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More housing stuff- the Bank of England and Treasury are looking into the possibility of replacing their current preferred measure of inflation (CPI) with one that accounts for housing costs: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10799758/Treasury-may-change-inflation-target-to-include-housing-costs.html quote:Britain's headline measure of inflation may be modified to include housing costs, after a top Bank of England official revealed it had held further talks with the Treasury about switching to a more “useful” gauge of price rises. It's surprising that CPIH inflation was lower than CPI last month, although I suppose with ultra-low interest rates and the fact that most mortgage holders will have bought at pre-bubble prices, it will be some time before aggregate mortgage payments reflect increases in current sales prices. Also, Shelter and KPMG have released their full report into the state of the housing market - the Graun have summarized its contents here. quote:The average price of a house in England could double in the next decade and hit more than £900,000 by 2034, unless there is a radical new housebuilding programme to provide nearly a quarter of a million new homes a year, a report claims today. The recommendations in the report itself are actually a bit more radical than the ones the Graun chose to highlight - they also want mandatory national minimum space standards for new homes and major increases in funding for housing associations and council house building. Likelihood of this stuff actually happening: questionable.
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# ¿ May 1, 2014 13:45 |
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# ¿ May 10, 2024 18:00 |
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The telegraph explains the housing woes of young people today: they are all lazy rentailures who just can't be arsed to spend time hunting for a good place. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/women/womens-life/10801103/Dont-blame-the-recession-Im-moving-back-home-because-Im-lazy.html quote:So, to all the parents getting those phone calls from their former babies glumly announcing they’ll ‘need to move home for a while’, don’t automatically assume it’s because of the housing crisis. Because if these cunning kids are anything like my friends and I, it’ll actually be because they were too lazy to find a flat and they just fancy some free lodging and veggies. I hope my mum isn't reading this.
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# ¿ May 1, 2014 16:02 |
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KKKlean Energy posted:Lost amidst the sandwich chat: I believe that's showing how each party's vote gets divided up under the D'Hondt system - basically, if a region has multiple MEPs to allocate, they're divvied up between the competing parties on the basis of V/(N+1) where V is the number of votes the party got and N is their current number of MEPs. So to begin with, N=0 for all parties and the first MEP is simply allocated to the party with the most votes. That party now has N=1 while all other parties still have N=0, so the first party's vote share is divided by two and the next MEP is allocated by comparing the first party's modified vote total to all other parties' unmodified totals, etc. etc.
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# ¿ May 2, 2014 09:32 |
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twoot posted:On the subject of property bubbles The Torygraph has a translation of China's biggest property developer talking about their property bubble situation; http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100027199/chinese-anatomy-of-a-property-boom-on-its-last-legs/ I suspect that it's quite a bit easier to hide a house in London from the Chinese authorities than one in Beijing or Shanghai.
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# ¿ May 2, 2014 17:29 |
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The coalition has significantly beefed up the Green Deal system, which subsidizes the installation of measures to make homes more energy efficient. As of June, you'll be able to get £1000 cashback (£1500 if you're moving into a new place or bought within the last year) for installing things like double glazing, cavity wall insulation, or a new A-rated boiler. Do your bit to increase the energy efficiency of the nation's housing stock/reduce your bills/get free money, etc. https://www.gov.uk/government/news/7600-to-make-your-home-more-energy-efficient LemonDrizzle fucked around with this message at 11:16 on May 3, 2014 |
# ¿ May 3, 2014 10:58 |
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Renaissance Robot posted:Also the beeb did one of their stupid opinion spots the other day, asking people (mainly commuters it seemed like) on a ferry to France "have you had enough of the EU". For some stupid loving reason they decided to show a majority answering yes.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 10:23 |
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I can see no problem whatsoever with privatizing the organization that has the final say over the ownership of all land in the country.
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# ¿ May 5, 2014 23:36 |
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Renaissance Robot posted:I won't bother making a bet that whoever buys the place will do exactly that in order to turn a quick profit; nobody here would take it. It's a mountain with land that's only fit for grazing sheep (i.e. it's too steep/rocky to do anything more valuable with). There's no "quick profit" to be had; anyone buying it will be getting it purely as a status symbol.
