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What about Kirsten Gillibrand? She's been the NY Senator since Clinton became Secretary of State and she won 70% of the vote yesterday. Plus she's only 45 and seems like a good candidate for the more left wing parts of the Democratic Party. I think she'd probably not run due to there not being enough oxygen with 2 other NY politicians running (Clinton and Cuomo) but if one or both of them declines to run she might have a good shot. I'd be really curious who people were predicting the nominees would be in '08 and '12 immediately after the '04 and '08 elections. If I recall I think a lot of people were talking about Huckabee in '08 and I know people said Obama after '04 but I always thought it was wishful thinking. That turned out to be wrong, but my point is I think we may not even have the eventual nominee on our lists at this point.
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# ¿ Nov 7, 2012 22:16 |
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# ¿ May 8, 2024 17:24 |
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JesusSinfulHands posted:...I suspect the female half (more than that, actually) of the Democratic Party will be highly motivated to put the first female president in the White House in 2016. This is why I'm very bullish on Gillibrand. Obviously if Clinton runs I think she'll get a lot of women voters instead of Gillibrand but if she declines I think Gillibrand is in a strong position due to her record in the Senate and general likability. I've had a very positive opinion of her every time I've seen her speak. I also think the institutional Democrats would be nuts not to get behind the first woman nominee after the party had such good success with the first black one (2010 excluded). Really I think the Democratic side is only interesting if both Biden and Clinton make the same decision about running. I worry about a Biden-Clinton primary, that could get long. I don't see it being as contested as Obama-Clinton though. As someone who was very Anti-Clinton in 08 I'd have no reservations about voting for her this time. Surprising what four years as Secretary of State and doing an awesome job with it did to my opinions. However if she ran against Biden it'd be a very tough call. I also have no clue who Obama would endorse in that scenario. Maybe neither?
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# ¿ Nov 7, 2012 22:34 |
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Joementum posted:Correct. That said, the Democratic primaries are structured in such a way that they have a better chance of lasting longer. Republicans give each state three "superdelegates", usually the state party chairman and two people he picks. Democrats give all of their nationally elected officials a vote in the nomination contest, meaning that (in 2008 for example) there were 4,233 voting Democratic delegates compared to the 2,380 voting delegates at the RNC. This means that the threshold a Democratic candidate needs to reach in order to lock in the nomination is significantly higher than that for a Republican. Speaking of this, I remember hearing that the RNC was going to change delegate selection up given how miserable the 2012 primary process was for them. Do we know exactly what they've changed yet? Did they completely get rid of caucuses given the Ron Paul shenanigans? Has Florida tried jumping the line yet again? I think the DNC still has the same system from 2008 without any major changes but I could be wrong there.
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# ¿ Oct 28, 2013 15:14 |
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showbiz_liz posted:Oh, hey, Chris Christie's people shut down traffic on a major bridge just to gently caress with some guy and then lied about it! So how bad is this gonna hurt his 2016 stock? The yelling at a schoolteacher stuff you can spin but shutting down traffic on a major road out of spite is a whole different level of petulant and childish.
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# ¿ Jan 8, 2014 19:44 |
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jeffersonlives posted:The idea of impeachment or a recall drive is already being floated and Christie is at war with the Republican legislative caucuses, so probably a lot. Impeachment? I thought the NJ GOP loved Christie. Is there any chance that actually ends up happening? Obviously the NJ Dems would be on-board but wouldn't they need a good chunk of the NJ GOP to go along with it?
