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Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

yes i got the joke, i was agreeing in general with you

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Thug Lessons
Dec 14, 2006


I lust in my heart for as many dead refugees as possible.

Concerned Citizen posted:

thug lessons, several posts ago: actually chasing moderate republicans didn't work, they still voted republican

thus lessons, now: those ones don't count

I'm not saying they don't count, I'm saying that on balance Republicans voted for Trump in equal proportions (around 95% party loyalty) compared to what Romney got. Those who did flip Dem were offset by others. Oh, and the strategy depressed Democratic turnout so much that they lost the whole states.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Grimoire posted:

Ya, basically. Sanders polled real well with blue wall/ upper midwest independents.

Bernie would have eked a narrow win over Trump by holding on to west coast, NE and Midwest blue states.

Thug Lessons
Dec 14, 2006


I lust in my heart for as many dead refugees as possible.
You can't actually claim the Dems are "gaining among Republicans" when the numbers stay exactly the same. You don't get to claim credit for "winning Orange County" when you lose three Democratic strongholds and thereby lose the election. You're trying to pull a confidence trick on us and the only thing I'm confused about is whether you're doing it out of ignorance or malice.

logikv9
Mar 5, 2009


Ham Wrangler
60,000 words is like baby's first thinkpiece

Thug Lessons
Dec 14, 2006


I lust in my heart for as many dead refugees as possible.

The Little Kielbasa posted:

So long as 37% off the electorate identifies as conservative while only 24% identifies as liberal, its going to be very hard for progressives to govern (and, no, that's not because tons of Americans are actually leftists who would never call themselves "liberal"). That's the number that needs to change.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/188129/conservatives-hang-ideology-lead-thread.aspx

I don't think those labels really mean much at all. If 60% of the country supports single-payer healthcare I'm not really concerned whether they identify as liberal or not.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Thug Lessons posted:

I'm not saying they don't count, I'm saying that on balance Republicans voted for Trump in equal proportions (around 95% party loyalty) compared to what Romney got. Those who did flip Dem were offset by others. Oh, and the strategy depressed Democratic turnout so much that they lost the whole states.

gopers that flipped to clinton also stopped identifying as republican, so there wasn't an offset flip of obama republicans to trump republicans. there were almost no obama republicans in the first place, so that isn't really possible. in general, the overall number of republicans went down.

hillary's strategy was a base+ strategy - pump turnout in urban areas (her rallies and field program were focused almost exclusively in those areas) and make trump so unacceptable in suburban america by highlighting his behavior of saying/doing really bad things that she wins enough votes to counter any potential trump surge among white working class. the end result was a triple whammy - young voters, particularly young voters of color, were so turned off after the primary that they had a lot of trouble bringing them back. she failed to move as many suburban gopers into her column as she had hoped. and the trump rural surge was much higher than anticipated. that all added up to a narrow loss. her main issue is that she did a good job of making trump look terrible, but did a terrible job of making herself a good alternative. the easiest solution to this problem is to do the one thing she refused to do in the first place - aggressively try to hold small town democrats in her column rather than cede them to trump.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

Thug Lessons posted:

I don't think those labels really mean much at all. If 60% of the country supports single-payer healthcare I'm not really concerned whether they identify as liberal or not.

Also the only things that did well at state and city level were things like minimum wage increases & medical weed.

Of course bad dems will try to argue that things like single payer aren't possible, very dishonest would rather have companies make big bucks than help people.

Man Musk
Jan 13, 2010

Please no jokes at Bernie Sanders he works very hard for the American people

Thug Lessons
Dec 14, 2006


I lust in my heart for as many dead refugees as possible.

Concerned Citizen posted:

gopers that flipped to clinton also stopped identifying as republican, so there wasn't an offset flip of obama republicans to trump republicans. there were almost no obama republicans in the first place, so that isn't really possible. in general, the overall number of republicans went down.

hillary's strategy was a base+ strategy - pump turnout in urban areas (her rallies and field program were focused almost exclusively in those areas) and make trump so unacceptable in suburban america by highlighting his behavior of saying/doing really bad things that she wins enough votes to counter any potential trump surge among white working class. the end result was a triple whammy - young voters, particularly young voters of color, were so turned off after the primary that they had a lot of trouble bringing them back. she failed to move as many suburban gopers into her column as she had hoped. and the trump rural surge was much higher than anticipated. that all added up to a narrow loss. her main issue is that she did a good job of making trump look terrible, but did a terrible job of making herself a good alternative. the easiest solution to this problem is to do the one thing she refused to do in the first place - aggressively try to hold small town democrats in her column rather than cede them to trump.

This is a lot of words to say "No I'm not going to acknowledge I'm wrong and my solution to losing catastrophically is to tell you it'll be different next time."

Subjunctivitis
Oct 12, 2007
Causation or Correlation?
"This 2-party system sucks; we need to change the system."

'Ok, let's form a third party with good and popular policies.'

"No! We can't do that! The system won't let us! We need to take over the Democrats first!"

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Thug Lessons posted:

This is a lot of words to say "No I'm not going to acknowledge I'm wrong and my solution to losing catastrophically is to tell you it'll be different next time."

you're honestly a better poster than this. if your argument depends on a mythical pile of obama-voting republicans, you're wrong.