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# ¿ May 6, 2014 13:13 |
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In just over two weeks' time, GPs will be voting on a proposal stating that it will be necessary to charge patients for appointments and that free at the point of delivery healthcare is unsustainable, at least for general practice. Here's the text of the proposition: http://bma.org.uk/-/media/files/pdf...ith%20cover.pdf quote:27 AGENDA COMMITTEE to be proposed by WILTSHIRE That conference: This isn't the only funding-related proposal that will be addressed during the conference - there are several arguing for more central government funding in general and additional support for GPs in rural/disadvantaged communities in particular - but it's interesting that there seems to be at least a sizeable minority of GPs who are quite gung ho about killing off free care.
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# ¿ May 7, 2014 11:39 |
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The Mail actually has a pretty good article on the GP appointment fees vote: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2621886/GPs-vote-charging-patients-10-25-appointment.htmlquote:The idea is to deter patients from missing consultations – a problem that costs £160million a year. The fees – possibly between £10 and £25 – would be the first since the NHS was founded in 1948. There's also the obligatory NHS-bashing quote from a Taxpayers' Alliance spokesthing in the full article.
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# ¿ May 7, 2014 12:50 |
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Labour made a thing. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N1BaQkH_q2s It's... well, it's a thing. Almost on par with the BNP's thing.
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# ¿ May 7, 2014 15:54 |
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Thrasophius posted:Wait I thought halal meat was just when the animal was killed in the name of Allah? So killing a chicken in the exact same way you normally do but saying Allah a few times is inhumane? I seriously wonder what is going through the minds of these people.
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# ¿ May 7, 2014 19:53 |
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Barclays will be cutting 19,000 jobs worldwide and 10,000 in the UK by 2016: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-27321589quote:Barclays is to cut 14,000 jobs this year - half of them in the UK - as part of a new strategy, the bank has said. That's gonna hurt.
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# ¿ May 8, 2014 08:33 |
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Trickjaw posted:Actually, quick question, with UKIP saying about immigration discriminated against New Zealand, Canada, etc for braain wizardry, what is the policy for immigration from commonwealth countries? Or is that just a loose trade agrrement and a club of the Queen's mates? NZ citizens do not automatically have the right to come and live/work in the UK for more than a few months. They can come over very easily if they have a parent or grandparent who is or was a UK citizen. If not, they will need to have a job already lined up, be very rich (or potentially about to become very rich), be young and looking to take a working holiday, or be in a long term relationship with a UK citizen who has enough money to support them.
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# ¿ May 8, 2014 23:08 |
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Labour are trying to make hay out of the situation in the property rental market by calling a vote to ban letting agencies from charging fees to tenants: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27323352quote:Labour are to call a vote in the Commons in an attempt to ban letting agents from charging fees to tenants. I love the doublethink from the ARLA representative - "the problem is that the market is unregulated. therefore, this regulation must not be introduced."
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 07:48 |
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That's actually pretty well done. All glory to Smashy, the EU's tyrant land-octopus! e: wait, it turned poo poo after Smashy did his bit. Bring back Smashy!
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 13:24 |
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Watching the EU commission presidential candidates debating tonight, the size of the gulf between what Cameron wants/aims to extract from the EU and what the prospective presidents want is just mind-bogglingly vast. Even the conservative candidate was arguing for things like a unified Euro army, a unified European immigration policy for non-EU citizens, and funds to support EU citizens to migrate in the union to find employment.
