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Death By The Blues
Oct 30, 2011
guess they are going to find out if the Iranian hypersonic missiles are ready.

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Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

Death By The Blues posted:

guess they are going to find out if the Iranian hypersonic missiles are ready.

still v doubtful iran will respond with more than stepping up hezbo rocket attacks

Sancho Banana
Aug 4, 2023

Not to be confused with meat.

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

How possible would it be, do you think, for the US media to run cover for Israel responding to a few ballistic missiles here and there with a nuke?

"It was a technical error, the IDF says they meant to drop a regular bomb, no biggie"

DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Al! posted:

still v doubtful iran will respond with more than stepping up hezbo rocket attacks

That's the problem, without Russia actually backing them, in a real sense.

Nobody knows how deranged Israel will be, or what the threshold is for drawing the US in, so what's the bare minimum required to say "If you strike at Syria and Iran we'll gently caress you up, playtime is over" without kicking of The Big One, which they would need to really prepare for, mobilize their armies, figure out how to even get troops within striking distance of Israel etc.

They have no guarantee of Turkey, Jordan, Egypt or even Iraq being in their corner, so having the entirety of the Israeli and US military forces in theatre come down on them risks incredible losses for their countries, without a guarantee of any success.

fuctifino
Jun 11, 2001

https://twitter.com/dannydanon/status/1775591401067012360
She used to be the UK's Home Secretary under Boris, and has been trying to outfash all the other UK fascists. She's now just a lowly MP and probably eyeing up a post-Parliamentary job after she loses her job at the next election.... but even she looks genuinely terrified over what she just heard and witnessed.

She normally looks like this, which was used as the official press photo for a trip to Rwanda where the 'immigrant deportation to camps and hopeful future genocide' agreement was signed

Dolash
Oct 23, 2008

aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,


Biden's statements are like experiments to discover how much you can twist language to mean one thing while sounding like the other. This has always been the Liberal approach to empire and violence, depending on framing and communication strategies, but they usually get the bare minimum cooperation from their agents and the population at large usually gives up after enough platitudes.

Watching the liberal mind caught between a rock and a hard place, with Israel outright bucking their attempts to clean up on one hand while the public remaining resolutely disgusted and outraged on the other, is producing some of their most tortured thinking yet.

Maya Fey
Jan 22, 2017


https://twitter.com/GlobeEyeNews/status/1775939313462858126

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

That's the problem, without Russia actually backing them, in a real sense.

Nobody knows how deranged Israel will be, or what the threshold is for drawing the US in, so what's the bare minimum required to say "If you strike at Syria and Iran we'll gently caress you up, playtime is over" without kicking of The Big One, which they would need to really prepare for, mobilize their armies, figure out how to even get troops within striking distance of Israel etc.

They have no guarantee of Turkey, Jordan, Egypt or even Iraq being in their corner, so having the entirety of the Israeli and US military forces in theatre come down on them risks incredible losses for their countries, without a guarantee of any success.

its in every country's interest to say "we will declare full global war if we are even struck at a little bit" but it appears israel is the only country that believes this hype

im reminded of an incident a couple of decades ago when china shot down a us spy plane and everyone convinced this meant war with china, but rather than "cooler heads prevailing" the idea is more or less an empty threat

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

true normalization (no longer interested in diplomacy with nazis)

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009


interesting if true

Maya Fey
Jan 22, 2017


HallelujahLee posted:

interesting if true

people saying this is, of all things, about the murder of the 7 aid workers

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

Maya Fey posted:

people saying this is, of all things, about the murder of the 7 aid workers

that might be the cover but im guessing if it happens its a culmination of everything so far

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

How possible would it be, do you think, for the US media to run cover for Israel responding to a few ballistic missiles here and there with a nuke?

very easily, the American population would love seeing a nuke go off, the more it kills the better chances Biden has of getting re-elected

VoicesCanBe
Jul 1, 2023

"Cóż, wygląda na to, że zostaliśmy łaskawie oszczędzeni trudu decydowania o własnym losie. Jakże uprzejme z ich strony, że przearanżowali Europę bez kłopotu naszego zdania!"

