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Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Man, I came to this thread to find out exactly how hosed we are as a species, and instead I'm reading some bullshit about why we should murder oil executives.

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Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Squalid posted:

The danger to those cities is often exaggerated, although if you work in agriculture or some kind of manufacturing your job might be at risk.

Dangers to Vegas are definitely not exaggerated. Below is a picture showing the city's growth between 1984 and 2009. Note the massive shrinkage in the nearby Lake Mead, to the right:

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Barnsy posted:

Don't get me started on what the loss of predatory sharks is going to do to the world's oceans!

What is the loss of predatory sharks going do to the world's oceans?

(Is it bad? Do we even want to know?)

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

effectual posted:

Fear motivated Noah to make a raft. (/sarcasm)

And the good news is, he was reborn as Elon Musk and making spaceships!

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Michaellaneous posted:

Not exactly possible since those are my parents.

Anyway, I live in Austria, and the climate change here is pretty drastical noticable. Where we had snow around this time at our home - not exactly on a mountain -, nowadays we can be lucky if we get snow on silverster, if anything. Kinda sad, to be honest.

Perhaps this is one reason you are having problems convincing your parents: you seem to be thinking in terms of weather (i.e. no longer getting snow in your hometown) whereas climate change mostly manifests itself in the form of extreme weather events. It doesn't necessarily mean all places will actually get warmer. So the moment it snows your parents are probably like, "see! the planet is not warming up after all!"

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

bpower posted:

Theres been a lot of talk about despair and realism verses hope and fantasy in this thread. I usually fall in to the former camp.I've been listening to a lot of Chris Hedges' speeches recently and they've opened up a lot more philosophical options. He thinks, and this is very simplified of course, we should fight even though we know theres almost no hope of victory. Its the only moral stance to take. As he quotes for someone else,who I've forgotten unfortunately, "I dont fight fascists because I think we'll win, I fight them because they are fascists." That should be our attitude when fighting the "forces" destroying the environment. Saying "gently caress it, i'll grow my own food" is not enough. We all must as individuals do what we can , and that means everything we can, to fight. Hedges btw thinks we are doomed, but we still must fight.

Here's a recent and particularly beautiful speech of his. You can tell he grew up listening to his father,who was a liberal protestant minister. His cadence reminds me of a favourite old priest of mine.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hNT3_qugjZU

edit: Im fully admit to doing nothing to join the fight, but if i had the energy and will to create a garden or horde gold, Id like to think I'd perform acts of civil disobedience instead.

Most people value the short term over the long term and they are unwilling to make sacrifices in the former for gains in the latter. This has been demonstrated with plenty of studies and experiments.

My theory is that this is why we are ultimately hosed on the climate change front. Climate change is something in which we need to make sacrifices in our current lifestyles in order to prevent catastrophe in the future. It's essentially a problem that will get worse due to the very nature of humans.

What I'm curious about is whether there might be a significant overlap between climate change deniers (I call them the NFG crowd, as in "No Fucks Given") and other short-term thinkers such as:

  • People who don't save money for retirement: spending extravagantly now > living comfortably in retirement
  • People who don't exercise or watch what they eat: eating chips on the couch now > avoiding health problems later in life
  • People who are promiscuous and have unprotected sex: more pleasure now > STD-free later

This would be trivial to test using randomized surveys.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Happy_Misanthrope posted:

hugely unpredictable weather with severe financial strains on a system already held together with wishes and duct tape

My hometown has a Mediterranean climate, which is fairly moderate year around. Over the last few years though, the weather has been quite unpredictable with wild up-down swings. Last week it was below 32F, which caused many temperate-climate fruits (esp. citrus) to freeze and perish. Next week it's going to be in the 70s, and many people are worried that it will cause trees to bloom -- in December! Things aren't looking good for a region that's primarily agriculture-dependent.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Happy_Misanthrope posted:

"Things have been poo poo before in recorded history, so don't worry about poo poo becoming much, much worse to a much, much larger group of people in a significantly shortened timeframe".

Solider on, you rugged individualist.

edit: Should have heeded the custom title. That's an impressive rap sheet for a span of less than a year, apparently it's possible to dedicate yourself unwaveringly to nothing.

Be careful. If you give him too much poo poo, he's going to start harassing you via PMs like he tried with me. I suggest putting him on ignore and moving on (like half of this forum has probably done).

