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vikingstrike posted:You going to do a college basketball one this year? I've been playing around with a variation of the above method for one. I guess if more than one person is doing it I could make a thread for it instead of just randomly dumping giant posts in the N/V thread like whenever I did it last.
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# ? Dec 6, 2014 02:54 |
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# ? May 5, 2024 20:07 |
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Championship week is always a good one for these polls because it much more closely connects the subgraphs of the games involving good teams. There's a lot of movement possible. In my poll it turns out that the top 4 were unaffected, but the rest of the top 25 had quite a bit of movement. Compared to the committee, it's interesting that it also ranks TCU over Baylor. It also is extremely dismissive of Florida State's undefeated record, and in fact puts them at #11. Some of the more eyebrow-raising anomalies from last week (highly ranked Harvard, for instance) have self-corrected as well. code:
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# ? Dec 7, 2014 17:31 |
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Hayden Matrix Rankings, Week Fifteen These are almost the final pre-bowl rankings, but we have eight games to go (Army-Navy plus the seven remaining games in the FCS playoffs). Not that I expect any of those eight games to affect the ordering at the top, which is mostly what anyone cares about anyway. I ended up having to remake my spreadsheet after breaking it, which may have actually resulted in the correction of some data errors since I put the Massey data in properly this time. The top three are basically unchanged from last week, but OSU's pasting of Wisconsin earns them enough points to slide up four spots, leapfrogging three SEC teams who did not even win their divisions and also Baylor. Also, FSU finally made it into the top ten! I don't know what to do about Ole Miss being #5. They have three losses, including a shutout by a 6-6 Arkansas team, but they also have the best win of anybody in college football. With Georgia I can at least feel good about their non-MoV ranking being outside the top ten, but Ole Miss is in basically the same position in both systems. Puzzling. pre:+------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+ | Rank | FBS | Team | Wins | Rk | Pts | Rk | Rating | +------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+ | 1 | 1 | Alabama | 59.700 | 2 | 46.796 | 1 | 106.496 | | 2 | 2 | Oregon | 60.632 | 1 | 43.428 | 4 | 104.060 | | 3 | 3 | TCU | 55.143 | 4 | 46.716 | 2 | 101.858 | | 4 | 4 | Ohio State | 54.569 | 5 | 42.693 | 6 | 97.262 | | 5 | 5 | Ole Miss | 52.266 | 6 | 43.305 | 5 | 95.570 | | 6 | 6 | Baylor | 51.159 | 7 | 42.319 | 7 | 93.479 | | 7 | 7 | Georgia | 48.369 | 12 | 43.791 | 3 | 92.160 | | 8 | 8 | Mississippi St. | 50.286 | 8 | 41.109 | 8 | 91.395 | | 9 | 9 | Florida State | 58.958 | 3 | 31.271 | 19 | 90.229 | | 10 | 10 | Michigan State | 49.040 | 11 | 39.977 | 10 | 89.017 | | 11 | 11 | Auburn | 47.442 | 14 | 41.021 | 9 | 88.462 | | 12 | 12 | LSU | 45.156 | 18 | 38.697 | 11 | 83.853 | | 13 | 13 | Kansas State | 45.758 | 16 | 37.051 | 14 | 82.810 | | 14 | 14 | UCLA | 50.208 | 9 | 31.041 | 21 | 81.249 | | 15 | 15 | Oklahoma | 41.727 | 22 | 38.186 | 13 | 79.913 | | 16 | 16 | Missouri | 48.345 | 13 | 30.920 | 22 | 79.265 | | 17 | 17 | Arizona | 50.019 | 10 | 28.765 | 28 | 78.783 | | 18 | 18 | Wisconsin | 45.333 | 17 | 32.981 | 15 | 78.314 | | 19 | 19 | USC | 43.197 | 20 | 32.421 | 16 | 75.618 | | 20 | 20 | Clemson | 44.622 | 19 | 30.177 | 25 | 74.799 | | 21 | 21 | Georgia Tech | 42.172 | 