(Thread IKs:
Stereotype)
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Mola Yam posted:industrial society started in 1991 That's correct, industrial society started at the End of History.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 05:57 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 08:32 |
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watching children of men again for the first time since it came out and what a fuckin gut punch
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 06:31 |
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The solar quotes are in. Easy winner at $2.12/Watt, saved my old man an easy 15k before tax credits lol
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 06:37 |
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turning the A/C to 50 degrees during summer as doomers watch in horror
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 06:38 |
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OBAMNA PHONE posted:watching children of men again for the first time since it came out and what a fuckin gut punch that's how i picture actual "collapse" or whatever dumb doomer word de jour. you're still going ot your 8-5 sales rep or CS rep or computer touching or whatever job miserable along with everyone else on a bus/train and heave a collective-social shrug about everything crumbling around you. as long enough booze money and a roof above your head gets made to get you through another day e: oh yeah the second best part is when the baby gets revealed and everything goes silent in awe for like 30 seconds before everyone starts blowing up each other again. a bonafide Jesus moment is irrelevant Xaris has issued a correction as of 07:04 on Jan 14, 2024 |
# ? Jan 14, 2024 06:57 |
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I hear scientists say all the time in interviews, the only fix is massive degrowth. It has to be planned, ethical degrowth, which is not politically possible, or chaotic, collapsing degrowth. No organism is ever going to stop using the resources it can get. Certainly not us. And we're probably past the point of it fixing anything anyway, due to cascading problems. It can only minimise how bad it gets. Either way it's definitely going to start with the imperial core forcing massive, bloody degrowth on the periphery.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 07:07 |
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starkebn posted:I hear scientists say all the time in interviews, the only fix is massive degrowth. It has to be planned, ethical degrowth, which is not politically possible, or chaotic, collapsing degrowth. yep. when people like bill gates talks about overpopulation, everyone listening knows exactly who he means.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 07:16 |
Testicular Torque Wrench posted:My first job was receptionist in a hooker motel run by a Chinese guy who turned a blind eye. One of the rooms was special, room 37, last room on the left, because an ex elementary teacher was, unbeknownst to me at the time, slowly going completely insane in there. She had paid for a year in advance of staying in this old, ratty, run down shithole of a place and had been losing her mind the entire time. The first I saw of her was on night shift, she showed up out of nowhere looking like the ghost from the Grudge, pointed at me from a dark corner of the reception room and said "Youre going to die!" then slowly turned and walked back to her room.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 08:36 |
starkebn posted:I hear scientists say all the time in interviews, the only fix is massive degrowth. It has to be planned, ethical degrowth, which is not politically possible, or chaotic, collapsing degrowth. I feel like this is not the case. Maybe. Maybe not the case. There have been archeological discoveries -- & admittedly this may be or seem very birdwatcher thread -- where ancient rear end civs have apparently just decided "you know what, gently caress this" and just buried their entire city and hosed on off into the wilds. Just entirely done with it. For us, now, this is not going to happen. But at some points in the history of earth, for some people, humans even, for one unknown reason or some other they decided to alt-F4 their run of civ. It was not clearly anything that could be attributed to something like famine, war, social strife, just... "yeah, nah, we're good. Gonna go ahead and not do this anymore." Humans are an old and strange species, and some things are still a little inexplicable. It's a shame we hosed it all up so much that we might not ever get to the point where they're ever really figured out by anyone. A blip and it's all gone. Did we ever even know ourselves? What could have been? Depressing af. It seems plausible that some organism is capable of accessing and using resources responsibly tho.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 08:58 |
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Xaris posted:you're still going ot your 8-5 sales rep or CS rep or computer touching or whatever job miserable along with everyone else on a bus/train and heave a collective-social shrug about everything crumbling around you. as long enough booze money and a roof above your head gets made to get you through another day woah. can't imagine
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 08:58 |
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thinkin bout those dumbass deer on that island. lol idiots
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 08:58 |
Very upsetting that by like 400 or 1000 years ago we had already ramped ourselves up to an insane philosophical dilemma where the only result would be that gif of a little kid slamming the trolly across the tied up people on one track and then backing it up to catch the survivors
