|
please do not buy kam next prez at twenty six whole cents
|
#
?
Mar 5, 2024 14:52
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 22:17 |
|
|
So that market is odds Biden wins and then kamala wins in 2028 + odds Biden wins and he resigns or dies by 2028 + odds something bad happens to him in next couple months and she is nominee and somehow wins. Think it's priced as if it is *only* a death pool. She's gonna be in the top couple Dems running for the next one, just from name recognition. I guess you have to discount that it is a nearly 5 year market. And predictit is still on death watch too. (I thought if Trump won he would still just be 45th, not 45th and 47th. But I guess Grover Cleveland is referred to as the 22nd and 24th. So no extra odds from semantics there.)
|
|
#
?
Mar 5, 2024 17:34
|
|
|
cashed out of the GOP VP market for now, thanks so much Vivek Tulsi rising makes me want to get back in with some more NOs though....
|
|
#
?
Mar 27, 2024 19:22
|
|
|
How do we feel about Trump's pick for running mate these days?
|
|
#
?
May 2, 2024 04:12
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:How do we feel about Trump's pick for running mate these days? All-in on puppy killer?
|
|
#
?
May 2, 2024 05:49
|
|
|
Merlot Brougham posted:How do we feel about Trump's pick for running mate these days? I dumped my noems the minute I saw the news and put it all on scott no
|
|
#
?
May 2, 2024 08:02
|
|
|
$5 says trump getting silenced in court draws direct comparisons to bobby seale getting bound and gagged in court
|
|
#
?
May 7, 2024 01:43
|
|
|
just a few more months until I finally GET PAID
|
|
#
?
May 7, 2024 01:56
|
|
|
so they're not getting shut down by the feds?
|
|
#
?
May 7, 2024 07:09
|
|
|
Kopmala posted:so they're not getting shut down by the feds? thanks to the destruction of the administrative state at the hands of the Fifth Circuit, PredictIt was allowed to continue operating https://complianceconcourse.willkie.com/articles/court-to-cftc-take-no-action-on-predictit-event-contract-no-action-relief/ https://law.justia.com/cases/federal/appellate-courts/ca5/24-50079/24-50079-2024-03-01.html Vox Nihili has issued a correction as of 08:08 on May 7, 2024 |
|
#
?
May 7, 2024 08:00
|
|
|
Kopmala posted:so they're not getting shut down by the feds? It was looking good, but no new markets have been made for awhile....
|
|
#
?
May 7, 2024 08:01
|
|
|
i guess the dems are going to nominate biden before the actual convention so he doesn't get kicked off the ohio ballot, so hopefully those fuckers at predictit give me my money ASAP
|
|
#
?
May 28, 2024 21:42
|
|
|
Shear Modulus posted:i guess the dems are going to nominate biden before the actual convention so he doesn't get kicked off the ohio ballot, so hopefully those fuckers at predictit give me my money ASAP That would be swell.
|
|
#
?
May 28, 2024 21:53
|
|
|
Tim Scott said he'd vote to certify the election so I dumped more money against him as veep
|
|
#
?
May 28, 2024 21:56
|
|
|
Shear Modulus posted:i guess the dems are going to nominate biden before the actual convention so he doesn't get kicked off the ohio ballot, so hopefully those fuckers at predictit give me my money ASAP Finally, Democrat cowardice is putting money in MY wallet!
|
|
#
?
May 28, 2024 22:03
|
|
|
|
| # ? Jun 10, 2024 22:17 |
|
|
I got an email from Predictit a few days ago asking me to leave a comment on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's proposed rule that would ban PredictIt/election futures markets. Apparently the commentary period is open through early July.
|
|
#
?
May 28, 2024 23:34
|
|