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welp the Braves used up every bit of good sports mojo this state will have for decades.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:13
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PostNouveau posted:Hurricane Ida saved OU's playoff hopes. I'm fully convinced they would have lost that same game if it had been played in New Orleans as planned. Same, I kind of think Tulane's season could have gone differently in general if they hadn't had to spend the first few weeks of the season evacuated.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:14
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dphi posted:Any thoughts on this guy who seems to be claiming he's cracked the committee's algorithm? I don't have a clue what game control means, but comparing Cincy's resume to Michigan State's using these metrics, seems like Cincy should be higher than Michigan State.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:16
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So really, we have the BCS controlled playoff with only one moon poll and big name figureheads to ensure that the little guys don't manage to sneak in anyway.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:23
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PostNouveau posted:I don't have a clue what game control means, but comparing Cincy's resume to Michigan State's using these metrics, seems like Cincy should be higher than Michigan State. you will notice that's Cincinnati is the only entry where he didn't mention what rank the poll actually put them at. based on what other teams were ranked by this algorithm it seems very likely that they were the fourth-place team.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:28
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Henchman of Santa posted:You have a tiebreaker with a team that beat you straight up? I... Drank heavily in that game
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Nov 3, 2021 18:30
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dphi posted:Any thoughts on this guy who seems to be claiming he's cracked the committee's algorithm? Conspicuously missing: number of losses.
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Nov 3, 2021 18:30
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TheGreyGhost posted:If Ohio State wins out, they will get in over Cincinnati. Give UC as many style points as they want. Make the OSU wins as ugly as you want. The committee will not put UC in over Ohio State if they both win out. Again, this isn't a value judgment. The committee cares about the brand. And if Oregon wins out, Oregon beat OSU, so if we are saying OSU is a playoff team after beating all these ranked teams and Oregon beat them then Oregon has to be a playoff team too. Sorry Cinci, our hands are tied 
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Nov 3, 2021 18:36
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zimbomonkey posted:you will notice that's Cincinnati is the only entry where he didn't mention what rank the poll actually put them at. based on what other teams were ranked by this algorithm it seems very likely that they were the fourth-place team. He says they are 3rd in the poll in the thread.
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Nov 3, 2021 19:09
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Does anybody know the name of the monkey?
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Nov 3, 2021 19:11
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vikingstrike posted:He says they are 3rd in the poll in the thread. I believe the guy is running a moon poll that he only shares with his substack. He claims the moon poll is highly predictive of the playoff committee's votes. Likely the 4 main inputs are the things he's listing for each team, but he glosses over how Cincy's inputs are better than Michigan State's and doesn't say where his moon poll put them.
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Nov 3, 2021 19:13
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Rusty Rickshaw posted:Does anybody know the name of the monkey? Banana Assassin
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Nov 3, 2021 19:15
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LLCoolJD posted:Banana Assassin Well played, good sir. 
