(Thread IKs:
weg, Toxic Mental)
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vaginite posted:The Democratic winner odds include odds of non-Biden winners, like Newsom is at 8 cents to Biden's 85 cents to win the primary. It is wild to me that there is any doubt that the incumbent POTUS who is running for reelection will be the candidate for the party. Weirdly that applies to both parties in this race.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:28
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Hollismason posted:I mean polls were saying Trump would win re election and everyone flipped the gently caress out and yet Biden pulled off something thay hadn't been do e in 25 years. Not really--the polls had Biden up by like 8 percent on average and he won by 4.4 percent. If anything, the polls were off in Biden's favor. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2020_United_States_presidential_election That said, it doesn't mean the polls are off in the same direction this time--they might have over-corrected, for example. Sir John Falstaff fucked around with this message at 18:32 on Jan 31, 2024 |
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Jan 31, 2024 18:29
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Escape From Noise posted:Why you Yahooin' porn in 2024 As the leader of the southwestern American catholic evangelical Baptist league, I want everyone to know that if you go onto Askjeeves.com and type in “boobies”, the devil will download into your conputer I need to be given airtime on Fox News to talk about this
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Jan 31, 2024 18:29
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Serious_Cyclone posted:It is wild to me that there is any doubt that the incumbent POTUS who is running for reelection will be the candidate for the party. Weirdly that applies to both parties in this race. Biden could die or be struck by lightning or something and drop out. It's typical of betting websites to overestimate that probability to drive betting
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Jan 31, 2024 18:30
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Predictit is a silly place? They have South Carolina at 61c for "First primary in 2024 Dem. nomination" I was not aware it was ever not that place.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:31
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Jan 31, 2024 18:32
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Coolguye posted:if you're asking me as some dude i'm 100% with you. these sites benefit from whipping people up into irrational frenzies, which is the exact same reason why we don't trust fox news. irrational frenzies benefit betting sites even more than fox news, so my instinct is to dismiss every data point from them forever.  For safety reasons, might stick to my principled presumption on this one.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:32
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I get a lot of Michael Scott from that pic of Hunter
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Jan 31, 2024 18:32
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Poles looking favorable
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Jan 31, 2024 18:33
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Jan 31, 2024 18:35
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Serious_Cyclone posted:I get a lot of Michael Scott from that pic of Hunter 
PKMN Trainer Red fucked around with this message at 18:47 on Jan 31, 2024 |
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Jan 31, 2024 18:36
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Serious_Cyclone posted:It is wild to me that there is any doubt that the incumbent POTUS who is running for reelection will be the candidate for the party. Weirdly that applies to both parties in this race. Well it's dumb money betting that Biden falls ill or drops dead and they have to bring in a new candidate. What's funny is those odds imply Trump is less at risk for losing the nom than Biden is. Biden is just health risk, where Trump is a bigger health risk, facing a million indictments, and still has a longshot primary challenger in the mix. But Biden's health concerns have been played up a lot more by the media. Biden is hands down much healthier than Trump, but he doesn't wear a pound of bronzer and scream so he comes of more like an old man than Trump.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:36
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That's one bad rear end baby.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:37
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So then all these folk are just fine with it if, say, a Jehovah’s Witness was walked up and sawed off the head of a statue of Jesus, because statues portraying the Lord are wrong in his eyes? (No, they are mad because they are being told not to do a thing they want to do, their hypocrisy does not have any logic to it)
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Jan 31, 2024 18:38
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 So… sex in general is bad, but cigarettes, beer, and whiskey are A-OK for babies?!
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Jan 31, 2024 18:38
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Rod Hoofhearted posted:
Sex bad, drugs good! Halfway to rock and roll.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:39
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Rod Hoofhearted posted:
Things I like - good. Things you like - bad. Try to understand.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:41
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It's nice that they are finally acknowledging that slavery is a religion to them.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:42
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It’s always fun to see what the next Knowledge Fight will cover, since Alex Jones will absolutely go bananas over this statue story.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:42
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LMAO
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Jan 31, 2024 18:42
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what the poo poo is a life clinic??