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 19:37 |
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QuantumCrayons posted:I would assume that you become in the running for EU president either by being super pro-federalism or being super anti-EU, depending on the climate for the group as a whole. I can't see someone being a candidate and saying "well I like the EU but I don't want us to be too close" which is what the main three parties all are (except possibly the Lib-Dems?). Well, the Commission is supposed to represent and act for the EU as a whole (compared to the Parliament which represents the citizens and the Council which represents the national governments) so yes, you do have to be broadly in favour of the thing to get enough support to be a credible candidate. The hard nationalist/eurosceptic parties are only predicted to win ~140 seats in the Parliament (out of 766) and haven't nominated any presidential candidates in any event (unsurprisingly, they're staggeringly incapable of working with one-another), so the candidates' positions range from cautious support of EU expansion to "federalization will fix everything, cure cancer, and bring about the second coming."
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 20:20 |
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Why a UK rather than US MBA? You're a US citizen, right?
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 10:20 |
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The regional samples in those polls (including the Scottish one) are tiny - the national estimates are meaningful but the regional ones will have gargantuan margins of error. e: beaten by IceAge Coohoolin posted:Do it in Scotland for chrissakes.
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 12:57 |
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Hmmm, the last two proper Scottish polls are ~3 weeks old and put UKIP on 10%, so Farage is right - they only need a very small swing to nick an MEP from the SNP.
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 14:10 |
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IceAgeComing posted:They'd be nicking one from the Tories I imagine. 2 SNP/2 Labour are guaranteed: the fights are between SNP/Labour for a third one and between the Tories/UKIP for the final one... I'm not so sure about that - I suspect that the Tories are already at their floor in terms of support and the only Scots who are still voting for them are so thoroughly dyed in the wool as to be immune to UKIP's charms. I think they're more likely to pick off a bit of soft Labour or SNP support; taking a percentage point or so from either (or ~0.5% from both) would give a 2/2/1/1 split. e: looking at the polls again, SNP support has fallen by 7-10 percentage points since the start of the year while the Labour and UKIP votes are up by 3 or 4% each and no other party's support has increased appreciably so it does seem that UKIP has some pull on the SNP vote. LemonDrizzle fucked around with this message at 15:24 on May 10, 2014 |
# ¿ May 10, 2014 14:41 |
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Seaside Loafer posted:I was just thinking practically. The couple of pence I might make in interest will be allot less usefull than the 30 quid fine I get for going overdrawn, make sense? They can't discriminate on religious grounds. They can discriminate on financial ones.
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 17:23 |
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Seaside Loafer posted:To make it clear, I'm simply suggesting that if you are piss poor like me this is the go to account type. No you don't get any interest but it would be gently caress all anyway but if you cock up you don't get a fee. That sounds perfect to me.
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 19:02 |
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TinTower posted:They're called the Labour Party. Tories indeed. e - per the IFS: quote:Tax and benefit changes implemented between May 1997 and April 2010 represent a net
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# ¿ May 11, 2014 13:52 |
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Alecto posted:They also engaged in a lot of privatisation (prisons, NHS, planned the Royal Mail privatisation), huge deregulation of the financial sector, were ridiculously fond of PFI, presided over a rise in inequality (some of which has to be attributed to their complacency over redistributive tax and tax avoidance), egged on the housing bubble, introduced workfare, introduced academies. Then of course the really, really big one, for which they deserve to be unelectable for a generation, Iraq. They weren't conservative, they were generally better than the modern Tories (on quite a few issues worse than the pre-Thatcher Tories, though), but they weren't leftist either. If you want centrist liberalism, then that's fine, but I think most here want something a good deal more leftist than that, and I don't think we should start snarking people for being dissatisfied with New Labour; there's a wealth of reasons to be. I'm certainly not saying that New Labour were perfect, but it's absurd to say that they or the modern Labour party were/are equivalent to Tories. On top of that, a couple of your criticisms are inaccurate or without context. It's simply not true that Labour deregulated the financial sector - that happened during Thatcher's Big Bang. Labour actually significantly increased its regulation (between the Big Bang and the creation of the FSA, the sector was largely self-regulated). Their failure in that respect wasn't that they removed regulations, it was that they didn't go far enough when creating new ones and were blind to systemic risk. I also think that PPP/PFI is maligned for rather unrealistic reasons and tends to be criticized without any attempt to account for the political climate. When New Labour took power, a lot of the national infrastructure had been left to rot for the best part of two decades and was badly in need of investment. The electorate was very supportive of such investment, but rabidly opposed to paying for it through taxation or allowing it to be funded by heavy borrowing, so Labour was stuck. PFI was a way of squaring that circle - not an economically efficient way by any means, but just about the only one that was politically viable at the time. e: also, they weren't at all "complacent over redistributive tax" - their tax changes were quite heavily redistributive. LemonDrizzle fucked around with this message at 09:00 on May 12, 2014 |
# ¿ May 12, 2014 00:05 |
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Alecto posted:Well, I strongly disagree that their regulation increases were at all 'significant'; they were evidentially minor, or the crash would obviously have looked very different for us. Sitting and watching a house burn might not be as bad as starting the fire, but I'm not going to delude myself that I should be grateful for that. You could at most say they chucked a couple of watering cans onto the fire. Everyone agrees that financial regulations around the world should have been a lot tougher than they were in the runup to the crash. However, "deregulation" means "removing regulations." Labour didn't do that, and in fact added several where none had previously existed. As such you can't really blame them for "huge deregulation of the financial sector" unless you're using some creative new definition of the word. Your take on the situation in '97 is also almost completely ahistorical. A large part of the reason Labour won that thumping majority was precisely because they pledged not to exceed the previous government's spending targets. Look at what happened in '92: the Tories were hugely unpopular, had recently tried to ram through a policy that literally sparked riots and helped to bring down the Prime Minister, and still won the general election because the electorate was afraid that a Labour government would go on a tax-and-spend binge. There's a reason that this advert is held up as a brutally effective masterpiece: If Labour hadn't made their promises to control spending, it's entirely possible that they'd have managed a humiliating repeat of '92 and lost an election that they should have won comfortably. Similarly, if they broke their promises after taking power, they'd have been a crippled one term government and a party with no electoral future. As for Labour's left from the 1970s, I wouldn't be at all surprised to find that they were incapable of differentiating between plainly different things. After all, back in the day they were incapable of differentiating between good politics and self-destructive unthinking tribalistic bullshit that resulted in the near-absolute destruction of trade union power and almost two decades of unbroken Tory rule.
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# ¿ May 12, 2014 11:49 |
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Oh dear me posted:John Major squeaked a small majority, and his government was subsequently plagued by corruption scandals, Black Monday, Euro-quarrels and stupid campaigns about highway cones and back to basics. Labour could have won in 1997, pretty much whatever they said. Zephro posted:I think you're underselling the problems of PFI...
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# ¿ May 12, 2014 14:25 |
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Alecto posted:This is more than a little revisionist. Everyone forgets John Smith... People forget John Smith because he died 3 years out from the General Election. He may well have been able to win had he lived, but you can't just point to a big poll lead at that stage and go "see, it would've been a sure thing!" - poll leads that far out are only slightly more useful than artfully arranged chicken entrails when it comes to predicting election results. If that weren't the case, Michael Foot would have killed Thatcherism in '83 and we wouldn't be having this discussion. Debating might-have-beens is a little pointless at the best of times, but after four back to back losses I don't think it's at all reasonable to just blithely assume that Labour could've rocked up in 1997 with the same approach and been confident of victory. I don't have a problem with radicalism as long as it's backed with a solid electoral majority. However, I'll always take a winning centrist who will give me at least some things that I like over a serial loser with a nice platform. As for "legitimate opinions" and perceptions, I absolutely disagree that all perspectives are equally valid, reasonable, or useful. I mean, if you're determined to selectively pick up on similarities and overlook major points of difference, you can argue that Tony Benn was basically an evil hybrid of Trotsky, Stalin, and Mao (and people did more or less make that argument!). ronya posted:I struggle to believe that the PPPs were only ever intended as a temporary measure to acquire bonds, given the way they were set up (as long-term partnerships, but with aggressively narrowed options and existence outside of state discretion). I mean, acquiring funding through a credible commitment to only use it for infrastructure rather than welfare/military/generalissimo's Swiss account etc. is a legit public goal, but it's also one with a well-known solution, i.e., a national development bank. Having the supposedly insolvent/incredible state conduct detailed intervention into the behavior of PPPs via contract would undermine the supposed bond-inducing credibility. LemonDrizzle fucked around with this message at 16:56 on May 12, 2014 |
# ¿ May 12, 2014 16:54 |
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Alecto posted:It is important to remember John Smith because it damages the Blairite line of 'my way or unelectability'. It doesn't kill it, but it definitely damages it; if it can't be said that Smith would definitely win (it can't), then it also can't be said that he definitely would have lost. Therefore, it can't be said the Blair was definitely the only leader who could win in '97. ronya posted:The degree of micromanagement of PPPs in the UK indicates that the governments (Tory then New Labour both) were not really pursuing a surrender of control in order to obtain credibility to creditors, inasmuch as pushing debt off the common fisc and onto specific PFIs in order to use the debt to discipline the PFI public partner and its choice of agents. The NHS and the LEAs can't keep demanding funding for specific projects (which would make it easier for them to summon a political coalition in favour, even if that particular project is not sensible), rather they are given a lump sum and have to maximize its use over the next 30 years.
