Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Alaois
Feb 7, 2012

Brad Kaaya...

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Roasted Donut
Aug 24, 2007

NWA WHITE POWERRR!!!!

A Sneaker Broker posted:

Not going to lie, I have not been impressed with Allar.

We'll see how he does next year. Yurcich did everything in his power to make things miserable for him in games of any difficulty. Coupled with a horrible WR room and he didn't look good most of the season. Kotelnicki has a lot of work ahead of him and his schemes aren't usually as tailored to QBs like Allar's prototype. I sure as poo poo wouldn't be projecting him anywhere near the first round this early though.

Ornery and Hornery
Oct 22, 2020

Ross why are so many drafts mocking TE Bowers to the chargers instead of WR Nabers?

Does California have a moratorium on wr with speed???

a neat cape
Feb 22, 2007

Aw hunny, these came out GREAT!

Ornery and Hornery posted:

Ross why are so many drafts mocking TE Bowers to the chargers instead of WR Nabers?

Does California have a moratorium on wr with speed???

The Chargers have had a major need at TE since Gates retired.

No one knows what the Chargers will do because they have no GM or anything, so who knows. I wouldn't be mad with Nabers or Bowers

Ornery and Hornery
Oct 22, 2020

Well the chargers will have their pick of the litter because the first four picks are going to be the three QBs and MHJ.

Chargers are on the clock…

Corzaa
Aug 1, 2006


Any good running backs this year?

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese
Bowers is also a great prospect though I think he might be a bit overrated and the WRs this year are unbelievable

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Corzaa posted:

Any good running backs this year?

Trey Benson. Jonathon Brooks would’ve been RB1 but he tore his ACL :(

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?
I said it with Pitts, I'll say it with Bowers, never draft a TE in the top 10. If you're picking that high you have WAY bigger issues to deal with.

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

A Sneaker Broker posted:

Trey Benson. Jonathon Brooks would’ve been RB1 but he tore his ACL :(

Have you seen Trey Benson's injury history? I love Trey but I'd be concerned taking him too high.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

wandler20 posted:

Have you seen Trey Benson's injury history? I love Trey but I'd be concerned taking him too high.

I have. I think teams are gonna ignore it considering he has the best vision in the class. The only other best option is Blake The Great Corum, but he has so much goddamn tread, it’s insane.

Pablo Bluth
Sep 7, 2007

I've made a huge mistake.
I've seen Coleman go to the Bills in a few mock drafts, but the criticism of him seems to be he is a WR who can't create separation and I think the team has had enough of those recently.

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.

wandler20 posted:

I said it with Pitts, I'll say it with Bowers, never draft a TE in the top 10. If you're picking that high you have WAY bigger issues to deal with.

The Chargers had a sort of unique problem that they racked up a bunch of losses once Herbert went down. They also had a lot of really close losses. Before Herbert went down, they had one loss by 2 and four losses by 3. This is a playoff team with a tiny bit of improvement, and of course an uninjured QB. Their way bigger issue was probably a lovely coach.

E: That is to say I don't know if drafting a TE is the right move, I suck at draft analysis. I just think the Chargers are in a much better position than most teams drafting 5th.

Bird in a Blender fucked around with this message at 15:59 on Jan 17, 2024

THIS_IS_FINE
May 21, 2001

Slippery Tilde
Where does Tua's brother fall now that he declared? Seems like a team could take him day 2 or 3 as a reach?

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

THIS_IS_FINE posted:

Where does Tua's brother fall now that he declared? Seems like a team could take him day 2 or 3 as a reach?

Day 3 Steeler

Master Stur
Jun 13, 2008

chasin' tail
I think Im in the same boat regarding a TE at 5 here... Probably worth it if youre getting a Gronk/Mandrews/Graham caliber player for your passing attack but dont they have some aging players with Allen there at 31? They already have Herbert if I was the GM I'm doing whatever I can to trade up for MHJ or taking Oduze instead I guess. Feel like they need to worry about restocking for their #1 WR position and grab a TE later if needed imo.

