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Radical x-ist, x-wing, x-ist, center-x, centrist.
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Jun 15, 2015 07:46
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FAUXTON posted:Radical x-ist, x-wing, x-ist, center-x, centrist. The new Star Wars movie has really gone nuts with its spaceship names.
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Jun 15, 2015 08:22
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Mister Macys posted:That's family leave, not maternity leave. FYI what Bernie's quote sounds like is simply making FMLA paid (and for everyone, rather than based on the size of the company or if it is a government job) rather than unpaid. FMLA would not include such things. FMLA is for: (source http://www.dol.gov/whd/fmla/) quote:The FMLA entitles eligible employees of covered employers to take unpaid, job-protected leave for specified family and medical reasons with continuation of group health insurance coverage under the same terms and conditions as if the employee had not taken leave. Eligible employees are entitled to: Basically, if you or your family have a health issue or you/spouse have a kid (or adopt one).
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Jun 15, 2015 08:42
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O'Malley's police reform, from what I understand, focused on broken-windows policing combined with aggressively manipulating statistics to create the appearance of crime reduction without the hard work of actually reducing crime.
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Jun 15, 2015 08:57
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thegodofchuck posted:FYI what Bernie's quote sounds like is simply making FMLA paid (and for everyone, rather than based on the size of the company or if it is a government job) rather than unpaid. FMLA would not include such things. FMLA is for: As a cynical Canadian, I didn't think you had such an act on the books in the first place, so I included what I'd stick in one myself (among other things).  Still a good thing to get behind, for what it's worth.
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Jun 15, 2015 09:57
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Aliquid posted:279 people isn't a very large sample size For registered Democrats in New Hampshire, it may be fairly representative; if memory serves New Hampshire voters are among those who fetishize Independent status, so there may not be as many actual party members as you might expect. I have no idea where to begin trying to verify that statement, mind you.
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Jun 15, 2015 11:19
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Good Citizen posted:Finishing in third place in Iowa is hardly a campaign deathblow as has been demonstrated several times in the recent past. Dukakis and Bush Sr came in third. McCain and Clinton came in forth, with Clinton only getting 3% (against an Iowa native, granted). It has less to do with place and more to do with expectations. In all of the races you mention, there were favorite sons or candidates from nearby states expected to easily win (Dole, Gephardt, Harkin, etc.) so a third or fourth place wasn't outside of expectations. Conversely for Dean, there was no favorite doing well and he had put a lot of money and time in campaigning in Iowa, so a poor third was well below expectations. Remember that Bill Clinton was considered the front runner by the media following coming in second in the 1992 New Hampshire primary.
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Jun 15, 2015 11:28
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Eschers Basement posted:It has less to do with place and more to do with expectations. In all of the races you mention, there were favorite sons or candidates from nearby states expected to easily win (Dole, Gephardt, Harkin, etc.) so a third or fourth place wasn't outside of expectations. Conversely for Dean, there was no favorite doing well and he had put a lot of money and time in campaigning in Iowa, so a poor third was well below expectations. Also, Dean had been leading in the polls nationally right up until then, had a huge amount of hype behind his campaign (dark horse candidate comes out of nowhere to lead the polls), and had built a huge war chest with the first serious attempt at online fundraising, so there were very high expectations going into Iowa. Getting beaten badly be Kerry, of all people, who seemed like the establishment pick from the beginning, was pretty rough on a lot of supporters who started bleeding off to support Edwards instead.
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Jun 15, 2015 12:20
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You should be cautious of any single poll result. You should be especially cautious if it's a wild outlier from an unrecognized firm that does online polling. That said, the sample size is strictly tied to the MoE. They're reporting a MoE of 6% on a sample size of 279, which is about accurate for a base population size of 287557, which is the number of voters in the 2008 Democratic primary in New Hampshire, assuming a 95% confidence level. My advice: throw it in the average, but don't expect that poll's results to be repeated.
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Jun 15, 2015 13:20
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It wouldn't be weird for Bernie to do well in NH, a state that adjoins and is (despite their political differences) demographically identical to his home, where he enjoys more name-recognition than normal and can more reasily put people in the field. Get excited if he polls well in South Carolina or Nevada. Farther-flung, more populous, more diverse states that more accurately represent the democratic base.
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Jun 15, 2015 13:29
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Chantilly Say posted:O'Malley's police reform, from what I understand, focused on broken-windows policing combined with aggressively manipulating statistics to create the appearance of crime reduction without the hard work of actually reducing crime. Crime rate went down as potato production in Honduras increased, so I don't see how importing tons of Honduran potatos isn't criminal justice reform.
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Jun 15, 2015 13:46
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Hasn't stopped being funny yet.
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Jun 15, 2015 14:37
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Does O'Malley have a chicken farm to which he gave Drudge a key or something? This fawning is getting creepy.