21 | 31.550 | 18 | 73.722 | | 22 | 22 | Arkansas | 35.280 | 31 | 38.371 | 12 | 73.651 | | 23 | 23 | Boise State | 46.658 | 15 | 24.952 | 34 | 71.610 | | 24 | 24 | Arizona State | 41.433 | 23 | 27.315 | 31 | 68.748 | | 25 | 25 | Nebraska | 37.753 | 26 | 29.651 | 26 | 67.404 | +------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+ | 26 | 26 | Louisville | 38.119 | 25 | 28.554 | 29 | 66.672 | | 27 | 27 | Stanford | 36.479 | 29 | 29.171 | 27 | 65.649 | | 28 | 28 | West Virginia | 34.646 | 32 | 30.432 | 24 | 65.078 | | 29 | 29 | Florida | 32.716 | 35 | 31.987 | 17 | 64.702 | | 30 | 30 | Utah | 39.852 | 24 | 24.627 | 38 | 64.479 | | 31 | 31 | Texas A&M | 32.484 | 36 | 31.261 | 20 | 63.745 | | 32 | 32 | Minnesota | 36.211 | 30 | 26.352 | 32 | 62.564 | | 33 | 33 | Marshall | 34.633 | 33 | 27.809 | 30 | 62.442 | | 34 | 34 | Notre Dame | 36.684 | 27 | 24.747 | 37 | 61.430 | | 35 | 35 | Tennessee | 28.948 | 42 | 30.854 | 23 | 59.801 | | 36 | 36 | Washington | 33.269 | 34 | 23.867 | 40 | 57.136 | | 37 | 37 | Colorado State | 36.639 | 28 | 19.360 | 52 | 55.999 | | 38 | 38 | Texas | 28.883 | 43 | 24.139 | 39 | 53.022 | | 39 | 39 | Iowa | 30.484 | 38 | 22.325 | 43 | 52.809 | | 40 | 40 | Maryland | 32.258 | 37 | 20.279 | 49 | 52.536 | | 41 | 41 | South Carolina | 26.095 | 49 | 25.141 | 33 | 51.236 | | 42 | 42 | Boston College | 28.630 | 44 | 22.273 | 44 | 50.903 | | 43 | 43 | Louisiana Tech | 25.203 | 53 | 24.833 | 36 | 50.036 | | 44 | -- | North Dakota St. | 30.299 | 39 | 19.347 | 53 | 49.646 | | 45 | 44 | U. of Miami | 23.930 | 59 | 24.838 | 35 | 48.769 | | 46 | 45 | Memphis | 24.739 | 58 | 23.721 | 41 | 48.460 | | 47 | 46 | Duke | 25.172 | 55 | 22.766 | 42 | 47.939 | | 48 | 47 | Cincinnati | 28.073 | 47 | 19.530 | 51 | 47.604 | | 49 | 48 | Virginia Tech | 25.181 | 54 | 22.204 | 45 | 47.385 | | 50 | 49 | Utah State | 29.990 | 40 | 16.070 | 63 | 46.060 | | 51 | 50 | NC State | 28.193 | 46 | 17.862 | 58 | 46.056 | | 52 | 51 | BYU | 26.041 | 50 | 19.216 | 55 | 45.257 | | 53 | 52 | Kentucky | 22.370 | 62 | 21.657 | 46 | 44.027 | | 54 | -- | Illinois State | 26.918 | 48 | 16.805 | 61 | 43.723 | | 55 | 53 | Oklahoma State | 24.741 | 57 | 18.982 | 57 | 43.723 | | 56 | 54 | Penn State | 23.173 | 61 | 19.833 | 50 | 43.006 | | 57 | 55 | Northern Ill. | 29.783 | 41 | 12.413 | 80 | 42.196 | | 58 | 56 | Virginia | 19.974 | 65 | 21.628 | 47 | 41.601 | | 59 | 57 | Rutgers | 28.571 | 45 | 12.978 | 78 | 41.549 | | 60 | 58 | Pittsburgh | 19.439 | 67 | 21.562 | 48 | 41.001 | | 61 | 59 | North Carolina | 25.389 | 52 | 15.568 | 65 | 40.956 | | 62 | 60 | Illinois | 25.620 | 51 | 13.550 | 73 | 39.171 | | 63 | 61 | Michigan | 19.792 | 66 | 19.086 | 56 | 38.878 | | 64 | 62 | California | 19.363 | 68 | 19.224 | 54 | 38.587 | | 65 | 63 | UCF | 22.164 | 63 | 16.242 | 62 | 38.406 | | 66 | 64 | Nevada | 25.155 | 56 | 13.122 | 76 | 38.277 | | 67 | 65 | East Carolina | 18.452 | 70 | 17.677 | 59 | 36.129 | | 68 | 66 | Oregon State | 20.448 | 64 | 13.028 | 77 | 33.477 | | 69 | 67 | Northwestern | 16.223 | 77 | 17.002 | 60 | 33.225 | | 70 | 68 | Air Force | 23.524 | 60 | 8.966 | 91 | 32.489 | | 71 | 69 | Navy | 16.086 | 78 | 15.293 | 66 | 31.379 | | 72 | 70 | Western Ky. | 16.636 | 75 | 14.253 | 69 | 30.888 | | 73 | 71 | Toledo | 18.855 | 69 | 11.723 | 84 | 30.578 | | 74 | -- | UNI | 14.653 | 81 | 15.038 | 67 | 29.691 | | 75 | 72 | Western Mich. | 15.933 | 79 | 13.361 | 75 | 29.294 | | 76 | 73 | Ga. Southern | 13.135 | 88 | 16.021 | 64 | 29.156 | | 77 | 74 | Texas Tech | 14.634 | 83 | 14.292 | 68 | 28.926 | | 78 | 75 | UL Lafayette | 16.756 | 73 | 9.621 | 89 | 26.377 | | 79 | -- | Chattanooga | 14.653 | 82 | 10.745 | 86 | 25.397 | | 80 | 76 | Washington St. | 11.443 | 92 | 13.944 | 71 | 25.386 | | 81 | 77 | San Diego State | 14.612 | 84 | 10.513 | 