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Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Oligopsony posted:

I took that as an aside, not as a final boss, and outside of the context of Scott's other posts (which I won't try to white knight) it seems pretty reasonable.
At its core, all he's doing is saying "ALL lives matter!", and it's as dumb as it always is.

I do think Scott is speaking from a perspective of compassion. But not a perspective of perspective.

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Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine
Saw this on twitter, going to become a reactionary obsession soon. https://hbr.org/2016/01/diversity-policies-dont-help-women-or-minorities-and-they-make-white-men-feel-threatened

White men feel uncomfortable when people talk about diversity, therefore diversity in tech is anti-white male.

Peztopiary
Mar 16, 2009

by exmarx
I have a hard time thinking of something that doesn't threaten the dudes of the NRx. Even if they triumphed utterly they'd still have to be on the lookout for a resurgence of Leftist thought, what with Cthulhu and his swimming.

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


Peztopiary posted:

I have a hard time thinking of something that doesn't threaten the dudes of the NRx. Even if they triumphed utterly they'd still have to be on the lookout for a resurgence of Leftist thought, what with Cthulhu and his swimming.

Well, especially since even after "defeating" all that opposes them they'll still have all the same problems they have now only they'll have to cast out even further for external factors to blame those on.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Merdifex posted:

Saw this on twitter, going to become a reactionary obsession soon. https://hbr.org/2016/01/diversity-policies-dont-help-women-or-minorities-and-they-make-white-men-feel-threatened

White men feel uncomfortable when people talk about diversity, therefore diversity in tech is anti-white male.
I feel uncomfortable around Black people, thus the Non-Aggression Principle demands being Black should be made illegal.

Oh lucky me, it is

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

Oligopsony posted:

I took that as an aside, not as a final boss, and outside of the context of Scott's other posts (which I won't try to white knight) it seems pretty reasonable.

Structurally, it's what the piece appears to be leading up to. And you can only say that isn't what he's thinking by ignoring everything else he's ever written.

I really don't have patience any more with the LW subculture's obsession with bending over backwards to come up with reasons why something that's clearly reprehensible in a context of a long history of reprehensible things is somehow plausibly reasonable this time around, if you strip it of all context. Everything Scott writes is in the context of what's come from him before.

divabot has a new favorite as of 20:14 on Jan 5, 2016

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow

divabot posted:

Structurally, it's what the piece appears to be leading up to. And you can only say that isn't what he's thinking by ignoring everything else he's ever written.

I really don't have patience any more with the LW subculture's obsession with bending over backwards to come up with reasons why something that's clearly reprehensible in a context of a long history of reprehensible things is somehow plausibly reasonable this time around, if you strip it of all context. Everything Scott writes is in the context of what's come from him before.

It's hard to remember that things like history and society exist when you're up in your magical floating city in the sky, rationally contemplating lofty subjects like pure mathematics, meta-level insights, and how to build friendly fuckrobots.

Oligopsony
May 17, 2007

divabot posted:

Structurally, it's what the piece appears to be leading up to. And you can only say that isn't what he's thinking by ignoring everything else he's ever written.

I mean, if the question is "what is he subjectively thinking," sure, I guess I just don't find that a very interesting question? As opposed to "how bad are things, actually."

Oligopsony
May 17, 2007
*feels self slowly morphing into cingulate* noooo. no...

divabot
Jun 17, 2015

A polite little mouse!

Oligopsony posted:

I mean, if the question is "what is he subjectively thinking," sure, I guess I just don't find that a very interesting question? As opposed to "how bad are things, actually."

Well no, the question was "what on earth is that ending doing tacked onto that beginning and who is he actually talking about?" This is something that requires a context, and the correct context is SSC and Scott in general (giving the obvious answer) rather than whatever context one could invent for it that could make it sound not that silly.

The rationalist-sphere habit seems to be to go beyond merely principle of charity (or "steelmanning", to touch the poop) and into just making up poo poo to make the ingroup look good. Thus, they are unclear writers and actively bad readers.

Oligopsony posted:

*feels self slowly morphing into cingulate* noooo. no...