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Jun 15, 2015 14:44
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Jun 15, 2015 14:46
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FAUXTON posted:Does O'Malley have a chicken farm to which he gave Drudge a key or something? This fawning is getting creepy. Reminder the Right told people to vote for Hillary in '08,
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Jun 15, 2015 14:49
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Do Vermont and New Hampshire overlap much in terms of TV and radio markets?
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Jun 15, 2015 15:07
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whydirt posted:Do Vermont and New Hampshire overlap much in terms of TV and radio markets? Northern New Hampshire shares some of the same market and will get broadcasts from Burlington, but the big population centers in NH are in the Boston media market.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:11
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Jun 15, 2015 15:11
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whydirt posted:Do Vermont and New Hampshire overlap much in terms of TV and radio markets? Technically, I think Manchester is in the Boston TV market and Vermont is in one with part of Upstate NY.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:12
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whydirt posted:Do Vermont and New Hampshire overlap much in terms of TV and radio markets? Depends on where in the state you are. I'd say as a whole VT tends to overlap with New York more than it does with New Hampshire. Though in the southern part of the state you can get radio/TV out of Manchester and Concord. e;fb
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Jun 15, 2015 15:16
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The fact that it's the "Dover Thrift Edition" is just icing on the cake. Yeah, it's a Scarlet Letter...for the poor.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:19
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*looks in FEC regulations* Welp, looks like there's nothing in here that says you can't advertise with graffiti. Also, no rules about dogs playing basketball. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ul0OBXCgwds
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Jun 15, 2015 15:30
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Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video).
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Jun 15, 2015 15:35
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New Republic has a solid read on New Hillary, Being Hillary as She Really Was As I noted the other day, I really like the decision they've made to make her more humble and approachable, and frankly, more honest. Joementum posted:Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video). He's so loving stupid.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:36
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Joementum posted:Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video). Oh god please let it be true!
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Jun 15, 2015 15:42
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http://video.foxnews.com/v/4297314172001 Donald "The Donald" Trump dropping some hints to some tremendous morons.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:45
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Joementum posted:Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video). Trump 2016: Because you can fool some of the people all of the time.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:45
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Donald Trump feels like one of those rare circumstances where not even being able to pay your own campaign fees can make up for a complete lack of charisma.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:48
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Joementum posted:*looks in FEC regulations* This is the worst graffiti I've seen in a long time. And this is counting the stupid stuff I see on the side of the bridge on the way to work. BI NOW GAY LATER posted:New Republic has a solid read on New Hillary, Being Hillary as She Really Was GlyphGryph fucked around with this message at 15:59 on Jun 15, 2015 |
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Jun 15, 2015 15:54
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Joementum posted:*looks in FEC regulations* Looks like a new opportunity of employment for art students.
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Jun 15, 2015 15:56
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:Reminder the Right told people to vote for Hillary in '08, I guess that's in keeping with their spectrum of prejudices - White Man > White Woman > Black Man
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Jun 15, 2015 16:10
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Joementum posted:Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video). And they said we couldn't top 2012
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Jun 15, 2015 16:28
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Trump doesn't even have the attention span to run a Presidential campaign--he'll get bored with it in a couple of weeks. It'll be like a new toy.
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Jun 15, 2015 16:31
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Alter Ego posted:Trump doesn't even have the attention span to run a Presidential campaign--he'll get bored with it in a couple of weeks. It'll be like a new toy. He just needs to make it to a debate and I will be forever happy
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Jun 15, 2015 16:35
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He won't even make it to the first loving debate, that thin-skinned, lightweight piece of gold foil-wrapped trash. I can't even get excited about this because he's just going to throw another disappointment on the huge pile he's got in his Scrooge McDuck bin instead of money. Idiot.
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Jun 15, 2015 16:47
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The best part is that instead of spending that money on charity, he uses it for frivolous political campaigns that make him look like an idiot each time. He's one of the least charitable billionaires in the country, from what I've heard.
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Jun 15, 2015 17:00
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With all of his shameless loudmouthed self-promotion, I can't say that is the least bit surprising.
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Jun 15, 2015 17:03
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Joementum posted:Tomorrow at 11am: Let's MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN (pre-announcement video). I'm sad that I'll be traveling at that time tomorrow and won't be able to watch his announcement live. 
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Jun 15, 2015 17:33
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Captain_Maclaine posted:I'm sad that I'll be traveling at that time tomorrow and won't be able to watch his announcement live. "You know, hope is a mistake." - Max Rockatansky
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Jun 15, 2015 17:38
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Does Trump have anything particular to shill, or is this just the ultimate in ego-stroking vanity runs? I don't see him being on the ground schmoozing it up with the proles the way other candidates do in the primaries, and at this point the debates are far away enough I see him taking his ball and going home way before he has to actually defend or stand for anything in more than 140 characters.
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Jun 15, 2015 17:40
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