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Climate change itself is not going to cause extinction, but it will lead to a lot of wars over the remaining fertile and inhabitable lands. The United States may be able to deal with the massive migrations from coastal regions to inland areas, but other countries have neither the infrastructure nor the stability to bear such drastic changes in habitation patterns.

The thing that makes me mad the most about all this is that those who put the climate change wagon in motion and are refusing to do anything meaningful about it won't be around to suffer the consequences. It will be us and our children (for those of us who choose to have them).

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Uranium Phoenix posted:

Actually, given that the vast majority of over-consumption is from the rich, it's actually the rich who should stop reproducing.

But then who will create the jobs?

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

cowofwar posted:

Also to point out that the weird jet stream this year is not climate - it's a weather event from a single year and cannot be determined to be an effect of climate change one way or another as this deals with probabilities and frequencies.

Yes, but we do know that freak weather events and patterns will be more likely in the future due to climate change.

http://arstechnica.com/science/2015/02/extreme-weather-events-in-our-future-climate/

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

The problem with the "stop having kids" argument is that it's basically a suggestion to enter a genetic prisoner's dilemma on a global scale. Even if you yourself decide not to have kids, many people won't, and in the long run their genes will survive while yours will perish.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Lemming posted:

The true fact of "the single biggest thing you can do to reduce your carbon footprint is not have children" was posted and people like you lost their minds.

Actually, the single biggest thing you can do to reduce your carbon footprint is to commit suicide: it reduces it to zero!

:suicide:

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

There's definitely something to be said about being overwhelmed in general.

There's so much stuff that demands attention. Do we spend time learning about and trying to do something about the plethora of social issues (gay marriage, racism, immigration, etc.), political issues (elections, primaries, etc.), international issues (Middle East, Russia, Latin America, etc.), economic issues (income inequality, sexism in tech, etc.), or climate change?

I say "or" because people have limited time and attention. The average person works 45-50 hours a week, and would rather spend the rest of their time socializing with friends and family or on leisure activities rather than reading articles and books and forum threads to educate themselves about everything and then try to figure out what they, as individuals, can do about the topic.

This is why I don't really see much hope when it comes to tackling climate change: it requires everyone to care and change their actions, but most people won't simply because they don't have the mental bandwidth for it. I myself struggle with keeping up with everything, and without the various informative threads on D&D, I probably couldn't.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Wisconsin cutting environmental damage, limiting talk of climate change

quote:

Since taking office in 2010, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has reshaped the state’s Department of Natural Resources (DNR). He appointed a former state senator and critic of the agency to be its secretary and hired an outside “deer czar” in response to hunters’ complaints about the state’s management of the deer herd. Gov. Walker also re-wrote state mining regulations to clear the way for an ill-fated iron mine proposal that was finally abandoned last month. Several days ago, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported that the mining company’s lobbyist and spokesman had been considered for appointment as the DNR’s deputy secretary—until officials realized there was a federal law specifically preventing that kind of thing. (He was, instead, hired for a job in another agency.)

Now, the DNR has come under the budget knife. Among other changes and position cuts, the agency’s science bureau faces a 30 percent reduction in staff. Now, Wisconsin Watch reports that the DNR is considering eliminating the science bureau altogether, shuffling remaining staff into other divisions.

The bureau performs the local, applied ecological research and monitoring that informs state regulations. Timothy Van Deelen, a University of Wisconsin ecologist, told Wisconsin Watch he was concerned about losing that work. “Long-term data sets are so incredibly rare,” he said. “And now a lot of that monitoring, such as with the deer herd, is up in the air.”

The Wisconsin government is also in the news for taking a page from the Florida playbook: the Board of Commissioners of Public Lands, which oversees logging on some state land among several other financial duties, voted on April 7 to ban its nine employees from working on or speaking about climate change. The move was led by State Treasurer Matt Adamczyk, a colorful character who ran on a platform of abolishing the office of State Treasurer—an office that had atrophied over the years.

Adamcyzk has gone after the board’s executive secretary, Tia Nelson, who had also served as co-chair of the previous governor’s global warming task force in 2007 and 2008. Adamczyk apparently wanted Nelson fired for having worked on that task force, saying it was outside the board’s mission, and for testifying on climate change to a US House subcommittee in 2009 while in Washington DC on board business. Previously, Adamczyk successfully had references to climate change removed from the board’s website.

Tia Nelson, by the way, is the daughter of former Wisconsin Gov. Gaylord Nelson—the man who established Earth Day. Prior to working for the Board of Commissioners of Public Lands, she led a climate change program for the Nature Conservancy. Just don’t ask her about it while she’s on the clock.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Happy_Misanthrope posted:

Looks like Shell is now buying into the conspiracy.