I TOLD YOU MAN I TOLD YOU ABOUT CAVES

edit: oh, what happened to the Daniel Clowes icon? I liked that guy.

divabot has a new favorite as of 13:42 on Jan 6, 2016

Pope Guilty
Nov 6, 2006

The human animal is a beautiful and terrible creature, capable of limitless compassion and unfathomable cruelty.
So it's not quite DE but it is alt-right types being weird. How about hippie fascists? Sound fun?

There used to be an EDM festival, EVOLVE, but last year their venue told them to gently caress off and their ticketing agency broke off their relationship, pretty much killing the festival as a thing. Why? Well, EVOLVE Festival loves many things- Ron Paul, nationalist girls, Gamma Males, guns, Eastern Mysticism™, militia dorks, and Jesus! But there's other things these hippies don't like, such as Jews, Muslims, GMOs, vaccines, Crisis Actors, social justice, Cultural Marxism, sodomites, and white genocide.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine
There should be a term for "nerd psychology" similar to "broscience". Reading this is actively painful.

http://status451.com/2016/01/06/splain-it-to-me/

Peztopiary
Mar 16, 2009

by exmarx
Benefit of the doubt, if you're a painfully sheltered young adult (the only forgivable NRx) the idea of different listening styles might be genuinely new to you. Then it keeps going. Maybe the Paul rule applies to NRx stuff as well?

ikanreed
Sep 25, 2009

I honestly I have no idea who cannibal[SIC] is and I do not know why I should know.

syq dude, just syq!

Merdifex posted:

There should be a term for "nerd psychology" similar to "broscience". Reading this is actively painful.

http://status451.com/2016/01/06/splain-it-to-me/

I want to disagree and say that this person has a point, but as I was writing up my disagreement I realized that
A. That point is wrapped up in about 10x as many words as it needed to be communicated effectively
and
B. The central point, whether intentionally or not, took the default assumption that nerds are special and different from other people.

Pope Guilty
Nov 6, 2006

The human animal is a beautiful and terrible creature, capable of limitless compassion and unfathomable cruelty.
Hardly new- "fans are slans" was a thing in the 50's.

Klaus88
Jan 23, 2011

Violence has its own economy, therefore be thoughtful and precise in your investment

Pope Guilty posted:

So it's not quite DE but it is alt-right types being weird. How about hippie fascists? Sound fun?

There used to be an EDM festival, EVOLVE, but last year their venue told them to gently caress off and their ticketing agency broke off their relationship, pretty much killing the festival as a thing. Why? Well, EVOLVE Festival loves many things- Ron Paul, nationalist girls, Gamma Males, guns, Eastern Mysticism™, militia dorks, and Jesus! But there's other things these hippies don't like, such as Jews, Muslims, GMOs, vaccines, Crisis Actors, social justice, Cultural Marxism, sodomites, and white genocide.

quote:

Oh that's imaginative. So I "burned a rainbow flag online"? How edgy and subversive of me. How about I chose an image that represents my opposition to a hard-driven agenda that affects my children, our schools and which is anti-evolutionary, being that it corrupts Nature's biological narrative by channeling the pro-creative urge into fruitless actions that are hostile to Nature's biological imperative?

Kinda makes a little sense huh?

Overpopulation is a Globalist/NWO lie. We can all live comfortably on New Zealand or in Texas. They just want to cull the herd to make it more manageable. Otherwise an awakened uprising of 6 Billion against the 1% will wreck all their plans and ruin their day- boohoo.

:dogbutton:

Woolie Wool
Jun 2, 2006


Of course we all have to be worried about the evil :siren: globalists :siren: when nearly all internationalist organizations are dysfunctional (UN) or outright failing (EU) and even nation-states themselves are fragmenting along ethnic, religious, and cultural fault lines. loving Spain of all places is cracking apart as I write this! The world is literally shattering into pieces and they're worrying about internationalism.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Woolie Wool posted:

Of course we all have to be worried about the evil :siren: globalists :siren: when nearly all internationalist organizations are dysfunctional (UN) or outright failing (EU) and even nation-states themselves are fragmenting along ethnic, religious, and cultural fault lines. The world is literally shattering into pieces
Calm down. All forms of violence are down, inequality and hunger are at all-time lows, the expanding circle is still expanding, everyone here is talking and, occasionally, caring about everyone there and vice versa, the Dow Jones is up and the new iPhone pretty good.