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Nov 3, 2021 19:17
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I was able to make my moon poll somewhat approximate a CFP poll by assigning all SEC and Big Ten teams -1 loss, all AAC and MWC teams and BYU +1 loss, +2 losses for the Sun Belt, and +3 losses for CUSA/MAC/non-ND Independents, plus adjusted my strength of schedule to use those modified loss totals , and then exponentially penalized teams with SOS rankings under 66 (65 P5 teams plus Notre Dame). Even then it can't replicate that bullshit because a computer treats all resumes the same:pre:CFP AP Team Record Eff Record Score 1 1 1. Georgia 8-0 8-(-1) 4.9041 5 6 2. Ohio State 7-1 7-0 3.8902 8 4 3. Oklahoma 9-0 9-(-1) 3.7646 2 3 4. Alabama 7-1 7-0 3.6479 3 5 5. Michigan State 8-0 8-(-1) 3.5177 7 9 6. Michigan 7-1 7-0 3.4749 9 10 7. Wake Forest 8-0 8-0 3.4493 12 14 8. Baylor 7-1 7-1 3.2730 6 2 9. Cincinnati 8-0 8-1 3.2309 11 11 10. Oklahoma State 7-1 7-1 3.0737 22 19 11. Iowa 6-2 6-1 3.0371 10 8 12. Notre Dame 7-1 7-1 3.0030 4 7 13. Oregon 7-1 7-1 2.9683 13 12 14. Auburn 6-2 6-1 2.6330 14 13 15. Texas A&M 6-2 6-1 2.6004 16 15 16. Ole Miss 6-2 6-1 2.5141 15 17 17. BYU 7-2 7-3 2.3021 20 - 18. Minnesota 6-2 6-1 2.2357 25 - 19. Pittsburgh 6-2 6-2 2.2160 19 - 20. NC State 6-2 6-2 2.1579 - - 21. Arkansas 5-3 5-2 2.1217 - 22 22. Penn State 5-3 5-2 2.0207 - - 23. Iowa State 5-3 5-3 1.9938 - 20 24. Houston 7-1 7-2 1.9419 17 - 25. Mississippi State 5-3 5-2 1.9406 - 16 26. UTSA 8-0 8-3 1.9117 23 25 28. Fresno State 7-2 7-3 1.8103 21 - 29. Wisconsin 5-3 5-2 1.7976 24 - 31. San Diego State 7-1 7-2 1.6383 18 18 38. Kentucky 6-2 6-1 1.3387 - 21 40. Coastal Carolina 7-1 7-3 1.2884 - 24 41. Louisiana 7-1 7-3 1.1998 - 23 51. SMU 7-1 7-2 1.0543 dirty shrimp money fucked around with this message at 19:31 on Nov 3, 2021 |
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Nov 3, 2021 19:24
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Yates posted:And if Oregon wins out, Oregon beat OSU, so if we are saying OSU is a playoff team after beating all these ranked teams and Oregon beat them then Oregon has to be a playoff team too. Sorry Cinci, our hands are tied Exactly. These teams feel like absolute locks: - SEC Champ - Big 10 Champ (from the East) - 1 Loss Oregon - 1 Loss Georgia From there, you have a grab bag of the following: - Big 12 Winner (If 1 loss or undefeated) - Cincinnati (If they win out) - 1 Loss Big 10 East runner up - 1 Loss Georgia (if Bama wins the SECCG) - 1 Loss Notre Dame - 2 Loss Bama (because lol the committee will absolutely think about it) The only one of those I give Cincinnati a chance of getting in relative to are ND or the SEC runner up. If Oklahoma finishes strong or Okie State beats them decisively twice, they're in. Honestly same if Baylor wins out. 1 loss Big 10 East team between OSU/MSU/UM, especially if the 1 loss is close, probably is going to get the "Strength of Schedule" bump, since all 3 of those teams will have beaten Indiana worse than UC did and will have at least one in-conference win that looks as good as ND. 2 Loss Bama probably doesn't make it the committee pretty much has to put them at 4 and cause a Georgia rematch. Honestly just expand the playoff you giant babies. Who cares if 2-3 SEC teams get in every year, we already do that poo poo and it sucks.
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Nov 3, 2021 20:20
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Just replace the committee with the old BCS computers and the Harris poll, it won’t be worse.
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Nov 3, 2021 20:21
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I get Oregon beat Ohio state but the rest of their schedule looks bad. Fresno State is probably their best win outside Ohio State. 4 of their 7 wins was by a single score with the remaining 3 being the powerhouses of Stoney Brook, Arizona, and Colorodo and a loss to Stanford to cap it off. The only explanation is a deliberate screw job to cinci and the entire G5 with not even ranking UTSA.
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Nov 3, 2021 20:23
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Just award the Natty based on 247 recruiting rankings
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Nov 3, 2021 22:13
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nd getting in over a cincinnati team that beat them would give me an aneurysm
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Nov 3, 2021 23:15
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Kent State is dressed up like bootleg LA Chargers.