Sancho Banana posted:

By "immediate ceasefire" Biden just means a temporary ceasefire plus a hostage deal rather than an end to the war, which is what he's been doing for months.

Exactly. We've been down this road before. They're looking for a temporary pause.

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

HallelujahLee posted:

that might be the cover but im guessing if it happens its a culmination of everything so far

its like most permabans on these forums

Sancho Banana
Aug 4, 2023

Not to be confused with meat.

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

That's the problem, without Russia actually backing them, in a real sense.

Nobody knows how deranged Israel will be, or what the threshold is for drawing the US in, so what's the bare minimum required to say "If you strike at Syria and Iran we'll gently caress you up, playtime is over" without kicking of The Big One, which they would need to really prepare for, mobilize their armies, figure out how to even get troops within striking distance of Israel etc.

They have no guarantee of Turkey, Jordan, Egypt or even Iraq being in their corner, so having the entirety of the Israeli and US military forces in theatre come down on them risks incredible losses for their countries, without a guarantee of any success.

It's an enormously difficult geopolitical situation for Iran, that's for sure. The question that must be on their mind, however, is if the costs of effectively affirming Israel's international immunity to consequences will really be lesser for them, in the long term, then incurring the blowback of a retaliation against Israel.

And of course, this is just the Iranian political perspective. There's a genocide going on, man.

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

Al! posted:

its like most permabans on these forums

its time to permaban israel and the us

VoicesCanBe
Jul 1, 2023

"Cóż, wygląda na to, że zostaliśmy łaskawie oszczędzeni trudu decydowania o własnym losie. Jakże uprzejme z ich strony, że przearanżowali Europę bez kłopotu naszego zdania!"
As has been obvious all along, Biden's words and statements can't be trusted. So this "bold" call for an immediate ceasefire very well may be posturing for domestic PR, knowing Israel is going to ignore it.

Sancho Banana
Aug 4, 2023

Not to be confused with meat.

https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/israel/diplomacy/artc-uae-halts-diplomatic-coordination-with-israel#:~:text=The%20United%20Arab%20Emirates%20(UAE,crisis%20between%20the%20two%20countries.

quote:

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has announced a suspension of diplomatic coordination with Israel in the wake of the death of seven World Central Kitchen humanitarian workers in Gaza. 

The decision was confirmed by official sources to i24NEWS, marking a crisis between the two countries.

i24NEWS has learned that the Emirati foreign ministry has 'expressed outrage' with the Israeli ambassador Amir Hayek over the incident.

Efforts to address the crisis are underway, with Israel's Foreign Minister, Israel Katz, engaging in a phone call with his Emirati counterpart, Abdullah bin Zayed. Additionally, Director General of the Israeli Foreign Ministry, Yaakov Blitshtein, met with Ambassador Mohammed Mahmoud Al-Khaja in an attempt to find a resolution.

Ambassador Al-Khaja described the current state of affairs as "the darkest day in the relations between the countries."

It's about loving time

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

HallelujahLee posted:

its time to permaban israel and the us

everyone in the IDF must be permabanned (unironically)

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

Al! posted:

everyone in the IDF must be permabanned (unironically)

time for paul to return

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

Highly ironic that it took the killing of 7 white folks to get one of the most powerful arab states in the world to do this, not the other 35k dead palestinians.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
As a part of the Rules Based International Order they need to abide by the Arab:Caucasian exchange rate

DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Sancho Banana posted:

It's an enormously difficult geopolitical situation for Iran, that's for sure. The question that must be on their mind, however, is if the costs of effectively affirming Israel's international immunity to consequences will really be lesser for them, in the long term, then incurring the blowback of a retaliation against Israel.

And of course, this is just the Iranian political perspective. There's a genocide going on, man.

I mean, if I had a position in Cabinet, I would be paying Israel back in their own coin for Gerald Bull and Major Paeta Hess-von Kruedener, with interest, and that's just Canada. The fact that the Americans never thumped Israel for the USS Liberty is sickening. Israel still needs to be made to pay for the King David, etc.

Like the War of Attrition from 67 to 70, really it would take cross border raids, aggressive patrolling, and active and effective air defence to restrain Israel, and Russia is a lot loving stingier and cosier with Israel than the USSR was.

