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Woohoo, first post in the thread!bewbies posted:I think the two biggest legitimate complaints about the brad are 1) the weight, which really wasn't as big of a deal when we kept 100,000 dudes forward deployed in Europe (it is a much bigger deal now as we have to move them from Hood to wherever and that is hard), and in any case in order to meet those protection levels it had to weigh that much, and 2) it can't carry a whole squad, which makes moving around with mounted dudes more awkward than it needs to be. It should be noted here that when the US Army did decide to have both high protection and a full squad, they ended up with a concept (GCV if I'm correct?) which weighed more than the M1 tank...
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# ¿ Jun 24, 2016 02:21 |
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# ¿ May 21, 2024 20:10 |
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B4Ctom1 posted:THAAD for S. Korea What good would the Iron Dome do for South Korea? The conventional rocket threat involves such volumes of fire that South Korea couldn't possible amass enough rounds to defeat them all. South Korea would be better served investing that money in a counter-battery technology, possibly using lightweight ballistic missiles (IAI LORA missile?). See here: http://defense-update.com/products/l/lora.htm As for techno-thrillers, I much prefer the Cold War Clancy style books to their modern variants: We have another top-secret former special forces operator now working for a plausible-deniable private firm fighting terrorists. Those books have become pretty tedious.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2016 23:07 |
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Mortabis posted:You could use Iron Dome to protect military bases, artillery, and other air defenses from North Korean artillery fire in addition to the most highly populated areas. Yeah, but that sounds like a ton of expenditure to achieve a meaningful dent on the incoming rocket rounds. The Iron Dome is a viable solution because most incoming rounds miss, hence not requiring an intercept. Otherwise, it would be ruinously expensive for the US / Israel. I'd think that an offensive system is better for dealing with rocket fire.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2016 23:56 |
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Mortabis posted:You might be over-estimating the amount of functioning artillery pieces the North Koreans have that: 1. can reach Seoul 2. are positioned within range of Seoul rather than elsewhere on the DMZ. To start with, the percentage of duds is irrelevant to the cost issue, the Iron Dome will intercept before one knows if the round is / is not a dud. As for the second half, South Korea's counter-battery is already mobile. It doesn't need a fixed point defense. South Korean military bases are either within range of enough rocket artillery to not make a difference or within range of TBMs, at which point Iron Dome is useless. The Iron Dome is a weapon system designed to solve a particular political issue, I don't think it really has a great usefulness outside of the particular political situation.
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# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 00:24 |
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B4Ctom1 posted:6 AMRAAMS and 2 JDAMS sounds like party time for the F-35 That looks photoshopped...
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# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 00:30 |
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bewbies posted:iron dome does not have the capability to intercept large tube artillery raids Let's start with the basics: can the Iron Dome intercept artillery?
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# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 00:32 |
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Godholio posted:I think it's photoshopped. The shadows don't really make sense, there's no mounting hardware where those two 120s are, and the configuration is actually one AIM-120 and one JDAM per bay. The 120 on the door is legit. But but but, F-35 will carry enough internal MRAAMs... Right? EDIT: It's a stupid photoshop. By all accounts, the USAF has given up on getting more than one AMRAAM per F-35 bay. Instead, research has turned to investigating smaller / more numerous weapons for internal carriage to bring up rounds per mission capability. Sperglord fucked around with this message at 01:23 on Jul 10, 2016 |
# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 01:17 |
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Mazz posted:Yeah definite photoshop, look at the shadow on the top two missiles then on the actual outboard one. I really think that this line of thinking has gone away in the USAF. Current research seems to be pushing for a small A2A missile, around the size of a SDB, for high volume packing inside a F-35. If you read the CSBA paper on future of air combat, they posit a role for LRAAMs. The SCO's suggestion of an arsenal plane also requires a LRAAM. Lastly, look at AAM development outside the US, Russia, China, and Europe have AAMs with significantly longer ranges than the US. All of the above suggests that AAMs will diverge, something small for multiple packing in F-35, and something larger for LRAAM role.
