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SixteenShells posted:I like how he posts like an early 2010s internet atheist pointing out logical fallacies and yet his whole argument rests on the ecological fallacy It's even funnier that he was a liz lad. So in 2019 and 2020 he wholeheartedly believed the US needed big structural change, but has now found math that proves actually people are just too stupid to know how good they have it. stancil is 100% accurately diagnosing himself but misapplying it to the general populace when he says voters are disconnected from reality and just go off of vibes and the faith that their perception of reality is universal truth To my knowledge he also has never had a "Ok so here's how I was completely wrong 4 years ago and why I don't believe I'm making the same mistakes" response to people pointing out his about face turn, he just quietly ignores it.
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Mar 2, 2024 21:27
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Is healthcare required for life?
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Mar 2, 2024 22:37
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https://twitter.com/HuffPostPol/status/1763979636390683096
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Mar 2, 2024 23:25
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What leadership? I strongly disapprove of the things that the Biden administration is doing, but the man Joseph Robinette Biden cannot be described as a “leader”.
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Mar 2, 2024 23:29
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Even ignoring her politics that’s creepy as hell and also imagine if Trump had done that to a head of state.
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Mar 3, 2024 00:06
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The Demokkkrats are going to be destrroyed in 2024 (inshallah)
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Mar 3, 2024 00:30
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Biden probably thought that Meloni was some other politician entirely, who died in the nineties.
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Mar 3, 2024 00:41
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I doubt any deeper thoughts than "blonde lady, sniff hair" went through his mind. At this point it's just instinct
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Mar 3, 2024 00:55
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https://twitter.com/neekolul/status/1764049906938032504
ex post facho has issued a correction as of 07:09 on Mar 3, 2024 |
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Mar 3, 2024 07:06
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I believe that he will win
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Mar 3, 2024 09:44
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the collective opinion of goons is always wrong so biden probably will live through the election and win somehow. predicting a normal, rational outcome in us elections is for suckers.
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Mar 3, 2024 09:58
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gimme the GOD drat candy posted:the collective opinion of goons is always wrong so biden probably will live through the election and win somehow. predicting a normal, rational outcome in us elections is for suckers. There is the very real phenomenon of polls being useless now. This thread was convinced a republican wave was coming in the midterms that never happened. I remember getting shouted down when I said there was aproximately zero chance that Patty Murray would lose despite her poll numbers showing it neck and neck: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/washington/ 57 to 42. Polls couldn't predict a 15 point spread. That doesn't necessarily mean Biden is going to win or we can unskew the polls somehow. It means they're useless.
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Mar 3, 2024 15:04
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biden is going to lose because his entire campaign last time was about going back to normal and instead everything has gotten far worse, the polls are just a fun lil' confirmation of this
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Mar 3, 2024 15:18
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Thoguh posted:Even ignoring her politics that’s creepy as hell and also imagine if Trump had done that to a head of state. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RVvrNJHiuj8
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Mar 3, 2024 15:31
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Leviathan Song posted:I remember getting shouted down when I said there was aproximately zero chance that Patty Murray would lose despite her poll numbers showing it neck and neck: Yeah how dare those stupid goons trust polls over your arbitrary opinions. It's good you're here though to remind everyone of the grudge you're holding over it and that you are far more trustworthy than polling. Hopefully everyone around you will trust you this time.
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Mar 3, 2024 15:55
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my prediction: Biden will win the usual safe blue states, Trump will win the usual safe red states and Michigan, and the other purple states could go either way depending on how motivated the Dems are to reelect a brain-damaged genocidal rapist
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Mar 3, 2024 15:56
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FLIPADELPHIA posted:Yeah how dare those stupid goons trust polls over your arbitrary opinions. It's good you're here though to remind everyone of the grudge you're holding over it and that you are far more trustworthy than polling. It's not like I didn't back it up with evidence. She got over 50% in the primary which had a 40% voter turnout. That's better data than any poll sampling will ever do on an entire state. Not all primaries are equal but a Washington state primary is pretty solid evidence of who will win the general. The fact that polls conducted between two elections a few months apart showed results wildly out of line with the actual elections shows that the polls are terrible.
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Mar 3, 2024 15:59
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well I'm convinced, whatever outcome this goon predicts is gonna happen
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Mar 3, 2024 16:33
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Yeah I think we can close down this thread.
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Mar 3, 2024 16:40
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Good Citizen posted:you do you but I’m just gonna not vote for either of the senile rapists and like smoke weed that day or something idk I guess "support" is a bit of a stretch when my vote doesn't matter being in a solid red state. I think my use of the word is to be taken as "will defend in meaningless conversations".