PawParole
Nov 16, 2019

https://twitter.com/business/status/1775552049372873059

Only registered members can see post attachments!

carcinofuck
Apr 18, 2001
pink floyd still sucks

Weka posted:

Bitch they are fighting and dying. I'm sorry they haven't invented the destroy Israel ray while fighting off half the region and the global hegemon, but they are in it to win it, not destroy themselves in a noble but unsuccessful attempt

Maya Fey
Jan 22, 2017


https://twitter.com/haaretzcom/status/1775923785704890813

the one thing the establishment truly fears..

PawParole
Nov 16, 2019

https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1775814640443789753

https://twitter.com/AnalyticaCamil1/status/1775819389138243792

Ok 🚨panic time🚨 — the Israeli government looks like it’s about to do either one or both of the big stupids.

There’s either about to be an offensive into Lebanon, or there’s going to be a push into Rafah (which’ll invariably trigger an Egyptian response).

Bibi’s government is engaging in obfuscation measures to obscure which way they’re going — but either of them are apt to have cataclysmic consequences, and it looks like they’re going to ignore the Biden administration fully.

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.

Maximo Roboto posted:

Wonder how this fits into the Pakistani-Iranian tensions from a few months back

These are the dudes Iran attacked in Pakistan

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

Maya Fey posted:

people saying this is, of all things, about the murder of the 7 aid workers

If Israel is willing to kill first worlders and intelligence assets, then nobody is safe. If they'll kill Americans then they'll sure as Hell kill Emiratis. Israel is declaring open season on humanity. How can you pretend that normalization is possible with a serial killer assassin state?

HallelujahLee
May 3, 2009

PawParole posted:

and it looks like they’re going to ignore the Biden administration fully.

well yeah why wouldnt they

Sancho Banana
Aug 4, 2023

Not to be confused with meat.
This is also a possibly existential dilemma for Iranian government. The Islamic Republic's domestic support base has been rocked many times these past 15 years, and one of - if not the - biggest sources of its popular legitimacy is its role in spearheading the Axis of Resistance. There's never been a bigger moment of truth for all the work Iran has supposedly been doing for all these years than this war, and more specifically, the upcoming invasion of Rafah plus the current situation with their Syrian embassy. If Iran and Hezbollah fail to enact significant enough pressure on Israel at a historically vulnerable moment in which it's also committing the biggest crime of the 21st century - or at least, not significant enough in the eyes of their people - than the already considerable critical sections of Iranian society who might be unhappy with the government but recognize its importance in combating American interests in the middle east are gonna start asking themselves what the loving point of all this was, of all the years of building up a military apparatus and a network of allies, if it doesn't deliver at such a crucial moment and leaves the Palestinians hanging.

There's really no situation in which Iran comes out of this in perfect shape. It's either attacking Israel and getting into a regional war with the US involved or doing nothing. The costs of both will be hard to take in one way or another, and I don't envy the choice Iran has to make here, but this is the reality of the situation.

DynamicSloth
Jul 30, 2006

"Man is least himself when he talks in his own person. Give him a mask, and he will tell you the truth."

mcmagic posted:

Highly ironic that it took the killing of 7 white folks to get one of the most powerful arab states in the world to do this, not the other 35k dead palestinians.


Would be nice if any of these outraged world leaders could spare a word for the hundreds of tonnes of aid diverted, the entire aid organizations exiting the theatre and the increased blocking of land aid since the attack.

No aid trucks in northern Gaza since deadly strike

quote:

The Kuwait roundabout is almost empty of people waiting for aid trucks. Since the air strike that killed seven aid workers, the very few trucks transporting aid to northern Gaza - where residents are suffering from famine - have stopped.

Three aid charity groups have stopped transporting aid in the wake of the recent raid.

Osama Tawfiq, who lives in Gaza City, tells me: "The products in the market were very scarce and expensive before and are now almost unavailable. The price of a kilo of flour has increased by 100% since the aid trucks stopped. Last week I bought it for $10 (£8). Today it has become $20, almost not available in most stores."

Aid trucks to northern Gaza stopped after the decision of the United Arab Emirates, which was co-ordinating their arrival with Israel, to suspend its humanitarian operations following the air strike on aid workers.