87 | 25.125 | | 82 | 78 | Rice | 16.413 | 76 | 8.655 | 92 | 25.068 | | 83 | 79 | Colorado | 12.390 | 89 | 12.188 | 83 | 24.578 | | 84 | 80 | Fresno State | 17.607 | 72 | 6.725 | 100 | 24.333 | | 85 | 81 | Houston | 10.022 | 95 | 14.104 | 70 | 24.126 | | 86 | 82 | Indiana | 12.023 | 90 | 11.241 | 85 | 23.264 | | 87 | -- | South Dakota St. | 14.827 | 80 | 8.127 | 94 | 22.954 | | 88 | -- | New Hampshire | 17.667 | 71 | 4.441 | 110 | 22.108 | | 89 | 83 | UTEP | 13.672 | 86 | 7.987 | 96 | 21.659 | | 90 | -- | Villanova | 16.663 | 74 | 4.716 | 107 | 21.379 | | 91 | 84 | UAB | 6.777 | 101 | 13.538 | 74 | 20.315 | | 92 | -- | Coastal Caro. | 14.307 | 85 | 5.464 | 103 | 19.771 | | 93 | 85 | Purdue | 7.053 | 99 | 12.364 | 81 | 19.416 | | 94 | 86 | Central Mich. | 11.051 | 93 | 7.569 | 97 | 18.620 | | 95 | 87 | Arkansas State | 4.104 | 111 | 13.877 | 72 | 17.981 | | 96 | 88 | Syracuse | 5.707 | 106 | 12.260 | 82 | 17.966 | | 97 | 89 | Temple | 5.239 | 108 | 12.615 | 79 | 17.854 | | 98 | 90 | Iowa State | 6.353 | 103 | 10.487 | 88 | 16.840 | | 99 | -- | Eastern Wash. | 13.176 | 87 | 2.928 | 115 | 16.104 | | 100 | 91 | Kansas | 7.525 | 98 | 8.336 | 93 | 15.862 | | 101 | -- | Jacksonville St. | 10.450 | 94 | 5.122 | 105 | 15.572 | | 102 | -- | Indiana State | 9.139 | 96 | 5.569 | 102 | 14.708 | | 103 | 92 | Wyoming | 11.709 | 91 | 2.377 | 118 | 14.087 | | 104 | 93 | Appalachian St. | 4.250 | 110 | 9.182 | 90 | 13.432 | | 105 | 94 | Vanderbilt | 5.491 | 107 | 6.768 | 99 | 12.259 | | 106 | 95 | Middle Tenn. | 4.056 | 112 | 7.198 | 98 | 11.254 | | 107 | -- | Youngstown St. | 8.459 | 97 | 2.743 | 116 | 11.202 | | 108 | 96 | Bowling Green | 7.001 | 100 | 1.265 | 124 | 8.266 | | 109 | 97 | South Alabama | 3.099 | 115 | 5.114 | 106 | 8.214 | | 110 | -- | Samford | 0.750 | 119 | 5.209 | 104 | 5.958 | | 111 | 98 | Hawaii | 1.551 | 118 | 4.265 | 111 | 5.816 | | 112 | 99 | Texas State | -1.719 | 127 | 6.541 | 101 | 4.822 | | 113 | -- | Southeastern La. | -3.286 | 133 | 8.006 | 95 | 4.721 | | 114 | -- | Sam Houston St. | 4.939 | 109 | -0.442 | 132 | 4.498 | | 115 | 100 | Ohio | 2.374 | 117 | 1.872 | 120 | 4.246 | | 116 | 101 | New Mexico | 3.349 | 114 | 0.788 | 127 | 4.138 | | 117 | 102 | Old Dominion | 2.818 | 116 | 0.750 | 128 | 3.568 | | 118 | -- | Liberty | 6.231 | 104 | -2.713 | 139 | 3.518 | | 119 | -- | James Madison | 6.377 | 102 | -3.564 | 145 | 2.813 | | 120 | -- | Southern Ill. | -1.006 | 123 | 3.609 | 112 | 2.602 | | 121 | -- | Harvard | 6.151 | 105 | -4.506 | 149 | 1.645 | | 122 | 103 | South Florida | 0.471 | 120 | 1.100 | 125 | 1.571 | | 123 | 104 | Wake Forest | -2.137 | 129 | 3.341 | 114 | 1.204 | | 124 | 105 | Ball State | -2.475 | 130 | 3.395 | 113 | 0.920 | | 125 | 106 | Tulane | -1.688 | 126 | 2.380 | 117 | 0.692 | | 126 | 107 | UTSA | -1.903 | 128 | 1.518 | 122 | -0.385 | | 127 | -- | Western Ill. | -1.213 | 124 | 0.498 | 130 | -0.715 | | 128 | 108 | FIU | -7.009 | 144 | 4.478 | 108 | -2.531 | | 129 | -- | Montana | 0.357 | 121 | -3.421 | 143 | -3.064 | | 130 | -- | Fordham | -2.511 | 131 | -0.703 | 134 | -3.214 | | 131 | 109 | UL Monroe | -7.870 | 152 | 4.460 | 109 | -3.410 | | 132 | 110 | Southern Miss | -3.121 | 132 | -0.961 | 135 | -4.081 | | 133 | -- | Idaho State | -0.782 | 122 | -3.587 | 146 | -4.369 | | 134 | 111 | FAU | -7.618 | 149 | 1.730 | 121 | -5.888 | | 135 | 112 | San Jose State | -5.858 | 140 | -0.315 | 131 | -6.173 | | 136 | -- | Missouri State | -7.540 | 146 | 1.039 | 126 | -6.501 | | 137 | 113 | Army | -3.624 | 134 | -3.438 | 144 | -7.062 | | 138 | 114 | Akron | -8.667 | 155 | 1.424 | 123 | -7.244 | | 139 | -- | Richmond | -1.521 | 125 | -5.740 | 154 | -7.262 | | 140 | -- | Eastern Ill. | -9.443 | 157 | 1.978 | 119 | -7.466 | | 141 | 115 | Buffalo | -8.133 | 153 | -0.443 | 133 | -8.576 | | 