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# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 03:29 |
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Warbadger posted:I think his argument is that it wouldn't be saturated as the North Koreans don't actually have a lot of guns that can reach downtown Seoul. The better argument is: instead of buying a purely defensive weapon, why doesn't South Korea spend that money on improving short / no-response deep counter-battery fire? Increase counter batter radar coverage, develop a fast response computer network to shorten response times, use rocket deployed UAVs to quickly reconoitter launch sites, and develop or purchase medium range (40 - 80km) guided missiles to hit the sites when they're detected. Remember that each Iron Dome round costs ~30k - 50k. A dozen rounds probably pays for a simple guided ballistic missile. The volume of fire is going to be large, why not improve the ability to silence that fire as soon as possible? The Iron Dome was created because Israel did not want to be pushed into bombing Gaza after every single rocket. The Iron Dome raised the price of success for rocket attacks to high enough levels to buy Israel better geopolitical maneuvering room. That political situation in no way applies to a South Korean scenario.
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# ¿ Jul 10, 2016 07:20 |
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I really like the idea of the F-35B being operated from a FARP. How long will the stealth coating last under those conditions? Does anyone actually expect such a complex aircraft to be used from rough field conditions? There is an article on the Mitchell Institute Website talking about 5th Generation Combat. Between the 'rah-rah-rah' lines, the authors repeatedly emphasized the necessity of continuous maintenance to keep stealth fighter's coating. They warned that if the coating begins to degrade, then the maintenance requirements can rapidly get out of hand. This leads to the problem of an all-stealth fighter wing in a medium to high intensity conflict. Can Air Force maintenance keep the stealth coating in a time of enemy attack and high sortie rates? I don't know and, from what I've seen, I don't know if the Air Force is paying attention to that. As for replicating enemy air defenses, I think one problem is that the USAF may not have the technology to do that. Can the USAF build a high-mobility VHF radar system? Or what about decoys and point defenses for the radar? I don't know.
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# ¿ Jul 12, 2016 01:01 |
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hogmartin posted:The F-117 has come and gone in my lifetime, checking to see if RAM is intact is probably a solved - or at least addressed - problem by now. The F-117 was an elite force operating from a single airfield. That is very different from a large number stealth fighters operating at every airfield.
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# ¿ Jul 12, 2016 01:38 |
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Godholio posted:Yes. It doesn't really get press but the F-22 has been on semi-regular deployments to the Persian Gulf for years, and they're parked outside in places like Florida and the southwest (ie humidity vs desert). There are plenty of times where sortie generation is pushed. In short this has been a non-factor for roughly a decade, but "this works fine and we do this on a daily basis" doesn't really get the headlines. F-22 is double the quantities of the F-117, the F-35 represents a tenfold increase. And the F-22 isn't achieving the highest readiness rate, in spite of its relatively high maintenance cost. I don't think the readiness issue has been completely solved yet. Though, F-35 surface coatings should be easier to maintain than F-22. I have my doubts about the ability to scale up stealth coating maintenance, especially under attack and with a high sortie rate.
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# ¿ Jul 12, 2016 03:28 |
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iyaayas01 posted:As Godholio pointed out, we've been doing this for a decade now. The F-22 basically "cracked the code" on how to deal with LO coatings in an operational environment (as opposed to the F-117/B-2 "requires bespoke hangars and special snowflake treatment"). The F-35 is even better/lower maintenance in that regard. CarForumPoster posted:It has been my experience that anything to do with RAM is something no one in the know will ever comment on even in the most vague of terms. Ok, point taken. Smiling Jack posted:A STOVL stealth fighter is dope as hell, the question is were the compromises made for the AF/USN worth it. This is the question. The F-35 is tightly packed and has internal heating issues. That will make upgrades difficult. Would those have been half as serious if the AF/USN version was designed completely separately from the lift fan requirement? Arglebargle III posted:I think tactically the USAF doesn't see a need to maintain an all stealth force for the duration of a conflict. Isn't the idea that the stealth planes "kick in the door", i.e. bomb all the air defenses and shoot down all the hostile fighters? Then older planes with more payload do the bomb truck job. That's the theory, but I think that won't work against Russia / China. Remember that the Serbs maintained a fairly effective ADN, in terms of sorties cancelled and support aircraft required, using 70s and 80s equipment. (ADN can work even if it doesn't shoot down aircraft. If it drops sortie rates by half because of the need for SEAD escorts, etc., then it is still succeeding.) Modern and mobile ADNs should be able to retain a significant residual capability even after initial SEAD campaign.
