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Slate Action posted:Hey Burr, gently caress you! Came here to post this. As Schnorkles says, good loving timing. Man he's disgusting, please kick him out on his rear end.
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Nov 1, 2016 02:43
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Not sure what to make of this PA poll. This is a B+ rated pollster on 538 and the lean is R +0.4. Still seems like an incredible outlier. https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/793295484110733312?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Nov 1, 2016 05:07
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platzapS posted:I wouldn't worry. Orlando Sentinel says no high-level judge has ever actually been voted out: fuckin lol
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Nov 1, 2016 05:15
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FlamingLiberal posted:Not sure what to make of this PA poll. This is a B+ rated pollster on 538 and the lean is R +0.4. Still seems like an incredible outlier. definitely feels like the polls are all over the place even in the last days of the election. time to get spooked?
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Nov 1, 2016 05:21
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platzapS posted:The PlatzapS A+ Excellent Voter Guide gently caress you bitch im moving to florida just to vote the opposite of all this, don't tell me what to do
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Nov 1, 2016 05:29
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Philly transit workers are now on strike. If this holds through Election Day and Philadelphia turnout is depressed you can basically bust out the balloons for Toomey.
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Nov 1, 2016 05:33
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PleasingFungus posted:definitely feels like the polls are all over the place even in the last days of the election. time to get spooked? There is never a time to get spooked. All it does is waste valuable posting energy.
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Nov 1, 2016 05:51
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mandatory lesbian posted:gently caress you bitch im moving to florida just to vote the opposite of all this, don't tell me what to do The Orange County Commission is a den of scoundrels, they were too in love with Red Lobster and Olive Garden to even consider paid sick leave. Vote 4 them if u want to get sick and *cough cough* die. Zas posted:fuckin lol platzapS has issued a correction as of 06:19 on Nov 1, 2016 |
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Nov 1, 2016 06:17
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platzapS posted:Vote 4 them if u want to get sick and *cough cough* die. i would love nothing more
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Nov 1, 2016 06:25
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PleasingFungus posted:definitely feels like the polls are all over the place even in the last days of the election. time to get spooked? By "all over the place", the extreme outliers are statistical ties on one extreme, and hillary blowouts on the other. I'd count on Hilldawg and her senate peeps to be in pretty solid positions still.
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Nov 1, 2016 06:33
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GalacticAcid posted:Philly transit workers are now on strike. This came up in Trump thread and multiple people confirmed it's no biggie because 1) trhey go on strike every year so peeps know how to adjust 2) there's like 11 million polling places in Philly
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Nov 1, 2016 06:34
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platzapS posted:The Orange County Commission is a den of scoundrels, they were too in love with Red Lobster and Olive Garden to even consider paid sick leave. Vote 4 them if u want to get sick and *cough cough* die.
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Nov 1, 2016 14:50
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Epic High Five posted:This came up in Trump thread and multiple people confirmed it's no biggie because yeah like one of my friends lives in a poorer part of philly, and her polling place is a 5 minute walk away on this map of philly, every area outlined in red has its own polling place:  if you'll look closely, it's sometimes only like 2 blocks of 2 streets in a voting district. the large ones are pretty much all empty of people, like the airport or parkland
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Nov 1, 2016 14:53
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fishmech posted:yeah like one of my friends lives in a poorer part of philly, and her polling place is a 5 minute walk away Chiming in as a Philly resident, it would literally take longer to drive to my polling place than walk. I've also never had to wait more than a couple minutes to vote.
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Nov 1, 2016 15:30
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GalacticAcid posted:Philly transit workers are now on strike. When I lived in the city, my polling place was a 2 minute walk, and even if i lived at the edge of my precinct area, it would have been at most a 15 minute walk..and I didn't even live downtown I was in the far northeast. Even though Philly is really good about having lots of polling places, I think it would least have somewhat of an effect, it might tip the scales in a close race. Props though to the transit workers, they really know how to put the mayor's balls in a vice grip. If PA doesn't deliver for McGinty, who is a Philly native, because of a lower turnout during a septa strike, the DNC will be none to happy with them. Public transit across the entire state could go on strike and I don't think that will save Trump from losing PA.
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Nov 1, 2016 16:49
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FMguru posted:The Cali politics thread has what you need. Last ten pages are election/proposition chat. thanks! i'll educate myself now also i just checked daily kos elections to see if there was anything to post here but it's really just internal polls, fundraising, and ad summaries that support the consensus view of various races. me-02 is close, rubio is ahead, people are spending in wisconsin but not as much as in other senate races, whatever. i did learn that charlie crist still supports chain gangs (dodging the 13th amendment by throwing black men into jail then forcing them to work the fields shackled together with an overseer watching) though. what a loving creep i guess he's still expected to win his stupid house district idk. that rando lobbyist who the gop leadership hates, jolly, shouldnt have won in 2014 (only time i can remember seeing a candidate's top campaign staff quit weeks before a victory, irrc), but that was a midterm year (or was it the special election he won in 2013 and then he was unopposed in 2014? that mightve been it) and the district's been de-gerrymandered to include a dark blue chunk of downtown st petersburg, i think
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Nov 1, 2016 19:19
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If you were to worry about outside effects in PA, isn't the law that anyone can challenge a voters identity still in place? Obviously it wasn't enough for mittens.