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Nov 4, 2021 00:11
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Declan MacManus posted:nd getting in over a cincinnati team that beat them would give me an aneurysm Shutdown Fullcast had a pretty good bit about this, where Notre Dame had good wins and their only loss was to a quality team in Cincinnati 
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Nov 4, 2021 01:08
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Fleck gets an extension through 2028: https://gophersports.com/news/2021/11/3/football-fleck-signs-new-seven-year-contract.aspx
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Nov 4, 2021 01:47
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LLCoolJD posted:Fleck gets an extension through 2028: he’s our best coach by win percentage since hitler was alive so it makes sense
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Nov 4, 2021 02:11
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Mother duckers mad at Bama already and are somehow ok with goddamn Notre Dame getting in somehow despite what has happened literally every single time they’ve been given the benefit of the doubt.
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Nov 4, 2021 02:43
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Soup du Jour posted:he’s our best coach by win percentage since hitler was alive so it makes sense Ugh, 7 more years of his stupid boat poo poo. Ironic for a state with such a shameful amount of trout stream flowage compared to the way cooler state directly to the East.
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Nov 4, 2021 02:44
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Warbird posted:Mother duckers mad at Bama already and are somehow ok with goddamn Notre Dame getting in somehow despite what has happened literally every single time they’ve been given the benefit of the doubt. idgi, are you saying we should be against Notre Dame getting publically humiliated?
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Nov 4, 2021 03:11
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Some obvious bullshit but Neon Deion go coach TCU please https://twitter.com/chris_hummer/status/1456044812184981504
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Nov 4, 2021 03:20
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I want ND to make a NY6 Bowl every year only to get blown. It’s one of the best parts of the holiday season.
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Nov 4, 2021 03:43
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PostNouveau posted:Some obvious bullshit but Neon Deion go coach TCU please Oh poo poo, Jay Norvell. Remember when Bob Stoops called Charlie Strong and said he was about to fire Jay Norvell and Charlie should snap him up, and Charlie actually did for some insane reason? And then Charlie demoted Shawn Watson and gave Jay Norvell playcalling duties just in time for the OU game and we actually handed OU their only regular season loss that year on the way to missing a bowl game? And also Jeff Traylor was like the assistant to the not-OC who called plays during that time? Crazy times.
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Nov 4, 2021 04:05
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:I want ND to make a NY6 Bowl every year only to get blown. It’s one of the best parts of the holiday season. This isn't exactly difficult for D1 athletes, and they don't just limit it to the holidays!
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Nov 4, 2021 04:15
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PostNouveau posted:Some obvious bullshit but Neon Deion go coach TCU please Deion's got Jackson State at 7-1 after years of mediocrity
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Nov 4, 2021 05:04
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Alaois posted:Deion's got Jackson State at 7-1 after years of mediocrity It's bullshit because they're gonna hire Sonny Dykes no matter what
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Nov 4, 2021 05:07
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They should literally make Notre Dame the #5 and 6 seeds every year and make them play twice a weekend Watching their teeth get kicked in will never ever ever get old
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Nov 4, 2021 06:02
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Big excited for next season https://twitter.com/AztecStadium/status/1455925435766870029
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Nov 4, 2021 06:51
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:I want ND to make a NY6 Bowl every year only to get blown. It’s one of the best parts of the holiday season. Think that’s against school rules
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Nov 4, 2021 11:38
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https://twitter.com/delatorre/status/1456267569120251916?t=Fk-ijdOuZylveZ6LxBesQg&s=19
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Nov 4, 2021 15:55
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LLCoolJD posted:https://twitter.com/delatorre/status/1456267569120251916?t=Fk-ijdOuZylveZ6LxBesQg&s=19 This makes my head throb.
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Nov 4, 2021 16:06
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PostNouveau posted:Some obvious bullshit but Neon Deion go coach TCU please TCU going all in with the “dating the opposite of your ex” thing.
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Nov 4, 2021 16:06
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https://twitter.com/WarBlogle/status/1455755448263614464?s=20 If Auburn could keep signing kids named Nix I'd appreciate it thx
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Nov 4, 2021 16:08
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LeeMajors posted:This makes my head throb. The secret to a 4-4 record.
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Nov 4, 2021 16:14
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