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# ¿ Jul 12, 2016 20:29 |
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I wonder if STOL would have been the better option. Or, if the USAF will want a STOL light fighter / UAV for operations in Baltics and Poland. This leads to another problem which I see with the F-35. It is in a shitilocks zone for fighter size. Too big to be cheap and too small to go deep. It has the sensor layout of a high-end strike fighter, but without the range to really exploit that sensor capability.
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# ¿ Jul 13, 2016 00:50 |
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hobbesmaster posted:I was thinking more from a technical standpoint but point taken. One reason for not using Standard Missiles is the booster stage. SM-2 and SM-6 both have a booster stage. That works over water, where 99% of the time there's nothing for that stage to land on. Over land, that becomes a much dicer proposition. If you look at the S-300 / 400 family, those missiles are huge and don't have boosters. About ADATs, I read somewhere that it's command guidance, via laser grid, made the system practically immune to ECM. I think StarStreak uses a similar command guided launcher. If the US gets back into SHORAD in a big way, expect that the missiles will tend more towards that command guided system and less towards active homing. That type of guidance will be attractive in a high ECM / Cyber environment.
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# ¿ Jul 15, 2016 04:22 |
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TCD posted:Doesn't seem to have stopped Aegis ashore. True, though Aegis Ashore is a fixed site operating against a generally well known threat path. A mobile air defense is different. I suspect another reason is just climate control / transport resiliency.
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# ¿ Jul 15, 2016 21:01 |
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On the F-35, it is interesting to see that the USAF plans for a next-generation air superiority fighter, called Penetrating Counter Air, basically for no existing R&D. The USAF said in the 2030 study that the service cannot afford to combine technology advances and aircraft development programs. That is a pretty strong repudiation of the whole F-22 and F-35 era of development.
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# ¿ Jul 28, 2016 01:58 |
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I've heard an alternate theory about the dprk bomb program, this from Jeffrey Lewis at the arms control wonk. He thinks that dprk went straight for a miniaturized warhead, as producing a Fat Man style bomb would be redundant and unnecessary. (the bomb design works and at the same time isn't applicable for easy military use) Following this theory, DPRK would be more concerned about a tactical weapon for it's SCUD missiles than a strategic weapon for missiles which have yet to be fully developed. The 10kt devices would be sufficient for tactical purposes and terrorizing Seoul. There may also be a strategic consideration, DPRK may think that Russia and China will accept a small device (<20kt) but will object to a truly strategic device (>100kt). That, too, would constrain DPRK development. This being said, there is no reason to seriously doubt that DPRK has a reliable design. I also believe that DPRK gas a miniaturized design for SCUD delivery.
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# ¿ Sep 12, 2016 15:18 |
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BIG HEADLINE posted:http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/this-is-a-real-tweet-from-the-russian-embassy-in-the-un-1787437075 If the Russians put a Pantsir-S1 to guard the launchers, any SEAD operation against them will be dicey. What is more crazy is the people who think that a no fly zone can be easily accomplished without provoking a super power stand-off. They're the crazy ones. I wonder why the choice of S-300 vs a S-400. Maybe Russia doesn't have confidence in the new system or want to lose it in any skirmish? Also, lol at the X-32.
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# ¿ Oct 6, 2016 18:15 |
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Murgos posted:It kind of seems like lack of confidence in your naval air. "Whelp, once all the aircraft have been destroyed we can still operate as a lovely missile frigate." It does make sense if you think your Naval Air is not your primary anti-ship arm. If, instead, the missiles are the primary anti-ship weapon and the aircraft are primarily for defense. But, that gets back to an interesting question: what was the original mission for the Soviet carriers? Was it to defend SSBN Bastions in the Artic? Or?