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Jan 31, 2024 18:43
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Jan 31, 2024 18:44
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:https://twitter.com/JoeMyGod/status/1752732957377257795?s=20 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GH1ruMGpTVY
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Jan 31, 2024 18:45
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nobodygetshurt posted:what the poo poo is a life clinic?? Don't get me started on life clinics. They're christian run pregnancy clinics that tout themselves as a health center then do a bunch of lying bullshit and trickery to try and get moms to keep their baby. Source: been to church fundraising that poo poo, been to life clinics They're pretty much the sole reason people think fetuses have heartbeats when they're still a clump of like 20 cells. They do an ultrasound and a bunch of just regular noise it picks up they'll tout as heartbeats or point at nothing and be like oh it's EYES, etc. Grey Cat fucked around with this message at 18:47 on Jan 31, 2024 |
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Jan 31, 2024 18:45
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nobodygetshurt posted:what the poo poo is a life clinic?? Those fake planned parenthood clinics that advertise themselves basically as planned parenthood to desperate young people who need services and, once roped in, basically hit you over the head with the bible and demand you rethink your abortion and etc without actually giving any services that planned parenthood would? https://www.plannedparenthood.org/blog/what-are-crisis-pregnancy-centers
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Jan 31, 2024 18:46
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nobodygetshurt posted:what the poo poo is a life clinic?? Those cool anti-abortion pro-forced birth places that dupe people into thinking they are being given proper healthcare but will not actually do anything that Phyllis schafly would disapprove of
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Jan 31, 2024 18:46
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They are rare, but I totally love it whenever I see that someone had a manic episode all over the back of their car. Like they took the time to get adhesive letters, wash the back of their car to have a good surface, and then one by one peel those letters off to slowly spell out some rabidly bad take in the hopes of communicating their craziness to the waitress stuck behind them in traffic that just wants to listen to her podcast in peace before her garbage job. Has anyone here ever known someone that has done this sort of thing because I am really curious what kind of person they are.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:47
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Wait, gambling question. What's keeping me (besides self control and poverty) from simply putting money on one of every no option in a single bet? For example for the question "What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 presidential election?" there's 16 choices. Only one of those will be a Yes.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:47
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Grey Cat posted:Don't get me started on life clinics. They're christian run pregnancy clinics that tout themselves as a health center then do a bunch of lying bullshit and trickery to try and get moms to keep their baby. jfc
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Jan 31, 2024 18:49
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Lifespan posted:They are rare, but I totally love it whenever I see that someone had a manic episode all over the back of their car. Like they took the time to get adhesive letters, wash the back of their car to have a good surface, and then one by one peel those letters off to slowly spell out some rabidly bad take in the hopes of communicating their craziness to the waitress stuck behind them in traffic that just wants to listen to her podcast in peace before her garbage job. Has anyone here ever known someone that has done this sort of thing because I am really curious what kind of person they are. I knew one person who wrote up a manifesto, but it was about how Jesus is water and water is life and swimming is prayer She also was convinced that by leaving sea scallops out on the counter, they would cook But regardless, you should probably read this thread, it is perfect for you https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3971471&perpage=40&pagenumber=88&noseen=1
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Jan 31, 2024 18:50
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Lifespan posted:They are rare, but I totally love it whenever I see that someone had a manic episode all over the back of their car. Like they took the time to get adhesive letters, wash the back of their car to have a good surface, and then one by one peel those letters off to slowly spell out some rabidly bad take in the hopes of communicating their craziness to the waitress stuck behind them in traffic that just wants to listen to her podcast in peace before her garbage job. Has anyone here ever known someone that has done this sort of thing because I am really curious what kind of person they are. I used to work with one back in my college days. Small guy, very tidy hair, serial killer glasses. Drove an old white rape van with which he shuttled his 9 kids around back and forth from choir practice. Super religious, mostly kept to himself but wouldn't shut the gently caress up when you acknowledged him, and nobody gave him an aux cord because he'd put on his self-recorded album of him singing spirituals and blast it over the shop radio while singing along with it. I've wondered how he's doing in these especially crack-ping-y days, but I'm afraid to check back up on him lest I end up on his radar again.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:50
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I thought they liked the devil, the guy that takes the blame for them every time they get publicly outed as immoral cockroaches.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:50
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I want to live deliciously
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Jan 31, 2024 18:50
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Escape From Noise posted:And if Donald Trump marries a racehorse their kid is gonna be really fast. picturing Barron running steeplechase, bounding over obstacles effortlessly, like a majestic gazelle
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Jan 31, 2024 18:52
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Lifespan posted:They are rare, but I totally love it whenever I see that someone had a manic episode all over the back of their car. Like they took the time to get adhesive letters, wash the back of their car to have a good surface, and then one by one peel those letters off to slowly spell out some rabidly bad take in the hopes of communicating their craziness to the waitress stuck behind them in traffic that just wants to listen to her podcast in peace before her garbage job. Has anyone here ever known someone that has done this sort of thing because I am really curious what kind of person they are. I only knew someone with 200 bumper stickers I once asked them about it and the first 2 were to hide a scratch and after that they just sticker bombed the back of their car with whatever. If they went someplace they got a bumper sticker. It was a hideous mess of overlapping and not straight rectangles. It does not at all look the same as with form fitting stickers. They had terrible taste in everything, they also collected Nike shoes and funkopop.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:52
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Ionicpsycho posted:Wait, gambling question. What's keeping me (besides self control and poverty) from simply putting money on one of every no option in a single bet? For example for the question "What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 presidential election?" there's 16 choices. Only one of those will be a Yes. the same thing that stops you from placing equal bets on both black and red in roulette. the way the odds are generally calculated you cannot win money with this strategy.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:56
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You guys realize that money inflows on bets move the line/odds, right? The purpose is to drive equal $ volume on both sides. It’s not a straight up odds thing.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:56
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Ionicpsycho posted:Wait, gambling question. What's keeping me (besides self control and poverty) from simply putting money on one of every no option in a single bet? For example for the question "What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 presidential election?" there's 16 choices. Only one of those will be a Yes. No, I actually got kicked out of a casino once because I bet on both black and red on roulette. It took them awhile but eventually they figured out how I was winning every game and got super mad.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:57
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When looking at these polls I would like to remind everyone that every indication showed that 2022 was going to be an absolute blowout win for Republicans and yet they lost big to an incumbent who had a sub 50 approval rating during an economic downturn. That is insane and basically takes work to accomplish. Basically what I'm saying is even if Biden is less popular and even if the economy is not great he probably has a great chance at winning reelection because Republicans really are that bad at reading the room and Trump has done nothing to gain the independents and undecideds he needs to win. And if Trump is the Republican nominee and in prison prior to November it will be an absolute devastating blow to Republicans nationwide and you're going to see some absolutely ridiculous democrat victories in areas you wouldn't even imagine it possible. I bet Texas actually goes blue.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:57
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| # ? Jun 3, 2024 12:34 |
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Three Olives posted:No, I actually got kicked out of a casino once because I bet on both black and red on roulette. It took them awhile but eventually they figured out how I was winning every game and got super mad. If you were winning every game what happened when it landed on the green zero.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:58
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