When you feel your heart rate going up when looking at the news, look at some statistics where the x axis gives years and starts before 1990.

Oligopsony posted:

*feels self slowly morphing into cingulate* noooo. no...
Hrrrr hrrrr.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Woolie Wool posted:

Of course we all have to be worried about the evil :siren: globalists :siren: when nearly all internationalist organizations are dysfunctional (UN) or outright failing (EU) and even nation-states themselves are fragmenting along ethnic, religious, and cultural fault lines. loving Spain of all places is cracking apart as I write this! The world is literally shattering into pieces and they're worrying about internationalism.
they know that, like the jedi of old, only international communism can defeat them

Luigi's Discount Porn Bin
Jul 19, 2000


Oven Wrangler

Woolie Wool posted:

Of course we all have to be worried about the evil :siren: globalists :siren: when nearly all internationalist organizations are dysfunctional (UN) or outright failing (EU) and even nation-states themselves are fragmenting along ethnic, religious, and cultural fault lines. loving Spain of all places is cracking apart as I write this! The world is literally shattering into pieces and they're worrying about internationalism.
This has been an awkward subject for the NWO types since the early 90s. There are ways to rationalise it though. Obviously consolidating smaller states into larger ones is part of the plan because it's a clear slippery slope from the USSR or EU to a global totalitarian dictatorship, but generally they also say that breaking larger states into smaller ones is a divide-and-conquer tactic that gets people used to the idea of subverting the sovereignty of existing nation-states.

Basically any change ever is bad and proof of the conspiracy.

Skellybones
May 31, 2011




Fun Shoe
And any lack of change is the NWO enforcing the status quo.

Peel
Dec 3, 2007

I've seen the idea of smaller units in a broad federation being an endstate of the EU project from advocates so it's not totally from nowhere. Scotland, for example, is more pro-EU than the UK as a whole.

They may be rationalising just as much, though.

Shame Boy
Mar 2, 2010

Pope Guilty posted:

So it's not quite DE but it is alt-right types being weird. How about hippie fascists? Sound fun?

There used to be an EDM festival, EVOLVE, but last year their venue told them to gently caress off and their ticketing agency broke off their relationship, pretty much killing the festival as a thing. Why? Well, EVOLVE Festival loves many things- Ron Paul, nationalist girls, Gamma Males, guns, Eastern Mysticism™, militia dorks, and Jesus! But there's other things these hippies don't like, such as Jews, Muslims, GMOs, vaccines, Crisis Actors, social justice, Cultural Marxism, sodomites, and white genocide.

Christ that's like, several threads worth of crazy right there :stare:

quote:

Question for Shamans: Can a Spiritual Mind Parasite infect the Collective Race Consciousness of an Entire People?

quote:

Homosexuality is Babylonian Genocide. Satanic to be precise.

And while looking for quotes I just ran into https://www.facebook.com/evolvefestival/photos/a.401332512010.180522.112052962010/10153275952882011/?type=3&permPage=1



I'm out for the night.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine
And like clockwork, the person who wrote for Clark (and ESR, obviously) get interviewed for Breitbart. http://www.breitbart.com/tech/2016/01/07/social-justice-warriors-wreaking-havoc-in-open-source-software/

Curvature of Earth
Sep 9, 2011

Projected cost of
invading Canada:
$900
SlateStarCodex, now rapidly descending into white nationalism:

quote:

What I want is a Harry Potter fanfic set in a world where blood purism is correct.

If I understand Jensen correctly, he claims that an isolated example of a high level of some polygenic trait in an individual drawn from a population otherwise low on that trait will regress to the mean in subsequent generations, whereas the same trait as a matter of course in a population high on that trait will not.