142 | -- | Presbyterian | 3.532 | 113 | -12.516 | 177 | -8.984 | | 143 | -- | Montana State | -4.526 | 136 | -5.043 | 150 | -9.569 | | 144 | -- | Northwestern St. | -6.688 | 143 | -3.153 | 141 | -9.841 | | 145 | -- | Charleston So. | -3.631 | 135 | -6.818 | 157 | -10.449 | | 146 | -- | Eastern Ky. | -4.887 | 138 | -5.719 | 153 | -10.606 | | 147 | 116 | North Texas | -11.336 | 161 | 0.606 | 129 | -10.730 | | 148 | -- | Alcorn State | -8.482 | 154 | -3.757 | 147 | -12.239 | | 149 | -- | Cal Poly | -7.766 | 150 | -6.572 | 156 | -14.338 | | 150 | -- | Western Caro. | -5.257 | 139 | -9.373 | 168 | -14.630 | | 151 | -- | McNeese State | -11.678 | 162 | -3.016 | 140 | -14.694 | | 152 | -- | Lamar | -6.546 | 142 | -8.150 | 161 | -14.696 | | 153 | -- | Stephen F. Austin | -7.541 | 147 | -7.283 | 159 | -14.824 | | 154 | -- | Dartmouth | -4.602 | 137 | -11.692 | 171 | -16.294 | | 155 | -- | UT Martin | -11.136 | 160 | -5.264 | 151 | -16.400 | | 156 | -- | William & Mary | -7.798 | 151 | -8.812 | 165 | -16.610 | | 157 | 117 | Tulsa | -14.533 | 171 | -3.212 | 142 | -17.745 | | 158 | -- | Central Ark. | -15.472 | 177 | -2.499 | 138 | -17.972 | | 159 | -- | Bryant | -6.512 | 141 | -11.497 | 170 | -18.009 | | 160 | 118 | Massachusetts | -17.210 | 181 | -1.089 | 136 | -18.299 | | 161 | 119 | Connecticut | -14.775 | 173 | -5.416 | 152 | -20.191 | | 162 | 120 | Miami U. | -18.448 | 184 | -1.874 | 137 | -20.322 | | 163 | -- | SC State | -7.578 | 148 | -12.906 | 179 | -20.484 | | 164 | 121 | Kent State | -16.497 | 179 | -4.297 | 148 | -20.794 | | 165 | -- | NC A&T | -12.712 | 165 | -8.430 | 163 | -21.142 | | 166 | -- | Sacred Heart | -7.154 | 145 | -14.061 | 182 | -21.215 | | 167 | -- | Yale | -9.481 | -- | -11.743 | -- | -21.224 | | 168 | -- | Wofford | -13.156 | 166 | -8.921 | 166 | -22.077 | | 169 | 122 | UNLV | -14.598 | 172 | -8.181 | 162 | -22.779 | | 170 | -- | Albany | -11.038 | 159 | -12.368 | 174 | -23.406 | | 171 | -- | Sacramento St. | -12.636 | 164 | -12.381 | 175 | -25.017 | | 172 | 123 | Troy | -18.589 | 185 | -7.140 | 158 | -25.729 | | 173 | -- | Southeast Mo. | -18.244 | 182 | -7.903 | 160 | -26.148 | | 174 | -- | Citadel | -18.331 | 183 | -8.679 | 164 | -27.010 | | 175 | -- | Northern Ariz. | -13.687 | 168 | -14.364 | 183 | -28.051 | | 176 | 124 | SMU | -15.206 | 175 | -13.196 | 180 | -28.401 | | 177 | -- | Bethune-Cookman | -11.841 | 163 | -17.113 | 195 | -28.954 | | 178 | -- | Southern | -9.186 | 156 | -19.945 | 209 | -29.131 | | 179 | -- | Maine | -14.055 | 170 | -15.649 | 187 | -29.704 | | 180 | -- | Abilene Christian | -19.981 | 191 | -10.061 | 169 | -30.042 | | 181 | -- | Bucknell | -13.381 | 167 | -16.671 | 192 | -30.052 | | 182 | -- | South Dakota | -19.006 | 187 | -12.410 | 176 | -31.416 | | 183 | -- | Jacksonville | -14.846 | 174 | -17.074 | 194 | -31.921 | | 184 | 125 | Eastern Mich. | -17.125 | 180 | -17.323 | 197 | -34.448 | | 185 | 126 | New Mexico St. | -25.343 | 203 | -9.141 | 167 | -34.484 | | 186 | -- | Delaware | -16.150 | 178 | -18.566 | 200 | -34.716 | | 187 | -- | Furman | -19.204 | 188 | -15.530 | 186 | -34.734 | | 188 | -- | Stony Brook | -21.003 | 194 | -13.786 | 181 | -34.789 | | 189 | -- | Tennessee State | -22.900 | 200 | -12.274 | 173 | -35.173 | | 190 | -- | Grambling State | -15.443 | 176 | -20.487 | 210 | -35.930 | | 191 | -- | Charlotte | -21.923 | 198 | -14.678 | 184 | -36.601 | | 192 | -- | Monmouth | -19.575 | 189 | -17.159 | 196 | -36.734 | | 193 | -- | Southern Utah | -21.141 | 195 | -15.743 | 188 | -36.884 | | 194 | -- | Lafayette | -20.557 | 193 | -16.398 | 190 | -36.956 | | 195 | 127 | Idaho | -31.099 | 217 | -6.395 | 155 | -37.494 | | 196 | -- | NC Central | -18.793 | 186 | -18.833 | 201 | -37.626 | | 197 | 128 | Georgia State | -25.617 | 205 | -12.582 | 178 | -38.198 | | 198 | -- | Wagner | -19.850 | 190 | -19.068 | 203 | -38.917 | | 199 | -- | Saint Francis | -22.419 | 199 | -16.536 | 191 | -38.955 | | 200 | -- | Tennessee Tech | -21.452 | 196 | -18.180 | 199 | -39.632 | | 201 | -- | Alabama State | -20.270 | 192 | -19.665 | 207 | -39.935 | | 202 | -- | Mercer | -26.704 | 206 | -14.772 | 185 | -41.476 | | 203 | -- | Morgan State | -21.590 | 197 | -19.936 | 208 | -41.526 | | 204 | -- | Duquesne | -25.236 | 202 | -17.535 | 198 | -42.771 | | 205 | -- | San Diego | -13.849 | 169 | -31.732 | 233 | -45.581 | | 206 | -- | North Dakota | -23.533 | 201 | -22.694 | 214 | -46.227 | | 207 | -- | Holy Cross | -27.013 | 207 | -19.305 | 205 | -46.318 | | 208 | -- | Colgate | -28.415 | 209 | -19.054 | 202 | -47.469 | | 209 | -- | Prairie View | -25.544 | 204 | -22.199 | 211 | -47.743 | | 210 | -- | Weber St. | -32.411 | 219 | -15.801 | 189 | -48.212 | | 211 | -- | UC Davis | -30.520 | 213 | -19.154 | 204 | -49.674 | | 212 | -- | Portland State | -30.389 | 212 | -19.622 | 206 | -50.010 | | 213 | -- | Murray State | -33.213 | 220 | -16.888 | 193 | -50.101 | | 214 | -- | Gardner-Webb | -29.558 | 211 | -22.363 | 212 | -51.921 | | 215 | -- | Northern Colo. | -31.041 | 215 | -22.988 | 216 | -54.029 | | 216 | -- | Towson | -29.036 | 210 | -26.399 | 220 | -55.435 | | 217 | -- | Dayton | -27.462 | 208 | -29.183 | 230 | -56.645 | | 218 | -- | Brown | -34.126 | 223 | -22.869 | 215 | -56.994 | | 219 | -- | Lehigh | -34.975 | 225 | -22.402 | 213 | -57.376 | | 220 | -- | Princeton | -30.930 | 214 | -26.627 | 222 | -57.557 | | 221 | -- | Norfolk State | -32.279 | 218 | -26.066 | 218 | -58.346 | | 222 | -- | Elon | -37.100 | 229 | -23.329 | 217 | -60.430 | | 223 | -- | Howard | -33.832 | 222 | -27.628 | 225 | -61.460 | | 224 | -- | VMI | -35.391 | 226 | -26.386 | 219 | -61.777 | | 225 | -- | Florida A&M | -37.170 | 230 | -27.099 | 223 | -64.270 | | 226 | -- | Texas Southern | -34.505 | 224 | -30.308 | 231 | -64.813 | | 227 | -- | Drake | -31.075 | 216 | -33.866 | 235 | -64.940 | | 228 | -- | Alabama A&M | -37.092 | 228 | -28.833 | 229 | -65.925 | | 229 | -- | Jackson State | -38.299 | 232 | -28.101 | 226 | -66.399 | | 230 | -- | Georgetown | -39.755 | 233 | -27.588 | 224 | -67.344 | | 231 | -- | Hampton | -40.277 | 234 | -28.252 | 228 | -68.529 | | 232 | -- | Central Conn. | -42.455 | 238 | -26.474 | 221 | -68.929 | | 233 | -- | Incarnate Word | -36.530 | 227 | -33.097 | 234 | -69.627 | | 234 | -- | Penn | -41.905 | 237 | -28.122 | 227 | -70.027 | | 235 | -- | Rhode Island | -40.622 | 235 | -30.382 | 232 | -71.004 | | 236 | -- | UAPB | -33.423 | 221 | -39.116 | 241 | -72.539 | | 237 | -- | Austin Peay | -37.979 | 231 | -35.802 | 238 | -73.782 | | 238 | -- | Campbell | -41.177 | 236 | -35.204 | 237 | -76.381 | | 239 | -- | Marist | -42.907 | 239 | -34.311 | 236 | -77.218 | | 240 | -- | Butler | -44.228 | 240 | -38.151 | 239 | -82.379 | | 241 | -- | Miss. Valley St. | -47.059 | 242 | -41.761 | 243 | -88.820 | | 242 | -- | Morehead State | -45.398 | 241 | -44.607 | 246 | -90.005 | | 243 | -- | Stetson | -47.081 | 243 | -46.237 | 249 | -93.317 | | 244 | -- | Valparaiso | -52.416 | 247 | -40.973 | 242 | -93.390 | | 245 | -- | Robert Morris | -51.429 | 246 | -42.211 | 244 | -93.640 | | 246 | -- | Cornell | -55.812 | 249 | -38.673 | 240 | -94.485 | | 247 | -- | Nicholls State | -50.339 | 245 | -44.688 | 247 | -95.027 | | 248 | -- | Delaware State | -54.330 | 248 | -42.544 | 245 | -96.874 | | 249 | -- | Houston Baptist | -49.207 | 244 | -48.248 | 250 | -97.454 | +------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+ | -- | -- | Non-Division I | -53.152 | 247 | -47.763 | 249 | -100.915 | +------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+ | 250 | -- | Columbia | -58.836 | 251 | -46.046 | 248 | -104.882 | | 251 | -- | Savannah State | -56.657 | 250 | -50.496 | 251 | -107.153 | | 252 | -- | Davidson | -68.422 | 252 | -51.833 | 252 | -120.255 | +------+-----+-------------------+---------+-----+---------+-----+----------+