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Nov 1, 2016 21:42
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i'm glad that's cleared up https://twitter.com/alexburnsNYT/status/775736430911954944
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Nov 3, 2016 01:34
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Hey just stopping by to say Ted Strickland sucks
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Nov 3, 2016 21:11
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Pinterest Mom posted:i'm glad that's cleared up It's just a terrible thing to say that Charles Boustany had sex with hookers that got murdered. Just terrible. From this day forth, no one should say that Charles Boustany had sex with hookers that got murdered.
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Nov 3, 2016 21:17
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Alter Ego posted:It's just a terrible thing to say that Charles Boustany had sex with hookers that got murdered. Just terrible. From this day forth, no one should say that Charles Boustany had sex with hookers that got murdered. *drops bag, it bursts open and books spill out all over the floor* darn it, these copies of "murder in the bayou," the book that sensationally alleges that charles boustany had sex with hookers that got murdered, are all over the floor! can you all help me pick these up? i ordered some extra so feel free to take a one home if you don't have it yet.
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Nov 3, 2016 21:44
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Haven't tight Senate races in pretty much every year since 2006 swung widely towards one party? Makes me think that even if the median outcome seems to be 50-50 control right now if that trend continues then the final outcome is likely to be different (in the Democratic direction as it's a presidential year)
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Nov 7, 2016 09:06
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It's not a midterm and we haven't had same-party presidential succession in a while, deffo not enough data to extrapolate to now
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Nov 7, 2016 09:09
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And the redistricting of 2010 really tipped the scales.
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Nov 7, 2016 11:13
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Corky Romanovsky posted:And the redistricting of 2010 really tipped the scales. Not in the senate it didn't.
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Nov 7, 2016 13:51
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Guys I am arzying about the Senate what do?
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Nov 7, 2016 17:10
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It could really go either way. The NC voter suppression efforts concern me for that seat.
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Nov 7, 2016 17:17
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Inglonias posted:Guys I am arzying about the Senate what do? Drink.
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Nov 7, 2016 18:07
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Inglonias posted:Guys I am arzying about the Senate what do? the democrats had a decent chance of taking the senate back when Republicans had a chance of taking Reid's seat, and the Democrats have essentially already won that race
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Nov 7, 2016 20:52
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Perhaps its too early to say this, but I think there's some evidence showing that NC closing half its poll places between 2012 and 2016 has negatively affected AA voting numbers, and therefore Dems chances downballot in the state.
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Nov 7, 2016 21:20
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Shageletic posted:Perhaps its too early to say this, but I think there's some evidence showing that NC closing half its poll places between 2012 and 2016 has negatively affected AA voting numbers, and therefore Dems chances downballot in the state. There's no question that's true. Only question is how true, and if the Dems can win anyway.
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Nov 7, 2016 22:48
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ugh i still havent researched all the california propositions. im terrible @ politics
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Nov 7, 2016 23:04
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FMguru posted:The Cali politics thread has what you need. Last ten pages are election/proposition chat. time to get on that poo poo i guess
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Nov 7, 2016 23:04
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currently a 4-4 split between Ayotte and Hassan
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Nov 8, 2016 06:20
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FlamingLiberal posted:It could really go either way. The NC voter suppression efforts concern me for that seat. Unless people are out in force at the polls and willing to wait for hours on end the NCGOP will probably manage to steal the senate seat and possibly the governorship if not the state as well. If there was any justice in this country Obama (or Clinton) is going to point the DoJ at the NCGOP and unleash hell on those klansmen fuckstains regardless of how the courts deal with the GOP's over the top, even by GOP standards, AA-targeted voter suppression.
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Nov 8, 2016 08:03
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I hope Mark Kirk loses bigly
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Nov 8, 2016 09:33
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i have no idea what to expect on this poo poo. schnorkles posted this in the trump thread, don't think i saw it here? http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-to-watch-tuesdays-house-results-like-a-pro/?ex_cid=story-twitter some house districts to watch i guess ill look at daily kos elections and rrhelections and hope they talk about state legislative poo poo if/when it matters/happens
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Nov 8, 2016 09:35
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FuturePastNow posted:I hope Mark Kirk loses bigly Aren't duckworth's margins like hilariously high? Like +>10?
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Nov 8, 2016 09:40
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stone cold posted:Aren't duckworth's margins like hilariously high? Like +>10? Yeah. I think that Senate race is an instant call when Illinois is called tonight.
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Nov 8, 2016 14:16
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Sam Wang is forecasting a Senate split. I hope he's just being pessimistic.
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Nov 8, 2016 15:54
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