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# ¿ Nov 21, 2016 16:16 |
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B4Ctom1 posted:A friend of mine called this the AWACS killer If you look in the CMANO news and update thread, link here: http://www.matrixgames.com/forums/tm.asp?m=3789961&mpage=51 You'll see some pictures taken from Chinese journals. The main picture shows the missile being fired ASAT style into a ballistic flight path. The given range is >300km with a terminal sensor range of ~20km. Now, we will have to see if that is really the case, but assuming the pictures are reasonably accurate, I think that it would answer some of the early criticism. 1. The missile range is great enough to start shooting at the edge of the AWACS radar range. It could be enough to make the AWACS push back some, which would be a success. 2. The shape looked to be minimizing wave drag, which "could" make sense if it is going up to high altitudes and high velocities. The launch profile can reduce engine requirements. However, there is still the problem of midcourse guidance. Terminal guidance appears to be an IR sensor, but the missile would need something else to give it updates. It can't rely on a pure passive approach because the target could just turn off its own radar. Now, based on the 300 km range and ballistic trajectory, one could get an estimate for time of flight. Then one could see how far an AWACS could move in that time...
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# ¿ Nov 22, 2016 21:00 |
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Godholio posted:That page is full of junior high level speculation and bullshit. I simply do not believe that 300km claim at all. Terminal sensor range of 20km...maybe, but I'd be surprised. 300 km is roughly 160 nm, well short of the E-3's 250 nm radar range. Midcourse guidance is also a problem because you don't have a fighter radar capable of seeing far enough anyway. You're effectively firing blind or based on off-board data, and there aren't many radars in the world capable of providing sufficient fidelity at that range. For the speculation, most of it is searching for relevant Chinese journal articles and trying to extrapolate from them. It isn't really bullshit to say that an article suggested a >300km missile with a 20km terminal seeker for the anti-AWACS mission. And it isn't bullshit to try and link those articles to this mystery new weapon. It is bullshit to say the Chinese have demonstrated that capability, but I don't think that was the point. As for long-range guidance, that is the problem isn't it. You wouldn't need a high level of confidence, because the missile concept includes a terminal seeker which can distinguish between target types. However, you'd still have to get a reasonable track to fire in the first place. In other words, you trade off track quality because the missile terminal seeker can compensate. If that is possible or not is another question altogether, but the concept appears sound.
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 03:24 |
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Godholio posted:Ultimately it comes down to whether you believe the Chinese have better motors than the US and Russia (to get the theorized range), and a better miniaturized IR seeker or radar set than the US and Russia. Because the active search volume for an emitter that size is not large; IR is more realistic, but I still have serious doubts. It needs to be accurately guided to have a loving prayer, and the longer the shot, the more accurate the supporting data has to be. You're right that the concept is clear; but execution is a lot more difficult. Yeah, that's one thing I'm learning is concepts can be mathematically clear, but it is all in the execution. The rocket motor is oddly small. Compared to the reference case, K-100 Novator, this missile is estimated to have a 10cm narrower airframe. Now, I wonder if the Chinese are looking at alternate solutions to solve the motor problem: A. launch like an ASAT to get maximum kinematic boost from the fighter (this exposes the fighter to return fire) B. a more efficient pure ballistic or ballistic-glide trajectory to maximize range at the expense of speed Those might work, but then you're trading end-game energy against longer range or a highly vulnerable launch trajectory. For the terminal seeker, that too is a problem. I wonder if the 20km range was driven by a design requirement and implementing that will be much more difficult. (Cloud cover, for one, could be kryptonite to the missile) Now, if they do have a terminal seeker, I don't think that long range accuracy is required. As long as the target is localized to under 50%? of the terminal seeker basket, that might be ok for the missile to work. But, you'd still need mid-course guidance updates.
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 04:07 |
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CarForumPoster posted:Long version: That's interesting, you're saying that their engineering culture is such that they will find it nearly impossible to be reliable and truly efficient? In this case, a Chinese operational research may have found a possible anti-AWACS missile system, but the Chinese engineers can't implement it? Back to missile guidance for a second, I have wondered on and off if the following is a solution to the anti-stealth SAM problem: - A low-frequency radar which can localize a stealth aircraft to ~10km - A high diving SAM with active / passive radar and IR, whose trajectory is shaped to come down on the target area from above / behind to maximize possible radar / IR return The low-frequency radar localizes the target to a sufficiently small volume so that the incoming missile can detect it at short ranges.