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# ? Dec 7, 2014 18:30 |
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Basil Hayden posted:I might; it depends on whether I can find the time/motivation to do it and also whether I can properly redo the excel spreadsheet I only half understand at this point. E: So the first #1 on the first day the matrix actually gave a numerical result was UTPA. EE: Okay, everything is set up and up to date. Anyone want me to make a thread? Basil Hayden fucked around with this message at 03:21 on Dec 8, 2014 |
# ? Dec 7, 2014 21:55 |
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Seems like Ohio State's blow out of Wisconsin made the biggest impact this weekend. Otherwise, the top 4 didn't change. Still no love for FSU since they are winning close games against competition that's not super great (by the poll's thinking).code:
code:
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# ? Dec 8, 2014 15:32 |
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Basil Hayden posted:Following up on this: it was a lot easier to redo the spreadsheet than I thought. I need a bit to finish cleaning everything up but I should have a thread up in SAS sometime in the near future if people are interested. I would be up for doing a college basketball poll, but I'm not sure if there would be anyone else join in. Right now, Incarnate Word is like number 4 in mine (they've only played 1 game and won).
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# ? Dec 8, 2014 15:34 |
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Florida State finally caught up to the top four with the conference championship. My poll guessed the correct political playoff top four, and did a very drat good job of putting the access bowl teams on top. pre:LW Rank Team Record Final Score Strength of Schedule: 1 1 Alabama** 12-1 3.1217 1. Arkansas 3 2 Ohio State** 12-1 3.0378 2. Auburn 2 3 Oregon** 12-1 2.9561 3. Ole Miss* 6 4 Florida State** 13-0 2.5187 4. UCLA 4 5 TCU* 11-1 2.4842 5. Colorado 5 6 Ole Miss* 9-3 2.2707 6. Tennessee 13 7 Baylor* 11-1 2.2529 7. Miami (FL) 7 8 Michigan State* 10-2 2.2192 8. Washington State 8 9 Mississippi State* 10-2 2.0786 9. Texas A&M 14 10 Boise State* 11-2 1.9965 10. LSU 9 11 Georgia 9-3 1.9490 11. Arizona* 11 12 Georgia Tech* 10-3 1.9035 12. Alabama** 15 13 Marshall 12-1 1.8781 13. Michigan 10 14 Arizona* 10-3 1.8002 14. Texas 16 15 Missouri 10-3 1.6280 15. Notre Dame 12 16 Wisconsin 10-3 1.6025 16. Virginia 18 17 UCLA 9-3 1.5216 17. Georgia Tech* 19 18 Arizona State 9-3 1.4502 18. SMU 17 19 Kansas State 9-3 1.4394 19. USC 20 20 Clemson 9-3 1.4255 20. Florida NR 21 Northern Illinois 11-2 1.4056 21. West Virginia 21 22 LSU 8-4 1.3950 22. Syracuse 24 23 Auburn 8-4 1.3568 23. Illinois 22 24 Memphis 9-3 1.3512 24. North Carolina 23 25 USC 8-4 1.3436 25. Iowa State ** Playoff semifinalist * Access bowl berth 86. TCU 93. Baylor 128. Appalachian State pre:26 Colorado State 10-2 1.3386 27 Louisville 9-3 1.3282 28 Nebraska 9-3 1.1278 29 Duke 9-3 1.1009 30 Georgia Southern 9-3 1.0770 31 Cincinnati 9-3 1.0413 32 UCF 9-3 0.9965 33 Minnesota 8-4 0.9921 34 Oklahoma 8-4 0.9899 35 Utah State 9-4 0.9776 36 Air Force 9-3 0.9318 37 Utah 8-4 0.8966 38 Louisiana Tech 8-5 0.7837 39 BYU 8-4 0.7407 40 East Carolina 8-4 0.7363 41 Western Michigan 8-4 0.7045 42 Florida 6-5 0.6814 43 Stanford 7-5 0.6812 44 Washington 8-5 0.6707 45 Louisiana-Lafayette 8-4 0.5959 46 Toledo 8-4 0.5811 47 Arkansas 6-6 0.5656 48 Houston 7-5 0.5645 49 Boston College 7-5 0.5343 50 