Nosre
Apr 16, 2002


Has drafting a TE in the top 10 literally ever worked out? Vernon Davis maybe? The last two (Hock and Pitts) are good but not worth the spot imo

Gonzales was pick #13, that's as far back as I looked

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Nosre posted:

Has drafting a TE in the top 10 literally ever worked out? Vernon Davis maybe? The last two (Hock and Pitts) are good but not worth the spot imo

Gonzales was pick #13, that's as far back as I looked

Nope. Bowers is an insane prospect who will only get better, but the learning curve for TEs from college to the pros is massive.

Black Lighter
Sep 6, 2010

Just keep looking at what we're doing, keep watering and ask yourselves first and know 'Are you watering? And are you fertilizing every day?' So when it's time to pop, it'll pop.

A Sneaker Broker posted:

Nope. Bowers is an insane prospect who will only get better, but the learning curve for TEs from college to the pros is massive.

Everyone always says this, but I don't understand why. Is the role of a TE in the pros just vastly more complex than it is in college?

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Black Lighter posted:

Everyone always says this, but I don't understand why. Is the role of a TE in the pros just vastly more complex than it is in college?

More blocking assignments, more run techniques, and checks you'll have to learn. You also have to learn more about defenses to settle on your routes. Essentially, you have to become the 6th offensive lineman and be an insane slot receiver to get more playing time.

xbilkis
Apr 11, 2005

god qb
me
jay hova

Nosre posted:

Has drafting a TE in the top 10 literally ever worked out? Vernon Davis maybe? The last two (Hock and Pitts) are good but not worth the spot imo

Gonzales was pick #13, that's as far back as I looked

The best TE drafted in the top 10 in the 21st century is probably Vernon Davis, yeah. He made second-team All Pro once.

Even if you expand it to the entire first round, there's a shockingly low correlation between "TEs drafted highly" and "TEs who turn out to be elite in the NFL." Of the 25 first-round TEs since 2000, they've got a grand total of seven All Pro appearances (two first tam, five second team). 5/7 of those appearances are from guys who were drafted 24th or later. Meanwhile the true superstars at the position have basically exclusively been picked in the second round or later.

That's why I'd have a really hard time pulling the trigger on Bowers in the top 10, even though I really like him as a prospect. It's just super clear that there is a systemic inability to properly assess how TEs will transfer from the NCAA to the NFL, and I don't know how you could have the hubris to look at that data and say "OK, but this time we're going to be right"

xbilkis fucked around with this message at 18:33 on Jan 17, 2024

Metapod
Mar 18, 2012
25 first round tightends is such a small sample it shouldn't matter

xbilkis
Apr 11, 2005

god qb
me
jay hova
When you're 0/25 on getting the kind of elite talent you envision out of a top 10 pick at TE, I think it's a pretty decent sample size

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot
Chargers with Malik Nabers, however..

Nodoze
Aug 17, 2006

If it's only for a night I can live without you
Where would Gronk have gone if he didn't have half a dozen injury red flags coming out of college

Bismack Billabongo
Oct 9, 2012

New Love Glow
I think the chargers should draft Brock bowers so he is off the board when the titans pick because I’ll jump off a cliff into a gorge if the titans piss away their pick on him.

Pablo Bluth
Sep 7, 2007

I've made a huge mistake.
Kincaid went at 25 and is having a good year but has ended up being overshadowed by Laporta who is technically a second rounder (3rd pick in the 2nd) . And Kincaid managed to put up some good numbers despite Josh already having a good TE relationship with Dawson Knox. Nobody is critical of the pick or that Beane had to trade up despite already not being flush on draft capital.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Pablo Bluth posted:

Kincaid went at 25 and is having a good year but has ended up being overshadowed by Laporta who is technically a second rounder (3rd pick in the 2nd) . And Kincaid managed to put up some good numbers despite Josh already having a good TE relationship with Dawson Knox. Nobody is critical of the pick or that Beane had to trade up despite already not being flush on draft capital.

LaPorta
Musgrave
Kraft
Mayer

Lotta good tight ends last year.

Pablo Bluth
Sep 7, 2007

I've made a huge mistake.
Kincaid actually ended up fourth on the all time receptions by a rookie TE, and joint second in touchdowns, but Laporta's ridiculous year totally stole his thunder.

Edit: the record for playoff TDs is 2 (David Sloan, DET, '95). Laporta, Kincaid and Musgrave all picked upone this weekend, so the race for that record is on.