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 04:17 |
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CarForumPoster posted:
I heard stories like that from my undergrad. The incoming Chinese physics grad students knew their mathematical formulas back and forward. But, they'd never seen a circuit element in person before. So, the American physics grad students had to show the Chinese students what the symbols meant in terms of physical elements.
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 04:38 |
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Godholio posted:It probably doesn't. Given that I know basically zero about the details of radar, what would be the resolution error for a low-ish frequency radar (say the L-Band from the Nebo-M system)?
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 06:20 |
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CarForumPoster posted:This is one of those questions that is a constant area of research in the military and specific enough no one will answer it. You know, in retrospect, that was a really stupid question. I'm sorry. (As I said, I really know nothing about physics / design of radars. Not even where interesting questions end and sensitive questions begin.) Ok, let me rephrase: many people say that low-frequency radar cannot get sufficient accuracy for a missile seeker-head basket. That is presented as a fact, without supporting evidence based upon radar physics / weapon seeker physics. Is this an actual physical fact or a limitation of current technology / sensor processing / etc?
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# ¿ Nov 23, 2016 18:02 |
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david_a posted:I swear you have to go to this place like a minimum of three times before you even notice half the stuff. See that big green thing next to the XB-70? That's a HEXAGON KH-9, the last and most badass film-based spy satellite the US used. Amazing in its own right, but I didn't pay any notice to it until my third trip because it used to be wedged between a B-36 and RB-47 and there was a model atomic bomb close by and omigosh look at that B-58 over there During the NRO's 50th or 60th anniversary, they showed a backup KH-9 outside the Air and Space Museum Dulles Annex. I went with a friend, that thing is huge! I took a ton of pictures and then misplaced the camera... It was several years ago, though. Edit: Whoops, bad information corrected by quick research...
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# ¿ Nov 24, 2016 17:59 |
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david_a posted:I think somebody found your camera! The pictures in that article also clearly show that the pods have a rocket engine. Nice pictures, wish I still had mine. I remember a NRO guy I met there saying that the original intention for the exhibit was to be on Tuesday with zero warning, so nobody would come... Sperglord fucked around with this message at 03:02 on Nov 25, 2016 |
# ¿ Nov 25, 2016 00:22 |
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Phanatic posted:It's not so much the frequency that's directly relevant here. Again, what you are really neglecting is *aperture*. Aperture goes in large part to determining both gain and resolution, and you are limited to how wide an aperture you can have by more-or-less the diameter of the missile body. Thanks for this description. From this and a masters thesis finally describing the purpose of waveforms, I think I get the problem now: a low frequency radar with equivalent accuracy as a high-frequency radar would be so large as to be completely impractical. (unless some ridiculously large fixed installation) Furthermore, low frequency signals have lower bandwidth, so they cannot be given modern clutter rejecting waveforms. Put that with the inherently small search window on a SAM and you can't get the target to a narrow enough region for the SAM to self-locate in the short time it has.
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# ¿ Nov 25, 2016 21:52 |
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I wish that Castro was tried and shot / hung by the Cuban people, preferably after a trial (though with tyrants you can't be too choosy) Much better to have him die at the hands of his oppressed subjects than in bed, surrounded by luxury and safety he denied to everyone else. Also, in what world does free health care (of dubious quality) and education outweigh political oppression for sixty years? The man ran political concentration camps, with generous torture and executions. Some people (ie a disturbingly large swath of world leaders) have a really misplaced sense of priorities. This is literally the same argument as "Hitler did some bad things, but at least he revitalized the German workforce and infrastructure"
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2016 19:52 |
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Sperglord Actual posted:The same world in which "not being communist" also outweighs political oppression. And yet that doesn't seem to entirely be the case. Korea faced pressure to liberalize, South Africa was all but cut out of the west, Pinochet wasn't liked after he went. Anti-communist dictators are seem to be tolerated but not lionized after their death. Castro gets to imprison a whole island and get praised for it. There no sign from the majority of world leaders that they are bothered by Castro's abominable human rights record. So I'd say that there is a vital difference, one set of dictators is accepted the other is praised.
