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Who do you want to be the 2020 Democratic Nominee?
This poll is closed.
Joe "the liberal who fights busing" Biden 27 1.40%
Bernie "please don't die" Sanders 1017 52.69%
Cory "charter schools" Booker 12 0.62%
Kirsten "wall street" Gillibrand 24 1.24%
Kamala "truancy queen" Harris 59 3.06%
Julian "who?" Castro 7 0.36%
Tulsi "gay panic" Gabbard 25 1.30%
Michael "crimes crimes crimes" Avenatti 22 1.14%
Sherrod "discount bernie" Brown 21 1.09%
Amy "horrible boss" Klobuchar 12 0.62%
Tammy "stands for america" Duckworth 48 2.49%
Beto "whataburger" O'Rourke 32 1.66%
Elizabeth "instagram beer" Warren 284 14.72%
Tom "impeach please" Steyer 4 0.21%
Michael "soda is the devil" Bloomberg 9 0.47%
Joseph Stalin 287 14.87%
Howard "coffee republican" Schultz 10 0.52%
Jay "nobody cares about climate change :(" Inslee 13 0.67%
Pete "gently caress the homeless" Butt Man 17 0.88%
Total: 1930 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
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Uncle Wemus
Mar 4, 2004

Booker can gently caress off

https://twitter.com/elizashapiro/status/1086317863827312640?s=20

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Typo
Aug 19, 2009

Chernigov Military Aviation Lyceum
The Fighting Slowpokes

Hieronymous Alloy posted:

So which candidate has the best chance of running and winning against President Pence?


probably the exact person best to run against trump

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Lol Booker’s political instincts are poo.

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN
Someone has defaced our tribute to Uncle Joe, I demand the Mods take harsh punitive action

Wraith of J.O.I.
Jan 25, 2012



https://twitter.com/joshuamound/status/802957616439853056

joepinetree
Apr 5, 2012
On one hand, charter schools are terrible, and are generally disliked by the democratic base. On the other hand, charter schools attract a lot of donors. Marshall Tuck raised more than every democratic candidate for senate not named Beto in his race for school superintendent in CA solely on being the charter candidate. Booker probably figures he will get some massive windfall by being the only openly charter school advocate that more than makes up for their unpopularity. If Tuck can raise 30 million for school superintendent of california, I can't imagine the amount of money involved in a presidential race.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Majorian posted:

-More recently, he said that the left should align with Tucker Carlson and other alt-rightists because he thinks they're anti-war. (they're actually not)

I listened to that ep and his point was that dems are warhawks, not that carlson is someone with whom the left should align iirc.

DaveWoo
Aug 14, 2004

Fun Shoe
https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1086360280857231360

What the hell does that even mean

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005


fewer of the wrong color of immigrants

MSDOS KAPITAL
Jun 25, 2018





heyitsamanda posted:

I'll bite here.
I think you are underestimating the impact that would have on the Democratic base who would be livid at a such a blatant power grab. You are also discounting the radicalization of many formerly moderate liberals in the Democratic ranks, who will be both intrinsically motivated to vote and demand more leftist policies and platforms. Finally you are underestimating the effect Trump being pushed out would have on the GOP, and overestimating their desire to vote for Romney. Romney couldn't win in 2012, and the GOP base is even less tolerant of less-than-screaming-fascist-lunatic now than they were then. In short you seem to think the 2020 election will take place with a 2004 electorate that has read about the period of 2016-2020, but not lived it.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011


"Right-sizing" was a 90s euphemism for "downsizing", which of course was an 80s euphemism for "firing people".

It means cutting immigration.

Breakfast All Day
Oct 21, 2004

VitalSigns posted:

"Right-sizing" was a 90s euphemism for "downsizing", which of course was an 80s euphemism for "firing people".

It means cutting immigration.

Dem establishment is adopting a lot of 90s rhetoric and language about immigration which led to all of Clinton's disastrous policies. I expect a lot of the primary debate to be a race-to-the-center to compromise on "pragmatic, compassionate" immigration reform and border security, resisting Trump by only giving him 95% of everything he wants. One of the poo poo NPR podcasts this week was even trying to rehabilitate the '95 act by painting it as only being awful because Barbara Jordan died before it passed and got twisted into something bad, glossing over in ten seconds all the reasons it was already terrible in the spirit of compromise (reducing caps, increasing enforcement, structured against the poor, etc.)

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011
i think it's worth thinking about who you'd vote for as a second choice even if you're dead set on sanders because very old people have an annoying tendency to get sick or die unexpectedly

i don't think it makes him a worse candidate (than anyone else, anyway) if he's actually running, but i wouldn't take it as a given that he's going to.

Turtlicious
Sep 17, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

Cease to Hope posted:

i think it's worth thinking about who you'd vote for as a second choice even if you're dead set on sanders because very old people have an annoying tendency to get sick or die unexpectedly
funny how that always seems to happen to socialist leaders.

b u t never to me?

nice try obummer.

Kalli
Jun 2, 2001



I believe there was a movie about what most leftists would go with as their second option if Bernie was incapacitated by age.