The suspension of work threatens to exacerbate the hunger crisis there, where residents are living in tragic, near-famine conditions.

Would also be nice if they weren't giving the genocidaires exactly what they want.

Weka
May 5, 2019

That child totally had it coming. Nobody should be able to be out at dusk except cars.

DJJIB-DJDCT posted:

However, the embassy strike was on the same day as the NGO one and I haven't seen any mainstream reporting on it.

https://www.google.co.nz/search?q=iran+embassy+Syria

CNN
Reuters
AP
The Guardian
BBC

DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

PawParole posted:

https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1775814640443789753

https://twitter.com/AnalyticaCamil1/status/1775819389138243792

Ok 🚨panic time🚨 — the Israeli government looks like it’s about to do either one or both of the big stupids.

There’s either about to be an offensive into Lebanon, or there’s going to be a push into Rafah (which’ll invariably trigger an Egyptian response).

Bibi’s government is engaging in obfuscation measures to obscure which way they’re going — but either of them are apt to have cataclysmic consequences, and it looks like they’re going to ignore the Biden administration fully.

This kind of misreading kills me, because this entire thing is directed at the Biden administration.



They're doing all of the July 1914 stuff that should freak out neighbouring states: spoofing GPS, recalling leave, presumably they'll activate reservists in the next little while etc. etc. all of the things you would do if you were about to start a war, and, since Syria and Iran can't allow themselves to be caught flatfooted will provoke a response - the entire loving Middle East remembers Israel's surprise attack in 1967 (which they still refer to as defensive btw). It seems to me the Israelis are hoping that they can trigger a "war by timetable", get someone to declare war on them, and have the US come and rescue them.

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

If Israel is willing to kill first worlders and intelligence assets, then nobody is safe. If they'll kill Americans then they'll sure as Hell kill Emiratis. Israel is declaring open season on humanity. How can you pretend that normalization is possible with a serial killer assassin state?

its this, them being white is of marginal relevance. israel outright murdered 4 aid workers and 3 security guys that may or may not have been active spooks. similar to actually assassinating a rival leader, this is a tremendous escalation in terms of scope, if not one in terms of human misery and death as obviously Gaza has been subjected to horrors for half a year now.

Pener Kropoopkin
Jan 30, 2013

There's video making the rounds now of the IDF shooting Palestinians trying to retrieve airdropped aid packages, and leaving their bodies to the dogs. Every day it's another Nazi level affront to humanity with this goddamned country.

Leandros
Dec 14, 2008

I just don't get how Israel assumes they can survive as a society as it stands, much less if they pick a hot war with Iran. Like even if the US intervenes, that would mean Hezbollah, Syria, various Iraqi groups and Iran letting loose, no? Plus Russia would probably love to test their AD on the newest western fighters, even if most of those countries are not in formal military friendship with them.

Dreylad
Jun 19, 2001

Leandros posted:

I just don't get how Israel assumes they can survive as a society as it stands, much less if they pick a hot war with Iran. Like even if the US intervenes, that would mean Hezbollah, Syria, various Iraqi groups and Iran letting loose, no? Plus Russia would probably love to test their AD on the newest western fighters, even if most of those countries are not in formal military friendship with them.

I think the point of right-wing ideology is victory is just around the corner if we do one more war of annihilation. But you have to keep the violence going otherwise people realize there is no resolution to any of this, so that's where they're at.

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DJJIB-DJDCT
Feb 1, 2024

Leandros posted:

I just don't get how Israel assumes they can survive as a society as it stands, much less if they pick a hot war with Iran. Like even if the US intervenes, that would mean Hezbollah, Syria, various Iraqi groups and Iran letting loose, no?

Israel fights the entire Arab (and Persian) world, the US gives them unlimited material and financial aid, and the diaspora and American public love them again: it's 1967 forever.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH8gtdDA5x0

Leandros posted:

Plus Russia would probably love to test their AD on the newest western fighters, even if most of those countries are not in formal military friendship with them.

It is my greatest disappointment, but Russia is not the USSR.

DJJIB-DJDCT has issued a correction as of 20:26 on Apr 4, 2024

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