And for the argument that the problem is in at least based in part on capitalism:

Watch him get kicked out by the board of directors and get replaced by someone who is "fully onboard" with "doing whatever it takes" to "maximize shareholder value."

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

Uh, that's what he's saying?

Burning the world's fossil fuel reserves would require dramatically increasing the rate of consumption and resource extraction. This guy is suggesting we burn massively more fossil fuels that we otherwise would and do some CCS on the side.

Yes, but he also accepts global warming:

quote:

The Shell boss said he accepted the general premise contained in independent studies that have concluded that dangerous levels of global warming above 2C will occur unless CO2 is buried or reserves are kept in the ground. “We cannot burn all the hydrocarbon resources we have on the planet in an unmitigated way and not expect to have a CO2 loading in the atmosphere that is often being linked to the 2C scenario,” he said in an exclusive interview with the Guardian.

It would seem to me that Shell board of directors may want a global warming denier at the helm. Maybe I'm just being cynical, though.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

markgreyam posted:

I told this to a work mate with who I occasionally talk climate change with (in a much more optimistic sense normally) and he started to get irate, asking me what I was doing about it and if I wasn't going to do anything then why did I talk about it, and questioning the same of these scientists and the people coming up with the numbers in the first place. Does no-one else like doomsday porn on a Monday?

He was getting irate because you were piercing his bubble of It's Always Sunshine and Rainbows. Most people cannot handle the idea that their life is going to change for the worse soon due to factors outside their control, so they either stick their head in the sand or they lash out harshly to try to silence the other person.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Fasdar posted:

What everyone agreed on, moreover, was that there has, thus far, been a total failure by actual scientists and practitioners to relate to the public just how much we can do, and indeed are doing already.

I don't think it's a failure on part of scientists and practitioners. You gotta remember that there's very serious money behind denying climate change and trying to cast doubt into climate science. Combine this with people's general unwillingness to make non-negligible changes to their lifestyle, and you've got yourself the current status quo.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

To be fair, if one is complaining about climate change but are also unable to list the things one is doing (and striving to do) to adapt and mitigate, one tends to sound like a bit of a tool.

That's not the point, though. Even if the guy had listed the things he's doing, his coworker would probably have given an equally irate response, something along the lines of, "too bad you're just one person" or "well i can't do that because".

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Nice piece of fish posted:

Yeah... yeah. :smith:

But I guess we can talk about good ol'fashioned prepping? Anyone got any cool plans for living off the grid or as self-sufficient as possible? I've always wanted a small plot of land to try out some permaculture ideas of mine, make like a low-maintenance personal farm of sorts filled with productive plants that are likely to last through climate change for me and potential family. It's a pretty huge investment of effort, money and takes an absolute ton of knowledge and experience I just don't have yet. It's pretty much my ideal way of living regardless, as I love growing stuff, so it's not out of my way or crazy for me to plan on something like that. I just wonder what the rest of you might like to do if you consider just your own needs and your family's needs going forward the next half a century.

My plan is to make a poo poo ton of money and be one of the rich fucks living in Elysium, while everyone else (i.e. you guys) suffers down here on Earth.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

echopraxia posted:

So what exactly is there to be done in concrete terms? I've been reading this thread for as long as its been around and the same solutions keep being brought up in a depressing cycle but I've never seen a concrete realistic plan for altering the infrastructure and social systems we need to change. Is there any way we can actually implement CANDU, Solar, Wind etc. starting tomorrow of is there no hope?

There is no hope. Pretty much all of the reliable models and reports indicate that we're past the point-of-no-return and the planet will undergo catastrophic warming within this century and the next no matter what we do. Anything will do now will only slow down the chain reaction, and that by negligible amounts.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

pwnyXpress posted:

As someone mildly qualified, we are not all doomed.

Well, yeah. The first world will be mostly OK. Even those in coastal areas will have the personal resources and the state's support to relocate inland.

The rest of the world though? Yeah, they're gonna be thoroughly hosed.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Meta Ridley posted:

Reading up on climate change is pretty depressing. The human species is so narcissistic and the human psyche so will-fully ignorant that I think we will wipe ourselves out within 200 years. You could say 'gently caress Republicans and Big Oil' but Republicans are still human beings. The flaw is with the human species itself being susceptible to stupidity and ignorance, especially on a wide social psychological level, and we have these psychological behaviors because they were beneficial at some point in our evolution.