For example, suppose that the Dutch are genetically taller than the Pygmies. And suppose that both members of an average Dutch couple are 6′0, and both members of the tallest Pygmy couple in all of history are 6′0. We should expect the Dutch couple’s children to be on average around 6′0; we should expect the Pygmy couple’s children to be on average much shorter (although still taller than the average Pygmy). I think this is because everyone has recessive alleles that aren’t determining their own phenotype but might contribute to the phenotype of their children depending on what their partner brings to the table; regardless of random variation in an individual’s phenotype we should expect those recessive alleles to be on average the average for their population..

If this is true, and if magical ability is a polygenic trait, then we should expect the children of pureblood wizards to have on average the same ability as their parents, and the children of Muggleborns to have on average lower ability. So even if Muggleborns have to qualify at a certain level of magical ability to be allowed into the magical community, their children will have lower heritable magical ability. This means Wizard-Muggle breeding will gradually decrease the magical ability of the wizard race. It’s unclear what percent of wizards are Muggleborn, but the books make it sound pretty substantial. Since every generation new Muggleborns are being added to the gene pool, then assuming random intermarriage and no continued effect from whatever process positively selected magical ability in wizards in the first place, as long as marriage with Muggleborns is allowed wizarding ability should get gradually weaker with every generation.

The dirty secret of the magical community is that there is no such thing as the Interdict of Merlin. It’s a myth created by the liberal media at the Daily Prophet to explain why wizards can no longer live up to the magical deeds of their ancestors, with the reality being that the blood purists are 100% correct and every generation of interbreeding means less and less magical ability and soon it will die out completely.

A good exploration of this topic would treat it as the morally complex issue it is - can we really exclude brilliant wizards like Hermione from the community on purely statistical grounds? Is it possible to believe that Voldemort’s methods were unspeakably evil, but that it would be ethical to pursue the same goals by more “nudge” style methods like incentivizing pureblood wizards to only breed with one another? Is this why the Sorting Hat is under orders to stick so many of them together in Slytherin House?

As another Tumblr user points out, the "Interdict of Merlin" is fanfic-only bullshit made up by Yudkowsky for I Am the Way, the Truth, and the Methods of Rationality. But then again, Scott's an idiot.

Shame Boy
Mar 2, 2010

I just realized why that "Hitler did nothing wrong" post I found from those EVOLVE weirdos a few posts up struck me as so weird and unusual. It uses Hitler to come to the conclusion that fiat currency issued by a central government is a good thing and the gold standard is a conspiracy by the drat Jews and WWII only happened because Hitler was so awesome all the banks got jealous.

It's just unexpected to see a fascist come to a conclusion that's not BUY AND HORDE BITCOINSGOLD and probably surprised me more than the whole "hitler did nothing wrong" angle.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine
Scott understands Jensen even worse than Jensen understood genetics.

EDIT: But he's about as racist.

Merdifex has a new favorite as of 21:11 on Jan 8, 2016

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Curvature of Earth posted:

SlateStarCodex, now rapidly descending into white nationalism:


As another Tumblr user points out, the "Interdict of Merlin" is fanfic-only bullshit made up by Yudkowsky for I Am the Way, the Truth, and the Methods of Rationality. But then again, Scott's an idiot.
The nonchalant and effortless convolution of Harry Potter and racism never leaves me unfazed. My brain can't deal with that. In one second, it's in "ha ha he uses words like 'muggleborn'" mode, and in the next it's in "so you want to introduce miscegenation laws?" mode, and that's too hard on my brain.

I conclude Scott has a super brain.

The Vosgian Beast
Aug 13, 2011

Business is slow

Curvature of Earth posted:

SlateStarCodex, now rapidly descending into white nationalism:


As another Tumblr user points out, the "Interdict of Merlin" is fanfic-only bullshit made up by Yudkowsky for I Am the Way, the Truth, and the Methods of Rationality. But then again, Scott's an idiot.

aaaaa
aaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

what's the interdict of Merlin, even reading summaries of HPMOR is like pulling teeth for me

blastron
Dec 11, 2007

Don't doodle on it!


The Vosgian Beast posted:

aaaaa
aaaaaaaaa
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

what's the interdict of Merlin, even reading summaries of HPMOR is like pulling teeth for me

A piece of ancient magic that makes it impossible for sufficiently powerful magical knowledge to be written down. Basically nobody can write a textbook about how to make a Philosopher's Stone, the knowledge can only be transferred orally.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

quote:

And my theory is that white people being hateful to black people is just a specific example - and by no means the most important - of the principles of ingroups and outgroups that control everything

http://slatestarscratchpad.tumblr.com/post/136848960486/someone-fight-me-about-free-speech

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
The piece about guns Scott just wrote is by a wide margin the least idiotic non-scholarly thing I've read on the topic in years.
He's dropping some dubious, naive, or stupid sentences ever so often, but at least it's not consistently numerically illiterate to a painful degree like basically every other time somebody puts a graph under their argument.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

Cingulate posted:

The piece about guns Scott just wrote is by a wide margin the least idiotic non-scholarly thing I've read on the topic in years.
He's dropping some dubious, naive, or stupid sentences ever so often, but at least it's not consistently numerically illiterate to a painful degree like basically every other time somebody puts a graph under their argument.

He often misses the point that statistical analyses don't prove causation.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Merdifex posted:

He often misses the point that statistical analyses don't prove causation.
That's a nonsequitur given Scott writes a lot about where he considers causation probable and where not in that piece.

Also, in that one of the many reasons why every other article on the topic is so idiotic is that they put up a scatterplot (usually without controlling for anything) and scream there there the line points [upwards/downwards] guns are [bad/good]!!!!! and Scott's not.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Curvature of Earth posted:

SlateStarCodex, now rapidly descending into white nationalism:


As another Tumblr user points out, the "Interdict of Merlin" is fanfic-only bullshit made up by Yudkowsky for I Am the Way, the Truth, and the Methods of Rationality. But then again, Scott's an idiot.
Christ. From what I've read of the Potter books, magic is 'heritable' enough that you can have families of wizards and even the old purebreds have "squibs" who have very little magic. Past that it seems to be about what kind of a person you are, rather than your inherited level of magi-chlorians. Some people are of course more talented than others but that's an ubiquitous thing.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

Cingulate posted:

That's a nonsequitur given Scott writes a lot about where he considers causation probable and where not in that piece.

Also, in that one of the many reasons why every other article on the topic is so idiotic is that they put up a scatterplot (usually without controlling for anything) and scream there there the line points [upwards/downwards] guns are [bad/good]!!!!! and Scott's not.

That's not what I was talking about, Scott commonly links to statistical analyses, either his own or of others, as if he's proven something, or to debunk what someone else is saying. Scott ignores even what he says about whether he does or does not think some explanation of something is probably, and acts as if it's 100% probable.

I'm not defending lovely stats practice by most people, but simply discussing a frustrating tendency of Scott and rationalists.

Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Merdifex posted:

That's not what I was talking about, Scott commonly links to statistical analyses, either his own or of others, as if he's proven something, or to debunk what someone else is saying. Scott ignores even what he says about whether he does or does not think some explanation of something is probably, and acts as if it's 100% probable.
To a reasonably good approximation, there's two kinds of people: the ones who do that, and the ones who don't even do that, and the former kind is much better than the latter.

Merdifex posted:

I'm not defending lovely stats practice by most people, but simply discussing a frustrating tendency of Scott and rationalists.
You're implying Scott (not gonna say anything about 'rationalists') would be worse here than others. Sure, he's not perfect. But he is usually much better than most people, and in that piece, he's far above any non-academic competition I've come across.

For example, I bet his position on gun control is now much better grounded than yours, whatever yours is, and certainly better than 80% of the people writing about it for newspapers and 98% of these talking about it on some form of screen.
So you're technically correct in what you're saying. You're just lacking perspective.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Please tell us more about how Dark Enlightenment bloggers are better informed and smarter than us, Cingulate

Perhaps you could diagnose our... cognitive fallacies while you're at it.

