

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