I wonder how many alien species in the universe make it to some industrial/technological age but kill themselves out by either mass ignorance and apathy, or accidentally destroying their planet by mishandling the knowledge science provides.

Honestly the only way humanity is going to survive the situation we are in is space exploration and colonization. And there is a big reason why settling space would work - it isn't 'redundancy' in case we destroy a livable environment, it is because the ONLY way we can explore space is to develop and use technology that allows us to be energy self-sufficient - the technology itself would make the need for redundancy go away in the first place. The same technology that would allow an independent colony to live on Mars is exactly what we need here on Earth to save it.

Think of Earth as not our home or a planet, but a big loving spaceship that we travel on every day to survive. If we can develop self-sufficient 'mini-Earth' colonies on other planets, then used the same technology here on Earth itself, we can save it and keep it hospitable for human life. I am not even saying I believe it is possible, especially in the next 200 years. Actually I don't think it is possible and believe humans are hosed because it would require a massive undertaking, spending and coordinated effort that would never ever happen with a intellectually-void, corrupt capitalist country running the entire world.

Imagine a spaceship with a Carbon Budget of 0, the need to recycle and clean its own fresh water, dispose of waste in a sustainable and non-destructive way that has 0 cost to the spaceship's environment, create enough food to feed its population, and have all energy means supplied from a star (reliable energy for billions of years). That actually happens to be our exact situation here on earth because the earth is just a big spaceship.

No no, you see, we can easily stop global warming, all we have to do is convince everyone to not have a kid!

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Yiggy posted:

This is some absurd bootstrapper mentality being applied to individual climate footprint. My choices, like the choices of most people, are contingent to the point of having almost no choice. "Just make your commute more efficient! Its being done! Telecommute!" Those sorts of things take space to breath, figuratively speaking, and in our economy there is very little room for that. And this is from someone who has already done a lot to walk the walk. People here want to snap their fingers at individuals to fix climate change by min/maxing their carbon footprints on the ground level in the face of gigantic systemic issues. That anyone is surprised that these "solutions" fall on dear ears is kind of wacky.

I've moved from the countryside to the city, I commute by rail, I stopped eating meat a decade ago, I committed myself to finding work as closely to where I live as possible and now I drive my car less than its ever been driven. But I still have to use resources to commute twenty miles to work, and you can't telecommute to a minimum wage job! And it doesn't matter if you have a degree when the economy next to your affordable housing is utter trash. Huge chunks of our population aren't taking a single one of those individual measures, and won't based off of pious moralizing. If your climate change solution, at any point, depends on telling an individual to live leaner, when a lot of of us are already going at it pretty lean in this economy, you need to think bigger.

Furthermore, a few thousand (or even a few million) people deciding to live leaner won't do jack poo poo in the grand scheme of things, when we're talking about a planet that has eight billion people and with more on the way.

Not to mention the fact that making such sacrifices puts the person at a significant disadvantage compared to their peers. If you commit to only taking the rail to work, you're basically artificially limiting your own job choices (to those jobs that are within a reasonable distance to rail lines), which hurts you and your family.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Don't worry guys this guy figured out how to minimize one's carbon footprint!

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Friendly Tumour posted:

My argument is that we're incredibly hosed and thinking about it makes me suicidally depressed.

Well, committing suicide is a good way to permanently reduce your carbon footprint to zero!

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

So VW just admitted that their "defeat device" - the device that detects when a car is going through an emission test and temporarily lowers emissions to pass the test - has been installed on 11 million vehicles worldwide.

http://arstechnica.com/cars/2015/09/volkswagen-admits-11-million-diesel-cars-have-sneaky-software-installed/

quote:

On Tuesday, Volkswagen revealed that 11 million diesel cars worldwide have been equipped with software allegedly used to cheat emissions tests.
The scandal was revealed on Friday when the Environmental Protection Agency ordered Volkswagen to recall 500,000 vehicles sold in the US, including diesel Jettas, Golfs, Beetles, and Passats, as well as some diesel Audi vehicles, for including a so-called “defeat device” in their cars. The defeat device would sense when a car was undergoing emissions testing and allow the car's emissions control to work properly. However, when the car was operating under normal driving conditions, emissions control systems would not work properly, spewing 10 to 40 times more nitrogen oxide (NOx) into the air than is allowed by EPA regulations.

In the wake of the news, Volkswagen Group's stock has tumbled, with shares losing more than a third of their value on Germany's stock exchange.