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# ¿ May 12, 2014 22:23 |
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The Tories have come up with their response to Miliband's plans to increase security of tenure for renters and ban lettings agency fees: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/fees-transparency-to-ensure-a-fair-deal-for-landlords-and-tenantsquote:Letting agents will be required to publish full details of the fees they charge under plans announced by government ministers today (13 May 2014). The move ensures a fair deal for landlords and tenants, closing off the opportunity for a small minority of rogue agents to impose unreasonable, hidden charges. The common sense approach avoids excessive state regulation which would push up rents for tenants. Choices taken away by excessive regulation: do you want this badly maintained overpriced shitbox or that one?
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# ¿ May 13, 2014 18:35 |
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Gonzo McFee posted:So with the Bank of England talking about rising inflation that's pretty much Osbourne's housing bubble hosed, right? The Bank's been saying that interest rates will start to rise slowly some time in 2015 for several months now, and nothing they've said today seems to change that. http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/may/14/bank-of-england-interest-rates-inflation-report quote:The Bank of England appeared to quash speculation of an early rise in interest rates, leaving its growth and inflation forecasts unchanged.
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 13:11 |
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Gonzo McFee posted:He probably went to find out what happened to the housing bubble after Mark Carney left to go to England to prop up our housing bubble. The Canadian bubble is still going strong, so apparently Carney builds to last.
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 18:46 |
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Trickjaw posted:At least Ben Gummer can blame those cjd burgers his Dad made him eat.
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# ¿ May 15, 2014 01:29 |
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Sometimes the headline and strapline tell you everything you need to know: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/buy-to-let/10832848/Lending-to-landlords-up-69pc-in-a-year.htmlquote:Lending to landlords up 69pc in a year
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# ¿ May 15, 2014 14:41 |
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twoot posted:the only seat which is in play will be between the Tories and UKIP. Nobody else really has a chance unless something weird happens with the turnout.
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# ¿ May 15, 2014 20:10 |
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twoot posted:The later would happen if the polls have been overstating the SNP's share, which could be the case if their ex-Lib Dems don't turn out. But I'd bet that it goes 3/2/1 with the Tories keeping their seat.
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 07:22 |
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Why are news organizations keen on zero hours contracts? They're only really beneficial to employers with very unpredictable workloads - I'd have thought a daily paper or newsdesk would have a very steady flow of work and so would be better off just giving people regular contracts.
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 11:30 |
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Obliterati posted:Given we're talking about UKIP, it would be interesting to note that surveys suggest UKIP voters aren't all disaffected Conservatives: LemonDrizzle fucked around with this message at 12:06 on May 16, 2014 |
# ¿ May 16, 2014 11:44 |
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# ¿ May 10, 2024 18:00 |
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no that wasn't thirteen years ago gently caress gently caress gently caress i'm old
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 12:54 |