Agean90
Jun 28, 2008


Concerned Citizen posted:

you're honestly a better poster than this. if your argument depends on a mythical pile of obama-voting republicans, you're wrong.

🤔🤔🤔

Subjunctivitis
Oct 12, 2007
Causation or Correlation?
The constant outrage I see against Democrats for being dumb/selfish/conniving is both boring and validating. At this point, what do any of you progressive/leftist Democrats expect?

Condiv
May 7, 2008

Sorry to undo the effort of paying a domestic abuser $10 to own this poster, but I am going to lose my dang mind if I keep seeing multiple posters who appear to be Baloogan.

With love,
a mod


Concerned Citizen posted:

mythical pile of obama-voting republicans

mods, new subtitle?

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Concerned Citizen posted:

first i think it's pretty clear that those conservative candidates in 2006 and 2008 allowed us to pass some good legislation that would be unthinkable with a gop majority, so i do reject the idea that there is no difference between the democrats and republicans in those seats. there's a big difference - sure, gov. john bel edwards is a tremendous dickhead who is perpetuates police abuse/violence & is vehemently anti-choice, but he also saved thousands of lives by unilaterally expanding medicaid over the objections of the gop legislature. in the short term, we need those votes to get a working majority in the house.

that said, this goes back to the hobby horse i've been riding for ages - which is that we simply lack a large enough majority in this country for a progressive agenda. often the support for things like single payer are so skin deep that even when majorities are for it, it disappears at the first sign of organized opposition. too often progressives simply assume the people are with them, rather than actually working to increase support for those issues. we think "who could be against getting more government support" only to find that many people blame their struggles on government in the first place and don't think increasing the size of welfare programs or strengthening social security will actually lead to them getting more money.

so i think focusing on which districts/voters to target, or whether to have a centrist agenda or a progressive agenda, a social agenda or an economic agenda - these debates just paper over the actual need to get a 217 majority that will vote the right way. and the easiest way to do that is to focus on broadening our outreach to change what people actually believe rather than who they vote for. we spend too much time trying to bring the water to the horse instead of the other way around, persuading weak center-right and conservative voters to be more progressive.

persuading right-leaning areas to be more progressive sounds great. it's a whole lot better than what you're actually defending, which is writing off those areas as permanently conservative and running conservatives there while pretending it's the only way those districts could possibly be won

the thing is, the reason progressive initiatives fail isn't because support for them is weak. it's because the Dems put a lot more importance on industry's opinion than voters' opinions. single-payer didn't die because support was too weak to overcome opposition, it died because the Dems were terrified that a torrent of health industry money might get poured into GOP campaign coffers and anti-Dem ads. with a lot more money against it than for it, the Dems opted against, because they overemphasize the importance of money in politics. there's very little wealthy industry lobbying for progressive policies, and since the Dems believe that money matters more than message or popular appeal, that means they dump progressivism every time. they may appeal to popular progressive policies during the election, but all the while privately reminding the wealthy donor gatherings that it's all just talk

got any sevens
Feb 9, 2013

by Cyrano4747

Higgy posted:

lol ok gotcha

prove me wrong

GalacticAcid
Apr 8, 2013

NEW YORK VALUES
underappreciated sea change in PA's political economy since 2010 btw

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Hillary had a massive dip in turn out. It wasn't Obama voting Republicans it was Obama voting "non-voters" who are a waste of time to go after let's try to poach entrenched demographics

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool
"In order to pass a Medicare-for-all, single payer system we will be taking on the most powerful special interests in the country: Wall Street, the insurance companies, the drug companies, the corporate media, the Republican Party and the establishment wing of the Democratic Party. In opposition to our efforts there will be a never-ending barrage of TV ads, editorials, political attacks and lies."

bernie was kind of hedging being nice to dems but yeah ok i love u bernoman

Gene Hackman Fan
Dec 27, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
https://twitter.com/historyinflicks/status/892076415520264192

Condiv
May 7, 2008

Sorry to undo the effort of paying a domestic abuser $10 to own this poster, but I am going to lose my dang mind if I keep seeing multiple posters who appear to be Baloogan.

With love,
a mod


SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:

Hillary had a massive dip in turn out. It wasn't Obama voting Republicans it was Obama voting "non-voters" who are a waste of time to go after let's try to poach entrenched demographics

over half the populace didn't vote

obviously those are all republicans that are turned off by how racist republicans are so we need to adopt pro-life planks

Agnosticnixie
Jan 6, 2015

Subjunctivitis posted:

The constant outrage I see against Democrats for being dumb/selfish/conniving is both boring and validating. At this point, what do any of you progressive/leftist Democrats expect?