"Further internal investigations conducted to date have established that the relevant engine management software is also installed in other Volkswagen Group vehicles with diesel engines. For the majority of these engines the software does not have any effect," Volkswagen said in a statement. "Discrepancies relate to vehicles with Type EA 189 engines, involving some eleven million vehicles worldwide. A noticeable deviation between bench test results and actual road use was established solely for this type of engine. Volkswagen is working intensely to eliminate these deviations through technical measures."

The company added that it would be setting aside €6.5 billion ($7.27 billion) to “cover the necessary service measures and other efforts to win back the trust of our customers.”

Volkswagen could face up to $18 billion in fines in the US, and executives could be criminally charged.

Amid the scandal, Volkswagen's CEO looks to be in trouble. On Monday, Martin Winterkorn released an apology for misleading the public, saying, “I personally am deeply sorry that we have broken the trust of our customers and the public.“

'We will do everything necessary in order to reverse the damage this has caused,” Winterkorn said.

Today, a German paper wrote that Winterkorn will be ousted by the company's board and replaced by Porsche CEO Matthias Müller. (Porsche is owned by Volkswagen Group.) According to Reuters, Volkswagen denied that Winterkorn would step down. A Porsche spokesperson told Reuters that Müller was attending a Volkswagen board meeting today. In an e-mail to Ars, a Volkswagen spokesperson wrote, "We have no comment on this speculation."

For now, regulatory repercussions only extend to cars in the US. Speaking to the Wall Street Journal, a European Union spokesperson said that regulators would be meeting “very soon” to address the revelations pertaining to Volkswagen's cheating software. German Chancellor Angela Merkel also called on Volkswagen to be transparent and act quickly to address worldwide regulators' concerns.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

How do you distinguish between people who deny anthropogenic climate change vs. those who deny climate change altogether?

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Sucks for NOLA, but Miami could not sink fast enough.

All of Florida, in fact.

Either that, or...

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

quote:

Reducing global average new-vehicle CO2 emissions by 90 percent by 2050 (compared to Toyota's 2010 global average)

Is that number with or without a defeat-device?

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

How are u posted:

A seawall ain't gonna do poo poo to save South Florida.

Especially hilarious considering I saw some article on insane housing prices in the big cities (London, NYC, San Fran, Vancouver) predicting that Miami was the next new hot thing.

Enjoy that poo poo in 60 years you fuckers.

People who are after the "next new hot thing" don't care about a 60-year timeframe. They're typically looking to buy, sit on it for a few years and flip.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

SKELETONS posted:

No optimism allowed, even though we are living in the most prosperous period of human history and all these problems are absolutely solvable if you're a wealthy first-world nation.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

That's far from certain, as that article even points out, <2C is still a possibility. Which is rather incredible when you think about our recklessness.

The problem is that that possibility is decreasing at an astonishing rate.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

CommieGIR posted:

Progress cannot happen without heaps of bodies, apparently.

As long as they are not white bodies...

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

computer parts posted:

I mean, by that criteria a flying car isn't really that impressive either. It's just a car that floats.

Besides, we already have personal, single-passenger airplanes, and have had them for a long time. The only thing that makes a flying car different is that it would, in theory, be flown daily, and more casually.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007


This is exactly why poo poo is hopeless. A sizable portion of the population is intent on humanity's self-destruction. They are like cancer cells who want to grow uncontrollably, even if it kills the host.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

Not really. Just because some states are filing suit doesn't meant they'll stop the law. Any plan that can't survive any opposition is a bad plan.

They may not be able to stop it, but the problem is that they are slowing down progress by forcing the country to defend the obviously correct plan of action.

Literally every climate model we've seen clearly shows that we are already way behind where we need to be in order to not turn the planet to hell. We don't have the luxury of wasting time and resources on frivolous lawsuits or petty obstructionism. Yet that's exactly what we're doing.

Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

Trabisnikof posted:

Unless they get an extension to the implementation date they actually aren't slowing down anything.

You realize that Congress is full of their obstructionist Tea Party critters who have the ability to bring the entire nation to the brink of bankruptcy if they don't get their way, right?

That lawsuit is only ONE front on which the battle is waged.

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Slow News Day
Jul 4, 2007

CommieGIR posted:

What, massive climate change WON'T do the same thing?

No but you see, we will all be dead by then and it will be a problem for future generations to deal with. Which is fine, we all had challenges growing up so why should they have it easy, right?? Harden the gently caress up, motherfuckers!!

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