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Mar 3, 2024 16:44
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Leviathan Song posted:It's not like I didn't back it up with evidence. She got over 50% in the primary which had a 40% voter turnout. That's better data than any poll sampling will ever do on an entire state. Not all primaries are equal but a Washington state primary is pretty solid evidence of who will win the general. The fact that polls conducted between two elections a few months apart showed results wildly out of line with the actual elections shows that the polls are terrible. This is a thread for hope, sir
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Mar 3, 2024 16:47
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I can't believe we didn't listen about Patty Murray
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Mar 3, 2024 16:51
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Jesus lol
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Mar 3, 2024 17:00
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Cerebral Bore posted:biden is going to lose because his entire campaign last time was about going back to normal and instead everything has gotten far worse, the polls are just a fun lil' confirmation of this That is the American normal though. I was asked what has Biden accomplished, and I came up totally blank. Even looking up pro Biden sites couldn't name a compelling example. It's all stuff that was already worked out independent of the White House for years and coincidentally came out during Biden's presidency, like COVID vaccines. A few large spending bills were passed, but no one is able to list what those bills accomplished. The money did not translate into real world impacts. At most a bunch of legal rule changes were passed under Biden like specifics in housing discrimination, but there's no evidence of an impact. Shits still expensive and everything in American life is deteriorating. The only things I can lay squarely in the hands of the White House are all massive policy failures, like all these immoral wars Biden is losing.
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Mar 3, 2024 17:04
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who the hell is Patty Murphy
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Mar 3, 2024 17:05
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the only W of the Biden admin is not walking back from the afghan withdrawal that trump initiated. They easily could have just reversed course but they finally ended American occupation of the nation. It's a weak example though bc a) they immediately started sanctioning the Taliban, withholding domestic currency reserves and caused a famine and b) it was one of the most unpopular things he did during the presidency before oct 7 lol.
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Mar 3, 2024 17:08
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The337th posted:who the hell is Patty Murphy she's from washington and we all thought she was going to lose. but she didn't. we shouldn't have done so much shouting down, if only we had known
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Mar 3, 2024 17:16
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In Training posted:the only W of the Biden admin is not walking back from the afghan withdrawal that trump initiated. They easily could have just reversed course but they finally ended American occupation of the nation. they didn't have much choice. the talibans were winning and it would have been even more unpopular to send more troops.
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Mar 3, 2024 17:59
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Cerebral Bore posted:biden is going to lose because his entire campaign last time was about going back to normal and instead everything has gotten far worse, the polls are just a fun lil' confirmation of this people remember trump 2020 as that period of time when capitalism briefly wasn't crushing them into dust with the student loan moratorium (now ended under biden), the expanded child tax credit (also ended under biden), eviction protections (ended under biden), and inflation was low/nonexistent (now out of control under biden, everything is 20-60% more expensive and not coming down). it was the most progressive administration via the pandemic programs since fdr even if it took scaring capital with the pandemic (pandemic protections also ended under biden). biden has been absolute dogshit and prosecutes a genocide. roe v wade ended (he has done nothing to fight this). he murdered the green new deal and hosed the CPC over on BBB negotiations (intentional). military funding has increased (intentional). gently caress the democrats and gently caress joe biden
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Mar 3, 2024 18:37
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I'm not reading this, someone with greater constitution than I can summarize https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1764110969041469886
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Mar 3, 2024 18:42
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she had a weed gummy again [derogatory]
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Mar 3, 2024 18:43
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hello CC welcome to the desert of the real 
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Mar 3, 2024 18:44
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man november is gonna be funny https://twitter.com/nick_field90/status/1764336189073465503
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Mar 3, 2024 18:51
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ex post facho posted:man november is gonna be funny 
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Mar 3, 2024 18:57
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Venomous posted:my prediction: Biden will win the usual safe blue states, Trump will win the usual safe red states and Michigan, and the other purple states could go either way depending on how motivated the Dems are to reelect a brain-damaged genocidal rapist The only thing I can think of that will save the Dems is abortion. Maybe, juuust maybe, a national ban won’t happen under Biden’s watch during his second term. That’s the most anyone hopes for. Roe getting axed spooked moderates longer than I thought. We’ll see if they’re still feeling that way in eight months. I can also tell Trump is trying to pump the brakes a bit with the anti-abortion faction, and it seems they’re kinda falling in line except for this latest IVF thing.
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Mar 3, 2024 19:10
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The337th posted:ping ponging between the two of them is probably the best path to hastening the decline I will vote for Biden if he runs in 2028. This is the only scenario I will ever for Joe Biden. Well that's not true, I'd vote for him in 2032 too.
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Mar 3, 2024 19:36
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ex post facho posted:man november is gonna be funny lmfao hell yes
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Mar 3, 2024 19:37
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ukskew the polls 2024
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Mar 3, 2024 19:37
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Uncle Boogeyman posted:is there a way they could... both be president? if they kiss, yes
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Mar 3, 2024 19:38
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Leviathan Song posted:There is the very real phenomenon of polls being useless now. This thread was convinced a republican wave was coming in the midterms that never happened. I remember getting shouted down when I said there was aproximately zero chance that Patty Murray would lose despite her poll numbers showing it neck and neck: I think it's particularly hard in the context of two horrible people running.
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Mar 3, 2024 19:49
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