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012
Honestly I'll ultimately accept anyone who runs on Medicare for All, Green New Deal, and Living Wage cause there's an immediate and pressing need for those policies. There's a lot of other policies that are nessicary and that I really want to see, but ultimately I can accept waiting on them if we can at least avert/mend the major catastophes.

Turtlicious
Sep 17, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

fool_of_sound posted:

Honestly I'll ultimately accept anyone who runs on Medicare for All, Green New Deal, and Living Wage cause there's an immediate and pressing need for those policies. There's a lot of other policies that are nessicary and that I really want to see, but ultimately I can accept waiting on them if we can at least avert/mend the major catastophes.

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

Sinistral posted:

He’s losing to Biden by 11 points though.

Edit: This is kind of an amazing self own. “Bernie isn’t black voters first choice.” “Oh yeah, he isn’t white voters first choice either! This is good news! For Bernie!”

This keeps happening again and again every time polls come up in this thread, and it always results in a massive debate on how to interpret the data, so let me try, for the last time, to bridge the gap:

There are two different narratives that I think sometimes get conflated. Narrative 1 is "Black voters don't like Bernie." This is a centrist donut twitter narrative and it is, and has always, been total bullshit. Bernie polls great numbers with black voters and always has. The idea that black people don't like Bernie is wrong, hard stop, no debate.

The more complicated narrative is "Black voters like Bernie, but he may not be their first choice of candidate because they like someone else more". This narrative is, at least, debatable. It was true in 2016, for example, and the current crop of 2020 polling also suggests it: Bernie is popular, but Biden is even more popular, often by 10+ points.

Now, I think there's tremendous reason to be skeptical of our current polling (Joe Biden ain't it, so any poll with Biden at the top is automatically suspect). And I'm assuming Sanders is smart enough to look at where he fell short in 2016 and adjust his campaign accordingly, and Sanders 2020 will lean heavily on Southern black outreach, so a lot can change by Super Tuesday 2020. Also, the more I look at the polls, the more I'm convinced they're measuring the wrong thing: the biggest metric is age, not ethnicity. OLDER people like Bernie less, and black voters historically skew older. Bernie polls great with young black voters. So if he can bump youth turnout across the board relative to 2016, that alone will be a big win.

heyitsamanda posted:

I'll bite here.

This seems like it would almost invariably end up in a GOP 2020 win. Outside of the % of the populace that's actively politically engaged (i.e. the people who vote every 4 years and then go back to tuning out) I think there's just a desire to return to "normality" where we don't say the quiet parts out loud. Obama was an incumbent neoliberal, and one of the best public speakers of all time in US politics. I think there's real "Trump fatigue" in America right now, and unless you're the type of person that cares about politics anyways, there's a huge portion of our populace that just wants to be able to tune out politics again without wondering what kind of batshit crazy stunt or scandal is going to come out tomorrow.


This feels totally wrong to me. A party can't just oust a President widely popular with its base and pretend it didn't happen; if they could, they would've done it a year ago. The whole reason the Republican party is powerless is because Trump is unpopular nationally but very popular with a majority of their voters, and they can't move against him without suffering their wrath. A world where the party impeaches Trump in favor of a Romney is absolutely one where a Trumpist runs a third-party ticket, calls the party establishment cowards and traitors, and probably gets a BIGGER share of their vote than the annoited RINO.

Z. Autobahn fucked around with this message at 00:08 on Jan 19, 2019

BardoTheConsumer
Apr 6, 2017


I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!


Condiv posted:

this is the long and short of it

we need actual change in this country, and for that we need to elect people who will fight for it. look at the difference in results you got from the election of sinema vs the election of AOC. bernie is really old, but he's the only one in the lineup that will fight for the change this country needs. so the choice is pretty clear, you have to vote for him

Okay but pragmatically Bernie is one of the few people on this list who would generally lose to trump. You're not wrong but it might be better to let him drag someone younger to the left and then vote for that younger person.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

I really think Joe Biden would be a real downer president. He just doesnt have the intestinal fortitude.

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe

BardoTheConsumer posted:

Okay but pragmatically Bernie is one of the few people on this list who would generally lose to trump. You're not wrong but it might be better to let him drag someone younger to the left and then vote for that younger person.

It it opposite day already?

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Cease to Hope posted:

i think it's worth thinking about who you'd vote for as a second choice even if you're dead set on sanders because very old people have an annoying tendency to get sick or die unexpectedly

Who's running on the Green ticket?

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Willa Rogers posted:

Who's running on the Green ticket?

A huckster who shills fake medicine for a living

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

BardoTheConsumer posted:

Okay but pragmatically Bernie is one of the few people on this list who would generally lose to trump.

If you're gonna say poo poo like this, you really should have to back it up with an argument as to why you think that.

Willa Rogers posted:

Who's running on the Green ticket?

Man, at least do a write-in for "The Ghost of Bernie Sanders". Don't support those goobers.