Pablo Bluth fucked around with this message at 19:01 on Jan 17, 2024

Ornery and Hornery
Oct 22, 2020

This is going to be such a fun draft, can’t wait :)

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Ornery and Hornery posted:

This is going to be such a fun draft, can’t wait :)

When the Packers find an All-Pro tackle in the 4th or 5th round, I can't wait for the tears.

TheGreyGhost
Feb 14, 2012

“Go win the Heimlich Trophy!”
Re: 2025 QBs, I uh don’t know that I really like anyone right now.

Ewers is the Charizard to prospect Herbert’s charmeleon. 2-4 generational throws a game, 2-4 backbreakingly terrible ones. Weird misses that look like no one knew the play. Fisher Price offense. Doesn’t really have any feel in the pocket or consistency to his feet even with the improvement this year. Just one of the most ludicrous arms we’ve had on a minute, ball just instantly comes on a line.

Beck is very talented and has a lot of responsibility in his offense but doesn’t really do anything that impresses me in terms of throwing guys open or maximizing his receiving talent. Big numbers but leaves a lot on the table downfield and outside the numbers in favor of making the throws that won’t get him yelled at. If they unleash him a bit and open up to make up for their TE deficiencies this coming year, he could put enough on tape to be QB1 because he has the physical tools right now.

Shedeur doesn’t have anything resembling pocket feel or timing, and their insistence on going air raid with him will hurt when the league asks him to run quick game or make a tough throw in favor of holding the ball forever. He kind of does a mediocre Burrow impression right now but without the pinpoint accuracy getting dropped by receivers on Burrow’s junior tape. Average arm, not really sure why he gets the love he does.

Allar sucks. They Hackenberged him and failed to design an offense that teaches him timing. Maybe the new coordinator helps but I can’t imagine adding option wrinkles cleans up his lovely feet. Good arm though.

Riley Leonard might rise if he stays healthy. He hit some windows at Duke that were NFL margins off of his receivers limitations, and he has pretty good pocket feel, but someone needs to rein his feet in a little bit because he’s very scramble happy and tries to do Mahomes poo poo they he’s not built for.

Dillon Gabriel is an RPO merchant Smurf. Great Value Tua

Van Dyke will regress as all Longo QBs do.

Milroe ha the tools and no midrange game in an offense where that will be the ask. I don’t know how that’s going to work but if he fixes it, round 1 for sure (he wont).

I saw Weigman on a board? He has some Jimbo timing throws over the middle and nice feet but they haven’t let him push boundaries or vertically enough for me to feel super comfortable mocking him on this sample. Could rise a lot on tools but who knows.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

TheGreyGhost posted:

Re: 2025 QBs, I uh don’t know that I really like anyone right now.

Ewers is the Charizard to prospect Herbert’s charmeleon. 2-4 generational throws a game, 2-4 backbreakingly terrible ones. Weird misses that look like no one knew the play. Fisher Price offense. Doesn’t really have any feel in the pocket or consistency to his feet even with the improvement this year. Just one of the most ludicrous arms we’ve had on a minute, ball just instantly comes on a line.

Beck is very talented and has a lot of responsibility in his offense but doesn’t really do anything that impresses me in terms of throwing guys open or maximizing his receiving talent. Big numbers but leaves a lot on the table downfield and outside the numbers in favor of making the throws that won’t get him yelled at. If they unleash him a bit and open up to make up for their TE deficiencies this coming year, he could put enough on tape to be QB1 because he has the physical tools right now.

Shedeur doesn’t have anything resembling pocket feel or timing, and their insistence on going air raid with him will hurt when the league asks him to run quick game or make a tough throw in favor of holding the ball forever. He kind of does a mediocre Burrow impression right now but without the pinpoint accuracy getting dropped by receivers on Burrow’s junior tape. Average arm, not really sure why he gets the love he does.

Allar sucks. They Hackenberged him and failed to design an offense that teaches him timing. Maybe the new coordinator helps but I can’t imagine adding option wrinkles cleans up his lovely feet. Good arm though.

Riley Leonard might rise if he stays healthy. He hit some windows at Duke that were NFL margins off of his receivers limitations, and he has pretty good pocket feel, but someone needs to rein his feet in a little bit because he’s very scramble happy and tries to do Mahomes poo poo they he’s not built for.

