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BanjoFish posted:New polls! Looks like Trump is on track for WTA in New York, significant margin of error though. These aren't new.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:13
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mdemone posted:Does predictit allow you to short sell? In any of those markets you can either buy the 'yes' or 'no' option with the correct one turning into a full dollar once the event comes to pass. So yes you can buy the Paul Ryan 'No' shares for .85 Come join us : http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3737765 
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Apr 3, 2016 19:13
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Hunt11 posted:Why does it even matter for Trump? I thought Trump never took said pledge. Yeah he did and he made a big deal about signing it. It doesn't matter for Trump because (iirc) its not binding in any sense.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:19
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a cop posted:Cruz ahead of Kasich in NY seems weird, to me. i think upstate new york has plenty of cultural conservatives who hate new york city and its '''''''''values'''''''''''. probably in a general election they're not the main force that's putting moderate republicans in districts that voted for obama but i bet they can form a solid minority in the gop primary electorate im glad the weird noncommittal caucus states everybody thought had hosed themselves out of any relevance are getting attention now that their couple dozen delegates total might actually matter
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Apr 3, 2016 19:25
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Hell no contract is binding if the benefit of breeching it outweighs the punishment for breeching it.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:28
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The bots are tweeting each other. I wonder if the bots creator forces the interaction or if they do it on their own. I noticed the Trump one has been replying to more tweets and has a lot less prompted responses. https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/716654935732064256 https://twitter.com/DeepDrumpf/status/716662649057107968
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Apr 3, 2016 19:29
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Boosted_C5 posted:History repeats itself. Patriotic resisters must meet in secret and beware the watchful eyes of our socialist oppressors. Hitler's torch is now carried by the Social Justice Warrior Crybullies. Boosted whenever you say stuff like you're buying ammo and preparing for Civil War II if Hillary wins and takes all the guns or whatever is that something you literally believe could happen or is that just one of those things conservatives have said for so long that everyone basically forgot it was a joke
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Apr 3, 2016 19:37
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From the NY tracker:
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Apr 3, 2016 19:38
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Wolfsheim posted:Boosted whenever you say stuff like you're buying ammo and preparing for Civil War II if Hillary wins and takes all the guns or whatever is that something you literally believe could happen or is that just one of those things conservatives have said for so long that everyone basically forgot it was a joke quote:The anonymous, 21-year-old Princeton, NJ, native Yeah I'd hide my drat face too.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:40
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Hunt11 posted:Why does it even matter for Trump? I thought Trump never took said pledge. He did, but he has consistently said that he signed it with the expectation that the Republican party would treat him fairly. He left himself an escape hatch!
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Apr 3, 2016 19:43
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pathetic little tramp posted:Hell no contract is binding if the benefit of breeching it outweighs the punishment for breeching it. There's a legally binding contract and then there is not. I can sign a paper saying I give you one billion magic beans if I slap you in the face, then I can slap you in the face and you don't get any magic beans. The problem with Republican loyalty pledges and contracts is they are just like that magic beans issue. People sign the drat things just so they can say they sign them. In some cases, like the one Trump signed, there are no god drat penalties. Others like Norquists tax pledge causes donors to go after you, and other stuff like "contract with America" are just talking points. I don't think I've seen a single GOP contract that got anywhere near the realm of legally enforceable.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:46
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Top Bunk Wanker posted:He's too stupid to realize why sneering about how fragile little Trump supporters need safe spaces three sentences before explicitly saying he would go out of his way to specifically try to grade them lower on assignments perfectly illustrates the point he thought he was mocking. Yep.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:48
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The GOP must be kicking itself over those rules it put in that caucuses have to reflect the preference vote. Given how much Trump voters suck at anything other than voting, they'd have stolen vast numbers of delegates from him by now. Just saw the story on the Dem side that Sanders stole two delegates from Clinton in NV through late-stage caucus procedures and it reminded me that the GOP stopped doing these later stage caucuses after Ron Paul massively outperformed in them last cycle.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:49
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BanjoFish posted:From the NY tracker: And this is his best-polling state in the entire country. e: oh wait, this is among people who don't support him, never mind.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:49
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Slate Action posted:And this is his best-polling state in the entire country. Other polls have had big majorities saying if he gets a majority of delegates he should be the nominee. I wouldn't put too much weight into it.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:50
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pathetic little tramp posted:Hell no contract is binding if the benefit of breeching it outweighs the punishment for breeching it. I'm pretty sure it was a pledge and not a contract and even if it was a contract I doubt it would be any more legally enforceable than signing BFF in a yearbook. If he loses he will go on a tirade about how the Republican party is corrupt, how they stole the election from him, how he is not going to endorse a loser and that he will run as an independent in 2020 while he spends a few more months traveling around scamming money off his supporters to pay off his campaign debt.