Breakfast All Day
Oct 21, 2004

fool_of_sound posted:

A huckster who shills fake medicine for a living

Yeah, probably hucking bullshit like a "Green New Deal", "free college", "stopping fracking", "increasing minimum wage", "single payer healthcare",

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Breakfast All Day posted:

Yeah, probably hucking bullshit like a "Green New Deal", "free college", "stopping fracking", "increasing minimum wage", "single payer healthcare",

Also 'vaccines cause autism' and 'insurance should pay for homeopathy' and 'big scare stickers on gmo products' and 'cure cancer with magnets'

Lightning Knight
Feb 24, 2012

Pray for Answer

Breakfast All Day posted:

Yeah, probably hucking bullshit like a "Green New Deal", "free college", "stopping fracking", "increasing minimum wage", "single payer healthcare",

If the 2020 primary has taught us anything it’s that it’s easy to say you support [good things] while also being a fraud, yes.

Mr Hootington
Jul 24, 2008

I'M HAVING A HOOT EATING CORNETTE THE LONG WAY
I never see this age worry about Biden or Warren. :thunk:

Turtlicious
Sep 17, 2012

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

fool_of_sound posted:

Also 'vaccines cause autism' and 'insurance should pay for homeopathy' and 'big scare stickers on gmo products' and 'cure cancer with magnets'

uh excuse you the magnet cured my balance tyvm

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Mr Hootington posted:

I never see this age worry about Biden or Warren. :thunk:

I've seen it plenty about Warren too. Not Biden though lol.

Biden and Bloomberg are my nightmare candidates and probs the only ones that would make me protest vote. Harris is somewhere around that level too though.

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

Mr Hootington posted:

I never see this age worry about Biden or Warren. :thunk:

nobody here actually wants biden or warren (or trump or clinton, for that matter)

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

Mr Hootington posted:

I never see this age worry about Biden or Warren. :thunk:

This is partially because Biden's age is like the least bad thing about him, as opposed to the worst.

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Z. Autobahn posted:

This is partially because Biden's age is like the least bad thing about him, as opposed to the worst.

:emptyquote:

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018
Women are wonderful animals, they should be making music and writing novels about having a complex relationship with your mother.
I understand the concerns about Bernie's age, but I don't think they're rational. What's the concern, that if he dies in office he won't be able to accomplish everything he says? Sure, fair enough, but he wants to do way more than the other Democratic candidates. If somebody wants to do twice as much but dies halfway through, that's a wash. And Bernie isn't going to pick some horrible ghoul like Biden or Kaine to be his VP. If we get two years of President Bernie Sanders before he croaks and then we get two years of President Barbara Lee, how is that bad?

Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011

Gripweed posted:

I understand the concerns about Bernie's age, but I don't think they're rational. What's the concern, that if he dies in office he won't be able to accomplish everything he says?

it's important to be alive and reasonably healthy to get through a primary and election in the first place

Themage
Jul 21, 2010

by Nyc_Tattoo
C-spam fact #875:
Did you know that bernies the same age as 90% of all politicians in the world

Gripweed
Nov 8, 2018
Women are wonderful animals, they should be making music and writing novels about having a complex relationship with your mother.

Cease to Hope posted:

it's important to be alive and reasonably healthy to get through a primary and election in the first place

That's not true. Remember 2016? Hillary Clinton was constantly collapsing from the flu and Donald Trump was obese and obviously going senile.

Z. Autobahn
Jul 20, 2004

colonel tigh more like colonel high

Gripweed posted:

I understand the concerns about Bernie's age, but I don't think they're rational. What's the concern, that if he dies in office he won't be able to accomplish everything he says? Sure, fair enough, but he wants to do way more than the other Democratic candidates. If somebody wants to do twice as much but dies halfway through, that's a wash. And Bernie isn't going to pick some horrible ghoul like Biden or Kaine to be his VP. If we get two years of President Bernie Sanders before he croaks and then we get two years of President Barbara Lee, how is that bad?

I think the concerns are less about him dying (though that's a factor); on a purely health level, something like dementia would be way more of a concern because he'd still be in office but his capacities to do his job would be much more unreliable/in question. More than that though, I do think there is objectively a bad thing in having an Old Man as president, and a lot of people would prefer someone else demographically; I think having a woman President would be good for America, and it bums me to vote for a man, and the same goes for someone old. Even the best old person is still, on a lot of levels, out of touch. Like, 99% of the "Bernie is bad on race/gender" discourse is actually "Bernie is an old man and talks like one"

I think the vast majority of Bernie supporters would prefer a younger candidate with the same views and passion. Problem is, that person doesn't exist (or is TOO young).

readingatwork
Jan 8, 2009

Hello Fatty!


Fun Shoe

Z. Autobahn posted:

Hillary endorses Bernie, triggering the Third Impact

That scene where giant naked Rei turns into giant naked Kaworu and absorbs Shinji except it’s Hillary turning into Bernie and Shinji is me.

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Cease to Hope
Dec 12, 2011
every time i bring up "sanders is old and may choose not to run / die" someone gets mad at some straw man claiming that sanders is too old to be president

i am confident in sanders's ability to identify his own capacity to act as president; i am merely pointing out that that means he may decide for himself that he's not up to it, or have no choice in the matter. what candidate would you prefer, then?

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