Dillon Gabriel is an RPO merchant Smurf. Great Value Tua

Van Dyke will regress as all Longo QBs do.

Milroe ha the tools and no midrange game in an offense where that will be the ask. I don’t know how that’s going to work but if he fixes it, round 1 for sure (he wont).

I saw Weigman on a board? He has some Jimbo timing throws over the middle and nice feet but they haven’t let him push boundaries or vertically enough for me to feel super comfortable mocking him on this sample. Could rise a lot on tools but who knows.

I don't even to know what to think about this class being honest. If you want a QB, this is the year.

kidcoelacanth
Sep 23, 2009

TheGreyGhost posted:

not really sure why he gets the love he does.

i can think of one reason!

Ornery and Hornery
Oct 22, 2020

A Sneaker Broker posted:

I don't even to know what to think about this class being honest. If you want a QB, this is the year.

If the hawks need to trade three first to get Jayden Daniels then by gosh darn the torpedos!!!

Henchman of Santa
Aug 21, 2010
What are the chances career Fun College Guys like Jalon Daniels and KJ Jefferson rise above like the fifth round? The former obviously has horrid medicals.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Henchman of Santa posted:

What are the chances career Fun College Guys like Jalon Daniels and KJ Jefferson rise above like the fifth round? The former obviously has horrid medicals.

They need to ball the hell out this year. Nothing more, nothing less.

Doltos
Dec 28, 2005

🤌🤌🤌

xbilkis posted:

The best TE drafted in the top 10 in the 21st century is probably Vernon Davis, yeah. He made second-team All Pro once.

Even if you expand it to the entire first round, there's a shockingly low correlation between "TEs drafted highly" and "TEs who turn out to be elite in the NFL." Of the 25 first-round TEs since 2000, they've got a grand total of seven All Pro appearances (two first tam, five second team). 5/7 of those appearances are from guys who were drafted 24th or later. Meanwhile the true superstars at the position have basically exclusively been picked in the second round or later.

That's why I'd have a really hard time pulling the trigger on Bowers in the top 10, even though I really like him as a prospect. It's just super clear that there is a systemic inability to properly assess how TEs will transfer from the NCAA to the NFL, and I don't know how you could have the hubris to look at that data and say "OK, but this time we're going to be right"

All positions bust at a high rate, draft good players high

wandler20 posted:

I said it with Pitts, I'll say it with Bowers, never draft a TE in the top 10. If you're picking that high you have WAY bigger issues to deal with.

They took Pitts while still having Matt Ryan and he put up a 1k yard season. It's not Pitts' fault the Falcons sacrificed the best QB in their franchise history chasing after Deshaun Watson.

Nodoze posted:

Where would Gronk have gone if he didn't have half a dozen injury red flags coming out of college

He was generally considered a future first round pick after his sophomore year. He lost an entire year to back injuries and dropped behind Jermaine Gresham's monster season. I think if he played his junior year he probably would have been a top 25 pick.

TEs are incredibly valuable and have been proven to be big contribute to Super Bowl wins between Gronk's huge games against Seattle and KC in his Super Bowls and Travis Kelce's big games in all of his Super Bowls.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

Doltos posted:

All positions bust at a high rate, draft good players high

They took Pitts while still having Matt Ryan and he put up a 1k yard season. It's not Pitts' fault the Falcons sacrificed the best QB in their franchise history chasing after Deshaun Watson.

He was generally considered a future first round pick after his sophomore year. He lost an entire year to back injuries and dropped behind Jermaine Gresham's monster season. I think if he played his junior year he probably would have been a top 25 pick.

TEs are incredibly valuable and have been proven to be big contribute to Super Bowl wins between Gronk's huge games against Seattle and KC in his Super Bowls and Travis Kelce's big games in all of his Super Bowls.

I forgot that the Falcons are in QB hell because they chased Watson. LOL

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

The Big Jesus
Oct 29, 2007

#essereFerrari

A Sneaker Broker posted:

I forgot that the Falcons are in QB hell because they chased Watson. LOL

It was absolutely the dumbest move and unconscionable that we didn’t go for Lamar instead. HOWEVER! Matt Ryan was already fuckin dusted. Look at his season in Indy and now he’s out of the league.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply