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communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

Namtab posted:

Being big open Christian leader is kinda setting yourself up for questions like this which is why big tone mostly didn't mention it

Maybe he's trying to specifically target the untapped Christian demographic?

*sad trombone*

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Andrast
Apr 21, 2010


Namtab posted:

I don't think always having voted Labour is a good thing if Labour aren't offering policies you agree with. If flaps is voting Labour all the time because he always agrees with their policies then it's fine, it its because he just wants the red team to win regardless then it's less ok. One big problem with politics in general is people voting for their team rather than for what they believe in.

The awful FPTP system often makes it actively detrimental to vote for what you believe in

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

Namtab posted:

If I were big Christian lad Tim I could think a couple of ways to get around stuff like that from just saying "no I don't think it's wrong *fingers crossed behind my back*" to "I believe it's the woman's choice" to "I don't personally like it but if you look at my record I've voted for progressive policies because I don't let my religion get in the way (i would have made the good votes)"

It's hard to do that last one because he has never voted for a positive abortion law, only ones that restrict access.

MrL_JaKiri
Sep 23, 2003

A bracing glass of carrot juice!

Oberleutnant posted:

*sad trombone*

That's more than the number of people predicted to vote Lib Dem

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless

Pissflaps posted:

I'm voting labour but despite Corbyn, not because of him.

I'd be happy to expand upon my reasons why as long as you promise not to call me a rapist, threaten to contact my employer, or issue death threats against my children.

who did you rape?

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer

Oberleutnant posted:

Maybe he's trying to specifically target the untapped Christian demographic?

*sad trombone*
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-39993739

Plus side their stock portfolio is performing above market expectations which I'm sure will mean an end to poverty.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Namtab posted:

If I were big Christian lad Tim I could think a couple of ways to get around stuff like that from just saying "no I don't think it's wrong *fingers crossed behind my back*" to "I believe it's the woman's choice" to "I don't personally like it but if you look at my record I've voted for progressive policies because I don't let my religion get in the way (i would have made the good votes)"
He did say “Well, I believe that women should have access under law which is safe and legal and I think that’s the critical issue.” which is more important than whether he thinks it's good or not. I don't think that old sick people killing themselves is 'good' but I also believe that it isn't my decision and people should have access under law to safe legal means to exercise their right to die.

His actual voting record on abortion law implies that he may have different definition of 'access under law' to many people though.

Prince John
Jun 20, 2006

Oh, poppycock! Female bandits?

I'm glad he doesn't lie about his beliefs. I think it's better for everyone that way (for the voting public, and the integrity of politics (lol)).

As long as he recognises that his personal beliefs are out of step with public opinion at large, and doesn't make them the basis of party policy, then I am relatively relaxed. Lots of politicians agree to follow a party line at the expense of their personally held belief; I'm not sure it's the hot potato people are making it, although it is funny because it's Tim Farron of course.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


Prince John posted:

I'm glad he doesn't lie about his beliefs. I think it's better for everyone that way (for the voting public, and the integrity of politics (lol)).

As long as he recognises that his personal beliefs are out of step with public opinion at large, and doesn't make them the basis of party policy, then I am relatively relaxed. Lots of politicians agree to follow a party line at the expense of their personally held belief; I'm not sure it's the hot potato people are making it, although it is funny because it's Tim Farron of course.

I think it's iffy as hell that the Liberal Democrat Party feel comfortable electing someone who feels unable to just say that "abortion isn't something I would personally do but I will always support a womans right to choose", but I do think that broadly speaking, if he does keep his appalling personal views away from party policy it's not a huge issue. It's still dodgy, and I'll make something out of it because I think the Lib Dems are worthless bunch of cowards & shitheads who'd sooner go into government with the Tories than have a single principle that can't be sold off for tuppence.

Miftan
Mar 31, 2012

Terry knows what he can do with his bloody chocolate orange...

Has he ever voted for more abortion rights though?

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

Miftan posted:

Has he ever voted for more abortion rights though?

No, he's voted twice for restrictions and abstained on all other votes.

baka kaba
Jul 19, 2003

PLEASE ASK ME, THE SELF-PROFESSED NO #1 PAUL CATTERMOLE FAN IN THE SOMETHING AWFUL S-CLUB 7 MEGATHREAD, TO NAME A SINGLE SONG BY HIS EXCELLENT NU-METAL SIDE PROJECT, SKUA, AND IF I CAN'T PLEASE TELL ME TO
EAT SHIT

Pissflaps posted:

He may seem like a 'nice fella' but in my opinion he has presided over a dramatic downturn in labour's fortunes and the sooner he is replaced the better. This election will see labour drifting further and further away from a position of being able to form a government.

I think labour will have enough losses this election without me needing to contribute by abstaining or voting against them, and whoever has the job of rebuilding the party will need the beat starting point possible.

Also I don't want to lose my 100% Labour voting record - something few other contributors to this thread can boast of having.

Glad to see after years of tortured handwringing you've finally come round to the UKMT view and decided to vote Labour :thumbsup:

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

Fans posted:

No, he's voted twice for restrictions and abstained on all other votes.

Yep. Very simple rule to follow: never believe anything a politician says - look at their actions.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

baka kaba posted:

Glad to see after years of tortured handwringing you've finally come round to the UKMT view and decided to vote Labour :thumbsup:

Voting labour will be a new experience for many in this thread - should they actually end up doing so, of course.

Namtab
Feb 22, 2010

Fans posted:

It's hard to do that last one because he has never voted for a positive abortion law, only ones that restrict access.

That's why I would make the good votes

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

I mean I haven't done it in a GE but, like, does someone pop out of the polling booth and give you a quick wank if you vote Labour?

Cos otherwise I'm not anticipating it being a new experience.

learnincurve
May 15, 2014

Smoosh

baka kaba posted:

Glad to see after years of tortured handwringing you've finally come round to the UKMT view and decided to vote Labour :thumbsup:

Speak for yourself, I'm voting for my independent candidate. I flat out don't like the labour candidate in our area and she deserves to lose her seat.

Kokoro Wish
Jul 23, 2007

Post? What post? Oh wow.
I had nothing to do with THAT.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQ6FrZaE3B8

Ok this kid's great.

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless

Pissflaps posted:

Voting labour will be a new experience for many in this thread - should they actually end up doing so, of course.

some of us live in the countryside where it's generally always been a tory / lib dem toss up

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
I'll vote whichever way is the best to keep the tories out

Tesseraction
Apr 5, 2009

JFairfax posted:

I'll vote whichever way is the best to keep the tories out

Aye. Lib Dem or Labour as best to keep Tories out. Although after 2010 it's Labour or protest vote given the Lib Dems are just tories with smiley faces painted over their death mask.

TACD
Oct 27, 2000

OwlFancier posted:

I mean I haven't done it in a GE but, like, does someone pop out of the polling booth and give you a quick wank if you vote Labour?

Cos otherwise I'm not anticipating it being a new experience.
If you want a handjob from your neighbour, vote Labour.

Bobstar
Feb 8, 2006

KartooshFace, you are not responding efficiently!

It's almost like there's something noticeably different about Labour/its manifesto this time, compared to previous general elections in which most people in this thread were old enough to vote, meaning we don't need to vote for other parties to have at least some showing for socialism on the overall vote share*

*Option may only have been available to those in non-Tory safe seats

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Bobstar posted:

It's almost like there's something noticeably different about Labour/its manifesto this time, compared to previous general elections in which most people in this thread were old enough to vote, meaning we don't need to vote for other parties to have at least some showing for socialism on the overall vote share*

*Option may only have been available to those in non-Tory safe seats

Dan Berman has another good post on this (http://restlessrealist.webflow.io//posts/closing-the-gap-the-uk-elections-14-days-out):

quote:

Before dealing with the latter issue it is worth noting that for all the criticism aimed at Labour’s leader, and given the disabilities his team have operated under – a shadow cabinet denuded of almost all talent and of doubtful loyalty, limited message control over MPs,  a hostile relationship with traditional Labour media spin doctors, not to mention the nationalist environment created by Brexit – Corbyn is running a fairly decent campaign. Early on his team seem to have concluded that as they trailed by 20 points or more, victory was not seriously on the table, and this in turn freed them to run a vote maximization campaign aimed at the leadership election which was sure to follow June 8th. This could be achieved by being able to win a higher percentage of the vote than Ed Miliband(31.2%) which would allow them to claim that at the least their internal party foes would not have done much better, and could be blamed for the party doing worse than it otherwise would have done. While likely motivated by self-interested and factional concerns, the ironic result has been to provide the party with a much more coherent message than it has possessed in years. Constrained by the need to appeal to marginal seats in middle England and deluded by polling showing the Tories far short of a majority, the 2015 Labour campaign was an exercise in risk avoidance. Labour messaging was to stress a series of things a Labour government would not do – increase immigration, raise taxes, work with the SNP – rather than any sort of positive image. Ironically this had the opposite effect. By spending so much time denying that he intended to work with the SNP, Miliband assisted Tory efforts to suggest he would do exactly that, while at the same time the decision to stress continuity in economic matters right down to keeping George Osborne’s fiscal targets meant that there was no real debate to be had on the economy. Bored, the media and voters understandably focused on personalities and emotional concerns.

Labour’s manifesto this year is entirely different. It promises something for everyone. Free university, greater benefits, more vacation time, regarding the EU the impossible juxtaposition of an end to freedom of movement and membership of the Common Market. True that is impossible, and the rest of the promises are not costed, but that really does not matter very much.  The entire debate around Brexit is delusionally out of touch with reality across the board, and the Tories rendered unintended assistance by keeping the internally unpopular pledge to reduce net migration below 100,000, thereby eliminating any ability on their own part to attack Labour for unrealistic or impossible to deliver promises.

That has not been the only assistance Labour has received from the Tories. For all the talk of May’s abandonment of “Thatcherism” and bid for “Middle England” the Conservative manifesto looks less like a campaign document and more like an experiment in precisely how far the party can push its luck. May was clearly reflecting the sentiments held by many Tory MPs, including herself, that the issue of Fox Hunting was unfairly used by Tony Blair to stir up malicious class and personal resentments, but there was no need to beyond promising a free vote to indicate that May herself intended to support its restoration. The whole issue also could have been buried in the back of the document. Confronting the issue of the “Triple Lock” on pensions was something that was universally seen as necessary by the entire political and media elite, and in isolation it could have been sold as a politically beneficial act of personal bravery, but the handling of the winter fuel subsidies raises serious questions about planning. First announcing the policy, then suggesting it might not be applied to Scotland, then in response to outrage backtracking on that again, managed to ensure that absolutely everyone was familiar with the policy in its most exaggerated form. On a wider level, the interaction of these policies has created the impression that on a holistic level, the Tory manifesto is one of pain and suffering. Potentially necessary pain, but nothing to look forward true. It is truly a strange approach to make voters, even the ones supporting your party, view the prospect of your future government with dread.

He then goes on and does his usual thing of assuming that everyone is playing 4th dimensional chess rather than just clumsily fumbling their way forwards but it's fairly good analysis.

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

What does he mean about Labour's promises being uncosted? They are.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


I live in a SNP/nobody marginal. So despite the Labour candidate here being...not exactly to my tastes, I'll probably end up voting for him anyway, Labour needs every vote it can get, especially in Scotland.

Away from the election, a story on cleaners on strike at LSE, & how they get treated

That loving patronising lecture from Jeremy Irons.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Irony Be My Shield posted:

What does he mean about Labour's promises being uncosted? They are.

The ones that are costed are costed. The ones that aren't (ie. all the nationalisation programmes etc) are not.

That's being generous and not diving into the fact that a lot of the costings looks suspiciously like someone googled 'how much would x cost?'

e: personally I don't like the trend of pseudo-hypothecating revenue raising in order to justify spending, Parties should just be expected to have an idea of how much their policies cost, what kind of extra revenue they expect to raise, and then after that all bets are off because in a 4-5 year Parliament any government needs freedom to manoeuvre on taxation and spending. Just pretending your enormously expensive policies don't have any cost is not on though.

Alchenar fucked around with this message at 21:56 on May 21, 2017

Paxman
Feb 7, 2010

Alchenar posted:

Dan Berman has another good post on this (http://restlessrealist.webflow.io//posts/closing-the-gap-the-uk-elections-14-days-out):


He then goes on and does his usual thing of assuming that everyone is playing 4th dimensional chess rather than just clumsily fumbling their way forwards but it's fairly good analysis.

Corbyn has always been a good campaigner. That was clear from the second leadership campaign (and maybe the first one but the enthusiasm for Corbyn almost seemed to happen on its own the first time).

The Tory campaign has been surprisingly bad in my view. Some of it is because they are certain of winning and want to get some horrible stuff in the manifesto to make it easier to get it through Parliament later, but they seem to be making it as painful as possible for themselves.

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

Alchenar posted:

The ones that are costed are costed. The ones that aren't (ie. all the nationalisation programmes etc) are not.

That's being generous and not diving into the fact that a lot of the costings looks suspiciously like someone googled 'how much would x cost?'
Nationalisations are one-off investments into profitable companies rather than ongoing costs. In some cases they're not even that depending on the contracts.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Alchenar posted:

all the nationalisation programmes etc) are not.

Yes they are.

E: See above.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

forkboy84 posted:

I think it's iffy as hell that the Liberal Democrat Party feel comfortable electing someone who feels unable to just say that "abortion isn't something I would personally do but I will always support a womans right to choose"

As a man he shouldn't ever be saying abortion isn't 'something he would personally do' though.

Paxman
Feb 7, 2010

Irony Be My Shield posted:

Nationalisations are one-off investments into profitable companies rather than ongoing costs. In some cases they're not even that depending on the contracts.

Yes but I don't think that changes the fact that they're uncosted?

I guess a costing might say "it will cost £x billion which we expect to make back in y years and then it's profit all the way"..

Not that the Tories have costed anything at all as far as I can see.

All the costing is dodgy though, nobody can really tell what tax revenue can be in 4 years and a lot of spending, eg welfare, can't be accurately predicted either.

What it really is is a statement of principles, eg we'll raise our extra money from taxing people earning more than 80k and reversing cuts to Corporation Tax. They can't really know that the corporation tax change will bring in £19.6bn in 2021-22, it's just to reassure people they have some.sort of plan

Julio Cruz
May 19, 2006

jabby posted:

As a man he shouldn't ever be saying abortion isn't 'something he would personally do' though.

Well, not unless he's medically qualified.

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


jabby posted:

As a man he shouldn't ever be saying abortion isn't 'something he would personally do' though.

Fair point. I worded that extremely poorly. But "something I'm not comfortable worth personally" or words to that effect. There are people who are "pro-life" (& whoever got that to become the standard term for anti-abortion should win an award for marketing) and yet still respect a womans right to choose. You just word it better than I did because you're a politician with a staff who can speak better than me.

But he won't even do that. That's the worry.

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

Yeah it's obviously not going to be exactly right, you can't know until you actually come to do the budget. But rough calculations at least lets you know that it is possible, as long as there is the political will to raise taxes on the rich slightly.

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Paxman posted:

Yes but I don't think that changes the fact that they're uncosted?

I guess a costing might say "it will cost £x billion which we expect to make back in y years and then it's profit all the way"..

Not that the Tories have costed anything at all as far as I can see.

All the costing is dodgy though, nobody can really tell what tax revenue can be in 4 years and a lot of spending, eg welfare, can't be accurately predicted either.

What it really is is a statement of principles, eg we'll raise our extra money from taxing people earning more than 80k and reversing cuts to Corporation Tax. They can't really know that the corporation tax change will bring in £19.6bn in 2021-22, it's just to reassure people they have some.sort of plan

McDonnell's answer on the question is 'Parliament will decide a fair price'.

Which is a bit concerning given in the hypothetical Parliament will be controlled by Labour and he will be the Labour Chancellor, so he will be setting the price.

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

I actually respect the position of 'I don't agree with abortion morally but I think women have the right to choose'. Unfortunately for Farron his voting record on abortion does not suggest he actually holds that view.

Irony Be My Shield fucked around with this message at 22:21 on May 21, 2017

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
it's ridiculous that the lib dems have elected a religious conservative to lead their party

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Can someone explain why Britain is in such a unique place that it can't possibly afford to have a corporation tax in line with the rest of the developed world? Britain has a ridiculously low corporation tax, yet every time I see it mentioned people act as if the Labour tax increase is going to cause terminal meltdown.

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jabby
Oct 27, 2010

forkboy84 posted:

Fair point. I worded that extremely poorly. But "something I'm not comfortable worth personally" or words to that effect. There are people who are "pro-life" (& whoever got that to become the standard term for anti-abortion should win an award for marketing) and yet still respect a womans right to choose. You just word it better than I did because you're a politician with a staff who can speak better than me.

But he won't even do that. That's the worry.

He could say something along the lines of 'as a man I'll never be in the position to make that decision, so my personal view is irrelevant. But I believe in a woman's right to choose, and that abortion should be safe and legal'.

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