Western Kentucky 7-5 0.4862 51 NC State 7-5 0.4801 52 Nevada 7-5 0.4759 53 Arkansas State 7-5 0.4592 54 Texas A&M 7-5 0.4449 55 Notre Dame 7-5 0.4390 56 San Diego State 7-5 0.4173 57 Texas State 7-5 0.3776 58 UTEP 7-5 0.3561 59 Rice 7-5 0.3426 60 Iowa 7-5 0.3027 61 West Virginia 7-5 0.2896 62 Appalachian State 7-5 0.2815 63 Miami (FL) 6-6 0.2238 64 Central Michigan 7-5 0.2196 65 Maryland 7-5 0.2054 66 Navy 6-5 0.1691 67 Temple 6-6 0.1415 68 Rutgers 7-5 0.1247 69 Bowling Green 7-6 0.1120 70 Virginia Tech 6-6 0.0925 71 Tennessee 6-6 0.0556 72 Pittsburgh 6-6 0.0543 73 Penn State 6-6 0.0457 74 Texas 6-6 0.0359 75 South Carolina 6-6 -0.0018 76 UAB - RIP 6-6 -0.0035 77 North Carolina 6-6 -0.0626 78 Old Dominion 6-6 -0.0815 79 Virginia 5-7 -0.0838 80 Middle Tennessee 6-6 -0.0930 81 South Alabama 6-6 -0.1225 82 Illinois 6-6 -0.1327 83 Oklahoma State 6-6 -0.1374 84 Ohio U 6-6 -0.1398 85 Kentucky 5-7 -0.1539 86 Northwestern 5-7 -0.1554 87 Buffalo 5-6 -0.1883 88 Oregon State 5-7 -0.2032 89 California 5-7 -0.2644 90 Fresno State 6-7 -0.2870 91 Michigan 5-7 -0.3244 92 Ball State 5-7 -0.3362 93 Akron 5-7 -0.3646 94 Indiana 4-8 -0.5124 95 Wyoming 4-8 -0.5599 96 Texas Tech 4-8 -0.5942 97 Florida International 4-8 -0.6128 98 New Mexico 4-8 -0.6167 99 Syracuse 3-9 -0.6230 100 Washington State 3-9 -0.6419 101 Army 4-7 -0.6909 102 South Florida 4-8 -0.6914 103 Louisiana-Monroe 4-8 -0.6998 104 Kansas 3-9 -0.7042 105 UTSA 4-8 -0.7092 106 North Texas 4-8 -0.7215 107 Purdue 3-9 -0.7425 108 Tulane 3-9 -0.7681 109 Colorado 2-10 -0.7929 110 Wake Forest 3-9 -0.8354 111 Southern Miss 3-9 -0.8568 112 Vanderbilt 3-9 -0.8733 113 Florida Atlantic 3-9 -0.9115 114 Hawaii 4-9 -0.9458 115 Iowa State 2-10 -0.9790 116 San Jose State 3-9 -1.0020 117 Troy 3-9 -1.1003 118 Massachusetts 3-9 -1.1265 119 Tulsa 2-10 -1.1985 120 Kent State 2-9 -1.2081 121 SMU 1-11 -1.2499 122 Miami (OH) 2-10 -1.2564 123 UNLV 2-11 -1.3784 124 Connecticut 2-10 -1.3842 125 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -1.5386 126 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.5555 127 Idaho 1-10 -1.6217 128 Georgia State 1-11 -1.8010
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# ? Dec 8, 2014 15:36 |
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What the heck, why not a post-bowl pre-NCG poll? Next week I can add that one remaining game to the list of 1702 games the algorithm currently considers. And it'll probably make a difference to some degree. Apparently the poll doesn't dislike Bama as much as its author, and still thinks they're better than Ohio State. On the other hand, I'm pleased that its top 4 contains 3/4 of what the committee actually picked and TCU to boot. code:
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# ? Jan 9, 2015 04:39 |
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Alright, poll for 2014 is finished. Winner plays TCU.pre:Rank Team Record SOS Final Score Strength of Schedule: Conferences: 1 Ohio State 14-1 7 3.6357 1. Ole Miss 1. SEC 2 Oregon 13-2 10 3.4189 2. Auburn 2. Pac 12 3 Alabama 12-2 8 2.7866 3. UCLA 3. Big 10 4 TCU 12-1 82 2.7663 4. Arkansas 4. ACC 5 Michigan State 11-2 55 2.4854 5. Colorado 5. Big 12 6 Florida State 13-1 20 2.4203 6. Arizona 7 Georgia 10-3 25 2.3928 7. Ohio State 6. Mountain West (North Dakota State 15-1 -- 2.2596) 7. Conference USA 8 Boise State 12-2 47 2.1478 8. Alabama 8. American 9 Baylor 11-2 83 2.1427 9. Washington State 9. MAC 10 Georgia Tech 11-3 19 2.1356 10. Oregon 10. Sun Belt 11 Marshall 13-1 104 2.0728 11. Tennessee 12 Missouri 11-3 24 1.9596 12. Michigan 13 Ole Miss 9-4 1 1.8111 13. LSU 14 Mississippi State 10-3 31 1.8061 14. Notre Dame 15 UCLA 10-3 3 1.8001 15. Texas A&M 16 Clemson 10-3 57 1.7169 16. Miami (FL) 17 Wisconsin 11-3 58 1.7130 17. Texas 18 Arizona State 10-3 54 1.6852 18. USC 19 Arizona 10-4 6 1.5948 19. Georgia Tech 20 USC 9-4 18 1.4859 20. Florida State 21 Memphis 10-3 107 1.3811 21. Florida 22 Northern Illinois 11-3 108 1.2908 22. Utah 23 Utah 9-4 22 1.2105 23. Illinois 24 Kansas State 9-4 53 1.1996 24. Missouri 25 Auburn 8-5 2 1.1595 25. Georgia 29. SMU (Best G5) 102. Duke (Worst P5) 129. Appalachian State pre:26 Colorado State 10-3 1.1283 27 Louisville 9-4 1.0952 28 Utah State 10-4 1.0933 29 LSU 8-5 1.0819 30 Georgia Southern 9-3 1.0770 31 Air Force 10-3 1.0647 32 Nebraska 9-4 0.9261 33 Duke 9-4 0.9214 34 Louisiana Tech 9-5 0.9085 35 Stanford 8-5 0.8796 36 Cincinnati 9-4 0.8475 37 Arkansas 7-6 0.8444 38 Florida 7-5 0.8235 39 UCF 9-4 0.8019 40 Minnesota 8-5 0.7950 41 Louisiana-Lafayette 9-4 0.7417 42 Toledo 9-4 0.7188 43 Notre Dame 8-5 0.7012 44 NC State 8-5 0.6389 45 Oklahoma 8-5 0.6370 46 Houston 8-5 0.6349 47 Western Kentucky 8-5 0.6169 48 Texas A&M 8-5 0.6119 49 East Carolina 8-5 0.5820 50 BYU 8-5 0.5506 51 Western Michigan 8-5 0.5497 52 Rice 8-5 0.5378 53 Washington 8-6 0.4918 54 Navy 8-5 0.4414 55 Texas State 7-5 0.3776 56 Boston College 7-6 0.3485 57 Rutgers 8-5 0.3437 58 Bowling Green 8-6 0.2968 59 Virginia Tech 7-6 0.2862 60 San Diego State 7-6 0.2830 61 Appalachian State 7-5 0.2815 62 Nevada 7-6 0.2728 63 Arkansas State 7-6 0.2702 64 Tennessee 7-6 0.2689 65 UTEP 7-6 0.2179 66 South Carolina 7-6 0.1984 67 Penn State 7-6 0.1629 68 Temple 6-6 0.1390 69 Iowa 7-6 0.0994 70 Central Michigan 7-6 0.0842 71 West Virginia 7-6 0.0393 72 Maryland 7-6 -0.0012 73 UAB 6-6 -0.0035 RIP UAB 74 Miami (FL) 6-7 -0.0221 75 Oklahoma State 7-6 -0.0348 76 Old Dominion 6-6 -0.0804 77 Virginia 5-7 -0.0911 78 Middle Tennessee 6-6 -0.0945 79 Pittsburgh 6-7 -0.1125 80 Texas 6-7 -0.1245 81 Ohio U 6-6 -0.1405 82 Kentucky 5-7 -0.1573 83 Northwestern 5-7 -0.1606 84 Buffalo 5-6 -0.1883 85 North Carolina 6-7 -0.1929 86 Oregon State 5-7 -0.2032 87 Illinois 6-7 -0.2352 88 California 5-7 -0.2697 89 South Alabama 6-7 -0.3152 90 Michigan 5-7 -0.3220 91 Ball State 5-7 -0.3447 92 Akron 5-7 -0.3660 93 Fresno State 6-8 -0.4543 94 Indiana 4-8 -0.4832 95 Wyoming 4-8 -0.5532 96 Florida International 4-8 -0.6209 97 New Mexico 4-8 -0.6234 98 Washington State 3-9 -0.6469 99 Texas Tech 4-8 -0.6595 100 Syracuse 3-9 -0.6919 101 UTSA 4-8 -0.6953 102 South Florida 4-8 -0.7016 103 Louisiana-Monroe 4-8 -0.7119 104 North Texas 4-8 -0.7274 105 Purdue 3-9 -0.7811 106 Tulane 3-9 -0.7851 107 Colorado 2-10 -0.7929 108 Kansas 3-9 -0.8116 109 Army 4-8 -0.8422 110 Southern Miss 3-9 -0.8674 111 Vanderbilt 3-9 -0.8795 112 Wake Forest 3-9 -0.8813 113 Florida Atlantic 3-9 -0.9212 114 Hawaii 4-9 -0.9714 115 San Jose State 3-9 -1.0263 116 Troy 3-9 -1.1147 117 Massachusetts 3-9 -1.1311 118 Iowa State 2-10 -1.1325 pre:Rank Team W-L Score 119 Kent State 2-9 -1.1958 120 Tulsa 2-10 -1.2370 121 Miami (OH) 2-10 -1.2805 122 SMU 1-11 -1.3483 123 UNLV 2-11 -1.4222 124 Connecticut 2-10 -1.4257 125 Eastern Michigan 2-10 -1.5464 126 New Mexico State 2-10 -1.5958 127 Idaho 1-10 -1.6678 128 Georgia State 1-11 -1.8100
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# ? Jan 13, 2015 15:02 |
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# ? May 5, 2024 20:07 |
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Forgot to finish out my poll! There's literally only the NCG added to the list of over 1700 games, but it actually does change the ordering significantly. It brings OSU to the top, the other two teams in the playoffs to the top 3, and left-out TCY to #4. (It hates FSU, as appropriate.) I'm pretty pleased with the result, given that the algorithm doesn't know about playoffs, conferences, or even the order of the games in the season:code:
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# ? Jan 22, 2015 04:52 |