Merdifex
May 13, 2015

by Shine

Cingulate posted:

To a reasonably good approximation, there's two kinds of people: the ones who do that, and the ones who don't even do that, and the former kind is much better than the latter.
You're implying Scott (not gonna say anything about 'rationalists') would be worse here than others. Sure, he's not perfect. But he is usually much better than most people, and in that piece, he's far above any non-academic competition I've come across.

That's not saying much. And the only reason Scott's statistical analysis here is any good is because he received help from smarter people on tumblr. Comparatively, the statistics he was doing previously was poo poo. So yes, he is like most other innumerate fools who think they can do statistics, it's just that this time he (almost uncharacteristically) asked for help and turned up something that wasn't a total turd. It remains to be seen whether he gets overconfident about the work he's done and what he's proven, but based on what I've seen of him, I'm not going to update my priors.

quote:

For example, I bet his position on gun control is now much better grounded than yours, whatever yours is, and certainly better than 80% of the people writing about it for newspapers and 98% of these talking about it on some form of screen.

Tell me then where I claimed to have a better grounded position on gun control than Scott's? Scott's analysis is still woefully incomplete, if you ask me, for a conclusive interpretation in any way. By default you'd want some comparative data from around the developed world (part of which Scott has already done) and so on.

In any case, statistical analyses don't answer the question, but give us an idea of which questions to ask, especially when it comes to causation. Even the right-wingers who "critiqued" the pieces by Vox or whatever didn't know how to standardize their data.

But in any case, I predict that Scott will go back to his intellectually lazy and innumerate ways soon, this sort of thing is more the exception than the norm for him.

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Cingulate
Oct 23, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Nessus posted:

Please tell us more about how Dark Enlightenment bloggers are better informed and smarter than us, Cingulate

Perhaps you could diagnose our... cognitive fallacies while you're at it.
Ha no, I'm not a doctor, you're not my patient, and I don't read Dark Enlightenment bloggers.

Merdifex posted:

That's not saying much. And the only reason Scott's statistical analysis here is any good is because he received help from smarter people on tumblr. Comparatively, the statistics he was doing previously was poo poo. So yes, he is like most other innumerate fools who think they can do statistics, it's just that this time he (almost uncharacteristically) asked for help and turned up something that wasn't a total turd. It remains to be seen whether he gets overconfident about the work he's done and what he's proven, but based on what I've seen of him, I'm not going to update my priors.
If every person writing about guns would ask a trained data scientist to carefully explain multiple regression to them a few times like Scott did here, they'd be less poo poo at it. But they don't. Scott did. That's p. cool of Scott. That's the attitude people should have.

Merdifex posted:

Tell me then where I claimed to have a better grounded position on gun control than Scott's? Scott's analysis is still woefully incomplete, if you ask me, for a conclusive interpretation in any way. By default you'd want some comparative data from around the developed world (part of which Scott has already done) and so on.
Scott has more perspective here than your typical article - looking at multiple parameters of multiple countries in many ways similar to the US.
Sure, he's still a lay person and the way he went about predicting real-world impact of interventions made my head hurt. But he's better than every non-lay opinion on this I've I think ever read.

Merdifex posted:

In any case, statistical analyses don't answer the question, but give us an idea of which questions to ask, especially when it comes to causation. Even the right-wingers who "critiqued" the pieces by Vox or whatever didn't know how to standardize their data.
Don't know what this is supposed to mean - the typical measures people use here, e.g. correlation or regression R^2, are inherently standardized. Plotting a scatterplot in a roughly rectangular form is roughly equivalent to standardizing it. (If at all, people should apply other transformations, such as log transforms, more.)
The main thing is that he actually bothered to think about his dependent and independent variables for a second, and considered controlling for confounds regardless of if he liked the results or not.

Merdifex posted:

But in any case, I predict that Scott will go back to his intellectually lazy and innumerate ways soon, this sort of thing is more the exception than the norm for him.
He's actually methodologically more conservative than most in the pieces I've read. His stuff on racist bias in sentencing is reasonably thorough for a lay person.

He makes mistakes - often grave ones. But he does not stand out in making mistakes. He stands out in trying not to make them, and then, like any non-professional, fails a lot.

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