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 09:00 |
Stereotype posted:thinkin bout those dumbass deer on that island. lol idiots did they evolve into mice size
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 09:01 |
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SniperWoreConverse posted:did they evolve into mice size they evolved into dead deer
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 09:11 |
dumbasses
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 09:20 |
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starkebn posted:I hear scientists say all the time in interviews, the only fix is massive degrowth. It has to be planned, ethical degrowth, which is not politically possible, or chaotic, collapsing degrowth. Growth maximisation is not a biological destiny for all organisms. Unsustainable growth happens because anyone who over-exploits will gain material advantages that enable them to dominate others, and anyone who dominates others will more easily be able to over-exploit. It's a runaway growth-based feedback cycle that *requires* the use of violence in order to succeed. People can stop using the resources available to them, but then they won't be able to stop others from using those resources. It can only be stopped with violence, but we can't fix it because the people that live sustainably can't gain the material advantages necessary to outfight capitalism. Noone can outcompete and force their will upon an industrialised society unless they also industrialize. Stopping runaway climate change requires emancipatory political violence, but *effective* political violence also requires industrialisation and the over-exploitation of fossil fuels. And the imperial core is now forcing degrowth everywhere, most people in the first-world have declining living standards.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 09:40 |
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yeah, there's no way to overpower the capitalists unless they like, start expending all the energy under their control on fictitious endeavors that don't help them maintain control, but surely they wouldn't do that.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 10:06 |
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starkebn posted:Either way it's definitely going to start with the imperial core forcing massive, bloody degrowth on the periphery. covid was the test run hehe
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 11:18 |
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Zodium posted:yeah, there's no way to overpower the capitalists unless they like, start expending all the energy under their control on fictitious endeavors that don't help them maintain control, but surely they wouldn't do that. That happened already when the european colonial empires started breaking up. After breaking free from colonialism, the former colonies went all-in on fossil-fuel based industrialization because they knew it was the only way to keep any kind of independence for themselves. Even if the empires fail to successfully project power, the threat of more attempted imperial ventures is a constant pressure on everybody else to develop and industrialize. Anyone who doesn't develop fast enough leaves themselves vulnerable to more imperial fuckery. The non-capitalist states that could defend themselves are, by necessity, as similarly polluting as the capitalist nations are. We're trapped in an ecological doom spiral because overpowering capitalism is impossible without replicating it's pattern of pollution and especially carbon emissions. EDIT: Capitalism will kill the whole biosphere if we let it, but the only available means of stopping capitalism will also kill the biosphere too lol. Corsec has issued a correction as of 12:10 on Jan 14, 2024 |
# ? Jan 14, 2024 11:59 |
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Corsec posted:That happened already when the european colonial empires started breaking up. yeah, after ww2 all the capitalist powers started hollowing out their industrial base and military industrial complex to the point of uselessness in favor of fictitious capital: a thing that definitely happened then, and not something that is happening now.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 13:09 |
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quote:I have a HVAC company in North Carolina. Not a big shop, right now we have seven employees. I am not an HVAC or refrigerant design engineer, just a guy who was a technician, and now owns a small business. https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/15gc7yw/a_perspective_of_the_environmental_impact_of_hvac/
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 13:49 |
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don't forget to graph
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 13:54 |
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lol the line is higher now than it was in the middle of summer
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 14:26 |
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Andreas Malm is interviewed in today’s Times magazine https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/01/14/magazine/andreas-malm-interview.html
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 15:32 |