Every new generation of social democrats looks at the radical/ized left, looks at the democrats, and thinks they're the first generation to try this genius, new, untested strategy called entryism

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Main Paineframe posted:

persuading right-leaning areas to be more progressive sounds great. it's a whole lot better than what you're actually defending, which is writing off those areas as permanently conservative and running conservatives there while pretending it's the only way those districts could possibly be won

well there's short term and long term strategy. in the short term it's just imperative that we take back the majority. a gop congress and a gop president are going to kill a lot of people, but if winning 3 seats in orange county with centrists is necessary in 2018 to take back the house, i'm all for it. in the longer term, there needs to be a sustained focus on moving these districts left by organizing more effectively. like we do a lot of work to promote candidates but virtually no work to promote policies. that really needs to change!

quote:

the thing is, the reason progressive initiatives fail isn't because support for them is weak. it's because the Dems put a lot more importance on industry's opinion than voters' opinions. single-payer didn't die because support was too weak to overcome opposition, it died because the Dems were terrified that a torrent of health industry money might get poured into GOP campaign coffers and anti-Dem ads. with a lot more money against it than for it, the Dems opted against, because they overemphasize the importance of money in politics. there's very little wealthy industry lobbying for progressive policies, and since the Dems believe that money matters more than message or popular appeal, that means they dump progressivism every time. they may appeal to popular progressive policies during the election, but all the while privately reminding the wealthy donor gatherings that it's all just talk

but the support is weak. single-payer support isn't really as strong as people itt think it is. like in the last pew poll, only 52% of democrats backed single-payer. 33% of people overall regardless of party. so there's still a lot of work to do to actually build consensus on this. i think obviously campaign donations and whatnot do move politicians to an extent, but it's not what is killing single-payer's chances. and that's the thing - there's so much assumption that everyone is for it among progressives, that the democrats/wealthy lobbyists are the only thing holding us back, when in reality the main thing is there is a lot more electoral pressure against it than for it right now. there isn't electoral cover for people to come out for this except in safe districts.

i kind of contrast this to same sex marriage - there was an organized outreach program nationwide by lgbt groups to increase support for same sex marriage. door-to-door visits by actual gay people talking about their experiences and asking for support. these didn't just focus on democratic areas, but broadly targeted voters all over the place. the growth in support for same sex marriage happened rapidly and lead to a big political breakthrough. there is a lot of potential for similar types of campaigns by proponents of single-payer, but it is not happening. it needs to, though.

Concerned Citizen has issued a correction as of 22:51 on Jul 31, 2017

Man Musk
Jan 13, 2010

This delegate, Bernie, it's subpar

radical meme
Apr 17, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Thug Lessons posted:

I don't think those labels really mean much at all. If 60% of the country supports single-payer healthcare I'm not really concerned whether they identify as liberal or not.

So the portion of that 60% that's going to vote GOP in every election until the day they die doesn't matter to you?

Higgy
Jul 6, 2005



Grimey Drawer

got any sevens posted:

prove me wrong

why? you're not wrong its just that I struggled to write more words than "duh"

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Yeah cc we need to win sooner not later. That's why we need to abandon the losing strategy of centrism instead of digging our heels on economic issues

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

purity tests are stupid to both the ones administering it and the ones getting it


too busy administering the test instead of taking collective action, ya just tear into their policies instead of enacting yer own to outlast theirs

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:

Hillary had a massive dip in turn out. It wasn't Obama voting Republicans it was Obama voting "non-voters" who are a waste of time to go after let's try to poach entrenched demographics

hillary did not have a massive dip in turnout. turnout in philly dropped 2 points from 2012 to 2016 - bad, yes, not really the big issue. the "entrenched demos" were people who voted democrat for decades and flipped bigly to trump in november. we didn't protect what we already had.

Concerned Citizen has issued a correction as of 23:01 on Jul 31, 2017

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

Phi230
Feb 2, 2016

by Fluffdaddy
Let me tell you that if you think engaging non-voters is a waste of time you deserve to lose forever

oh wait that's just the democrats

ex post facho
Oct 25, 2007

Concerned Citizen posted:

deductibles & premiums will go down when hospitals charge a few hundred dollars to fix a broken leg instead of thousands of dollars, or when cancer-treatment drugs are $1000 per month instead of $100,000 per month. you look at a case like iowa, where the entire individual market blew up because a super-sick patient with a very rare disease costing $1 million per month to treat singlehandedly made the entire market unprofitable.

why do you think this is, CC, and what would you propose to solve this problem

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

Concerned Citizen posted:

Concerned Citizen hosed around with this message at Jul 31, 2017 around 17:01

lmebo

Al!
Apr 2, 2010

:coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot::coolspot:

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

ex post facho posted:

why do you think this is, CC, and what would you propose to solve this problem

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1hHXMbvivjU

Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

owns

SHY NUDIST GRRL
Feb 15, 2011

Communism will help more white people than anyone else. Any equal measures unfairly provide less to minority populations just because there's less of them. Democracy is truly the tyranny of the mob.

Concerned Citizen posted:

hillary did not have a massive dip in turnout. turnout in philly dropped 2 points from 2012 to 2016 - bad, yes, not really the big issue. the "entrenched demos" were people who voted democrat for decades and flipped bigly to trump in november. we didn't protect what we already had.

You're arguing my point.

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Lastgirl
Sep 7, 1997


Good Morning!
Sunday Morning!

SHY NUDIST GRRL posted:

You're arguing my point.



:owned:

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