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Apr 3, 2016 19:52
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William Bear posted:From the front page of MSN.com right now: cant tell if he's drunk or trying to poop
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Apr 3, 2016 19:53
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Cracked_Gear posted:cant tell if he's drunk or trying to poop why not both
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Apr 3, 2016 19:57
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Can we have a party when Ted Cruz drops out of the race? Seriously I'm looking into buying something to celebrate it. What's a good alcoholic beverage to celebrate for when he's gone?
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Apr 3, 2016 19:59
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Patter Song posted:The GOP must be kicking itself over those rules it put in that caucuses have to reflect the preference vote. Given how much Trump voters suck at anything other than voting, they'd have stolen vast numbers of delegates from him by now. Story from where? The state delegates aren't even assigned until the state convention.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:01
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FuzzySkinner posted:Can we have a party when Ted Cruz drops out of the race? Alberta Pure vodka 
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Apr 3, 2016 20:01
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This reminds me of the time I accidentally wore my pajama top to school in second grade.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:07
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FuzzySkinner posted:Can we have a party when Ted Cruz drops out of the race? Canadian Mist and a cuban cigar
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Apr 3, 2016 20:07
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FuzzySkinner posted:Can we have a party when Ted Cruz drops out of the race? Ted Cruz is not going to drop out of the race and probably has almost even odds at being the nominee right now
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Apr 3, 2016 20:08
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XK posted:This reminds me of the time I accidentally wore my pajama top to school in second grade. I think Angela Merkel dresses the same way. I guess the idea is to wear something as gender-neutral and "nonthreatening" as possible? Also if Ted Cruz drops out you'd better buy some Trump Wine because guess who the nominee will be at that point
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Apr 3, 2016 20:09
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Was Bill Clinton as corrupt looking as Hilairy at any point in time?
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Apr 3, 2016 20:10
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Typo posted:Was Bill Clinton as corrupt looking as Hilairy at any point in time? He could look pretty smarmy at times. It depended a lot on your political leanings. He looked sincere for dems and inauthentic to repubs.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:13
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Typo posted:Was Bill Clinton as corrupt looking as Hilairy at any point in time? nah because his infidelity overshadowed everything.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:16
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Nuclearmonkee posted:why not both if you're in a fighter jet and about to pass out, the best thing you can do is try to crap your pants, it'll equalise the pressure
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Apr 3, 2016 20:18
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Slate Action posted:I think Angela Merkel dresses the same way. I guess the idea is to wear something as gender-neutral and "nonthreatening" as possible? She looks like a child wearing her dad's shirt. I'm the last person on Earth to know poo poo about fashion, I just actually had flashbacks to 2nd grade pajamas the instant I saw that photo. It's just personal commentary, I expect I'll be voting for her, even though I'm totally on the Trump v Sanders train.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:21
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Slate Action posted:I think Angela Merkel dresses the same way. I guess the idea is to wear something as gender-neutral and "nonthreatening" as possible? Can you imagine the right-wing froth if Hillary dared to wear a sleeveless dress or a skirt above her knees? I think she's got enough misogynist epithets hurled at her that she doesn't want to add "slut" to the mix.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:29
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Youth Decay posted:Can you imagine the right-wing froth if Hillary dared to wear a sleeveless dress or a skirt above her knees? Can you imagine the horror of seeing Hillary in a short skirt?
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Apr 3, 2016 20:31
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Grognan posted:Story from where? The state delegates aren't even assigned until the state convention. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...r-the-caucuses/ At the county convention level, Sanders narrowed the projected delegate split in Nevada from 20-15 to 18-17. You're right that the last level is yet to come.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:33
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The idea is to wear something billowing to hide their fat stomachs exactly because people who know jack poo poo about fashion suddenly care when a woman is dressing a particular way.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:34
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http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/trumps-uphill-delegate-scramble-221443 theyre really going to do it, theyre going to steal it at the convention. i wonder, if it becomes clear that he isnt going to get the necessary delegates, if he will drop out long before the actual convention and start mounting a 3rd party campaign. or maybe take over the libertarian party convention since theyre actually on the ballot
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Apr 3, 2016 20:48
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Oh Ben.quote:When asked in a radio interview with John Catsimatidis why he endorsed the business mogul, Carson listed several of Trump’s qualities, including his business success, favorable image among his employees and parenting skills.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:52
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I hate when articles simplify stuff into "he has to win 60% more of the delegate count" That sounds like he has to win 60% in every upcoming state, when in reality it's likely he is going to take 100% of a bunch of states, so it's not that crazy of a thought.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:52
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The question is not "how is Trump going to get 60%," it's "how are Cruz/Kasich going to get 40%." It's surprisingly difficult.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:54
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Sheng-ji Yang posted:http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/trumps-uphill-delegate-scramble-221443 It makes me angry because it will rob us of Trump/Clinton which would be an entertainment hitherto undreamt by man, but it makes me happy because it will permanently fracture the Republican Party. I don't know what to feel.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:57
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Ugh there needs to be a "click for joementum's last delegate count post" button, I don't klnow if Google's T736 to C463 with 943 left is correct.
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Apr 3, 2016 20:58
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