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Zodium posted:yeah, after ww2 all the capitalist powers started hollowing out their industrial base and military industrial complex to the point of uselessness in favor of fictitious capital: a thing that definitely happened then, and not something that is happening now. Ah, I see. When you said "fictitious endeavors" I thought you meant failed imperial adventurism like for example the Suez Crisis or the 2nd Iraq War. But now I see that you're referring exclusively to the end-of-history style of de-industrialization in the west. I didn't claim that there is no chance to overcome capitalism, you misinterpreted my words. I said that capitalism overcomes anything that doesn't also chase infinite growth. And capitalism ensures that the opportunity to overcome it only exists for those that out-industrialize it and use fossil-fuels to beat it at it's own infinite growth game. Capitalism can afford to de-industrialize because fictitious capital, trade laws, IP, tech monopolies etc serves to keep the other countries locked in a neo-colonial low-wage tributary relationship. The imperial core still keeps the strategic industries and also the most value-added ones. I agree that western de-industrialization has created geopolitical weaknesses that countries like China or Russia can exploit, but they have that opportunity only because they are still industrialized countries with high emissions. The ability to resist imperial military force is directly related to the ability to afford and consume fossil fuels.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 16:05 |
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Corsec posted:Ah, I see. When you said "fictitious endeavors" I thought you meant failed imperial adventurism like for example the Suez Crisis or the 2nd Iraq War. But now I see that you're referring exclusively to the end-of-history style of de-industrialization in the west. If China is able to achieve the goals in their next 2 five year plans, I think that would be an active counter example to your thesis here.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 16:12 |
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I would blow Dane Cook posted:https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/15gc7yw/a_perspective_of_the_environmental_impact_of_hvac/ hell yeah I fuckin love comprehending manmade horrors
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 16:24 |
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OBAMNA PHONE posted:watching children of men again for the first time since it came out and what a fuckin gut punch it’s not that bad yet
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 16:29 |
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Trabisnikof posted:If China is able to achieve the goals in their next 2 five year plans, I think that would be an active counter example to your thesis here. I'm guessing you mean the big investment into solar, nuclear and other renewables as a non-fossil-fuel based form of growth? Isn't this something that the thread has already gone over? Renewables require huge amounts of fossil fuels to produce and maintain, and oil is still non-substitutable. As far as I know, they can reduce their dependence on fossil fuels in some sectors but can't de-couple from it. And if they reduce their dependence on fossil fuels but still keep growing the economy, then the total rate of emissions will not be likely to decrease. This is because even though they are reducing the carbon intensity of their economy they are cancelling it out by doing even more things that emit carbon, like for example switching from coal to nuclear power but then also eating much more meat. So, what am I missing here that would make it a counter-example?
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 16:38 |
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Nobody is decreasing emissions for any reason.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:00 |
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You all did this. I had nothing to do with it
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:03 |
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Did they ever figure out why ozone depletion accumulates in the southern hemisphere when most emission is in the north? Seems strange considering the Earth moves through space South Pole-first, you'd think the solardynamic drag would make it all go to the north
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:06 |
The pollutants get funneled there by wind patterns and react with cold weather clouds
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:39 |
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SniperWoreConverse posted:The pollutants get funneled there by wind patterns and react with cold weather clouds Oh wow, you're telling me this for the first time. I did know about the northern hole but I understood it to be smaller and not as complete. Didn't they determine it takes like 75 years for CFCs to fully dissipate in the stratosphere? So we're only experiencing the full effects of what's been released since 1949? Glad to be disproven on that of course. The figure I found for stratospheric ozone depletion for the Space Shuttle was 0.25% per launch but I might be misreading that. Again, glad to be proven wrong!
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:45 |
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Thorn Wishes Talon posted:for gently caress's sake, the cspam covid thread is that way ---->>>> Just ask famous covid conspiracy theorist Deborah Birx: https://twitter.com/LaSeletzky/status/1745289146833510813?t=55Fb47NgYkhOypJIydmLDA&s=19 quote:Birx became the director of the United States Military HIV Research Program at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, a position she held for nine years, from 1996 to 2005. In that position, Birx led the HIV vaccine clinical trial of RV 144, the first supporting evidence of any vaccine being effective in lowering the risk of contracting HIV.[15] Ah I'm sure it's fine.
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:49 |
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I wear a good mask in public situations like in-office work (I am remote 99% of the time), grocery shopping, etc. and no mask when chillin with the homies. Find your balance, minimize unnecessary risk, but learn to adapt
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:52 |
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Corsec posted:I'm guessing you mean the big investment into solar, nuclear and other renewables as a non-fossil-fuel based form of growth? Isn't this something that the thread has already gone over? Renewables require huge amounts of fossil fuels to produce and maintain, and oil is still non-substitutable. As far as I know, they can reduce their dependence on fossil fuels in some sectors but can't de-couple from it. And if they reduce their dependence on fossil fuels but still keep growing the economy, then the total rate of emissions will not be likely to decrease. This is because even though they are reducing the carbon intensity of their economy they are cancelling it out by doing even more things that emit carbon, like for example switching from coal to nuclear power but then also eating much more meat. So, what am I missing here that would make it a counter-example? their goals include specifically reducing their total rate of emissions, the rate of emissions per unit of energy, overall energy consumption and overall emissions. additionally, the 14th 5-year plan was the first to not include a GDP growth target, indicating an a shift away from a growth focused economic outlook. you're saying meeting those goals are impossible, and im pointing out that if they're able to do so, that would indicate they are possible. Dokapon Findom posted:Nobody is decreasing emissions for any reason. china is highly likely to actually decrease emissions within the next few years, not just the rate of emissions, but the actual total emissions. now if we could only figure out what the difference between their political and economic system from the rest of the world is and maybe replicate it elsewhere....
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 17:58 |
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Corsec posted:Renewables require huge amounts of fossil fuels to produce and maintain I wanted to pull this out as a specific example of a kind of static thinking, that is perfectly predictive in our declining empire, but is treated as a universal truth when it isn't. what are the fossil fuel inputs required for renewables? energy for manufacture, energy for transportation, energy for maintenance, and energy for disposal. in a static analysis, of course those are all fossil fuel intense. trucks run on fossil fuels, factories are powered by fossil fuel power plants, etc. but renewables dont require specifically fossil fuel based trucks, they don't require specifically fossil fuel based electricity. any truck will do. any power plant will do. so if the fossil fuel intensity of transportation or electricity shifts, then the fossil fuel consumption to produce and maintain renewables will shift. it is a very reasonable prediction to assume that in the west, those shifts won't happen anytime soon if ever. but that doesn't mean it is impossible for those shifts to occur. if a country shifts their grid and transportation infrastructure away from fossil fuels. and that country also produces and maintains their own renewables, then their renewables stop requiring huge amounts of fossil fuels to produce and maintain. Trabisnikof has issued a correction as of 18:24 on Jan 14, 2024 |
# ? Jan 14, 2024 18:08 |
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Even if (and it's a big if) China can manage that change, it doesn't alter that they are already feeling the effects of a warming world, population decline, and ecological precarity that will only accelerate regardless of what they do. They just won't be culpable in keeping their foot on the accelerator like everyone else while they assume carbon credits make everything rosy. China turning around doesn't change the story outcome, and I still don't see that being anything like what many expect if to be either, despite the obvious strides they have attained. They have enough other issues to contend with that can upset the apple cart. Remember, biosphere collapse is not fossil fuels and climate change. You can look to the neoliberal mode of thinking in seeing cars as being a Bad Thing when powered by FFs, but totally fine and good when powered by wind turbine or PV cell derived electricity. The save is for the auto industry and consumers happy with the status quo, not the environment. And China, to have any remote hope to make their economy "sustainable", has to literally tear their nation apart, or other nations, to find the raw materials with which to do so. That is NOT a win in anything other than the very shallow "well at least someone broke free of the paralysis of late stage capitalism".
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 19:32 |
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# ? May 27, 2024 08:32 |
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I would blow Dane Cook posted:https://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/15gc7yw/a_perspective_of_the_environmental_impact_of_hvac/ we're toast also, please eat poo poo thorn wishes talon
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# ? Jan 14, 2024 19:58 |