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# ¿ Jan 8, 2014 22:35 |
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Swan Oat posted:I dunno what it's like where y'all live but in Houston taxi drivers are legally forbidden from refusing fares and the rates have to be the same at all times. Also, and this is what is actually important, taxi drivers have to carry commercial insurance but Uber drivers do not. That is actually hosed up and bad. I hope future president Joe Biden nationalizes taxi transport and bans Uber. In DC they'll pull up, lock their doors and won't unlock them till you tell them where you're going. If you're not going somewhere trendy where they can get more fares they'll just speed off. If you try and get a cop to cite them for breaking the law they've already been gone for half an hour and a license plate number isn't good enough. Uber brought in actual innovation. Smartphone hailing is such a minor difference but it makes life so much easier. You know when the cab will be there. If you call a cab it takes longer and usually doesn't show up. Uber will say "driver will be there in x minutes." They also simplified payment. Everything's auto-calculated and billed to your credit card on file. When you get where you're going you just hop out, no waiting for 5 minutes to pay and backing up traffic. There's also surge pricing, which is controversial, but ensures there's always Ubers on the road for those who absolutely need them. Plus the app warns you twice if surge pricing is in effect so you don't accidentally take a surge ride when you don't want to. These are useful, customer experience improving innovations and the taxicab industry's response has basically been screaming that they're losing their market. Because their rent is more important than making their passengers happy. Uber needs to bury the rent-seeking taxicab industry. I'm glad to know that I'm Ayn Rand for having this opinion though. You know, because breaking up monopolies and preventing rent-seeking is a very libertarian. joeburz posted:Are the taxes/fees on DC taxis similar to NYC level? I know the medallion situation makes comparison a bit difficult but just looking for a rough estimate. No idea what the prices are in NYC, but here's DC's price structure courtesy of the DC Taxicab Commission. http://dctaxi.dc.gov/page/taxicab-fares Fares: First 1/8 mile: $3.25 Each additional 1/8 mile: $0.27 Wait rate per hour: $35.00 Wait time begins five (5) minutes after time of arrival at dispatch location. No wait time charged for premature response to a dispatch. Wait time charged while taxicab is stopped or slowed to less than ten (10) miles per hour for longer than sixty (60) seconds. Wait time charged for delays or stopovers at the direction of the passenger. Hourly Contract Rate $35.00 for the first one (1) hour or fraction thereof. $8.75 for each additional fifteen (15) minutes or fraction thereof. Extras: Taxicab passenger surcharge, twenty-five cents per trip $0.25 Telephone Dispatch, two dollars $2.00 Additional passenger, one dollar $1.00 (regardless of the number of additional passengers) Declared Snow Emergency Fee, fifteen dollars $15.00 axeil fucked around with this message at 20:47 on Jul 22, 2014 |
# ¿ Jul 22, 2014 20:45 |
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# ¿ May 8, 2024 17:24 |
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Wanamingo posted:Isn't Uber's whole deal basically that it's cheaper than a normal taxi service because none of the drivers are insured? Not really. If I recall correctly, the $1 million they have in insurance is more than they're required to actually carry. The issue the cab companies have been raising is that it's not quite structured the same as cab insurance, but it seems like it's functionally equivalent. http://blog.uber.com/ridesharinginsurancepolicy Uber posted:Since launching ridesharing in early 2013, Uber has put industry-leading insurance policies in place to cover every ridesharing trip on the Uber platform throughout the U.S. Over time we have added more coverage to include the time between trips and to cover comprehensive and collision. edit: Here are the required coverages for each city: Maximum Coverage for Taxis by City Atlanta: $50K Baltimore: $60K Boston: $40K Chicago: $350K San Francisco: $1000K Washington DC: $50K As for the frequently mentioned "insurance gap": Uber posted:Starting today, if a driver’s personal insurance policy is found not to cover an accident during this period, this new policy will provide contingent coverage for a driver’s liability at the highest requirement of any state in the U.S: $50,000/individual/incident for bodily injury, $100,000 total/incident for bodily injury and $25,000/incident for property damage. http://blog.uber.com/uberXridesharinginsurance That was posted on March 14th. edit: I made a new thread to talk about this: http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3652587 axeil fucked around with this message at 21:14 on Jul 22, 2014 |
# ¿ Jul 22, 2014 21:01 |