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2016 21:00 |
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Back to aerospace, I'm wondering what people think about the motivations and impact of this program:quote:As part of the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory's (AFRL) supersonic turbine engine for long-range (STELR) program, both are working on compact jet engines that would propel cruise missiles at speeds of up to Mach 3.2, or 2,435 miles an hour. Source: http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a17511/cruise-missiles-faster-than-bullets/ A Mach 3 non-afterburning engine with 1,000 nm and a stealthy airframe becomes a hugely appealing first strike weapon.
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2016 22:11 |
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Everywhere except the United States has been able to 'enjoy' Cuba for the past few decades. Up until recently it's the only place in the world people other than Americans could vacation in the 'Americas' and not have to run into Americans. Good, that clears up everything that's a problem with Cuba and the Castro government. Thank goodness for that. /sarcasm
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2016 22:50 |
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BIG HEADLINE posted:Europeans have a soft spot for warm and sunny places they can go to have even kinkier sex than in their own country. Also helps if the natives are desperate for foreign currency and the government looks the other way.
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2016 22:53 |
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M_Gargantua posted:A Mach 3 coastal launch barrage will hit a huge swash of high value targets in minutes. I agree, the potential for a cruise-missile only first strike is growing. Russia's new attack submarines will come with 40 land attack cruise missile standards, the Virginia extended hulls have space for 28 cruise missiles. Both classes give US and Russia a powerful nuclear first strike...
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# ¿ Nov 27, 2016 23:10 |
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Captain von Trapp posted:Against a modern IADS, I'm not so sure. A monolithic airbreather at mach 3 is nothing to sneeze at, but it's also been within the bailiwick of SAMs for a long time. It's no mach 20 warhead hiding in a forest of penaids. You can make a Mach 3 cruise missile low-observable. A Mach 20 warhead isn't and the launch platform definitely is not low observable. Mach 3 will get you through the defended zone quick enough to only absorb a few missiles, unlike the JASSM which will have to slow-boat through the period of vulnerability. Of course, a hypersonic glider flies at relatively low altitudes, so that becomes a first strike weapon too. But it'll cost more than a Mach 3 cruise missile.
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# ¿ Nov 28, 2016 03:42 |
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TsarZiedonis posted:I think the issue with the increased proliferation of such cruise missiles isn't that the technology doesn't exist to detect and destroy them, it just isn't deployed in anything like sufficient quantities around any powers respective heartland, and would probably be cost prohibitive to do so. This is exactly the problem, at least for the US. IIRC, Russia has some anti-cruise missile defense around Moscow. But, those defense would give the Russians 2 - 5 minutes warning, before a Mach 3 missile detonates overhead. Lastly, this is not at all a case of a Russian wunderwaffe, Russians can build submarines, albeit in limited numbers, and Russians have demonstrated their land attack cruise missiles in combat. Both of those give a nice first strike capability for an attack sub operating off the US East / West coast. For Russia, the US can have Mach 3 stealthy missiles fired from a stealthy bomber. The bomber can get within launch range of Russian missile fields undetected and then first-strike land-based TELs. All in all, this is properly speaking a large jump in strike capability on both sides.
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# ¿ Nov 28, 2016 04:33 |
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Murgos posted:Oddly, the thing that gets people all jumpy lately, Conventional Prompt Global Strike, is pretty much worthless as a first strike weapon as it relies on relatively easily detected ICBM/SLBM launches and easily tracked sub orbital trajectories for 3/4ths of it's flight. I guess the fear there would be that we would disguise a nuclear first strike as a conventional strike against some lovely target in Afghanistan? Eh, I don't see it. Very true on the old SSBN patrols off eastern Seaboard. For the hypersonic glider, if you look at the article below, the discuss it's advantage. Basically, as long as you don't have space-based early warning, the glider will stay below the radar horizon until ~7 minutes before impact. A ballistic missile will rise above the radar horizon ~20 minutes before impact. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08929882.2015.1087242
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# ¿ Nov 28, 2016 16:52 |
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# ¿ May 21, 2024 20:10 |
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bewbies posted:huh? Boost glide and/or ramjets gives you all the SEAD you'll need. A Mach 3 turbojet is built for long range strategic strike.
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# ¿ Nov 28, 2016 18:24 |